<<

STATE OF

COMMISSION ON THE 21 st CENTURY ECONOMY

STATE OF CALIFORNIA

REVENUE & TAXATION

FUNDAMENTAL ALTERNATIVES Part Three

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PUBLIC MEETING

Thursday, July 16, 2009 1:00 p.m. – 4:55 p.m.

University of California, San Francisco Mission Bay Conference Center William J. Rutter Community Center Fisher Banquet Room 1675 Owens Street San Francisco, California

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Reported by: Daniel P. Feldhaus Certified Shorthand Reporter #6949 Registered Diplomate Reporter, Certified Realtime Reporter

Daniel P. Feldhaus, C.S.R., Inc. Certified Shorthand Reporters 8414 Yermo Way, Sacramento, California 95828 Telephone 916.682.9482 Fax 916.688.0723 [email protected]

1 st Commission on the 21 Century Economy – July 16, 2009

A P P E A R A N C E S

COMMISSION ON THE 21 ST CENTURY ECONOMY

Commissioners Present

GERRY PARSKY Commission Chair Aurora Group

RUBEN BARRALES President/CEO San Diego Regional Chamber of Commerce

MICHAEL BOSKIN Professor Stanford University

JOHN COGAN Professor Stanford University

EDWARD DE LA ROSA Founder and President Edward J. De La Rosa & Company, Inc.

CHRISTOPHER EDLEY, JR. Dean/Professor of Law Boalt Hall School of Law

GEORGE HALVORSON Chairman/CEO Kaiser Foundation

WILLIAM HAUCK Trustee, California State University Director Blue Shield of California & Blue Shield Foundation

JENNIFER ITO Research, Training, Policy Director SCOPE

FRED KEELEY Treasurer, County of Santa Cruz Professor, San José State University

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 2 st Commission on the 21 Century Economy – July 16, 2009

A P P E A R A N C E S

COMMISSION ON THE 21 ST CENTURY ECONOMY

Commissioners Present continued

MONICA LOZANO Publisher/CEO La Opinión

REBECCA MORGAN President Morgan Family Foundation

RICHARD POMP Alva P. Loiselle Professor of Law University of Connecticut

CURT PRINGLE Mayor City of Anaheim

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COTCE Staff Present

MARK IBELE Commission Staff Director Board of Equalization

ASHLEY SNEE GIOVANNETTONE

ANTONIO LOCKETT

JESSICA MAR

MICHELLE QUINN Staff Writer

PHIL SPILBERG Chief, Financial Research Department of Finance

MARGIE RAMIREZ WALKER

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Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 3 st Commission on the 21 Century Economy – July 16, 2009

A P P E A R A N C E S

Public Testimony

MARY BERGAN Past President California Federation of Teachers

RONALD COHEN, CPA Greenstein, Rogoff, Olsen & Co.

LENNY GOLDBERG California Association

DOUG HALL

JAMES HALL Senior Legislature

ANNE HENDERSON League of Women Voters of California

JEAN ROSS Executive Director California Budget Project

WILLIAM SPILLANE Americans for Fair Taxation

JAMES STEVENS Air Transport Association

KHORI WHITAKER

ELLEN WU Executive Director California Pan-Ethnic Health Network

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Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 4 st Commission on the 21 Century Economy – July 16, 2009

A P P E A R A N C E S Continued

Franchise Tax Board

ANDREA CHANG Multistate Taxation Bureau Legal Division Franchise Tax Board

CARL JOSEPH Director Multistate Taxation Bureau Legal Division Franchise Tax Board

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Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 5 st Commission on the 21 Century Economy – July 16, 2009

Table of Contents

Item Page

Welcome and Introductions

Chair Parsky ...... 8

Public Comment

James Stevens Air Transport Association ...... 9

James Hall Senior Legislature ...... 11

Ellen Wu California Pan-Ethnic Health Network ...... 12

Jean Ross Executive Director California Budget Project ...... 14 William Spillane Americans for Fair Taxation ...... 15

Khori Whittaker ...... 18

Ronald Cohen Greenstein, Rogoff, Olsen & Co...... 20

Lenny Goldberg California Tax Reform Association ...... 21

Mary Bergan Past President California Federation of Teachers ...... 25

Anne Henderson League of Women Voters of California ...... 26

Doug Hall ...... 28

Comments from Chair Parsky ...... 29

Comments from Commissioners ...... 35

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 6 st Commission on the 21 Century Economy – July 16, 2009

Table of Contents

Item Page

Presentation of Tax Packages, Legal and Policy Issues, and Commission Discussion ...... 37

Mark Ibele Commission Staff Director Board of Equalization

Phil Spilberg Chief, Financial Research Department of Finance

Andrea Chang Franchise Tax Board

Carl Joseph Franchise Tax Board

Adjournment ...... 168

Reporter’s Certificate ...... 169

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Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 7 st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 BE IT REMEMBERED that on Thursday, July 16,

2 2009, commencing at the hour of 1:04 p.m., at the

3 University of California, San Francisco, Mission Bay

4 Conference Center, William J. Rutter Community Center,

5 Fisher Banquet Room, 1675 Owens Street, San Francisco,

6 California, before me, DANIEL P. FELDHAUS, CSR 6949,

7 RDR, CRR, in the state of California, the following

8 proceedings were held:

9 --o0o—-

10 CHAIR PARSKY: I want to welcome everyone to a

11 meeting of the Commission on the 21 st Century Economy.

12 Not all commissioners are here yet, but I want to get us

13 started so that we can try to efficiently have this

14 meeting run until about four o’clock.

15 And so I think what we’ll do is to start the

16 public comment period for those of you in this meeting.

17 This isn’t a meeting of the Board of Regents of the

18 University of California. That was in another part.

19 They have many of their own issues, all of which I’m

20 familiar with.

21 But I think what we’ll do is, we’ll start with

22 the public comment, and then I’ll make some introductory

23 comments, and we’ll go right into our presentation and see

24 if I can help frame where we’re going to try to go with

25 respect to this meeting.

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 And given the time constraints, we’ll welcome

2 all presentations in writing for the record. But we’ll

3 try to limit the comment period to about a minute. And as

4 I said, we will consider all the materials. But in

5 order -- we don’t have a lot of time for this meeting, and

6 so let’s see if we can’t do that.

7 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Is that a minute apiece,

8 or --

9 CHAIR PARSKY: We’ll try to give everyone a

10 minute.

11 First, James Stevens.

12 MR. STEVENS: Good afternoon, Chairman Parsky

13 and Members of the 21 st Century Commission on the Economy.

14 I’m Jim Stevens, representing the Air Transport

15 Association, whose members provide over 90 percent of the

16 domestic passenger and cargo air in this nation.

17 Joining today are Melinda Yee Franklin from

18 United Airlines and José Luis Sanchez from Southwest

19 Airlines.

20 We are here today to underscore our opposition

21 to a proposal to introduce a carbon tax or a fuels tax in

22 California.

23 Last month, Jim May, ATA’s president and CEO,

24 sent a letter to Chairman Parsky and the Commission

25 stating our opposition very clearly.

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 We believe that the tax proposals are estimated

2 to cost the air carriers in excess of an additional

3 $500 million a year, at a time when this industry can ill

4 afford it. Our members reported losses over $55 billion

5 in the last eight years, and additional losses are

6 forecast for this year.

7 Today, fuel is the airline’s largest cost

8 center. We have every incentive to reduce our fuel burn

9 and emissions; and we have done so year after year. The

10 size of our fuel bill often means the difference between

11 profitability and loss in any given year. The carbon or

12 fuel tax will divert millions from our industry that we

13 would otherwise use to continue our purchase of efficient

14 emission aircraft and engines and other engines.

15 If I may remind you, commercial aviation is

16 vital to California’s economy, supporting both tourism as

17 well as the state’s residents and businesses. We generate

18 over $186 billion annually in economic activity in this

19 state, and are ultimately responsible for 1.5 million

20 jobs.

21 The tax would jeopardize our contribution to

22 California’s . California’s this

23 year and the effects of last year’s fuel increase have

24 already forced a 16.5 percent decrease in scheduled air

25 service in this state. Imposing new would not

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 reverse this trend.

2 Finally, commercial aviation is a global

3 industry. The International Civil Aviation Organization

4 is meeting later this year to set aircraft emission

5 standards. That is the appropriate place for such

6 regulation, not the individual 50 states.

7 For those reasons, the effect of airline

8 modernization, the impact on California’s economy, and the

9 global scope of the industry, we oppose the carbon or

10 jet-fuel tax proposal and ask you to reject it.

11 Thank you very much.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you very much.

13 Next, James Hall.

14 JAMES HALL: Since we are limited to one minute,

15 in your packet is what we really are going to talk about

16 here.

17 The interaction between property taxes, capital

18 gains, and the step-up in basis are locking people into

19 their homes. There are over two million homeowners over

20 the age of 60 in the state of California, and that will

21 grow on a continuing basis.

22 Also, as a result of these restrictions, there

23 are other things that are keeping people in their homes,

24 namely, the reverse mortgages are now a new thing called

25 “equity key” where they want to take part of the

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 appreciation of your home.

2 And I’m suggesting here to you that capital

3 gains can be modified. In 1997, the Tax Relief Act, a

4 Congressman from Ohio changed and increased the exemption

5 to $500,000. And there is a lot of research done by a

6 Board member that proved that anything

7 over $500,000 in and around the Boston area was a great

8 reduction in the selling of the property.

9 [Bell chimed]

10 JAMES HALL: Is that the end of it?

11 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Sorry.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: The Dean of the Boalt Law School

13 has been asked to keep the chimes going here.

14 JAMES HALL: Okay, thank you.

15 CHAIR PARSKY: Please submit the entire piece in

16 writing.

17 Next is Ellen Wu.

18 MS. WU: Hello, I’m the executive director of

19 the California Pan-Ethnic Health Network, and I’m here to

20 talk about the implications of the proposals on our

21 community’s health.

22 The and chasm between the rich and

23 the poor continues to grow. Over the last 25 years, the

24 income of the top earners increased 81 percent, while

25 for those low-end of the pay scale have stagnated.

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 This is especially true for communities of color. The

2 median for African-Americans, American Indians,

3 Alaska Natives, and Latinos are roughly two-thirds of the

4 median income of whites in California.

5 And the health consequences of this widening

6 rich-poor gap and rising are apparent. In 1980,

7 the U.S. ranked 14 th in the world for life expectancy.

8 In 2007, we ranked 29 th . And communities of color are

9 disproportionately impacted by obesity, diabetes, and

10 asthma.

11 Income effects health at every age, from the

12 beginning of life to adulthood and old age.

13 Wealth is tied to neighborhood quality, work

14 conditions, food security, access to medical care, and

15 the availability of buffers against stress. Poor adults

16 are three times likely to have chronic disease that limits

17 their activity, twice as likely to have diabetes, and are

18 nearly 50 percent likely to die of heart disease.

19 In addition, studies have found that life

20 expectancy conforms to a pattern called “social gradient,”

21 in which the more income and wealth people have, the more

22 likely they are to live longer, while people with less

23 income and wealth can expect to live comparatively shorter

24 lives.

25 For example, people who live in West Oakland can

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 expect to live on average ten years less than those who

2 live in Berkeley Hills.

3 The bottom line is that these proposals do not

4 make economic, moral, or practical sense. The prosperity

5 of our state and health of our children relies on a

6 system that shrinks rather than grows

7 the inequalities between the rich and the poor.

8 Thank you.

9 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you very much.

10 Jean Ross.

11 MS. ROSS: Hello. I’m Jean Ross, executive

12 director of the California Budget Project. And I’m

13 mindful of the one-minute limit. I’ll make several

14 points, many of which harken back to the testimony that

15 I gave to you earlier this year.

16 First, in terms of process. I think it would

17 be extremely inappropriate for the Commission to act on

18 formal recommendations today given the paucity of

19 information that’s been available to the public. And I

20 think this is somewhat of an awkward situation where we

21 are being asked to talk about proposals prior to the

22 Commission receiving a full briefing from your staff and

23 having discussion. And I think it would be appropriate

24 to have more time for the public to reflect on that.

25 Second, I think any of the proposals -- or the

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 proposals that have been posted on the Web site as staff

2 proposals as well as some of the discussion among

3 commissioners that would reduce taxes -- personal income

4 taxes on high-income Californians while raising taxes on

5 lower-income would only serve to widen, as

6 Ms. Wu discussed, an already very wide income gap between

7 high- and middle-income Californians.

8 I don’t think that is in the best interest of

9 the long-term future of California or California’s

10 economic future.

11 And thirdly, I think -- and I think some of the

12 modeling that was done for your last meeting is somewhat

13 misleading. I think the proposed changes would have a

14 very detrimental impact on the growth of state tax

15 revenues. And my understanding is that the Commission

16 staff used a flat percentage growth assumption across the

17 income distribution.

18 Your proposals would lower tax rates on those

19 Californians whose have posted the strongest

20 growth rates consistently over the past several decades,

21 while raising taxes on those Californians who have had

22 no to little growth in their incomes. And so what you’re

23 really doing, by shifting, again, where your tax revenues

24 come, is lowering the growth rate for a revenue source

25 which is over half of California’s general fund tax

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 revenues, which would widen our budget gaps going forward

2 through that shift. And I think, again, given

3 California’s –-

4 [Bell chimed]

5 MS. ROSS: Got the “dong” here -- chronic budget

6 problems, that would only serve to make our problems worse

7 and not better.

8 Thank you.

9 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you very much.

10 William Spillane.

11 MR. SPILLANE: Chairman Parsky and

12 Commissioners. We are distributing a letter that you

13 have in your folders, but it’s buried in there some

14 place, and I’ll be referring to very briefly because I

15 think it answers some of your questions.

16 California, as you know, is in a race with only

17 New Jersey and New York to the bottom of the barrel as

18 far as business friendliness. We have to reverse that and

19 make it closer to Number 1.

20 So you have two challenges: You’ve got the

21 business challenge and then you’ve got the general-public

22 challenge.

23 A national sales tax or a sales tax is

24 the best, simplest way to do that. You may say that it’s

25 regressive. It’s not if you add a prebate.

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 16

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 Allow me a few comments.

2 In the testimony here before you, James Hines,

3 a Michigan economist and NBER member, says -- his comment

4 is: Make the fair tax more logical. And that’s on

5 page 2.

6 Page 3, Chairman Parsky and the Governor

7 lamented the high velocity of revenue in and out. And

8 you’ll see that the personal expenditure

9 versus the adjusted is dramatically

10 different.

11 A is much more stable than an

12 income by far. Quarterly changes in revenues from the

13 Rockefeller Institute shows that as well. A sales tax is

14 the way to go.

15 But not the business net-receipts tax. It’s

16 a value-added tax. The business net-receipts tax is a

17 value-added tax. The compliance costs of that are much

18 higher than a retail consumption tax. The compliance

19 costs are much higher. The NRT eliminates pyramiding

20 with the tax, but then we put the sales tax on top of it

21 at the cash register. That’s pyramiding to the taxpayer.

22 And it isn’t necessary. This is not rocket science.

23 It’s really not. And Mr. Cohen will demonstrate that in

24 a moment for you.

25 The NRT, whatever you want to call it, continues

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 the myth that businesses pay taxes when 71 percent will

2 be passed along, 19 percent go to the employees. Not so

3 good. They’re California employees. I could go on.

4 The way to go is a sales tax with a prebate.

5 [Bell chimed]

6 MR. SPILLANE: Take a look at page 6, and

7 you’ll see that the prebate makes it progressive. And if

8 we do it on a national basis, the incline would be much

9 greater. Take a look at the prebate under our Web site,

10 FairTax.com -- or FairTax.org. Sorry.

11 Thank you very much.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you.

13 We thank all of the public comment providers for

14 cooperating in terms of time frame.

15 Kheri Whittaker.

16 MR. WHITTAKER: Thanks.

17 Khori Whitaker.

18 Chairman Parsky, ladies and gentlemen, I was

19 born in Jamaica but grew up here in Southern California in

20 Riverside. And every January, February, March, April, I

21 had an uncle who was a CPA, and he was a mess during these

22 months. And my mother as well was a mess. And I didn’t

23 understand what the issue was. All the receipts and all

24 the paperwork and all the documents each and every

25 year-round this time.

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 In fact, my mother -- we didn’t have that much

2 money growing up, and she actually didn’t want to earn

3 more. And she would tell me, if I earn more, they’re

4 going to take more. And I didn’t understand that.

5 Instead, she took those overtime hours as vacation to

6 spend with us instead of earning more money. And it’s

7 because the taxes -- and we have both federal and state --

8 it’s not simple; it’s too complex. It creates an

9 uncompetitive business environment. And then also as

10 we’re realizing now with the issues in California, with

11 our revenues, it’s not stable.

12 I urge you all on the Commission to be radical.

13 And by “radical,” I mean, get to the root of the issue.

14 And the root of the issue is the stability, the

15 competitive nature of the tax -- any tax program that you

16 may recommend.

17 If you look over the course of the last

18 20 years, the income that the state has been getting from

19 sales taxes have been relatively even over the course of

20 time, whereas , lots of highs and lots of lows.

