applied sciences
Article Design Optimization and Experimental Verification of Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor Used in Electric Compressors in Electric Vehicles
Soo-Whang Baek 1 and Sang Wook Lee 2,*
1 Department of Automotive Engineering, Honam University, 417 Eodeung-daero, Gwangsan-gu, Gwangju 62399, Korea; [email protected] 2 Department of Mechanical Design Engineering, Wonkwang University, 460 Iksan-daero, Iksan-si, Jeollabuk-do 54538, Korea * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +82-63-850-6968
Received: 9 April 2020; Accepted: 3 May 2020; Published: 6 May 2020
Featured Application: Optimal design of permanent magnet synchronous motors (PMSMs) used in electric compressors in electric vehicles. Based on the proposed optimization method, the efficiency and cogging torque characteristics of the PMSM can be improved.
Abstract: In this study, a shape design optimization method is proposed to improve the efficiency of a 3 kW permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) used in an electric compressor intended for use in an electric vehicle. The proposed method improves the efficiency performance of the electric compressor by improving the torque characteristics of the initial PMSM model. The dimensions of the rotor were set as the design variables and were chosen to maximize efficiency and reduce cogging torque. During the determination of the design points with conventional Latin hypercube design, the experimental points may be closely related to each other. Therefore, the optimal Latin hypercube design was used to optimally distribute the experimental points evenly and improve the space filling characteristics. The Kriging model was used as an interpolation model to predict the optimal values of the design variables. This allowed the formulation of more accurate prediction models with multiple design variables, complex reactions, or nonlinearities. A genetic algorithm was used to identify the optimal solution for the design variables. It was used to satisfy the objective function and to determine the optimal design variables based on established constraints. The optimal design results obtained based on the proposed shape optimization method were confirmed by finite element analyses. For practical verification, the optimal model of the prototype PMSM of an electric compressor was manufactured, and a 1.5% improvement in its efficiency performance was confirmed based on an experimental dynamometer test.
Keywords: optimal design; metamodeling; electric compressor; permanent magnet; synchronous motor
1. Introduction As the environmental pollution of internal combustion engine vehicles becomes serious, interest in eco-friendly vehicles and hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) are increasing worldwide [1]. Among them, electric vehicles (EVs) are in the spotlight as pollution-free automobiles that reduce fuel efficiency [2] and have no harmful emissions because they use only electric energy in the system instead of the engine of an internal combustion engine [3]. Therefore, EV has been proposed as one of the methods to solve fossil fuel depletion and environmental problems, and research on it has been actively conducted worldwide [4].
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 3235; doi:10.3390/app10093235 www.mdpi.com/journal/applsci Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 3235 2 of 16
Recently, the PMSM has been used in parts for electric vehicles because it has excellent efficiency characteristics compared with induction motors [5]. PMSM is a structure in which a permanent magnet is embedded in the iron core of the rotor, and the magnetic flux weakening operation area can be widened depending on the difference in inductance of the d-q axis [6]. Because of these advantages, it is widely used in EV or HEV where variable speed operation is required [7]. An electric compressor for air conditioning of electric vehicles has been developed, and by applying high-efficiency PMSM to the compressor, it has the advantage of increasing fuel efficiency regardless of the vehicle’s driving speed [8]. Optimal design is essential to meet the various design requirements of PMSM. Optimal design is a method of finding the value of a design variable and obtaining an optimal solution within a limited design area [9]. The previous researches on the optimal design of PMSM can be divided into two categories. First, there are studies using the magnetic equivalent circuits (MEC) model [10,11]. In [10], it was proposed as a study on optimization using MEC model. It has been reported that the MEC optimization method combined with the optimization algorithm can optimize the volume and energy loss of PMSM. In addition, a novel MEC model of PMSM was developed to obtain maximum efficiency, minimum weight and price [11]. However, MEC-based design