THE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY GLOBAL M&A REPORT 2020
Market trends and key transactional insights for owners of knowledge-intensive services and software businesses information services Marketing, communications and Management consulting Technology services Engineering consulting & services Human capital management SaaS / Software CONTENTS FOREWORD...... 3
KEY FINDINGS...... 4 Engineering Consulting & Services...... 43 MARKET OVERVIEW ...... 6 Key findings Key trends Key trends Regional review Regional review Equity market performance Overview of equity market performance Valuation multiples and trends Valuation multiples and trends Strategic and private equity buyer trends Buyer trends Selected notable private equity transactions Selected transactions Outlook
SEGMENT REVIEWS...... 16 Human Capital Management ...... 52 Key findings Key trends Regional review Management Consulting ...... 16 Overview of equity market performance Key findings Valuation multiples and trends Key trends Buyer trends Regional review Selected transactions Overview of equity market performance Valuation multiples and trends Buyer trends Selected transactions SaaS / Software...... 61 Key findings Key trends Technology Services ...... 25 Regional review Key findings Overview of equity market performance Key trends Valuation multiples and trends Regional review Buyer trends Overview of equity market performance Selected transactions Valuation multiples and trends Buyer trends KEY CONSIDERATIONS...... 70 Selected transactions APPENDIX...... 72 About Equiteq Key definitions Marketing, Communications and Equiteq market intelligence and data sources Information Services...... 34 Further resources Key findings Disclaimers and important information Key trends Regional review Overview of equity market performance Valuation multiples and trends Buyer trends Selected transactions
2 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com FOREWORD
David Jorgenson CEO Equiteq
Equiteq is delighted to present the results of our The Equiteq Knowledge Economy Share Price Index rose thirteenth annual review of M&A and equity market with broader equity market indices and reached new trends across the knowledge economy. highs. By the end of 2019, capital raised among investors in knowledge economy businesses had reached a ten- At Equiteq we define the knowledge economy as the year high. Entering the new decade, we continue to ecosystem in which expertise, know-how and people- observe strong levels of dry powder and robust fund driven change are delivered through B2B services raising among active private equity investors. Solid globally. The knowledge economy is characterized by levels of capital available for M&A is coupled with skill innovation, creative entrepreneurship, and disruption of shortages in hot areas of the knowledge economy, old modes of doing business. Equiteq has been focused such as machine learning, advanced data analytics and on the knowledge economy since 2006, and in recent cyber security. This is maintaining pressure on strategic years these industries have undergone unprecedented and financial buyers to put their cash to work on new diversification, disruption and change. acquisitions at premium valuations. This disruption and change has been driven by the Despite recent market volatility, buyers are pushing increasing digitization of the global economy, as well forward with their acquisition strategy. The outlook for as by pervasive technology tools that are changing the the remainder of 2020 is expected to be more uncertain way we as humans live, work and relate to the world. than the prior year. Nevertheless, there remains an This external reality has accelerated the convergence unparalleled opportunity for pioneering business owners of traditional consulting sectors (delivery of expertise) and entrepreneurs to create value, and make profitable and software (scalable tools with new modes of doing exits within the disruption zone of the industry. We hope business), creating hybrid models with elements of that this latest edition of The Knowledge Economy Global both. To appropriately reflect the varied nature of M&A M&A Report gives you a taste of Equiteq’s deep insights trends and valuation metrics across this rapidly changing into deal activity within this space. landscape, this report has been expanded to address the SaaS / Software segment. If you would like to have a chat about your current sale journey as a business owner or acquisition strategy as Across the knowledge economy, M&A activity rose an acquirer, please get in touch. to a ten-year high in 2019, both with respect to the number of completed transactions and the amount of capital invested in deals. M&A drivers include soaring stock prices, strong levels of capital available for new deals, and talent shortages in the knowledge economy. Regionally we noted a stronger rise in overall activity in North America and Asia, as well as an uptick in deal count in Europe. Across the market, those companies with a stronger technology-enabled component achieved the highest valuation metrics. Demand remains strong for those disruptive businesses that are innovating in this changing environment.
equiteq.com | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | Confidential 3 KEY FINDINGS M&A activity increased with variations in deal flow by segment.
Interquartile Range of Revenue Valuation Multiples by Segment (2019) 2019 Deal Count - 19% Q1 Q3 0.8 1.3 2.3 2019 Capital Invested - 29% $235bn Management consulting Q1 Q3 0.9 1.5 2.2 Technology services Q1 Q3 3,755 deals 1.2 1.5 2.2 Marketing, communications and information services Q1 Q3 0.6 0.8 1.6 Engineering consulting & services Q1 Q3 0.9 1.6 2.6 Human capital management 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1 Q3 Deal count Capital invested 1.1 3.1 5.5 SaaS / Software
There was a notable rise in overall deal activity in North America and Asia Pacific, as well as a rise in deal count in Europe.