21 California does well in the booms and the busts. It seems

22 like -- in the booms, rather, not the busts. But in the

23 boom times, we’re doing well. It’s like we are depending

24 on bubbles here in California for revenue. We can’t do

25 that.

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 So by implementing a sales tax, a fair tax, you

2 are able to get stable consumption over the course of

3 time. And California is going to be able to get the

4 revenues that we need for our programs.

5 Thank you very much for your time.

6 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you very much.

7 Ronald Cohen.

8 MR. COHEN: Hello. I’m Ron Cohen. I’m a tax

9 partner with the CPA firm of Greenstein, Rogoff, Olsen &

10 Company here in the Bay Area. We represent about

11 2,500 clients, several of them well-named billionaires

12 in the area.

13 I’m here, you may think a little bit oddly, on

14 behalf of the Fair Tax. I sort of consider this my

15 get-out-of-hell card because I spend my career dealing

16 with the complexity and controversy of the tax system.

17 And so I’m here to talk in this one minute -- it’s hard to

18 talk about anything in taxes in one minute -- but I’ll

19 tell you that the system is -- on the income tax side is

20 built on laws that are hard to pass, hard to write the

21 laws, and the written word is confusing. The taxpayers

22 suffer. Hardly anyone can produce a tax return without

23 software, which I think is egregious and contrary to what

24 the Founding Fathers of the country would ever want.

25 And then you get into situations with auditors

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 where the Franchise Tax Board is understaffed,

2 underskilled in some of the areas. And the results that

3 come out of the audits are often arbitrary. So it creates

4 an environment -- and I talk to many business people who

5 said, “Can’t I move my company to Singapore and just get

6 out of this,” between the IRS and the FTB and the rules

7 and regulations that go on and on, creating an

8 uncompetitive environment where they have to become best

9 friends with people like me, their tax CPA and their

10 lawyer, to just function, as opposed to functioning and

11 dealing with what they wanted to do, is build good

12 products, create jobs, and build great companies.

13 So I thank you very much.

14 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you.

15 Lenny Goldberg.

16 Welcome, Lenny.

17 MR. GOLDBERG: My name is Lenny Goldberg,

18 California Tax Reform Association.

19 CHAIR PARSKY: Welcome back.

20 MR. GOLDBERG: The third time is a charm, I

21 suppose.

22 Very quickly, on the proposals that are on the

23 table. On the income tax, the most instructive thing we

24 saw was Phil Spilberg’s chart in the March hearing, which

25 demonstrated that the top 1 percent has almost doubled --

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 you know -- actually did double through the early 1990s

2 to 2000, almost doubled in their share of the income that

3 they have. That will always be so volatile. Volatility

4 has to be seen, and I urge you to see it this way, as a

5 budget issue, not as a tax issue. As long as income is

6 so maldistributed at the very top end, the income tax will

7 be volatile. There is nothing valuable about lowering

8 that rate. It’s really about the distribution of income.

9 We should be taxing economic rents as a matter

10 of first principle. That would be oil in the state of

11 California, that would be property in the

12 state of California, which we undertax and have discussed,

13 and appreciate that you had such an extensive discussion

14 on that.

15 Finally, I think the corporation tax, the

16 elective single sales and the loss carrybacks are both

17 destabilizing of the corporation tax. And in some ways,

18 in terms of their policies, they’re an embarrassment to

19 the state of California. And I think those are the kinds

20 of things, along with other tax expenditures, that you can

21 put on the table.

22 In a positive sense, it is possible to have a

23 series of discrete recommendations. Example: Broaden

24 the sales tax base, lower the rate if you’re looking for

25 revenue neutrality.

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 There are ways -- eliminate those new loopholes

2 in the corporation tax, perhaps look at business property,

3 sales tax on depreciable manufacturing equipment as a

4 trade-off. There are some discrete trade-offs you can

5 make. You should not trade off the progressivity of the

6 system.

7 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: May I ask Mr. Goldberg a

8 question?

9 MR. GOLDBERG: Pardon me?

10 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: May I ask Mr. Goldberg a

11 question?

12 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes.

13 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: So you’d be strongly in

14 favor of the state, so long as it got the appropriate

15 revenue from it, getting the maximum it can out of oil and

16 gas in California?

17 MR. GOLDBERG: The fact that we don’t have an

18 oil severance tax is also an embarrassment.

19 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: What about if we don’t

20 develop it, and we’ll never develop it?

21 MR. GOLDBERG: Excuse me.

22 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: That’s got to be even

23 worse than a traditional land tax if we never, ever

24 develop oil and gas in the state.

25 MR. GOLDBERG: The way all severance taxes are

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 structured and the way -- let me just cite Rand. Rand

2 said no effect on production, no effect on price with

3 regard to a severance tax in California.

4 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Well, there has to be an

5 effect on production if you disallow use. You never use

6 it.

7 MR. GOLDBERG: The actual -- you’re not

8 disallowing use. You’re getting --

9 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: But we refuse, for

10 example, to develop our offshore oil.

11 MR. GOLDBERG: With regard to in-state oil

12 development --

13 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: How is California ever

14 going to benefit from that fixed resource if we never

15 develop --

16 MR. GOLDBERG: Actually, with regard to

17 offshore, we will get a ton of revenues for that. We do

18 get --

19 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Exactly.

20 MR. GOLDBERG: We get a ton of revenues on our

21 state lands. What we don’t get is any revenue, to speak

22 of, from our private land, and that’s where that oil

23 severance would come in. So we do get it from state

24 lands, absolutely.

25 CHAIR PARSKY: I think this is a very

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 interesting dialogue back and forth. Maybe it would

2 be --

3 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: I strongly endorse this.

4 CHAIR PARSKY: We’ll get to the endorsements.

5 Thank you very much, Lenny.

6 Third time, not quite a charm, but close.

7 That’s okay.

8 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Charming.

9 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes, as Fred said “charming.”

10 That’s good.

11 Mary Bergan is our last public-comment speaker.

12 MS. BERGAN: Hello, I’m Mary Bergan. I’m past

13 president of the California Federation of Teachers,

14 perhaps one of the few in the room with enough

15 institutional memory to remember a 1976 tax commission

16 that gave us a majority vote on every tax in the state.

17 With that, we still have their wisdom.

18 I would like to just -- I’m reacting to reports

19 of the Commission’s work in the paper. And one point that

20 struck me was that you want to come out with a proposal,

21 however it may end up, that is revenue-neutral.

22 That is a fool’s errand. We are currently

23 disinvesting in education, in all of the things that

24 are going to lead to prosperity.

25 There is nothing in your charge that says you

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1 want to be revenue-neutral. In fact, if you want to deal

2 with the 21 st century economy, you need to come up with a

3 progressive proposal that puts more revenue into the state

4 of California. We will never return to a robust public

5 sector unless we have more revenue through fair taxes.

6 Thank you.

7 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you very much.

8 Thank all -- oh, I’m sorry, I didn’t have your

9 name.

10 MS. HENDERSON: Anne Henderson. I signed the

11 list outside, and apparently I didn’t fill out a card.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, why don’t you go ahead?

13 It’s okay.

14 MS. HENDERSON: Anne Henderson --

15 CHAIR PARSKY: As long as you live with the

16 Dean of the Boalt Law School’s clink, it’s okay.

17 MS. HENDERSON: Well, I live in Berkeley. I

18 don’t know if that helps.

19 CHAIR PARSKY: That helps a lot.

20 MS. HENDERSON: I’m the legislative -- the state

21 and local finance director of the League of Women Voters

22 of California. And we have submitted a letter with some

23 detail. But I would just like to say, we’ve been studying

24 state and local finance since 1969, and we’ve been through

25 a number of these exercises before.

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 26

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 We have a position that calls for revenues to

2 be both flexible and sufficient to meet changing needs,

3 and to emphasize equity and fair sharing, including

4 ability to pay. And we’re very concerned about the

5 direction we’re taking. We don’t think stability is in

6 that list of concerns. And we’d like to see the tax base

7 broadened, for instance, with sales taxes and other

8 things.

9 We’re concerned about a number of issues I know

10 you have discussed, such as the property tax, getting the

11 commercial -- the nonresidential, commercial off of --

12 out of Prop. 13. That doesn’t make any sense, even as

13 to competition between California businesses.

14 And we’re also particularly concerned about

15 having -- asking you to look at the question of tax

16 expenditures.

17 I think the Legislative Analyst in a recent

18 report pointed out that they’re not -- they’re given out

19 without a real clear estimate of what they’re going to

20 produce. Then there are not reports that are put together

21 so you can really value it, whether you’re getting what

22 you wanted for the state. You’re giving away state money.

23 And we don’t give -- we think that really needs to be

24 looked at.

25 And then the basic idea that you can lower them

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 with a majority vote, but you only have to have two-thirds

2 to raise them.

3 [Bell chimed]

4 MS. HENDERSON: We don’t see how that makes that

5 tax policy.

6 Thank you.

7 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you very much.

8 Do we have another?

9 DOUG HALL: Yes, Chairman Parsky, I’m here with

10 my father, James Hall. We were under the assumption there

11 was three minutes. So I just wanted to read real quickly

12 our final recommendation.

13 CHAIR PARSKY: Okay.

14 DOUG HALL: It’s very simple. Remove –-

15 THE REPORTER: Can you state your name, please?

16 DOUG HALL: Yes, Doug Hall, and the blog is

17 JamesHall.WordPress.com.

18 Remove or drastically reduce capital gains for

19 seniors, age 65, when selling their homes, and allow them

20 to move anywhere in California without raising their

21 property taxes.

22 This legislation would greatly modify the

23 effects of Prop. 13 without a direct initiative to change

24 Prop. 13. The Tax Relief Act of 1997 increased the

25 capital gain exemption to $250,000, up from $125,000 per

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 28

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 person when selling a home.

2 That’s 12 years ago. It needs to be changed to

3 serve as a property tax stimulus here in California and

4 other locations in the U.S.

5 Currently, a surviving spouse can get a step-up

6 in basis. And then when she’s deceased, they both get

7 quite a huge exemption. So many people are basically

8 allowed to get a huge capital gains break. We’re asking

9 that couples, senior couples are allowed to get that same

10 break.

11 Thank you.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you very much.

13 I think we have now been responsive to all

14 members of the public that wish to make comment.

15 Before we move into our discussion for today,

16 I’d just like to make a few general comments.

17 One of the public speakers said that she was

18 hearing about the Commission from the newspapers. With

19 all due respect to the media, I’m not quite sure that

20 that’s the most accurate source for where the Commission

21 is or where the Commission would like to go.

22 So I think we, as a commission, are sitting at

23 a unique point in history for California. I think we

24 have an opportunity to demonstrate to the public that it

25 is possible for Californians, all of whom have a sincere

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 29

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 interest in the future of California, with varying

2 ideological or varying points of view, generally, to come

3 together, and to put forward in the tax area

4 recommendations that demonstrate that you can come

5 together.

6 We were not formed to try to solve the current

7 budget issue. We also didn’t come together as an elected

8 body -- people in an elected body. We came together with

9 a focus on the system of taxation in California that

10 hasn’t been reformed or brought of age for a number of

11 years.

12 And I would just say from my own perspective,

13 everyone on this commission -- every single member on

14 this commission -- has dedicated himself or herself to

15 the common goal of trying to come together, for which I’m

16 very grateful. And there still remains a lot of work to

17 be done. But I remain quite optimistic because of the

18 intelligence level and the commitment on the part of each

19 member of this commission.

20 And it was important when we formed the

21 Commission that we had people with different points of

22 view, points of view that reflected the difference in

23 California. So that’s not something that we should shy

24 away from.

25 But if we can send a message to the elected

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 politicians in Sacramento that people as diverse as are

2 around here can come together on one of the most

3 complicated and difficult subjects to deal with, but can

4 come together hopefully unanimously, it will set an

5 example.

6 And I hope all the commissioners and the public

7 recognize that the Governor and the legislative leaders

8 have assured us that our recommendations will be voted on

9 by the Legislature, up or down as a package. That’s a

10 unique commitment if we can come together with a set of

11 recommendations unanimously. We may not. That’s not to

12 say that it’s a foregone conclusion; but it’s something

13 that I know everyone on this commission is working toward.

14 With that introduction, I’d also like to remind

15 everyone -- and I’ve done this at every hearing -- of the

16 goals that were set out for us as we were looking at

17 making changes. In no particular order and with no goal

18 having any more weight than the other, but they included:

19 Helping to establish a 21 st century tax

20 structure that fits within the state’s 21 st century

21 economy.

22 Second, helping to stabilize state revenues and

23 reduce volatility.

24 Third, helping promote the long-term economic

25 prosperity of the state and its citizens.

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 31

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 Fourth, helping improve the ability to

2 successfully compete with other states for jobs and

3 .

4 Fifth, reflecting principles of sound tax

5 policy, including -- not limited to, but including --

6 simplicity, competitiveness, efficiency, predictability,

7 stability, and ease of compliance and administration.

8 And finally -- and as I said, not any one

9 more important than the other -- but finally, ensure that

10 the tax structure that you’re recommending is fair and

11 equitable.

12 Now, those are, I think, very worthy goals.

13 We’re going to try, as we proceed forward, to look at

14 recommendations, to make sure that we continually remind

15 ourselves, and that we’re able to come up and say that

16 we have attempted to pass all of the recommendations

17 through the prism of those goals.

18 Now, before we get into today’s discussion,

19 and with that kind of background, I’d like to ask the

20 commissioners to consider a structure for recommendations.

21 I have provided the commissioners, and it will be made

22 available to the public, so that we begin to refine the

23 approach that we may take without any foregone conclusion

24 as to what the recommendations would be.

25 I’m sorry, one other thing I would say. There

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 have been a number of suggestions made in all good faith

2 by a number of commissioners about specific

3 recommendations that could be made. Each and every one

4 of those recommendations is contained in the binders that

5 are distributed here, have been posted on the Web site,

6 and available to the public. And I would urge everyone

7 to read those because they reflect, for those that sought

8 to propose specific things, legitimate work individually

9 done, or it could have been collectively. But they’re all

10 a matter of record and they’re all in these binders and

11 on our Web site.

12 Now, with that background, let me say that my

13 suggestion -- and I’d like the commissioners to think

14 about this during the course of the discussion, and then

15 we’ll come back and see if the commissioners would agree

16 to this structure.

17 We would divide our recommendations into two

18 sections but with kind of one overriding principle.

19 Section 1 would be recommendations of statutory

20 tax-law changes, revenue-related, that can be acted on

21 by the State Legislature immediately, and hopefully --

22 that’s my word -- but hopefully endorsed unanimously by

23 the commissioners. That would be Section 1.

24 Section 2 would be recommendations of tax-law

25 changes, revenue-related, that can be enacted by changes

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 33

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 in the State Constitution or by the state initiative

2 process, and hopefully are endorsed unanimously by the

3 commissioners.

4 Two guiding principles in both: That they are

5 revenue-related, and my hope that they will be unanimous.

6 I would hate to put the Commission into a situation where

7 one commissioner could basically stop recommendations from

8 proceeding. So I’d like to operate, if we would, under

9 the assumption that we’re going to try our best to be

10 unanimous.

11 In addition, the Commission -- hopefully

12 unanimously -- can identify or will identify areas of

13 reform, non-revenue-related, that need to be considered

14 by others outside the context of the Commission, to

15 achieve comprehensive fiscal reform. It’s a recognition

16 that the work of this commission, albeit revenue-oriented,

17 doesn’t solve all of the needs for reform. And there are

18 other organizations -- legitimate organizations hard at

19 work at addressing other elements of reform.

20 Without necessarily taking a position on those

21 efforts, we have every ability -- and I would urge that

22 we consider identifying the areas of such reform that

23 ought to be considered, evaluated, staffed, analyzed by

24 others.

25 So that’s the framework that I hope the

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 commissioners will consider during the course of this

2 meeting. And then we’ll come back to it at the end and

3 see if we have the concurrence of everyone to proceed on

4 that basis and over what time frame.

5 COMMISSIONER POMP: A point of clarification.

6 This defective mike, I assume –- you have to hold it this

7 time? Oh, my goodness.

8 CHAIR PARSKY: If your finger gets tired, that’s

9 the idea to stop.

10 COMMISSIONER POMP: That, or if Chris tones me

11 first.

12 By the nontax, I just want to make it clear, tax

13 administration I would include within good tax policy.

14 So you’re thinking of spending limits and things

15 like that?

16 CHAIR PARSKY: I am.

17 COMMISSIONER POMP: Okay, I think that’s

18 sensible.

19 Thank you.

20 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you.

21 Okay, we’ll stop on “sensible.” That’s a good

22 way to stop.

23 Let’s proceed ahead.

24 Any other comments of any kind any commissioner

25 would like to make?

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 (No response)

2 CHAIR PARSKY: Okay, then I’ll call on the staff

3 now.

4 We have identified at the last meeting, and

5 they’ve been posted on the Web site, two possible

6 packages, packages of reform, that this commission

7 could -- or wanted to consider further. And I will just

8 say by way of introduction that one of the two packages

9 contains a new form of tax: the business net-receipts

10 tax. And so we’ve had quite a lot of discussion in the

11 past about it.

12 As the staff reviews Package 1, the staff has

13 done an extensive amount of additional work on a possible

14 business net-receipts tax. We have posted on the Web

15 site a summary of additional description of this tax. I

16 think all of us recognize the risks involved in putting

17 forward any new piece of legislation, let alone a new tax.

