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High Frequency Monitoring Report Bulletin #19 | December 2018

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High Frequency Monitoring Report Bulletin #19 | December 2018 Bulletin #19 • December 2018 • www.zrbf.co.zw The purpose of the ZRBF High Frequency Monitoring Bulletin is to avail real IN THIS REPORT time data and information on identified and agreed trigger indicators for Overall Results and Implications 2 the activation of the crisis modifier, performance monitoring, programming Implications and Actions related to Resilience and other decisions for the overall ZRBF adaptive programme management. Programming 4 Information presented in this bulletin is readily available in the HFM Online Status Update on Macro-Trigger Indicators 5 Database, accessible using this url Vegetation Condition Index 5 https://197.155.231.242/undp/ZRBF/HFMS/index.php Real-time water levels in major rivers 6 The bulletin contains official information for the month of August 2018 collected Summary of Broad Classification: Micro Trigger from various sources by ZRBF partners and analysed by ZRBF PMU. The High Indicators 6 Frequency Monitoring Bulletin is a product of collaboration between the ZRBF Detailed Micro Trigger Indicators Update 8 Partners and other government agencies. For questions and comments regarding National Media Monitoring for Early-Warning this bulletin, kindly get in touch withVhusomuzi Sithole (vhusomuzi.sithole@ Signals 12 undp.org), Alfios Mayoyo ([email protected]) or Rufael Fassil (rufael. Annex 1: Flood monitoring thresholds for water [email protected]). level in selected rivers 13 UNDP Zimbabwe, ZRBF Programme Management Unit Arundel Office Park, Block 9, Norfolk Rd, Mt. Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe, Phone: +263 4 338836-44 Page 2 | High Frequency Monitoring Report Bulletin #19 | December 2018 Overall Results and Implications Summary Classification Key Highlights According to the High Frequency Monitoring (HFM) classification, all 18 districts were rated “Alert”. Crisis modification activities are continuing in all ZRBF 18 districts as a result of ZRBF HFMS trigger indicators and 2018 seasonal outlook, ZiMVAC and FEWSNET. The following indicators were rated “Emergency” during the reporting month of November were: 1. Cattle price in Beitbridge, Binga, Bubi, Mwenezi, Umzingwane and Zvishavane 2. Common diarrhoea Reported Cases in Beitbridge, Binga, Chiredzi, Kariba, Lupane, Matobo, Mberengwa, Mbire, Mudzi, Mutoko, Mwenezi, Nkayi, Umguza, Umzingwane and Zvishavane 3. Distances to water sources for households in Nkayi 4. Goat Price in Mberengwa, Umguza, Umzingwane and Zvishavane 5. Indigenous chicken price in Umzingwane 6. Maize Price in Umzingwane 7. Number Livestock Poverty Deaths in Umzingwane 8. Pastures Availability in Chiredzi, Lupane, Matobo, Mwenezi and Umzingwane 9. Pearl Millet Price in Insiza, Kariba, Mudzi, Mutoko and Zvishavane 10. Rapoko Price in Beitbridge and Kariba 11. Sorghum Price in Zvishavane Table 1 below summarises these trends in the overall classification of all 18 districts over the last 13 months. Table 1: Overall Classification of the 18 districts Bubi Binga Nkayi Insiza Mbire Mudzi Kariba Month Lupane Nyanga Mutoko Matobo Chiredzi Umguza Mwenezi Beitbridge Zvishavane Page 3 Mberengwa Umzingwane No Nov 18 Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert data | High Frequency MonitoringReport High Frequency Oct-18 Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Sept-18 Alert Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Aug-18 Alert Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert No July 18 Alert Normal Normal Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Alert Normal Normal Alert Alert Normal Alert Data June-18 Alert Alert Normal Normal Normal Normal Alert Alert Normal Alert Normal Normal Normal Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert May-18 Normal Alert Normal Normal Normal Alert Alert Normal Normal Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Normal Alert Normal Normal Bulletin #19|December2018 April-18 Alert Normal Alert Alert Normal Normal Normal Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Normal Normal No Mar-18 Alert Normal Normal Alert Normal Normal Normal Normal Normal Alert Alert Normal Normal Normal Alert Normal Normal data Feb-18 Alert Normal Normal Alert Normal Alert Alert Normal Alert Alert Normal Normal Normal Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Jan-18 Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Dec-17 Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Alert Normal Normal Normal Nov-17 Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Alert Normal Normal Normal Oct-17 - Normal Alert Alert Alert Alert Alert Normal Sep-17 Alert Normal Alert Alert Alert Alert Normal Alert Normal Page 4 | High