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Blood and Ballots the Effect of Violence on Voting Behavior in Iraq
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Göteborgs universitets publikationer - e-publicering och e-arkiv DEPTARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE BLOOD AND BALLOTS THE EFFECT OF VIOLENCE ON VOTING BEHAVIOR IN IRAQ Amer Naji Master’s Thesis: 30 higher education credits Programme: Master’s Programme in Political Science Date: Spring 2016 Supervisor: Andreas Bågenholm Words: 14391 Abstract Iraq is a very diverse country, both ethnically and religiously, and its political system is characterized by severe polarization along ethno-sectarian loyalties. Since 2003, the country suffered from persistent indiscriminating terrorism and communal violence. Previous literature has rarely connected violence to election in Iraq. I argue that violence is responsible for the increases of within group cohesion and distrust towards people from other groups, resulting in politicization of the ethno-sectarian identities i.e. making ethno-sectarian parties more preferable than secular ones. This study is based on a unique dataset that includes civil terror casualties one year before election, the results of the four general elections of January 30th, and December 15th, 2005, March 7th, 2010 and April 30th, 2014 as well as demographic and socioeconomic indicators on the provincial level. Employing panel data analysis, the results show that Iraqi people are sensitive to violence and it has a very negative effect on vote share of secular parties. Also, terrorism has different degrees of effect on different groups. The Sunni Arabs are the most sensitive group. They change their electoral preference in response to the level of violence. 2 Acknowledgement I would first like to thank my advisor Dr. -
Political Marketing in Post-Conflict Elections: the Case of Iraq
Journal of Political Marketing ISSN: 1537-7857 (Print) 1537-7865 (Online) Journal homepage: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/wplm20 Political Marketing in Post-Conflict Elections: The Case of Iraq Adam Harmes To cite this article: Adam Harmes (2016): Political Marketing in Post-Conflict Elections: The Case of Iraq, Journal of Political Marketing, DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2016.1193834 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15377857.2016.1193834 Accepted author version posted online: 03 Jun 2016. Published online: 03 Jun 2016. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 13 View related articles View Crossmark data Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=wplm20 Download by: [University of Western Ontario] Date: 24 June 2016, At: 07:21 Political Marketing in Post-conflict Elections: The Case of Iraq Adam Harmes Address correspondence to Adam Harmes, Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Western Ontario, 4155 Social Sciences Building, London, ON N6A 5C2, Canada. 416-346-4770. E-mail: [email protected] Abstract This article examines political marketing in post-conflict elections through an illustrative case study of post-Saddam Iraq. It does so through articles and media reports as well as interviews and participant-observation research conducted in Iraq during the 2014 national and provincial elections. The article argues that, despite having a number of the comparative and ethnic conflict country characteristics that work against a market oriented approach, Iraqi political parties have become increasingly professionalized and, to a lesser extent, willing to change their product in response to market research. -
Party Total Votes Percentage Total Seats Party Leader State of Law
Total Total Party Percentage Party leader votes seats State of Law Coalition 1,890,567 26.21% 102 Nouri al-Maliki Citizens Alliance 943,646 13.08% 66 Ammar al-Hakim Liberal Coalition 653,763 9.06% 60 Muqtada al-Sadr Muttahidoon 518,968 7.19% 35 Atheel al-Nujaifi Arabian Al Iraqia 18 Saleh al-Mutlaq Kurdistan List 255,362 3.54% 17 Barham Salih Al Iraqia National and United 298,198 4.13% 16 Ayad Allawi Coalition Loyalty to Najaf 118,310 1.64% 9 Adnan al-Zurufi Islamic Dawa Party – Iraq Hashim Al- 7 Organisation Mosawy Iraqi People's Coalition 8 Hope of Rafidain 3 Iraq's Benevolence and Generosity 65,634 0.91% 3 Dr Rushdi Said List Hamid Majid Iraqi Communist Party 2 Mousa Total Total Party Percentage Party leader votes seats National White Bloc 