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Folder Title: Working Paper - Agriculture and Forestry - Shandong Agricultural Development Project - China - June 7, 1988
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Dates: 6/7/1988
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DECLASSIFIED WBG Archives Report No.: 61/88 CP-CPR 20 WP 2 Date: 7 June 1988 ______
• CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPME AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY
WORKING PAPER
FAD/World Bank Cooperative Programme Investment Centre
FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS ROME Working Paper 2
CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY TABLE OF CONTENTS
A. Introduction 1 B. Background 1 - Land Use and Agricultural Production 2 - Input Supplies 4 C. Rationale 5 D. Project Proposals 7 - Tuhai Irrigation: 7 - Farm Income 9 - Economic Returns 9 - Import of Fertilizers 10 - Strengthening Seed Processing Centres 12 - Date Interplanting 13 - Date Processing 15 Fast Growing Forest Trees 16 Other Observations 17 MAP 1: Location of Project Sites TABLES 1. Population and Land Use 2. Tuhai Irrigation - Cropping Patterns and Cropped Area 3. Tuhai Irrigation - Crop Yields and Production at Full Development 4. Supply and Demand of Improved Seeds in Project Counties (Present Situation) 5. Estimated Shortage of Fertilizers ('000 tons) Without Project 6. Agriculture and Forestry Projects - Summary 7. Fertilizer Distribution and Application, Benefits 8. Supply and Demand of Improved Seeds in Project Counties (Future with Project) 9. Production Increase and Coverage with Project at Full Development 10. Summary: Area and Production - Participants and Farm Size 11. Sub-Project - Date Interplanting 12. Production of Date Products 13. Establishment of Fast Growing Trees, Area, Production and Investment Costs 14. Tu hai Irrigation - Crop Budget at Full Development 15. Crop Budget - Date Interplanting 16. Crop Budget - Fast Growing Trees 17. Border Prices for Principal Products and Inputs 18. Economic Analysis - Tuhai Irrigation 19. Financial Analysis - Small Dates 20. Financial Analysis - Large Dates APPENDIX 1: Cost Tables Working Paper 2 Page 1
CHINA SHANOONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY
A. Introduction
1. The project's agricultural and forestry sub-components include agricultural development in the Tuhai irrigation areas,· importation and distribution of diammoniu1m phosphate fertilizers, strengthening seed processing centres, Chinese date interplanting, date processing and establishment of fast growing forest trees. Draft fea~ibility stµdies of these have been prepared by the engineering and agricultural staff in the counties with help from provincial agencies such as the Water Conservancy Bureau for the Tuhai irrigation sub-component, the Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture for fertilizers and seeds and the Bureau of Forestry for dates and fast growing trees. The provincial Government's strategy for the project is that funds should be more or less equally distributed amongst counties. This approach appears reasonable since most counties have similar needs for development although priorities vary, and hence some flexibility in the ultimate allocationof rsources will be required. 2. . The feasibility reports on the agriculture and forestry sub components were made availalble only during the latter part of the mission's visit. Although there w~s ·a considerable amount of data to support proposal in the reports prepared by each of the counties, they were inadequate for detailed preparation and there were significant but not readily explicable differences in the assumptilons made on the inputs and outputs associated with essentially similar activities. Much of the information used in this Working Paper was therefore prepared by the county staff during the mission's visit and still falls short of requirements for appraisal. County staff have been asked to provide additional information for the pre appraisal mission. 3. Under these cir:umstances, the mission concentrated its efforts pricipally on seeking to S\Jmmarise the proposals in a coherent manner and to assess their viability. It was not possible to make a substantive input into the choice of activities oir to influence the proposals on this scale. (See Issues below).
B. Background
4. General. Twelve counties have made agricultural and forestry development proposals, namely: Xinxian, Yanggu, Oonge, Chiping and Gaotang in Liaocheng Prefecture; Jiyang and Shanghe in Oezhou Prefecture and Huimen, Yangxin, Wudi, Zhanhua, and Binzhou in Huimen Prefecture. The project areas in the counties have a population of about 5.9 million of which approximately 93% are dependent on agriculture for a living. The average size of land cultivated pier farm family is about 0.24 ha. The gross area is 1.4 million ha, of which about 900,000 ha are arable (para.7). Working Paper 2 Page 2
5. Climate. In general the climate is suitable for crop production although yields of annual crops are adversely affected by seasonal flooding, drought and occasional frost. The average annual rainfall is 580 mm of which about 66% falls in summe~r (June, July and August), 18% in the autumn • (September to November), 3% in winter (December to February) and 13% in the spring (March-May). Due to poor drainage approximately 71,000 ha of cultivable land are normally affected by waterlogging in July and August. A further 116,000 ha are classified as being offected by drought from Octob~r to May The annual average tempera ure is ld C. Temperatures range from 24 C to 27 0C in June (summer) to -10 C to -27 C in January (winter). There are about 210 frost-free days but there has been no severe frost damage to crops during the last five years. 6. Topography and Soils. The project area lies in the alluvial plains of the Yellow {Huanghe) Riv1~r, with a natural gradient of 1/8000 to 1/10000 and sloping from south-w1~st to north-east to the Bohai Sea. Higher areas generally tend to be free f1rom salinity, but low areas commonly suffer from this as well as waterlogging. 7. About 70% of th1~ area has loamy soils, 18% clayey soils and 12% sandy soils. In general the soils are adequate in potassium (50-150 ppm) but low in nitrogen, phosphoirus and organic matter. Nitrogen content is less than 60 ppm and organic matter lower than 10% in about 80% of the project area and phosphate is only 5-10 ppm in about half the area.
Land . Use and Agricultural Production 8. Land Use. A detail~d breakdown of land use is given in twelve counties in Table 1. Of the gross area of 1.4 million ha, 906,000 ha are arable land of which approximately 748,000 ha are cultivated with annual crops, 9,700 ha are orchard, 49,000 ha are grasslands and 30,000 ha forest. There are approximately 205,000 ha of potentially arable land that can be developed for agriculture. ~otal cropped area in the five irrigation schemes to be improved under the project (Working Paper 1) is estimated at 495,000 ha, of which around 90,000 ha are fully irrigated, about 38,000 ha and 367,000 ha rainfed. 9. Crop Production. In the five Tuhai irrigation systems the most important crops are grain and cotton, which account for approx imately 67% and 21% of the total cropped area and the remaining 12% consists of peanut (1.3%), soybean (8.5%) a.nd vegetables (2.2%). Of the foodgrains, 38% is wheat, 24% is maize (corn) and only 5% of other cereals such as sorghum and millet. The predominant crop rotation adopted is either corn, planted in June, followed by wheat, planted in October and harvested in June or cotton (with winter fallow) and cotton for 6-9 years before reverting to corn and wheat. Current cropping intensity is about 148% and this ranges from 143% in Han Dun to ·158% in Guo Kou irrigation system (Table 2). 10. Considerable variation exists in crop yields even within one irrigation system (Table 3)1. Estimated yields of major crops are as follows: Working Paper 2 Page 4
13. Present estimated annual production of fresh dates in the ten project counties is 18,400 tons. The dates are eaten locally both fresh and dried, and dried dates exported. Only 10% of total production is processed to a range of date products including jams and cordials. Average consumption of fresh and dried dates in the producing centres is estimated at about 1.5 kg per head, compared to only about 0.1 kg per head nationally. The "dark date" from Chiping coLJnty is well-known in South-East Asia, Hong Kong and Macau. Export overseas of dried dates and products have been on an increasing trend; 472 tons iin 1985, 627 tons in 1986 and 971 tons in 1987. 14. Timber Production. Shandong is short of forest resources. Forest cover is estimated at ctbout 13%, or about 2.1 million ha. However, this. represents only about 0.026 ha per head of population, or about one-sixth of the national average and wood consumption i s only about 0.01 m3 per head of population compared with 0.05 m3 for China nationally, or 0.6 m3 i~ the World . Considerable emphai;is is therefore being given by the provincial government to increasing thi~ forest resources through the responsibility system. 15. A potential area of approximately 100,000 ha of waste land in the old course of the Yellow River in the provinces of He Nan and Shandong is available for forestry e; Input Supplies 16. Seed Production and Processing. Almost all farmers use seeds of recommended varieties of wheat and cotton but about 40% still use local varieties of maize. Seed supply is generally a problem and many farmers cannot change their seeds, as recommended, annually for maize hybrids and every two for wheat and four years for cotton because of the current shortage. In the twelve project counties , there is an estimated annual shortage of certified se:eds of approximately 28,600 tons of wheat, 3,880 tons of maize and 11,700 tons of cotton seeds (Tab le 4). 17. Existing seed processing centres are not producing sufficient quantities of good quality seeds to meet current demand because they suffer from poor management and latck of proper drying , processing and storage facilities. Most are old and poorly designed and lack space. Processing facilities are rudimentary,, consisting of a drying floor for sun-drying, simple cleaners and graders and are equipped only for traditional methods of processing. In addition technical supervision, given by seed corporations to special households for seed multiplication in selected seed farms is inadequate due to lack of staff and this has resulted in the production of inferior seeds. Owing to shortages of good quality seeds most farmers continue to use seeds retained from the previous season and adopt exceedingly high seed rates. Working Paper 2 Page 5 18. Fertilizer Su l • Soils are generally deficient in nitrogen and phosphate para.6. Current usage of chemical fertilizers averaging 50 kg/ha nitrogen and 30 kg/ha phosphate (nutrient weight) for cotton, and 50 kg/ha nitrogen and 25 kg/ha phosphate for wheat and maize is below recommended rates - even though it is supplemented by substantial applications of organic manure. Domestic production of fertilisers, mainly ammon i um bicarbonate, urea, calcium phosphate and single superphosphate, does not meet current demands and there is an estimated shortage of approximately 500,000 tons in the province and 150,000 tons in the project counties (Table 5). Annual fert i liser imports by Shandong are about 60,000 tons. Domestic production is expected to meet demand after 1995. 19. Institutions. Overal l responsibility for agriculture and forestry development planning lies with the Shandong Provincial Planning Commission, with technical guidance from the Provincial Bureaux of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Conservancy. At the county level the Agriculture Industry and Conunerce Corporation is responsible for , fertilizer distribution and the Forest Industry and Commerce Corporation for date interplanting, date processing and establishment of fast growing trees. Technical guidance is provided by the respective Bureaux of Forestry and Agriculture. 20. The National Seed Corporation (NSC) within the Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Husbandry and Fisheries is responsible for national seed policy and planning, coordinating domestic seed production and providing technical guidance to provincial, prefectural and county seed companies. These MSC-affiliated but locally financed and administered seed companies in the province act as principal agents in the production, processing and distribution of s~ed. They purchase arid process stock seed produced by affiliated seed farm and distribute it under contract to local seed farms operated by townships, villages or specialized households for multiplication and production of certified seeds. These seeds are then purchased by the companies, processed and sold through company-run wholesale and retail stores. · C. Rationale 21. There is potential for increased agricultural production provided the constraints described previously and summarized below are overcome. 