Frequency Monitoring Report Bulletin #19 | December 2018 Implications and Actions related to Resilience Programming Pasture availability is in emergency category in five (5) districts (Insiza, Matobo, Mberengwa, Nkayi and Umzingwane, and in alarm category for 11 districts and one district, Zvishavane, in the alert stage. The farmers should be encouraged to provide their cattle with some supplementary feeds to save the cattle from possible poverty death. Chiredzi was in the alert category for crop pests, where about 10 ha was affected by Fall army worm in ward 15. All the districts should take advantage of the FAW, animal health and postharvest management trainings currently being rolled out by Coopers in all the ZRBF targeted districts to cascade the trainings to the ordinary farmers and sharing with farmers and agro-dealers the list of approved pesticides as last resort measure to control FAW. Mberengwa had 2063 cases of Newcastle disease and six districts were in the Alarm stage for reported cases of livestock disease outbreaks. Farmers in Mberengwa and the nearby districts such as Mwenezi and Zvishavane should be encouraged to vaccinate their birds with Newcastle vaccines to prevent further spread of the deadly disease. Coopers has just facilitated some ToT trainings in animal health and the ZRBF consortia partners and Agritex should facilitate the cascading of the trainings to the ordinary farm- ers to improve their knowledge on how to deal with animal diseases. Considering that 15 districts are still in the Emergency category for waterborne diseases, the ZRBF con- sortia partners should be encouraged to collaborate with other NGOs and the Ministry of Health and Child Care to carry out some public health awareness campaigns across all the districts, especially in the light of the approaching rainy season. Distance to water sources is in the Alert category for 13 out of the 18 districts. Households in Nkayi and Mbire travelling an average of 7km (emergency category) and 4 km respectively. The ZRBF consortia part- ners should coordinate with the District Development Fund and other development agencies to facilitate borehole rehabilitation to improve house access to portable water in their respective districts. Page 5 | High Frequency Monitoring Report Bulletin #19 | December 2018 Status Update on Macro-Trigger Indicators Vegetation Condition Index NO VCI image were obtained on the scheduled dates due to overcast conditions. Real-time water levels in major rivers The second macro-indicator, real-time river flow, showed that all the rivers had low flow rates indicating low flooding risk. The classification is based on a scale determined in Annex 1. Although the rain seasosn has started across the country, Table 3 show that there is no flooding risk in any of the selected districts. Water levels are increasing across the country and in neighbouring countries. The Zambezi River also witnessed an increase in flow rates from 220m3/sec to 253m3/sec. However, three gauging stations (Mazowe Bridge, Chidodo and Runde’s Confluence with Tokwe) continued to have water levels below the gauge levels. Table 3: Average water levels along selected major rivers in Zimbabwe, November 2018. River Site Level Flow Crisis Modifier Category Zambezi Victoria Falls 0.285m 220m3/s Normal Odzi Odzi Gorge 0.485m 4.54m3/s Normal Mazowe Mazowe Bridge Below Gauge Normal Manyame Chinhoyi Bridge No Data Musengezi Centenary 0.2m 0.56m3/s Normal Musengezi Chidodo Below Gauge Normal Save Condo Dam 0.36m 2.55m3/s Normal Runde Confluence with Tokwe Below Gauge Normal Summary of Broad Classification: Micro Trigger Indicators The micro-indicator data from the 18 districts reflect conditions in the four broad classes of indictors. Biophysical, production and access indicators were mostly in the Alert/Normal category maintaining the same categories from the past month. • Biophysical indicators were in Alert category in 14 out of 18 districts up from 11 in the previous month. Four (4) districts were in the Alarm stage resulting from effect on pasture availability and state of water sources. Three (3) districts Chiredzi, Mwenezi and Beitbridge moved from the Alarm stage in November to Alert • Production indicators are in the alert category for 16 districts; This is mainly due to the deteriorat- ing livestock body condition as well as the high cases of reported livestock diseases and waterborne diseases Water borne diseases are in emergency for 15 districts. • Access indicators were mainly in the Alert category with 17 out 18 districts. Increased water live- stock trekking distance and distances to water sources for households led to access indicators Alert categorization. Mbire was in the Alarm category • Trade indicators were in the normal category for 11 districts. Five (4) districts were in
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