has a problem in that it is difficult to accurately consider the nonlinearity of parameters. Second, there are studies that combine numerical analysis methods of electrical devices such as finite element analysis (FEA) with optimal design algorithms [12,13]. FEA was performed to take into account the nonlinearity of permanent magnets and electrical steel sheets, which are difficult to consider in MEC. In [12], an optimal design of PMSM based on dynamic characteristics and finite element analysis of PMSM was performed. Design variables that influenced the efficiency characteristics of PMSM were selected and the efficiency and response characteristics were improved through experiments. In [13], the authors announced the optimization design process of PMSM for electric compressors of air conditioners applied to electric vehicles and hybrid vehicles. Research on the optimal design of PMSM using the response surface method has been carried out. In particular, the response surface method is often used in the optimization design of permanent magnet motors. The response surface method typically uses a second order polynomial regression model. However, it is difficult to accurately predict the optimum value because the response surface method becomes highly nonlinear and yields an unstable high-order prediction function. As a similar study related to PMSM, the rated efficiency was improved through the optimum design of 110 W small brushless direct current (BLDC) motor [14]. In addition, a study was conducted to improve the performance of the electric variable valve timing system for improving fuel efficiency and emission of automobiles [15]. Cogging torque is one of the most representative components of torque ripple in PMSM. This phenomenon can be a critical issue to automotive applications that need precision control of the PMSM and are sensitive to noise and vibration. Therefore, recently, studies to improve efficiency and reduce cogging torque have been actively conducted, and mainly focused on reducing the cogging effect by adjusting the combination of pole slot number, pole arc, and core shape [16,17]. Furthermore, the study of [18] performed multi-purpose shape optimization of PMSM based on FEA and particle swarm optimization algorithms. Unlike the existing methods, the proposed rule of start point selection takes an advantage of minimizing the search time. A study has been conducted on the multi-purpose optimized design PMSM of fractional slotted windings [19]. The optimization results demonstrated the accuracy of the proposed model with comparison to numerical models such as FEA, but with much faster computational performance which makes it much more suitable to be used in evolutionary optimization design approaches. Most of the previous studies were applied to the optimal design using metamodels created in one way [20,21]. In general, FEA’s design of experiment (DOE) consists of a modeling process using CAD Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 3235 3 of 16 tools, an FEA analytical condition setting process, a FEA process, and a post-process for extracting and configuring results. A lot of DOE has to be done to get reliable and optimal design results. AsAppl. a Sci. related 2020, 10 study,, x FOR PEER Taguchi REVIEW method was used to optimize the efficiency and cogging3 torqueof 15 of BLDC motors used in automotive electric oil pumps. However, to obtain DOE results, 336 FE analyses extracting and configuring results. A lot of DOE has to be done to get reliable and optimal design for five design variables were required [22]. results. ThisAs study a related differs study, from Taguchi previous method studies was givenused to that optimize five designthe efficiency variables and werecogging selected torque forof the DOEBLDC and 54 motors experiments used in automotive were performed. electric Tooil improvepumps. However, the efficiency to obtain of theDOE design results, variable 336 FE analyses distribution, the optimalfor five design Latin hypercubevariables were design required (OLHD) [22]. [23,24] was used with an equal number of levels for all the designThis study variables differs that from has previous a better studies fill performance given that five than design Latin variables hypercube were selected design (LHD)for the [25]. NumerousDOE and studies 54 experiments have been publishedwere performed. on metamodeling To improve conductedthe efficiency based of the on thedesign application variable of a singledistribution, method [26 the,27 optimal]. However, Latin hypercube there are design suitable (OLHD) metamodels [23,24] was for used each with optimal an equal design number problem. of Correspondingly,levels for all the the design metamodels variables that need has to abe better written fill performance and compared than Lati in variousn hypercube ways. design Given (LHD) that the prediction[25]. Numerous performance studies of thehave metamodel been published affects on the metamodeling reliability of conducted the optimal based design, on the it application is necessary to of a single method [26,27]. However, there are suitable metamodels for each optimal design problem. evaluate the accuracy of each metamodel. Therefore, we evaluated three representative metamodels, Correspondingly, the metamodels need to be written and compared in various ways. Given that the includingprediction Kriging performance [28], multilayer of the metamodel perceptron affects (MLP) the reliability [29], and of ensemble the optimal of design, decision it is tree necessary (EDT) [30], and comparedto evaluate thethe metamodelingaccuracy of each results. metamodel. The predicted Therefore, performances we evaluated ofthree the metamodelsrepresentative were evaluatedmetamodels, and compared including basedKriging on [28], the multilayer root-mean-square perceptron error(MLP) (RMSE) [29], and test, ensemble the results, of decision and tree Kriging was selected(EDT) [30], as and the compared best metamodel. the metamodeling In this paper, results. Kriging The predicted model performances can evaluate of the models metamodels with many designwere variables, evaluated complex and compared responses, based or strongon the root-m nonlinearitiesean-square more error accurately. (RMSE) test, the results, and TheKriging genetic was selected algorithm as the (GA) best [31 metamodel.] was used In for this the paper, determination Kriging model of thecan optimalevaluate designmodels variableswith basedmany on the design objective variables, functions complex and responses, constraints or strong set for nonlinearities the optimization. more accurately. To verifyThe genetic the validity algorithm of the (GA) proposed [31] was optimizationused for the determination design results, of the the optimal characteristics design variables of the initial based on the objective functions and constraints set for the optimization. and the optimal models (back-electromotive force (EMF), cogging torque, and torque ripple) were To verify the validity of the proposed optimization design results, the characteristics of the initial evaluatedand the based optimal on models finite element(back-electromotive analyses, andforce the(EMF), results cogging were torque, compared. and torque To verifyripple) feasibility,were the proposedevaluated optimizationbased on finite methodelement analyses, was applied and the to results the design were ofcompared. a 3 kW To PMSM verify used feasibility, in an the electric compressor,proposed and optimization the method’s method performance was applied was to comparedthe design withof a the3 kW results PMSM obtained used in froman electric the initial modelcompressor, with finite and element the method’s analysis. performance Finally, prototype was compar PMSMsed with were the fabricatedresults obtained and dynamometerfrom the initial tests weremodel performed with finite to confirm element the analysis. suitability Finally, of the prototype proposed PMSMs shape were optimization fabricated design.and dynamometer tests were performed to confirm the suitability of the proposed shape optimization design. 2. PMSM for Electric Compressor 2. PMSM for Electric Compressor The compressor of a vehicle operated by a conventional internal combustion engine is driven by the drivingThe force compressor of the engine. of a vehicle Correspondingly, operated by a conventi when theonal compressor internal combustion is operating, engine the is driven output by power the driving force of the engine. Correspondingly, when the compressor is operating, the output of the engine is reduced. In addition, given that the engine contains various mechanical components, power of the engine is reduced. In addition, given that the engine contains various mechanical unnecessary power consumptions occur that lead to increased fuel consumption. To solve this problem, components, unnecessary power consumptions occur that lead to increased fuel consumption. To an electricsolve this compressor problem, drivenan electric by compressor a motor was driven developed. by a motor The was electric developed. compressor The electric has ancompressor advantage in that ithas can an be advantage mounted in onthat an it can electric be mounted vehicle on based an electric on the vehicle utilization based ofon thethe utilization energy of of the the high-voltage energy batteryof ofthe the high-voltage electric vehicle. battery The of systemthe electric used vehicle. to cool The an electricsystem vehicleused to iscool composed an electric of avehicle high-voltage is battery,composed an inverter, of a high-voltage and an electric battery, compressor, an inverter, and and is an shown electric in compressor, Figure1. and is shown in Figure 1.
