0 Astronomical Tide and Typhoon
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19810013173.Pdf
N O T I C E THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN REPRODUCED FROM MICROFICHE. ALTHOUGH IT IS RECOGNIZED THAT CERTAIN PORTIONS ARE ILLEGIBLE, IT IS BEING RELEASED IN THE INTEREST OF MAKING AVAILABLE AS MUCH INFORMATION AS POSSIBLE ^, r7 F- a t ^^ yF { a i lit Technical Memorandum 80596 i zi t Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Characteristics as determined from a Satellite Passive Microwave Radiometer E. B. Rodgers and R. F. Adler Nq A Scf, ^Et1 dtrC'wQre DECEMBER 1979 APR 1991 National Aeronautics and Space Administration Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, Maryland 20771 (NASA—TM-•80596) TOPICAL CYCLONE RAINFALL N81-21703 CHARACTERISTI C S AS DETERMINED FROM A SATELLITE PASSIVE MICBORAVE :RADIOMETER (NAS A) 48 P HC Ana/MF A01 CSCL 04.B UUclaa G 3/47 41970 I. Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Characteristics As Determined From a Satellite Passive Microwave Radiometer Edward B. i odgas and Robert F. Adler Laboratory for Atmospheric Sciences (GLAS) Goddard Space Flight Center National Aeronautics and Space Administration Greenbelt, MD 20771 ABSTRACT Data from the Nimbus-5 Electrically Scanning Microwave Radiometer (ESMR-S) have been used to calculate latent licat release (LHR) and other rainfall parameters for over 70 satellite obser- vations of 21 tropical cyclones during 1973, 1974, and 1975 in the tropical North Pacific Ocean. The results indicate that the ESMR-5 measurements can be useful in determining the rainfall charac- teristics of these storms and appear to be potentially use"ul in monitoring as well as predicting their intensity. The ESMR-5 derived total tropical cyclone rainfall estimates agree favorably with pre- vious estimates for both the disturbance and typhoon stages. -
The St·Ructural Evolution Oftyphoo S
NSF/ NOAA ATM 8418204 ATM 8720488 DOD- NAVY- ONR N00014-87-K-0203 THE ST·RUCTURAL EVOLUTION OFTYPHOO S by Candis L. Weatherford SEP 2 6 1989 Pl.-William M. Gray THE STRUCTURAL EVOLUTION OF TYPHOONS By Candis L. Weatherford Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, CO 80523 September, 1989 Atmospheric Science Paper No. 446 ABSTRACT A three phase life cycle characterizing the structural evolution of typhoons has been derived from aircraft reconnaissance data for tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific. More than 750 aircraft reconnaissance missions at 700 mb into 101 northwest Pacific typhoons are examined. The typical life cycle consists of the fol lowing: phase 1) the entire vortex wind field builds as the cyclone attains maximum intensity; phase 2) central pressure fills and maximum winds decrease in association with expanding cyclone size and strengthening of outer core winds; and phase 3) the wind field of the entire vortex decays. Nearly 700 aircraft radar reports of eyewall diameter are used to augment anal yses of the typhoon's life cycle. Eye characteristics and diameter appear to reflect the ease with which the maximum wind field intensifies. On average, an eye first appears with intensifying cyclones at 980 mb central pressure. Cyclones obtaining an eye at pressures higher than 980 mb are observed to intensify more rapidly while those whose eye initially appears at lower pressures deepen at slower rates and typ ically do not achieve as deep a central pressure. The eye generally contracts with intensification and expands as the cyclone fills, although there are frequent excep tions to this rule due to the variable nature of the eyewall size. -
Significant Data on Major Disasters Worldwide, 1900-Present