44,765 0.62% 2 Hassan Alawi Other Parties 99 - Total 7,214,146 100% 447 - Source: ISW, Gulf Analysis, IHEC, Musings on Iraq Al Anbar Governorate Total Party Percentage Seats Party leader votes Muttahidoon 115,605 27.89% 8 Osama al-Nujaifi Aabiroun Coalition 62,581 15.10% 5 Qasim Al-Fahdawi Arabian Al Iraqia 57,332 13.83% 4 Saleh al-Mutlaq Al Iraqia National and United 39,500 9.53% 3 Ayad Allawi Coalition Al Anbar United Coalition 35,214 8.49% 3 Kamil al-Dulaymi National Cooperation Coalition 32,718 7.89% 2 Ali Farhan Sheikh Mohamad Daham Al People’s Will Project 25,210 6.08% 2 Farhan Total Party Percentage Seats Party leader votes Iraq’s Affluents 10,785 2.60% 1 Sheikh Jamal Al Jadaan Amiroun Coalition 9,220 2.22% 1 Ahmad Raja Sheikh Majed Ali Al Valiants of Iraq Bloc 8,932 2.15% 1 Sulayman Other -
The Impact of Multiple Electoral Processes in the Evolution of the Conduct Iraqi Voters After 2003
Journal of US-China Public Administration, March 2017, Vol. 14, No. 3, 160-182 doi: 10.17265/1548-6591/2017.03.004 D DAVID PUBLISHING The Impact of Multiple Electoral Processes in the Evolution of the Conduct Iraqi Voters After 2003 Khamees Hezam Wali University of Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq Riad Ghazi Al-Badran The Independent Higher Commission for Elections in Iraq, Najaf, Iraq The topic area of the research deals with election in Iraq and new electoral system which is considered as new features of Iraqi political system based on participation and multiparty system; the researchers argued that the process of elections has not provided an opportunity for concrete progress on the path of democracy; it has not made any significant contribution to the process of political change, and it has provided the opportunity for researchers and analysts to rationalize mechanism of authority in Iraq after 2003. The researchers argued the Iraqi electoral behavior in the federal parliamentary elections since 2005 to 2014, and there is no need to keep track of the voting behavior by voters, but it needs to check the basis of the appellation of the electoral lists and make them be based on national principles, rather than sectarian and ethnic principles. The voting behavior of the Iraqi voters is often influenced by the social composition of the community, and the researchers argued that the continuation of the electoral process periodically will contribute significantly to the changing in their locally based voting behavior to nationally based voting behavior. Keywords: elections, behavior, electoral behavior, parties, sharing The parliamentary elections reflect the evolution of the political system, regardless of whether it is real or evolution formality. -
Iraq | Freedom House
3/26/2020 Iraq | Freedom House FREEDOM IN THE WORLD 2017 Iraq 27 NOT FREE /100 Political Rights 12 /40 Civil Liberties 15 /60 LAST YEAR'S SCORE & STATUS /100 Global freedom statuses are calculated on a weighted scale. See the methodology. https://freedomhouse.org/country/iraq/freedom-world/2017 1/13 3/26/2020 Iraq | Freedom House Overview Iraq holds regular, competitive elections, and the country’s various partisan, religious, and ethnic groups enjoy some representation in the political system. However, democratic governance is seriously impeded in practice by problems including corruption, severe insecurity, and the influence of foreign powers. Iraqis living in areas controlled by the Islamic State (IS) militant group exercise virtually no political or personal freedoms. Key Developments in 2016 The Iraqi government regained significant territory from IS in both Anbar and Nineveh Provinces, though a number of areas—including large parts of Mosul— remained under IS control at year’s end. Many Sunni Arabs were displaced by the battles against IS, and some also faced abuse by their liberators, particularly the Shiite militias fighting alongside Iraqi government forces. The prime minister’s attempt in February to form a technocratic cabinet— which threatened the allocation of positions based on ethno-sectarian and partisan considerations—touched off months of protests and political infighting, with some factions holding an illegal rump parliamentary session in April in a bid to replace the speaker and other key officials. Opposition lawmakers led by former prime minister Nouri al-Maliki succeeded in removing the ministers of defense and finance in August and September, citing corruption allegations, and the vital posts remained vacant at year’s end. -