FigureFigure 1. 1.Cooling Cooling componentscomponents of of an an electric electric vehicle. vehicle. Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 3235 4 of 16 Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 4 of 15
FigureFigure2 2 shows shows the the shape shape of of an an initial initial PMSM PMSM model model used used for for an an electric electric compressor. compressor. The The PMSM PMSM selectedselected forfor thisthis studystudy hashas anan interiorinterior permanentpermanent magnetmagnet (IPM)(IPM) typetype withwith anan 88 polepole/12/12 slotslot structurestructure withwith aa concentrated concentrated winding winding method method in considerationin consideratio ofn vibrationof vibration and and noise. noise. Initial Initial designs designs have beenhave establishedbeen established to satisfy to satisfy the given the specifications. given specificatio Thens. current The densitycurrent ofdensity the stator of the winding stator iswinding designed is designed to be less than 72 Arms/mm2 at maximum speed. The reference temperature condition is 20 to be less than 7 Arms/mm at maximum speed. The reference temperature condition is 20 ◦C. The specifications°C. The specifications of the initial of the model initial are model listed are in Tablelisted1 in. Table 1.
FigureFigure 2.2.Shape Shape of of conventional conventional permanent permanent magnet magnet synchronous synchronous motor (PMSM) motor for(PMSM) an electric for compressor.an electric Tablecompressor. 1. Specifications of the initial model of permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) (rpm: revolutions per minute, EMF: electromotive force). Table 1. Specifications of the initial model of permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) (rpm: revolutions per minute, EMF: electromotiveItems force). Unit Value
ItemsInput voltageUnit VValue 380 Rated speed rpm 6000 Required specification Input voltage V 380 Rated outputRated speed power rpm W 6000 3000 Required specification OperationRated output frequency power W Hz 3000 400 Stator’sOperation outer diameterfrequency Hz mm 400 93 Stator’sStator’s inner outer diameter diameter mm mm 93 51 Rotor’sStator’s outer inner diameter diameter mm mm 51 50.2 Mechanical dimension Rotor’s outer diameter mm 50.2 Mechanical dimension Shaft diameter mm 20 AirShaft gap lengthdiameter mm mm 20 0.4 StackAir gap length length mm mm 0.4 60 Stack length mm 60 CoilCoil turns turns 40 40 ElectricalElectrical dimension dimension mmmm CoilCoil thickness thickness 0.9 0.9 ElectricalElectrical steel steel 35PN23035PN230 MaterialMaterial - - PermanentPermanent magnet magnet N42UH N42UH Back-EMF(@1000rpm) Vrms 27.8 Back-EMF(@1000rpm)Cogging torque(peak to peak) Nm V rms 0.3479 27.8 Characteristics CoggingTorque(@rated torque(peak speed) to peak) Nm Nm 4.775 0.3479 Characteristics Torque(@ratedInput current(@rated speed) speed) Arms Nm 12.85 4.775 InputEfficiency(@rated current(@rated speed) % Arms 91.40 12.85 Efficiency(@rated speed) % 91.40 3. Design Optimization 3. Design Optimization 3.1. Rotor Shape Optimization Process 3.1. Rotor Shape Optimization Process The proposed optimization process was performed by taking into account the rotor shape of the The proposed optimization process was performed by taking into account the rotor shape of the PMSM as a design variable and by taking into account the efficiency and cogging torque. The PMSM as a design variable and by taking into account the e ciency and cogging torque. The proposed proposed optimization process for the design of PMSM isffi illustrated in Figure 3. optimization process for the design of PMSM is illustrated in Figure3. The proposed optimization process is as follows. Depending on the design specifications of the initial model, design variables are selected that improve the efficiency and reduce cogging torque characteristics. To execute the DOE, the design variables were determined using OLHD. The efficiency and cogging torque characteristics of the sampling models were calculated based on finite element analyses. To ensure the accuracy of the DOE results, metamodeling of multipurpose functions and constraints used the following three techniques: Kriging model, MLP, and EDT. For the evaluation of the predictive performance of the metamodel, the best approximation modeling method was adopted Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 5 of 15
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 3235 5 of 16
based on the comparison of the results of RMSE. The objective functions and constraints were set to achieve the required target specifications. To obtain the values of the design variables of the optimal model, metamodeling results were obtained with the optimal GA algorithm. Finally, if the target designAppl. Sci. result2020, 10 does, x FOR not PEER appear, REVIEW the optimization process is restarted by adjusting the design variables.5 of 15
Figure 3. Proposed optimization process.