DISASTER HISTORY Signi ficant Data on Major Disasters Worldwide, 1900 - Present Prepared for the Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance Agency for International Developnent Washington, D.C. 20523 Labat-Anderson Incorporated Arlington, Virginia 22201 Under Contract AID/PDC-0000-C-00-8153 INTRODUCTION The OFDA Disaster History provides information on major disasters uhich have occurred around the world since 1900. Informtion is mare complete on events since 1964 - the year the Office of Fore8jn Disaster Assistance was created - and includes details on all disasters to nhich the Office responded with assistance. No records are kept on disasters uhich occurred within the United States and its territories.* All OFDA 'declared' disasters are included - i.e., all those in uhich the Chief of the U.S. Diplmtic Mission in an affected country determined that a disaster exfsted uhich warranted U.S. govermnt response. OFDA is charged with responsibility for coordinating all USG foreign disaster relief. Significant anon-declared' disasters are also included in the History based on the following criteria: o Earthquake and volcano disasters are included if tbe mmber of people killed is at least six, or the total nmber uilled and injured is 25 or more, or at least 1,000 people art affect&, or damage is $1 million or more. o mather disasters except draught (flood, storm, cyclone, typhoon, landslide, heat wave, cold wave, etc.) are included if the drof people killed and injured totals at least 50, or 1,000 or mre are homeless or affected, or damage Is at least S1 mi 1l ion. o Drought disasters are included if the nunber affected is substantial. -
(2013) and Typhoon Agnes (1984) in San Pedro Bay Using the Advanced Circulation Model
NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF STORM SURGES OF TYPHOON HAIYAN (2013) AND TYPHOON AGNES (1984) IN SAN PEDRO BAY USING THE ADVANCED CIRCULATION MODEL IMEE BREN O. VILLALBA, ERIC C. CRUZ Institute of Civil Engineering University of the Philippines, Diliman, Quezon City Introduction 19-20 Typhoons passed through the Philippine Area of Responsibility and 8-9 typhoons make landfall annually (Cinco, 2012) Villalba, Imee Bren O., Cruz, Eric C. Introduction In 2013, Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) struck the Visayas Region and caused catastrophic destruction in Visayas, in which a total of 6,300 individuals were reported dead, 28,688 injured and 1,062 are still missing. Out of the total number of deaths, 93% came from Region VIII where most deaths were due to drowning and trauma. Track and Intensities of Typhoon Haiyan Introduction Areas at risk to storm surges were identified but characteristics, behavior, and impact of the natural event were not adequately explained. People were unable to imagine and visualize the impact of disaster such as that wrought by Typhoon Haiyan (NDRRMC, 2015b) Villalba, Imee Bren O., Cruz, Eric C. Introduction San Pedro Bay, located in Leyte San Pedro Bay Gulf Frequency of typhoon passing the area is one typhoon annually Has historical occurrences of storm surges • Typhoon Haiyan 2013 – 4-6 m storm surge in Tacloban • Typhoon Agnes 1984 – 2-3 m storm surge in Basey • Typhoon 1897 – 4m storm surge in Tacloban Shallow bathymetry Villalba, Imee Bren O., Cruz, Eric C. Introduction Objectives of the study This study investigates the storm surge generation in San Pedro bay caused by Typhoon Haiyan (2013) and Typhoon Agnes (1984) using the Advanced Circulation (ADCIRC) model Significance of the Study • to further understand the storm surge generated by Typhoon Haiyan (2013) and Typhoon Agnes (1984) through the use of numerical modelling for disaster prevention management, and preliminary planning and design of coastal structures for disaster mitigation Villalba, Imee Bren O., Cruz, Eric C. -
Estimating Typhoon Haiyan's Wind Speeds Using Windicators
Start Year: 2013 Month: November Basin: Northwestern Pacific Areas affected: Visayas Death Toll: 6300+ Amount of Damages: $2.86 Billion ESTIMATES: JTWC : 315 kph (1-min) JMA and PAGASA: 235 kph (10- min) 2 TACLOBAN STATION iCyclone @ TACLOBAN PAGASA - GUIUAN PAGASA - GUIUAN Winds: 230-250 kph 7:20 am – 959.9 mbar 4:10 am – 190 kph 5:10 am – 910 mbar (Hours before Leyte (S 30° W) Time of Closest Approach: 5:15 am landfall) (Aquino, (Severe winds were Time of Landfall at Guiuan – 4:45 Mata, Valdez, 2013) observed from 7:00 am The station was am to 7:50 am) damaged then. 7:00 AM – 277 kph SAN CARLOS, 7:15 am – 955.6 mbar NEGROS BANTAYAN ISLAND OCCIDENTAL MAASIN, SOUTHERN LEYTE Winds: 280 kph (9:45 am)* Winds: 180 kph Winds: 175 kph *Instrument was damaged ROXAS CITY, CAPIZ at this point AJUY, ILOILO Winds: 208.8 kph Closest Approach: 10:30 Winds: 235 kph am 3 October 12-13, 1912 1897 1984 – Typhoon Agnes 1994 – Typhoon Axel 4 5 Wind Speed Estimation Forensic Analysis Satellite Reconnaissance Ground Surface Estimation Missions Measurements Forensic Structural Analysis WINDICATOR •Coined from the terms “Wind” and “Indicator” •Structural objects of interest whose structural failure may lead to the computation of the wind speeds 6 7 Hydraulic UTM MANUAL: ASTM A370-21419 ULTIMATE STRENGTHS: #1 – 473.71 MPa #2 – 389.29 MPa MATERIAL: A36 steel #10 #09 #04 #08 8 LOGARITHMIC WIND PROFILE: EXTERNAL PRESSURE INTERNAL STRESS DISTRIBUTION Harper et.al (2010): Values DISTRIBUTION von Mises stresses for z0 and Csd 9 Harper, B., Kepert, J. -