18 And so a number of commissioners have indicated concern

19 about how we will go about doing it, how we can get

20 further input.

21 And I’ll have some comments about that if we,

22 as a commission, decide to proceed with analysis of that

23 possible avenue.

24 But I’ll let the staff now walk everyone through

25 each of the two packages. We’ll open up for comments,

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 36

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 questions, whatever. We’ll spend, as I said, quite a bit

2 of time on the business net-receipts tax, then we’ll come

3 back around and see if, at the end of this session, there

4 is a meeting of the minds as to how we might proceed.

5 Thank you.

6 MR. IBELE: Thank you, Mr. Chair.

7 We’re going to split this into two sections.

8 I’ll do the first section with describing the two packages

9 that staff was asked to analyze; and my colleague, Phil

10 Spilberg, will take primary responsibility for the

11 discussion of the business net-receipts tax, with some

12 assistance from the Franchise Tax Board.

13 We’ve been asked to evaluate a couple of

14 different packages, as the Chair indicated, that are

15 posted on the Web site. Before we do that, I wanted to

16 revisit a couple of issues that we’ve discussed in the

17 past. But I thought we should refresh ourselves and keep

18 these in mind as we move forward.

19 This is a chart you’ve seen before. It’s a

20 familiar slide. But it’s important for several reasons.

21 A couple that I want to mention is that we’ve obviously

22 moved dramatically in the structure of the tax system in

23 the last half a century from about 60 percent reliance on

24 the sales and , in the 1950s, to almost 55 percent

25 reliance on the personal income tax. That is, we have

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 37

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 moved from a tax which is largely regressive in the minds

2 of most economists, to one which is progressive across

3 much of the income spectrum. This has had significant

4 impacts on distribution, as the Commission has discussed,

5 as well as the change in the volatility of the state’s tax

6 system.

7 Also a familiar chart -- this is from Phil’s

8 presentation at the first meeting in San Diego, indicating

9 how the State’s tax portfolio of volatility has increased

10 dramatically. This is somewhat due to the high rates in

11 the personal income tax; but more importantly, it’s a

12 reflection of how much more we rely on a personal income

13 tax, as well as the types of income that we now experience

14 in our economy and which are subject to the personal

15 income tax. And that’s really what’s driving the

16 volatility up, going from the statistic we’re using most

17 frequently as the coefficient of variation, which is 0.7

18 in the 1969 to 1978 period, to almost 1.66 during the

19 1999-2008 period. A dramatic increase.

20 Before -- I need another hand here. Really, I’d

21 like to have a third.

22 Before we go through the tax packages, I thought

23 it would be wise to go through the criteria of evaluation

24 that we’ve been using. And this is not meant to be

25 exhaustive. It’s ideas that we’ve sort of picked up on

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 38

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 from the Commission’s discussion, those that we think are

2 worthy of discussion and probably the most important.

3 The first being economic growth, the potential

4 for a tax program, a tax structure to encourage jobs and

5 investment. And in this area, we look at tax rates, we

6 look at the taxation of business inputs and their respect

7 to whether those are taxed or not.

8 Moving from an income to a consumption base

9 and also treating businesses equivalently. Service

10 businesses, businesses, and so forth. That’s the

11 first on our list.

12 Revenue volatility: We have a very

13 straightforward metric that we’ve been using for this,

14 and we have estimated this for the different two packages

15 that we’re going to be discussing today.

16 Fairness: You know, we obviously defer to the

17 Commission’s wisdom in what is a fair tax. Distribution

18 of the tax burden is certainly one of those

19 considerations. Another one that’s not listed, but we’ve

20 discussed before, is how many people, how many residents

21 of the state contribute to the tax system. That’s also an

22 issue of that fairness for many people.

23 Lastly, at least on this -- again, this is not

24 meant to be complete, but some of those that we thought

25 were most important -- simplicity. To the extent that the

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 new system is more easy to comply with and more easy to

2 administer, that would obviously be a plus for that

3 particular type of structure.

4 At the Commission’s last meeting, we were asked

5 to examine not only those taxes which we were considering

6 changing, which the Commission was looking at changing --

7 the personal income tax, the sales and use tax, the

8 corporation tax -- but also incorporate all the state

9 revenues in our analysis. So we have included, when we

10 do our distributional and revenue analysis, we have

11 included the personal income tax, sales and use taxes --

12 at the state level, not just general fund but also special

13 fund -- the corporation tax, motor-vehicle taxes, fuels

14 taxes, insurance taxes, other excise taxes.

15 And one thing that I should have put on here

16 and neglected to was, as part of the analysis, obviously,

17 any new proposed or contemplated business net-receipts

18 tax. So those would all be included in the analysis.

19 These are the -- this is the period of time over

20 which we did our analysis --

21 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Mr. Chairman, if I could

22 ask a quick question?

23 CHAIR PARSKY: Sure.

24 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Thank you.

25 Mr. Ibele, quickly, on your previous slide about

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 the major state revenues, the property tax is not on there

2 because?

3 MR. IBELE: The property tax we considered a

4 local tax, the property tax is raised and it’s distributed

5 to the county. And we were given instructions to include

6 state taxes. So property tax is not included, nor is the

7 local portion of sales tax.

8 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Sales tax?

9 MR. IBELE: Bradley-Burns special district

10 taxes, et cetera, et cetera.

11 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: And out of an interest in

12 characterizing taxes -- you know, when I was in the State

13 Legislature, the property tax, of course, we said, “Well,

14 that’s a -- that is a state tax -- rather, a local tax,

15 because it’s collected and tax bills are sent out at the

16 local level.”

17 I think you might get -- now that I’m back in

18 local government as an elected county treasurer, I have a

19 different view, of course, and that is, where you stand

20 depends on where you sit. Where I sit now, it sure has

21 the look and feel of something that the locals, in fact,

22 collect, and the state makes the decisions with regard to

23 the allocation.

24 So I think there is a -- and it may be a

25 definitional issue here that’s worthy of some examination,

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 41

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 even though it’s not, strictly speaking, a state revenue

2 in the same way the PIT is or the state share of the sales

3 tax. I think there’s a reasonable argument that the

4 property tax is, at best, a “tweener” that could be on

5 that list, for that reason, because of the State’s

6 tremendous involvement in the property tax following

7 Prop. 13 and the allocation thereof.

8 Thank you very much.

9 MR. IBELE: I think that is a reasonable

10 interpretation. I’ve made that argument myself on

11 occasion. But we haven’t included --

12 CHAIR PARSKY: I asked you not to deal with

13 “tweeners.” But that’s okay, don’t worry about that.

14 MR. IBELE: And the distinction is, it’s not

15 an absolute right or wrong. I think on some of the

16 local sales taxes, the Bradley-Burns, which used to be

17 1.25 percent and is now 1.0 percent, is universal across

18 the state, it’s statewide. However, counties do have the

19 option not to participate in that. So we did not include

20 the Bradley-Burns. But you could make an argument on the

21 property tax. But, in any event, it’s not included.

22 These are the revenues from those taxes over our

23 five-year study period. The five-year total for those

24 total revenues is at the bottom, $604 billion.

25 As we noted in our last meeting, they raised

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 the same amount of revenue but, obviously, the pattern is

2 somewhat different. So we did our distributional

3 analysis, and our volatility -- I’m sorry, not our

4 volatility but some of our other analyses using that 2014

5 period, and adjust it for the slight difference in

6 revenues for that one year.

7 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: Mr. Chairman?

8 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes, go ahead, Becky.

9 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: What was the basis for

10 doing these projections?

11 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Assumptions.

12 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: The assumptions involved.

13 Is this a straight line, or is there some opinion involved

14 with this? How do you get to these future revenue

15 figures? That’s number one.

16 And number two, Mr. Chairman, people even today

17 talked about revenue-neutrality, and that’s not in our

18 order. And I’m wondering if that keeps coming up partly

19 because, to get passed by the Legislature by majority

20 vote, we can’t be raising taxes with a majority vote.

21 So those are two questions.

22 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, let’s deal with the

23 assumptions first.

24 MR. IBELE: Yes, the assumptions are based in

25 2012 off the Department of Finance’s economic projections.

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 And using those, we built in assumptions regarding the

2 different income components -- the sales-tax base and

3 consumer purchases, as well as the other components. So

4 it was grounded in the economic forecast; and then the tax

5 forecast themselves were based on that for different

6 components, using different assumptions.

7 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: Do you have any

8 information you could share with commissioners about the

9 history of projections by the Department of Finance?

10 MR. IBELE: We could certainly share that, and

11 we can share the assumptions which we went through this

12 to some degree in our last meeting with the Commission

13 as well.

14 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: Mr. Chairman?

15 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes, Bill?

16 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: Mark --

17 CHAIR PARSKY: Unfortunately, you’ve got to keep

18 your finger on there.

19 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: Yes.

20 Do these numbers include the business

21 net-receipts tax?

22 MR. IBELE: These numbers would include -- I

23 should have been more clear. The current law is our basic

24 system now.

25 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: This is current law? These

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 numbers are off of current law?

2 MR. IBELE: The heading, the second column over,

3 that says “Current,” is current law.

4 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: Okay, and then --

5 MR. IBELE: And then “Package 1” is a different

6 type of tax structure, which includes the business

7 net-receipts tax. And Package 2 --

8 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: How -- okay, we’ll stop

9 there.

10 In light of the fact that the definition of the

11 business net-receipts tax was posted a couple of days ago

12 on our Web site, how were you able to project income from

13 a tax that doesn’t exist today and hadn’t been defined

14 until, at least for us, until two days ago?

15 MR. IBELE: I’m going to defer to Phil on this

16 one.

17 MR. SPILBERG: Sir, let me try.

18 The way that the estimates were done is to

19 first -- with respect to the business net-receipts tax,

20 is consider that what it is, it’s a value-added tax. And

21 the way that it’s calculated is for in-state firms, that

22 is basically value-added within California. And for

23 multistate firms is basically they’re national

24 value-added, which is apportioned to California.

25 We had provided to Ernst & Young our economic

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st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 forecast -- which, by the way, was put together by the

2 State Economist -- and assumed -- let me just sort of

3 backtrack a little bit to the economic forecast.

4 The economic forecast that we used is -- first

5 of all, it’s a common forecast for all estimates, and it

6 sort of assumes that we’re starting off at a very low

7 level of the economy in 2012. And then by the time we

8 reach 2016, we are close to full employment. So

9 basically, what we wanted to do was look over an economic

10 cycle and establish revenue-neutrality over that cycle.

11 So having that economic forecast and then making

12 those general assumptions that what we’re going to be

13 taxing is, in essence, value-added, Ernst & Young provided

14 to us with the estimates of the amount of revenue that

15 would be coming from the business net-receipts tax.

16 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: Can I --

17 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes, go ahead, Bill.

18 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: They built -- this is a

19 question -- they built a set of assumptions in order for

20 them to make those projections?

21 MR. SPILBERG: With respect to the model that

22 they used, we have a representative of Ernst & Young over

23 here, so he can speak more directly to your question.

24 But it wasn’t a model that they specifically built for

25 this purpose. They had already a model that they had

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 46

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 previously developed. And they calibrated that model to

2 the California economy. And, again, along with our

3 economic growth assumptions, they made the calculations.

4 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: Mr. Chairman, I would

5 suggest that if we are going to pursue this possibility,

6 that the Commission ought to have every piece of

7 information we possibly can have about that model so that

8 it can be subjected to other scrutiny, and let other

9 folks react to it to determine whether the forecasted

10 revenue and the impacts of it are as they apparently are

11 in this model that is more generic.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: I should have probably elaborated

13 a little bit on my initial commentary.

14 If it’s the will of this Commission at the end

15 of this meeting to continue to explore this new tax, we

16 have not had enough of a process for anyone to be

17 comfortable that we could propose or recommend this tax.

18 And so I’d like to come back to that once we have at least

19 had concurrence that it’s worth continuing to pursue. If

20 it is, then I have some suggestions about how we might do

21 it to be responsive to your point.

22 John?

23 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Just to clarify, Phil. In

24 constructing these estimates, you had to make a lot of

25 detailed, kind of policy choices to construct the

Daniel P. Feldhaus, CSR, Inc. 916.682.9482 47

st Commission on the 21 Century Eco nomy – July 16, 2009

1 net-receipts tax, how to treat outside-of-state sales, how

2 to deal with transition issues, and so forth.

3 So maybe when you get to describing the

4 net-receipts tax later on in your presentation, you could

5 walk us through what big decisions you -- or big -- yes,

6 I guess we’ll call them “decisions” for now that you all

7 made, just to construct a number. But I think what’s got

8 Bill a little bit concerned and probably some other

9 commissioners is, we’ve got numbers and we don’t have a

10 policy; but, more importantly, it’s the Commission that

11 will decide the policy down the road.

12 MR. IBELE: Commissioner --

13 COMMISSIONER COGAN: And we want to make sure we

14 understand what policy generated the budget-neutral

15 numbers that you got.

16 MR. IBELE: Commissioner Cogan, that’s a very

17 good point. We did make some, we’ll call them tentative

18 choices, in terms of coming up with the revenue analysis

19 that we’ve done so far. And those would all be obviously

20 in the Commission’s purview, to make the decision. And

21 we’d highlight those for you as we go through.

22 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: That’s what you posted just

23 the other day; wasn’t it?

24 MR. IBELE: Yes, that’s correct. That’s

25 correct.

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1 MR. SPILBERG: Let me just also add to that,

2 as far as the revenue estimates that you’re seeing in

3 front of you, they do not -- they’re somewhat generic in

4 the sense. They did not specifically take into account

5 transition issues, they do not specifically take into

6 account the kind of behavioral changes that one would

7 build into a proposal that goes into effect on a

8 particular year and would be scored by, for example,

9 the Franchise Tax Board.

10 This is -- this point is our estimates, which do

11 not include any of that -- any of these considerations.

12 They are totally static.

13 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: May I have my second

14 question answered, please, relative to why the issue of

15 revenue-neutrality keeps coming up and how we’re going to

16 deal with that? And if we look out to 2016, I don’t see

17 this taking into account population growth,

18 growth, and full employment, which was just mentioned.

19 How do you come -- why do we come up with the

20 same amount over a five-year period? Is that a net

21 present value or how are we supposed to interpret this?

22 Because certainly, with more population, inflation,

23 et cetera, there will be growth and the need for more

24 revenues.

25 MR. SPILBERG: The estimates you see in the

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1 table are actually cash-flow estimates. They do take

2 into account population growth, they do take into account

3 inflation. They’re basically the consequence of an

4 economic forecast that we received from the State

5 Economist that take into account the economic growth that

6 you would expect through 2012, and then economic growth

7 that would lead you toward full employment by 2016.

8 CHAIR PARSKY: Okay, Mark?

9 COMMISSIONER POMP: Mr. Chair, I have a quick

10 question.

11 What rate was used in making the projection?

12 MR. SPILBERG: For the net business receipts

13 tax?

14 COMMISSIONER POMP: Yes.

15 MR. IBELE: For Package 1, the rate is about

16 3.3 percent.

17 COMMISSIONER POMP: Mr. Chair, let me just

18 endorse your earlier comments. I mean, having done some

19 revenue estimation in an earlier lifetime, you put two

20 of us in a room, you get three different estimates. And

21 they can differ widely. And I would encourage us, if we

22 go down that path, that these numbers be carefully vetted

23 once we have decided on policy decisions, rates,

24 et cetera.

25 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: It doesn’t matter how many

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1 people you put in the room; the issue is, how many of them

2 do you let out.

3 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, at this stage, we have 14.

4 And I’m not sure the room is quite big enough for

5 everyone. So we’re working on the size of the room.

6 No, again, let me make sure it’s understood.

7 The staff, with a lot of outside help, has taken on a

8 rather enormous task, because it was the will, if you

9 would, of the Commission to explore the possibility of

10 broadening the tax base in California through a business

11 net-receipts tax.

12 That may not be the ultimate decision of this

13 Commission; but in the spirit of really trying to look at

14 major tax reform, I think it’s a worthwhile exercise. But

15 the exercise, in one sense, has just begun. Before we

16 would be in a position to concretely recommend the exact

17 nature of such a tax, we would need more time. And we

18 would need a much more detailed process. And there may

19 be differences of opinion in terms of estimating; but the

20 public needs to be aware, fully, of the possibilities,

21 experts need to be engaged; the business community and

22 labor need to be involved. But I do think that in terms

23 of significant reform, it’s a worthwhile exercise for this

24 body.

25 Now, as I said, we will come back at the end of

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1 this session and see if we want to continue this process,

2 which would incorporate significantly more work.

3 Yes, Curt?

4 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: If I could.

5 I mean, it’s interesting to question what the

6 projections are. We certainly need to know some of the

7 assumptions. But in terms of modeling, we are, in this

8 sense, being comparative of various systems. And the

9 assumptions are the same in each of those comparisons.

10 If our job is to figure out if we can find any

11 entity that can be precise, and hit it right on the head

12 in terms of what those assumptions are, the answer is no,

13 we’re not going to be precise.

