Global Equity Market Performance
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Weekly Equity Capital Markets Newsletter Piper Jaffray Asia Securities Limited April 19, 2010 Global Equity Market Performance Global Equity Market Update Piper Jaffray Asia Capital Markets Group U.S. stocks plunged on Friday amidst the heaviest trading activity J. West Riggs (Head of Asia ECM), [email protected], Tel: (852) 3189 3230 in 2010, following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s fraud Derrick Lau (MD ECM), [email protected], Tel: (852) 3189 3233 charges against Goldman Sachs. Disappointing earnings data and persistent uncertainty over Greece’s ability to pay its debts also Michael Cheung (Principal), [email protected], Tel: (852) 3189 3212 discouraged optimism over global economic recovery. During the week, Dow was up 0.2 percent to 11,018.7, NASDAQ gained 1.1 Amanda Lui (Associate), [email protected], Tel: (852) 3189 3296 percent to close at 2,481.3 while the S&P 500 closed 0.2 percent Henry Tseung (Analyst), [email protected], Tel: (852) 3189 3298 lower at 1,192.1. Crude futures closed at $83.2 per barrel, down 2.0 percent over the week. Global Market Performance European stocks ended the week lower, as banking stocks reacted Performance (%) to the fraud charges leveled by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission against Goldman Sachs. The euro slid amidst worries Last price 1day 1week 1month YTD over Greece’s debt crisis while airline stocks weakened as Icelandic Global Indices volcanic ash caused air travel chaos across Europe . The DJ Euro Stoxx 50 closed down 1.5 percent at 2,949.7. Over the week, the Dow Jones 11,018.7 2.7% 0. 2% 2.7% 5.7% FTSE closed down 0.5 percent at 5,744. S&P500 1,192.1 3.6% (0.2%) 2.2% 6.9% Japan’s Nikkei closed 1.5% lower this week at 11,102.2, recording NASDAQ 2,481.3 3.5% 1.1% 3.9% 9.3% the lowest close in three weeks. Google’s lower-than-expected results announcement disappointed investors and a stronger yen FTSE 5,744.0 1.1% (0.5%) 1.8% 6.1% led to profit-booking during the week. Additionally, trading houses Asian Indices such as Mitsubishi Corporation were hit by sliding oil prices. The Hang Seng 21,865.3 2.9% (1.5%) 2.2% (0.0%) MSCI Asia Pacific ex. Japan index dropped 0.5 percent during the week to close at 435. HSCEI 12,557.4 1.3% (3.8%) 2.7% (1.9%) HK Weekly Market Update Shanghai A 3,282.0 (1.1%) (0.5%) 2.6% (4.5%) Nikkei 225 11,102.2 (1.5%) (0.9%) 2.4% 5.3% The HSI fell 1.5 percent during the week, down 343 points at 21,865.3. Hong Kong stocks retreated to two-week lows, dragged down by property stocks, following Beijing’s latest move to ease Global Indices Performance (Rebased to 100) rising real estate prices. However, investors were bullish on pharmaceutical stocks as increasing consolidation in the sector is 190 expected to benefit listed companies in the long run. 170 Among Index constituents, 6 gained and 37 declined. Among gggppgainers, HSBC Holdings was up 3.2 percent, Bank of China Hong 150 Kong Holdings was up 1.4 percent and Sun Hung Kai Properties closed up 1.1 percent. Among losers, China Resources Land 130 Limited was down 11.0 percent, China Overseas Land & Investment declined 10.4 percent and Foxconn International closed 110 down 9.2 percent. 90 The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in China reported that the country’s annual GDP accelerated in the first quarter of 2010 to 70 11.9 percent, totaling 8.1 trillion yuan. Meanwhile, the Consumer 1-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8-Jul-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16-Apr-10 Price index witnessed a 2.2 percent increase in the first quarter of S&P 500 NASDAQ FTSE Hang Seng Shanghai A 2010, over the same ppyeriod last year. HSI Weekly Performance HSI Sectoral Weekly Performance 4.0% 3.0 22,138.2 22,103.5 22,121.422,157.8 21,865.3 22,200 2.5 2.0% 2.0 22,000 1.5 0.0% 1.87 1.0 2.50 21,800 (0.8%) 1.58 1.46 (2.0%) (1.4%) (1.4%) 0.5 1.30 (2.9%) 0.0 21,600 (4.0%) 12-Apr-10 13-Apr-10 14-Apr-10 15-Apr-10 16-Apr-10 Turnover (Vol. in billion) Close Utilities Comm/Indu Finance Propert y Source: DataStream, Reuters 1 Weekly Equity Capital Markets Newsletter Piper Jaffray Asia Securities Limited April 19, 2010 Piper Jaff r ay Chin a In