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Chinese Investment in Europe 2015-16

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Chinese Investment in Europe 2015-16 ESADE China Europe Club Ramon Llull University ESADEgeo-CENTER FOR GLOBAL ECONOMY AND GEOPOLITICS Chinese Investment in Europe 2015-16 Promoters: Collaborators: ESADE China Europe Club Author: Ivana Casaburi, Ph.D. Ramon Llull University ESADEgeo-CENTER Professor at ESADE and FOR GLOBAL ECONOMY AND GEOPOLITICS Director of the ESADE China Europe Club 2 Chinese Investment in Europe 2015-16 ESADE China Europe Club Ramon Llull University ESADEgeo-CENTER FOR GLOBAL ECONOMY AND GEOPOLITICS Chinese Investment in Europe 2015-16 Promoters: Collaborators: 3 4 INDEX Foreword 8 Executive Summary 10 Chapter I: Chinese Investment in Europe 15 Chapter II: The main target sectors for Chinese Investment in Europe 44 Chapter III: Chinese Investment in Spain 60 Chinese Investment in Europe 2015-16 5 6 Foreword Portada prefacio Inversión China en Europa 2015-16 7 Foreword Growth in the Chinese economy may well be trailing off, but With a view to gaining further insight into China’s investor re- global investments made by Chinese companies and invest- lations with the EU, and the ensuing economic and business ment funds are soaring to record levels year after year. While factors, ESADE Business School and ESADEgeo – together already a world power in terms of manufacturing output, mer- with our partners KPMG, Cuatrecasas, Gonçalves Pereira, chandise exports and as a holder of reserves, in recent years ACCIO - Catalonia Trade and Investment, and the Ajuntament China has also become one of the world’s leading exporters de Barcelona – have launched the second report on Chinese of capital. In 2013 China ranked as the third largest investor FDI in Europe. This is a pioneer undertaking in Spain and the in the world, behind only the United States and Hong Kong only report on Chinese investments in the EU to be published (China). Its investments already encompass 184 countries. annually in Europe. The report was drawn up as part of the most extensive initiative embarked upon by ESADE China In the global arena, investment from China is a dynamic phe- Europe, a business platform set up to raise awareness and nomenon that goes hand in hand with, and mirrors, the shift boost economic and institutional relations with Chinese en- of the Chinese economy itself and of its resident companies terprises in Europe. towards higher value-added activities, with the public sector allowing a greater margin for private initiatives. At present, This second edition of the report has the same structure as Chinese investment is characterised by a scenario in which last year’s report. The first chapter contains an in-depth analy- state-owned enterprises compete with private firms when sis of the main characteristics of Chinese investment world- moving into the external market. Investments are primari- wide, with particular emphasis on the principal transactions ly made in the mining and quarrying industries and in natu- and trends and the impact of Chinese capital on the EU. The ral resources, with emphasis also on significant technology second chapter looks at the main sectors selected for invest- projects. As the sectors that receive foreign investments are ment in Europe and reflects the growing number of industries changing, more transactions are being undertaken in advan- targeted by Chinese FDI. In the third chapter, the focus is on ced economies, for example the European Union (EU) and the the expansion of Chinese investment in Spain. This report United States, rather than markets such as Latin America and also contains a number of external contributions concerning Sub-Saharan Africa. matters of interest relating to the increasing presence of Chi- nese enterprises around the world, including the Silk Road, The number of transactions in the EU increased hugely in the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and International Ex- 2014 and thus far in 2015, reflecting China’s growing interest pansion of Chinese Firms from a Legal Perspective. in ploughing capital into this area of the globe. A combination of factors make the EU a prime target for China to expand its FDI. Not only is it a sizeable market that enjoys great stability both politically and economically speaking; it also has first- Javier Solana, class infrastructure and a wealth of human and technological Chairman of ESADEgeo capital. Moreover, as the number of investments rises, so the strategy and interest of Chinese firms with regard to inves- ting in the EU become more apparent, the British real estate sector and medium-sized German industrial firms in particular being targeted. 