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Democratic Republic of the Congo Insight and Key Trends by the World Food Programme (WFP) | 22 July 2021

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Democratic Republic of the Congo Insight and Key Trends by the World Food Programme (WFP) | 22 July 2021 HungerMapLIVE: Democratic Republic of the Congo insight and key trends By the World Food Programme (WFP) | 22 July 2021 FOOD INSECURITY AT A GLANCE 18.5M M 27.3M Chronic hunger 105.9 Acute hunger Population (undernourishment) (WFP D.R. Congo, 2021) IPC Phase 3+ (SOFI Report, 2021)1 (IPC, Feb 2021 - Jul 2021)2 The HungerMapLIVE tracks core indicators of acute hunger in near real-time. Acute hunger is measured by key indicators such as household food consumption, livelihood behaviors, child nutritional status, mortality, access to clean drinking water and other contextual factors. The HungerMapLIVE primarily tracks trends on household food consumption, consumption-based coping and livelihood changes to track multiple aspects of food insecurity. As these are outcome level 1 indicators in the Integrated Food Security Phase Classication (IPC) Framework, they can provide early indications of potential shifts in acute food insecurity. Insucient food consumption (HungerMapLIVE data)3 35.2M → 42.1M As of 23 April 2021 As of 22 July 2021 Crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies (HungerMapLIVE data)3 51.7M → 50.2M As of 23 April 2021 As of 22 July 2021 Methodology Note: The HungerMapLIVE includes data from two sources: (1) WFP’s continuous, near real-time monitoring systems, which remotely collect thousands of data daily through live calls conducted by call centres around the world; and (2) machine learning-based predictive models. Therefore, to note this dierentiation, this report indicates whether a region’s data is based on WFP’s near real-time monitoring systems (marked ‘ACTUAL’) or predictive models (marked ‘PREDICTED’). 1 Chronic hunger (undernourishment) is dened by people not able to meet long-term food consumption requirements. Source: FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO. 2021. The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2021. 2 Source: IPC/CH analysis (ipcinfo.org) 3 Source: WFP HungerMap LIVE analysis, updated daily. Current food security outlook There are 17 regions considered High Risk or Moderate Risk and Deteriorating in Democratic Republic of the Congo Nord-Ubangi Bas-Uele Haut-Uele Sud-Ubangi Mongala Ituri Tshopo Equateur Tshuapa Nord-Kivu Maï-Ndombe Sud-Kivu Sankuru Maniema Kinshasa Kwilu Kongo-Central Lomami Kasaï Kasaï-Oriental Tanganyika Kasaï-Central Kwango Haut-Lomami Haut-Katanga Lualaba The HungerMapLIVE divides regions into various tiers of risk based on: the prevalence of insucient food consumption and the prevalence of households utilizing crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies, as well as the change in these prevalences from 90 days ago (23 April 2021) until now (22 July 2021). Regions are divided into these tiers based on the following criteria: Tier 1: High Risk and Deteriorating. Regions with Tier 2: High Risk and Stable. Regions with more than Tier 3: Moderate Risk and Deteriorating. Regions Tier 4: Moderate Risk and Stable. Regions with less more than 40% prevalence for the average of the 40% prevalence for the average of the above two with less than 40% prevalence for the average of than 40% prevalence for the average of the above above two indicators AND signicant deterioration indicators AND no signicant deterioration the above two indicators AND signicant two indicators AND no signicant deterioration observed for the average of both indicators from 90 observed for the average of both indicators from 90 deterioration observed for the average of both observed for the average of both indicators from 90 days ago. days ago. indicators from 90 days ago. days ago. Regions marked for deterioration for these metrics must satisfy one of the following conditions: (1) >40% prevalence: 15% increase, (2) 20-40% prevalence: 20% increase, (3) <20% prevalence: 25% increase. HungerMapLIVE: Democratic Republic of the Congo insight and key trends 22 July 2021 Regions with the highest prevalence of insucient food consumption Currently, the regions with the highest prevalence of insucient food consumption, in order of severity, are: Maniema* ACTUAL, Kasaï-Central* ACTUAL, Kasaï* ACTUAL, Sud-Kivu* ACTUAL, Kasaï- Oriental* ACTUAL, Lomami* ACTUAL, Sankuru* ACTUAL, Ituri* ACTUAL, Tshopo* ACTUAL, Haut-Uele* ACTUAL, Bas-Uele* ACTUAL, Sud-Ubangi* ACTUAL. These regions account for 56% of the total number of people with insucient food consumption in Democratic Republic of the Congo—amounting to approximately 23.6M people, increasing by 4.38M (23%) compared to 90 days ago. PREVALENCE OF INSUFFICIENT FOOD CONSUMPTION TOTAL NO. (HIGH → LOW) POPULATION AFFECTED Maniema* ACTUAL 65% 2.72M 1.78M Kasaï- 