The proposed optimization process is as follows. Depending on the design specifications of the initial model, design variables are selected that improve the efficiency and reduce cogging torque characteristics. To execute the DOE, the design variables were determined using OLHD. The efficiency and cogging torque characteristics of the sampling models were calculated based on finite element analyses. To ensure the accuracy of the DOE results, metamodeling of multipurpose functions and constraints used the following three techniques: Kriging model, MLP, and EDT. For the evaluation of the predictive performance of the metamodel, the best approximation modeling method was adopted based on the comparison of the results of RMSE. The objective functions and constraints were set to achieve the required target specifications. To obtain the values of the design variables of the optimal model, metamodeling results were obtained with the optimal GA algorithm. Finally, if the target design resultFigure does 3.not Proposed appear, optimization the optimization process. process is restarted by adjusting the design variables. AccordingAccordingThe proposed to to this thisoptimization optimization optimization proce process, process,ss is as the follows. the mechan mechanical Dependingical dimensions dimensions on the ofdesign the of thestator specifications stator and androtor, of rotor, i.e., the thei.e.,initial diameter the model, diameter of design the of thecore variables core and and the are the stack selected stack length, length, that were im wereprove fixed. fixed. the Five Five efficiency design design variables and variables reduce of of thecogging the rotor rotor torqueshape shape werecharacteristics. selected as Toshown execute in Figure the 4 DOE,4.. the design variables were determined using OLHD. The efficiency and cogging torque characteristics of the sampling models were calculated based on finite element analyses. To ensure the accuracy of the DOE results, metamodeling of multipurpose functions and constraints used the following three techniques: Kriging model, MLP, and EDT. For the evaluation of the predictive performance of the metamodel, the best approximation modeling method was adopted based on the comparison of the results of RMSE. The objective functions and constraints were set to achieve the required target specifications. To obtain the values of the design variables of the optimal model, metamodeling results were obtained with the optimal GA algorithm. Finally, if the target design result does not appear, the optimization process is restarted by adjusting the design variables. FigureFigure 4. 4. RotorRotor shape shape design design variables. variables. According to this optimization process, the mechanical dimensions of the stator and rotor, i.e., the diameterTable2 shows of the the core range and of the the stack five designlength, variables were fixed. used Five for design the optimization variables of thethe rotorrotor shapeshape Table 2 shows the range of the five design variables used for the optimization of the rotor shape ofwere the selected PMSM. asX1 shownis the magnetin Figure length, 4. X2 is the magnet width, X3 is the distance between the center of the PMSM. X1 is the magnet length, X2 is the magnet width, X3 is the distance between the center and the inner diameter of rotor, X4 is the distance between the center and the magnet, and X5 is the and the inner diameter of rotor, X4 is the distance between the center and the magnet, and X5 is the distance between the center and the barrier. These design variables were chosen to optimize the rotor distance between the center and the barrier. These design variables were chosen to optimize the rotor shape because they affect the efficiency and cogging torque of the PMSM. In addition, the ranges of the shape because they affect the efficiency and cogging torque of the PMSM. In addition, the ranges of upper and lower limits for each design variable are also listed. The design variables and ranges were the upper and lower limits for each design variable are also listed. The design variables and ranges determined based on the consideration of the PMSM’s manufacturability. were determined based on the consideration of the PMSM’s manufacturability.
Figure 4. Rotor shape design variables.
