Property Casualty Intelligence Briefing February 19, 2020 Q4 Broker Wrap: As Good As It Gets? Inside P&C Research 40% Stock performance 35% S&P 500 Gavin Davis 30% Inside P&C Select Director of Research 25% Insurance brokers E:
[email protected] T: (212) 224 3328 20% 15% James Thaler, CFA Senior Analyst 10% E:
[email protected] 5% T: (212) 224 3336 0% Darkhan Lukpanov, CFA -5% Research Analyst E:
[email protected] Jul-19 Oct-19 Apr-19 Jan-20 Feb-19 Mar-19 Jun-19 Feb-20 Sep-19 Dec-19 Nov-19 May-19 Aug-19 T: (212) 224 3326 Insurance brokers reported another strong quarter, with results firing on all Gianluca Casapietra Research Analyst cylinders as the group kept outpacing historical averages on all key performance E:
[email protected] metrics, with rare exceptions. The Q4 earnings fuelled a concerted rally of T: (212) 224 3495 valuations across the board sending all broker stocks to new highs. Notably, the sector outperformed P&C stocks and the broader market during earnings. Composite YTD px chg. P/B Organic growth was strong again at 4.9% all-in for the composite peer group. Large comm. 1.0% 1.1x The P&C brokerage operations dominated the growth as the divergence from non- Regional 5.5% 1.8x P&C operations (retirement, benefits, consulting, etc.) for the composite is at the Specialty 11.4% 2.7x highest level than at any point in at least 7 years (P&C growth at long-time high of Personal 12.0% 3.2x 6.2% vs 3.3% for non-P&C).