14 For example, I believe Finance’s estimate for

15 the personal income tax, when the budget was signed for

16 the 2008-09 budget, was 19 percent off as to what the

17 personal income tax actually raised in that year.

18 Is that because Finance was wrong in their

19 assumptions? Yes. But, in fact, it was because the

20 economy changed and circumstances affected it.

21 But if we were comparing package to package at

22 that time, we’d be using the same assumptions. So, you

23 know, yes, the unknown here is the business net receipts;

24 but everything else is based upon a comparative analysis

25 between the two packages, not between -- are we going to

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1 hit it dead-on in terms of what will each package raise.

2 I mean, I think part of our charge, and under --

3 I believe it is part of our charge because both -- all of

4 the entities that selected the members of this commission

5 talked about revenue-neutrality being a part of this

6 discussion, people can raise revenues or lower revenues

7 by adjusting the rates through a legislative process.

8 But our job wasn’t to focus on how to get a package that

9 raised a lot more money or a lot less money; but ours was

10 at least to present a package that is somewhat equal, and

11 then let the legislative branch, through the negotiations

12 with the executive, determine if they want to raise more

13 money or not. So I’m not afraid of the concept of

14 revenue-neutrality. But in this context, this is a

15 comparative model between the packages, and that’s what

16 I’d like to see.

17 So I can understand that, and I can see how

18 the business net-receipts tax and the other modifications

19 in each package will play. And even though I’m a bit

20 concerned about seeing a chart that talks about revenue

21 volatility, and that is one of the expressed charges

22 within the Executive Order and, in fact, it seems to me

23 that we haven’t diminished much of the revenue volatility,

24 or as much as we probably could because each package is

25 still very reliant upon the personal income tax.

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1 But those are my thoughts, Mr. Chairman.

2 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you.

3 Why don’t you proceed ahead, Mark?

4 MR. IBELE: Okay.

5 Speaking of revenue volatility, let me give

6 away part of the story here. This is an analysis of the

7 three -- the two packages and current law. The period of

8 time that we analyzed current law is slightly different

9 than in the earlier chart. It has a coefficient of

10 variation of 1.48.

11 Package 1, large reduction in volatility.

12 Commissioner Pringle is correct. I should mention that

13 each of the -- under current law, Package 1 and Package 2,

14 they all raise approximately the same amount from the

15 personal income tax, around $55 billion to $56 billion.

16 The reason for the big drop in volatility in

17 Package 1 is because of the business net-receipts tax.

18 And I’ll describe the various packages. But in this

19 particular package, you’re replacing a sales and use tax,

20 a large component of it, and the corporation income tax.

21 And the business net-receipts tax is a very stable source

22 of income.

23 And in Package 2 --

24 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: So -- one second. What

25 is not just the economic assumptions, what is the

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1 assumption about the distribution of income and the

2 distribution -- the functional and size distribution of

3 income going forward? Because, clearly, that’s been a

4 big part of why the state’s revenue has become so much

5 more volatile from your earlier materials, right, that

6 we rely on. We’ve had a much more concentrated -- income

7 tax has become a much larger fraction of what’s going on,

8 and it relies on volatile income sources. So aside from

9 we’re going to still be in a slack economy in 2012 and

10 we’ll get to full employment in 2016, what assumptions

11 went on about what happened to the distribution of income,

12 what happened to the functional distribution income, how

13 much is still coming from variable pay, what are capital

14 gains? Where’s all that? So how can you compare the

15 packages without that?

16 MR. SPILBERG: So let’s talk about the economic

17 forecast again and how a depressed economy -- how it’s

18 reflected in incomes relative to a robust economy.

19 Basically, in a depressed economy, non- sources of

20 income are depressed, much more so than wages. So in

21 2012, where we’re starting off, we have a distribution of

22 income which is less concentrated than certainly it was

23 in 2008, when we had the peak, basically, of our boom and

24 capital gains were very high.

25 So two thousand- -- we don’t have the precise

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1 matrix, but those can be provided. But in 2012, you have

2 a relatively -- well, you still have a concentrated system

3 because wealth has become more concentrated over time,

4 as has income. But it’s substantially less so than it

5 was in 2008.

6 We have the growth in the economy toward 2016.

7 By 2016, we reach close to full employment. However,

8 we’re assuming that capital gains do not reach the same

9 peak that they did in 2008. Again, I don’t have the

10 precise numbers, but they are lower. As far as other

11 non-wage income sources, they do go back up to serve a

12 traditional percentage, as they are during a peak period.

13 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Okay, thanks, Phil.

14 That’s helpful. But I think it would be even more

15 helpful, in addition to that description, to go back and

16 redo this analysis here and the revenue analysis for an

17 historical period over the last X years. So we see in the

18 boom of the late nineties and the collapse of the early

19 2000s the fairly neutral years, business cycle, the middle

20 years of 2003, forward, et cetera. And then during the

21 housing bubble of 2005, ‘06, ‘07, ‘08, what’s going on,

22 and we could take a look at that, and we can get some --

23 I think that would be very helpful for all of us.

24 MR. SPILBERG: This certainly can be done. Just

25 keep in mind that there is a cyclical trend, and there is

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1 also a systemic trend over time. So those will affect the

2 numbers.

3 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Yes, I think we’re all

4 aware of that. But at least those are based off of -- and

5 had we had a different tax system, we would have had a

6 somewhat different economy, but that’s a whole ‘nother

7 story. But at least those are off of facts rather than

8 double projections.

9 CHAIR PARSKY: I think at one point we did say

10 that although, in analyzing the issue of the impact on

11 revenue-neutrality, or not -- that is looking forward,

12 looking forward and would need to be analyzed for one

13 year, and then potentially for over a three-year period,

14 that would go on as if we are going to propose

15 legislation, in any event.

16 We also said that we wanted to be in a position

17 to look backwards -- back X number of years to be able to

18 compare the analysis, so I think --

19 MR. IBELE: We can do that.

20 CHAIR PARSKY: I think that would be very

21 helpful.

22 COMMISSIONER POMP: I have one comment I’d like

23 to see, too.

24 When you project growth in wages, capital gains,

25 do you use the same growth rate for across the board and

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1 not by bands of income?

2 MR. IBELE: Well, we used different growth rates

3 for different components of income.

4 COMMISSIONER POMP: But having said that, it’s

5 across the board?

6 MR. IBELE: Yes.

7 COMMISSIONER POMP: So that wages will grow at

8 the same rate for everyone?

9 MR. IBELE: For each of the -- yes, so the only

10 differentiation would be the types of income, the

11 different income groups received.

12 COMMISSIONER POMP: Right, which maybe is the

13 best you can do, but unrealistic. Unless you think the

14 upper-income folks are having the same increase in their

15 wages that low-income people are, which is belied by the

16 data, so…

17 MR. IBELE: Well, it was an assumption. It

18 doesn’t reflect what happened in the past. But it seemed

19 reasonable to do working forward. When we go back and

20 look at history and do this sort of backcasting, we would

21 obviously take those different growth rates into account.

22 MR. SPILBERG: And we’d be happy to share

23 historical trends in per-return growth rates in wages and

24 other sources of income. We do have that information.

25 CHAIR PARSKY: One more thing, Mark, before we

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1 turn to Package 1. One more time on an explanation of

2 this chart to non-economists. Just explain what this

3 chart means to non-economists.

4 MR. IBELE: This basically --

5 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: The one on the left is

6 taller.

7 CHAIR PARSKY: No, that’s to a lawyer. I didn’t

8 say a “lawyer.”

9 MR. IBELE: It’s basically an indication of the

10 relationship of the growth in taxes with respect to its

11 variability. And what’s a --

12 CHAIR PARSKY: We’ll let you think about that

13 for a while.

14 MR. IBELE: I’m looking for a good metaphor, and

15 I’m not coming up with one right now.

16 CHAIR PARSKY: We’ll let you come back to that.

17 MR. IBELE: Okay.

18 CHAIR PARSKY: I do think -- look, there have

19 been a number of discussions and --

20 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Oversimplification,

21 Mr. Chairman? An oversimplification is something about

22 what happens to tax revenue when income fluctuates -- the

23 economy fluctuates rather than when it’s stable. To get

24 beyond that, you’re talking about statistical terminology.

25 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Got it.

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1 CHAIR PARSKY: Okay. The mayor says he got it.

2 It’s enough. Okay.

3 Let’s go on to Package 1. We’re going to come

4 back to the subject of volatility.

5 MR. IBELE: I’ll be prepared.

6 CHAIR PARSKY: Okay, go ahead.

7 MR. IBELE: Okay, Package 1, this is what was

8 posted on the Web site.

9 The structure of this is a personal income tax

10 with a uniform of 6 percent. There are a

11 of $15,000 for single taxpayers,

12 $30,000 for joint filers. There are itemized deductions

13 for mortgage interest, property taxes, and charitable

14 contributions which are phased out as you reach a certain

15 income level.

16 This eliminates the corporate income tax. It

17 eliminates the state sales tax, which is this 5 percent

18 rate. And it imposes the net-receipts tax at the rate

19 that I mentioned before of about 3.3 percent.

20 We looked at this, and in terms of some of the

21 goals of the Commission. In terms of economic growth,

22 you’re eliminating the corporation tax, reducing personal

23 income tax rate, which would tend to encourage investment,

24 improve efficiency in the overall tax system. This would

25 be broadening the base through putting in place business

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1 net-receipts tax. This would improve efficiency of the

2 system whether or not it’s replacing the corporation tax

3 or the sales and use tax because of the low rate; and it

4 would treat businesses neutrally: service businesses,

5 goods-based businesses, and so forth.

6 And another item would be eliminating the sales

7 tax -- the state portion of the sales tax on business --

8 I’m sorry, reducing -- eliminating the state sales tax

9 would reduce the taxes on business inputs. There would

10 still be the local sales tax.

11 In terms of volatility, substantial reduction,

12 as we noted on the previous page, primarily due to the new

13 tax and the drop in the tax rate on the personal income

14 tax side.

15 In terms of fairness, you can evaluate these.

16 It does reduce the progressivity of the tax system. On

17 the other hand, it increases the number of taxpayers that

18 pay under the personal income tax.

19 Simplicity: Certainly reducing the number of

20 personal income tax rates is a simplifying component of

21 this. On the other hand -- well, in addition, it

22 eliminates the corporation tax, one of the more complex

23 taxes to comply and administer. On the other hand, it

24 does add a new tax which would, at least in the

25 short-term, add to the complexity of the tax system.

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1 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Can I just make one quick

2 comment about the number of taxpayers?

3 That’s under the income tax. But this package

4 also eliminates the sales tax.

5 MR. IBELE: It would --

6 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: So a lot of people are

7 paying sales taxes, including lower-income people who pay

8 no income taxes because they’re under the current

9 deductions, et cetera, would have their state sales taxes

10 eliminated.

11 MR. IBELE: That’s right.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: Chris?

13 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: I’m not quite sure how you

14 want to organize the discussion, Gerry, but I wanted to

15 ask about the local sales tax and ask about a different

16 way of handling that.

17 Do you want to hold that until they presented

18 both packages and then open it up for that sort of --

19 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes, I think if we let them get

20 through both packages -- we do have a little bit more

21 extensive discussion that’s needed on the business

22 net-receipts tax just so everyone understands where things

23 are, and some of the preliminary thoughts provided by the

24 staff on that subject. But then we have to come back

25 around and open it up for all, questions including those.

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1 Okay?

2 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: So clarification on the

3 two packages can wait until both have been presented?

4 CHAIR PARSKY: Right.

5 Go ahead, Mark.

6 MR. IBELE: Okay, the next chart, this is just

7 a very simple pie chart, comparing the current law, where

8 the taxes would come from, and under Package 1.

9 As I indicated, they raise approximately the

10 same amount on the personal income tax side -- we haven’t

11 lessened our reliance on that -- and basically, replacing

12 the corporation tax and a good portion of the sales tax

13 with the new business net-receipts tax.

14 This is the analysis that we did. And this is

15 for the entire package with the standard deduction. This

16 indicates –- and you can look at either the shares or the

17 effective tax rate for the -- the effective tax rate, the

18 current is in the green, which at the very lowest is

19 higher. And Package 1 is in the purple.

20 CHAIR PARSKY: What colors are you looking at?

21 I forgot, blue and gold --

22 MR. IBELE: That’s for the bars, yes, yes.

23 So the lower-income group, primarily because

24 of the large exemptions -- standard deductions, rather,

25 that we have, active benefits from this package, the

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1 effective rate is somewhat higher for the middle-income

2 groups, between $20,000 to $100,000. And there’s a

3 crossover at that point. And then there are lower

4 effective tax rates at the top of the -- from $100,000-

5 plus.

6 In terms of the distributions, staff did our

7 internal work on the personal income tax and the household

8 portion of the sales tax. We relied on Ernst & Young and

9 an incidence model that they have for the business taxes,

10 where they basically attribute the taxes themselves to

11 the different factors -- labor, capital, and consumption.

12 And then take into account the amount of those, a

13 proportion of those taxes that are actually exported to

14 other states -- or outside of California, I should say.

15 Then we use California tax return information and

16 consumption expenditures to develop the estimates on the

17 distribution.

18 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: Could I ask a quick

19 question?

20 Zero to 20 right now pays what? How do we read

21 this chart? Zero to 20 pays what in taxes, and which

22 taxes are they?

23 MR. IBELE: This particular chart includes all

24 those taxes that are listed -- they’re listed right here.

25 It includes these taxes, plus the business net-receipts

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1 tax. So the zero to 20 group, that would be their share

2 of those tax components.

3 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: So to the extent that

4 they paid, they wouldn’t pay an income tax, but they would

5 pay a sales tax --

6 MR. IBELE: They would pay a sales tax --

7 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: This would be the

8 equivalent percentage of their income that they would pay

9 because of the sales tax?

10 MR. IBELE: Sales tax, their portion of the

11 corporation tax, motor-vehicle taxes, fuels taxes,

12 insurance taxes, and other excise taxes. All those

13 components -- all those particular taxes, either

14 through --

15 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: So this would be direct

16 and indirect taxes paid by people in that population?

17 MR. IBELE: That’s right. Not just personal

18 income taxes, not just the household portion of the sales

19 tax, but all their share of the taxes that we have put

20 into this particular model.

21 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: So if it’s all of the

22 share -- if the sales tax goes away, that piece goes away.

23 There’s an indirect tax that’s embedded in somebody else’s

24 pricing mechanism, that piece does not automatically go

25 away?

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1 If it’s an indirect tax --

2 MR. IBELE: Yes, yes, yes.

3 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: If it’s an indirect

4 tax, there’s no direct mechanism then for removing that.

5 If you eliminate a sales tax, it’s gone; right? But if

6 you eliminate an indirect tax through somebody else’s

7 property tax that’s being passed on to someone or

8 whatever, that’s an indirect tax, and we don’t know for

9 a fact what will happen to that cash flow.

10 MR. IBELE: Well, the theory here is that if

11 it’s an indirect tax -- if it’s a tax on business,

12 business either -- that tax is either borne by owners of

13 the business or it’s passed on, on higher prices, or it’s

14 shifted back in terms of lower wages. So somebody ends

15 up -- some group of taxpayers ends up bearing the burden

16 of that tax. And that’s --

17 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: Yes, ultimately,

18 whoever buys a good, in the end, pays the tax. So when --

19 the tax always flows through so whoever is the final

20 purchaser pays the accumulated taxes that are in that

21 production route, just because that’s the nature --

22 because it has to come from somewhere, the money has to

23 come from somewhere, and that money includes that. And

24 so I get that.

25 But what I’m curious about is if there is an

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1 embedded business tax in there, and the businesses have

2 worked that into their pricing, and that tax goes away for

3 the businesses, we don’t know for a fact whether or not

4 the businesses will remove that from their pricing at a

5 level that would affect the customers from zero to 20.

6 MR. IBELE: Well, the ability of business to

7 either pass it on in higher prices or shift it back in

8 terms of labor costs and/or -- to the extent that it’s

9 borne by capital depends upon the markets and the type

10 of business, there are different industries that would

11 operate. And it depends upon whether you’re operating in

12 national markets or in California markets.

13 In something like a sales tax on businesses --

14 that is, businesses go in and they buy a piece of

15 equipment, they pay sales tax on it, there is a -- and

16 this is part of our consultant’s model -- there’s an

17 incidence approach whereby they may be able to pass some

18 of that on in higher prices, they may be able to shift

19 some of it back in terms of lower wages. Some of it may

20 be borne by the owners of the business.

21 If you remove a tax, the same thing would work

22 in reverse. And they would be subject to the competitive

23 pressures that any other business would be, which would

24 affect their ability to either shift back or pass forward

25 any kind of tax like that.

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1 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: Thank you.

2 COMMISSIONER POMP: Can I have a point of

3 clarification, Mark?

4 If you put up “Tax Package 1, Tax Change by AGI

5 Class” -- the next one, if you will.

6 So this is the entire package?

7 MR. IBELE: This is the entire package.

8 COMMISSIONER POMP: And so see if I’m reading

9 this right. So we’re talking approximately a $7 billion

10 increase on people making between $20,000 and $200,000,

11 and $4.4 billion decrease on people making over -- what?