Europe North America 1,452 DEALS 1,993 DEALS Capital Invested ($M) Asia Pacific Capital Invested ($M) 50,499 175,708 137 DEALS 27% 24% Capital Invested ($M) 14% 58% 4,861
10% 68%
Rest of the World 95 DEALS Australia & NZ Capital Invested ($M) 78 DEALS 997 Capital Invested ($M) 54% 112% 2,815
12% 561%
Cross-border M&A accounted for 29% of all deals in 2019 (versus 33% in 2018)
2019 Deal Count 2019 Capital Invested ($M)
4 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com Buyer review by segment
Management Technology Marketing, Engineering Human capital SaaS / consulting services communications consulting & management Software and information services services
Notable Boston DXC Technology Accenture WSP Global Korn Ferry Salesforce strategic Consulting Group Interactive Accenture NV5 Alight Solutions Oracle buyers Sia Partners Publicis Groupe Capgemini SGS TMP Worldwide SAP McKinsey Dentsu Logicalis Terracon Broadstone Microsoft BDO S4 Capital Corporate Cognizant Jensen Hughes Benefits Workday Begbies Traynor Havas Spencer Stuart
% of all deal count by private 29% 40% 34% 29% 43% 39% equity
% of all capital invested by private 27% 32% 20% 47% 56% 43% equity
The Equiteq Knowledge Economy Share Price Index1 reached new highs with broader equity market indices.
29% S&P 500 S&P 500 9% 19% 29% 26% KnowledgeKnowledge economy economy 12% 17% 26% 30% ManagementManagement consulting consulting 11% 9% 30%
18% Technology servicesIT services 12% 18% 19%
Marketing, communications and 7% 10% Media agency information services 8%10%
12% 41% Engineering consultingEngineering & services consulting 41% 14%
11% 17% Human capitalHuman management capital management 17% 14% 19% 37% SaaSEnterprise / Software software 37% 37%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2019 Average Return 2010 to 2019 2019 Average Annual Return 2010 to 2019 Note 1: On page 75 we discuss the S&P 500 index as a benchmark for comparison to the Equiteq Knowledge Economy Share Price Index. Source: Equiteq M&A and share price data throughout the report rely on third party sources including PitchBook and CapIQ, see page 74 and 75 for more information.
equiteq.com | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | Confidential 5 MARKET OVERVIEW KEY TRENDS
M&A drivers included Demand for solutions Deal activity varied soaring stock prices, that enable digital by region, with cross- strong levels of transformation border M&A dipping. capital available for is impacting all There was a rise in M&A activity new deals and talent knowledge economy in both North America and APAC. shortages in the segments. North America continues to experience strong economic growth knowledge economy. and low unemployment, which In 2019, as expected there is fueling buyer activity. Despite was strong demand for digital Deal count and capital invested trade tensions between the US transformation solutions across in M&A rose in 2019. There was and Asia, globalization, economic all segments of the knowledge also a rise in the competitiveness development and rising adoption economy. According to data from of average deal structures, as of new technologies is driving Reports and Data, the digital observed by a slight rise in the international demand for specialist transformation market is expected upfront cash component for businesses in the region. At the to reach $1,051bn by 2026, growing average deal structures in 2019, same time many cash-rich buyers, at a CAGR of 18.2%. as compared to 2018. However, notably from Japan, Australia, but the average length of earn- Many buyers are looking for also China and India, are using out rose modestly. Strong deal target companies offering best- M&A as a means to expand both activity occurred despite economic in-class digital capabilities. The domestically and internationally. and political uncertainty across growth of artificial intelligence and There was a rise in deal count in the globe. Deal flow is being big data solutions is driving an Europe, despite the uncertainties strengthened by a variety of factors unprecedented transformation of around the UK’s exit from the including: knowledge economy firms and their EU. Many consulting firms have clients. Those businesses in the • Strong share price rises among benefited from working with disruption zone of the knowledge listed buyers. The Knowledge businesses and government economy are investing in the latest Economy Share Price Index rose agencies on Brexit-related services, digital capabilities organically and 26% over 2019 – its highest gain which will transition to working via acquisition. in the last ten years. through the impact of new trade In 2019, notable digital services deals and regulations following the • An abundance of capital available deal flow included DXC’s acquisition withdrawal. for acquisitions. At the end of of Luxoft, Capgemini’s acquisition 2019, cash and cash equivalents The proportion of M&A that was of Altran, BC Partners’ acquisition among acquirers of knowledge cross-border in nature fell from of Presidio and the purchase of economy businesses tracked 33% in 2018 to 29% in 2019. This Sophos by Thoma Bravo. In the on PitchBook was at a ten-year is likely a reflection of a year with software space notable deals high. heightened global economic and included Blackberry’s purchase political tensions. • US unemployment fell to its of Cylance, SAP’s acquisition lowest levels in 50 years. of Qualtrics and Salesforce’s Shortages of knowledge acquisition of Tableau. economy talent further strengthened demand among buyers.
6 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com Figure 1 Knowledge economy M&A activity, 2010 to 2019
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500
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Deal count Capital invested
Note: Bubble size reflects comparative size of capital invested for the respective year.