22. Crop Production. The major problems restraining increase in crop yield and production may be attributed to lack of irrigation water, supply of good quality seeds and fertilizers and problems of salinity, waterlogging and drought. Of the total cropped area of approximately 495,000 ha (para.8), only 18% are ful ly irrigated, 8% partially irrigated and the balance 74% are rainfed. Approximately 116,000 ha, or 23%, are considered as drought affected areas due to low rainfall . On the other hand, since most of the project area is rather flat and the drainage system is ill-defined and inadequate, approximately 71,000 ha of cultivable land are reported to suffer from waterlogging each year particularly in July and August. Approximately 96,000 ha are considered to be saline, and of these, salinity is severe (more than 6 mmhos/cm) in 31,000 ha, moderate (4-6 mmhos/cm) in 23,000 ha and light (3-4 mmho s/cm) in 42,000 ha. Salinity occurs mostly in rainfed 4reas and wasteland and to a certain degree in irrigated areas. Working Paper 2 Page 6 23. With improved and expanded irrigation and drainage agricultural production is expected to increase as salinity, drought and waterlogging are reduced and rainfed areas and wasteland brought into the command area. 24. Seed and Fertilizer. Without additional investment, there will be no significant increase in production of improved seeds and supp ly of fertilizer. In the absence of any increase in the production of improved seeds, most farmers would continue to rely mainly on retained seeds of uncertain quality and parentage and this would mean excessively high seeding rates, increased production costs and less than optimum yields. In the case of fertilizers, local production of nitrogenous and phosphatic fertilizers would not be adequate to meet local demand until well after 1995. Furthermore with the implementation of the Tuhai Irrigation Project, when more areas would be fully or partially irrigated, it is desirable to increase the, supply of fertilizer and improve seeds considerably in order to maximize the benefits for investments on improved irrigation and drainage. In particular it will be necessary to have adequate supplies of ammonium phosphate for treatment of rehabilitated saline area. 25. Date Production and Processing. Although there are approximately 260,000 ha of land suitable for the planting of date, only 59,000 ha have been planted due to lack of financial resources, processing and marketing facilities. Since dates would be interplanted on crop lands of wheat , maize and cotton they would serve as windbreaks and also provide additional income for existing farmers. Current market prospects are said to be good and due to shortage, prices are high. The future market situation is also expected to be favourable due to increasing population and rising income. 26. There are few date processing factories in the project counties: Shenxian, Chiping, Shanghe, Huimen and Wudi have limited processing capacities and the quality of date products suffer because equipment is simple and incomplete, and processing techniques are traditional. Only about 10% of the dates produced are processed because of limited capacity. The proposed interplanting of 100,000 ha of dates (equivalent to about 25,000 ha of pure stand) under the project, and the anticipated increase in demand for dried dates and date products locally and overseas, requires the expansion of existing capacities. · · 27. Timber Production. Forestry resources in Shandong Province are low (para.14) . Considerable emphasis is given by the provincial government to increasing the forest resources. The Special Households participating in the Township Pilot Schemes to develop wasteland for forest tree-planting in Chiping and Gaotang (para.15) have successfully demonstrated the technical feasibility of growing fast growing trees, mainly poplar, in combination with fruit trees (e. g. apple) and annual crops such as wheat, cotton, peanut, soybean and vegetables, with appropriate cultivation techniques. However, in the scheme in Gaotang only 100 households (about 435 family members) have been settled and they have developed only about 198 ha since . 1983. This slow development is claimed to be due principally to lack of financial resources . The township governments at Chiping and Gaotang have expressed enthusiasm for accelerating the development of the scheme, based on the existing successful farm models adopted by the Special Households. Working Paper 2 Page 7 O. Project Proposals 28. The type of sub-ccJmponents proposed and estimated total investment costs, excluding contingenc·ies, are given in Table 6 and summari~ed below: Sub-Com1ponents Costs (Y million) Agriculture Import of fertilizers 41.9 Strengthening seed processing 7.45 Forestry Date interplanting 51.38 Date pr,ocessing 10.89 Establishment of fast- 3.65 growing trees The location of project sites is shown in Map 1. Tuhai Irrigation 29. The Tuhai Irrigation project covers ten counties, namely Xinxian, Yongge, Donge, Jiyong, Shanghe, Huimen, Yangxin, Wudi, Zhanhua and Binzhou. Engineering aspects are described in Working Paper 1. The following deals only with the impact of improved irrigation and drainage on agricultural production. 30. Net Cultivable Area (NCC). No change would be expected in the future 11 wittiout project" situation owing to lack of financial resources for developing potential waste·land • .However under the project NCC would incr.e.ase .. from 333,900 ha to 362 0 900 ha (Table 2) due to the development and irrigation of wasteland in Xin Jiedu (5,000 ha), Bo Quili (14,000 ha) and Han Dun (10,000 ha). 31. . Cropping I ntens ·i ~y. The cropping intensity wou 1d increase marginally from 148% to 1520 for the Irrigation System as a whole. A breakdown for the individu;al systems is shown below; Toa Guo Bo Han Xin Average ~Chengpu Kou Quili Dun Jiedu Situation ...... Cropping Intensity ...... Present and future without project 146 158 149 143 150 148 Future with project 148 160 154 146 153 152 Working Paper 2 Page 8 Increase in cropping intensity is small because of the greater increase in cotton acreages in proportion to other major crops such as corn and wheat (Table 2), and since in cotton areas, only one crop is cultivated annually (cotton-fallow). 32. Cropping Pattern. Very little change is anticipated in cropping patterns with and without the project. Under the project there would however be a pronounced increase in cotton in proportion to other crops. Wheat would cover approximately 37% of the total cropped area; corn 23%, cotton 23%; and other crops 17% (Table 2). 33. Crop Yields. Table 3 shows the breakdown of crop yields under fully and partially irrigated and rainfed conditions. Modest crop yield increases have been assumed. Average yield increase for the wbole area would be from 2.5 t/ha in the future without project situation to 3.1 t/ha at full development for wheat; from 2.7 t/ha to 3.3 t/ha for corn and from 0.6 t/ha to 0.8 t/ha for cotton lint. Assumption of yields of these major crops at full development is low compared with the present national and provincial yields. This is because present yields are low and project improvements in irrigation and drainage are not expected to completely solve all the existing problems. It is uncertain whether there would be adequate irrigation water to cover the increase in cropped area (Table 2). Even with the project, approximately 41% of the total cropped area would be rainfed and 17% partially irrigated; a substantial area would still remain saline, although less severe, and the rate of fertilizer application would be below optimum due to fertilizer shortages. 34. Production. At full development estimated annual production of wheat, corn and cotton would be 6~0,000 tons, 419,000 tons and iOl,000 tons res·pectively giving an incremental production of 155,000 tons, 98,000 tons and 39,000 tons respectively. Future without Future with Incrementa 1· project project Crop ...... ('000 tons) ...... Wheat 475.3 631.8 156.5 Corn 321.3 424.4 103.1 Cotton 62.5 100.6 38.1 Peanut 6.4 8.7 2.3 Soyabean 39.4 62.7 23.3 Vegetables ·11 47.4 84.3 36.9 Others Jj 25.8 47.9 22.1 1/ Includes peas and beans, sweet potatoes, cabbages and other leafy vegetables; represented by beans. '{/ Includes other cereals; represented by millet. Working Paper 2 Page 9 Production increase is due mainly to the conversion of rainfed to fully irrigated (94,200 ha), and partially irrigated areas (66,400 ha); partially irrigated to fully irrigated areas (25,100 ha) and wasteland to fully irrigated (5,000 ha) and partially irrigated areas (24,000 ha), and partly due to yield increases. Farm Income 35. Based on a representative 1 ha farm model, with cropping pattern and intensities similar to those for· the project area as a who le (see Table 14), the project's impact on farm incomes has been estimated. This reveals that as a result of improved irrigation and the resulting higher yields, farm incomes from an average 1 ha farm would increase by nearly 50% - from around Y950/ha to about Yl,420/ha at full development. Average returns per family man-day would increase from Y3.4/man-day 11 without project" to around Y4.2/man-day "with project". Economic Returns 36. The above assumptions underl ie the econ0mic analysis undertaken of the Tuhai Basin irrigation and drainage component. The analysi~ has been carried out using projected border orices in constant 1988 terms, and is for the Tuhai Irrigation and Drainage component as a whole. Incremental benefits have been estimated on the basis of representative average cropping patterns for the entire area covering the five irrigation schemes, as well as average yield projections, 11 with 11 and "without" project. In estimating the latter, the relative areas of each crop which would be under rainfed, partially irrigated or fully irrigated conditions have been taken into consideration. 37. Investment Costs. All investment costs with physical contingencies, as detailed in Working Paper 1, have been included in the analysis. Conversion factors, as currently being used by the Wor ld Bank, have been applied to convert finaAcial costs into border price terms. The principal ones used include 0.70 for earthworks, 1.07 for structures and buildings, 1. 11 for equipment and machinery, 1.09 for vehicles, 2.26 for project design and management costs, and 0.57 for unskilled labour. For the purposes of the analysis it is assumed that the phasing of the areas improved (through the construction of irrigation and drainage works) would be 30% in Year 3, 70% in Year 4, and 100% by Year 5. 38. Operating Costs. Estimates of incremental O&M costs for the five systems are shown in detail in Working Paper 1. In addition to these costs, pumping costs are also included in the analysis as virtually all the area would be irrigated by using lowlift pumps. It is assumed that annual on- farm works and water pumping costs would average Y90/ha/year in the partial ly irrigated areas and Yl50/ha/year in the fully irrigated aeas. 39. On-Farm Costs and Incremental Production. Crop budgets per hectare have been prepared for the "future without"· and "future with" project situations. These are summarized in Table 14 . Economic farmgate prices for 1988 and 2000 in 1988 constant terms, have been estimated for Urea and OAP; these provide the bases for valuing the fertilizers used in the project area. Farm labour (both hired and family) has been valued at 57% of the presently prevailing wage rate of Y4 per manday, i.e. at Y2.28 per manday. Working Paper 2 Page 10 40. Annual incremental production ar1s1ng out of project investments, at full development, is summarized in para.33 above. To value this, World Bank price projections have been used to estimate economic farmgate prices .... . for 1988 and 2000, in 1988 constant dollars; details are shown in Table 17 41. Results of Analysis. Based on the above assumptions, and a 25 year period of analysis, the economic rate of return of the component is estimated at 45% (see Table 18) . The high returns reflect the existence of significant sunk costs in al l the five schemes and the resulting low per hectare investment costs (see Working Paper 1) for discussion on existing sunk costs). In view of the uncertainty at this stage on account of issues such as the amount of water available for irrigation, adequacy of investment costs provision, etc., sensitivity analysis has been carried out, the results of which are summarized in the table below: Assumption ERR NPV at 12% (Y mill ion) Base Case 45% 825.4 Incremental Production On-farm Less 20% 30% 386.3 Net Incremental Benefits (i. e. Area Improved) Less 20% 40% 633. 1 Investment Cost Plus 30% 39% 784.6 Incremental On- f arm Benefi t s and Associated On-farm Costs Lagged 2 years 33% 630.4 In addition to the above, switching va lues at a 12% di scount rat e were al so estimated. The results show that value of incremental product ion on-farm would need to be nearly 38% lower, before the ERR would fal l to 12%; for the other variables, project returns are not sensitive to changes in their values. · Import of Fertilizers 42. Description. The project would finance the importation of 44,640 tons of diammonium phosphate (OAP, 18-46-0) of which 3,700 tons, 31,070 tons and 9,870 tons would be purchased in the second, third and fourth year respectively (para.43). The fertilisers would be used to improve newly reclaimed saline areas. 43. • The fertilizers wou ld be distributed about equally amongst the twelve counties, name ly the ten counties in the Tuhai Irrigation System (para.28) plus Chiping and Gaotang counties, each of which would receive about 3,700 tons over a three year period {Table 7). 