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Draft Economic Impact Analysis of Proposed Critical Habitat for Three Endangered Species on Guam and Rota

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Draft Economic Impact Analysis of Proposed Critical Habitat for Three Endangered Species on Guam and Rota DRAFT ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT FOR THREE ENDANGERED SPECIES ON GUAM AND ROTA REVISED DETERMINATION NOVEMBER 2002 DRAFT ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT FOR THREE ENDANGERED SPECIES ON GUAM AND ROTA REVISED DETERMINATION Prepared for: Division of Economics U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 4401 N. Fairfax Drive Arlington, VA 22203 Prepared by: Belt Collins Hawaii Ltd. 2153 North King Street, Suite 200 Honolulu, HI 96819 Under subcontract to: Industrial Economics, Incorporated 2067 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02140 Send comments on the economic analysis to: Field Supervisor Pacific Islands Fish and Wildlife Office U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 300 Ala Moana Boulevard, Room 3-122 P.O. Box 50088 Honolulu, HI 96850-0001 NOVEMBER 2002 ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT FOR TABLE OF CONTENTS THREE ENDANGERED SPECIES ON GUAM AND ROTA Table of Contents FOREWORD PREFACE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CHAPTER 1 LISTED SPECIES AND PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT 1.1 THE LISTED SPECIES ................................................ 1-1 1.2 PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT AREAS................................ 1-3 1.2.1 Primary Constituent Elements ...................................... 1-3 1.2.2 Excluded Areas, Features, and Structures ............................. 1-7 1.2.3 Acreage ....................................................... 1-8 1.2.4 Location and Terrain ............................................. 1-8 1.2.5 Occupied and Unoccupied Areas .................................... 1-9 1.2.6 Land Ownership ................................................ 1-10 1.2.7 Existing Land Management ....................................... 1-10 CHAPTER 2 PHYSICAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC PROFILE OF GUAM AND ROTA 2.1 PHYSICAL DESCRIPTIONS............................................ 2-1 2.1.1 Guam ......................................................... 2-3 2.1.2 Rota .......................................................... 2-4 2.2 SOCIOECONOMIC PROFILE ........................................... 2-5 2.2.1 Guam ......................................................... 2-5 2.2.1.1 Population and Distribution ................................. 2-5 2.2.1.2 Labor Force and Employment ................................ 2-7 2.2.1.3 Personal Income .......................................... 2-7 2.2.1.4 Primary Economic Activity .................................. 2-7 2.2.1.5 Outlook for Growth and Socioeconomic Change ................. 2-8 2.2.2 Rota .......................................................... 2-8 2.2.2.1 Population and Distribution .................................. 2-8 2.2.2.2 Labor Force and Employment ................................ 2-9 2.2.2.3 Personal Income ........................................... 2-9 2.2.2.4 Primary Economic Activity .................................. 2-9 2.2.2.5 Outlook for Growth and Socioeconomic Change ................ 2-10 DRAFT FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY NOVEMBER 2002 i ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT FOR TABLE OF CONTENTS THREE ENDANGERED SPECIES ON GUAM AND ROTA CHAPTER 3 THE ENDANGERED SPECIES ACT 3.1 ROLE OF SPECIES LISTING AND CRITICAL HABITAT DESIGNATION IN PROTECTING THREATENED AND ENDANGERED SPECIES ............ 3-1 3.2 CONSULTATION UNDER SECTION 7 OF THE ACT ....................... 3-1 3.3 TAKING AND OTHER RESTRICTIONS OF THE ACT ...................... 3-3 CHAPTER 4 EXISTING PROTECTIONS 4.1 FEDERAL GOVERNMENT ............................................. 4-1 4.1.1 Sections 9 and 10 of the Endangered Species Act ....................... 4-1 4.1.2 Conservation Partnerships Program, Pacific Islands Fish and Wildlife Office . 4-2 4.1.2.1 Partners for Fish and Wildlife Program ......................... 4-2 4.1.2.2 Pacific Islands Coastal Program .............................. 4-2 4.1.2.3 Other Habitat Restoration Programs ........................... 4-3 4.1.3 Guam National Wildlife Refuges ................................... 4-3 4.1.4 U.S. Navy and U.S. Air Force ...................................... 4-4 4.1.4.1 Integrated Natural Resources Management Plans ................ 4-4 4.1.4.2 Other Protections .......................................... 4-5 4.1.5 Coastal Zone Management Act ..................................... 4-6 4.2 GOVERNMENT OF GUAM ............................................ 4-6 4.2.1 Endangered Species Act of Guam ................................... 4-6 4.2.2 Environmental Assessments and Impact Statements ..................... 4-6 4.2.3 Land Management ............................................... 