Table 2 shows the range of the five design variables used for the optimization of the rotor shape of the PMSM. X1 is the magnet length, X2 is the magnet width, X3 is the distance between the center and the inner diameter of rotor, X4 is the distance between the center and the magnet, and X5 is the distance between the center and the barrier. These design variables were chosen to optimize the rotor shape because they affect the efficiency and cogging torque of the PMSM. In addition, the ranges of the upper and lower limits for each design variable are also listed. The design variables and ranges were determined based on the consideration of the PMSM’s manufacturability.
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 3235 6 of 16
Table 2. Ranges of the design variables
Parameters Lower (XL) Upper (XU) Unit Remark
X1 12 15 mm Magnet length X 1.5 3.0 mm Magnet width Appl. Sci. 20202 , 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 6 of 15 Distance between the center and the inner X 22 25 mm 3 diameter of rotor Table 2. Ranges of the design variables X4 22 25 mm Distance between the center and the magnet
ParametersX5 Lower20 (XL) Upper (X 23U) Unit mm Distance between Remark the center and the barrier X1 12 15 mm Magnet length X2 1.5 3.0 mm Magnet width The objectiveX3 function22 used 25 to maximize mm Distance efficiency between is expressedthe center and by the Equationinner diameter (1). of rotor In addition, the constraintX4 that should22 be lower 25 than mm the cogging Distance torque between of the the initialcenter and model the magnet of 0.3479 Nm, as indicated byX5 Equation 20 (2). 23 mm Distance between the center and the barrier
ObjectiveThe objective function: function used to maximize efficiency is expressed by Equation (1). In addition, the • constraint that should be lower than the cogging torque of the initial model of 0.3479 Nm, as indicated by Equation (2). • Objective function: Maximize the efficiency. (1)
Constraints: Maximize the efficiency. (1) • • Constraints:
CoggingCogging torque torque< <0.3479 0.3479 NmNm (2) (2)
3.2. Design of Experiment 3.2. Design of Experiment SamplingSampling points points were were selected selected withwith thethe OLHD.OLHD. OLHD OLHD has has the the advantag advantagee of of distributing distributing the the experimentalexperimental points points evenly evenly usingusing optimaloptimal conditions.conditions. This This technique technique has has improved improved projection projection propertiesproperties and and spatial spatial fill fill properties properties comparedcompared withwith the existing existing LHD. LHD. The The number number ofof experimental experimental pointspoints was was determined determined based on on consideration consideration of ofthe the range range of design of design variables variables listed listedin Table in 2. Table The 2. Thetotal total number number of samples of samples was determin was determineded to be 54. to This be 54. number This was number chosen was to ensure chosen that to ensurea sufficient that a suffinumbercient numberof experimental of experimental points ex pointsisted for existed all five for design all five variables. design variables.Figure 5 shows Figure the5 shows sample the sampledistribution distribution maps mapsof all ofthe all design the design variables. variables. The sample The sample points points were chosen were chosen so that so there that were there no were nooverlapping overlapping points. points.
(a) (b)
(c) (d) (e)
FigureFigure 5. 5.Sample Sample distribution distribution maps maps ofof optimaloptimal Latin hypercube design design (OLHD): (OLHD): (a ()a )XX1; 1(;(b)b X) 2X; (2c;() Xc)3;X 3; (d)(dX)4 X;(4e; ()eX) 5X.5.
The efficiency and cogging torque characteristics of the samples selected by OLHD were calculated via FE analyses, and are listed in Appendix A. The efficiency and cogging torque characteristics of each sample were obtained based on two-dimensional (2D) FE analyses.