12 $200,000 --

13 MR. IBELE: Over 200.

14 COMMISSIONER POMP: -- up.

15 Is that the right way to read this?

16 MR. IBELE: Yes.

17 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes, that’s the right way to read

18 it.

19 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Which is why we’re going to

20 suggest it.

21 CHAIR PARSKY: In his usual tradition, Chris is

22 kind of a little ahead of us all, but that’s okay.

23 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: In the fullness of time.

24 CHAIR PARSKY: In the fullness of time.

25 Proceed ahead.

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1 I think Richard has covered that chart well.

2 MR. IBELE: Okay, this is Package 2. This has

3 the personal income tax rates of 3.75, up to $25,000 for

4 single, up to $50,000 joint, and 7 percent at incomes

5 higher than that.

6 The same standard deduction: $15,000 and

7 $30,000.

8 Again, itemized deductions for mortgage

9 interest, property taxes, charitable contributions, again,

10 phased out at higher-income levels. And as I’ll point out

11 later, the phase-out has some effect but not a great deal

12 effect on the overall distributions. It reduces the

13 corporation tax rate to 7 percent, which is equivalent

14 to the top rate in this particular package, under the

15 personal income tax. And it also imposes a new fuels tax.

16 This is -- the effect on -- or as we evaluated

17 these based on a criteria, somewhat similar reduction

18 in tax rates for personal and corporate income would

19 encourage investment, tend to encourage investment. A

20 new tax on fuels would raise business costs.

21 A moderate reduction in the volatility,

22 primarily due to the rate drops in the corporate income

23 tax and the personal income tax.

24 Again, on the fairness, very similar to

25 Package 1. It reduces progressivity somewhat. Increases

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1 the number of taxpayers bringing them on the tax rolls

2 with respect to the personal income tax.

3 Simplicity: Again, a reduction in the personal

4 income tax rates, a number of personal income tax rates.

5 And the new fuels tax would add some complexity,

6 although it’s very similar -- or could be very similar in

7 its design to our existing gasoline and diesel tax.

8 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Mr. Chairman, if I could,

9 real quick.

10 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes.

11 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: On this one then, the new

12 fuels tax is the plug number; right? That is what makes

13 up the reduction in the other areas?

14 CHAIR PARSKY: Maybe translate that into

15 specifically, what is the new fuel --

16 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: That was the second

17 question.

18 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes. Describe the new fuels tax,

19 and then how much revenue is assumed it would raise.

20 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: And is it hedged with

21 severance tax or is it just --

22 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Yes, what is the fuels

23 tax and where is it applied and what is the rate that you

24 used in your assumptions?

25 Thank you for allowing me to be clear.

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1 MR. IBELE: The fuels tax is equivalent to $20

2 per ton of carbon for transportation fuels, which

3 translates into 18¢ a gallon for gasoline, diesel, and

4 aircraft fuel.

5 CHAIR PARSKY: And that results in about

6 $3 billion?

7 MR. IBELE: I’ll have to find my sheet. It’s

8 about $3.3 billion in 2014.

9 CHAIR PARSKY: Right.

10 And so, again, just so that it’s clear, the

11 magnitude of the increase people would feel when they

12 pulled up to fill their gasoline tank would be what?

13 MR. IBELE: 18¢ a gallon, which is the same as

14 our current gas tax, excise tax on fuels.

15 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: And then, Mr. Chairman,

16 if I could continue.

17 Presently, are those the only three areas where

18 a fuels tax are presently applied in California?

19 MR. IBELE: I’ll have to check.

20 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Do we impose a bunker

21 fuels tax in California?

22 MR. IBELE: We’ve gone back and forth on bunker

23 fuels. But I believe at this time we don’t tax bunker

24 fuel.

25 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: And the policy decision

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1 that was made, why that would not be included here is what

2 policy decision?

3 MR. IBELE: We didn’t make a policy decision.

4 This was based on Commission direction.

5 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: So the Commission

6 directed that it would apply to gas, diesel, and airplane

7 fuels; is that correct?

8 CHAIR PARSKY: That was the proposal that the

9 staff was asked to include and evaluate by commissioners.

10 COMMISSIONER COGAN: What’s a “bunker fuel”?

11 MR. IBELE: A bunker fuel, it’s really the stuff

12 that’s left over after all the refining is done. And it’s

13 used in ships. It’s used in ships, transportation ships,

14 oceangoing ships.

15 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: In that, for example,

16 one would somehow characterize a fuels tax as a carbon

17 tax. Bunker fuels, does it have the highest degree of

18 greenhouse-gas emissions?

19 MR. IBELE: I don’t know precisely. I know that

20 it’s pretty dirty stuff.

21 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: I think that’s true.

22 I think that’s the worst polluters, are the seagoing

23 ships.

24 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Yes, thank you. I

25 actually -- I did want to bring this up. Of course, I’m

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1 not an advocate for bunker fuels or airline fuels or any

2 of those. But I did want to hear where a decision was

3 made and how that decision was made as it applied to the

4 overall fuels tax, just to understand what the basis is

5 for the discussion, is all.

6 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, what we have tried to do

7 throughout the process is to incorporate, as much as we

8 could, requests coming from commissioners as to tax policy

9 or taxes that ought to be considered. I don’t think there

10 was any alternative suggested under this heading.

11 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: I have suggested an

12 alternative.

13 CHAIR PARSKY: I’m sorry, I don’t think there

14 was an alternative of fuels tax. I know you have an

15 alternative that’s coming, I am waiting. But let’s give

16 it the right audience.

17 Proceed.

18 MR. IBELE: Yes, on this particular tax -- on

19 this particular package, I should say -- the carbon tax

20 was not the plug. We used –- we initially started out

21 with the 4 percent and the 7 percent rates on this

22 particular package. And to make it revenue-neutral, we

23 reduced the lower rate for the personal income tax to

24 lower the amount of money that was raised in this

25 particular package.

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1 COMMISSIONER POMP: Mr. Chair, a question.

2 When I look at the total -- I think it’s the

3 subsequent slide, Mark -- the tax change by AGI --

4 continue, if you will -- the next one.

5 And -- the next one, please.

6 And that is for the entire package?

7 MR. IBELE: That’s the entire --

8 COMMISSIONER POMP: That’s what?

9 MR. IBELE: Yes.

10 COMMISSIONER POMP: Should it add up to zero,

11 the pluses and the minuses, or not?

12 MR. IBELE: No, because this is a comparison

13 with current law. And the total of the –-

14 MR. SPILBERG: 2014.

15 MR. IBELE: 2014, yes.

16 Maybe I can come back to that. And let me --

17 COMMISSIONER POMP: The second question may be

18 easier.

19 Who made the decision that we should leave

20 charitable contributions in but not the medical?

21 CHAIR PARSKY: No one made a decision

22 individually. But coming out of the last meeting, these

23 were the two packages that I summarized as I thought was

24 a consensus of the Commission to go into this analysis.

25 Any commissioner can seek to propose his or her

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1 individual view and see if we’ve got consensus around

2 including it in further analysis.

3 COMMISSIONER POMP: Let me just raise --

4 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: Which page are you on?

5 COMMISSIONER POMP: In both packages -- in both

6 packages, there were itemized deductions for mortgage

7 property and charitable. I didn’t see medical there.

8 Now, maybe that was an oversight, maybe it is there,

9 but -- it’s not?

10 Okay, so I would just raise the logic of giving

11 an itemized for a charitable, which might not have

12 anything to do with California, versus denying someone a

13 medical. I’m not sure I would draw that line.

14 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: I think we have the

15 following numerical conundrum. If we go to revenues for

16 major taxes -- these are all done for year 2014; right,

17 Phil?

18 MR. SPILBERG: Yes.

19 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: So you get $1 billion more

20 in 2014 -- not quite a full employment year in Package 1

21 and 2 than you do in current law, and these are changes

22 relative to current law. So when you add up the

23 distribution of the tax burden, it should add up to

24 $1 billion more; right? The change -- some of the changes

25 should be $1 billion more than the current law. But they

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1 shouldn’t be zero because you’re collecting a little bit

2 more. But they shouldn’t differ by considerably more than

3 a billion dollars.

4 MR. IBELE: Well, the difference -- and we can

5 do the calculation. But the distributions were just done

6 on California residents and didn’t include the exported

7 portion of the business taxes, which would be the

8 discrepancy between the distribution --

9 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Aha, okay. Fine.

10 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Nice save.

11 MR. IBELE: I knew I was right. I just wasn’t

12 quite sure why.

13 CHAIR PARSKY: Both these fellows are brilliant.

14 As the clock was ticking, we didn’t run out of time.

15 You’re okay.

16 MR. IBELE: I know I’ve still got the volatility

17 thing hanging out there, but…

18 CHAIR PARSKY: Okay, proceed ahead.

19 MR. IBELE: I think we went through this, our

20 sort of take, on the criteria that we’ve used. I don’t

21 know if we flip through that fairly quickly, just a

22 description of the different taxes. Again, you know,

23 we’re raising about the same amount from the personal

24 income tax.

25 The distribution is not dramatically different.

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1 A little bit -- because of the change in the rate, the

2 lower-income group doesn’t benefit as they did under

3 Package 1.

4 The crossover point between the effective tax

5 rates for the two is a little bit lower in Package 2.

6 One of the things that we looked at in this

7 particular package was -- and I know this was of some

8 interest to some of the commissioners -- was the issue of

9 phase-outs, which we, unlike in current law, we phase out

10 many deductions beginning at about $310,000, and phase

11 them down to a 20 percent residual.

12 We phased these out under this particular plan

13 totally, so that by half a million, you lost all the

14 deductions. So at that point, people reverted to, or

15 could revert to a standard deduction.

16 The distribution -- and this shows the Package 2

17 with the phase-out, the difference is about $400 million

18 more with this particular package.

19 Without the phase-out, we lose a little bit of

20 revenue, because higher-income individuals, taxpayers,

21 would continue to benefit from the deductions.

22 The distribution, however, is very similar. It

23 looks very much like this, although there’s a little bit

24 of -- a little lower effective tax rate at the upper end.

25 And these distributions here -- and, again, this

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1 is for personal income tax only -- indicate that -- you

2 know, that the phase-out issue only affects the top income

3 groups there.

4 And I think that’s what we have in terms of

5 slides.

6 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, before we turn to a

7 discussion of where we are with each of these packages,

8 I just want to be sure -- and, again, we won’t use this

9 session for too detailed of discussion of the business

10 net-receipts tax, but I do want you to go through for the

11 Commission exactly the work that you have done to date on

12 that subject and, for illustrative purposes only, what you

13 included in doing your calculations, so that any questions

14 can be raised about that. We’ll talk a little bit about

15 how we operate going forward.

16 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: May we ask a couple of

17 questions on these two packages before we get into

18 business?

19 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, the only reason I was

20 hesitating is Package 1 does include this business

21 net-receipts tax. So I just want to make sure -- again,

22 this is not meant to be an open discussion of, you know,

23 “This should be in,” “That should not be in.” I just want

24 to make sure --

25 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: No, it’s not an opinion,

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1 it’s a question.

2 The Package 2 that I took home from our last

3 meeting also had the business net-receipts tax in it as

4 it was presented at our last meeting and on which I made

5 notes. So that was a question.

6 And reducing the sales and use tax by 1 percent

7 was also on the chart for our last meeting. And I see

8 that that has been omitted on this one. And is this just

9 for balancing purposes or --

10 CHAIR PARSKY: No, no. I think these packages

11 were at least what we took away from the last meeting and

12 posted on the Web site.

13 I think if you look at the Web site, you’ll see

14 that these packages -- the business net-receipts tax was

15 clearly not part of Package 2. That, I’m quite confident

16 of.

17 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: That’s true. That’s what

18 came to me by e-mail this last week. It did not include

19 that. But at the meeting that I attended last month, the

20 sales-tax issue and the business net receipts under

21 Package 2 were included. And I don’t remember discussions

22 about the fact that they were going to be removed. That’s

23 my only point.

24 CHAIR PARSKY: I think, Becky, if you look back

25 to June 23 rd , or something even a little earlier, you will

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1 see a communication that describes what came out of the

2 meeting. And I’m happy to share it with you at the break.

3 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: I know we don’t approve or

4 disapprove minutes at this meeting, but okay.

5 CHAIR PARSKY: Okay, just a little bit of time

6 on just describing the work that you have done, who you’ve

7 involved to date on the business net-receipts tax, and

8 the preliminary assumptions that you have put in, which

9 are described on the Web site presentation, just so the

10 Commission can understand how much has been done; and then

11 we’ll get into how much more needs to be done.

12 MR. IBELE: Okay. On the business net-receipts

13 tax, that was part of our arrangement with Ernst & Young

14 to do a modeling of that for the state of California.

15 They’ve been involved in the tax in both Michigan, and a

16 type of receipts tax, business receipts tax, gross

17 receipts tax in Ohio.

18 And on that, following that sort of more

19 economic-based exercise, we’ve been engaged both with

20 Leg. Counsel and the Franchise Tax Board in discussing

21 what some of the parameters of this tax would be.

22 We’ve had discussions with the Department of --

23 what they refer to as the Department of the Treasury in

24 Michigan, which is their Department of Revenue,

25 discussions with two attorneys in Michigan that are

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1 familiar with their tax, which in some ways is similar

2 to what the Commission has discussed for California; in

3 some ways, very dissimilar. But they’ve gone through many

4 of the same -- gone through many of the same issues that

5 we’re going through here. They have chosen to go in a

6 different direction, maybe, in terms of the design of the

7 tax, but some of the policy questions that they had and

8 some of the administrative questions are similar. And I

9 believe the Franchise Tax Board has had additional

10 discussions with their Department of Revenue and the two

11 attorneys that I mentioned in Michigan as well.

12 In the part of this process, we developed, with

13 the assistance of the Franchise Tax Board -- and I would

14 ask them to come up to the table, if they can, to provide

15 some backup legal questions if we need it.

16 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Mark, is that -- the thing

17 that you posted, do we have that in our books?

18 MR. IBELE: It should be under Tab 9.

19 MR. SPILBERG: Yes, the document that you’re

20 looking for, it’s in Tab 9. And the easiest way to find

21 it is if you actually turn to Tab 10, and then go two

22 tabs back from that.

23 MR. IBELE: It’s an integrative process.

24 MR. SPILBERG: Yes, go to Tab 10 and then go

25 two back.

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1 MR. IBELE: Did everybody find it?

2 So that’s --

3 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Can you state the

4 question again, please?

5 MR. SPILBERG: Do you really want me to?

6 Yes, you go to Tab 10, and then within each tab,

7 they’re the subtabs. So go within that, just go two back,

8 and that’s going to be sort of the beginning of that

9 document.

10 MR. IBELE: So that’s what we’ve done to date.

11 And, again, I want to emphasize that in our discussions

12 with the people in Michigan, as well as our own tax

13 experts here, we have made -- or given tentative direction

14 in terms of what we thought at the time might be good

15 choices to make. But there are obviously a lot of policy

16 decisions and policy calls that the Commission needs to

17 be aware of.

18 So we’re going to -- probably the best way to

19 proceed is to go through the information sheet that we had

20 posted and is out there in the public. And Phil is going

21 to do that.

22 MR. SPILBERG: Thank you.

23 And let me just go through this information

24 sheet. And I hope -- does everyone have that information

25 sheet in front of them right now? Good.

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1 So what I’m going to do is just briefly describe

2 what staff has put together, the description of the

3 business net-receipts tax that we have put together.

4 And let me start off by saying that while

5 income taxes are obviously taxes on income, the business

6 net-receipts tax is a tax on consumption. It’s sort of

7 similar like a sales tax -- just a little bit similar to

8 that. It’s a sales tax, if it’s assumed to exclude

9 business purchases -- in other words, there’s an exclusion

10 on business purchases, would be a tax on consumption.

11 Instead of an exclusion on business purchases, the

12 business net-receipts tax allows a deduction for business

13 purchases. So it ends up with basically a very similar

14 base to that of a sales tax, but it’s a value-added tax.

15 A sales tax collects all the tax at the very end. A

16 value-added tax collects the tax over the course of the

17 production process. So that’s sort of the similarities

18 and differences of a sales tax and a business net-receipts

19 tax.

20 You’re looking at an information sheet. And

21 the information sheets include the work of staff that has

22 been performed over the last few weeks. We have received

23 excellent technical support from the Franchise Tax Board,

24 and Andrea Chang and Carl Joseph are here with me, and

25 they will answer maybe some of the more technical

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1 questions that you have after I’m finished with this

2 description.

3 We’ve had a lot of discussions. Mark alluded

4 to some of those. The Franchise Tax Board has had

5 internal discussions. We have had discussions with

6 academics and staff from outside of the state.

7 What I’m going to do is actually read through

8 this information sheet. But I’m hoping that you would let

9 me go through this information sheet before questions,

10 because otherwise, I think we could get very much -- we

11 could get bogged down.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: And then I’ll come back, Phil,

13 and we’ll talk a little bit about process. Because in the

14 span of just this afternoon, it’s going to be difficult,

15 if not impossible, for commissioners to understand all the

16 implications of this.

17 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Mr. Chair?

18 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes?

19 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Might I just suggest an

20 alternative?

21 This is the one document that has been up for a

22 while on the Web site. And can we assume that everyone

23 has read it, rather than the staff reading it to us, and

24 move some place beyond having somebody read something to

25 us that we’ve already all read?

