Kyrgyz Republic DEV 200662
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Measuring results, sharing lessons sharing results, Measuring OPERATION EVALUATION Kyrgyz Republic - DEV 200662 Support for the National Productive Safety Nets and Long-Term Community Resilience A mid-term evaluation of WFP’s Operation (July 2014 – May 2016) Final Report August 2016 Evaluation Team: Sophia Dunn, Anara Alymkulova and Terrence Jantzi Evaluation Manager: Martin Fisher Commissioned by the WFP Office of Evaluation Report Number: OEV/2016/003 i Acknowledgements The evaluation team sincerely thanks the WFP Kyrgyzstan Country Office in Bishkek for the efficient facilitation of the evaluation process. The staff generously afforded their time to support the team with excellent planning and logistics and to provide relevant information. The passion of the team culture for this project was evident in their energy and enthusiasm to ensure a good evaluation process. Our gratitude also goes to all the stakeholders (Government authorities, the donor community, the United Nations agencies, the cooperating partners and other non- governmental organizations, the beneficiaries, and civil society), who dedicated their time to participate in informative discussions and contributed significantly to the findings of the evaluation. Sophia Dunn, Anara Alymkulova and Terrence Jantzi Disclaimer The opinions expressed are those of the Evaluation Team, and do not necessarily reflect those of the World Food Programme. Responsibility for the opinions expressed in this report rests solely with the authors. Publication of this document does not imply endorsement by WFP of the opinions expressed. The designation employed and the presentation of material in the maps do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WFP concerning the legal or constitutional status of any country, territory or sea area, or concerning the delimitation of frontiers. Evaluation Management Evaluation Manager: Martin Fisher, the KonTerra Group Evaluation Focal Point, WFP: Filippo Pompili, OEV Operation Evaluation Manager: Elise Benoit, OEV ii Table of Contents Operational Factsheet .......................................................................................................... vi Maps ..................................................................................................................................... xii Executive Summary ............................................................................................................ xiv 1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 1 1.1. Evaluation Features ...................................................................................................... 1 1.2. Country Context of the Kyrgyz Republic ..................................................................... 2 1.3. Operation Overview ..................................................................................................... 5 2. Evaluation Findings ........................................................................................................... 6 2.1. Appropriateness of the Operation ............................................................................... 6 2.2. Results of the Operation ........................................................................................... 12 2.3. Factors Affecting the Results .................................................................................... 31 3. Conclusions and Recommendations ............................................................................... 32 3.1. Overall assessment ................................................................................................... 32 3.2. Recommendations .................................................................................................... 35 Annexes ................................................................................................................................ 39 Acronyms ............................................................................................................................. 96 iii List of Tables Table 1: Summary of PMSD support .................................................................................... 16 Table 2: Training for sub-district staff (June 2014-April 2016) ......................................... 18 Table 3: National Capacity Index ......................................................................................... 19 Table 4: Partnership outcomes ........................................................................................... 20 Table 5: Planned vs. actual community project beneficiaries ............................................ 22 Table 6: PSNP Coverage ...................................................................................................... 23 Table 7: Planned vs. Actual inputs ...................................................................................... 23 Table 8: Community Asset Score ........................................................................................ 25 Table 9: Capacity building outcomes .................................................................................. 26 Table 10: Crop production outcomes .................................................................................. 26 Table 11: Food security and nutrition related outcomes .................................................... 27 Table 12: Income sources and investment outcomes ......................................................... 28 Table 13: Coping strategies .................................................................................................. 28 Table 14: Gender outcomes ................................................................................................. 29 Table 15: Accountability outcome ....................................................................................... 30 List of Figures Figure 1: FFA/FFT project types ......................................................................................... 22 Figure 2: Community asset functionality ............................................................................ 25 Figure 3: Food Consumption and Dietary Diversity Scores (targeted communities vs. non- targeted communities) .................................................................................................. 27 Figure 4: Capacities of targeted communities to manage climatic risks and shocks ......... 29 iv List of Annexes Annex 1: Evaluation Terms of Reference ............................................................................ 39 Annex 2: Evaluation Team Field Visits ............................................................................... 54 Annex 3: Lists of People Interviewed ................................................................................... 57 Annex 4: Interview Guides .................................................................................................. 62 Annex 5: Evaluation Matrix for DEV 200662 .................................................................... 66 Annex 6: Evaluation Site Selection and Methodology Employed ...................................... 71 Annex 7: Social protection functions ................................................................................... 77 Annex 8: Projects included under the PSNP banner (as of May 2016) ............................. 78 Annex 9: PSNP targeting methodology ............................................................................... 80 Annex 10: Revised PSNP Log frame (2015) ........................................................................ 82 Annex 11: National Capacity Index (Resilience) ................................................................. 86 Annex 12: Change in results of community capacity to manage shocks (2014-2015) ....... 88 Annex 13: PSNP Community resilience outputs – 2015 ..................................................... 89 Annex 14: Component 2 – results framework .................................................................... 90 Annex 15: Summary of Component 2 results with latest results (as of May 2016) ............ 91 Annex 16: Bibliography ....................................................................................................... 92 A full list of Acronyms used in the report can be found at the end of the document. v Operational Factsheet OPERATION Kyrgyzstan DEV 200662 – Support for National Productive Safety Nets Type/Number/Title and Long-Term community Resilience 2014-2016 Approval The operation was approved by the WFP’s Executive Board in June 2014 There have been two amendments (BRs) to the initial project document: *BR#1 (May 2015): - revised the landslide transport storage and handling (LTSH) rate as a result of an increase in the price of services and inclusion of new services. The BR represented a one percent increase over the previously approved budget. *BR#2 (November 2015): - increased the number of beneficiaries from 210,000 to 274,000 (135,700 boys/men and 138,300 girls/women) in accordance with the final results Amendments of selection of target areas. Through WFP’s Three Pronged Approach, WFP and the Government have agreed to focus interventions in areas with high concentrations of populations living in poverty, where the food insecurity is high. The increase affected beneficiaries planned under food assistance for assets (FFA) component of the project. Planned C&V recipients remained unchanged; - increased food commodities