Kenya’s 2013 Elections Africa Report N°197 | 17 January 2013 International Crisis Group Headquarters Avenue Louise 149 1050 Brussels, Belgium Tel: +32 2 502 90 38 Fax: +32 2 502 50 38
[email protected] Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... i Recommendations..................................................................................................................... ii I. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 1 II. A New Constitution .......................................................................................................... 3 A. Historic Struggles over the Division of Power ........................................................... 3 B. Impact of the New Constitution on the 2013 Elections ............................................. 5 III. The ICC and Political Developments ................................................................................ 10 A. The Eligibility of the Accused .................................................................................... 11 B. Implications ............................................................................................................... 13 C. Possible Scenarios ...................................................................................................... 16 1. What if the election is very close and disputed? .................................................