National Tracking Poll 200386
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National Tracking Poll Project: 200386 N Size: 1996 Registered Voters Margin of Error: 2% Topline Report March 20-22, 2020 Question Response Frequency Percentage P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 771 39% Wrong Track 1225 61% Q172 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve 511 26% Somewhat Approve 394 20% Somewhat Disapprove 239 12% Strongly Disapprove 794 40% Don’t Know / No Opinion 58 3% Q172NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve 905 45% Total Disapprove 1033 52% Don’t Know / No Opinion 58 3% P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues – like taxes, wages, jobs, 577 29% unemployment, and spending Security Issues – like terrorism, foreign policy, and 282 14% border security Health Care Issues – like the 2010 health care law, 425 21% Medicaid, other challenges Seniors Issues – like Medicare and Social Security 313 16% Women’s Issues – like birth control, abortion, and equal 79 4% pay Education Issues – like school standards, class sizes, 122 6% school choice, and student loans Energy Issues – like carbon emissions, cost of 78 4% electricity/gasoline, or renewables Other: 120 6% Page | 1 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL1 How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state? Absolutely certain to vote 1338 67% Very likely 247 12% About 50-50 167 8% Not too likely 49 2% Not likely at all 96 5% Already voted 99 5% POL2 Now, thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or are you not likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? (N=1,852) Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 867 47% Vote in Republican primary or caucus 673 36% Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 125 7% Don’t know / No opinion 187 10% POL3 If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you denitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else or denitely vote for someone else? Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump 638 32% Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump 178 9% Probably vote for someone else 144 7% Definitely vote for someone else 863 43% Would not vote 39 2% Don’t know / No opinion 134 7% POL4 If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democratic candidate 927 46% Republican candidate 756 38% Would not vote 36 2% Don’t know / No opinion 277 14% POL5_1 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Former Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) dropping out of the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination A lot 242 12% Some 608 30% Not Much 530 27% Nothing at all 616 31% Page | 2 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL5_2 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Reps. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-Fla) and Ben McAdams (D-Utah) testing positive for the coronavirus A lot 230 12% Some 591 30% Not Much 508 25% Nothing at all 667 33% POL5_3 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Congress passing a bill to increase unemployment benets, provide funding for free coronavirus testing and subsidies for small businesses A lot 690 35% Some 874 44% Not Much 250 13% Nothing at all 182 9% POL5_4 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Joe Biden winning Democratic primaries in Florida, Illinois, and Arizona on Tuesday, March 17th A lot 672 34% Some 768 38% Not Much 324 16% Nothing at all 233 12% POL5_5 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Gov. Gavin Newsom (CA) and Gov. Andrew Cuomo (NY) ordering all residents to stay at home except for necessary activities A lot 854 43% Some 650 33% Not Much 234 12% Nothing at all 258 13% POL5_6 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Professional athletes and coaches undergoing testing for coronavirus A lot 607 30% Some 785 39% Not Much 313 16% Nothing at all 291 15% POL5_7 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Sens. Richard Burr (R-NC) and Kelly Loeffler (R-Ga.) selling stocks following a private Senate brieng about the coronavirus outbreak A lot 475 24% Some 624 31% Not Much 356 18% Nothing at all 541 27% Page | 3 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL6 How concerned are you about the outbreak of the coronavirus? Very concerned 1056 53% Somewhat concerned 714 36% Not very concerned 146 7% Not at all concerned 62 3% Don’t Know / No Opinion 19 1% POL7 How disruptive has the coronavirus been to you and your family thus far? Very disruptive 708 35% Somewhat disruptive 866 43% Not that disruptive 344 17% Not disruptive at all 79 4% POL8 Generally speaking, will the coronavirus outbreak have an impact on your vote in this year’s presidential election? Yes, a major impact 482 24% Yes, a minor impact 419 21% No, no impact at all 1096 55% POL9_1 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? President Donald Trump Excellent 508 25% Good 349 17% Just Fair 266 13% Poor 771 39% Don’t Know / No Opinion 103 5% POL9_2 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? Vice President Mike Pence Excellent 421 21% Good 412 21% Just Fair 349 17% Poor 525 26% Don’t Know / No Opinion 289 14% POL9_3 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? Congress Excellent 113 6% Good 569 29% Just Fair 693 35% Poor 302 15% Don’t Know / No Opinion 318 16% Page | 4 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL9_4 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? House Democrats Excellent 199 10% Good 507 25% Just Fair 539 27% Poor 417 21% Don’t Know / No Opinion 334 17% POL9_5 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? House Republicans Excellent 211 11% Good 509 26% Just Fair 455 23% Poor 487 24% Don’t Know / No Opinion 335 17% POL9_6 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? Senate Democrats Excellent 174 9% Good 514 26% Just Fair 541 27% Poor 419 21% Don’t Know / No Opinion 347 17% POL9_7 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? Senate Republicans Excellent 222 11% Good 492 25% Just Fair 448 22% Poor 495 25% Don’t Know / No Opinion 339 17% POL9_8 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? Congressional Democrats Excellent 177 9% Good 511 26% Just Fair 541 27% Poor 414 21% Don’t Know / No Opinion 353 18% Page | 5 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL9_9 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? Congressional Republicans Excellent 231 12% Good 487 24% Just Fair 451 23% Poor 498 25% Don’t Know / No Opinion 329 16% POL9_10 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? The World Health Organization (WHO) Excellent 424 21% Good 743 37% Just Fair 385 19% Poor 170 9% Don’t Know / No Opinion 274 14% POL9_11 How would you rate each of the following on their handling of the coronavirus? The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Excellent 564 28% Good 823 41% Just Fair 337 17% Poor 134 7% Don’t Know / No Opinion 139 7% POL10_1 And how would you rate the federal government on their handling of each of the following? Testing Americans for coronavirus Excellent 189 9% Good 438 22% Just Fair 489 24% Poor 752 38% Don’t Know / No Opinion 129 6% POL10_2 And how would you rate the federal government on their handling of each of the following? Managing the spread of coronavirus Excellent 252 13% Good 531 27% Just Fair 500 25% Poor 589 30% Don’t Know / No Opinion 125 6% Page | 6 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL10_3 And how would you rate the federal government on their handling of each of the following? Developing treatments for coronavirus Excellent 248 12% Good 472 24% Just Fair 528 26% Poor 532 27% Don’t Know / No Opinion 217 11% POL10_4 And how would you rate the federal government on their handling of each of the following? Developing a vaccine for coronavirus Excellent 214 11% Good 496 25% Just Fair 513 26% Poor 525 26% Don’t Know / No Opinion 248 12% POL10_5 And how would you rate the federal government on their handling of each of the following? Ensuring hospitals are equipped to deal with coronavirus Excellent 250 13% Good 449 22% Just Fair 478 24% Poor 676 34% Don’t Know / No Opinion 143 7% POL10_6 And how would you rate the federal government on their handling of each of the following? Providing nancial support for people and businesses affected by coronavirus Excellent 290 15% Good 550 28% Just Fair 476 24% Poor 482 24% Don’t Know / No Opinion 199 10% POL11 Even if none is exactly right, which of the following comes closest to your opinion? The Trump Administration is doing too much in 60 3% response to the coronavirus outbreak The Trump Administration is doing the right amount in 812 41% response to the coronavirus outbreak The Trump Administration is not doing enough in 908 45% response to the coronavirus outbreak Don’t Know / No Opinion 216 11% Page | 7 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL12 As you may know, in response to the coronavirus Americans have been encouraged to ”social distance” with many states canceling upcoming major events and closing schools, restaurants, and other public spaces.