4-7 4.2.3.1 Public Conservation Lands .................................. 4-7 4.2.3.2 Private Lands and Zoning ................................... 4-9 4.2.3.3 Seashore Development ..................................... 4-11 4.3 CNMI.............................................................. 4-11 4.3.1 Coastal Resources Management Regulations ......................... 4-11 4.3.2 Fish, Game, and Endangered Species Act ............................ 4-13 4.3.3 Conservation Areas ............................................. 4-13 CHAPTER 5 ECONOMIC ANALYSIS APPROACH 5.1 ASSUMPTIONS...................................................... 5-1 5.2 METHODOLOGY .................................................... 5-1 5.2.1 Data Collection ................................................. 5-1 5.2.1.1 Guam ................................................... 5-1 DRAFT FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY NOVEMBER 2002 ii ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT FOR TABLE OF CONTENTS THREE ENDANGERED SPECIES ON GUAM AND ROTA 5.2.1.2 Rota .................................................... 5-3 5.2.2 Data Analysis ................................................... 5-4 5.2.2.1 Primary Constituent Elements ................................ 5-4 5.2.2.2 Federal Involvement ....................................... 5-6 5.2.2.3 Presence of Federally Listed Species ........................... 5-6 5.2.2.4 Identification of Costs and Benefits ............................ 5-6 5.2.2.5 Indirect Costs ............................................. 5-7 CHAPTER 6 ECONOMIC COSTS AND BENEFITS 6.1 SECTION 7 CONSULTATIONS HISTORY AND TYPICAL COSTS ........... 6-1 6.1.1 History of Section 7 Consultations and Project Modifications ............. 6-2 6.1.2 Cost of Typical Section 7 Consultations, Biological Surveys and Project Modifications................................................... 6-3 6.1.2.1 Focus of Consultations ...................................... 6-3 6.1.2.2 Cost of Consultations ....................................... 6-3 6.1.2.3 Cost of Biological Surveys .................................. 6-4 6.1.2.4 Cost of Project Modifications ................................ 6-5 6.2 DIRECT SECTION 7-RELATED COSTS ................................. 6-6 6.2.1 Guam ......................................................... 6-6 6.2.1.1 U.S. Navy ............................................... 6-6 6.2.1.1.1 Existing Activities/Projects Approved in the Marianas Training EIS/Handbook ............................ 6-9 6.2.1.1.2 New Activities/Projects Approved in the Marianas Training EIS/Handbook ........................... 6-11 6.2.1.1.3 Potential Activities/Projects Not Addressed in the Marianas Training EIS/Handbook ................ 6-14 6.2.1.1.4 Potential Activities/Projects Not Covered Above ....... 6-16 6.2.1.2 U.S. Air Force ........................................... 6-19 6.2.1.2.1 Potential Activity/Project—On-Base Water Supply Improvements .................................. 6-20 6.2.1.2.2 Potential Activity/Project—MSA Bunker Upgrade ..... 6-21 6.2.1.2.3 Potential Activity/Project—Brown Treesnake Barrier Around the MSA .......................... 6-21 6.2.1.2.4 Potential Activity/Project—Weapons Storage Building in the MSA ............................. 6-22 6.2.1.2.5 Other Potential Activities/Projects .................. 6-23 6.2.1.3 Government of Guam ..................................... 6-24 6.2.1.3.1 Potential Activity/Project—Former FAA Housing Parcel.................................. 6-25 6.2.1.3.2 Northern Guam Public Land ....................... 6-26 DRAFT FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY NOVEMBER 2002 iii ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT FOR TABLE OF CONTENTS THREE ENDANGERED SPECIES ON GUAM AND ROTA 6.2.1.3.3 Southern Guam Public Land ....................... 6-27 6.2.1.4 Guam Private Land ....................................... 6-28 6.2.1.4.1 Potential Activity/Project—Beach-Oriented Recreation for Tourists Northwest of Unit A .......... 6-28 6.2.1.4.2 Potential Activity/Project—Beach-Oriented Recreation for Tourists Northeast of Unit A........... 6-30 6.2.1.4.3 Potential Activity/Project—Eco-Tourism and Adventure Racing in the Southern Part of Unit B ...... 6-31 6.2.2 Rota ......................................................... 6-33 6.2.2.1 CNMI Public Lands ....................................... 6-33 6.2.2.1.1 Potential Activity/Project—Airport Improvements ...... 6-33 6.2.2.1.2 Potential Activity/Project—Route 100 Improvements .................................. 6-36 6.2.2.1.3 Potential Activity/Project—Marianas Agupa Golf Course .................................... 6-37 6.2.2.1.4 Potential Project/Activity—Solid Waste Landfill ....... 6-38 6.2.2.1.5 Potential Project/Activity—Homesteads Program ...... 6-39 6.2.2.2 Private Lands ............................................ 6-40 6.2.2.2.1 Potential Activity/Project—Activities on Privately Held Agricultural Homesteads...................... 6-40 6.3 INDIRECT COSTS..................................................
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