Coupling Hydrodynamic Models with GIS for Storm Surge Simulation: Application to the Yangtze Estuary and the Hangzhou Bay, China
Front. Earth Sci. 2012, 6(3): 261–275 DOI 10.1007/s11707-012-0304-4 RESEARCH ARTICLE Coupling hydrodynamic models with GIS for storm surge simulation: application to the Yangtze Estuary and the Hangzhou Bay, China Liang WANG1, Xiaodong ZHAO2, Yongming SHEN (✉)1 1 State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116023, China 2 China-Japan Research Center for Geo-environmental Science, Pioneer Park of Academician, Dalian University, Dalian 116622, China © Higher Education Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2012 Abstract Storm surge is one of the most serious oceanic Keywords storm surge, Finite-Volume Coastal Ocean disasters. Accurate and timely numerical prediction is one Model (FVCOM), temporal geographic information system of the primary measures for disaster control. Traditional (GIS), Yangtze Estuary and Hangzhou Bay, Typhoon storm surge models lack of accuracy and time effects. To Agnes overcome the disadvantages, in this paper, an analytical cyclone model was first added into the Finite-Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM) consisting of high 1 Introduction resolution, flooding and drying capabilities for 3D storm surge modeling. Then, we integrated MarineTools Pro into Storm surge is an abnormal rise of sea surface caused by a geographic information system (GIS) to supplement the atmospheric forces, including wind stress and atmospheric storm surge model. This provided end users with a friendly pressure associated with extra-tropical and tropical modeling platform and easy access to geographically cyclones (Flather, 2001). It has a great impact on coastal referenced data that was required for the model input and regions and may cause severe damage to coastal structures output. -
Relationships Between Tropical Cyclone Deep Convection and the Radial Extent of Damaging Winds
(s/ ug~:;; AFGL N00014-87-K~0203 IC-4 /1 /W· Lf~ p-r<c t+ri!L RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN TROPICAL CYCLONE DEEP CONVECTION AND THE RADIAL EXTENT OF DAMAGING WINDS by Daniel-N. Shoemaker LIBRARIES NOV 17 1989 COLORAOO STATE UNIVERSITY P.l.- William M. Gray RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN TROPICAL CYCLONE DEEP CONVECTION AND THE RADIAL EXTENT OF DAMAGING WINDS By Daniel N. Shoemaker Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, CO 80523 October, 1989 Atmospheric Science Paper No. 457 ABSTRACT The radial extent of damaging winds in tropical cyclones is an important problem for forecasters. vVith the loss of aircraft reconnaissance data in the NW Pacific, techniques are needed for forecasting these winds using satellite data. This study examines relationships between deep convective clouds (convection) and the radial extent of strong winds in tropical cyclones. Techniques are tested fpr determining the extent of these damaging winds using infrared data from geostationary satellites. Pixel counts at various infrared temperature thresholds and storm radii are compared with aircraft wind measurements to determine correlations between convection and the radial extent of damaging winds. Twenty-four hour running mean pixel counts for infrared cloud temperatures colder than -2.5°C in the 444 km (4° of latitude) radius area show an apparent correlation with both the mean radial extent and time variation of 15ms-1 winds (R15 ). A rapid decrease of deep convection in the 222-444 km (2-4°) band offers a signal as to when maximum R15 will occur. An empirical rate of decrease of R15 from its n1aximun1 value is shown to be present. -
UNESCO-JASTIP Joint Symposium on Intra-Regional Water Security and Disaster Management
