Jsm 2013 Program Book Montréal, Canada · August 3–8, 2013
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JSM 2013 PROGRAM BOOK MONTRÉAL, CANADA · AUGUST 3–8, 2013 The American Statistical Association* • Institute of Mathematical Statistics* • International Biometric Society (ENAR and WNAR)* • International Chinese Statistical Association International Indian Statistical Association • International Society for Bayesian Analysis • Korean International Statistical Society • Statistical Society of Canada* (*indicates the founding societies of JSM) Table of Contents General Conference Information 2013 JSM Program Committee ................................. 4 Keynote Speakers ................................................... 5 Hotel Listing ........................................................... 6 Palais des congrès de Montréal Floor Plans ................. 7 Le Westin Montréal Floor Plans ...............................10 Hotel Intercontinental Montréal Floor Plans ................11 What You Need to Know ......................................14 Career Placement Service ......................................17 EXPO 2013 Floor Plan ..........................................18 Who’s Who at EXPO 2013 ...................................19 Continuing Education at a Glance ...........................25 Technical Sessions at a Glance ............................... 26 General Program Friday, August 2 ...................................................31 Saturday, August 3 ................................................31 Sunday, August 4 .................................................32 Monday, August 5 ................................................65 Tuesday, August 6 ...............................................129 Wednesday, August 7 .........................................193 Thursday, August 8 ..............................................249 Association Contacts ASA .................................................................315 ENAR ...............................................................315 WNAR .............................................................316 IMS ..................................................................316 SSC .................................................................317 ICSA ................................................................317 IISA ..................................................................317 ISBA .................................................................318 KISS .................................................................318 Indexes Index of JSM Participants & CE Instructors ................276 Index of Advertisers .............................................314 Montréal, Canada 3 2013 JSM Program Committee 2013 JSM Program Chair General Methodology, ASA Section on Statistical Consulting, ASA Bhramar Mukherjee Ananda Sen Nan Hu Advisory Committee on University of Michigan University of Michigan University of Utah [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Continuing Education International Biometric Society Invited and Contributed Posters Section on Statistical Education, ASA Amita K. Manatunga, Chair (ENAR) Joyee Ghosh Amy Wagaman Emory University Melanie Wall The University of Iowa Amherst College Columbia University [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Mary C. Christman MCC Statistical Consulting International Biometric Society Section on Bayesian Statistical Section on Statistical Graphics, ASA (WNAR) Science, ASA Kary Myers Steven McKay Curtis Katerina Kechris Peter F. Thall Los Alamos National Laboratory Colorado School of Public Health The Walt Disney Company MD Anderson Cancer Center [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] John G. Gabrosek Institute of Mathematical Statistics Biometrics Section, ASA Section on Statistics in Imaging, ASA (Invited) Hernando Ombao Grand Valley State University Wei Sun David Dunson The University of North Carolina University of California at Irvine Duke University at Chapel Hill [email protected] Mithat Gonen [email protected] [email protected] Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center Institute of Mathematical Statistics Biopharmaceutical Section, ASA Section on Statistical Learning (Invited) Estelle Russek-Cohen and Data Mining, ASA Yufeng Liu Brian A. Harris-Kojetin Abel Rodriguez FDA CBER OBE Baskin School of Engineering University of North Carolina Office of Management and Budget [email protected] at Chapel Hill [email protected] [email protected] Young K. Kim Institute of Mathematical Statistics Business & Economic Statistics Section for Statistical Programmers PharmaNet/i3 (Contributed) Section, ASA and Analysts, ASA Daniela Witten Alan L. Montgomery Nancy J. Petersen University of Washington Carnegie Mellon University Department of Veteran Affairs