44. Fertilizer usage i n the five irrigation systems would be restricted to formerly desalinized, wasteland and rainfed areas which have become fully or partially irrigated because of project works. In Chiping and Gaotang, priority in fertilizer dist r i bution should be given to fully or partially irrigated areas. Working Paper 2 Page 11 45. Project Phasing and Costs. 44,640 tons of OAP costing Y41.3 million would be distributed within three years. Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Total Fertilizer (tons) 3,700 31,070 9,870 44,640 Annual phasing of fertilizer distribution and costs is given in Appendix 1. In Binzhou county all the fertilizers would be used in the second project year but in all the other counties the bulk of the fertilizers would be applied in the third year and the balance in the following year. It is anticipated that by then the soils in some areas would have been improved and their salinity reduced sufficiently to benefit from this treatment. 46. Organization and Management. The Provincial Rural Economy Development Investment Corpo,ration would be responsible for the procurement of fertilizers, and the Agriculture Industry and C9mmerce Corporation at the county l.evel for cash sale to farmers in the project area. 47. Benefits. It is estimated that approximately 126,000 ha of wheat, 30,000 ha of ma,jze, 92,600 ha of cotton and 2,300 ha of other minor crops (soybean, peanut, vegetables) would be fertilized at the average rate of 177 kg/ha {Table 7). Anticipated yield increase is 0.60 t/ha for wheat and maize resp~ctively ind 0.20 t/ha for cotton, and the estimated·· annual incr.ease in production would be approximately 38,000 tons of '1heat, 48,000 tons of maize and 9,~iOO tons· of cotton. This increa,se can only be sustained if priority in thE~ distribution of locally produced fertilisers is given to the project area by the provincial government after the termination of the project. · 48. Issue. As it is un'likely that additional irrigation supply would be made available by the second project year, the proposal by Binzhou County to use all their allocation of 3,700 tons of OAP in the second year appears ambitious and would have to be reviewed at pre-appraisal. Furthermore although the mission prop,Jses the purchase and distribution of fertilizers by all the remaining 11 counties in the third and fourth year, there should be flexibility in the timing and this should be related to the progress of irrigation and drainage improvements. 49. There are no strong reasons for the inclusion of Chiping and Gaotang in this project, since these counties are outside t he Irrigation Systems. Their exclusion would result in more fertilizers being made available for the problem areas in the project counties within the Irrigation Systems. 50. Allocation of fertilizers to farmers in blocks rather than evenly distributed amongst farmers and thus widely scattered would be preferred as this would facilitate monitoring of yield performance, which would prov ide useful guidance for the future. Working Paper 2 Page 12 Strengthening Seed Processing Centres 51. General Features. The objective of the project is to strengthen twelve existing seed processing centres to increase their capacity to produce good quality seeds. The main features of the project are: construction of buildings for processing plants, warehouses, drying floor and testing laboratories; - provision of seed processing and laboratory equipment; - provision of vehicles, tractors and irrigation equipment. 52. Detailed Description. The 12 seed centres are located, one in each of the twelve counties - Shenxian, Yanggu, Donge, Chiping and Gaotang in Liaocheng Prefecture; Jiyang and Shanghe in Dezhou Prefecture and Huimen, Yangxin, Wudi, Zhanhua and Binzhou in Huimen Prefecture. 53. Project provisions would expand the existing facilities for increased seed production. Processing capacity of each centre would increase by amounts ranging from 400 tons to 3,000 tons/year depending on the respective seed centres with a total increase in annual capacity of all seed types of around 28,000 tons; • ·. .. 54 . Project Provisions. Detailed project requirements are given in Appendix 1, Tables 1-12. The project would provide for the construction of offices (2,270 m2 ) , seed testing laboratories/processing workshops (1,760 m2), drying floor (8 ,600 m2), storage warehouses (9,180 m2}, dormitory and dining hall (745 m2) and purchase of land (approximately 4 1/2 ha). The size and type of buildings required would vary with the needs of the respective seed centres. The project would also provide machinery and equipment, mainly selecting or grading and cleaning machines in all the counties except Gaotang, Shanghe and Wudi; laboratory .equipment in Shenxian, Gaotang, Yangxin and Binzhou counties. Tractors and. irrigation equipment are required in NSC contracted seed farms in Shanghe, Yangxin, and Binzhou counties. Approximately 16 heavy trucks (10-ton capacity) and 3 pick-up vans (-0 .5-1.5 ton capacity) would be required to distribute stock seed to contract farms for further multiplication and transport of crops from seed farms to processing plants and to carry processed seeds to seed company sales units . 55. Implementation Schedule. Additional land is required only in seven counties and is expected to be acquired within three months. Detailed designs for civil works are in progress and are expected to be completed before the end of the year. In Yanggu, Jiyang, Wudi and Zhanhua where no major civil works are required, expanded production is possible in the latter part of the first project year. In the remaining counties, full production would be achieved from the third year onwards. 56. Seed Distribution. Use of improved seeds would be confined to the project area within the five irrigation systems and surplus to areas outside but within the county. In the project area priority in the supply (sales) of improved seeds would be given to farmers in saline areas, waste l and and partially irrigated areas which have been improved and provided with irrigation. The current price of improved seed is Y0.8/kg for wheat, Yl . 0/kg for cotton and Yl . 2/kg for maize. Working Paper 2 Page 13 57. Training. Training would be required fo,r some personnel of seed companies in seed enterprise management, seed processing, testing and certification. It can be conducted by Chinese seed experts in the respective seed centres or in the two World Bank-aidled seed centres in Shandong province under the Seed Project, started in March 1985. Only Shenxian, Huimen and Zhanhua counties have submitted proposals for training and these require further review. 58. Costs. Total investment costs, excluding contingencies, are estimated at Y7.5 million. Detailed project costs are given in Appendix 1. 59. Organization and Management. The respective seed companies in the counties would be responsible for strengthening the Seed Processing Centres and production of improved seeds. The seeds would be so ld through company run wholesale and retail stores at the county and township levels. 60. Benefits. With the expanded processing and storage capacities of the processing centre, there would be no shortage of maize seeds in all the counties and wheat and cotton seeds in Jiyang, Vangxin, Wudi and Zhanhua. Shortage of wheat and cotton seeds in the remaining counties would be considerably reduced (Table 8). Estimated annual increase in improved seeds amounts to approximately, 16,600 tons of wheat, 3,100 tons of maize and 8,490 tons of cotton which wo~ld be adequate to cover approximately 107,000 ha of wheat, 75,000 ha of maize and 107,000 .ha of cotton in the twelve counties (Table 9). There would be a sma·11 surplus of maize seeds produced at the seed centres in Yanggu and 1ind Chiping counties. However because of the expected increase in use of· improved seeds due to improvement of- irrigat.ion and drainage, in all the prc>ject counties except Jiya_ng, ·Yangxin, Wudi and Zhanhua, production of wheat ,and cotton seeds would sti~l be short of the full requirement. 61. Issues." The proposal of Binzhou county to complete construction of · civil works in the firt project year appears to be ambitious. . · 62. A more detailed study of management capability and training needs is necessary. 63. A greater increase in processing capacity of the processing centres in Shenzian, Yanggu, Shanghe and Huimen would reduce the shortage of wheat seeds. 64. There is a need to asse$S the availability of breeders and foundation seeds and also to study the requirement for better quality control of seeds produced in contract seed farms. Date Interplanting 65. Description. The project would provide funds for t he purchase of planting materials, fertilizer, agro-chemicals and spraying requ i rements for the border planting of dates within a gross area of 100,000 ha <1> maize, cotton and wheat, and for training of staff. Some 10,000 ha would be planted in each of the ten counties: Shenxian, Yanggu1, Donge, Chiping, Gaotang, Shange, Huimen, Yangxin, Wudi and Zhanhua (Table 10). The total number of participating households would be 458,800 and the average area of date to be <1> Equivalent to a pure stand area of about 25,000 ha. Working Paper 2 Page 14 planted per household is 0.22 ha (gross area) although this varies with the respective counties. Participants have already been selected by the village and town councils. 66. Small dates wouldl be planted in Shenxian, Yanggu, Donge, Chiping, Gaotang and Shanghe and big dates in Huimen, Yangxin, Wudi and Zhanhua for reasons indicated in para 1.1. Dates would be planted in a strip of two rows in crop areas (wheat, maize~ cotton) at 3 m x 15 m giving a density of 220 trees/ha for the ~all dates, and at 4 m x 15 m with a density of 165 trees/ha for the big dates. Planting would be undertaken in April/May and in October/November in planting holes each 1 m x 1 m x 1 m, previously enriched with organic manure! and mixed fertilizers of calcium phosphate (0.5 kg P205) and urea (0.2 kg niitrogen). Post-planting maintenance would consist of replacement of dead seedllings, top-dressing of fertilizers, pest and disease control, pruning and weeding. 67. Training. Approximately 5,150 man-months of training would be given to agro-technicians, staff of technical (agriculture and forestry) stations at township and village levE~ l, special (technical) demonstration households, farmer technicians and farm1~r 1eaders in nursery management, ··p1 anting and management techniques . (Table 11). The training would be short courses conducted by the Bureau of Forestry. 68. Phasing and Costs. Details are given in Appendix 1, Tables 13-19, 21, 22 and 24. No major land development is required as the dates would be planted on existing crop laind. Nursery preparation is at an advanced stage and there should be no difficulty in planting 17,000 ha or 17% of the target averages _in the ten counties in the first project year. 76,000 ha (76%) · would be planted between the second and third years and the balance, 15,000 ha (7%) in the fourth year. Estimated investment costs amount to Y51 mi 11 ion. Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total Area to be planted (ha) 17,000 45,000 31,000 5,500 1,500 100,000 Costs (Y'OOO) 7,720 21,479 16,795 4,389 1,000 51,383 69. Production and Benefits. Average yield of dates from the sixth (first year of production) to the tenth year is 198, 238~ 365, 135 and 722 kg/ha for small dates; 270, 540, 810, 1,080, 1,350 kg/ha for big dates. Total production is estimated to be 4,000 tons in the si~th year increasing to the maximum of 167,000 tons in the 24th year, 30 years is the productive cycle although most farmers still retain trees aged 50 years or more . Hence date production would increase from 18,400 tons pre-project ·to 167,000 tons at fu~l development (Table 10). 70. Approximately 459,000 households would benefit from the project. Tables 19 and 20 summarize the financial analysis carried out on the establishment of large and small dates respectively, on a per hectare basis. As shown in the tables, net returns will begin to accrue from Year 7 on, with returns per hectare 1from Year 15 on being over Yl,700 for small dates, and over Y2,500 for large dates . Financial rates of returns have peen estimated at 30% for small dates ~nd 40% for large dates. Working Paper 2 Page 15 71. The present regulation stipulates that 20% of dates wo~ld be sold to the county government, 30% to the Forest Industry Commerce Corporation and 50% to other provinces. 72. Organization and Management. The Forestry Department at the provincial level in Jinan .would have overall responsibility for the project. The Forestry Bureau in the county and township would be responsible for project implementation including training and the Forest Industry and Commerce Corporation for marketing of produce. 73. Issues. In view of the substantial increase in date production, more detailed data on market demand are required for the justification of such extensive planting of dates. The extent of competition for land and water would also need to be assessed. Date Processing 74. Description. The project aims to increase the a~nual capacity of the existing processing factories in Shenxian, Chiping, Shanghe, Huimen and Wudi by 500 tons, 1,100 tons, 500 tons, 500 tons and 1,000 tons respectively. 75. The project would provide for construction of office buildings (620 m2), processing plants (6,400 m2)~ testin~ laboratories (310 m2), warehouses (1,320 m2), cold storage.. units (7,190 m2), housing (2,480 m2) and others (1,510 · m2Y,· and purchase of machines such as canning lines, distilling urrits and canning machines and necessary equipment, and working capital (Appendix 1, Tables 1-5). 