The optimum size of a transaction will vary among buyers and the specific opportunity that they are considering. See Consideration 1 on page 70 of the report for our perspectives on the relationship between business size and acquisition appetite.
Figure 2 Mean deal structures: % of up-front consideration on knowledge-intensive services* deals, 2019 vs. 2018
2019 upfront 64% consideration 2.32.3 2018 upfront 2.12.1 63% consideration 0 1 2 3 4 Earn-out (years) Earn-out (years)
In addition to running a competitive well-negotiated sale process, there are plenty of steps that owners can take to reduce risk in the eyes of a buyer which can make a material difference to their target deal structures. See Consideration 2 on page 70 of the report for our perspectives on the factors that influence deal structures.
Figure 3 Range of proportion of upfront consideration on selected 2019 deals
19%29% 69% 90%
MiMinimumnimu m MeMediandian MaMaximumxi mu m
Buyers in adjacent industries may be willing to pay a strategic premium for an acquisition that enables expansion into a new space. See Consideration 3 on page 70 of the report for our perspectives on how to consider buyers across adjacent industries.
* Knowledge-intensive services comprise all segments except SaaS / Software
equiteq.com | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | Confidential 7 KEY FINDINGS
M&A activity in North America and APAC rose, deal count in Europe grew and cross-border deal flow dipped.
High-profile cross-border acquisitions across the knowledge economy are common and enable foreign buyers to penetrate new markets, gain new clients and grow revenues with existing global accounts. See Consideration 4 on page 70 for our perspectives on incorporating international buyers into your sale process.
Figure 4 Regional M&A and cross-border review
Europe North America 1,993 DEALS 1,452 DEALS Asia Pacific Capital Invested ($M) Capital Invested ($M) 137 DEALS 175,708 50,499 Capital Invested ($M)
27% 24% 4,861 14% 58% 10% 68% Implied EV/ EBITDA Median: 11.6 Implied EV/ EBITDA Median: 12.7 Implied EV/ Revenue Median: 1.5 Implied EV/ Revenue Median: 1.9 Implied EV/ EBITDA Median: 10.1 Implied EV/ Revenue Median: 1.2
Rest of the World 95 DEALS Australia & NZ Capital Invested ($M) 78 DEALS 997 Capital Invested ($M)
54% 112% 2,815
12% 561% Implied EV/ EBITDA Median: 5.4 Implied EV/ Revenue Median: 1.2 Implied EV/ EBITDA Median: 9.8 Implied EV/ Revenue Median: 1.8
29% of all deals were cross-border in 2019 (versus 33% in 2018)
2019 Deal Count 2019 Capital Invested ($M)
8 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com EQUITY MARKET PERFORMANCE
The Equiteq Knowledge Economy Share Price Index ended 2019 up 26%, touching new highs with broader global indices.
Equiteq Management Consulting Share Price Index rose Equiteq Engineering Consulting & Services Share Price 30% boosted by the stellar performance of a variety of Index rose 41%. We observed rises in share prices from players including FTI Consulting, ICF International and CBIZ. Arcadis, Sweco and Tetra Tech.
Equiteq Technology Services Share Price Index rose 18%. Equiteq Human Capital Management Share Price Index There were notable rises in the share prices of some players rose 17%. There were notable increases in the share prices including Perficient, Genpact and Accenture. of a range of players including Mastech Digital, Recruit Holdings and ManpowerGroup.
Equiteq Marketing, Communications and Information Equiteq SaaS Software Share Price Indexrose 37%. There Services Share Price Index rose 10%. Gains were were notable increases in the share prices of a range of experienced from The Mission Marketing Group, Harte- players including Coupa, Pegasystems and ServiceNow. Hanks and WPP.
Figure 5 Equiteq Knowledge Economy Share Price Index (2019)
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Management Consulting IT Services Media Agencies Engineering Consulting Human Resources Equiteq Knowledge Economy Share Price Index S&P 500 Enterprise Software Figure 6 Equiteq Knowledge Economy Share Price Index (2010 to 2019) 500
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0 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Management consulting Technology services Management Consulting IT Ser vices Media AgenciesMarketing, communications and information servicesEngineering ConsultingEngineering consulting & services Enterprise SoftwareSaaS / Software H uma n Re sour cesHuman capital management Equiteq KnowledgeEquiteq Economy Knowledge Share Price Economy Index Share Price Index S&P 50 0 S&P 500
Note: The Equiteq Knowledge Economy Share Price Index is the average of Equiteq’s six segmental indices and is the only published share price index which tracks the listed companies within the knowledge economy. You will be able to receive further information on the index and its performance by joining Equiteq Edge at equiteq.com/equiteq-edge. The index is continually revised to consider new listed companies and to remove businesses that are no longer relevant in each quarter.
equiteq.com | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | Confidential 9 VALUATION MULTIPLES AND TRENDS
Overall valuation multiples for M&A transactions dipped slightly but varied considerably by segment.