UNESCO-JASTIP Joint Symposium on Intra-Regional Water Security and Disaster Management The 3rd Symposium on JASTIP Disaster Prevention International Cooperation Research (JASTIP-WP4 Symposium) 15 & 16 November 2017, SEDA Hotel, Vertis North, Quezon City, Philippines Draft Programme Day 1 November 15 2017 Venue: Quezon Hall, SEDA Hotel 8:00 – 8:30 am Registration 8:30 – 10:20 Opening Ceremony National Anthem ANIMA Choir Welcome Addresses Dr. Guillermo Tabios III Chairperson, UNESCO-IHP RSC Chair, Local Organizing Committee, UNESCO- JASTIP Joint Symposium Prof. Kaoru Takara Coordinator, JASTIP-WP4 Symposium Former Chairperson, UNESCO-IHP RSC Dr. Hans Dencker Thulstrup Senior Program Specialist Water and Environmental Sciences UNESCO Office – Jakarta Prof Yoshinori Honkura Professor Emeritus of the Tokyo Institute of Technology), representative of Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST). Message Ambassador of Japan (tbc) Special Commemorative Addresses on the Occasion of the 25th Anniversary of IHP Regional Steering Committee Meeting for South East Asia and the Pacific Prof Kuniyoshi Takeuchi Professor Emeritus, Yamanashi University Including message from Prof Yutaka Takahashi Professor Emeritus, University of Tokyo Prof Soontak Lee Distinguished Professor, Yeungnam University, Daegu, Republic of Korea Musical Number ANIMA Choir Opening of Joint Symposium Secretary General, Philippine National Lila Ramos Shahani Commission for UNESCO (tbc) 10:20 - 10:30 Group Photo & coffee Break All Participants and Guests 10:30 - 12:30 1st Technical -
Tropical Cyclogenesis in the Western North Pacific
NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 61 TROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC Raymond M. Zehr RAMM Branch Colorado State University Fort Collins, CO Washington, D.C. July 1992 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Barbara H. Franklin, Secretary National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration John A. Knauss, Under Secretary National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service Thomas N. Pyke, Jr. , Assistant Administrator ABSTRACT Tropical cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific is typically characterized by an early convective maximum which precedes the initial appearance of a tropical depression. The convection is quantified from cloud areas specified by cold infrared temperature thresh olds with 3-hourly GMS satellite data. It is hypothesized that this convective maximum represents an important process associated with tropical cyclogenesis and is a response to large-scale (synoptic-scale) forcing. A conceptual model is described in which the early convective maximum is viewed as a necessary but not sufficient condition for tropical cy clone formation. An important change in the wind field takes place in response to the convective maximum. A weak mesoscale vortex is initiated which is located within the larger broad-scale cyclonic circulation of a pre-existing tropical disturbance. However, the first substantial decrease in central sea-level pressure and resultant increase in surface wind speed occur at a later stage of tropical cyclogenesis. This early convective maximum and associated mesoscale vortex formation precede first designation as a tropical storm by an average period of about 3 days. The 850 mb and 200 mb objective analyses of conventional data are used to classify different synoptic-scale patterns associated with the formation of fifty individual tropical storms and typhoons during 1983-1984. -
Hkmets Bulletin, Volume 6, Number 2, 1996
HONG KONG METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY u--e In VOLUME 6, UMBER 2, 1996 ISSN: 1024-4468 ISSN 1024-4468 ABOUT THE COVER The cover picture shows a DMSP F12 OLS-VIS image of Typhoon Faye (9504) acquired at 0129 UTC on 22 July, 1995 when the storm was traversing north-northeast through the East China Sea to the west of Okinawa in the Ryukyu Islands. Typhoon Faye was the first of 11 tropical cyclones to reach typhoon strength during 1995 and in this image shows a well-developed circulation and a clearly defined "eye". In this issue a paper by Bill Kyle, the fourth in a series, provides a detailed summary of the 1995 western North Pacific Ocean tropical cyclone season with information and tracks for each of the 35 tropical