Parthasarathi Lahiri [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] University of Maryland, College Park Statistical Society of Canada (SSC) Government Statistics Section, ASA Section on Statistics and the Grace Yi Eric Rancourt Environment, ASA Maya R. Sternberg University of Waterloo Statistics Canada Veronica J. Berrocal Centers for Disease Control [email protected] [email protected] University of Michigan and Prevention [email protected] International Chinese Statistical Health Policy Statistics Section, ASA Section on Statistics in Defense and Association (ICSA) Ofer Harel National Security, ASA ASA Continuing Education Lu Tian University of Connecticut Aubrey Dale Magoun Stanford University [email protected] Applied Research and Analysis, Inc. Rick G. Peterson [email protected] [email protected] American Statistical Association International Indian Statistical Mental Health Statistics Section, ASA Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Association (IISA) ASA Photo Yuanjia Wang Photo Jing Cheng Nanlini Ravishanker Not Columbia University Not University of California at University of Connecticut Available Available ASA Meetings [email protected] San Francisco [email protected] Kathleen Wert [email protected] Korean International Statistical Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Statistics in Marketing, Director of Meetings Society (KISS) ASA ASA Jae-Kwang Kim Ciprian M. Crainiceanu Michael Braun Cheryl Behrens Iowa State University Johns Hopkins University Massachusetts Institute of Technology Meetings Planner [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] International Society of Bayesian Section on Physical & Engineering Section on Statistics in Sports, ASA Naomi Friedman, CMP Analysis (ISBA) Sciences, ASA Andrew W. Swift Meetings Planner C. Shane Reese Stephanie Pickle DeHart University of Nebraska at Omaha Brigham Young University DuPont [email protected] Christina Link, CMP [email protected] [email protected] Meetings Planner Council of Chapters, ASA Quality & Productivity Section, ASA Survey Research Methods Section, ASA Photo John Watts Willis Jensen Not FTI Consulting W.L. Gore & Associates Frauke Kreuter American Statistical Association Available [email protected] [email protected] University of Maryland & IAB/LMU 732 North Washington Street [email protected] Alexandria, VA 22314-1943 (Local) Section on Risk Analysis, ASA Section on Teaching of Statistics in [email protected] Russell Steele Michael E. Tarter the Health Sciences, ASA Felicity Boyd Enders www.amstat.org McGill University University of California [email protected] [email protected] Mayo Clinic Biostatistics Division [email protected] Leadership Support Council, ASA Social Statistics Section, ASA Demissie Alemayehu Deborah H. Griffin Pfizer, Inc. U.S. Census Bureau [email protected] [email protected] General Methodology, ASA Section on Statistical Computing, Kenneth M. Rice ASA University of Washington John W. Emerson [email protected] Yale University [email protected] 4 JSM 2013 Keynote Speakers ASA PRESIDENT’S INVITED ADDRESS IMS MEDALLION LECTURE I Nate Silver Gady Kozma Founder, FiveThirtyEight.com Weizmann Institute Monday, August 5, 4:00 p.m. “Linearly Reinforced Random Walk” Sunday, August 4, 4:00 p.m. IMS PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS Hans Rudolf Kuensch IMS MEDALLION LECTURE II Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich Jeremy Quastel “Ars conjectandi: 300 Years Later” University of Toronto Monday, August 5, 8:00 p.m. “The Kardar-Parisi-Zhang Equation and Universality Class” ASA DEMING LECTURE Monday, August 5, 8:30 a.m. Vijay Nair University of Michigan IMS MEDALLION LECTURE III "Industrial Statistics: Research vs. Practice" Martin Wainwright Tuesday, August 6, 4:00 p.m. University of California at Berkeley “Statistics Meets Computation: Efficiency Trade-Offs in High Dimensions” WALD LECTURE I Monday, August 5, 2:00 p.m. Piet Groeneboom University of Technology, Delft “Nonparametric Estimation Under Shape Constraints” IMS MEDALLION LECTURE IV Tuesday, August 6, 4:00 p.m. Lutz Duembgen University of Bern WALD LECTURE II “Multiscale Methods and Shape Constraints” Wednesday, August 7, 8:30 a.m. Tuesday, August 6, 8:30 a.m. ASA PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS AND IMS MEDALLION LECTURE V FOUNDER & FELLOWS RECOGNITION Peter Guttorp Marie Davidian University of Washington North Carolina State University “Pointing in New Directions” “The International Year of Statistics: A Celebration Tuesday, August 6, 10:30 a.m. and a Call to Action” Tuesday, August 6, 8:00 p.m. IMS MEDALLION LECTURE VI RIETZ LECTURE Judea Pearl Larry Wasserman University of California at Los Angeles Carnegie Mellon University “The Mathematics of Causal Inference” “Geometric and Topological Inference”