When reviewing this section, please note the issues of interpretation, along with the wide range of company and deal specific factors that influence the valuation of a knowledge economy business. The figures in this report are primarily a comparative guide and should not be used by sellers or buyers to value a business, for which we recommend you obtain independent financial advice.
See Consideration 5 on page 71 on the key considerations when interpreting valuation metrics.
Figure 7 Enterprise Value (EV) as a multiple of Last Financial Year (LFY) unadjusted revenue
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3
0.8 1.3 2.3 0.9 1.5 2.2 1.2 1.5 2.2
0.7 1.3 2.5 0.5 1.1 2.5 0.3 1.2 2.7
Management Consulting Technology Services Marketing, Communications and Information Services Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3
0.6 0.8 1.61.6 0.9 1.6 2.6 1.1 3.1 5.5
0.7 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.7 3.4 7.1
Engineering Consulting & Human Capital Management SaaS / Software Services Figure 8 EV as a multiple of LFY unadjusted EBITDA
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3
11.2 13.1 15.9 7.5 10.9 14.0 5.5 7.4 9.1
10.4 17.0 19.7 5.0 12.0 12.8 7.4 12.1 17.1
Management Consulting Technology Services Marketing, Communications and Information Services Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3
8.18.1 9.09.0 12.1 6.5 9.2 11.2 8.3 11.8 14.2
7.4 11.2 12.7 9.0 9.7 10.1 10.7 15.2 23.2
Engineering Consulting & Human Capital Management SaaS / Software Services M&A transactions (2019) M&A transactions (2018) Interquartile range Median
Interquartile Variations for Knowledge-Intensive Services* Businesses Typically, services companies with Typically, technology-enabled services a small technology component and with some revenue generated by a lower margin outsourced services software product
Q1 Q3
Note: The interquartile range is a measure of variability, based on showing the range of data in ascending order from the 25th percentile (Q1, 1st quartile) result to the 75th percentile (Q3, 3rd quartile) result. * Knowledge-intensive services comprise all segments except SaaS / Software.
10 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com In 2019, M&A transaction revenue and EBITDA valuation multiples both dipped in line with each other. This indicates that operating margins on new acquisitions may have stayed the same during the year.
Pricing on deals remains strong supported by healthy competition for desirable new acquisitions among cash-rich strategic and financial buyers.
As their quoted valuation metrics and cash balances rise, so does competition for assets from listed buyers, who are looking for new avenues of growth and are able to make earnings-accretive acquisitions by paying a discount to their premium earnings ratio. See Consideration 6 on page 71 of the report for our perspectives on what rising share prices implies for listed buyers.
Figure 8 Knowledge Economy valuation metrics, 2010 to 2019 (M&A transactions)
2.52.50 14.0014.0
12.0012.0 Deal count 2.002.0 10.0010.0
1.51.50 8.008.0
6.006.0 1.01.00
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0.500.5 2.002.0 Median EBITDA Valuation Multiple Valuation EBITDA Median Median Revenue Valuation Multiple Valuation Revenue Median
0.000.0 0.000.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Implied EV/ Revenue Median Im pli ed EV/ EBITDA Median Median Revenue Valuation Multiple (LHS) Median EBITDA Valuation Multiple (RHS)
equiteq.com | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | Confidential 11 STRATEGIC AND PRIVATE EQUITY BUYER TRENDS
A large proportion of notable strategic acquirers comprised of cash-rich listed buyers that are benefiting from rising share prices.
Many of the traditional consulting firms that have historically focused on organic growth are now making selective acquisitions in strategically important spaces like digital consulting and data analytics. Technology services buyers look to strengthen their position as leaders in digital transformation, while pivoting away from their traditional IT outsourcing focus. Across segments, deal flow by serial buyers continues to be dominated by a variety of listed strategic buyers that have strong levels of capital available for deals. By the end of 2019, capital raised among investors in knowledge economy businesses reached a ten-year high and had grown by a CAGR of 12.5% over the last ten years.
Figure 9 Buyer statistics by segment
Management Technology Marketing, Engineering Human capital SaaS / consulting services communications consulting & management Software and information services services
Notable Boston Consulting DXC Technology Accenture WSP Global Korn Ferry Salesforce strategic Group Interactive Accenture NV5 Alight Solutions Oracle buyers Sia Partners Publicis Groupe Capgemini SGS TMP Worldwide SAP McKinsey Dentsu Logicalis Terracon Broadstone Microsoft BDO S4 Capital Corporate Cognizant Jensen Hughes Benefits Workday Begbies Traynor Havas Spencer Stuart
Deal count
Private 29% 40% 29% 43% 39% equity 34%
Strategic buyers 71% 60% 66% 71% 57% 61%
Capital Invested ($m) 27% 32% 20% 47% 56% 43% Private equity 73% 68% 80% Strategic buyers 53% 44% 57%
12 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com There was an overall rise in private equity participation in knowledge economy M&A, both from the perspective of platform investments and add-ons.