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1 Phil, this isn’t -- I’m not unhappy with what

2 you’re suggesting, I just think it’s –-

3 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Or your reading ability.

4 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Or your reading ability.

5 Yes, thank you, Mr. Mayor.

6 It’s just in the interest of time.

7 CHAIR PARSKY: John?

8 COMMISSIONER COGAN: You might be able to just

9 highlight the most important decisions that a commission

10 like this would have to confront in thinking about a

11 sales tax.

12 MR. SPILBERG: Sure, I could do that. Okay.

13 Okay, I will try to highlight some of the

14 decisions that were reached over here. But certainly to

15 the extent that I missed some of those that the

16 commissioners are interested in, we can cover those

17 afterwards through answers to questions.

18 The first decision is that we excluded from

19 the business net-receipts tax banks and financials and

20 insurance companies. And the reason that we did that,

21 is that the taxation of financial products and financial

22 companies under a value-added tax is very complicated.

23 And, indeed, in most places where a value-added tax is

24 administered, there are separate rules and separate

25 treatment for financial companies and financial products.

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1 So we have basically followed that practice over here.

2 We would continue to tax insurance companies

3 under the gross premiums tax; and we would continue, in

4 this proposal, to tax banks and financials under the

5 corporate franchise tax as it exists right now.

6 We have to deal with special entities, such as

7 regulated investment companies, RICs -- those are mutual

8 funds -- and also regulated mortgage investment conduits,

9 RMICs, which, in essence, package mortgages into financial

10 instruments. And there’s a new type of special entity

11 called a FASIT, financial asset securitization investment

12 trust, which also packages short-term financial paper,

13 basically.

14 We decided -- staff decided that those special

15 entities are basically packaging financial products and,

16 therefore, should be excluded from the business

17 net-receipts tax. However, we have included REITs, real

18 estate investment trusts, within the tax. And the reason

19 for that is that REITs basically manage property -- are

20 permitted to manage properties. And in so doing, they do

21 far more than just sell financial instruments.

22 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Phil, You’re not concerned

23 that in it –- I’m sorry, you’re not concerned -- should I

24 wait?

25 I’ll wait. I’ll wait.

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1 CHAIR PARSKY: Identify the broad issues.

2 MR. SPILBERG: Okay, we’ve elected to -- first

3 of all, to combine entities, commonly owned entities into

4 unitary groups as they are for the corporate franchise

5 tax, income tax.

6 However, the combination for the business

7 net-receipts tax is far broader than it is for corporation

8 income tax. And the reason is that we have basically the

9 same tax that’s going to be paid by a broader group of

10 businesses. So we’ve included within the unitary groups:

11 corporations, partnerships, limited liability companies,

12 and sole proprietorships. Basically, all businesses that

13 are commonly owned would need to combine their activities

14 within this business net-receipts tax entity, and file one

15 return, one tax return that basically would calculate the

16 combined tax.

17 Apportionment: We have chosen, for multistate

18 corporations, to attribute tax or income -- I’m sorry,

19 revenues to California using apportionment. We have

20 explored other mechanisms for doing this attribution

21 across states, but we come back to the one that has been

22 used for the income tax, that will continue to be used

23 for income tax, and that’s apportionment.

24 We would be using sales as the apportionment

25 mechanism. So it’s referred to by many as “single sales

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1 factor apportionment.”

2 The numerator of that apportionment would be

3 sales in California. The denominator would be U.S. sales.

4 So the corporation would attribute their sales, their

5 revenues to California, by taking their U.S. revenues,

6 and then using that formula to apportion or attribute

7 revenues to California.

8 We determined that -- we determined that if

9 there was an embedded, basically, incentive that is a

10 consequence of using apportionment as a way of attributing

11 tax across jurisdictions to incentivize investments

12 outside of California, purchases outside of California --

13 and I can sort of demonstrate that with a simple example.

14 And just keep in mind that it’s a simple example. It’s

15 very -- it’s somewhat abstract.

16 If we have, let’s say, a firm, a California

17 firm, that has a million dollars of revenues in

18 California, that company potentially could zero out its

19 California revenues by purchasing an asset from outside

20 of California. The way that the base for the tax is

21 calculated is, you take your revenues and subtract out

22 your purchases. So we have a California company that

23 basically has a million dollars of revenues in California,

24 and does a purchase from outside of California, so it

25 basically fully offsets its revenue from California, and

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1 would report in that year zero business net receipts tax.

2 Let’s say in Year 2 that firm sells that asset

3 from outside of California. The way that apportionment

4 works is that it would -- first of all, the base of the

5 tax would be its overall sales, which in this case would

6 be $1 million of its sales -- ongoing sales in California,

7 and another million from the sale of this property from

8 outside of California, but then this would be multiplied

9 by the apportionment ratio, which in this case we have the

10 $1 million of sales in California divided by $2 million

11 of sales U.S.-wide.

12 So you have $2 million of revenue times the

13 apportionment, which is one-half; and you end up back at

14 $1 million of the revenues that was actually earned in

15 California. So you have sort of this embedded incentive

16 for doing purchases from outside of California. And it’s

17 a problem for assets.

18 Now, for a business net-receipts tax, a

19 consumption-based tax, the treatment that you would want

20 is to expense basically asset purchases in the year of

21 purchase. But in order to deal with this incentive, to

22 mitigate that incentive, we decided that it was necessary

23 to expense this property over several years. And we have

24 decided -- we basically decided that one way of doing

25 that would be, in essence, to rely, at least for

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1 depreciable property, on federal depreciation lives for

2 depreciable assets. The , the IRC,

3 uses the modified accelerated cost recovery system, MACRS.

4 It is already a sort of an accelerated method relative to

5 economic depreciation.

6 What we have decided -- what has been provided

7 to you in this document is expensing over half of the

8 maker’s life.

9 So, for example, for a three-year property,

10 under MACRS, the property for this business net-receipts

11 tax would be expensed in one and a half years.

12 The same goes for depletable property and for

13 amortizable property. In all these instances -- in all

14 these cases, instead of the expensing occurring in the

15 year of purchase, it would be expensed over half of the

16 life that is currently permitted for the IRC.

17 I think those are the most important elements

18 Well, Mark put down a couple more things.

19 The question is, what is the breadth of the

20 group, the business group, that we’d want to include.

21 For income tax purposes, for -- while California

22 allows actually a worldwide unitary group and allows a

23 water’s-edge election that is for corporations, for the

24 purpose of this, for administration purposes, we’ve chosen

25 just a water’s-edge group.

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1 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: Could I make a comment?

2 I’ve owned a couple of small businesses in my

3 day, and it strikes me that this is getting complicated

4 enough that it would be really hard to both monitor and

5 do if you run a small business. The minute you get

6 multiple rules in multiple years and keeping track of

7 acquisition, doesn’t it seem like it would be more --

8 both kind of complicated and kind of easy to game?

9 MR. SPILBERG: Well, if you own multiple

10 businesses, you would have to file one tax return for --

11 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: No, no, I just said in

12 the past I have, so I’ve had some experience with

13 accounting with small businesses. Right now, I don’t own

14 any small businesses.

15 But having owned some small businesses, you want

16 the simplest possible tax situation, administrative

17 situation you can come up with. And you don’t want to

18 spend much of your time -- and you can’t spend much of

19 your time -- doing a lot of different kinds of

20 bookkeeping. And when you add layers of recordkeeping and

21 different values for different things, and a year and a

22 half for this, at first blush, it seems complicated.

23 MR. SPILBERG: Well, that’s certainly something

24 we’d want to explore. We would want to go through,

25 basically, the real-world experiences of people like you,

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1 and see how that would apply to your situation.

2 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Mr. Chair?

3 CHAIR PARSKY: Phil, any other –- and again,

4 we’ll come back a little bit in terms of how complicated

5 this is and what we need to do about it.

6 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: I do have a couple

7 questions.

8 CHAIR PARSKY: Let’s just step back a minute,

9 and let’s ask some questions on a general level. Then

10 we’ll come back around. I’m sorry, the only other thing

11 I wanted to mention is that the staff, Franchise Tax

12 Board, a number of helpers have not only been going

13 through this extensively, and we did seek advice from --

14 several people have been very involved at Michigan, in

15 the Michigan net-receipts tax. They also have started a

16 process of attempting to draft what legislation might

17 look like in connection with such a tax, but it’s still

18 quite preliminary.

19 Okay, and again, I don’t think we should try to

20 get too deep into the weeds, but I think general questions

21 about this or -- as deep as you want, but general

22 questions about the kinds of decisions, any comments

23 commissioners might make about process, please go ahead.

24 Michael?

25 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: I just want to ask –-

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1 that’s right, I’ve got to hold it down.

2 I just want to ask a couple of questions.

3 First of all, what do we know about the

4 deductibility of these taxes against federal taxes,

5 particularly given that we’re going to be applying them to

6 a wide range of entities that are not subject to -- that

7 may be taxed under the personal tax at the federal level

8 and so on and so forth. So what do we know about

9 deductibility? That’s the first question.

10 MR. SPILBERG: Well, this would be a business

11 tax. So it would be deducted against business income

12 for federal income tax purposes, whatever federal entity

13 you happen to be. All these kind of -- all taxes such as

14 these are deductible for federal purposes.

15 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Okay, what’s going on with

16 global sales? What’s going on with global sales? We’ve

17 got an apportionment factor which has to do with American

18 sales and California sales.

19 So if we had two firms that were identical in

20 their gross receipts --

21 CHAIR PARSKY: Go ahead, speak up.

22 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: We’ve got two firms that

23 are identical in their gross receipts and identical in

24 their sales in California, but one of them happened to

25 sell all of its outside stuff to Japan and the other

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1 happened to sell all of its outside stuff to Florida,

2 okay, they’d be taxed quite differently.

3 MR. JOSEPH: I’m Carl Joseph. I’m in the

4 Franchise Tax Board Legal Department.

5 I don’t think that’s what Phil envisions. I

6 think he envisions a system similar to what we have now,

7 where you would have -- the distinction is whether or not

8 the corporation or the entity is itself a U.S. entity that

9 makes the sale. The fact that they sell to Florida or

10 Japan or anywhere else, it will all end up --

11 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Well, he described it as

12 a relationship of your sales in California to your sales

13 in the rest of the United States.

14 MR. JOSEPH: Yes, and that’s not quite

15 technically correct. It’s all of the sales everywhere

16 by an entity that’s formed in the United States.

17 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: I’m glad to hear that.

18 CHAIR PARSKY: If Michael is less worried,

19 that’s a very good thing.

20 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: And lastly, have you done

21 any analysis of what different apportionment factors would

22 mean for the tax? So if you would mean by who ultimately

23 paid it and what the incentive effects would be, because

24 one of the people who testified to us in San Diego has

25 pretty strong opinions about that and believes that this

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1 really wouldn’t wind up being a tax on consumption, but

2 being a tax on employment in California, and it would be

3 better to have a payroll factor.

4 I know that the business community has wanted

5 a sole sales factor for all sorts of reasons. And I’m

6 not going to take a position on that. But it seems to me

7 before we just kind of go ahead and do this, we need to

8 get a lot of analysis about the apportionment factors.

9 MR. SPILBERG: Yes, we have not done this

10 analysis yet, but that’s certainly something that we would

11 like to do.

12 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: I think that’s probably

13 high on the list if we continue down this road.

14 COMMISSIONER POMP: Mr. Chair?

15 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes, Richard?

16 COMMISSIONER POMP: First, I want to commend

17 Carl and Angie on this enormous amount of work. The last

18 time I saw Angie, I think she was either cross-examining

19 me or taking my deposition.

20 So this is a much better way to see you.

21 CHAIR PARSKY: Would you like to switch seats

22 with her? She’ll go ahead and --

23 COMMISSIONER POMP: She’s a charming person, so

24 I’m happy to sit next to her.

25 Let me ask you a question, first of all. What

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1 are the general differences between what we have here and

2 what Michigan does?

3 MS. CHANG: I think one of the main things is,

4 if you turn to page 2 of the outline of the proposed

5 business net-receipts tax -- before I start, I would like

6 to clarify that the role of FTB in this matter was very

7 limited. We were tasked with identifying the potential

8 issues and to bring them to their attention, and to

9 describe the pros and cons of possible decisions that

10 would have to be made.

11 So, anyway, going back to the differences --

12 CHAIR PARSKY: I can assure you, we’ll get you

13 much more involved if we take another step. So that’s

14 perfectly okay.

15 MS. CHANG: Okay. So going back to the

16 differences, the main differences between Michigan and

17 this proposal, as I see them, are the fact that in

18 Michigan, they allow the -- they do not have a system to

19 expense a certain purchase over several years. It has

20 to be expensed in the year of purchase. However, in

21 Michigan, they do not allow any carryovers of the excess

22 amount of the purchase over the sales amount. So, for

23 example, in the example that Phil gave before, if you have

24 gross receipts of a million dollars and you have purchases

25 of a million and a half, Michigan would say, “Well, you

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1 can take the entire purchase in the year you made it, but

2 you’re limited to $1 million. You can’t carry over the

3 other half million to the following year.” And that’s how

4 they mitigate some of the potential manipulation that you

5 might have.

6 And another difference is that they, too, use a

7 single sales factor apportionment formula, but they define

8 “gross receipts” differently for purposes of the tax base

9 versus sales for purposes of the sales factor.

10 So, for example, in the situation that Phil

11 described, where you could wipe out your California

12 net-receipts tax base of $1 million by purchasing a

13 million dollars, and it happened to be a building in a

14 different state, the way that Michigan would deal with

15 that would be to say that does not go into your sales

16 factor because it was a big, occasional sale that doesn’t

17 reflect what you’re really in the business of doing.

18 MR. JOSEPH: Another difference is the extent

19 of purchases from other businesses. Our explanation to

20 us as to what Phil was looking at, was to get rid of as

21 much business input as possible. And this particular

22 system that you see here has much larger purchases from

23 other business deductions than the system in Michigan

24 does. The biggest one being services acquired from other

25 firms. That’s not a deduction in Michigan.

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1 So I think from an economic perspective, you

2 know, perhaps it does get rid of that problem of

3 pyramiding inputs a little better, but it is different

4 than what they did in Michigan.

5 MR. SPILBERG: Yes, let me also say one more

6 thing. The Michigan system doesn’t pretend to be a

7 net-receipts tax or a value-added tax. It is, in fact,

8 a gross receipts tax, with allowance for some purchases.

9 And, for example, within their revenue base, they include

10 interest income, which is something that simply does not

11 belong in a value-added tax.

12 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: And if you don’t expense,

13 it really isn’t a value-added tax.

14 MR. SPILBERG: It doesn’t -- it’s not precisely

15 a value-added tax, but it’s somewhere in between a

16 value-added tax and an income tax, much closer to a

17 consumption base than it is to an income base.

18 MS. CHANG: And I also wanted to remind the

19 Commission that Michigan had different concerns from what

20 we might have here because they still have a corporate

21 income tax, as well as a sales tax.

22 COMMISSIONER POMP: And, Carl, just following

23 up on your response to Michael’s questions. If you

24 receive two different corporations identical in every

25 respect in what they’re doing in California, are you

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1 saying that the foreign corporation will be treated

2 differently from the U.S. corporation?

3 MR. JOSEPH: Yes. Well, what Phil’s

4 determination of utilizing a water’s-edge return would

5 do, it would -- if there were unitary affiliates of one of

6 those entities that was, in fact, based outside the U.S.,

7 not a U.S. corporation, yes, it would not be in that

8 return. Whereas the corporation where it was all U.S.

9 corporations would have everybody in the return. That’s

10 true.

11 COMMISSIONER POMP: Okay, but there’s really no

12 reason to track what we do in the income tax, necessarily.

13 This is not an income tax.

14 MR. JOSEPH: That’s true, absolutely. And

15 it’s -- California is certainly in the minority, as you’re

16 well aware, of states that will do worldwide combined

17 reporting.

18 COMMISSIONER POMP: Michigan’s rate is

19 1 percent, if I remember. And I think the revenue

20 estimates that we’ve been doing were about three times as

21 high -- or more, 3.4 percent.

22 Is that right, Phil, when I asked before --

23 Mark?

24 MR. IBELE: About 3.3.

25 COMMISSIONER POMP: So 3.3 versus 1 percent.

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1 Let’s take royalties. Royalties are part of our

2 base; is that right, Phil?

3 MR. SPILBERG: Yes, it is.

4 COMMISSIONER POMP: Okay, I get a royalty check.

5 I would be subject to this tax. And to apportion it,

6 however, I would have to know information I now don’t have

7 and I’m not sure the publisher would give me, and that is

8 my California sales.

9 So what do I do?

10 MR. JOSEPH: Well, inherent in your assumption

11 is that you’re getting that royalty through a business,

12 because I don’t think that we’re talking about just an

13 individual taxpayer --

14 COMMISSIONER POMP: Well, I’m in the business

15 of publishing a case book.