76. Phasing and Costs. Total estimated investment cost is Yl0.9 million and annual implementation phasing and cost is given in Appendix 1, Tables 1- 5. Land for expansion is now available in Wudi. Acquisition of land in the other four sites would be completed within 1-2 months. Detailed design of the processing plant to be prepared by the Design Department at the county level can be. completed before the end of the year. The normal period of completion of factory buildings is said to be about six months. Construction of buildings and purchase and installation of machinery and equipment is expected to be completed by the second year in Shanghe, Huimen and Wudi and the following year in Shenxian and Chiping. 77. Production and Benefits. The target date for the commencement of production would be first year in Wudi, third year in Shanghe and Huimen and fourth year in Chiping and Shenxian. In Wudi partial production is possible in the latter part of the first year since it can utilize the existing infrastructure and some of the newly acquired facilities. At full development, approximately 6,600 tons of dried dates and date products would be produced annually as shown in Table 12 and summarised below: Working Paper 2 Page 16 . Products Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 ...... (tons) ...... Dried Date 200 200 Juice 80 90 600 1,100 1,100 Jam 480 540 600 1,000 1,000 Paste 80 90 150 775 1,000 Others 160 180 350 2,245 3,270 Total 800 900 1,700 5,320 6,570 Fresh dates would be sent to the factories by farmers or collected by the date processing companies from the farm. Farmers are free to sell fresh dates on the free market or to agents of the Import and Export Corporation. 78. Organization and Management. The Forestry Industry and Commerce Corporation at the county level which owns the processing companies is responsible for the implementation of the project. The Design Department at the county level would he l p in preparing the detailed design of the processing plant and other buildings. The companies would manage the processing plants and marketing of produce. 79. Issues. An in-depth study is required in order to assess the need · for training of· management personnel, market demand for date products and the optimum siie of processing plants. · Fast Growing Forest Trees 80. Description. Sandy,flat wasteland would be developed and planted with fast growing trees and other crops. This would help stabilize the ecological environment, enable families to exploit these previously wasteland areas, increase timber and food crop production and provide additional income to farmers. 81. The project would support the establishment of approximately 2,935 ha of fast growing trees such as poplar, sycamore (Acer pseudoplatonus) and Locust (Robinia pseudoacacia} in blocks in selected areas in Gaotang and Chiping counties. Funds would be provided for land development (mainly land levelling) and land preparation, simp le improvement of existing irrigation systems including the sinking of shal low wells, purchase of pumps, saplings, fertilizers and agro-chemi cal s and spraying equipment and construction of houses for the new settlers. Out of 1,267 ha in Gaotang, 697 ha would be poplar, 380 ha sycamore and 190 ha locust. 1,668 ha of poplar would be planted in Chiping {Table 13). 82. Each participating household would be given 2 ha of l and. Of this one ha would be planted with forest trees along the border in a band of 4-5 rows at a planti ng distance of 3 x 4 m (a density of 495 t rees/ ha). Planting holes, 1 m x 1 m x 1 m would be dug and the soi l mixture for f i lling would consist of 0.5 kg/tree each of nitrogen and phosphate; organ ic manure and topsoil. The- planted sapl ings woul d be shaded and watered in the early stages of growth to minimize casualties. Using hi s own resources, the farmer would be free to plant crops of his choice with i n the area (1 ha) bordered by forest trees although the guideline for planting based on successful farm Working Paper 2 Page 17 models would be 0.34 ha to 0.67 ha of apples and 0.23 ha to 0.51 ha of vege~ables such as leeks, and or other annual crops such as wheat (para. 26). 83. Phasing and Costs. The planting of trees would be completed within the first two years in Chiping and three years in Gaotang. The investment cost of the project is estimated to be Y3.6 million. Annual phasing of planting and costs is indicated in Appendix 1, Tables 20 and 23. 84. Organization and Management. The Forest Industry and Commerce Corporation at the county level would be responsible for planning and implementation of the project. Sapl ings would be prepared by the Forest Centre at the Township level and distributed to the Special Households participating in the project. 85 . Production and Benefits. The rotation cycle for sycamore, poplar and locust is considered to be 20 years, 29 years and 40 years respectively. Estimated annua l average incremental production for locust and ~oplar is 7m3/ha and 18m3/ha respectively. Production of timber is expected to commence about the tenth yeiar of planting in the case of locus~ and poplar. The total estimated production at ~he end of the rotation or at full development would be approximately 42,000 m3 and 247,000 m3 respectively. Sycamore would produce approximately 65,000 m3 in its 20th year. 86. It is envisaged thatt approximately one-third of total production of timber would be used by the farmers for building and furniture and the remaining sold to the Forest Industry and Commerce Corporation or on the free market. 87. Issues. Data are required concerning ~he availabJlity of irrigation and underground water and de!tailed proposals of the project f r ~ the area selected in Chiping county. In both Chiping and Gaotang 1unties data required include: cost of establishment of forest trees and ~lanting of fruit trees, annual and expected income per hectare, yield performance of fruit trees and annual crops of successful pilot projects; detailed requirements of housing and other infrastructure for participating households, markets and demand for timber. Other Observations 88. Project proposals have been prepared by the respective counties . This approach appears to be sound with regard to the fertilizer project since all the counties experience considerable shortage in fertilizers and the amount of fert i l izers provided under the proposed project is small in proportion to the total req1uirement. However, it would be beneficial for the Provincial Government to review all county proposals in greater depth in order to avoid over-production of dates and unnecessary compet ition amongst the counties. Both the date processing and seed production sub-components should also be further reviewed to ensure that the maximum advantage is being taken of modernising existing facilities and that the proposals are technically appropriate. 89. Coordinat ion and Monitoring. Close coordination between staff of the Bureau of Wat er Conservancy and Agriculture is necessary in the formulation and implementation of projects. Responsibil ity for moni t ori ng the agr icultural impact of t he project would need to be we l l defined. Working Paper 2 Page 18 90. Agricultural Extension. There were no proposals to strengthen the agricultural extension service in the project area. Currently special households and farmer technicians perform active roles in agricultural extension at the grass root level. The mission is not aware if there are sufficient subject matter specialists to provide the necessary technical support. More adaptive trials would be ~esirable in order to determine the optimum rate of ferti l izer application in saline areas. Little is known of the effectiveness of the county level agro-technical extension station in coordinating agricultural extension and input supply and its role in the project area. CHINA SH~ AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPIVENT PROJECT ,,.,J Y e I I o w $ • • '\. ' WUOI \. /-~, ~(· _) ,./ / ,- ....o '::\._ ...... / ,______./ -\,-) . " / <. \ 0 ,/ \ : ,J-- y AN CS Hf N-\ H I O I \ , -- 0 ' , __ .. ,,, ~ .....0 ' / u ' _, ' •• "' ,,)./ , .. , . -· ' '( . ) '._...... ' .. . ', ,..... __ , 0 E z ---- ,/ / CA O T A N ..,. ,::, E N ( ,,_, 1v ' ' ,, ,----.... I s HAN C £ \ • ) H u I ZHANHUA A O C H E N G /' I '<' •• / ' M l I , I , I ...... -, I I r-' • •,_ \ AO J/ H ,_....--,I \ l • I ----- _,- UIMEN ...._ ; ... ,, .... / ~ CHI PINC \ f ' •••••'" V -, ' I I \ ~ J , , v A N c Ir' • • .._ o I '-~.... +I" I "\ I' . '/' ' ,, ' ,~ },/ ----,, / • .... o. / '-,' I ,,,, . 8 I N z HO u 1, --,· + -- , r ~,,, V AN CCU ',, ; .. ..._ , / ' ' (/ ' II O ' ' / / ...... ______...,. ,- ) . ' l / I '- ~"" / ./ GOUKOU ( I • .. I / •11!1"- ,-- • \ I I ~ I ,I LOCATION OF PROJECT SITES SUO·PR.OJECTS • Import of fertilalers / Seed processing and Seed distribution Provincia I boundary • Data interplanting ~ .. --- Prt!f'ec ture l>oumda(y Q Dau processing ------· County bound~ry 0 10 20 JO 40 SO o County capital Fast growing trees Km * 1)(41!8· 244 ~ ~ ---CHINA SHANDONG AGRICijLTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Population' and Land Use Prefecture Liaocheng Dezhou Huimen I rrigation systems .. Toa Chengpu . . Guokou . . Xin .. .. Jiedu ...... Boquili ...... Han Dun ..... TOTAL Counties Shenxian Yanggu Donge Chiping Gaotong Jiyang Shanghe Huimen Yangxin Wudi Zhanhua Binzhou I. General Total population c ·ooo, 758.8 641.0 377 .1 486.3 416.3 471. 6 531.6 571.9 391 .2 392.4 255.2 493.3 5,913.70 Agric. population I '000) 749.9 601. 0 350.0 457.8 389.3 447.3 504.7 539.1 374. 7 372.6 334.3 387.0 550.77 Farm hou5c.-hold < '000 ) 166.0 137.6 tit. 6 110.3 101. 1 101. 9 114 .'9 128.8 92.5 92.5 88.9 94.5 131. 06 Agric. Jabour < ·ooo > 290.8 220. 3 137.3 188.8 163.2 210 .4 242.5 251. 3 152.8 130.5 128.5 168.8 227.93 11. Laud Use Gross area I · 000 ha l 138.8 104.8 79.4 110. 5 94.8 109.6 119.3 135.6 81. I 197.5 176.3 96.9 I. 444. 60 Arabi<> land < • 000 ha) 98 .5 78.5 57.5 81 . I 69.0 76.0 78.5 91. 9 59.0 80.3 78.3 57.1 905.70 Croppc>d a rc>a < • 000 ha ) 86.7 68.5 48.8 72.8 62.7 64.8 71. 6 74 .4 46 .6 54.6 53.G ·13. I 748. 20 0:-charcls I' 000 ha ) I. 2 I. 3 0.6 1. 4 0.9 0.9 O.G 1. 0 I. 0 0. 2 0.2 0.4 9.70 FOrP~ t !=, I • 000 ha ) 4.7 1. 0 I . 5 2.0 2.5 7. 1 2.8 4.6 o. 9 · 0.5 I . I I. G 30.30 Gras,; la11cl• I· 000 ha l 0.0 o.o 0.0 0.0 0.0 o.o o.o 0.2 0.0 32.3 17. I o.o 49.60 Non-agr1r-. lil nrl I c ·ooo ha > 3 '1. 4 24.0 19.S 26.0 22.4 25.6 37.5 38.0 20.2 84 . I 79.::. 37. S 449.30 s, lnclud• ~ 1nclu~tr1.:1l area~. ronds,. "' ater area~ a11d o lhrr~. ,-et -,,r;-~ Cl> ..... ti .... i ~., N CHlt~A SIIANOONG AGRICULTURA L DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Tuhai ~rrigation - Cropping Patterns and Cropped Area I' 000 ha l ...... Present and f uture Wi t hout Project ...... future With Project ...... ---Crops Toa Guo Bo Han Xi n ---Total Toa Guo Bo Han Kin Total Chengpu Kou Quili -Oun- ---J'feciu Chengpu --Kou Quili Oun J i'ecJi Wheat FI 5.5 t. 4 18.6 10.0 0.7 J6.2 12. 7 9.0 34. 0 17.4 14 .G S7 .7 Pl - 4.5 0.9 - 8.2 I 3. 6 16.3 - 13.0 8.0 - J7.J Rf J8.2 8. I 48.1 17.6 28.0 140.J I I .O 7. 0 J0.8 7 .o 21 .0 78.8 \ Sub-Total 1J.7 . --14.0 --67.9 27.6 J6 .9 190. I 40.0 6.0 77 . 8 J2. 4 J8.6 20J.8 Corn FI J.J I. J 10.5 8.4 0.6 24. 1 8. I 7. J 20.0 I •l . 4 11 .0 60.8 Pl - J. 7 0.4 - 6.9 11. 0 9.5 - 5.0 J.O - 17 . 5 Rf 24.8 6.4 27. 1 6.8 18 .6 s:1.9 9.0 4 . 0 --17. J •I. 0 16 .0 60.3 Sub-Total 28. 1 --11. 4 J8. I 15.2 2G.3 11!'.0 2G. 6 11 . 3 4 .! . J 2 t. 4 27. 0 128.G Cot Lon fl J.4 1. 0 6.0 6.4 Cl. 3 Ii. 1 9.2 6.4 11. 0 10 .8 JJ.4 50 .8 Pl - J.J 0.5 - 4.2 6.0 1J.O - 10.0 J.O - 2G.O RF 26.7 5.7 15.2 7.5 24. 0 79. I 11.1 4.J 9.6 4.0 20.0 49 .0 Suh-Tola! --JO. I --10.0 --2 t. 7 --IJ.9 --28 .5 -104 .2 JJ.J 10.7 30.G 17.8 JJ.4 125. 8 Olhcr!, I / Fl 0.8 O.J 7.9 J.2 0.5 12 .7 2.8 2. I 13.i 5. 1 5.8 29 . 8 Pl - I. 2 0.2 - 3.8 5.2 ·I. G - I .O 6.0 - 1 t. 6 Rf 8.5 2.J 20.5 16.J 15.8 6J.-l 5. !j 0.5 18.0 9.4 16 . 8 50 . 2 Suh-Tol a I 9.J --J.8 --28.6 --19.5 --20. I --81. J --12.9 --2.G --J2.7 --20.8 22.6 91. 6 Total cropped area Chai 11 t. 2 J!).2 156.2 76.2 11 I. 6 494 .6 112. 8 J9 . 6 183.4 92.4 121. 6 549 . 8 Net cultivated ar ea ( '000 ha l 76.2 24.8 105. I 5J.3 74.5 JJJ.9 76.2 24.8 119. 1 63.J 79.5 )62.9 !! I~ Cropping intensity CY.I 146.0 15~.o 149.0 143. 0 150.0 148.0 148.0 160.0 154 .0 MG.O 15.). 0 152.0 - - --- I~ f ' :: F1· ' i r,\ga t~• · p~ = Part1 ~ l ly 1rr19al~~ . fl r 'll'l inf C · , I / Given separately . 2 / No change if assumed i n Future Without ProJ~cl situation. ~. " 0 Future W\ thout Proje ct ...... Futur·e Wi th Project ...... - ...... Han Kin Total Crops Toa Guo Bo Han Xi n Total Toa Guo Bo Dun J i edu Chengpu Kou Quill Dun Jiedi Che_ngpu --Kou Qu i 11 ------ 1. 5 0. 4 2.2 Peanut Fl 0.2 1. 2 - - 1. 4 0.3 - - - 0.4 Pl - - - - 0.4 ------1.9 3.2 RF 0.9 - t. 6 - 1. 9 4.4 0.3 - t. 0 - 0.9 2.8 - t. 9 5.8 1. 0 - 2.5 - 2.3 5.8 ---Total ------9.0 1. 5 t. 4 14 . 6 Soyabean Fl 0.4 0.2 4 . 9 - O. I 5.6 1. 1 1. 6 4,0 4,6 PI 0.8 - - . 1. 5 2. 3 0.6 - - - - 5.0 8.6 20.0 RF 3.2 1.5 9.2 10.0 7.6 31. 5 0 . 5 - 5 . 9 2.2 1. 6 14.9 10.5 10.0 39.2 ---Total --3 . 6 --2.5 --14. 1 10 . 0 --9.2 --39. 4 ------1 I. 5 2.5 4.0 8.0 1/ Fl 0. 9 1. 3 0.4 2.6 - - Vegetables - - 2.0 PI - - 2.3 2.3 - - 1. 0 1. 0 - - - 1. 7 2. 4 RF - - 1. 2 1. 5 2.7 5. 4 - - 0.7 - 5.4 10.3 - 3.2 3.5 5.7 12.4 2. 1 2.8 ------ I . 7 I . 4 5.0 Others 2/ Fl 0.2 0 . I 0 . 9 1 . 