The proportion of deal count that involved financial buyers rose to 37% in 2019 from 33% in 2018. 2019 was the highest proportion of private equity participation in deal count in the last ten years. Private equity participated in 39% of all capital invested in knowledge economy deals in 2019, up from 25% in 2018. 22% of deal count involved platform investments and 15% of transactions were add-ons to financial buyer’s existing platforms. 36% of capital invested involved platform investments and 3% involved add-ons to financial buyer’s existing platforms.
The rise in private equity activity across sectors is being driven by the large amounts of dry powder available for acquisitions and strong fresh fund raisings. The digital transformation of the knowledge economy is creating more growth opportunities and increasing the potential for new intellectual property that can enhance services, reduce risk and enable growth.
Private equity are acquisitive and offer additional options for sellers of knowledge economy businesses. See Consideration 7 on page 71 for our perspectives on the key considerations when selling to a private equity firm.
Figure 10 Proportion of deal count by strategic acquirers and private equity (2010 to 2019) 1 00 % 90% 80% 7 0% Deal count 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 1 0% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
StrategicStra tegic buyers buyers PrivateAdd-ons equity add-onsPriva tePrivate equity equity platf platform orm
Figure 11 Proportion of capital invested by strategic acquirers and private equity (2010 to 2019)
1 00 % 90% 80% 7 0% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 1 0% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
StrategicStrategic buyers buyersPrivateAdd-ons equity add-onsPrivate Privateequity equity platform platform
equiteq.com | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | Confidential 13 SELECTED NOTABLE PRIVATE EQUITY DEALS
Target: Access Partnership Policy advisory to the technology sector NOV Buyer: Mobeus Equity Partners 2019 Deal value: Undisclosed Target: Sophos OCT Cybersecurity solutions 2019 Buyer: Thoma Bravo Deal value: Undisclosed
Target: AECOM Management Services U.S. federal government services Buyer: American Securities; Target: Presidio Lindsay Goldberg IT solutions driving digital transformation AUG Deal value: $2.4bn Buyer: BC Partners 2019 Deal value: $2.1bn
Target: ALKU JUL Consulting staffing services 2019 Buyer: FFL Partners; WestView Capital Partners Deal value: Undisclosed
Target: RevUnit Target: Teneo Digital strategy and product studio Communications and advisory JUN Buyer: Mountaingate Capital Buyer: CVC 2019 Deal value: Undisclosed Deal value: Undisclosed
Target: MYOB Technology APR Online business management solutions 2019 Buyer: KKR Deal value: AUD$1.6bn
Target: SER Group Enterprise content management solutions JAN Buyer: Carlyle 2019 Deal value: Undisclosed
Target: Brillio Digital technology consulting and solutions Buyer: Bain Capital Deal value: Undisclosed
Note: The date of the deal relates to the announced date. Flag on left hand side reflects headquarters of target and flag on right hand side represents headquarters of the buyer for the respective deal.
14 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com For 2020, the outlook for knowledge economy deal flow remains more uncertain than in 2019. Recent share price declines with the outbreak of coronavirus may impact deal flow activity from some listed buyers. Nevertheless, the abundance of capital available for deals will continue to support activity as it relates to businesses that are at the forefront of innovation in the digital age.
The Equiteq Crystal Ball: Three things to watch out for over the medium to long-term horizon
1 2 3
The risk of further market The need for investment As we approach the next volatility remains elevated in innovation will continue global economic downturn, with the spread of to be of importance for knowledge economy coronavirus and concerns knowledge economy firms business owners will be about its impact on the in the digital age. According monitoring the impact on global economy. The market to Accenture Research’s their business. Although the will also be reacting to analysis How to unlock the consulting industry typically signals of the outcome of value of your innovation lags the economic cycle, the US election, the impact investments, investments in downturns eventually lead of the UK’s exit from the innovation are expected to to declining deal activity EU, and the outcome of the increase 1.8 times in the next and consulting spending. US-China trade war. These five years. Based on the Nevertheless, there is an events all have significant research, companies that abundance of capital in capacity to change the have governed innovation the market and a variety regulatory and fiscal extensively have delivered of long-term demand environment for investors almost twice the revenue drivers that are likely to in and owners of knowledge growth as compared with disturb these cyclical trends economy businesses. those that followed a for innovative and agile haphazard approach. consulting businesses.
equiteq.com | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | Confidential 15 MANAGEMENT CONSULTING
SEGMENT REVIEWS MANAGEMENT CONSULTING
KEY FINDINGS There was a fall in deal count, but a large rise in capital invested as buyers focused on deals that move the needle for their growth. 900 20.00x
800 1 8.00 x
1 6.00 x 7 00 26% 279% 1 4.00 x 600 13.1x 14.6x 13.1x 1 2.0 0x Deal count Capital 500 2019 vs. 2018 invested 1 0.00 x 2019 vs. 2018 400 8.0 0x 300 465 deals 6.0 0x 29% 27% of deal count of capital 200 1.3x 4.0 0x by private invested by equity private equity 1 00 2.00 x 1.2x 1.3x 0 0.00x 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19
Deal Count EBITDA valuation multiple Revenue valuation multiple Deal Cou nt EBITDA valuation multiple
Equiteq Management Consulting Share Price Index (EMCSPI) rose significantly.
