2020 Elections Forecasting September 8Th, 2020
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November 2020 Election Results (Results As of November 30, 2020) U.S
New York State Congressional Delegation November 2020 Election Results (Results as of November 30, 2020) U.S. Senate 116th Congress (Jan. 2019 - Jan. 2021) 117th Congress (Jan. 2021 - Jan. 2023) Senator Charles Schumer (D) Senator Charles Schumer (D) (Up for re-election in 2022) Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D) Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D) (Up for re-election in Jan 2024) U.S. House of Representatives 116th Congress (Jan. 2019 - Jan. 2021) 117th Congress (Jan. 2021 - Jan. 2023) NY – 1 Lee Zeldin (R-Shirley) Lee Zeldin (R-Shirley) NY – 2 Peter King (R-Seaford) (Ret.) Andrew Garbarino (R-Sayville) NY – 3 Thomas Suozzi (D-Glen Cove) Thomas Suozzi (D-Glen Cove) NY – 4 Kathleen Rice (D-Mineola) Kathleen Rice (D-Mineola) NY – 5 Gregory Meeks (D-Far Rockaway) Gregory Meeks (D-Far Rockaway) NY – 6 Grace Meng (D-Queens) Grace Meng (D-Queens) NY – 7 Nydia Velazquez (D-Brooklyn) Nydia Velazquez (D-Brooklyn) NY – 8 Hakeem Jeffries (D-Brooklyn) Hakeem Jeffries (D-Brooklyn) NY – 9 Yvette Clarke (D-Brooklyn) Yvette Clarke (D-Brooklyn) NY – 10 Jerrold Nadler (D-Manhattan) Jerrold Nadler (D-Manhattan) NY – 11 Max Rose (D-Staten Island) Nicole Malliotakis (R-Staten Island) NY – 12 Carolyn Maloney (D-Manhattan) Carolyn Maloney (D-Manhattan) NY – 13 Adriano Espaillat (D-Manhattan) Adriano Espaillat (D-Manhattan) NY – 14 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-Queens) Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-Queens) NY – 15 Jose Serrano (D-Bronx) (Ret.) Ritchie Torres (D-Bronx) NY – 16 Eliot Engel (D-Bronx) Jamaal Bowman (D-Yonkers) NY – 17 Nita Lowey (D-Harrison) (Ret.) Mondaire -
Public Comments
Timestamp Meeting Date Agenda Item First and Last Name Zip Code Representing Comments It is inappropriate to use an obviously biased company for Arizona’s redistricting mapping process. Bernie Sanders and Barack Obama should have zero say in what our maps look like, and these companies are funded by them at the national level. We want you to hire the National Demographics Corporation – Douglas Johnson in order to assure Arizonans of fair representation and elections. The “Independent” Review Council should make amends for ten years of incompetence and corruption. The commissioners met as many as five times at the home of the AZ 4/27/2021 9:12:25 April 27, 2021 Redistricting Marta 85331 Democratic Party’s Executive Director! It is inappropriate to use an obviously biased company for Arizona’s redistricting mapping process. Bernie Sanders and Barack Obama should have zero say in what our maps look like, and these companies are funded by them at the national level. We want you to hire the National Demographics Corporation – Douglas Johnson in order to assure Arizonans of fair representation and elections. The “Independent” Review Council should make amends for ten years of incompetence Redistricting and corruption. The commissioners met as many as five times at the home of the AZ 4/27/2021 9:12:47 April 27, 2021 Company Michael MacBan 85331 Democratic Party’s Executive Director! I would l ke to request that the company to be hired is the National Demographics Corporation – Douglas Johnson, in order to assure Arizonans fair representation and redistricting elections. mapping It would be inappropriate to use a biased company for the redistricting mapping process. -
Newly Elected Representatives in the 114Th Congress
Newly Elected Representatives in the 114th Congress Contents Representative Gary Palmer (Alabama-6) ....................................................................................................... 3 Representative Ruben Gallego (Arizona-7) ...................................................................................................... 4 Representative J. French Hill (Arkansas-2) ...................................................................................................... 5 Representative Bruce Westerman (Arkansas-4) .............................................................................................. 6 Representative Mark DeSaulnier (California-11) ............................................................................................. 7 Representative Steve Knight (California-25) .................................................................................................... 8 Representative Peter Aguilar (California-31) ................................................................................................... 9 Representative Ted Lieu (California-33) ........................................................................................................ 10 Representative Norma Torres (California-35) ................................................................................................ 11 Representative Mimi Walters (California-45) ................................................................................................ 12 Representative Ken Buck (Colorado-4) ......................................................................................................... -
June 19, 2020 Volume 4, No