9 - 3. I I . 4 0.5 - .. 4.6 Pl 0 . 4 0.2 - - 0.6 J .6 - - 1. 0 - - 4.0 4. 6 24 . 6 RF 4.4 0 . 8 8 .5 4 . 1$ 3 . (j 22. I 4.7 0 . 5 10 .4 9 . 6 6. 7 3 .6 25 .8 9 .7 1. 0 12 . I 6.4 4.6 34.2 -Total-- 4 . 6 --1 . 3 ------ 13. 7 5.4 5 .8 29.8 To t al Fl 0.8 0 .3 7 . 9 3. 2 0.5 12.7 2.8 2. 1 6 . 0 11. 6 Pl - 1. 2 0. 2 - 3.8 5.2 4.6 - 1 .o - 9.0 16 . 8 49.2 RF 8.5 2. 3 ::0 . 5 16. 3 15 .8 63.4 5 .5 0.5 18 . 0 .. '3 . G 19.~ 20. I 81 .3 . ;, . 9 2.6 3 2 . 7 20. 1 2 2. 6 91. 2 Total 9. 3 3. S ------· ·------·· - - -- ~J ~lb RF= Ra infed. N Fl = Fu l l y Irrigated ; PI = Partially I r r i gated: N 1 1 Includes peanut. s oybe an: sweet pota t oes . ,·cgetahl C5: r e pre~cnted by beans. 0 2 / J Ji{ · _l Ud(:'~ ~o r s ~··r, ,.,: llct and v tl11 •r ce r r a J ,-: rt' J)rl'>,( 11 ll'd ))~• l~ I J JI'\. working Paper 2 TabJ e 3 Page 1 CH INA • SHONOONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECf AGRICULTURE ANO FORE~TRY Sub Pro ject Tuh a1 Irrig~t1on Crop Yields Present Situation (Full I rrigation Partial Irrigation Rainfed) Toa Bo Xin Average Chengpu Ouili Jiedu ( t.ons/ha) ...... '- ...... Wheat FI 4. 2 3 .4 4. 2 3.9 4.0 4. 0 PI 2.7 2.9 3 . 1 2.9 RF 1 . 9 1. 5 1. 8 1 . 7 1. 9 1 • 8 AV 2. 4 2.7 2.7 2.2 2.2 2.3 Maize FI 4 . 0 3.2 4 . 4 3 . 9 4 . 3' 4. 0 PI 2.3 3.2 2.7 2.7 RF 2.3 1 . 5 1 . 9 1. 5 2. 2 1 . ') AV 2.5 1 . 9 2.9 2.5 2. 7 2.5 Cotton FI 0.9 0.9 1. 0 0 . 9 0.9 0. ') PI 0.5 0.8 0 . .8 0.7 RF 0.5 0.3 O.G 0.4 O. G O.S AV 0.5 0. 4 0. [1 0.6 0.6 0.6 Peanut FI 2.2 1. 5 1 . 8 PI RF 0.9 0.5 1 . 0 0.8 AV 1 . 3 1 . 0 1 . 0 1 . 0 Soyabean FI 1 . 7 1 . 3 , . e 1 . 6 1 . 6 PI 0.9 1 . 5 0.9 1 . 1 RF 0. 7 0 .6 0 . 6 0.8 0 . 7 0 . l AV 0.6 0.8 1 . 2 0.9 0 . 7 0.9 Vegetables FI 5. 7 5.2 6 . 3 6. 1 PI 5. [j 5.C RF 2.3 2 .0 2.5 2.J AV 4.2 3.6 4. 0 4 . 1 1 . 8 1 . 9 Others FI 1 . 7 2.0 '. i ,. :- Pl . ... s . RF 0. 7 o.s o.c G. 7 C. 7 0. l .. , . r ., AV r.r I. I 1 . 1 '." 1 . r Working Pa per 2 Ta ble 3 Page 2 Crop Yi elds Future Wi t hout Pro j ect Full Irrigation Partial Irrigation Rainfed) r -- Aver age_ C'ht~nqpu ...... (tons/ha) ...... FI 4 • 3 3.6 4 . 3 3.9 4 . 1 4 . 0 PI 2.9 3.2 3 . 1 3.0 RF 1 . q 1 5 1 . 9 1 . 7 1 . 9 1 . 8 AV 2.3 2.2 2.8 2. 4 2.6 2.5 Ma ize FI 3 . 4 4 . 6 3 . 9 4 . 2 4 . 1 Pl 2.5 3. 4 2.8 2.9 RF 2.4 1 . 5 2.0 1 . 5 3.2 1 . '.) AV 2.0 1.0 .,'-., ~ 3 . 1 2. 7 Cotton FI 1 . 0 0.9 1 . 0 0.9 1 . 0 1 . 0 PI 0.6 0.8 o.~ 0.0 RF 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.5 AV 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 Pea nut F l 2.3 1 . 6 1 . 9 PI RF 0.9 0 . 5 1. 0 0.8 .. , "' ' ... 1. i 1. a 1 . 1 Soy abean F l 1 . 1 1 . 4 2.4 1. 6 1 . fj RI 1 . 0 1 . 7 i . 0 1 . 2 0.8 O.G 0.G 0.8 0. 7 0. 7 AV 0.9 0.0 1 . 4 0.8 0.9 1 . 0 ,: Vegetables FI 7. 2 6.0 C.4 C • _J PI 5.8 c;. {' RF 2.5 3.0 2. 7 ~. 7 II r 4 • 8 4 . b :, . 1 4 . f, Ot hers FI 1 . 8 2.0 1 . 8 2. 7. 2. 7 PI 1 . 5 1 . 5 1 . : RF 0. 7 0.8 o.a 0. 7 0. ~ 0. 7 AV 0.0 1 . 1 1 . 0 1 . 1 0. 7 1 . 0 Working Pager 2 Ta !2J e J Page 3 Cro12 Yields .. Future With Project Full Irrigation Partial Irr iga lion Rainfed) Toa Guo Bo Han Xin AvE>rage_ Chengpu Kou Ouili Dun Jit?du ...... (t.-ons/ha) . .. " ...... 'I. l~hea t FI 4 . 6 4 . 0 4. 7 4 . 1 4 . 4 4 . 4 PI 3.5 3.4 2.5 1 . 1 . RF 2.0 1 . 6 2 . 1 1 . 8 2.0 1 . 9 AV 3 . 1 3.0 3.2 3.0 3.0 3. 1 Maize FI 4. 5 3.9 5.0 4 . 1 4 . 7 4 . 4 ,_ PI 3.7 3.6 2.3 3.2 RF 2.5 1 . 6 2.2 , . 6 2.4 2. 1 AV 3.2 3.0 3.~ 3:2 3.5 3.3 Cotton FI 1 . 2 , . 1 1 . 1 1 . 1 1. 2 , . 1 PI 0.9 0 0.9 0.8 0.9 RF 0.6 0.4 0. 7 0.5 0. 7 0.6 AV 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0 . 8 0.8 Peanut FI 2.4 2.0 2.0 2. 1 l PI 1 . 7 1 . 7 RF 1. 1 0.6 1 . 2 1 . 0 AV 1 . 7 1 . 4 1 . 4 1 . 5 Soyabean FI 2. 1 1 . 5 3.3 1 . 5 1 . 8 2.0 Pl 1 . 4 1 . 3 1. 3 RF 0.9 0.6 0. 8 0.8 0 . 8 AV 1 . :? 1 . S 2.5 1 . 0 1 . : 1 . r. Vegetables FI 8 . 0 7 . 8 G. 7 7.C PI 8.0 7 . 1 7.5 RF J.0 2.9 3. '.) AV G.O r.. 8 6 . 2 6.8 Others FI 2.0 2.4 2.2 2.6 2.1 PI 1 . 6 , . 0 1 . 7 RF G. '.; 1 . 0 1. 0 C.9 0 .9 G. ') AV 1 . L 2 . L 1 . 3 1 . 9 0.8 1 . ! ---CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT SUB-PROJECT - STRENGTHENING SEED PROCESSING CENTRES Supply and Demand of lfflproved Seeds in Project Counties (Present Situation) ~ Pre f ecture Liaocheng Dezhou Huimen Han Dun •..•. TOTAL Irrigation syst e ms . . Toa Chengpu . . Guokou . . Xin .. .. Jiedu ...... Boquili ...... Wudi Zhanhua Binzhou Countie s Shenxian Yanggu Do nge Chiping Gaotong Jiyang Shanghe Huimen Yangxin Area Pla n ted ( ha) '\ 411,060 Whe a t 58,940 43,124 26,000 32,500 29,775 30,000 33,330 50,000 29,330 33,330 22,000 22,730 17,330 18,665 12,000 14,520 246,930 Ma i z e 25,205 24,505 1 6 ,665 22.490 20,220 20,000 31,330 24,000 16,850 283,490 Cott o n 27,780 24,810 20,000 3 3,490 26,615 30 , 000 22.280 25,000 18,000 16,665 22,000 Seed Req u i r emen t ( l o ns l 3. 410 38,440 Wh ea t 8,840 1 . 4 5 0 880 810 1 , 100 2,000 5 . 000 2,250 4 , 400 5 , 000 3,300 5 45 9 ,770 Maize 945 700 7 5 0 845 7 6 0 9 00 1 . 1 75 1 . 070 650 9 80 4 5 0 16, 0 55 Cott on 2,085 1.255 720 630 1 , 9 95 1. 3 00 1 . 670 1. 510 1. 350 6 2 5 1. 650 1 . 2 65 Seed Ava 1 l ab1 l 1tt (tons) 9, 8 3 0 h"h• ' al 300 1. 2 5 0 34 5 7 0 50 1. 000 5 0 9 0 0 'G OO 5 .00 0 1 1 150 1 15 Ma t 7<' 750 2 )0 15 0 3 10 3 5 0 5 qo 100 GOO I, 250 9 8 0 T, 300 3 70 5 . 890 625 J !;Q 460 4. 280 Cll l l o 11 50 125 9 0 365 100 I . 000 5 0 5 00 5 6 5 1 1 SPNI Slw rl ayC' C l o n e. > 211.610 h'h,,a t 11. 5 40 20 0 5 35 7 40 1 , 05 0 I .00 0 ·I . "'iO 1. 350 ) .800 n . a. J . 15 0 J . 295 470 - n.a. 15 0 175 3.880 :•l i:i 1 z ~ 195 470 GOO 5 3 5 410 ·100 I . 07::-, 805 11 . 7 7 5 Cotto n 2 . 035 I .1 30 GJO 265 I . 8 9 5 300 I . 620 I .010 7 8 5 n.a I . J OO ~5 I O" -, noubl ru ,- 7' 11) -'• n.a. = Nol avn l l abl e . Source: na l a pro,·1cled b y r e s pecti\·e countie !> 1nd1ca t e d iff erenc e s ip the p <' r hect a r e !- <'eel rN1uircrn e nl per coun t y. ""~ I, N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT SUB-PROJECT - IMPORT OF FERTILIZER Estimated Shortage of Fertilizers ('000 tons) Without Project Prefecture Liaocheng Dezhou Huimen Irrigati o n s y s tems .. Toa Chengpu . . Guokou .. Xin .. . . Jiedu ...... Boqui 11 ...... Han Oun . .... TOTAL Counties Shenxian Yanggu Donge Chiping Gaotong Jiyang Shanghe Huimen Yangxin Wudi Zhanhua Binzhou Years-- 1980 30.4 1 t. 0 8.6 1. 7 0.6 0.5 1. 7 28.0 7.0 5.5 20.3 40.4 155.7 1981 14.9 9.8 5.2 2.1 2.9 0.2 3.0 20.0 1 t. 0 • 5.9 22.5 32.1 129.6 1982 25.3 7.8 6.7 2.3 0.9 0. l 3.7 9.0 1 t. 0 t. 2 13.0 18.5 99.5 1983 )2.3 9.3 3.5 2. 4 3.0 0.5 3.9 14.0 11. 0 4.0 6.0 10.5 100.4 1984 10.2 6.J 2.2 3.2 7.3 4.6 2.6 21. 0 10.0 5.9 16 . 6 15 .2 105.1 1985 26. 4 4.7 3.9 2.3 10. 2 5.5 2.6 24.0 10.0 6. 1 24.4 23. 2 143.3 1986 34. 3 10 .6 2 . 1 2.8 11. 7 .5,4 4 . 6 43.0 10 . 0 5.6 20. 3 30.0 150.4 1990 '1 2. 7 9.0 1.0 3.2 10.0 6 . 2 6 .0 60.0 11 . o 5 .6 11. 0 23 .0 190.9 1995 29 . 5 i.O 3 .2 3 .5 10.0 8 . 0 8.0 GO.O 11 . 0 G.5 11. 0 21. 0 178.7 2000 19 . 5 0.0 J .4 4 .,J 10.0 6. 2 15 . G 60.0 11. 0 7.4 10.0 20.0 167.5 Source-: £lot ;, pr(t\ ' Jd e d by r<'~ p Pc· t 1,· p cou nt • C"~ d o no t 1 ncl 1f'a l <' ha !- , ~ n f !- ho rtag<' . O"~ 5, ,- 7"' It) .... V1 ~ r-...... ~ i, N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURA L DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Agriculture anq Fo r estr y Project s - Summary '•, Fertilizers Strengthe ni ng Seed Da t e l n terplanti ng Da t e Pr ocessing Fast Gro wi ng Tre es TOTAL Proc essing Centre s Fa ctory COSTS Project Quantity Total Costs Quantity Total Cost s Quantity Total Costs Quantity Tota l Cos ts Quant ity Total Costs ltonsl lY'OOO> (No.) l Y' OOOJ ( ha I lY'OOO> Shenxlan 3,670 3 , 394.8 1 5 22. 0 10 . 000 5 ,233.5 I t. 600 . 0 10,750.3 Yanggu J,740 J,459 . 6 1 6 30.0 10. 0 00 5 .310.0 9,399.6 Dange 4.000 3 , 700 . 0 1 5 50.0 10.000 5 ,310.0 9. 5 60.0 Chlplng 3,670 J,394.8 1 700 .0 10,000 5.JIO.O I ). 41 6.0 1 . 668 2,075 . 0 14,895.8 Gaotang 3.740 J,459.5 1 5 50. 0 10 . 0 00 5 .310.0 1 . 267 1 , 576. 0 10 , 895.7 Jiyang 3,650 3,376.J 1 550.0 J.9~6 . J Shanghc J.700 J,422.6 1 560. 0 10. 0 00 5.J I 0.0 I I . 760. 0 11 , 052.6 Jlu1men J. 740 J.459.5 1 6 10 .0 10. 0 00 •I. 900. 0 I 2 . 106. 0 11.077.5 Yangzin J.650 J,376.J I 836 .0 10.000 '1,900.0 9 . 1114 . 5 Wudi J,700 J.422.5 I 705.0 10.000 '1.900.0 I 2.010.0 11. 037 .5' Zhanhua J.680 J.404.0 1 660 .0 10.000 ,1. 900. 0 8. 964 . 0 Oin7hou 3.700 J.422.5 1 600 .0 4 . 0 22. 5 To t11l 44,640 41. 292. 12 7 .'175 . 0 100.000 5 1 .38).5 5 10.894.0 2. 9 )5 3 . 651. 2 114, 696.3 O',o}I~ ,- ~ Cl) ...... °' , N ---CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT SUB-PROJECT - IMPORT OF FERTILIZER F e rtilizer Distribution and Application . Benefits Pre f ectu re Liaoch c ng Dezhou Hui men Irrigation systems . . Toa Che ngpu . . Gu o k o u . . Xin .. •• Jiedu ...... Boqui 11 ...... Han Dun . .. .. TOTAL Counties Shenxian Yang gu Donge Chiping Gaotong Jiyang Shanghe Huimen Yangxin Wudi Zhanhua Binzhou Amoun t o f Fertilizer to be Allocated ( • 000 tons l Year 2 ------3 . 70 3 . 70 Year 3 1. 52 1. 87 - 3.67 3. 74 3.65 1.85 3. 74 3. 6 5 3 . 70 3 . 68 - 31.07 Year 4 ., 2.15 1.87 4.00 - - - 1.85 - - - - 3 .70 9.87 ---Total 3.67 3. 74 4.00 3.67 3.74 3.65 3 . 70 3 . 74 3.65 3 . 10· 3 .68 3.70 44.64 Area to be Ferti l ized ( · 0 00 ha) Year 3 - 1,hca t - 7.73 - 4.00 8.00 16.27 t. 70 10.00 20 . 0 0 14 . 00 - - 81 . 70 - Ma ize - - - 3 .40 8.00 . - 1. 9 0 10 .00 - 5 . 00 - - 2 8. 30 - Cott o n 5 .70 5. 41 - 8.89 3 . 30 - 3.20 9 . 5 0 9 . 73 1 . 0 0 20 .00 - 66 . 7 6 - Others -I I ------2 . 3 0 - - - - 2.30 Sub-Total 5 .70 I 3 . I 7 - 16 . 29 19.30 16. 27 6 .80 3 1 . 8 0 29 .. 7 3 20 .00 20.00 - 179.06 Y<'a r ·I - h"l1 ea l 13 . 30 7 . 73 t-1. 70 - - - I. 80 - - - - 6.60 44.33 - ~lit l 7.<' ------2.00 - - - - - 2.00 - Co t l o 11 - 5.4-1 12.00 - - - 3.00 - - - - 5.40 25.81 Suh-Total l J . 3 0 13. I 7 26.70 - - - 6. 8 0 - - - - 12.20 72. 17 19. 00 26 . 34 26. 70 Total------16 . 29- ---19.30 ---16.27 ---13.60 ---31. 80 ---29.73 20.00 20.00 12.20 251. 23 Avc ro1~1f' :\mo unt o f Ff' r l 1 I 1z(• r 1Jrn f!)t1111rtt<' d A\·praqc Yu.,Jd --l l H -l --Ci.t ~ f' ( t o n • ha ) i..to ea l 0 . 90 1 . •JO o. 75 t. t 0 0.83 0 . 66 I. 36 I . 00 0.80 o. 75 - 0.91 0 . 90 Ma lZ<' - - - 1. 12 0.83 - I. JG t. 00 - 0.80 - - 0.98 5-, . 0.90 0 . 80 0. 15 0 .22 r-~ ";'." Colt n n 0.33 - 0.2G 0.41 0.1 3 0. 6 0 0. 18 0.08 0 .25 tt> ...... Otlwrs I - - - - I. 30 - !.JO ·------.J ~ l-, I I l 11c lucles soyb~·a n . peanu t. \'egetables. IN Sou r r.c•: u,1t n pro ,·1dc d hy respective coun ties . --Clll NA- SHANDONG AGR l (:ULTURAL DEV ELOPMENT PHOJECT SUB-PROJECT - STRENGTHENING SEED PROCESSING CENTRES Suppl y and Demand of Improved Seeds i n Project Counties (Future with Project) Pr efecture Liaocheng Dezhou Huimen Han Dun . . ... TOTAL I rrigation systems . . Toa Ch~ngpu . . Guokou . . Xi n .. .. Jiedu ...... Boquili ...... Zhanhua Binzhou Counties Shenxian Yanggu Donge Ch iping Gaotong Jiyang S hanghe Huime n Yangxin Wudi Area Pl anted ( ha) 427 .120 Wheat 56,665 43.125 26,665 33,330 .25., 335 33. 335 42.000 47,000 30,000 36,665 30,000 23.000 14,000 15,000 H9, 005 Maize 26,665 24 .505 20,000 20.000 20,000 20.000 2).835 27,000 18.000 20.000 Cotton 33,335 24.810 26,665 40.000 31,335 33. 335 33,000 33.000 20,000 16,665 28,000 17,000 337, 145 Seed Requirement Scccl Shortage { t ons) 2.787 14.441 \\hea t ·1. 250 +2.350 104 1. 250 750 0 4.500 J. 150 0 0 0 0 +790 1 1 Ma17e 0 290 t i 0 +5 00 1 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 S .210 Cotton 5 00 1.0JO - 2-10 480 - 0 0 1. 725 405 0 0 0 830 1 1 Surplu!-. Sourrr : nntn provided b~· rr~pc>ct1,·P cou11t1e!'- s hm, 111con~1qr11cy 111 , crd r equ1 r !'nH'llt. CJ"oi ~-, r- 7' '1) -'· (JO ~ ~ ~-, N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT SUB-PROJECT - STRENGTHENING SEED PROCESSING CENTRES Production Increase and Coverage with Project at Full Development Prefecture Liaocheng Dezhou Huimen TOTAL Irrigation systems .. Toa Chengpu .. Guokou .. Xin .... Jiedu .. Boquili ..... Han Dun ..... Zhanhua Binzhou Counties Shenxian Yanggu Donge Chiping Gaotong Jiyang Shanghe Huimen Yangxin Wudi Estimated Increase of Improved seed (tons) 600 16.084 Wheat 2,550 3,800 369 365 400 t. 000 t.500 900 2,700 1,750 150 240 410 365 400 1,000 180 100 250 190 3.135 Maize ae onn Q AQA Cotton 520 2.180 154 260 i,620 -.. 600 750 22G 70S 0.:1 ouu 510 u.,u~ 1,200 1,300 27.703 Total 3.310 6,390 888 625 2.020 2.000 3.250 t,300 3.485 1 ,935 Estimated Areas of Planting (ha) 4,000 106.993 1,heat 17.000 23 .030 3.528 2.435 2.665 G.665 10.000 6.670 18 ,000 12.000 I ,000 6,400 9,110 5,880 - - 8.890 26.66:, 4.000 2,700 6.665 5.067 75.377 Maize 6,800 107,000 Collon 6.935 ---21. l 65 ---2.060 --3.440 ---20.305 ---10 .000 --10.000- 4 ,000 10.500 1.130 10.665 ., ... i--f": 15.867 289.370 To tal 30.335 53.305 l t. 468 5.875 22.970 _.. , . .. , ... ,., •16, l,( r, H .6i0 28.,00 15.830 18.330 Estimated Increase in Production SUB-PROJfCT - DATE INTERPLANTING Summary: Area and Production - Participants and Farm Size Counties Shenxian Yanggu Donge Chiping Gaotong Shanghe Huimen Yangx_in Wudi Zhanhua TOTAL Pre-Project Area suitable for date 16,000 16,700 20,000 46,700 12,000 30,000 18,000 13,300 I 58,000 30,000 260,700 planting ( ha l Area planted with date 1/ (ha) 400 2,400 3,500 . 20,000 200 80 700 3,000 26,600 2,000 58,880 Estimated production With Project Total area to be planed Cha ) Phasiny - Year I 500 1. 500 1.000 3,000 1,000 2.000 2,000 2.000 2,000 2,000 17,000 - Year 2 1.000 6,000 6,000 4,000 4.000 4,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 45,000 - Year 3 3,500 2.500 3,000 3,000 3.000 4.000 3.000 3.000 3.000 3,000 31,000 - YE'ar 4 3.500 - - - 2,000 5,500 - Yc-;1 r 5 1.