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50 EKESPI EKESPI return 2019 average return 0 10 years Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19
Management Consulting S&P 500 Equiteq Knowle dge Economy Share Price Index Management consulting S&P 500 Equiteq Knowledge Economy Share Price Index (EKESPI)
Segment reviews consider deal activity in the respective segment. Please note that increasing segmental convergence is resulting in some deal flow being captured in multiple segments.
16 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com MANAGEMENT CONSULTING
KEY TRENDS
Cutting edge digital Notable deal flow Innovation consulting transformation involving the building and capabilities consulting of sector specific focused on disruptive capabilities. capabilities. trends.
There was strong activity across Digital transformation and As business cycles continue digital consulting services. This regulatory change are rapidly to shorten through the Fourth was evidenced by traditional transforming sector verticals Industrial Revolution, innovation consulting buyers like PA in unique ways. Many clients consulting remains a space Consulting and Sia Partners, and are increasingly looking for experiencing strong buyer digital players like Accenture digital solutions and advice that demand. There is a broad and HCL Technologies, acquiring is bespoke to their industry’s spectrum of consulting services businesses in this space. disruption. This was reflected that comprise innovation by strong buyer demand for consulting. This includes Businesses realize that an target businesses with sector innovation strategy, new effective digital transformation specialisms. product or service design and involves more than just development, business model reproducing business processes Strategic buyers acquired innovation and organizational that are supported with new sector vertical capabilities in a transformation. As such technologies. Most buyers range of strategically important buyers across industries like understand the importance industries. Notable deals PA Consulting, Accenture of investing in digital strategy included acquisitions of energy and Capgemini are vying for with a complete redesign of sector capabilities by Roland capabilities in the space. operational processes and Berger, public sector expertise organizational culture. Digital by BearingPoint and recently transformation consulting evolving cannabis consulting buyers are therefore building capabilities by Deloitte. a blend of strategic advisory, operational consulting and customer experience advisory capabilities to offer their clients.
Industry headwinds remain strong for acquisitions of innovative management consulting firms shaping business transformations that form Industry 4.0. We expect growth of new innovative and agile competitors that are offering new technology-led consulting services or networks of independent consultants. As we go to press, Duff & Phelps has notably received fresh investment from Stone Point Capital and Further Global Capital Management to enable the next phase of its growth, which had previously been enabled by selective acquisitions.
equiteq.com | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | Confidential Segment Reviews | Management consulting 17 MANAGEMENT CONSULTING
Figure 12 Management consulting M&A activity, annually (2010 to 2019)
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Number of deals of Number 200
0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Note: Bubble size reflects comparative capital invested for the respective year.
The optimum size of a transaction will vary among buyers and the specific opportunity that they are considering. See Consideration 1 in the back of the report for our perspectives on the relationship between business size and acquisition appetite.
In addition to running a competitive well-negotiated sale process, there are plenty of steps that owners can take to reduce risk in the eyes of a buyer which can make a material difference to their target deal structures. See Consideration 2 in the back for our perspectives on the factors that influence deal structures.
INDUSTRY TRENDS Areas of industry convergence
Engineering Marketing, Management HR Technology Management Technology Management SaaS / consulting & services consulting communications Software consulting consulting services consulting and information services services
Digital transformation consulting Organizational redesign and Innovation strategy leadership consulting
Hot spaces
Digital Advanced data Innovation Business Artificial Risk & strategy analytics consulting transformation intelligence & regulatory machine learning consulting
Buyers in adjacent industries may be willing to pay a strategic premium for an acquisition that enables expansion into a new space. See Consideration 3 in the back for our perspectives on how to consider buyers across adjacent industries.
18 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com MANAGEMENT CONSULTING
REGIONAL REVIEW
Deal count fell across major regions, but capital invested rose significantly in Europe and North America.
High-profile cross-border acquisitions across the knowledge economy are common and enable foreign buyers to penetrate new markets, gain new clients and grow revenues with existing global accounts. See Consideration 4 in the back for our perspectives on incorporating international buyers into your sale process.
Figure 13 Regional M&A and cross-border review
Europe North America 215 Deal count 214 Deal count Deals Capital invested Deals Capital invested 24% 577% 28% 338% Asia Pacific
15 Deal count Deals Capital invested 38% 98%
Rest of the World
10 Deal count Deals Capital invested 25% 1,187% Australia & NZ
11 Deal count Deals Capital invested 15% n/a
The proportion of M&A that was cross-border in nature accounted for 32% of all deals in 2019 (versus 24% in 2018)
equiteq.com | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | Confidential Segment Reviews | Management consulting 19 MANAGEMENT CONSULTING
OVERVIEW OF EQUITY MARKET PERFORMANCE
The Equiteq Management Consulting Share Price Index rose to fresh highs, in line with broader equity market indices.