dex PJ China Index Performance Since January 2009 Sector Breakdown and Performance 2,500 Current Level: 2,198.4 Financial/Real Clean Estate Tech/Energy 4% 2, 000 12% TlTelecom, MdiMedia & Technology 31% 1, 50 0 Consumer 12% 1,000 Health Care 13% Business Services and 500 1-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8-Jul-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16-Apr-10 Industrial Growth 28% PJ China Index 0.0% Week-to-date change (32.39) (1.45%) (0.2%) (0.5%) (2.0)% (1.4%) 2010 Year-to-date change 89.77 4.26% (1.8%) LTM change 991.81 82.20% (4.0)% (4.1%) 6-month change 193.86 9.67% (6.0)% (5.6%) 2010 Year-to-date high (pts) 2,266.26 11-Jan-10 2010 Year-to-date low (pts) 1,901.45 29-Jan-10 Healt h Care Clean Tech/ Energy Teleco m, M edia & Techno log y B usiness Services and Ind ust rial Gro wt h Consumer Financial/ Real Est at e Top Five Weekly Gainers and Losers 20.0% 11.2% 10.1% 9.1% 8.1% 10.0% 7.7% 0.0% (10.0%) (9.2%) (10.2%) (11.3%) (13.2%) (20.0%) (22.3%) (30.0%) Gulf Resources China XD Seaspan O2 Micro China Nuokang CNinsure Perfect World China Valves Melco Crown China Agritech Plastics Corporation International Bio- Co. Technology Entertainment Pharmaceutical Note: Piper Jaffray China Index is a modified market capitalization weighted index comprised of U.S. exchange listed securities of companies with significant exposure to the Chinese economy and market capitalization over US$100m. The index was developed with a base level of 1,000 as of January 1, 09 (Please refer to the last page of this report r constituents) Source: Bloomberg 2 Weekly Equity Capital Markets Newsletter Piper Jaffray Asia Securities Limited April 19, 2010 Macro Indicators and Global Currencies Performance – Since January 2009 Gold (UBS-IB) Copper (NYC) CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) USD/oz USD/lb Current Level: USD1,136.5 per ounce Current Level: USD3.552 per pound Current Level:18.36 60 1,250 4 50 1,100 3 40 30 950 2 20 800 1 10 1-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8-Jul-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16-Apr-10 2-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8-Jul-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16-Apr-10 2-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8-Jul-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16-Apr-10 Spot WTI Crude Stowe Global Coal Index Baltic Dry Index USD/barrel Current Level: USD83.24 per barrel Current Level: 5,365.69 5,000 Current Level: 3,009.00 90 6,000 80 5,000 4,000 70 4,000 3,000 60 3,000 2,000 50 2,000 1,000 40 1,000 30 0 0 2-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8J8-Ju l-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16A6-Apr-10 2-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8J8-Ju l-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16A6-Apr-10 2-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8J8-Ju l-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16A6-Apr-10 Euro Sterling Japanese Yen EUR/USD GBP/USD JPY/USD Current Level: 1.3496 Current Level: 1.5358 Current Level: 92.15 1.6 1.7 105 1.6 100 1.5 1.5 95 1.4 1.4 90 1.3 1.3 85 1.2 1.2 80 1-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8-Jul-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16-Apr-10 1-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8-Jul-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16-Apr-10 1-Jan-09 5-Apr-09 8-Jul-09 10-Oct-09 12-Jan-10 16-Apr-10 Source: DataStream, Reuters 3 Weekly Equity Capital Markets Newsletter Piper Jaffray Asia Securities Limited April 19, 2010 HK an d U. S. China IPO A cti vit y HK & U.S. China IPO Activity by Month 25 10,000 20 7,500 Capital Raised (US Raised Capital 15 5,000 # of IPOs 10 $ m) 2,500 5 0 0 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 US China IPOs HK IPOs US China IPOs Capital Raised HK IPOs Capital Raised U.S. China IPO Activity Past Week Deal Value Date Ticker Issuer (US$m) Deal Type Lead Manager(s) No U.S. China IPO activity this week HK IPO Activity Past Week Deal Value Date Ticker Issuer (US$m) Deal Type Lead Manager(s) No HK IPO activity this week Source: Dealogic, Hong Kong Stock Exchange 4 Weekly Equity Capital Markets Newsletter Piper Jaffray Asia Securities Limited April 19, 2010 HK an d U.