-- 500 ------1,500 Total 10,000 10.000 10.000 10.000 10.000 10 .000 10.000 10.000 10.000 10.000 100.000 E~t1matPd 1>rocluct1<>r1 a t full d,·,nlopmnnt (toni-) 13 .160 13.200 13.200 13 ,360 13.20C 18 .900 20,700 20.iOO 20,700 20.700 167,820 Total numhc-r o l part1c1pat1119 lu,u ~p hr• Id.:. 42.300 103.000 ·18. 800 30.400 Si.GOO 4 2.900 48.400 46.GOO 17.800 21.000 458. 800 Date acr,•ayP!-- t housPhold ( ha> 0.24 0. 11 0. 21 ().33 0. 17 0.23 o. 21 0.21 0.56 0.48 0.22 Ca\'eragc> CT~ 5, ro,- 7'..,, ~ 16 I i Include,- dates intcrplantccl 111 annual and perennial crops and hpuse compounds. High percentage at present immature. 0 'Ji Source: flata pro,·1ded by respcctl\·e counties. ~, N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT SUB-PROJECT - DATE INTERPLANTING Training Counties Year Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total Niimberof Man Numberof Man Number of Man Number ol Man- Number of Man Number of Man Staff Months S laff Months Staff Months Staff Months Staff Months Staff Months Shenxian Agro-technicians 1,000 100 1,000 100 500 50 500 50 3,000 300 Yanggu ~o-technicians 800 25 800 25 800 25 800 25 3 , 200 100 Donge --=r'owhship farn,ers' leaders 500 165 500 165 500 165 1,500 495 Agro-technicians 400 110 400 110 800 220 Chiping Agro-technicians 1,000 60 500 65 300 20 1 , 800 145 Shanghe ,, Agro-t r.chn1 c 1an!> 1,000 665 1,000 665 1,000 665 3,000 1,995 Hu1mcn - Agro-t echnicians 400 130 5 00 165 600 200 1. 500 495 Ya 11gx111 - Aq r o- t r, c· h 11 1c 1an~ 1 .000 100 1 . 000 100 1.000 100 1 . 000 100 4.000 400 7.ha nhu;, - l\ Tota l 7. I 00 I ,685 G.700 1. 7 25 ::; . 700 1 .550 2 . J OO 173 2 1 .600 5 . 140 ------~------;;;;;;;;;;;======-- Cos t ,- t )" OOOs l 35 40 31 2 2 9 ..... ~., r-~ Soul'cc. Da t a pro ,· 1ded by res p,•ctive count i e s. Ill "..J, ~ iB ~ l., N .. Working Paper 2 Table 12 CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT SUB-PROJECT - DATE PROCESSING Production of Date Products Shenxian Chiping Shanghe Huimen Wu ai Total . Total production durin ro·ect period tons Dried date 400 400 Juice 1,000 1,500 470 400 Jam 200 600 2,820 3,620 Paste ll 600 400 225 400 470 2,095 Others II 600 2,000 225 3,940 940 7,205 Total 700 4,000 450 6,440 4,700 16,290 ------ Annual reduction at full development tons) Dried date 200 200 Juice 500 500 100 1,100 Jam 100 300 600 1,000 Paste 400 200 100 200 100 1,000 Others 50 1,000 100 1,920 200 3,270 Total 450 2,000 200 2,920 1,000 6,570 ====== 1/ Mosquito coils, etc. "%./ Includes wine, brandy, tea, herbal medi cine. N.B. 1 ton of dried date= 5 tons of Juice; 3 tons of jam; 3 tons of paste CHINA SHANOONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Establishment of Fast Growing Trees , Area, Production and Investment Costs ...... Area Planted Costs Chi Ping Gaotang ...... Total Year Poplar Poplar Acer Locust Sub-Total Poplar Sycamore Locust Total Chi Ping Gaotang Total pseudopiatanus (Robinia pseudoacacia) •.••••••••• • •••••• •• ••.•••••••••••••.••••••••• Cha> ...... CY'OOO) ...... 1 8J4 2J2 127 6J 422 1,066 127 6J 1,256 899.1 454.9 t,J54.0 2 1.668 464 25J 126 84J 2. 1J2 25J 126 2,511 t.OJ7.5 52J.9 1 , 561. 4 J 1,668 697 J80 190 1,267 2,J65 J80 190 2.9J5 1J8.4 527.0 665.4 1 l. 668 697 J80 190 1.267 2.J65 J80 190 2.9 5 - 70.4 70. 4 !3 1. 668 69 7 J80 190 1,267 2.J65 J80 190 2,95 5 Cumu la l 1 ,·e ·ro lal 1. 6 68 697 J80 190 1.267 2.J65 J80 190 2.9J5 2,075.0 1,576.2 J.651.2 Timber Production ( mJ l 20 65.665 65.665 65.665 65 .665 J O 590.470 247 ,710 247.740 838.210 838.210 10 42. 180 42.180 42.180 12.180 ~ ~ QI 0 CT , r- (I) .... "::, _. IO vi QI u" ,(I) N gjI!IA ~JAHX'IC ~mca ;'.;~AL :{';9_C?!':'IT PROJECT !;hii I~ri!lHi:n - r.-,, ~~~jet It F~ll Qrn~l~pll~t !Yganlh•> 1' V Uni! Uni! ~~~~~!!_ ___ "a ize __..£!fill!_ __ __Pu;nll.__ Su,: ?;, __~ ·egejab le; ______Q! ..:m_s __ ~if! ~~m ~tl]!g ~m.! ~!~ ~m!l! Vah? ~~I!.! 'Jali? ~ ~!lue ~~ ~11~ A~!'"' ~Jl1~ A. ~.mour _p_~o.~cr Yield t 2.5 2. 7 u I. I I.I u Pdce u Y/ t 56U m.1 3, m., 1,rn.1 ;~u iOU 3be .O Prodoct value y l 40U 1,012.5 1 !,SOU I 1 14! . J ;55_9 I ,840. 0 360.0 B~-prodoct ia l1e y · 168 .8 I>.~.? 23'3. 0 IIU llU 190.S 3b.9 Total Val1e y I ,Sb8. 0 I 178.5 2,933.S 1 . I 125e.l i.;su 2,028.0 3?b. O !~~:!_!: Seeds tg 1/,9 128. I so sa .t BS ss. , PC 19/,.' 71 SU 20 sou 10 Fertlizers: 5.S 11 tg 1.2 105 126.D 90 au HO 169. t .. 4!1.J 5S, !>U 90 96.8 2S 3S .0 p tg I .9 55 99. 0 45 91.9 i5 135:1 so 9t.l 41 72.0 ss 99.0 IS 27.0 K t g 0.5 3 2.0 3 1.5 4 2.1 0 I I 0 0 0 0 s Organic 11an wr e t 20., 20 m., 10 200. I IS 30U 20 m .1 9 lbO. O IS 308.I 2 y ~o .o Agr1-che11ica ls 14.0 1u 17U 11.t 15 .t IS. I 6.0 y Tractar power 30 .8 27.! 3U 2U 21.1 2U 21.0 Ani11al pover y 70.1 52. t • 71.f SU SU SU 10.0 Irdgation y 90.0 5:1.1 · 79. I 35.S 37.1 65.1 45.0 ~!~:Im! y 959.1 bl8.S t,830. t 949. 1 SIU I 1145.0 213.0 ~~L~!!J!g 609. 1 m. t 1I 009, 1. 5~6 . 0 875.1 183.0 (Excl udes labour co~ tsl 40U Lab,ur 11an-days 11,0 !S8 370 12S IOI 140 115 Far~ labour costs y 640.1 600. a 1,480.1 518. S 400.0 560. 8 460 .8 ""O -I ~ QI QI -,0 Ret1rn per 11an-day y 3.8 N CH!~ ~HOO~G } ~ !Ct:'. ' ~RAIL tP.~C0 !':,· ?~C..•p::r hh.~i Irrigatim - C.-n Sa~get H F1:! ~?:~!H-ent CYo,;n/lu > ____ Vegeu~les ___ YQH Y11i1 ____\ltg!_t -- -~l~~~ __rHt~n __ P~tn ,t; S"·;.:~f ~n -~~~---- 1 t::i~!l ~!!!~nt Val!!_~ e!!mt 'Jal~~ t:!!unt '"311~ ~·u:lt Ja : 1~ ~ ?'!!'!,g em'l! ~!!!! ~~nnt ~tl!~ 3. ~!Hi ~~'JJli_l Yic:~ t :u 3.3 ' .s 1.S u f..9 u P; ice Y/t 565 .0 m. , 3,8JO.J 1,rn. 1 m., 40 3.0 3b0. 0 I ?'tJ. ft I ,,7 i; , inn , 1.c;,q I I ~,8 . ~ , . 7'0. 9 SU. ft P::1:ct 1~1:~ r .,, ...... , ...... , -, ...- ...... , ...... : ... -... . -,· --·. -· ... s,-~nd,ct ialee y 208. 0 9). , 31U. IS& . l 152.0 m., 50 . 0 y ht,!!_~!!~ t,941. 0 11 317.S 2,717. J t,7tb. I I ,672.0 2,992.5 SS4. 0 1:?.ill See1; kg 140 112 . 0 45 72. J 75 n. , I~ tS9. I ~ 78.0 20 50o.t 9 4.5 Fertilizers: H kg 1.2 145 174.8 135 I/.?. g 160 192.0 ~s 6U 83 96.9 100 120. 5 35 4U p kg 1.8 90 162.0 65 117 .o ! OS 199.0 7S m., 6S 117.S 70 12/,, ' 2S · 45.0 ~ kg o.s 5 2.S s ?.5 5 2.1 ' 0 0 ' I 0 I 0 OrgJnic "~n ore t ?.O 23 m.o 12 ?.U.O 25 sou 25 sou to m.o 25 508.S 4 80.0 Aqr1-che11iCil ls y 16.0 17.1 170.S 13. t 19.9 25.S u Tr dcto; power y 3U 3U 3U 25. t 25.1 25 .1 20 .8 AniMl power y 75.0 5~. I 71.1 6U !,O. 0 65.C 48.0 lrriqati on y IOU 59.0 76.G 40. t 59.1 78.9 55.0 S;b-Tm! 11131 .S 750 .5 I ,229. I t,m., m.o 1,431.0 292.5 NfU.dm y 909 .5 ~b7 .5 1,499.1 m., 1,e19.o I ,561.0 2bl.5 (Excludes l abQ ur co ~t, ) 170 .,, -I ' £ QI QI 0 I. INVESTMENT COS TS ------A. Materials ...... --... - Planting Material 120.0 11.0 131.0 Fert i Ii zers 20.0 25 . 0 45.0 Equipment 80.0 80.0 Others 30.0 5.0 35.0 ------...... ----- Sub- Total Mat er ials 250 . 0 41.0 291.0 B. Labour Costs --...... ---...... Land Preparation 80.0 80.0 Holing 90.0 90.0 Planti ng 50.0 50.0 Others 10.0 10.0 20.0 ------...... ------·- Sub-Total Labour Costs 230.0 10.0 240.0 Total INVESTMENT COSTS 480.0 51. 0 53 1.0 ------480 . 0 51. 0 Total 531.0 ,!I/""01-i g. -,~ 'l'I> ,- " '° ..J. N_.~ May 27 , 1988 ,14:35 \n i -, N CH INA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 703 . Fast Growing Trees· Per Hectare Costs Detailed Cost Table (Yuan) R:i,l' C".n, t , 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total I. INVESTMENT COSTS ------A. Materials ------Planting Material 208.0 26 .0 234. 0 Fertilizers 130.0 120.0 250.0 Organic Manure 170 .0 170.0 Equipment 20 .0 20.0 Others 10.0 5.0 15.0 ... -.. . -.. --. - . ------Sub·Total Materia ls 538.0 151 . 0 689. 0 B. Labour Costs 540 . 0 15. 0 555.0 . -. -- ...... -. . -.. -... - - .. - .. --...... Total IN VEST MENT COSTS 1,078 . 0 166 .0 1,244 .0 ------Total 1,078 . 0 166 .0 1,244.0 ------ May 27 , 1988 14:35 er~; -, ,- ;,<:" _.It) , i-'•· 0- -rj ~-, - N Working Paeer 2 Table 17 CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Border Prices for Princieal Products and Ineuts (in 1988 Constant Tenas) Wheat Maize --Cotton Soybean Groundnut Urea OAP Net Trade Status M X X X X M M 1988 Prices World Market Price ($/ton) 1/ 153 86 1.585 239 220 §/ 130 185 , Ocean Freight (S) 46 (60) (25) (25) 34 34 CIF/FOB Qingdao ($/ton) 199 86 1.525 214 195 164 219 CIF/FOB Qingdao (Y/ton)?:} 736 318 5.643 792 722 607 810 Port Charges and Distributors' Margin y 91 (54) (532) (96) (90) 80 98 Transport: Port-Wholesaler 1/ 5 (5) (5) (5) (5) 5 5 : Fara-Wholesaler~ (16) (16) (16) (16) (16) 16 16 Milling Cost. Less Byproduct Value 100 Econ011ic Price (Y/ton) 816 243 5,190 675 611 708 929 Financial Price (Y/ton) 560 375 3,000 950 1,040 540 2000 Prices World Market Price ($/ton) y 194 136 2,147 281 274 §/ 246 295 Ocean Freight 46 (60) (25) (25) 34 34 CIF/FOB Qingdao ($/ton) 240 136 2.087 256 249 280 329 CIF/FOB Qingd~o (Y/ton) ?:/ 888 503 7.722 947 921 1.036 1,217 Port Charges and Distributors' Margin y 105 (70) (720) (110) (108) 118 135 Transport: Port-Wholesaler 1/ 5 (5) (5) (5) (5) 5 5 : Far,w-Wholesaler §/ (16) (16) (16) (16) (16) 16 16 Milling Cost. less Byproduct Value 100 Econo11ic Price (Y/ton) 982 412 7.081 816 792 1.175 1.373 · Financial Price (Y/ton) 560 375 3,000 950 1.040 540 1/ World Bank Price Projections, January 1988. ~ Exchange rate of Y3.7 = USSl ~ Port charges of Y25/ton, plus~ distributors' margin. 1/ Based on rail transport charges of Y0.02/ton/km, and an average distance of 250 Ions. Rail transport conversion factor of 0.99 applied to- financial costs. ~ Based on road transport charges of Y0.2/ton/km. and average distances of 100 km (conversion factor of 0.87 applied). .... §/ Based on projected price of groundnut oil and meal, and assuming that a ton of unshelled groundnut yield 0.25 ton of oil and 0.45 ton of meal. CH INA SHANDONG AGRICULTYRAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT ------Tuhai Basin· Irrigation and Drainage Component ------Economic Analysis (Yuan Million) ------1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996-1998 1999-2013 ------INCREMENTAL BENEFITS ------Subtotal 30 98 197 312 393 428 549 INCREMENT AL COSTS ------·-·----- Incremental Farm Costs 15 50 100 153 190 206 243 Iner. System O&M 5 11 15 15 15 15 15 Iner. Pumping Cost 8 18 25 25 25 25 25 Investment Cos ts 34 54 36 37 26 Subtotal 34 54 63 114 165 192 230 246 283 INCREMENTAL NET BENEFITS Total -34 -54 -19 19 81 169 213 232 316 ------======------· ------·------ S~I TCHING VALUES AT 12% ------APPRAISAL S~ITCHING PERCENTAGE -I ~ STR EAM VALUE VALUE CHANGE Q) 0 ======--=------CT -, B. 1 2 , 195 . 58 1 , 3 70 . 21 · 37. 60% r- '7>° 11) -'• ::::, C. 1 136 . 14 961.51 606.30% ..... co 1,016.46 1,841.83 81.21% 00 C.2 ""O C.3 82.04 907 . 41 1,006.09% Q) C.4 135.58 960 .95 608.77% u -,11) TOTAL COSTS 1,370.21 2,195.58 60.24% N Net Present Value at OCC 12% = 825 .4 Internal Rate of Return= 45.4% Coupon Eguivalent Rate of Return= 21.4% CHINA SHANOONG AGRICULTURAL O~VELOPMENT PROJECT ...... -.... - .. - .. ------.... - .... - - - .. - - - .. Per Hectare Returns · Sma ll Dates - - .... - -- - .. .. -...... - Financial Analysis 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2003 2013 PRODUCT ION - .. - - -. - .. - - Gross Value 396 476 730 1070 2142 2640 COSTS .. -.... - Es tablishment Cost 517 57 Annual Costs 65 68 71 185 205 225 235 315 420 420 Total Costs 517 57 65 68 71 185 205 225 235 315 420 420 NET BENEFITS ...... Total -517 -57 ·65 ·68 · 71 · 185 191 251 495 755 1722 2220 ------======--=------==------====== Mo y 26, 1988 15:54 SMITCHING VALUES AT 12% APPRAISAL SMITCHING PERCENTAGE STREAM VALUE VALUE CHANGE ======------8.2 5,509 .61 1,968.59 ·64.27% -I~.., ~ C.5 505.96 4,046.98 699.87% r- 7' 1,462 .63 5,003.65 242 . 10% ct) ..,, C.6 ... ~ . TOTAL COSTS 1,968.59 5,509.61 179.88% '° ~ Net Present Value at OCC 12% = 3,541.1 -, Internal Rate of Return = 29.7% Coupon Equ ivalent Rote of Return= 39.5% N ••• Compiling Sub fil e TM!LE3 Cnl led by Sub( i 10 MA<;l !'lffCON CHINA SllAIIDONG AGR ICUl TURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT ...... ··-·-··---··-·-··-·· ---- Per Hect&re Returns· large Dates .... -..... --. - - .... - . - .. Financial Analys is 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2003 2013 PRODUCT I ON ...... Gross Value 486 972 1458 1944 2835 4050 COSTS ----- Establishment Costs 458 73 Annual Costs 62 66 67 104 132 148 171 195 245 280 Total Costs 458 73 62 66 67 104 132 148 171 195 245 280 NET BENEFITS -...... -.... -.. Total ·458 -73 ·62 -66 ·67 · 104 354 824 1287 1749 2590 3770 ======------====== May 26, 1988 15;54 S~ITCKING VALUES AT 12% APPRAISAL S~ITCHING PERCENTAGE STREAM VALUE VALUE CHANGE · ======B.3 8,506.15 1,443.42 -83.04% ti} ri C.7 466.05 7,528.79 1,515.46% CT -,. r- :,,:: C.8 977.37 8,040 .10 722.63% (1) ..,, TOTAl COSTS 1,41,3.42 8,506.15 489.31% ~t3 Net Present Value at OCC 12% = 7,062.8 Internal Rate of Return= 39.8% l., Coupon Equivalent Rate of Return= 85.2% N Working Paper 2 Aj:per"di X 1 Table 1 CHINA SHANOO~G AGR!CULIUPAL OE\:LOPMENT P~O JEC' ,able 2Cl. ~gr1culture and Forestry Hun1ng County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan 1 000) Base Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ======I. INVESTMENT COSTS A. Fertilizer 3,t.59. 5 3,t.59.5 B. Seed Processing 1. Land Acquisition (0.7 ha) 100 . 0 100.0 2. Civil IJorks Buildings (130 m2) 20.0 20.0 Lab/Processing IJorkshop (160 m2) 57.0 57.0 Seed Store (900 m2) 160.:J 160 .0 Orying Floor (600 m2) 28.0 28.0 Others t. 0.0 t.0.0 Sub·Total Civil I.Jerks 265.0 t.0.0 305 . 