This issue brought to you by Georgia Senate: The Road to Redemption By Jacob Rubashkin JUNE 19, 2020 VOLUME 4, NO. 12 Jon Ossoff has been the punchline of an expensive joke for the last three years. But the one-time failed House candidate might get the last laugh in a Senate race that has been out of the spotlight until recently. 2020 Senate Ratings Much of the attention around Georgia has focused on whether it’s a Toss-Up presidential battleground and the special election to fill the seat left by GOP Sen. Johnny Isakson. Collins (R-Maine) Tillis (R-N.C.) Polls consistently show Joe Biden running even with President McSally (R-Ariz.) Donald Trump, and Biden’s emerging coalition of non-white and Tilt Democratic Tilt Republican suburban voters has many Democrats feeling that this is the year they turn Georgia blue. Gardner (R-Colo.) In the race for the state’s other seat, appointed-GOP Sen. Kelly Lean Democratic Lean Republican Loeffler has been engulfed in an insider trading scandal, and though Peters (D-Mich.) KS Open (Roberts, R) the FBI has reportedly closed its investigation, it’s taken a heavy toll on Daines (R-Mont.) her image in the state. While she began unknown, she is now deeply Ernst (R-Iowa) unpopular; her abysmal numbers have both Republican and Democratic opponents thinking they can unseat her. Jones (D-Ala.) All this has meant that GOP Sen. David Perdue has flown under the Likely Democratic Likely Republican radar. But that may be changing now that the general election matchup Cornyn (R-Texas) is set. -
Scoville, Curtailing the Cudgel of "Coordination"
Curtailing the Cudgel of “Coordination” by Curing Confusion: How States Can Fix What the Feds Got Wrong on Campaign Finance GEORGE S. SCOVILLE III* I. INTRODUCTION.......................................................................... 465 II. FEDERAL COORDINATION DOCTRINE ........................................ 475 A. Establishing the Regime .............................................. 475 1. The Federal Election Campaign Act and Buckley’s Curious Dual Anti-Corruption Rationale ................ 475 2. The Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act, the FEC’s Coordination Regulations, and Recent Cases .......... 482 B. Hypos Showing Ambiguity in Federal Conduct Standards ...................................................... 487 1. The Coffee Shop Hypo........................................... 487 2. The Photo Hypo ..................................................... 488 3. The Polling Hypo ................................................... 489 * Editor-in-Chief, Volume 48 The University of Memphis Law Review; Candidate for Juris Doctor and Business Law Certificate, 2018, The University of Memphis Cecil C. Humphreys School of Law; Master of Public Policy, 2011, American University School of Public Affairs. For Emily, whose steadfast love has been the sine qua non of my studies. Thank you to countless family, friends, colleagues, and mentors for boundless guidance and support, especially Capital University Josiah H. Blackmore II/Shirley M. Nault Professor of Law Bradley A. Smith, Cecil C. Humphreys School of Law Professors Steven J. Mulroy and John M. Newman, and my colleagues, past and present, at The University of Memphis Law Review, especially Callie Tran, Liz Stagich, and Connor Dugosh. “If I have seen further, it is by standing on ye shoulders of giants.” Letter from Isaac Newton to Robert Hooke (Feb. 5, 1675) (on file with the Historical Society of Pennsylvania), http://digitallibrary.hsp.org/index.php/Detail/Object/Show/object_id/9285. 463 464 The University of Memphis Law Review Vol. -
Oberweis Supports Making It Harder for Women to Get Birth Control and Opposes a Woman's Right to Choose Even in Cases of Rape
Oberweis supports making it harder for women to get birth control and opposes a woman’s right to choose even in cases of rape and incest. 2016: Oberweis Voted Against Requiring Individual Or Group Health Policies To Cover All Contraceptive Drugs. Oberweis voted against HB5576, “Makes changes to a Section concerning coverage for contraceptives. Provides that an individual or group health policy shall provide coverage for all contraceptive drugs, devices, and other products approved by the United States Food and Drug Administration, including over-the-counter contraceptive drugs, devices, and products; voluntary sterilization procedures; contraceptive services, patient education, and counseling on contraception; and follow-up services related to their use. Provides that if the United States Food and Drug Administration has approved one or more therapeutic equivalent versions of a contraceptive drug, device, or product, a policy is not required to include all therapeutic equivalent versions in its formulary, so long as at least one is included and covered without cost-sharing; if an individual's attending provider recommends a particular service or item approved by the United States Food and Drug Administration based on a determination of medical necessity with respect to that individual, the plan or issuer must cover that service or item without cost sharing and the plan or issuer must defer to the determination of the attending provider; if a drug, device or product is not covered, plans and issuers must have an easily accessible, transparent, and sufficiently expedient process that is not unduly burdensome on the individual or a provider or person acting as a patient's authorized representative to ensure coverage without cost sharing; and that coverage must provide for the dispensing of 12 months' worth of contraception at one time. -
