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Pastoral Community Development Project: Phases I and II ETHIOPIA Pastoral Community Development Project: Phases I and II Report No. 104210-ET MARCH 30, 2016 © 2016 International Bank for Reconstruction This work is a product of the staff of The World RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONS and Development / The World Bank Bank with external contributions. The findings, The material in this work is subject to copyright. 1818 H Street NW interpretations, and conclusions expressed in Because The World Bank encourages Washington DC 20433 this work do not necessarily reflect the views of dissemination of its knowledge, this work may be Telephone: 202-473-1000 The World Bank, its Board of Executive reproduced, in whole or in part, for Internet: www.worldbank.org Directors, or the governments they represent. noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. 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Report No. 104210-ET PROJECT PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT REPORT FEDERAL DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF ETHIOPIA PASTORAL COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT PROJECT PHASE I (COFN-04500, IDAH0380, TF- 52888) PASTORAL COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT PROJECT PHASE II (COFN-C1210, COFN-C1220, IDA-44580, IDA-H3950) March 30, 2016 IEG Sustainable Development Independent Evaluation Group ii Currency Equivalent Currency Unit = Ethiopian Birr USD 1.00 = Br 19 (Jan 2014) 2003 US$1.00 Br 8.55000032 2004 US$1.00 Br 8.69365037 2005 US$1.00 Br 8.72360031 2006 US$1.00 Br 8.79835034 2007 US$1.00 Br 9.20000018 2008 US$1.00 Br 9.92499975 Abbreviations and Acronyms APL Adaptable program loan CAP Community action plan CAS Country assistance strategy CDD Community-driven development CIF Community Investment Fund DPCF Disaster Preparedness and Contingency Fund DPCP Disaster Preparedness and Contingency Plan DPSIP Disaster Preparedness Strategic Investment Plan EWR Early warning and response EWRB Early warning and response bureau EWRD Early warning and response desk EWS Early warning system FAO Food and Agriculture Organization FPCU Federal Project Coordination Unit GDP Gross domestic product GNI Gross national income GTP Growth and Transformation Plan HDI Human Development Index HICE Household, Income, Consumption, and Expenditure (survey) ICR Implementation Completion and Results Report IDA International Development Association IEG Independent Evaluation Group IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development IGA Income-generating activities M&E Monitoring and evaluation MoA Ministry of Agriculture MoFA Ministry of Federal Affairs MST Mobile support team MTR Mid-term review NGO Nongovernmental organization PAD Project appraisal document PASDEP Plan for Accelerated and Sustained Development Program PCDP I Pastoral Community Development Project – Phase I PCDP II Pastoral Community Development Project – Phase II PDO Project development objective PMU Project management unit iii PPAR Project Performance Assessment Report RUSACCO Rural savings and credit cooperative SNNPR Southern Nations, Nationalities and People's Region WDC Woreda Development Committee Glossary Woreda District Kebele A local community consisting of one or more villages Fiscal Year Government: July 8–July 7 Director-General, Independent Evaluation : Ms. Caroline Heider Director, IEG Financial, Private Sector & Sustainable Development : Mr. Marvin Taylor-Dormond Manager, IEG Sustainable Development (IEGSD) : Ms. Midori Makino Task Manager, IEGSD : Ms. Lauren Kelly v Contents Principal Ratings ............................................................................................................... vii Key Staff Responsible...................................................................................................... viii Preface................................................................................................................................. x Executive Summary ........................................................................................................... xi 1. Background and Context................................................................................................. 1 2. The Pastoral Community Development Program ........................................................... 5 Beneficiaries and Targeting ............................................................................................ 6 Financing......................................................................................................................... 6 Implementation Arrangements........................................................................................ 7 3. Pastoral Community Development Project – Phase I ..................................................... 8 Relevance of Project Objectives ..................................................................................... 9 Relevance of Project Design ......................................................................................... 10 Implementation ............................................................................................................. 11 Achievement of Objectives ........................................................................................... 14 Objective (1): Establish effective models of public service delivery and investment .. 17 Objective (2): Establish effective models of disaster management in pastoral areas. .. 22 Efficiency ...................................................................................................................... 24 Outcome ........................................................................................................................ 25 Risk to Development Outcome ..................................................................................... 25 Bank Performance ......................................................................................................... 26 Borrower Performance .................................................................................................. 27 4. Pastoral Community Development Project – Phase II .................................................. 28 Relevance of Project Objectives ................................................................................... 28 Relevance of Project Design ......................................................................................... 28 Implementation ............................................................................................................. 31 Objective (1): Improve the livelihoods of beneficiary communities ............................ 34 Objective (2): Increase the pastoralist communities’ resilience to external shocks ..... 41 Efficiency ...................................................................................................................... 44 Outcome ........................................................................................................................ 45 Risk to Development Outcomes ................................................................................... 46 Bank Performance ......................................................................................................... 48 This report was report was prepared by Lauren Kelly, Task Team Leader, Kendra White and Inder Sud, Consultants, IEG. It was peer and panel reviewed, respectively, by Marjory-Anne-Bromhead and Judy Twigg, Consultants, IEG. Marie Charles and Vibhuti Narang Khanna provided administrative support. vi Borrower Performance .................................................................................................. 48 5. Lessons .......................................................................................................................... 49 Bibliography ..................................................................................................................... 51 Annex A: Basic Data Sheet for Ethiopia Pastoral Community Development Project Phase I ......................................................................................................................................... 53 Annex B: Basic Data Sheet for the Ethiopia Pastoral Community Development Project Phase II.............................................................................................................................. 56 Annex C: Survey Data Sources on Income, Poverty, and Welfare in Ethiopia ................ 59 Annex D: Methodology for the PPAR Fieldwork: Unit of Analysis, Sampling Frame, Scope, and Tools ............................................................................................................... 63 Annex E: Semi-Structured Interview Tool ....................................................................... 66 Annex F: IEG Findings from Community Investment Fund Site Visits .......................... 71 Annex G: List of Persons Met .......................................................................................... 94 Annex H: Borrower Comments ........................................................................................ 97 Boxes Box 1.1: Applying Livelihoods Analysis to Understand the Characteristics of Pastoral
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