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, 3235 7 of 16
The efficiency and cogging torque characteristics of the samples selected by OLHD were calculated via FE analyses, and are listed in AppendixA. The e fficiency and cogging torque characteristics of each sample were obtained based on two-dimensional (2D) FE analyses. Appl. Sci. 2020, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 7 of 15 3.3. Metadmodeling 3.3. Metadmodeling BasedBased on theon the DOE DOE results results described described inin thethe previous section, section, we we created created a metamodel a metamodel for the for the objectiveobjective function function and constraint.and constraint. Most Most of the of existingthe existing studies studies have have proposed proposed metamodels, metamodels, but accuracybut evaluationsaccuracy were evaluation not performed.s were not Furthermore,performed. Furthermore, searches for searches optimal for values optimal of designvalues variablesof design have beenvariables conducted. have Therefore, been conducted. to evaluate Therefore, the metamodelto evaluate the accuracy, metamodel the bestaccuracy, metamodel the best wasmetamodel selected by comparingwas selected the RMSE by comparing test outcomes the RMSE according test outcomes to the eaccordingfficiency to and the cogging efficiency torque and cogging characteristics. torque Thecharacteristics. Kriging model [28], an interpolation model type, passes the test points accurately and is suitable for The Kriging model [28], an interpolation model type, passes the test points accurately and is approximation without random errors. Therefore, a numerically robust model was provided. The estimation suitable for approximation without random errors. Therefore, a numerically robust model was equation for the Kriging model was defined to eliminate bias, thus minimizing error variance. provided. The estimation equation for the Kriging model was defined to eliminate bias, thus MLPminimizing [29] is error a type variance. of deep learning algorithm and has the advantage of expressing a nonlinear relationshipMLP between [29] is a inputtype of and deep output learning variables. algorithm In and particular, has the advantage metamodels of expressing can be created a nonlinear even when thererelationship are plenty between of data. input However, and output if there variables. are many In particular, parameters metamodels that depend can be on created the know-how even when of the user,there accuracy are plenty may of be data. deteriorated However, and if there training are ma timeny parameters may be required. that depend on the know-how of the Theuser, EDTaccuracy [30] may has be a featuredeteriorated that and allows training the generationtime may be ofrequired. multiple decision trees (DTs) and the predictionThe of anEDT output [30] has value a feature as the that average allows value the generation of all the outputsof multiple predicted decision by trees each (DTs) DT forand a the specific inputprediction value. The of instabilityan output value and performance as the average variance value of of all the the DT outputs model predicted were reduced by each compared DT for a with specific input value. The instability and performance variance of the DT model were reduced the use of a single DT. Additionally, the predictive power was improved and the performance was compared with the use of a single DT. Additionally, the predictive power was improved and the excellent in large datasets. However, parameters (depth, number of DTs, etc.) must be determined in performance was excellent in large datasets. However, parameters (depth, number of DTs, etc.) must advance.be determined As the depth in advance. of DT As becomes the depth deeper, of DT becomes the DT modeldeeper, becomesthe DT model complicated becomes complicated and leads to an increaseand ofleads the to calculation an increase complexity.of the calculation Figure complexity.6 shows Figure the conceptual 6 shows the diagram conceptual of the diagram Kriging of the model, MLP,Kriging and EDT model, used MLP, for metamodelingand EDT used for in metamodeling this study. in this study.
(a) (b) (c)
FigureFigure 6. Conceptual 6. Conceptual diagram: diagram: (a ()a) Kriging; Kriging; ((b) multilayer perceptron perceptron (MLP); (MLP); (c) ensemble (c) ensemble of decision of decision tree (EDT).tree (EDT).
GivenGiven that that the the predictive predictive performance performance ofof the me metamodeltamodel affects affects the the reliability reliability of the of optimal the optimal design,design, the predicted the predicted performance performance was was compared compared based based on on the the RMSERMSE test. The The RMSE RMSE values values should should be usedbe to evaluateused to evaluate the accuracy the accuracy of the interpolation of the interp model.olation Themodel. predictive The predictive performance performance of the metamodelof the metamodel was evaluated based on the RMSE test and was calculated according to Equation (3) [32]. was evaluated based on the RMSE test and was calculated according to Equation (3) [32].