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Max Rose Split on Impeach-Trump Stumps
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Max Rose Split on Impeach-Trump Stumps https://thecity.nyc/2019/10/ocasio-cortez-and-rose-split-on-impeach-tru... Clifford Michel, Christine Chung Photo: Ben Fractenberg/THE CITY Sign up for “THE CITY Scoop,” our daily newsletter where we send you stories like this first thing in the morning. New York City’s two newest Democratic members of Congress are returning from Washington for town halls this week as calls for an impeachment inquiry mount — but their homecoming receptions are bound to differ. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who has long demanded President Donald Trump’s impeachment, will host a Thursday town hall in Queens to discuss her new legislative package addressing income inequality and poverty. Meanwhile, Rep. Max Rose, the city’s lone impeachment holdout, has a transit-themed town hall scheduled in Staten Island on Wednesday, where activists are saying they’ll ask about impeachment. “Nothing will distract me from fighting to improve the lives of my constituents,” Rose told THE CITY in a statement Monday. “The focus of the upcoming town halls will be on transit and our commuting nightmares — but I most certainly welcome any questions.” Ocasio-Cortez, whose spokesperson declined comment, has drawn attention to Democrats, such as Rose, who’ve refused to back the impeachment inquiry. The first-term reps’ diverging positions reflect the different stakes they face at the ballot box next year, political observers say. Rose’s 2018 win — a moderate Democrat taking back a district won by Trump — was emblematic of the so- called Blue Wave that regained the party the House of Representatives. -
Congressional Directory UTAH
276 Congressional Directory UTAH *** THIRD DISTRICT JOHN CURTIS, Republican, of Provo, UT; born in Salt Lake City, UT, May 10, 1960; edu- cation: B.S., business management, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT, 1985; professional: Mayor, Provo City, 2010–17; COO and part-owner, Action Target, 1999–2010; manager, O.C. Tanner Co., 1989–99; overseas lead buyer, Brazil International, 1987–88; territory representa- tive, Citizen Watch Co., 1984–86; missionary, Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints, Tai- wan, 1979–81; religion: Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints; married: Sue; children: Kirsten, Zane, Jacob, Sarah Jane, Emily, and Nicole; grandchildren: Jet, Jane, Clare, Sage, Hazel, and Genevieve; caucuses: Dietary Supplement Caucus; Friends of Wales Caucus; Repub- lican Main Street Partnership; Western Caucus; committees: Foreign Affairs; Natural Resources; elected, by special election, to the 115th Congress on November 17, 2017, to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of U.S. Representative Jason Chaffetz; reelected to the 116th Con- gress on November 6, 2018. Office Listings https://curtis.house.gov https://facebook.com/RepJohnCurtis https://twitter.com/RepJohnCurtis 125 Cannon House Office Building, Washington, DC 20515 ................................................. (202) 225–7751 Chief of Staff.—Corey Norman. Legislative Director.—Jake Bornstein. Scheduler.—Stephanie Heinrich. Press Secretary.—Ally Riding. Legislative Assistants: Troy Dougall, Rebekah Rodriquez. Counsel.—Liz Whitlock. Staff Assistant.—Ray Phillips. -
Democratic Erosion in Arizona and New Mexico By
Democratic Erosion in Arizona and New Mexico A comparative analysis on the divergence of border states over time. Capstone Thesis with Professor Sperber by: Cristin Espinoza Published March 2018 at the University of Denver 1. Introduction. Whereas former US Supreme Court Chief Justice Brandeis once described US states as laboratories of democracy, recent scholarship on democratic erosion calls for scholars to reconsider the degree to which US states may also serve as laboratories for authoritarian practices (Levitsky & Ziblatt, 2018). In this paper, I seek to advance the understanding of democratic erosion. First, I establish empirical variation in the level of democratic erosion across two US southern border states: Arizona and New Mexico. I also demonstrate that although journalistic accounts often emphasize the role of demography and geography as determinants of voter suppression, redistricting, populist rhetoric, and even racial profiling practices in Arizona, the aforementioned factors are more similar than different across Arizona and New Mexico. Instead, I evaluate the hypothesis that long-run historical differences have influenced democratic erosion in these cases in ways previously overlooked. Specifically, I consider whether stronger Native American defense against white settlement in Arizona constituted a critical juncture that led to significantly more exclusive and ethnically charged state-level politics in Arizona than in neighboring New Mexico. To evaluate this hypothesis rigorously, I consider additional, competing hypotheses, including the possibility that rapid growth of Arizona’s older white population in recent decades, or differences in recent immigration flows may have steered the state in a less democratic direction than its neighbor. I find little evidence that these factors can explain what I demonstrate are longer-run political differences across state lines. -