65% 4.94M 3.21M Central* ACTUAL Kasaï* ACTUAL 65% 3.94M 2.56M Sud-Kivu* ACTUAL 50% 7.34M 3.64M Kasaï- 49% 5.60M 2.76M Oriental* ACTUAL Lomami* ACTUAL 49% 4.13M 2.03M Sankuru* ACTUAL 49% 2.12M 1.04M Ituri* ACTUAL 45% 5.75M 2.56M Tshopo* ACTUAL 45% 3.07M 1.37M Haut-Uele* ACTUAL 45% 1.87M 834k Bas-Uele* ACTUAL 45% 1.29M 577k Sud- 40% 2.96M 1.19M Ubangi* ACTUAL Trends of the prevalence of insucient food consumption over the past 90 days These graphs, all on a scale from 0% to 100%, show the trend in the prevalence of insucient food consumption over the past 90 days. The percentages detailed below the region name indicate the change in the prevalence of insucient food consumption from 90 days ago to today. Maniema* ACTUAL Maï- Kwilu* ACTUAL Kwango* ACTUAL Nord-Ubangi* ACTUAL Sud-Ubangi* ACTUAL 24% → 65% Ndombe* ACTUAL 22% → 37% 22% → 37% 30% → 40% 30% → 40% 22% → 37% Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Mongala* ACTUAL Tshuapa* ACTUAL Equateur* ACTUAL Kinshasa* ACTUAL Lomami* ACTUAL Kasaï- 30% → 40% 30% → 40% 30% → 40% 19% → 25% 40% → 49% Oriental* ACTUAL 40% → 49% Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul *Admin 1 areas have been grouped into regions for analysis, therefore share the same trend. See methodology note for more details. HungerMapLIVE: Democratic Republic of the Congo insight and key trends 22 July 2021 Regions with the highest prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies To support the global COVID‑19 response, WFP has expanded its near real-time remote monitoring systems to assess the food-based coping situation in Democratic Republic of the Congo. The table below shows the current situation in regions with the highest prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies. These regions account for 57% of the total number of people currently monitored for food-based coping in Democratic Republic of the Congo—amounting to approximately 28.5M people. PREVALENCE OF CRISIS OR ABOVE CRISIS LEVEL FOOD-BASED TOTAL NO. COPING STRATEGIES (HIGH → LOW) POPULATION AFFECTED Kasaï* ACTUAL 66% 3.94M 2.59M Kasaï- 66% 4.94M 3.25M Central* ACTUAL Sud-Kivu* ACTUAL 59% 7.34M 4.35M Maniema* ACTUAL 58% 2.72M 1.59M Lomami* ACTUAL 55% 4.13M 2.27M Kasaï- 55% 5.60M 3.08M Oriental* ACTUAL Sankuru* ACTUAL 55% 2.12M 1.17M Nord- 51% 10.7M 5.46M Kivu* ACTUAL Nord- 51% 1.63M 827k Ubangi* ACTUAL Sud- 51% 2.96M 1.50M Ubangi* ACTUAL Mongala* ACTUAL 51% 2.60M 1.32M Tshuapa* ACTUAL 51% 2.18M 1.11M Trends of the prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies over the past 90 days These graphs, all on a scale from 0% to 100%, show the trend in the prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies over the past 90 days. The percentages detailed below the region name indicate the change in the prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies from 90 days ago to today. Lomami* ACTUAL Kasaï- Sankuru* ACTUAL Sud-Kivu* ACTUAL Lualaba* ACTUAL Tanganyika* ACTUAL 45% → 55% Oriental* ACTUAL 45% → 55% 52% → 59% 45% → 48% 45% → 48% 45% → 55% Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Haut- Haut- Nord-Kivu* ACTUAL Haut-Uele* ACTUAL Tshopo* ACTUAL Ituri* ACTUAL Katanga* ACTUAL Lomami* ACTUAL 53% → 51% 50% → 48% 50% → 48% 50% → 48% 45% → 48% 45% → 48% Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul Apr Jul *Admin 1 areas have been grouped into regions for analysis, therefore share the same trend. See methodology note for more details. HungerMapLIVE: Democratic Republic of the Congo insight and key trends 22 July 2021 Regions with the highest prevalence of challenges accessing markets1 To support the global COVID‑19 response, WFP has expanded its near real-time remote monitoring systems to assess the market access situation in Democratic Republic of the Congo. The table below shows the current situation in regions with the highest prevalence of challenges accessing markets. These regions account for 59% of the total number of people currently monitored for market access in Democratic Republic of the Congo—amounting to approximately 31.0M people. PREVALENCE OF CHALLENGES ACCESSING MARKETS TOTAL NO. (HIGH → LOW) POPULATION AFFECTED Sud-Kivu* ACTUAL 64% 7.34M 4.70M Maniema* ACTUAL 63% 2.72M 1.70M Nord-Kivu* ACTUAL 62% 10.7M 6.62M Kasaï- 60% 4.94M 2.95M Central* ACTUAL Kasaï* ACTUAL 60% 3.94M 2.35M Ituri* ACTUAL 55% 5.75M 3.16M Haut-Uele* ACTUAL 55% 1.87M 1.03M Tshopo* ACTUAL 55% 3.07M 1.69M Bas-Uele* ACTUAL 55% 1.29M 712k Kasaï- 51% 5.60M 2.87M Oriental* ACTUAL Lomami* ACTUAL 51% 4.13M 2.12M Sankuru* ACTUAL 51% 2.12M 1.09M Trends of the prevalence of challenges accessing markets over the past 90 days These graphs, all on a scale from 0% to 100%, show the trend in the prevalence of challenges accessing markets over the past 90 days. The percentages detailed below the region name indicate the change in the prevalence of challenges accessing markets from 90 days ago to today.
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