Outline Proposal for Providing Additional Airport Capacity in the Longer Term 19 July 2013
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Outline proposal for providing additional airport capacity in the longer term 19 July 2013 TESTRAD FOREWORD This report sets out an outline proposal for solving the UK’s longer term aviation capacity problems. TESTRAD propose an entirely new airport on a man-made island in the Thames Estuary, remote from population centres. The TESTRAD scheme offers significant advantages over other solutions being proposed: • London Britannia Airport can be delivered in 7 years after approvals. • £47.3 billion cost for an entirely new purpose designed global hub airport and the necessary rail, metro and road connections. • The development value of land at Heathrow (existing footprint) is estimated conservatively at £45 billion. • The optimum location for an airport in the estuary has been identified to minimise disruption to people, birds and existing industrial infrastructure. • Includes multiple modes of travel and travel times with the fastest link being only 18 minutes from Central London. Check in can be on-shore with fast transfer to the platform • Provides an unprecedented catalyst for regeneration of communities in the Thames Gateway National Priority Area for Regeneration (Designated 1994). • The new airport is future proofed, designed to cater for 172 million passengers per annum, and with runway capacity to expand if required in the future to 200 million passengers. • Six runways are proposed to allow triple and quadruple independent landings and takeoffs using proven air traffic control technology, thereby ensuring sufficient aircraft movement capacity to safely serve peak hour demand for the long-term future on a 24 hour basis under all weather conditions. • The innovative runway layout avoids all active runway crossings and minimises taxing times, while ensuring that all noise impacts occur over water and avoid populated areas. CONTENTS Page 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 London Britannia Airport 2 2 PURPOSE OF THE SUBMISSION 3 3 AN OUTER THAMES ESTUARY AIRPORT 3 3.1 Introduction 3 3.2 Accessibility 5 3.3 Strategic Master Planning For London 7 4 AVIATION DEMAND AND CAPACITY IN THE UK 7 4.1 Introduction 7 4.2 Demand 8 4.3 Capacity 8 4.4 Demand Assumptions 9 4.5 Runway Layout 10 4.6 Air Freight 11 4.7 The Origin & Destination (O&D) Passenger Terminal 11 4.8 Airside Passenger Concourse 11 4.9 24-Hour Operations 12 5 SOCIO ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS 12 5.1 The Thames Gateway National Priority Area for Urban Regeneration 12 5.2 Effects on Local Economies: 13 5.3 Regeneration Benefits 14 5.4 Employment 14 5.5 The Relationship with London Heathrow 15 5.6 Inter-relationships with Existing Airports 15 6 ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS 16 6.1 Introduction 16 6.2 Biodiversity 16 6.3 Climate Change 18 6.4 Noise 19 6.5 Air Quality 20 6.6 Hydrodynamics and Morphology 20 6.7 Water resources 21 6.8 Flood risk management 21 6.9 Uses and Users 22 7 FINANCING AND DELIVERY 22 7.1 Introduction 22 7.2 Cost of Delivery 22 7.3 Timescales for Delivery 24 7.4 Funding Strategies 24 7.5 Legislative issues 26 7.6 Operational feasibility 27 1 INTRODUCTION The future of aviation in the UK is one of the hottest political and economic topics that requires foresight, collaboration, and the collective will to do the right thing. The UK’s future economic success is intrinsically tied to its aviation capacity and its ability to support aviation growth in a market leading way. The existing configuration of London’s airports is inadequate even at current levels of demand, let alone as it increases. Capacity utilisation is at the maximum and the evolving market supports larger, more efficient and more sustainable airports around the world. The requirements will continue to change and aviation assets will need to offer flexibility, with a keen focus on sustainability, financial viability, and operational efficiency. A successful aviation solution for the UK is a long term investment which requires long-range vision. The issues and potential solutions are being hotly debated in the political, business and environmental arenas with key figures supporting different options. We offer our proposals herein. TESTRAD – the Thames Estuary Research and Development Company – is an umbrella entity which believes developing a new modern hub airport represents an opportunity for London to maintain its status as Europe’s premier aviation destination and to reinvigorate its role as a global transfer hub, which has been eroded due to airspace and runway capacity constraints. We also believe that this is an opportunity to apply innovation to airport capacity by combining proven and emerging technologies while enhancing the overall passenger experience. Such a development offers attendant benefits to the UK economy in general and the growing business and financial services sectors in central London in particular. An airport centred on the Thames Estuary can meet all the requirements for a new highly competitive hub airport. The TESTRAD Team TESTRAD includes experts in aviation, airports, transport, engineering, urban