8 Chinese Investment in Europe 2015-16 / Foreword Executive Summary 9 Executive Summary • Doubts concerning the accuracy and sustainability of the • Many major Chinese companies and sovereign wealth macroeconomic outlook presented by the Chinese govern- funds have undertaken substantial investments globally ment, coupled with the depreciation of the Yuan in August, for amounts exceeding USD 5,000 million, reflecting Chi- have caused a crisis of confidence among international inves- na’s considerable financial muscle: CNOOC (hydrocarbons), tors. As a result, since the summer of 2015 Chinese capital Minmetals and Chinalco (metals), Chemchina (chemicals), Si- markets have been in considerable turmoil, with a 40% nopec (hydrocarbons), Shuanghui (agri-business), CCB and drop in the country’s stock market. The true extent of this fi- ICBC (finance) and CIC (sovereign wealth fund). nancial crisis and its impact on the international expansion of Chinese firms will not be clear until macroeconomic • Despite the slowdown in the Chinese economy, outbound indicators are published at the end of 2015. In the mean- FDI exceeded the USD 100,000 million threshold in 2013 for time, data show that China has become the world’s third lar- the first time ever,and in 2014 China posted a new record gest investor, and trends suggest that Chinese companies will high as an outbound investor, laying out USD 116,000 continue to internationalise. million, 15.5% more than in the previous year. This volu- me is very close to the USD 119,000 million China has recei- • In 2014, driven by extraordinarily large reserves (USD 3.7 ved in inbound foreign investment, bringing the country closer trillion), a determined push to deregulate and a need to acqui- to being a net capital exporter. re foreign assets, China became the world’s third largest investor in terms of investment flows, surpassed only by the • The EU is a key destination for investment by Chine- United States and Hong Kong (China). Chinese FDI is set to se firms. According to official data from China’s MOFCOM, continue growing in the medium term and President Xi has 2,000 Chinese firms currently have establishments in the estimated that it will exceed USD 1.25 trillion over the next EU; these employ 47,000 people and amass a cumulative ten years. investment of USD 40,097 million, i.e. 4 out of every 10 USD invested in developed countries. • To date, around 15,300 Chinese firms have invested abroad, amassing an FDI stock of USD 776,500 million at • Over the past two years, there have been marked trends the end of 2014 according to MOFCOM. Outbound Chine- in Chinese investment in Europe. A larger number of tran- se FDI has generated almost two million jobs abroad and sactions were carried out by privately-owned companies, funnelled USD 37,000 million in taxes into the investee with a greater proportion of purchases of minority inte- countries. rests rather than acquisitions, and increased sector diver- sification, with more real estate, hotel and agri-business fir- • In terms of the FDI format, this is fairly equally distribu- ms in relative terms. ted amongst shareholdings (31.2%), reinvestment of profits (39.9%) and other investments (28.9%). Notably, almost all of • Chinese investment in the EU reached an all-time high in the Chinese companies that have invested abroad are based 2014, at USD 20,170 million, indicating growth of 117% in the country’s coastal provinces and there is a growing compared to 2013 according to the Esade China Europe proportion of privately-owned companies – now repre- database. Notable transactions include the purchase of 35% senting 48.8% of foreign investment – compared to sta- of the Italian bank Cassa Depositi e Prestiti (CDP) Reti by State te-owned enterprises. Grid in the electricity sector; the acquisition of 80% of the Por- tuguese financial institution Caixa Xeral by the Fosun Group; • Chinese foreign investment now extends to 184 countries. the purchase of the Dutch-based agricultural conglomerate According to the latest official data from the end of 2013, Nidera by the food group COFCO; and the automotive firm 67.7% of the country’s FDI stock is in Asia, 13% in Latin Ame- Dongfeng buying into the French enterprise Peugeot. rica, 8% in the European Union, 4.3% in North America, 4% in Africa and 2.8% in Oceania. In any case, these volumes • By countries, Chinese investment in Europe is concen- of investment are a result of transactions being channelled trated in the core economies of the region. In 2010-2014, through offshore financial centres (OFCs) or due to round according to the ESADE China Europe database, the United tripping. There are indications that if corrected for these two Kingdom received 46.7% of total investment in the EU (USD effects, investment in Asia and Latin America would be lower 58,300 million), followed by Italy (21%), Portugal (10.6%) and than that shown in official data, while that in the European France (9.5%). Investments in Greece and Eastern
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