cyclonic systems that formed in the area during the year. The HONG KONG METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY BULLETIN is the official organ of the Society, devoted to articles, EDITOR-in-CHIEF EDITORIAL BOARD editorials, news and views, activities and announcements of the Society. BillKyle Johnny CL. Chan Members are encouraged to send any Y.K. Chan articles, media items or information for W:L. Chang publication in the BULLETIN. For Edwin S. T. Lst guidance see the "INFORMATION FOR CONTRIBUTORS" in the inside back cover. SUBSCRIPTION RATES (Two issues per volume) Advertisements for products and/or services of interest to members of the Society are accepted for publication in the BULLETIN. Institutional rate: HK$ 300 per volume For information on formats and rates HK$ 150 per volume please contact the Society secretary at the Individual rate: address opposite. -
The Economic Impact of Natural Disasters in the Philippines
®di Overseas Development Institute THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF NATURAL DISASTERS IN THE PHILIPPINES ®di Library Overseas Development Institute 3 O.JUN 97 P rtland House / TOR \ Stag Place REFERENCE 1 nndnn CU/ 1 c enn \ OMI V 1 1 Td 0171 393 1600 / Results of ODI research presented in preliminary form for discussion and critical comment ODI Working Papers 37: Judging Success: Evaluating NGO Income-Generating Projects, Roger Riddell, 1990, £3.50, ISBN 0 85003 133 8 54: Environmental Change and Dryland Management in Machakos District, Kenya: Population Profile, Mary Tiffen, 1991, £4.00, ISBN 0 85003 164 8 55: Environmental Change and Dryland Management in Machakos District, Kenya: Production Profile, edited by Mary Tiffen, 1991, £4.00, ISBN 0 85003 166 4 56: Environmental Change and Dryland Management in Machakos District, Kenya: Conservation Profile, F.N. Gichuki, 1991, £4.00, ISBN 0 85003 167 2 57: Environmental Change and Dryland Management in Machakos District, Kenya: Technological Change, edited by Michael Mortimore, 1992, £4.00, ISBN 0 85003 174 5 58: Environmental Change and Dryland Management in Machakos District, Kenya: Land Use Profile, R.S. Rostom and Michael Mortimore, 1992, £4.00, ISBN 0 85003 175 3 61: The Informal Financial Sector: How Does It Operate and Who Are the Customers? J.J. Thomas, 1992, £4.00, ISBN 0 85003 178 8 64: IMF Lending: The Analytical Issues, Graham Bird, 1992, £4.00 ISBN 0 85003 182 6 65: The Seed Sector in Developing Countries: A Framework for Performance Analysis, Elizabeth Cromwell, Eshern Friis-Hansen and -
Hwind Citations
HWIND HWind is a distributed, hurricane wind analysis system that ingests real-time tropical cyclone observations measured by land-, sea-, space-, and air-borne platforms into an object relational database, adjusts them to a common framework, and then graphically displays the data relative to the storm with interactive tools so scientists can quality control, objectively analyze, and visualize the information. HWind Real-Time Analysis is created by compiling all available observations relative to the storm center. These analyses are designed to improve understanding of the extent and strength of the tropical cyclone winds and to objectively assess storm intensity. The same methodology is applied in the development of the HWind Enhanced Archive. HWind is a result of several peer-reviewed publications that developed procedures for standardizing and analyzing hurricane wind measurements. The foundational papers upon which HWind is based include case studies on hurricanes Andrew (1992), Hugo (1989), and Alicia (1983), which focused on refining the storm relative analysis system and standardization of observations. Papers in the late 1990s documented the real-time system and product development. Our most recent work has been to develop new techniques to take advantage of remote sensing data and to improve the use of wind fields for storm surge and wave modeling. We continue to be active in research and to incorporate the latest measurement systems to deliver a high quality wind hazard data in real-time and immediately following a storm. To learn more about these methods and those who have used HWind data, please refer to these papers below. Citations The following is a list of peer-reviewed publications citing HWind products.