16 MR. JOSEPH: Right. Well, what I think Phil’s

17 intention here is -- and stop me if I’m wrong -- is they

18 want to pick up the sales-factor rules that were passed

19 by the Legislature recently. And for royalties, that

20 rule is where the underlying intangible is utilized. And

21 so the question you’re asking, essentially, is would you

22 have to figure out where the underlying thing that you

23 are receiving the royalty for was utilized by -- perhaps

24 the end user, perhaps by a manufacturer or something like

25 that? And the question is, yes, you would, under the

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1 corporate tax system for a corporation or a partnership

2 or something like that, under the new system. And so,

3 yes, it would be the same.

4 You may well have to look for information you

5 don’t currently have. We have not fleshed out those rules

6 at this point, though.

7 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: No, I’m sorry, the

8 underlying tangible is the copyright --

9 MR. JOSEPH: Yes, that’s correct.

10 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: -- which is wherever the

11 publisher is domiciled.

12 MR. JOSEPH: It could be the publisher or it

13 could be --

14 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Not where the sales take

15 place.

16 MR. JOSEPH: -- or it could be the market.

17 It depends on -– we haven’t had a chance to go

18 through the regulatory process on those new rules that

19 were just developed, or just put in place by the

20 Legislature.

21 But that is exactly right, that is the

22 dichotomy. You could stop at the publisher or you could

23 carry on through to find the market, so to speak, for that

24 item that’s produced utilizing the intangible that you –-

25 in this case, Mr. Pomp –- actually put in the time and

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1 effort to develop.

2 That’s harder, obviously. It may require

3 information from third parties that you may or may not

4 have the ability to get. We have not gone down that road

5 and held those interested-parties meetings. And we don’t

6 really have an opinion on that at this point. It’s all

7 very new to us. But I think in other states, there are

8 states –- and Rick would probably know –- that have, in

9 fact, stopped at the printer or the manufacturer, as

10 opposed to going all the way through to the underlying

11 customer.

12 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: That’s right. And then do

13 you force the publisher to do the apportionment rather

14 than the author?

15 COMMISSIONER POMP: Yes, but the publisher may

16 not tell me anything.

17 MR. SPILBERG: One thing that I failed to say

18 in my introduction to this, is that there is a $500,000

19 de minimis in this provision. So as long as your --

20 COMMISSIONER POMP: What are you suggesting,

21 Phil –-

22 MR. SPILBERG: As long as –-

23 COMMISSIONER POMP: -- about my book?

24 CHAIR PARSKY: Richard?

25 COMMISSIONER BARRALES: Not until you get your

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1 movie rights.

2 CHAIR PARSKY: We’re going to make it into a

3 movie, Richard, for sure.

4 MR. SPILBERG: I took as a given it was

5 successful.

6 CHAIR PARSKY: John?

7 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Thank you all for your

8 work. It’s really quite substantial.

9 I have a question to follow up on Michael’s

10 question, and it has to do with incentive effects and

11 labor taxes. So let’s suppose we have a company that’s

12 operating in Tahoe City, and it has a choice of

13 purchasing -- hiring some laborers from California to

14 work, or it can hire a firm located in Incline Village

15 to provide those services.

16 The tax treatment, if I’ve got it right, is

17 that if you hire the workers from California directly,

18 they will not be deductible from your receipts. But if

19 you hire these workers from a firm located in Incline

20 Village -- or, heck, even in California, for that

21 matter -- then the expenses would be deductible against

22 your receipts.

23 Is that right, or not?

24 MR. SPILBERG: If you are using direct labor --

25 in other words, your own employees to perform the work,

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1 then it would not be deductible.

2 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Right.

3 MR. SPILBERG: If you’re hiring, basically,

4 them as independent contractors or through a firm that

5 would otherwise be also subject to this business

6 net-receipts tax, then it would be deductible.

7 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Right, right.

8 So it seems that that creates some incentive

9 then to hire services through firms rather than to hire

10 employees directly; right?

11 MR. SPILBERG: It would only to the extent

12 that that firm was not itself subject to the business

13 net-receipts tax.

14 COMMISSIONER COGAN: That’s why I used the

15 Incline example; right? So if it’s a firm outside of

16 California, then that firm escapes any taxation, unless

17 that state has a similar tax.

18 MR. SPILBERG: That’s true. But then you

19 obviously have to look at the tax picture that that firm

20 outside of California, the total set of taxes from outside

21 of California has.

22 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Right. So the reality is,

23 in some sense, that the policy creates some incentives to

24 go outside the state to hire services that you might

25 otherwise obtain from employees within the state. And the

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1 question might be, how large is that incentive.

2 Another question I have is, is there any way

3 that you see of mitigating that incentive? Because it

4 does seem to me that this tax has aspects of an

5 employment tax, in that regard. California employment

6 tax.

7 So is there a way that anybody has thought of

8 to maybe mitigate the incentive effects of that?

9 MR. SPILBERG: Now, we have not gone through

10 that process --

11 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Right.

12 MR. SPILBERG: -- of trying to mitigate this

13 type of expense.

14 But you’re absolutely right. To the extent

15 that the price that that firm that is in California would

16 have to pay for the employees that it hires from outside

17 of the state, is the same as it would pay the employees

18 as employees within the state, then it would have an

19 incentive to hire the outside-of-state employees through

20 that firm, through that arrangement. But, of course, that

21 is the assumption, would that price be the same.

22 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Right.

23 COMMISSIONER POMP: I mean, the way to handle it

24 is to limit the deduction only if the payee is registered

25 under this tax in California. And that may raise

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1 constitutional issues, so…

2 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: Could I take that with

3 research and development also? Under this plan, would

4 it be wiser for a company to have their research and

5 development work done on a consulting basis through

6 another firm rather than have it done by employees?

7 MR. SPILBERG: Well, it goes back to, if the

8 firm that does the R & D work, if it is itself subject

9 to that business net-receipts tax, then they would have

10 to pay a tax when it provides that service to the firm

11 that is the recipient of the R & D.

12 So the answer is that if the research and

13 development would be provided by employees within that

14 firm, yes, you’d not get a deduction for that. But if

15 you basically hire a firm that provides that R & D to

16 you, that firm, itself, is going to have to pay a

17 business net-receipts tax if it is located in California.

18 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: I understand that. It’s

19 just that I see a whole restructuring of business because

20 most R & D is done now within the larger companies by

21 their employees. And under this, that’s not deductible,

22 where they could have a deduction from gross receipts if

23 they hire an outside research firm. And I just am

24 foreseeing a lot of restructuring of how companies do

25 their business.

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1 MR. SPILBERG: I don’t think that that would

2 be --

3 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Phil, can I try to help out

4 here? I’m sorry for the interruption. But if we’re

5 talking about a tax rate of 3.3 percent, that’s a pretty

6 small incentive, it seems to me. And whoever you’d be

7 purchasing the services from, if they’re going to be

8 making more than 3 percent profit on it, it would be a

9 wash, plus the inconvenience, et cetera. I wonder, as a

10 practical matter, how serious this outsourcing incentive

11 would be.

12 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: You’re talking about money

13 to the state, in total.

14 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: No, the cost -- the cost

15 to your business of not being able to deduct the R & D,

16 the cost to you would be equal to the 3.3 percent of that

17 R & D.

18 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Right.

19 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: And if you purchased the

20 R & D as a service from outside, they’d have to be making

21 less than 3 percent profit, and otherwise have the same

22 cost structure.

23 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: And my comment was more

24 about the fact that you have engineers and researchers

25 working on the payroll now for these companies. I’m

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1 talking tax is one issue. But I think our suggestion

2 should be reflective of what we want our society to look

3 like. And you have a different type of employment if

4 this is the tax policy.

5 COMMISSIONER COGAN: And, Chris, your point is

6 well taken, that the lower the tax rate is, the less we

7 have to worry about these incentive effects of creating

8 incentives to outsource everything outside the state that

9 you can.

10 MR. SPILBERG: Yes, outside the state, that’s

11 true. But within the state, it’s not a problem in the

12 sense that to the extent that you contract out from a firm

13 to do your R & D in California, that firm is going to have

14 to, on the sales that it --

15 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Yes, but it’s not a revenue

16 problem for the state. But Becky’s point is, it’s a

17 problem for the company, having to restructure. And just

18 the question is, can you keep the rate low enough so

19 that’s really pretty trivial compared to the diseconomies

20 of breaking yourself up and restructuring.

21 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: And the rate of 3.3 is

22 different than what we looked at last month of 2.77.

23 Why is that?

24 MR. SPILBERG: My point, just to sort of follow

25 up, the point is that the company that’s going to be

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1 selling to you that service, that R & D service, it’s

2 going to be paying at that same 3.3 percent tax. So it’s

3 actually going to be selling that R & D for more than if

4 you use employees. So it basically washes in that kind of

5 situation.

6 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Only if both are located in

7 California?

8 MR. SPILBERG: Only if they’re located in

9 California.

10 MR. JOSEPH: If the out-of-state company -- I’m

11 a California company and I hire the out-of-state company

12 to do services for me. If those services are over

13 $500,000, they’re a taxpayer in this system. Because the

14 rule says: If you have over $500,000 worth of receipts

15 assigned to California, they’d be a taxpayer, anyway.

16 COMMISSIONER POMP: Yes, and you’re saying, even

17 if they do everything in Nevada, you’re going to claim as

18 a taxpayer --

19 MR. JOSEPH: Yes.

20 COMMISSIONER POMP: -- and you know they’ll

21 raise an issue of economic nexus which has not been

22 resolved by the U.S. Supreme Court.

23 MR. JOSEPH: That’s true. The batting average

24 is pretty good though in the states that have taken it all

25 the way.

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1 COMMISSIONER POMP: We have not had the

2 Supreme Court chime in yet so…

3 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: But $500,000 --

4 COMMISSIONER POMP: But something that would be

5 as clear-cut –- you know, it’s a pretty clean line, not

6 doing anything in California, doing everything in Nevada.

7 It’s $33,000 per million tax . That covers an

8 hour of my time, so...

9 CHAIR PARSKY: That’s not what you told me.

10 COMMISSIONER POMP: I thought it was just Bill.

11 CHAIR PARSKY: Bill?

12 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: Mr. Chairman, I’d like to

13 suggest that if we were going to pursue this, that in

14 whatever analysis that is done, that we anticipate a range

15 of rates. Because I would expect that if we installed

16 this tax in California, there would be immediate pressure

17 to increase the rate in order to increase revenues to the

18 state. And I think the questioning reflects all of our

19 concerns about the impact of jobs and job growth in

20 California. The last thing I think we want to do is to

21 force jobs outside of California as a result of building

22 an economic incentive to do so into the tax system.

23 CHAIR PARSKY: There’s no question about that.

24 And let me -- I’ll come back in a second and see

25 if we can’t summarize where we are.

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1 I just wanted the Commission and the public to

2 understand that in the spirit of trying to see whether or

3 not we could really recommend major reform, I think there

4 was at least a desire on the part of the Commission to

5 look at two alternative ways -- maybe they blend -- but

6 two alternative ways to incorporate in our tax base an

7 element of the economy that is not part of it, namely the

8 service part of the economy.

9 And there are alternative ways to go to do this.

10 One way to go is to take the existing sales tax and extend

11 that to services. That’s been tried, and it has not yet

12 succeeded. That doesn’t mean it can’t. And I’ll talk a

13 little bit in a minute to see if we can have a consensus

14 in terms of where we might want to go.

15 This is another way to accomplish that result,

16 and to move the system more toward a consumption-oriented

17 tax than exists today.

18 It’s a policy decision. It’s very much part of

19 what a commission like this should step back and decide.

20 The details of this are quite significant. And I for one

21 am quite concerned that we not just recommend something

22 without giving enough time and enough detail to understand

23 what it is that the consequences of what we’re

24 recommending, because if we decide to recommend this, we

25 will expect the Legislature to act on it.

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1 So I’ll come back in a second. But just now

2 kind of generally, I want to make sure that we haven’t

3 cut off any commentary -- not just on this, but on either

4 of the two packages -- and, again, let’s try to make these

5 brief, but I want to make sure everyone has an opportunity

6 to comment, and then I’d like to step back and see if I

7 can’t make a suggestion of where we might want to go.

8 Yes, Edward?

9 COMMISSIONER DE LA ROSA: Yes, I’ve got one

10 question on both packages, and that has to do with the

11 phase-out of deductions. And this is a little bit

12 different than the orientation that we’ve been taking

13 during this question-and-answer session. But what is

14 the logic behind phasing out deductions at higher-income

15 levels? And in particular, charitable deductions.

16 Because I think that, in my opinion, there’s a lot of

17 charitable deductions that are given by higher-income

18 taxpayers, higher --

19 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Actually, half of all

20 charitable contributions come from the top two federal

21 income tax brackets.

22 COMMISSIONER DE LA ROSA: Right. So I don’t

23 think if we’re supposed to think about these kinds of

24 issues, but it concerns me that there might be some kind

25 of –- some big --

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1 CHAIR PARSKY: It’s a subject that concerns a

2 number of commissioners, I can certainly say that. And

3 you might just recite the interrelationship between that

4 phase-out concept and the use of the standard deduction.

5 MR. IBELE: Sure. I was just asking Phil if

6 he was aware of a policy reason for the phase-out, and

7 he said he didn’t know of one. I’m not sure of one,

8 either. And, in fact, we don’t phase out all of the

9 deductions currently. We have phase-outs, but we don’t

10 phase out the medical and property loss, casualty loss.

11 And California basically conformed to the feds on this

12 phase-out, although our income for current law, our income

13 starting points are much higher.

14 In the models that we presented, the interaction

15 is that when we have the phase-outs, basically we assume

16 that the taxpayer would continue to use the deductions as

17 long as they were greater than the -- if they were filing

18 jointly, greater than $30,000. And when they were below

19 that, they would flip over and use the standard deduction.

20 And that’s why in our distributions for -- well, I refer

21 to Package 2, our distributions on the effect of that,

22 was not particularly large in a revenue sense, because

23 the $30,000 is a very generous deduction. So the

24 distributional impact of phase-outs or no phase-outs was

25 not particularly apparent, except at the very upper end.

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1 COMMISSIONER POMP: I mean, if you want to know

2 the policy behind the federal phase-out, they were looking

3 to get a little better progressivity into the tax. And

4 they felt that the incentive effects weren’t going to be

5 that serious because people had the wherewithal to give

6 the charitable contribution and would probably continue

7 to do so. So it’s not a complete phase-out. You know,

8 it’s a recapturing of some of the benefit driven by

9 revenue, driven by equity considerations.

10 CHAIR PARSKY: You might ask some of your

11 colleagues at the University of Connecticut whether they

12 still feel that way in today’s environment.

13 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: I certainly agree with

14 Richard that they were driven by revenue and equity

15 considerations, but I think there’s a very large

16 difference between charitable contributions and other

17 deductions that have to do with yourself.

18 There are many studies of the price elasticity

19 of giving to charity which is affected by the deduction,

20 because the price becomes one minus the marginal rate for

21 every dollar that you give. Martin Feldstein and I did

22 a bunch of these for the Filer Commission in the 1970s.

23 We included higher than one; we included less than one.

24 But if it’s around one, it means that every dollar that

25 you don’t deduct would have gone to charity. So it’s just

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1 a transfer from the charity to the government with the

2 person as a withholding device. That’s very different

3 from phasing out a dollar or something where you spend it

4 yourself.

5 CHAIR PARSKY: John?

6 Chris?

7 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Two things. One is, with

8 respect to the NRT. It seems conceptually possible --

9 I guess I’m asking, is it possible as a practical matter

10 to convert the revenue associated with the local sales

11 tax in a jurisdiction into a local increment to the

12 net-receipts tax, so that one could eliminate the --

13 so that one could eliminate the local -- the sales tax

14 entirely?

15 MR. IBELE: I think, conceptually, it can be

16 done. With the local sales tax --

17 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: And, again, I want to

18 emphasize that this is in a context in which we’re going

19 to have a multiyear phase-in, in which we’re slowly

20 building up the NRT, et cetera, but…

21 MR. IBELE: I think there’s a couple issues I

22 can think of whether or not you’d give local jurisdiction

23 the option to adopt this particular tax or not. You know,

24 they certainly have the ability to sort of vote in

25 different rates on the sales tax.

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1 There’s the issue of jurisdictions. Where does

2 the sale -- where does the company operate? Where does

3 the sale take place? How would you allocate that? By

4 market or by -- what was the other alternative?

5 So, I mean, I think conceptually that it does

6 raise --

7 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: I give up. I give up.

8 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes, I’m sorry, Curt, go ahead.

9 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: But I will add two

10 statements.

11 I think that is a great challenge. But also

12 constitutionally, it requires a two-thirds vote of that

13 local entity to have a local tax. So even if you were

14 going to have a straight-off swap of the dollar amounts

15 exactly the same, it requires a two-thirds vote of the

16 people within every city in California to be able to do

17 that because that is a local tax. And to increase or

18 modify any local taxes, this would be an increase in a new

19 tax and you would eliminate an old. But it would require

20 in every single city in the state, there would be a vote

21 of the people and require two-thirds vote.

22 Additionally, every self-help county in the

23 state that has a locally-imposed transportation tax or

24 other means, those were voted specifically as that sales

25 tax piece. And those would individually have to all be

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1 voted requiring a two-thirds vote of each of those county

2 electorates to be able to do it, so…

3 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Requirement is different

4 from the Prop. 13 two-thirds thing in the Legislature?