planning, architecture, the environment, hydrology, economics and the law. Volterra Partners: an economics consultancy with expertise in infrastructure and development projects. The partnership has been instrumental in developing new approaches to evaluation and economic impact analysis. It is led by Bridget Rosewell, who has developed analysis of High Speed 1, Crossrail, and HS2, as well as aviation. Bridget was the Chief Economic Adviser to the Greater London Authority for 10 years. She was a member of the Thames Estuary Steering Group, chaired by David King, and is a founder of TESTRAD which was set up to consider how to use the estuary to best effect. Gensler Global Architecture, Planning and Design Royal HaskoningDHV: one of Europe’s leading independent project management, engineering and consultancy service providers. Royal HaskoningDHV has an in depth knowledge of the Thames Estuary gained over several decades of providing engineering and environmental services to maritime clients and brings world-leading expertise in the design of offshore platforms and marine environmental impact assessment. HR Wallingford: a UK based independent engineering and environmental hydraulics organisation with a 60 year track record of working on major projects on the Thames Estuary. Lawrence Graham LLP: an international business law firm specialising in the development and operation of major transport infrastructure. UK Port Advisers: a specialist, multi-disciplinary organisation which concentrates on the ownership and exploitation of maritime assets worldwide. Aviation expertise is provided by a leading consultancy with global experience of airport master planning and design. The companies in our team are leaders in their field with extensive experience of the master planning, design, environmental impact assessment and delivery of major infrastructure schemes. Our team has an unsurpassed knowledge of London and the Thames Estuary through our work on aviation, 1 transport infrastructure, port developments and flood defence at policy, strategy and project levels. Our regional and local knowledge is set within the context of national and global understanding of the aviation market and the needs of both airlines and passengers. TESTRAD has prepared an innovative concept for delivering a new hub airport for London that may ultimately replace Heathrow’s hub role and provide the necessary long term capacity to satisfy the needs of the British economy and the travelling public. Our concept is underpinned by five fundamental principles: • Separating people from planes: giving passengers the benefits of air travel but without the damaging impacts to residents from noise and poor air quality. • Accessibility: putting terminals where people can get to them easily. • Scale: modern hub airports need large amounts of space to manage air and runway operations safely and efficiently. • Passenger experience: using the latest technology combined with reliable high speed transport connections to create a seamless experience to the airport with the opportunity to enjoy views across the iconic Thames Estuary. • Sustainability: maximising use of existing transport infrastructure and regeneration capability 1.1 London Britannia Airport The “London Britannia Airport” will be a multi-modal transportation system solution for London and the broader metropolitan region, as well as importantly extending hub airport services to the rest of the UK. It will serve as a world-class sustainable transfer passenger hub, providing a rich menu of frequent non-stop destinations for UK citizens, businesses and cargo. Fig.1 ‘Aerial View of London Britannia Airport’ This airport will serve as a long-term replacement for the runway system at Heathrow, while complementing other existing airports in the region, providing capacity for passenger and cargo growth through 2050 and beyond, minimizing noise, air quality and other environmental impacts. London Britannia Key Statistics: • Design capacity of 172 million passengers per annum (MPPA) with potential for expansion to 200 MPPA. • 5-6 runways providing phasing options to ensure future-proofing • Passenger Terminal at Ebbsfleet with journey time from central London in 22 minutes. • Future dedicated Passenger Terminal in central London with dedicated airside link from the city direct to the offshore Airport in 18 minutes – the fastest of all current proposals. • Ebbsfleet to the Airport in 15 minutes using new high speed rail link • Terminal Gateways allowing access from across London using existing the rail network • Easily accessible from the M25 using existing major road routes • No residents affected by the most disturbing noise associated with take-off and landing as the noise profile is entirely over water. • 24 hour flights with no restrictions Refer to Fig.4 ‘Indicative Access Routes Diagram’ in image appendix 2 2 PURPOSE OF THE SUBMISSION This report comprises the submission to the Airports Commission (“the Commission”) from TESTRAD and is made in response to the call from the Commission for long term options to provide UK hub capacity. In preparing our submission we have had regard to the guidance issued by the Commission, including the sift criteria.