Figure 14 Equiteq Management Consulting Share Price Index (2019)
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Figure 15 Equiteq Management Consulting Share Price Index (2010 to 2019)
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Management ConsultingManagement consultingEquiteq KnowledgeS&P Economy 500 Share Price Index
Note: The Equiteq Management Consulting Share Price Index is the only published share price index which tracks the listed companies within the management consulting industry. You will be able to receive further information on the index and its performance by joining Equiteq Edge at equiteq.com/equiteq-edge. The index is continually revised to consider new listed companies and to remove businesses that are no longer relevant in each quarter.
20 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com MANAGEMENT CONSULTING
VALUATION MULTIPLES AND TRENDS
Valuation multiples for M&A transactions are strong.
When reviewing this section, please note the issues of interpretation, along with the wide range of company and deal specific factors that influence the valuation of a knowledge economy business. The figures in this report are primarily a comparative guide and should not be used by sellers or buyers to value a business, for which we recommend you obtain independent financial advice.
See Consideration 5 in the back on the key considerations when interpreting valuation metrics.
Figure 16 Enterprise Value (EV) as a multiple of Last Full Year (LFY) unadjusted revenue and EBITDA
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3
0.8x 1.3x 2.3x 11.2x 13.1x 15.9x
0.7x 1.3x 2.5x 10.4x 17.0x 19.7x
LFY Revenue [x] LFY EBITDA [x]
M&A transactions (2019) M&A transactions (2018) Interquartile range Median
Note: The interquartile range is a measure of variability, based on showing the range of data in ascending order from the 25th percentile (Q1, 1st quartile) result to the 75th percentile (Q3, 3rd quartile) result.
As their quoted valuation metrics and cash balances rise, so does competition for assets from listed buyers, who are looking for new avenues of growth and are able to make earnings accretive acquisitions by paying a discount to their premium earnings ratio. See Consideration 6 in the back for our perspectives on what rising share prices implies for listed buyers.
Figure 17 Valuation metrics, 2010 to 2019 (M&A transactions)
18.0 18.0 2.5 2.5 16.0 16.0 2.0 14.0 14.0 2.0 1 2.0 12.0 1.5 1 .5 1 0.0 multiple (x) 10.0
8.0 8.0 (x) multiple 1.0 1 .0 6.0 6.0 EBITDA 4.0 LFYEBITDA multiple [x] LFYEBITDA 4.0 0.5 0 .5 Revenue LFY Revenue multiple [x] Revenue LFY LFY 2.0 2.0 LFY 0 .0 0 0 0 .0
20102010 2011 2012 20132013 2014 2015 20162016 20172017 20182018 20192019
EBITDA multiple (LHS) Revenue multiple (RHS) Median EBITDA multiple [LHS] Median Revenue multiple [RHS]
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BUYER TRENDS
Notable buyers consisted of established consulting firms and emerging players.
29% (2019) 28% (2018) 27% (2019) 25% (2018) % of deal count by private equity % of capital invested by private equity
Notable serial strategic buyers
Boston Consulting Group (BCG) - US-headquartered premium strategy consulting firm BCG stepped up its M&A activity in 2019, with the acquisitions of three businesses offering modelling, analytics and design consulting services. The acquisition of The Simulation Group added advanced-analytics capabilities in simulation and optimization. The purchase of Kernel Analytics added deep capabilities in data science and advanced analytics consulting. BCG also invested in AllofUs, a UK-based design consulting firm with strong digital capabilities. The deals are part of expanding BCG Gamma, a business unit which is focused on advanced analytics, AI and machine learning and which complements BCG’s core capabilities in strategy and change management.
Sia Partners - France-headquartered management consulting player Sia Partners acquired three consulting businesses in the US, advancing its target of having more than 500 consultants in the region by end of 2020. Its acquisition of Loft9 added management consulting capabilities across organizational, operational and business technology transformation. The purchase of Gartland and Mellina Group added consulting expertise in the disrupted US banking sector. Sia Partners also acquired Caiman Consulting, which added management consulting expertise focused on the tech industry.
McKinsey & Co. - US-headquartered premium strategy consulting firm McKinsey acquired Westney Consulting, a US-headquartered capital projects consulting firm. The acquisition of Westney further strengthens McKinsey’s industry recognized capital projects and infrastructure consulting business. The buyer also made a seed investment in online fashion platform Tjori and an early stage investment in a developer of AI software, Element AI. McKinsey has historically focused on organic growth, while making selective acquisitions in strategically important spaces like digital consulting and data analytics. McKinsey’s acquisitions are typically preceded by a partnership with a target company, which can enable the testing of synergies before agreeing a deal.
BDO - International networks of accounting, tax and consulting firms In 2019, key deals included one of BDO’s largest mergers with Moore Stephens accounting firm in the UK. BDO was the sixth largest accounting firm by revenue in the UK prior to the acquisition of Moore Stephens. The deal places BDO ahead of Grant Thornton, as the largest accounting network in the region after the Big Four. BDO USA acquired a number of businesses including customs and international trade practice Global Trade Strategies, as well as crisis management and business continuity consulting and technology firm Lootok. BDO Australia notably acquired a boutique cloud accounting and business advisory firm Consolid8.