0 3. Machinery arid ~quipment Grading/Cleaning Machine 25.0 25.0 Lab. Equi;Y1en: 15.0 15.0 Other Equipment 10.0 10.0 Sub-Total Machinery and Equipment 50.0 50.0 t.. Vehicles 30.0 30 . 0 5. Ot hers 20.0 20.0 6. lrai.ning 18.0 12.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 105.0 Sub·Total Seed Processing 383 .0 152.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 610.0 c. Oate Processing 1. Civil IJorks Office (100 m2> 20 . 0 20.0 Processi ng Plant ( 1400 m2) 240. 0 2t.O. O Laboratories (t.O m2) :.. o l .0 IJarehouse (200 m2) !.0. 0 t. 0.0 Freezing Unit (1350 m2) 230.0 230. 0 Housing (1000 m2> i 10.0 110 . 0 Others (326 m2> 61 .0 61.0 Sub·Total Civi l IJorks 300.0 t.05 . 0 705.0 2. Machinery Equipment Storing Cans 100.0 100.0 Distilling Tower 100.0 100. 0 Ot hers 895.0 895.0 Sub·Total Mach inery Equ ipmen: 1,095.0 1, 095. 0 3. Training /a 65.0 150. 0 93.0 308. 0 Sub·Total Date Processing 365.0 1,650. 0 93.0 2, l OS. O Total INVESTMENT COSTS 7i.8. 0 1,802.0 3,577.5 25.0 25. 0 6,177 .s ------Total 7t.8. 0 . ,S02 . 0 3,577. 5 25.0 25. 0 6, 177. 5 ----- : :::::: ------ /a Also for fast growing tree planting component l,,,brking Paper 2 ~ix1 Table 2 CHINA SHANOONG ~GRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 202. Agriculture and Forestry· \Judi County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan '000) Sas,:, Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ======-======I. INVESTMENT COSTS A. Fert ilizer · 3,422.5 3,t.22.5 B. Seed Processing 1. Land Acquisi t ion (0.35 ha) 50.0 50 .0 2. Civ il \Jork s Bui ldings (560 m2) 190.0 190.0 Seeo Store (210 m2> 30.0 30.0 Dor,1tory/D1n1ng Hall (700 m2) 110.0 110.0 Oth€"S 45 .0 t.5.0 Sub-T otal C·v11 \Jor~~ 330.0 45.0 375.0 3. Machinery and EqJ 1pment /a 180.0 180.0 4. Othe·;; 100.0 100.0 Sub·lotal Seed Process1n; 380.0 325.0 705.0 C. Date ~-~=es ·~; 1. C1 v,, \Jorks Process ing Unit (1~00 m2) 130.0 400.0 530.0 Others (250 m2) 10.0 20.0 30.0 Sub·Tota, Civil \Jorks ll.0.0 420.0 560.0 2. Mach i ~ery Equipment Can"' "'9 Lines 100.0 300. 0 t.00.0 St or i-l3 Cans 80.0 220.0 300 .0 D1s:·,l1ng ,ower 30 . 0 90.0 120.0 Othe·s 160.0 470.0 630.0 Suo·To:a. Macn1nery EqJ1pmen t 370.0 1,080.0 1,450. 0 510. 0 1,500.0 2,010.0 890.0 1,825.0 3,~22.5 6,137.5 ------Tot 111 39:l.O 1,825.0 3,-22. 5 0, · 3-. 5 ------ /a Cotton Proce$sing Mach inery May 27, 1988 10 :09 ~rking Paper 2 ~ ix1 Table 3 CHIIIA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 203 . Agriculture and Forestry· Shanghe County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan '00()' Base Costs 1989 i990 1991 1992 1993 Total ======I. INVEST MEN T COSTS t... f ert i l I zer · 1,711.3 ',711.3 · 3.~22.5 3. Seed Processing 1. C1vi I \./orks Seed Store (800 m2) 72.0 72.0 ·,t.4 .c Others 10.0 10.0 Sub· Total Civil \./orks 72.0 82.0 154.0 2. Mach inery and Equipment Tractor and Irrigation Equip. ____ _ , 206.0 206.C . - - .. -- - - Sub·Total Machinery and Equipment 206.0 206.C 3. Vehicles 180.0 180.0 4. Others 20.0 20.0 Sub-Total ~eed Processing 72.0 t.88.0 560.0 C. Date Processing 1.Civill./orks Office (90 m2) 9.0 9. 0 Processing Plant (1104 m2) 120 . 0 120.0 Laboratories (80 m2) 9.0 9 .0 1./arehouse (320 m2) 36.0 36.0 Freezing Unit (838 m2) 531 .0 531.0 Housing (1000 m2) 91.0 91.0 Others <230 m2) 80 .0 80 . 0 Sub·Total Civil \./orks 876.0 e76.o 2. Machinery Equipment Canning Lines 210.0 210.0 Storing Cans 91.0 9i.O Distilling Tower 28.0 28.0 Others 555.0 555.0 Sub-Total Machinery Equipment 884.0 SS!..O Suo·Total Date Processing 876.0 88t..O 1,760.0 D. Training /a t.0.0 t.0.0 40.0 120.0 Total INVESTME NT COSTS 988.0 1,t.12.0 1,751.3 1,711.3 5,862. 5 ------Total 988.0 1,l.12.0 1,751.3 1,711.3 5,862.5 ------ /a Relates to date intcrplant1ng ~rking Paper 2 Al:l)erd,x 1 Table 4 CHINA S~ANOONG AGRI CULTURAL OEVE LOPME~T PROJECT Table 20,. Agricul ture and Forest ry Chip1ng County Deta iled Cost Table ("uan '000) Base Costs 1989 1990 l99l 1992 1993 Total ======I. INVESTMEN T COSTS A. Fertilizer 3,39!..8 3,39,.8 8. Seed Process ing l. Land Acqu i sition (0.7 ha) 100.0 lO O.O 2. Civil \Jor ks 1 Seed Store (800 m2> 185.0 185.0 Lab./Processing 1./orkshop c,oo m2> 50.0 30.0 so.o Oryi ng Floor (1000 m2) 63. 0 63 . 0 Others 6.J 6. 0 ..· ... Sub·Total Civil \Jorks 298.0 36. G 33,.0 3. Machi nery and Equ ipnient Grading/Cleaning Machines 50.2 50.0 Drier 80.C 80.0 Sub·Total Machinery and Equipment l30. C 130.0 ,. Vehicles (10 ton) 60.C 60.0 5. Others 76.C 76.0 Sub·Total Seed Processing 398.0 302. C 700.0 C. Date Processing l. Ci vil \Jorlcs Office (240 m2 > 25.0 25.0 Processing Plant (1200 m2) 150.0 150 . 0 Labora t ories (96 m2) 5.0 5.0 \Jarehouse <'00 m2> 50.0 s~.o Freezing Unit ( 3000 '"2 ) 250.0 300.: ss:.o Hous ing (190 m2) 20.0 2:. 0 Otners (4'0 m2) 82.:: 82.0 Sub·Tota\ Civil Jorks 500. 0 382. C 882.0 2. Machinery Eouipment •• -~ Canning Lines 21 C.J 2 I..~ Storing Cans SOC'.: so:::. J Distilling iower 60: . J 60:- . :) Others · ,066. J i,066.J Training 25. 0 100 .:: 33. 8 158. 0 Sub·Total Mach inery Eouipment 2s. o 100 . J 2,,09 . o 2, 53~ . o Sub·lotal Da t e Pr~cess 1n9 525. o ,a2.2 2,:.09.o 3.~10.0 o. Other Training /a 20.0 20 . 0 70 . 0 90.0 100.0 300. 0 Tota l INVESTMENT COSTS 9,3.0 ao,.c 5 ,873.8 9o . o 100.c 7,81 0.8 9,3.0 so, . ~ 5,873.8 90 . 0 100.C 7,81C.S ····--·-----········---·-········-·········--·-····----- / a Re l ates to planting of da t e!, and fast growi ng trees - ---...... -... -...... - ...... - ...... - ...... -..... - .. -. - - ...... \.brkirg Paper 2 ~1x1 Table 5 CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 205. Agriculture and Forestry· Shcnxian County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan 1 000) Sase Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ======I. INVESTMENT COSTS A. Ferti l izer. · 1,-06.0 1,988.8 3,394.8 B. Seed Processins 1. Civil 1./orks Seed Store (1000 m2> 181..0 t.6.0 230.0 Lab./Processing 1./orkshop t.3.0 8.0 51.0 Drying Floor (800 m2) 28.0 t. . 0 32.0 Others 2.0 2.0 Sub-Total Civil 1./orks 257.0 56.0 315.0 2. Machinery and Equipment Grading/Cleaning Machines 25.0 25.0 lab.Eouipment 30.0 30.0 Others 20.0 20.0 Sub-Total Machinery and Eouipment 55.0 20.0 75 .0 3. Vehicles (10 ton) 60.0 60.0 t.. Traini"S 62.0 10. 0 72.0 -- ·<'··- Sub-Total Seed Processing t.31..0 88.0 522.0 C. Date Processing 1. Civil ~orks Otf1ce (192 m2) 10.0 ;~.o 20.0 Processing Plant (1200 m2) 100.0 5:l.O 150.0 Laboratories <96 m2) 5.0 5.0 10.0 1./areho~se (1.00 m2) 37.0 i3.0 50.0 Freezi~g Uni t (2000 m2) - 210.0 1!:. 0 350.0 Housing (288 m2) 20.0 . : . 0 30.0 Others (265 m2) ;:.o 50.0 Sub-Total Civil 1./orks 382.0 rE.3 660.0 2. Machine·y Equ1pmen: Canning ._ ines 150.0 1,:.0 300.0 Storing Cans 150.0 15::.o 300.0 Others 3t.:: .0 3t.O.O Sub-Total ~achinery Equipment 300. 0 6t.:: .0 91.0.0 Sub-Total Date Processing - 682.0 9iS.O 1,600.0 0 . Other Training /a 60 . 0 95.0 50.0 50.0 255.0 Total INVEST MENT COSTS t.91. .0 865.0 2,37-.0 2,038.8 5,771.8 Total t.9t..o 865.o 2,37~. o 2,038.a - 5,771.8 /a Relates to date interplant1ng CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 206. Agriculture and Forestry Yanxing County Detailed·cost Table (Yuan 1 000) Base Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ------I. INVESTMENT COSTS ... -. -- -. -- ---. -- A. Fert i l i zer · 3,376.3 · 3,376.3 8. Seed Processing ------1. Civil \Jorks ------., Buildings (150 m2) 25.0 25.0 Lab/P rocess ing \Jo rkshop (100 m2) 30.0 30.0 Seed Store (800 m2) 160.0 160.0 Drying Floor (1000 m2) 70.0 70.0 Others 20.0 20.0 -. --- ...... ------.. .. - .. - ...... - .. - - - - .. Sub·Totol Civil \Jorks 285 . 0 20.0 305.0 2. Machinery and Equipment ------...... ---- - ,, .. Gradi ng/Clean ing Machi ne 25.0 25.0 Lab. Equipment 20 . 0 20.0 Trac tor/I rrigati on Equip. 200.0 200.0 Other Equipment 10.0 10.0 ----- · -··-·· ------Sub·Total Machinery and Equipment 255.0 255.0 3. Vehicles 240.0 240.0 4. Training 18.0 10.0 10.0 38.0 ···-· -··· ------Sub-Total Seed Processing 303.0 -~25 . 0 10.0 838.0 C. Other Trai ning /a 60.0 60.0 60.0 60 . 0 240.0 Total INVESTME NT COSTS 363.0 585 . 0 3,446.3 60.0 4,454 .3 --======Total 363.0 585.0 3,446.3 60.0 4,454.3 r-~1~7' -======11) -'· °' ..,.t.BX "'O ->I~ /a Relates to date interplant ing -, N May 27, 1988 10:09 CHINA SHANDONG AGRICUL TURAL DEVELOPME NT PROJEC T Table 207. Agricul t ure and Forestry· Zanhua County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan 1 000) Base Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total l. INVESTMEN T COSTS A. Fertilizer - 3,404 . 0 - 3,404.0 B. Seed Processing - ... ------1. Civi l \.lorks ------Buildings (890 m2) 1SO.O 150.0 Seed Store ( 1200 m2) 250.0 250 . 0 Drying Floor (1600 m2) 80.0 80.0 Others 20.0 20.0 . -.. - Sub-Total Civi l \.lorks 500.0 500.0 2. Milc h inery and Equipment ------······------Gruding/Cleaning Machine 50.0 50.0 Other Equipment ~0.0 50.0 ~ub- lot,ol Muchine, y und ~qu1p111cnt 100.0 100.0 3. Tra i ni n9 20 . 0 20.0 20.0 60.0 ..... ----- Sub·lotul Seed Processing 520.0 120.0 20.0 660.0 Total INVESTMENT COSTS 520.0 120.0 3,424.0 4,064.0 ------=-======l Otill 520.0 12Q.O 3,424 . 0 4,064.0 ------======8- -, ~!5~ ~ Cl) -" • .... • • • • • - ... • • • • • • • • • • ...... • r • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • ... • .. .. • • .. • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • ---1 ... ; tB May 27, 1988 10:09 ~!X -, N CHI NA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 208. Agriculture and Forestry· Binzhou County Detai t'ed Cost Table (Yuan 1 000) Base Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ------I. INVESTMENT COSTS ...... A. Fert i I i zer 3,422.5 3,422.5 B. Seed...... Processing 1. Land Acquisition (0.7 ha) 120.0 120.0 2. Civil 1./orks . ··------Buildings ( 100 m2) 24.0 24.0 Lab/Processing 1./orkshop (150 m2) 38.0 36.0 Seed Store (750 m2) 150.0 150.0 Drying Floor (800 m2) 34.0 34.0 Dormitory/Dining Hall (400 m2) 60.0 60.0 Others 40.0 40.0 ...... -- - - . - -- -... - - --. --. Sub·Total Civil 1./orks 346.0 3t.6.0 3. Machinery and Equipment ...... Grading/Cleaning Machine 25.0 25.0 Lab. Equipment 20.0 20.0 Tractor,lrrigation Equip. 10.0 10.0 Other Equipment 19.0 19.0 .. .. -- - - ... - .. -.. - ...... Sub·Total Machinery and Equipncnt 74.0 74.0 t.. veh1cle~ 60.0 60.0 5-, ...... -- ...... - ..... ------~,- '7s" Sub·Total Seed Processing 466.0 134.0 600.0 Ill -'· ...... - .. -. - - .. - .... - ...... -. . .. -..... 00 i-'• ~ X Total INVESTMENT COSTS 466.0 3,556.5 4,022.5 _. "'O ------Total 466 . 0 3,556.5 4,022.5 ~-, ======. N ...... May 27, 1988 10:09 CHINA SHA NOONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 209. Agriculture and Forestry· Jiyan County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan '000) Base Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ------I. INVESTME NT COSTS ...... -.. --..... A. Fertilizer · 3,376.3 3,376.3 8. Seed Processing .... - . -.... - - - - .... 1. Land Acquisition (0.7 ha) 100.0 100.0 2. Civ il \Jorks ...... Seed Store (640 m2) 187.0 187.0 Drying Floor (1000 m2> 60.0 60.0 Ot hers 13.0 13.0 ----. -- -·- ...... ··---- - Sub·Total Civil \Jorks 247. 0 13.0 260.0 3. Machinery and Equipcnent ...... -...... -...... - .. .. Grading/Cleaning Mach ine 50.0 50.0 Other Equipment 20.0 20.0 ...... Sub-Total Machinery and Equipment 70.0 . f 70.0 t.. Vehicles 120.0 120.0 ------···· .. ... -- -- ····- . . Sub-To tal Seed Processing 347.0 203. 0 550.0 Total INVESTMENT COS TS 347.0 203.0 3,376.3 3,926.3 ------Total 347.0 203.0 3,376.3 3,926.3 -t ~ ~ ., r- '7C" • lb ..J, -0 i..J, t6 )( Hay 27, 1988 10:09 -0 --~., N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 210. Ag riculture and Forestry· Gaotang County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan '000) Base Costs ------. -. -..... ------.-- -- 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ======I. INVESTMENf COSTS ------· A. Fertilizer 3,459.5 3,459.5 B. Seed Process ing ------l. Land Acqu is i t ion .<0 . 7 ha) 100.0 100.0 2. Civ i l \Jorlcs ---·------Bui ldings (440 m2) 50.0 50 . 0 Lab/Processi ng \Jorkshop 30.0 30. 0 Seed Store (450 m2) 100.0 100.0 Drying Floor (1000 m2) 60.0 60.0 Dormitory/D ining Hall 55.0 55.0 Others 20.0 20.0 ...... ------· ...... ------Sub-Total Ci vi l I.Jer ks 240.0 75.0 315.0 3. Machinery and Equipment -. - .. -.... ----. - Lab. Equipment 20 . 0 20.0 Other Equipment 55.0 55.0 Sub-Total Machinery and Equipment 75.0 75 . 0 4. Vehicles 60.0 60 . 0 -- --- ...... Sub-Total Seed Processing 340.0 210.0 550 . 0 C. Training /a 60.0 90.0 100.0 250 . 0 Total INVESTMENT COSTS 340 . 0 210 . 0 3,519.5 90.0 100.0 4,259.5 ~--l -,~ ~ i ------It) "-'• Total 340.0 210 . 0 3,519.5 90.0 100.0 4,259.5 ox_. -'· i ----======------_.i. -0 -, /a Relates to planting of fast growing trees N May 27, 1988 10:09 .. CHINA SHA NDONG AGRICUllURAL DEVELOPMEN l PROJECl Table 211. Agriculture and Forestry· Donge County Detailed Cost lable (Yuan '000) Bnse Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 lotal I. INVESlMENl COS TS ...... ··········· A. Fc-rtilizer · 3,700.0 · 3,700.0 8. Seed...... Procc-ssing 1. c...... 1v 1l \Jork.s Lab/Processing \Jor k. shop (SOD m2> 100 .0 100.0 Seed Store (630 m2) 200.0 200.0 Drying Floor (800 m2) 50.0 50.0 Ot hc- rs 10.0· 10. 0 ... - ...... ,. Sub·lotal C1v1l \Jorks 360.0 360.0 2. Machinery and Equ ipnent -. -. -...... -. --...... Grading/Clenning Machine 100.0 100.0 Other Equipnent 30.0 30.0 .... ···- ...... ------Sub·Total Machinery and Equip01cnt 130.0 130.0 3. Vehicles 60 . 0 60.0 ... - . . --- ...... -- .. .. . - - .. -.... -.. Sub·Total Seed Processing 420.0 130.0 550.0 C. lraining /a 85.0 85.0 40.0 210.0 ...... Total INVESlMENl COSlS 505.0 215.0 40.0 3,700.0 · 4,460.0 -Ii;,-~ -,.,,_.. 