Presidential Fatigue Hits Gen Z Users, Shows Oath's News Data
Presidential Fatigue Hits Gen Z Users, Shows Oath’s News Data By [oath News Team] -- TBC Source: oath News Analytics - Longitudinal Trends across Generation X, Millennial, and Generation Z The common assumption is that anyone engaged in current events today is focused on U.S. politics, but the data shows that it actually depends on your generation. Gen Z is focused on a diverse array of issues and are largely isolated from the obsessive focus on national politics seen in other generations. Since they are the next generation to come online as voters (beginning in 2018 for the oldest Gen Zers), should we be concerned for the next election? Oath News data on longitudinal trends across Gen X, Millennials and Gen Z show that while the November 8th presidential election drew people from all age groups on presidential topics, trends for Gen X and Millennial are also similar. Gen Z has the most diverse interest over time and was the only group with significant discussion in international politics and society related stories. The US elections, Brexit, France’s landmark presidential election, and the unfortunate terrorist attacks over the past year prompted us to dig deeper into our news platform, to see how these events may have impacted our communities. This analysis was conducted through a review of over 100 million comments, of which 3 million were analyzed to define the top 10 trending US hosted articles per month ranked by total comments. Included in this analysis were comments generated within the flagship mobile app Newsroom iOS and Android, and across our biggest news platforms Yahoo.com and Yahoo News. -
Administration of Barack Obama, 2011 Remarks on the Shootings In
Administration of Barack Obama, 2011 Remarks on the Shootings in Tucson, Arizona January 8, 2011 As many of you are aware, earlier today a number of people were shot in Tucson, Arizona, including several who were meeting at a supermarket with their Congresswoman, Gabrielle Giffords. We are still assembling all the facts, but we know that Representative Giffords was one of the victims. She is currently at a hospital in the area, and she is battling for her life. We also know that at least five people lost their lives in this tragedy. Among them were a Federal judge, John Roll, who has served America's legal system for almost 40 years, and a young girl who was barely 9 years old. I've spoken to Arizona Governor Jan Brewer and offered the full resources of the Federal Government. A suspect is currently in custody, but we don't yet know what provoked this unspeakable act. A comprehensive investigation is currently underway, and at my direction, Director Bob Mueller is en route to Arizona to help coordinate these efforts. I've also spoken to the Democratic and Republican leaders in the House. Gabby Giffords was a friend of mine. She is not only an extraordinary public servant, but she is also somebody who is warm and caring. She is well liked by her colleagues and well liked by her constituents. Her husband, Mark Kelly, is a Navy captain and one of America's valiant astronauts. It's not surprising that today Gabby was doing what she always does: listening to the hopes and concerns of her neighbors. -
Preservation Focus 2002 Was the Most Productive in County History, Evans Said
The five-year period ending in Preservation focus 2002 was the most productive in county history, Evans said. Kane County has invested at least $14million to benefit his- By William Presecky toric buildings, programs and Tribune staff reporter heritage tourism, board Chair- man Mike McCoy said, about Unlikely as it is to spawn a tit- $11 million of it from riverboat illating movie-plot, as in the funds. current movie "Calendar Sincereceiving its first allot- Girls," Kane County's 2004 pic- ment from the Elgin casino in torial calendar nevertheless of- 1997, Kane County has accepted fers an exposé of sorts. -. and doled out about $74 million The calendar features a doz- in riverboat grants, primarily en of the most prominent pres- for capital projects that benefit ervation projects the county the environment, economic de- has underwritten in the last velopment or education. several years, in part by uti- Inmaking its funding deci- lizing millions of dollars in riv- sions, the County Board early erboat casino revenue. on defined historic preserva- Since 1997 Kane County has tion as having an educational invested more than $14 million benefit, McCoy said, in a campaign to preserve its "And we consider farmland heritage that may be the most protection as historic preserva- ambitious in the state in scope tion," he said. and size, according to Julia Like . the 2002 calendar, Evans, the county's preserva- McCoy said, the 2004 offering is tion planner. intended spread public aware- "As far as counties go, there ness. probably isn't any in Illinois "We don't do a county news- that has given more than Kane letter or anything like that.