Eesti Pank Annual Report 2013
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EESTI PANK ANNUAL REPORT 2013 2014 CONTENTS FOREWORD BY THE GOVERNOR OF EESTI PANK...................................................................................4 EESTI PANK’S KEY DUTIES ......................................................................................................................7 THE GLOBAL, EURO AREA AND ESTONIAN ECONOMIES ....................................................................10 The external environment .....................................................................................................................10 The Estonian economy and financial sector ..........................................................................................11 ACTIVITIES AND ACHIEVEMENTS OF EESTI PANK IN 2013 ....................................................................15 Participation in monetary policy decision-making in the eurosystem and implementation of decisions .......................................................................................15 Monetary policy decisions of the Eurosystem ...................................................................................15 Implementing monetary policy decisions in the euro area and Estonia ..............................................16 Managing currency circulation ..............................................................................................................20 Payment systems ............................................................................................................................20 Cash ...............................................................................................................................................24 Safeguarding financial stability .............................................................................................................29 Macro-financial supervision .............................................................................................................29 Financial sector policy .....................................................................................................................31 Consultation and cooperation on issues of economic policy .................................................................34 Monitoring and economic analysis at Eesti Pank ..............................................................................34 Advisory functions ...........................................................................................................................37 International partnerships and public communications .....................................................................38 Compiling statistics for the Estonian financial and external sectors .......................................................45 Investment of financial assets ..............................................................................................................48 REPORTING, GOVERNANCE AND ORGANISATION, AND HUMAN RESOURCES POLICY .....................50 Reporting, governance and organisation, and human resources policy .................................................50 Central bank accountability .............................................................................................................50 Governance and organisation ..........................................................................................................51 2013 Human resources at Eesti Pank .......................................................................................................55 ANNUAL ACCOUNTS OF EESTI PANK FOR THE FINANCIAL YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 .......................................................................58 APPENDICES ..........................................................................................................................................91 Decrees of the Governor of Eesti Pank in 2013 ....................................................................................91 Annual Report Decisions of the Supervisory Board of Eesti Pank in 2013 ....................................................................94 Publications of Eesti Pank in 2013 .......................................................................................................95 Strategic focus of Eesti Pank for 2014–2018 ........................................................................................98 Eesti Pank 2 EESTI PANK'S MISSION: As the central bank of the Republic of Estonia and a member of the Eurosystem, we contribute to the sustainable development of the Estonian economy and to increased prosperity for Esto- nia. We keep price growth moderate, setting a common monetary policy together with the other central banks of the euro area and implementing it in Estonia. We maintain the stability of the Estonian financial system by helping to set policy for the financial sector. We ensure that cash is of good quality and promote a safe and efficient payment environment. We give an independent assessment of the state and outlook of the economy, we advise the government on important matters of economic policy, and we produce high-quality statistics. 2013 Annual Report Eesti Pank 3 FOREWORD BY THE GOVERNOR OF EESTI PANK The global economy grew at a moderate rate in 2013 and the euro area economy showed clearer signs of stabilising. Having declined for almost a year and a half, the euro area economy grew by a modest 0.3% in the second quarter, though for the year as a whole it still shrank by 0.4%. Growth was uneven across countries, but generally confidence in the outlook for the euro area has increased and domestic demand has risen. The monetary policy environment in 2013 was quite complicated as euro area credit markets were quite fragmented but inflationary pressures remained low. For this reason the European Central Bank, like the central banks in many other advanced countries, continued with an accommodative monetary policy. Key interest rates have remained at record low levels, and modest price growth and low interest rates have aided a recovery in investment. It is important for the central banks of the euro area that low interest rates be passed on to the real economy and that good business projects be able to get funding from banks on reasonable terms. This will help stimulate the economy, and ultimately facilitate the maintenance of price stability. In 2013 the central banks started to use even clearer forward guidance about monetary policy measures in order to increase the stability of the economy and of financial markets. Greater transparency in decision making mechanisms will help increase the impact of monetary policy. The Estonian economy in 2013 reflected the weakness and volatility in the external environment, with eco- nomic growth unevenly spread across the quarters and totalling 0.8% for the year. External demand was much smaller than had been expected even only a year earlier, and so growth was driven by domestic de- mand, which was primarily based on rising household incomes, and through this by consumption. Growth of this sort is not sustainable however. If wages continue to rise rapidly and external demand to remain low, it will start to hold back the capacity of the economy for growth, as Estonia will lose competitiveness in export markets. Maintaining export capacity is the key challenge for the Estonian economy in the coming years and investment in production capital and human capital are crucial if productivity is to be improved. The second key factor for economic growth in Estonia is the labour market. Imbalances in the labour market, signs of which were mainly seen in 2013 in the excessively fast growth in labour costs given the slowing of economic growth, may also have an effect on public finances. Given the situation in the labour market and the difficulty of assessing the cyclical position, Eesti Pank advised the government in 2013 to observe both the structural balance, without cyclical effects and one-off income or expenditure events, and the nominal balance in planning its short-term fiscal policy. The bank also advised that the general government budget should be brought into nominal surplus as soon as possible and reserves built up, as they could be used to balance the economy in the event of risks being realised. 2013 Eesti Pank must ensure it has sufficient analytical capacity and operational stability in monitoring the economy, economic policy and the banking sector. The decisions, advice and assessments of the bank must be based on thorough analysis and must be presented clearly, and to do this the bank must bring together the best available knowledge in each field. Eesti Pank takes an active and effective role in the Eurosystem, where the European Central Bank and the central banks of the euro area work together, and we contribute to setting the single monetary policy of the euro area and provide top quality advice to Annual Report advance the domestic economy. Eesti Pank 4 The recent financial crisis has given central banks around the globe a more important role in financial supervision. The European Central Bank is preparing to take over responsibility for supervising banks in the euro area, which means that all the central banks of the euro area will have new duties that will help to ensure financial stability. Eesti Pank’s responsibilities in macro-financial supervision are also widening. Eesti Pank’s responsibilities for financial stability have increased, but our role in payments and settlements was reduced somewhat when the Single Euro Payment Area