Begbies Traynor - UK-headquartered corporate recovery, insolvency and finance business Begbies Traynor acquired seven small UK-based consulting businesses in 2019. Its notable deals included the purchase of insolvency and business recovery practice Alexander Lawson Jacobs for £6.4m and business transfer agency Ernest Wilson for £5.6m. The deals supported strong financial performance with reported revenue for the six months ended 31 October 2019 up 21% to £33.8m. In July 2019, the firm raised net proceeds of £7.8m to fund acquisitions and meet investor demand.
22 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com SELECTED TRANSACTIONS MANAGEMENT CONSULTING
EV / LFY Announced Deal Target Key services of Target Buyer revenue date value (x)
Dec-19 Mobilis Strategic Strategy consulting MNP - -
Digital and business - Dec-19 Gate One transformation consulting Havas -
Dec-19 Tate & Tryon Accounting and consulting RSM - -
Nov-19 JCRA Group Financial risk management Chatham - - Financial
Public policy consulting Mobeus Equity Nov-19 Access Partnership Partners - -
- Nov-19 Cannabis Compliance Cannabis consulting Deloitte -
Regulatory strategy and Nov-19 DataRevive consulting Validant - -
Nov-19 CPA Consulting Accounting and advisory Marcum - -
Financial leadership and Nov-19 Klein Hall business advisory Wipfli - -
Nov-19 Caiman Consulting Management consulting Sia Partners - -
Alexander Lawson Insolvency and business Begbies Traynor Oct-19 Jacobs recovery practice Group - -
Oct-19 Bow & Arrow Digital ventures consulting Accenture - -
Oct-19 Happen Innovation consulting Accenture - -
Strategic healthcare Sep-19 ECG Management Siemens - - Consultants consulting Healthineers Restructuring, turnaround Regeneratus Begbies Traynor Sep-19 and legal issues advisory £1.6m 2.0 Consulting 1 practice Group Energy and utilities Sep-19 Enovation Partners consulting Roland Berger - -
Sep-19 Westney Consulting Capital projects advisory McKinsey - -
Aug-19 Navigant Consulting Management consulting Guidehouse $1,100m 1.6
Consulting firm and fund Jul-19 Peru & Partners administrator IQ-EQ - -
Loughlin Management Turnaround and restructuring Jul-19 Partners+Co advisory BDO - -
Energy and utilities Jul-19 KONEXUS Consulting Capgemini - - Group consulting
Jul-19 WGroup IT management consulting Wavestone - -
Jun-19 4iNNO Innovation consulting PA Consulting Group - -
Jun-19 Andersch Restructuring advisory FTI Consulting $18.8m -
Jun-19 Prederi Public services consulting BearingPoint - -
equiteq.com | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | Confidential Segment Reviews | Management consulting 23 MANAGEMENT CONSULTING
SELECTED TRANSACTIONS
EV / LFY Announced Deal Key services of target Buyer revenue date Target value (x)
Jun-19 Teneo Communications and advisory CVC - -
Business and technology Jun-19 Axxsys Consulting consulting Alpha FMC - -
Intellectual property consulting Jun-19 ClearViewIP & transaction advisory Deloitte - -
Management healthcare Ashfield Healthcare May-19 Putnam Associates consulting Communications $88.6m -
Apr-19 Gartland & Mellina Management consulting Sia Partners - - Group
Catalyst Development Financial services consulting Sionic Advisors Apr-19 Limited Global - -
BioProcess Technology Biotech consulting Apr-19 Consultants BDO - -
Mar-19 Vendigital Management consulting Livingbridge - -
Mar-19 TE4B Advisory Technology consulting Version 1 - -
Digital transformation Mar-19 Strong-Bridge HCL Technologies $45m 1.0 Holdings consulting
Mar-19 Loft9 Management consulting Sia Partners - -
Feb-19 Lionpoint Technology consulting Blackstone - -
Advisory, consulting and Feb-19 Aventine Hill Partners executive search Vaco - -
Independence Management consulting Feb-19 Consulting Point B - -
Jan-19 Optimind Risk management solutions Ardian €25.0m -
Management consultancy and Jan-19 Orbium technology services provider Accenture - -
Global Trade Customs and international Jan-19 Strategies trade regulation BDO - -
Crisis management and Jan-19 Lootok business continuity consulting BDO - -
Jan-19 Howe, Riley & Howe Accounting, assurance and tax Wipfli - -
Note: The date of the deal relates to the announced date. Deals outlined are those announced and not necessarily completed in 2019.
24 Confidential | © Equiteq Advisors Ltd. 2020 | equiteq.com TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
SEGMENT REVIEWS TECHNOLOGY SERVICES
KEY FINDINGS M&A volumes and capital invested rose as demand for new digital capabilities continues to expand.