Iraq Page 1 of 8
Iraq Page 1 of 8 Published on Freedom House (https://freedomhouse.org) Home > Iraq Iraq Country: Iraq Year: 2016 Freedom Status: Not Free Political Rights: 5 Civil Liberties: 6 Aggregate Score: 27 Freedom Rating: 5.5 Overview: The Iraqi security forces and their allies in the fight against the Islamic State (IS) militant group made hard-won progress in 2015. IS lost control of significant towns and cities such as Tikrit, Sinjar, and Ramadi, the last of which had fallen to the militants in May but was mostly retaken by late December. However, IS retained control of important areas, including Mosul, Iraq’s second-largest city, and stepped up terrorist attacks in the capital and other government-held population centers. Civilians bore the brunt of the violence, targeted by both IS and some progovernment forces, including Shiite militias. The election of Haidar al-Abadi as prime minister in 2014 seemed to offer Iraq an opportunity to heal sectarian divisions that were exacerbated by his predecessor, Nouri al- Maliki. Yet in 2015, Iraq appeared to inch closer to dissolution along ethno-sectarian lines. The autonomous Kurdish region in the north continued to lobby the international community to accept the idea of formal independence. The Shiite majority in the south openly discussed secession, a previously taboo topic. And while Sunni leaders pressed for fair inclusion or Sunni regional autonomy within a united Iraq, the pattern of IS occupation raised the possibility of an independent Sunni Arab state in parts of Iraq and Syria. These pressures increased the urgency of restoring government control over Iraqi territory without further alienating the Sunni population. -
Switching Sides: Political Power, Alignment, and Alliances in Post-Saddam Iraq
SWITCHING SIDES: POLITICAL POWER, ALIGNMENT, AND ALLIANCES IN POST-SADDAM IRAQ by Diane L. Maye A Dissertation Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of George Mason University in Partial Fulfillment of The Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Political Science Committee: _________________________________________ Mark N. Katz, Chair _________________________________________ Colin Dueck _________________________________________ T. Aric Thrall _________________________________________ Ming Wan, Program Director _________________________________________ Mark J. Rozell, Dean Date: ____________________________________ Fall Semester 2015 George Mason University Fairfax, VA Switching Sides: Political Power, Alignment, and Alliances in post-Saddam Iraq A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy at George Mason University. by Diane L. Maye Master of Arts Naval Postgraduate School, 2006 Bachelor of Science United States Air Force Academy, 2001 Director: Mark N. Katz, Professor School of Policy, Government, and International Affairs Fall Semester 2015 George Mason University Fairfax, VA Copyright 2015 Diane L. Maye All Rights Reserved ii DEDICATION This is dedicated to my wonderful husband, without whose love and support this dissertation would have not been completed. iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to acknowledge those who assisted me throughout my doctoral studies over the years. I would first like to acknowledge my chairman, Dr. Mark N. Katz, for agreeing to serve as my advisor and mentor during this process. Additionally, I would like to thank Dr. Colin Dueck, and Dr. T. Aric Thrall for serving as committee members. A very special thanks to my dear friend Sa’ad Ghaffoori for our countless meetings, emails, and conversations. I would also like to thank Governor Ahmed al Dulaymi, Thamir Hamdani, Waleed Mashhadani, Colonel Dale Kuehl, Colonel William Wyman, Colonel Richard Welch, Colonel Simon Gardner, as well as, Michael Pregent, Michael Sweeney, Paul D. -
Iraq's 2018 Government Formation