11> -'• Total 505.0 215.0 40.0 3,700.0 4,460.0 ..... -'• in ======_. X -0 ->I~ ------····················'· -, /a Relates t o date interplanting N ...... , ...... May 27, 1988 10 :09 CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 212. Ag ricul ture and Forestry · Yangqu County Detai·led Cost Table (Yuan 1 000) Bnse Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total I. INVESTMENT COSTS ...... A. Fertilizer · 1,729.8 1,729.8 · 3,t.59. 5 8. seed Processing ...... 1. Civil 1./orks -.. - .. -- ... - Seed Store ClOOO m2) 250.0 250.0 Drying Floor (2000 m2) 80.0 80.0 ...... ···- ...... - .. - ···- -·· .... Sub·Total Civil 1./orks 330.0 330.0 2. Machinery and Equipment ...... --...... -- - ...... - .. . Grading/Clenning Machine 200.0 200.0 Drier 80.0 80.0 Other Equipment 20.0 20.0 .. -- ...... ···- ...... Sub·Total Mnch1nery and Equipment 300.0 300.0 ...... - .... -... -.... - - .. - .... -- --...... Sub·Total Seed Processing 330.0 300.0 630.0 C. Training /a 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 80.0 ...... -...... Total INVESTMENT COSTS 350.0 320.0 1,7t.9.8 1,749.8 4, 169.S ------··- -- Iota! 350.0·320.0 1,749.8 1,749.8 4,169.5 B--i -, ======~= ,.... is:'7<:" It) ...... ~ /a Relates to date 1nterplanting N:.i -, Mny 27, 1988 10:09 N • > CH INA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT fable Z13. Da t e lnterplanting · Huning County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan ' 000 ) Base Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total I. INVESTMENT...... COSTS A. Materials ...... Pl0nting Mat cr1:il 310.0 805.0 540.0 ,.5. 0 1,700.0 r c, ti l i zcr,; 30.0 145 .0 220 .0 105.0 500.0 Equipment 16.0 1.0.0 21. . 0 80.0 Others 10.0 35.0 1.0.0 15.0 100.0 ...... - - . - ...... - ... -- .. - - - - . Sub·Total Mater ial s :?;66.0 1, 025 .0 821. . 0 165 .0 2,380. 0 B. Labour...... Costs..... Land Preparation 150. 0 375.0 225 .0 750.0 Holing 150. 0 375 .0 225.0 750 . 0 Planting 130.0 325.0 195. 0 650.0 Others 51. .0 155.0 131.0 30.0 370.0 --. . . -- - ...... -. - . . . . -. - - ---. . .. --.. Sub-Total Labour Costs t.Bt.. 0 1, 230. 0 776.0 30.0 2,520.0 ...... - . - - . -- ... -.. -- -... - - ...... -.. Total INVESTMENT COSTS 850.0 2,255.0 1, 600 . 0 195.0 4,900.0 --======-== Total 850.0 2,255.0 1,600.0 195.0 4,900.0 --======el- 5-, -Iir- '7':" (1) ...... May 27, 1988 10: 10 ...... i vi X -"i-, N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVEL OPMEN T PROJECT Table 214. Date lnterplanting· Yanxing County Detailed Cos t Table (Yuan 1 000) .. Bnsc Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total I . INVESTMENT COSTS A. Materinl'- Planting Mat erial 310.0 805.0 540.0 45.0 1,700.0 fert i l i ZC?rs 30.0 145.0 220.0 105.0 500.0 Equipm~nt 16.0 40.0 24.0 80.0 Others 10.0 35.0 40.0 15.0 100.0 - - - ...... -. - ..... -. . .. -- ...... Sub·Total Materials 366.0 1,025.0 824.0 165.0 2,380.0 B. Labour Cos ts ...... Land Preparation 150 . 0 375.0 225.0 750.0 Hol 1ng 150 . 0 375.0 225.0 750.0 Planting 130 . 0 325.0 195.0 650.0 Others 54.0 155.0 131.0 30.0 370.0 ···-- ...... -···· ...... Sub-Total Labour Cos t s 484. 0 1,230.0 776.0 30.0 2,520.0 ...... ·--··-· ...... ···- ··-··-· Total INVESTMENT COSTS 850 . 0 2,255.0 1,600.0 195.0 4,900.0 ----======Total 850.0 2,255.0 1,600.0 195.0 4,900.0 ----======~ -, ,-.... i~7' 11> ..., • May 27, 1988 10: 10 .. ...> ...,, 16 ~x -0 ->I~ -, N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 215. Date lnterplanting· Zanhua County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan '000) Base Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total l. INVESTMENT COSTS ...... A. Materials -- --····· Planting Material 310.0 805.0 51.0.0 t.5.0 · 1,700.0 Fert i l I zers 30.0 11.5.0 220.0 105.0 500.0 Equipment 16.0 t.0.0 21. .0 80.0 Oth<'rS 10.0 35.0 t.0.0 15.0 100.0 ------... - .. . - ... - ...... ------Sub·Total Mat erials 366. 0 1, 025 . 0 824.0 165.0 2,380 . 0 B. Labour Costs ...... -..... Land Preparation 150.0 375.0 225.0 750.0 Holing 150.0 375.0 225.0 750.0 Planting 130.0 325.0 195.0 650.0 Others 54.0 155.0 131.0 30.0 370.0 - ...... -. -.... - .. - .. - ---- ...... Sub·Total Labour Costs 1.84.0 1,230.0 776.0 30.0 2,520.0 ...... - ...... - - ...... Total INVESTMENT COSTS 850.0 2,255.0 1,600.0 195.0 t.,900.0 ======Totnl 850.0 2,255.0 1,600.0 195.0 4,900.°' ======--lity~ , ,- ~ '1) -'• -' -'• ~ May 27, 1988 10:10 V1 X -'i, N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 216. Da t e Interplanting · ~udi County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan 1 000) B,1SC Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ------======------I. INVESTMENT COSTS ···------..... A. M;itcrials ------Planting Material 310.0 805.0 540.0 45.0 1,700 .0 Fertilizers 30.0 145.0 220 .0 105 . 0 500.0 Equipment 16.0 40.0 24.0 80.0 Others 10.0 35.0 40.0 15 .0 100.0 ------··- --· ------...... Sub-Total Materials 366.0 1,025.0 824.0 165.0 2,380.0 8. L...... ;ibour Co!: ts Land Preparation 150.0 375.0 225 .0 750.0 Hot ing 150.0 375.0 225.0 750.0 Planting 130.0 325.0 195.0 650.0 Others 54.0 155.0 131.0 30.0 370.0 ·---- .... . - -- ······------·····-- Sub·Total Labour Costs 484.0 1,230.0 776 . 0 30.0 2,520.0 ------.... ---· ------Total INVESTMENT COSTS 850 . 0 2,25"5.0 1,600 . 0 195.0 4,900.0 --======Total 850.0 2,255 . 0 1,600.0 195.0 4,900.0 ---======...... ------... -...... - -.... --...... - .. - - ...... - -...... - - .. -..... - .. - -- - .. - ...... - .. -.... -. ~ -, May 27, 1988 10:10 -ii~r- ,.... Cl) -'· .... -'• in 0- X -0 ->I~ -, N CHINA SHA NDONG AGRICUL TUR AL DEVELOPMEN T PROJECT Table 217. Date lnterplanting · Shanghe County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan '000) Base Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ==2======------~ I. INVEST MENI COSTS ...... A. Materials ···--···· Planting Material 240.0 502.0 524 . 0 44.0 · 1,310.0 fertilizers 40.0 130.0 180.0 100.0 450.0 Equipment 160.0 320.0 ;20.0 800.0 Others 60.0 130.0 140.0 20 . 0 350.0 ------· ------...... ------··· Sub·Total Materials 500.0 1,082.0 1, 164.0 164.0 2,910.0 B. Labour Costs ...... Lond Preparation 160.0 320.0 320.0 000.0 Holing 180.0 360.0 360.0 900.0 Planting 100.0 200.0 200.0 500.0 Others 20.0 60.0 80.0 40.0 200.0 . - - .. .. - .. -. - ...... -. . - . --- .. ---...... -. Sub·Total Labour Costs 460.0 940.0 960.0 40.0 2,400.0 - .... - ...... - - ...... - ... . -...... - -.... -- Total INVESTMENT COSTS 960.0 2,022.0 2,124.0 204.0 5,310.0 ~ -,~ ======-4!,- 7'" Total 960.0 2,022 . 0 2,124.0 204.0 5,310.0 (I) -'· ======--======~ -'• tB °" X "U ~;~. 27:. i 988. -i o; i o...... - ...... ~~ -, N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 218. Date lnterplanting · Donge County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan '000) Base Cos t s 1909 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ::::: ======I. INVESTMENT COSTS A. Materials ------· Planting Material 120.0 731.0 426.0 33.0 1,310.0 Fcrt I l 1 zcrs 20.0 145.0 210.0 75.0 450.0 Equipment 80.0 480.0 240.0 800.0 Others 30.0 185 . 0 120.0 15.0 350.0 . -. -. - - .. -- ...... -- .. . - -... - .. - ...... Sub·lotal Materials 250.0 1, 541.0 996.0 123.0 2,910.0 B. Labour Costs - ...... -...... Land Preparation 80.0 480.0 240.0 800.0 Hol mg 90.0 540.0 270.0 900.0 Planting 50.0 300.0 150.0 500.0 Others 10.0 70.0 90.0 30.0 200.0 - ...... -- -- ...... - - .. - - ...... Sub-Total Labour Costs 230.0 1,390. 0 750.0 30.0 2,400.0 -- ...... - .. .. - .. - .. -- .. - .. - .. - ..... - .... -...... Total INVESTMENT COSTS 480.0 2,931.0 1,746.0 153.0 5,310.0 ---======480.0 2,931.0 1,746.0 153.0 5,310.0 B- .., Total -Ii~r- -,c:- -======(1) .... . _...... ~· May 27, 1988 10: 10 (X) ~( .., N CHINA SHANOONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 219. Date Jnterplanting · Gaotang County Octnilcd co~t Tnbl c (Yuan '000) B;:,c;c Cost!: 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total I. INVESTMENT COS TS ... ------. -... - -- A. Materials ...... -..... -. Planting Material 120.0 l.91.0 404.0 273.0 22.0 1,310.0 ren i Ii zers 20.0 105.0 160.0 115.0 50.0 450.0 Equipment 80.0 320.0 240.0 160 . 0 800 . 0 Others 30.0 125.0 110 .0 75.0 10.0 350.0 - - . .. . - - - ...... - -. - - .. - - .. -. -- - -... - - --... -- Sub·Total Materials 250. 0 1, 04 l . 0 91l. .0 623 .0 82.0 2,910.0 B. labour Costs .. -----...... - Land Preparat ion 80.0 320.0 240.0 160.0 800.0 Holing 90.0 360.0 270.0 180.0 900.0 Planting 50 .0 200.0 150.0 100.0 500.0 Others 10. 0 50.0 70.0 50.0 20.0 200.0 ------...... Sub·Total Labour Cos t s 230.0 930.0 730.0 l.90.0 20.0 2, 400.0 ------·-· ...... Total INVESTMENT COSTS 480.0 1,971.0 1,644.0 1,113.0 102.0 5,310.0 ======·======Total 480.0 1,971.0 1,6t.l..O 1,115.0 102.0 5,310.0 ===== ::::::; ~======~======5 May 27 , 1988 10:10 ~/DI[~ ~-~ '°:1, N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 220. Fast Growing Trees · Gaotang County Detailed Cost Table (Yuan '000) Base Costs ...... 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ======I. INVESTMENT COSTS ·······--·-- A. Materials ...... --..... Planting Material 87.8 98.6 99.2 11 .1 296.5 Fcrt i l i zers 54 .9 105. 4 105.7 50.9 316.8 Organic Manure 71.8 71.6 72. 1 215 ,I. Equipment 8.5 8.5 8.5 25.4 Others 4.3 6.4 6.4 2.2 19.1 ...... ~ .. ---. . -...... - -. -- Sub·lotal Materials 227.1 290.3 291.7 64 . 1 873.0 B. Labour Costs 227.9 233.7 235.3 6.4 703.2 Total INVESTMENT COSTS 455 .0 523.9 527.0 70.4 1,576.2 ======Tot;il 455 .0 523 .9 527.0 70.4 1,576.2 May 27, 1988 10:10 et_.!; ., ~ 7'" (I) .... ~ x' tB ~i., N CH INA SHANDONG AG RICULIURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 221. Dote lnterplatning · Ynngqu County Detailed Cost Table (Yunn '000) Sasc Ci;s.t :-. 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total I. INVESTMENT COSTS ...... A. Mat er ials ······· ... Planting Materinl 180.0 736.5 366.0 27.5 1,310.0 Fert il izers 30.0 15 7.5 200.0 62.5 450.0 Equ ipnen t 120 . 0 480.0 200.0 800.0 Other!- 45.0 187.5 105.0 12.5 350.0 ------. - - - - .. - . - - -. -...... -... - .. Sub-Total Materials 375 . 0 1,561.5 871 .0 102.5 2,910. 0 B. Labour Costs ...... Land Preparation 120.0 480.0 200.0 800.0 Ho ling 135.0 540.0 225.0 900.0 Pl anting 75 .0 300.0 125.0 500.0 Others 15.0 75 . 0 85.0 25.0 200.0 ...... ------·· ...... Sub- Total Labour Costs 345.0 1,395.0 635.0 25 .0 2,400.0 .... -...... - . -. . . ------...... - Total INVES TMENT COSTS 720.0 2,956.5 1,506.0 127.5 5,310. 0 ======Total 720.0 2,956 . 5 1,506.0 127.5 5,310 .0 ------ May 27, 1988 10:10 CT -, r- 'J<:" at!~C'I) -'• N _., t3 -" X "U ....,.~ .., N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 222. Date lnterplating -. Chiping County Detailed Cost Table CYuan '000) Base Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ======:;;;;:: I. INVESTMENT COSTS ...... A. Materials -- -- -···· Planting Material 360.0 513.0 404.0 33.0 1,310.0 Fert i Ii zers 60.0 155 .0 160.0 75.0 450.0 Equipment 240.0 320.0 240 . 0 800.0 Others 90.0 135 .0 110.0 15.0 350.0 ...... -...... Sub-Total Materials 750.0 1,123.0 914.0 123.0 2,910.0 B. Labour Costs --- - ...... -..... Land Preparation 240.0 320.0 240.0 800.0 Holing 270.0 360.0 270.0 900.0 Planting 150.0' 200.0 150.0 500.0 Others 30.0 70.0 70 .0 30.0 200.0 ...... -. .. .. --. ------.. - - -. - - - Sub-Total Labour Costs 690.0 950.0 730.0 30.0 2,400.0 ...... - -...... - ... -. . --... Total INVESTMENT COSTS 1, 440.0 2,073 .0 1,6~4.0 153.0 5,310.0 === =--======~=== Total 1,440.0 2,073.0 1,644.0 153.0 5,310.0 -, ------,--41~ ~.,_ ro ...... -.... -. ------..... ---- ..... --- ...... - . --...... -... - .... - .. - - .. - - -- ...... - .. .. -- -- N ..... ia May 27, 1988 10:10 NX~I -, N ...... CH lllA SHA NDOMG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPM(N T PROJECT Table 223. Fas t Growing Trees - Chiping County Detailed Cost table (Yuan '000) Base Co•.t s 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total I...... INVESTMENI...... COSTS A. Materials ···- ····- Planting Material 173. 5 195.2 21. 7 390.4 Fertilizers 108.5 208.5 100.1 417 .0 Organic Manure 141.8 141.8 283.6 Equipment 16.7 16.7 33.4 Other!. 8.4 12.6 4.2 25 . l ...... ····· -- ..... -...... -·-- ...... Sub·Total Materials 41.8 .7 574.7 126.0 1, 149.3 6. Labou1 Costs 450.4 462.9 12.6 925.8 ...... -- -- - ...... lot.ii INVES TMENT COSTS 899.1 1,037.5 138.5 2,075.0 ======Total 899.1 1,037.5 138.5 2,075.0 ====== Hay 27, 1988 10: 10 -41;8-,- .,...-, Cl) -'• ~ x·~ ~( -, N CHINA SHANDONG AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Table 224. Date lnterpl;:int1n9 · Shenx1an C0un1y Detailed Cost Table (Yuan '000> Bnsc Costs 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Total ======---== I . INVESTMENT COSTS . - ---. --.... A. Materials --- --·· .. Planting Material 60.0 125.5 431.0 458.5 218.5 1,293.5 Fertilizers 10.0 32.5 95.0 157.5 117.5 412.5 Equipment 40.0 80.0 280.0 280.0 120.0 800.0 Others 15. 0 32.5 110.0 122.5 62.5 342.5 -...... -...... -...... --- . . -- . - .. - .. - -. - Sub- Total Ma t erials 125.0 270.5 916.0 1,010.5 518.5 2,848.5 B. Labour Costs --·········· Land Preparation 40.0 80.0 280.0 280.0 120.0 800.0 Holing 45 . 0 90.0 315.0 315.0 135 . 0 900.0 Planting 25.0 50.0 175.0 175.0 75:0 500.0 Others 5. 0 15.0 45.0 70.0 50.0 185.0 -- . ------.. -- . --...... -. Sub-Total Labour Costs 115.0 235.0 815.0 840.0 380.0 2,385 . 0 Total INVESTMENT COSTS 240 . 0 505.5 1,731.0 1,858.5 898.5 5,233.5 ======Total 240 . 0 505.5 1,731.0 1,858.5 898.5 5,233 .5 --~ ------= ---=- ====== ~ ., May 27, 1988 10:10 ,- 7' ~i5(I) ~ . N ~.ia ~:.( ., N ' •