Middle East Centre IRAQ’S 2018 GOVERNMENT FORMATION UNPACKING THE FRICTION BETWEEN REFORM AND THE STATUS QUO RENAD MANSOUR LSE Middle East Centre Report | February 2019 About the Middle East Centre The Middle East Centre builds on LSE’s long engagement with the Middle East and provides a central hub for the wide range of research on the region carried out at LSE. The Middle East Centre aims to enhance understanding and develop rigorous research on the societies, economies, polities and international relations of the region. The Centre promotes both special- ised knowledge and public understanding of this crucial area, and has outstanding strengths in interdisciplinary research and in regional expertise. As one of the world’s leading social science institutions, LSE comprises departments covering all branches of the social sciences. The Middle East Centre harnesses this expertise to promote innova- tive research and training on the region. About the Institute of Regional and International Studies The Institute of Regional and International Studies (IRIS) is an independent policy research centre based at the American University of Iraq, Sulaimani (AUIS). Through multidisciplinary research, strategic partnerships, a fellowship programme and open dialogue events among experts and influential public leaders, IRIS examines the most complex issues facing the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, Iraq and the Middle East across four key areas: peace and security; economic reform and development; gover- nance and democracy; and social relations and civil society. Middle East Centre Iraq’s 2018 Government Formation: Unpacking the Friction between Reform and the Status Quo Renad Mansour LSE Middle East Centre Report February 2019 About the Author Renad Mansour is Research Fellow in the Middle East and North Africa Programme at Chatham House, and at the Institute for Regional and International Studies (IRIS), American University of Iraq, Sulaimani (AUIS). -
El Triunfo Del Movimiento Sadrista En Las Elecciones Parlamentarias En Iraq
EL TRIUNFO DEL MOVIMIENTO SADRISTA EN LAS ELECCIONES PARLAMENTARIAS EN IRAQ: EL NACIONALISMO FRENTE AL DESCRÉDITO DE LA POLÍTICA TRADICIONAL 20 DE JUNIO DE 2018 MONITOR ELECTORAL Imagen: Sabah Arar—AFP / Getty Images. ANÁLISIS E INVESTIGACIÓN El pasado 12 de mayo se llevaron a cabo elecciones parlamentarias en Iraq, por primera vez luego de la lucha contra el grupo terrorista autodenominado, Estado Islámico. Los resultados favorecieron a la Coalición Sairoon, conformada por el Movimiento Sadrista, liderado por el clérigo chiita, Muqtada al- Sadr, con el Partido Comunista Iraquí. La Coalición Sairoom ganó 54 de 329 asientos en el Parlamento iraquí. Esta Coalición ha tomado como sus principales propuestas la lucha contra la corrupción, el sectarismo y la intervención extranjera en el país, principalmente de Estados Unidos e Irán. La Coalición Sairoom promueve una política nacionalista en contra de la política tradicional, calificada como sectaria y corrupta. A pesar de la baja participación electoral, es evidente el apoyo a favor de un cambio en el gobierno en contra de los partidos chiitas tradicionales. The victory of the Sadrist Movement in the parliamentary elections in Iraq: the nationalism in front the discrediting of traditional policy On May 12th, Iraq celebrated their first parliamentary elections, after the long fight against the terrorist group called as Islamic State. The results obtained show that the Sairoon Alliance, an alliance between the Sadrist Movement of the Shia leader Muqtada al-Sadr and Iraq's Communist Party, won 54 of 329 seats in parliament. The Sairoon Alliance has protested corruption and sectarianism, also against foreign intervention by the United States and Iran in Iraq. -
LET4CAP Law Enforcement Training for Capacity Building IRAQ
Co-funded by the Internal Security Fund of the European Union LET4CAP Law Enforcement Training for Capacity Building IRAQ Downloadable Country Booklet DL. 2.5 (Version 1.2) 1 Dissemination level: PU Let4Cap Grant Contract no.: HOME/ 2015/ISFP/AG/LETX/8753 Start date: 01/11/2016 Duration: 33 months Dissemination Level PU: Public X PP: Restricted to other programme participants (including the Commission) RE: Restricted to a group specified by the consortium (including the Commission) Revision history Rev. Date Author Notes 1.0 18/05/2018 Ce.S.I. Overall structure and first draft 1.1 25/06/2018 Ce.S.I. Second draft 1.2 30/11/2018 Ce.S.I. Final version LET4CAP_WorkpackageNumber 2 Deliverable_2.5 VER WorkpackageNumber 2 Deliverable Deliverable 2.5 Downloadable country booklets VER 1.2 2 IRAQ Country Information Package 3 This Country Information Package has been prepared by Lorenzo Marinone Ce.S.I. – Centre for International Studies Within the framework of LET4CAP and with the financial support to the Internal Security Fund of the EU LET4CAP aims to contribute to more consistent and efficient assistance in law enforcement capacity building to third countries. The Project consists in the design and provision of training interventions drawn on the experience of the partners and fine-tuned after a piloting and consolidation phase. © 2018 by LET4CAP…. All rights reserved. 4 Table of contents 1. Country Profile 1.1 Country in Brief 1.2 Modern and Contemporary History of Iraq 1.3 Geography 1.4 Territorial and Administrative Units 1.5 Population 1.6 Ethnic Groups, Languages, Religion 1.7 Health 1.8 Education and Literacy 1.9 Country Economy 2. -
Iraq Votes 2018: Election Mobilization Strategies
1 This paper is dedicated to Dr. Faleh Abdul Jabar, whose idea it was to write this piece, and whose instruction and legacy allowed and inspired us to continue after his death. His contributions, advice, and direction were greatly missed during the research and writing process. 2 The Institute of Regional and International Studies (IRIS) is an independent policy research center based in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI), at the American University of Iraq, Sulaimani (AUIS). Through multidisciplinary research, strategic partnerships, a fellowship program, and open dialogue events among experts and influential public leaders, IRIS examines the most complex issues facing the KRI, Iraq and the Middle East. The Institute's main focus areas include but are not limited to governance; energy and the economy; IDP and refugee issues; post-ISIS Iraq; minority politics; and gender. This paper was produced by IRIS Staff, Research Fellows and Research Assistants. Specific contributors are noted on each section. Cover photos courtesy of Ali Debis and Christine van den Toorn. IRIS is extremely grateful to Canvas, a digital marketing company with offices in Sulaimani and Erbil composed of AUIS graduates and undergraduates, that formatted and designed this report. For more on Canvas please visit their website www.canvas.krd This material has been funded by UK aid from the UK government; Produced in partnership with the Department for International Development (DFID), the LSE Middle East Centre and the Conflict Research Programme, however, the views expressed do not necessarily reflect the UK government’s official policies. If you would like more information on CRP research on Iraq, please contact Sandra Sfeir ([email protected]). -
Impact of Political Instability on the Reality of Iraqi Political Parties: a Study According to the Results of the 2018 Elections
ISSN 2411-9563 (Print) European Journal of Social Science August 2018 ISSN 2312-8429 (Online) Education and Research Vol 5 No 2 DOI: 10.2478/ejser-2018-0043 Open Access. © 2018 Hamsa Kahtan Khalaf. This is an open access article licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 License Impact of Political Instability on the Reality of Iraqi Political Parties: A Study According to the Results of the 2018 Elections Hamsa Kahtan Khalaf Assist. Prof. Dr. , University of Baghdad, College of political sciences Abstract The Iraqi political parties had been affected since 2003 by the political pivotal transformations which happened according to the aftermaths of democratic elections , especially under the disruptions of American’s invasion that led in cooperation with its allies in April 2003 .So the social and political situations became ruling according to the new aspects of practicing the new stage of authority as compromise settlements and quota and ethno - sectarian distribution to be as following as compatible with theory of practicing the authority responsibilities(Power sharing ) as what happened now , besides to that all political democracy scene has greatly been distorted because of the instability penetrated within rebuilding the state and its institutions from the beginning as planned by an active powerful political forces . Many functions that are characterized by competitions among the political parties had changed the concepts of exercising democracy in a real way to be done an effective shape ,because of the political and social actors had different role ,which were being a reflection of another reality within the democracy’s process .So that all the situations had been complicated too much owing to the factors of political instability that influenced negatively on the framework of the state , especially the impacts of economic and social factors as of poverty, stagnation , ignorance and disease and another underdevelopment features which predominated over political and social retrogression levels .