5 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Well, that is part of

6 the two-thirds requirement and 218 requirement. Prop. 218

7 requiring a local entity to get a two-thirds vote to

8 impose a local tax.

9 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: I guess what I’m saying

10 is, if we’re swapping the NRT for some other state taxes

11 and we are assuming that this can be done by majority

12 legislation --

13 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: That tax-neutrality

14 argument doesn’t apply –-

15 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: That’s what I was asking --

16 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: -- to a local government

17 imposing a new tax.

18 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: -- that it’s not.

19 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Even if it would -- their

20 new tax would eliminate an old tax, it would basically

21 wash.

22 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Okay.

23 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: But that doesn’t apply to

24 those local governments.

25 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Got it. Got it.

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1 MR. IBELE: I guess the other -- I just wanted

2 to add one more thing.

3 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: It’s dead, it’s dead. I

4 feel like an idiot. You’re going to rub it in? Don’t rub

5 it in. Please, I’m very sensitive.

6 CHAIR PARSKY: Keep going, Mark.

7 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: The second thing --

8 MR. IBELE: Were you going to gong me?

9 [Bell chimed.]

10 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: The second thing is, I have

11 to say that I remain a little uncomfortable with the

12 distributional data that we saw from both the first and

13 the second packages. And I guess what I’m wondering is

14 that, as we go forward from today -- and I hope to

15 continue down the path with the NRT, I hope –- I’d like

16 to have a little bit of discussion to hear from the other

17 commissioners about why the simplification of the rate

18 structure should be such a high public-policy priority as

19 opposed to -- because in my own view, the complexity

20 issue, which is what people keep raising, doesn’t come

21 from the number of brackets, it comes from all the

22 deductions and the credits and the exclusions and the

23 phasing in and the phasing out, et cetera. It’s not about

24 the rate structure.

25 Now, if there’s a separate argument that the

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1 marginal rates are too high for economic reasons or

2 efficiency reasons or something, okay, that’s fine, we

3 can have that discussion, and maybe there’s a way to

4 change the rate structure on that basis. But I guess

5 I really want to understand what we’re getting in

6 public-policy terms for deviating from the current

7 distribution of tax burdens reflected in the current

8 structure of the PIT.

9 Does everybody see what I’m saying? Because --

10 and let me just add that if the concern is just with the

11 marginal rates, then I think what we should think about

12 is, should we increase the NRT a little bit and have a

13 rate reduction on the PIT for everybody.

14 So I’m, frankly, at a loss to understand what

15 my colleagues are really after in this regard.

16 CHAIR PARSKY: If any colleague would like to

17 answer that, that’s okay.

18 COMMISSIONER POMP: I would, sure.

19 CHAIR PARSKY: Go right ahead, Richard.

20 COMMISSIONER POMP: And let me try to do it with

21 just a simple, little story.

22 Mr. Chair, you’re in business, and so I come

23 to you, and I’d say, “Gerry, how would you like to swap

24 your business for my business?”

25 And you say, “Okay, Rick. What do you have?”

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1 And I say, “Well, I have something, but I

2 haven’t really thought through all of what I have.”

3 And you say, “Okay, how much revenue do you

4 make?”

5 I say, “Well, I don’t really know because I

6 haven’t made any of these major decisions, and I haven’t

7 had the business through a business cycle yet. And, boy,

8 there’s a lot of unknowns. But let’s swap.”

9 And you would look at me like I was nuts.

10 And that’s exactly the way I view any proposal to take

11 something unknown and swap it for something known --

12 which you’re never going to get back in a state with a

13 two-thirds requirement. So you might as well say, “We’re

14 going to eliminate the sales tax,” which 45 other states

15 have. It’s not like this is an idiosyncratic tax in any

16 way. And for what? I mean, I’m sort of mystified by that

17 whole way of thinking.

18 And the dean’s points, I think -- I mean, how

19 would you be interviewed and defend a $7 billion increase

20 on the middle class? People who may have been recently

21 laid off, working two or three jobs. You’re going to tell

22 them what, it’s to reduce volatility? Which from day one

23 I’ve suggested is not a tax issue but a spending issue.

24 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Mr. Chairman?

25 CHAIR PARSKY: With all due respect, I thought

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1 you were answering his question.

2 COMMISSIONER POMP: Oh, yes. Do you agree?

3 CHAIR PARSKY: It’s perfectly okay. I mean,

4 you can have whatever frolic and detour you want, but it

5 was supposed to answer his question.

6 COMMISSIONER POMP: Well, I think I did with a

7 little story.

8 CHAIR PARSKY: No, I don’t think so.

9 Let’s keep going and then we’ll see if we can

10 come back.

11 Curt?

12 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Right. I don’t quite

13 think that. The point, I think, though -– my point is --

14 and this may be just the clear distinction between a

15 perspective on tax policy, but the level of progressivity

16 in the personal income tax in California to some of us

17 is so extreme that not only does it make us vulnerable

18 because of what we’ve seen in earlier charts in terms of

19 such a great percentage of the general fund in California

20 is dependent upon such a small number of people, that that

21 alone, I think, challenges us not only on some of the

22 basic premise of why we’re here, to address volatility and

23 establish a tax structure for the future, not just say,

24 “This is the way we are today and we’re concerned about

25 modifying where we are today,” and possibly looking at a

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1 different structure, which any new structure would always

2 be a new structure, without the data and the information

3 we have, and that’s why we’re trying to flesh that out.

4 I guess one of my concerns, though, is that even

5 in this new package, we have the same degree of reliance

6 upon the personal income tax as we do presently. And

7 there is no volatility in the property tax in California.

8 There’s very little volatility, even during a very

9 difficult economic time, in the sales tax in California.

10 The business net-receipts tax will be even less volatile

11 than that. But the greatest degree of volatility we have

12 in the tax structure, one of the things that is in our

13 charge is to address volatility, good or bad, how it

14 affects where those dollars may go. The volatility rests

15 on the personal income tax.

16 And my position is that it is stronger for us

17 because it doesn’t create a punitive effect on people

18 making more money through that economic cycle. That’s

19 why some of us have always supported fewer steps along

20 that process and a flatter tax system. But inherently

21 within your question, I would have a hard time that saying

22 one tax rate necessarily across the full spectrum is the

23 only way to go. Because, in fact, even in Package 1,

24 there are two tax rates: Zero and 6 percent. In

25 Package 2, there are three tax rates: Zero, 3.75, and

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1 7 percent. So in every one of those, there are multiple

2 rates.

3 And when you do have such a progressive

4 system -- some like it, some don’t like it as much --

5 what it gets to is, it makes it very hard to argue for a

6 flat rate because you will be reducing, at the very high

7 end, and that means everyone else has an increase. I get

8 that, and that’s one of the insidious aspects of having

9 a progressive system, because it’s always hard to unravel

10 from that degree of progressivity.

11 But it hasn’t gotten us security, it hasn’t

12 gotten us a strong economy, and it hasn’t gotten us the

13 ability to count on revenues from year to year.

14 So I think just for the long-term health of this

15 state and understanding where our revenues are coming

16 from, that level of progressivity is challenging to me.

17 And that’s -- be it one rate or two or three, I would

18 certainly be open to that discussion. But figuring out

19 how to adjust it and balancing it with other resources ,

20 I think adds to the security and the long-term health of

21 the state. That is where I’m coming from with the concept

22 of creating a flatter personal income tax.

23 CHAIR PARSKY: I think that appropriately frames

24 the discussion.

25 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Yes, there’s the debate

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1 right there.

2 CHAIR PARSKY: I think that’s an appropriate way

3 to frame the discussion.

4 Now, let me see if I can make a suggestion.

5 Assuming for the moment that the commissioners would

6 support the nature of the recommendations we would make

7 as described at the beginning of this meeting, and which

8 you have a description of, as a way of proceeding forward,

9 it seems that the concerns that are expressed, on the one

10 hand, about increasing the burden on the middle class at

11 the expense of the higher-income group need to be taken

12 into account; and the desire, on the other hand, to be

13 less reliant on the personal income tax need to be taken

14 into account.

15 I’d suggest the following -- again, under the

16 umbrella of the type of recommendations that we would

17 ultimately make: That we would continue to explore

18 adjustments in the personal income tax. That could

19 include three rates or maybe even leaving all of the

20 rates, but under the condition that all brackets would

21 get a reduction. There would be no increase in any

22 bracket.

23 But I would urge that we stick with zero --

24 some number that would be lower than 3.75, I don’t know

25 the exact levels we would have to take it to, but it

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1 would be about 2.5 percent and 7, and see if we can’t,

2 under that that adjusted structure, give every

3 a reduction.

4 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: What would the NRT have to

5 be in order to make that --

6 CHAIR PARSKY: And make it -- we start there.

7 If we are not satisfied with that, we should

8 look at, still under the personal income tax, an

9 adjustment in the capital-gains rate, suggested by one

10 or more commissioners. But that could be part of the

11 ongoing analysis of the personal income tax. That would

12 be part of a package on the PIT -- personal income tax.

13 Second, we would continue to analyze -- not be

14 afraid -- we would not be afraid of proposing a new tax

15 that had never been adopted in California just because

16 it was new.

17 Under kind of that guideline, with all due

18 respect to the University of Connecticut -- under that

19 guideline, we would never do anything new.

20 COMMISSIONER POMP: That’s a total distortion,

21 Gerry. I was talking about swapping. That was the whole

22 purpose of my story.

23 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, I haven’t finished –-

24 COMMISSIONER POMP: Swapping.

25 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: That’s a distortion, too,

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1 Richard, because you know we’re talking about a phase-in,

2 you know we’re talking about doing additional due

3 diligence before we make up our minds –-

4 CHAIR PARSKY: I’m sorry, I --

5 COMMISSIONER POMP: Package 1 talked about

6 eliminating the sales tax.

7 CHAIR PARSKY: Wait, wait, I haven’t finished.

8 I haven’t finished. I haven’t finished.

9 So we would continue to explore.

10 Now, exploration of this tax will require

11 significant additional work. We would need to invite in

12 a range of organizations, respondents who might be

13 impacted by such a tax. And the staff and individual

14 commissioners would be invited to participate, but it

15 wouldn’t be essential that every commissioner sit in on

16 every session to hear input, but everyone would be

17 invited. No session would take place without

18 commissioners being invited in order to get input on the

19 impact that such a tax would have, the legislative

20 drafting process, with the help of the Franchise Tax

21 Board, because they’ve indicated that they haven’t been as

22 engaged as they would like to be -- and we’ll try to

23 correct that -- we will go through an extensive process to

24 try to come back, answering these questions.

25 As an adjunct with that -- because we might not

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1 be successful. The Commission might decide, “I’m sorry,

2 but the business net-receipts tax was a good idea, but we

3 don’t want to move in that direction.” As an alternative,

4 the sales and use tax would continue to be on the table

5 for extension to services. That we could decide as an

6 alternative to a new business net-receipts tax, that we

7 would take on the challenge of extending it to all

8 services.

9 Next, we would have on the table the elimination

10 of the corporate income tax, to be decided, but it would

11 be part of this package.

12 Next, we would include a fuels tax -- gasoline,

13 diesel, jet fuel -- as described.

14 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Bunker fuel.

15 CHAIR PARSKY: I don’t know whether bunker fuel

16 is in and out. We’ll let that for a subsequent --

17 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Anything Curt wants.

18 CHAIR PARSKY: My sense is in addition -- in

19 addition –-

20 Becky, are you taking notes here? Becky?

21 Please.

22 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: A few.

23 CHAIR PARSKY: Okay, I’m joking with you, Becky.

24 I’m going to give you the June 26 th memo. I guarantee

25 you, I’ll give it to you.

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1 Anyway, fuels tax would be included and two

2 other things: The split roll on the property tax would

3 be on the table as part of this package, suggested by

4 one or more commissioners. A severance -- permitting

5 incremental drilling for oil in California and the

6 application of a severance tax on that would be –-

7 Well, how would you describe it, Michael?

8 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Yes, maybe to collect

9 zero revenue from all the offshore stuff we don’t drill.

10 There is more than enough there by the federal

11 government’s estimates to basically swap what we’re doing

12 with the fuels tax. So it just seems silly. But just

13 the equivalent in revenue, does it have to be a severance

14 tax? It could be bonuses and royalties, but it’s the

15 same revenue --

16 CHAIR PARSKY: I’m trying to stay within the

17 context of taxes.

18 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Those are, but those are

19 widely considered taxes everywhere else in the world. And

20 in the Gulf Coast, they don’t have the title “tax,” nor

21 does the “vehicle license fee” have the phrase “tax” in

22 it.

23 CHAIR PARSKY: We’re going to –-

24 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: So just the equivalent --

25 the equivalent revenue. We can call it a tax, if you

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1 want. Equivalent revenue.

2 CHAIR PARSKY: Okay. In addition -- and I need

3 a little bit of help here because I really want to stay

4 within the context of what we said -- there’s been

5 significant commissioner interest in the establishment of

6 a reserve fund. Some people refer to it as a rainy-day

7 fund, but a reserve fund. Because although some

8 commissioners may think that the volatility issue can be

9 addressed in the tax system, and other commissioners

10 think that the volatility issue can be addressed in the

11 rainy-day reserve concept, I think that I would just put

12 on the table that you may need both in the context of

13 addressing volatility. So I think that a clear, for wont

14 of a better expression, hard reserve, keyed to some

15 definition, or trigger, we would keep on the table as

16 something that can come forward out of this commission.

17 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: As long as the “hard” is

18 capitalized, italicized, and in bold, not the current

19 leaky bucket in our so-called rainy-day fund.

20 CHAIR PARSKY: Michael, I knew where you were

21 coming from. “Hard” was meant there to be intentional.

22 And finally, although it doesn’t fit exactly

23 within the definition of revenues, because it has been

24 so supported by the Commission, the concept of a new,

25 adequate tax resolution dispute process -- tax courts --

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1 a resolution process would be included and would be put

2 on the table.

3 Those would either fit -- some combination of

4 that would either fit into Category 1, which would be

5 statutory law changes, revenue-related, that can be

6 enacted by the Legislature immediately; or Category 2,

7 which might need constitutional law change or

8 ballot-initiative change.

9 That’s the package that I would recommend. And

10 then I’ll come to the “in addition” clause in a second.

11 But that’s the package that I would recommend, is a

12 melding of the two and gives us, I think, an opportunity

13 to try to seek unanimity and proceed forward.

14 It can’t be done by July 31, that’s pretty

15 clear. So I would suggest -- and I don’t want to put it

16 off so that we can’t give the Legislature an opportunity

17 to act, let’s put it that way. So I’d like to be able

18 to get this done before September 15 th , when I think the

19 Legislature may decide to recess earlier or later. But

20 at least it’s on the table that they would recess

21 September 15 th for the rest of the year.

22 And I would like to at least be able to look

23 them in the eye and say, “You have some recommendations

24 for major reform from the broadest cross section of

25 people, and we expect you to act on it.”

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1 Now, that’s a big challenge, but that’s what

2 I would suggest. And, obviously, there will be some

3 refinements within this. But that’s a package.

4 In addition, we would welcome suggestions from

5 commissioners that are not revenue-related, that could be

6 included in another section of the report, that we

7 wouldn’t take a position on other than that other bodies

8 need -- or should be looking at reform in those areas as

9 part of fiscal reform.

10 I would hope that we would reach unanimity about

11 what should be included in that. It’s not a position of

12 the Commission, we wouldn’t have staffed it, but we would

13 say, “This needs to be addressed.” And hopefully, we can

14 reach unanimity on what could be included in that section.

15 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Two things, Mr. Chairman.

16 CHAIR PARSKY: That’s my suggestion.

17 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Mr. Chairman?

18 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes.

19 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

20 Mr. Chairman, thank you very, very much. I

21 think that the proposal that you’ve made speaks to several

22 issues that commissioners have been wrestling with since

23 the inception of our task. It also reflects the evolution

24 of the thinking of commissioners and the opportunity that

25 we’ve had to evaluate the various proposals that have been

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1 put on the table to date.

2 I very much appreciate your inclusion of a

3 number of the items that were distributed publicly, to

4 the Commission and to others over the weekend for

5 consideration. So thank you very much for that.

6 I think that what you’ve outlined is a good

7 proposal. I wonder if I might suggest two or three

8 other -- not elements of the proposal, but two or three

9 other concepts with regard to how we might proceed. So

10 this is process as opposed to content.

11 First of all, I imagine that what you will be

12 doing, if the Commission is of a consensus mind to want

13 to do what you just described -- and I would certainly

14 add my voice as an “aye” vote on that or a “yes” to what

15 you’ve recommended, that you’ll be asking the Governor

16 for an extension of our term as a commission for some

17 45 or 60 days or some other number of days so that we can

18 continue to do that.

19 I know in at least the case of my appointing

20 authority, which is the President Pro Tem of the Senate,

21 the President Pro Tem of the Senate has told me personally

22 that he thinks that that is a very worthwhile request for

23 you to make and that, at least in his mind, that the

24 Commission is working diligently and in good faith to get

25 to a consensus product.

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1 Secondly, Mr. Chairman, I’m wondering if, at

2 this stage, where we’re really pivoting now, and we’re

3 going from a time where we were in the expanding-universe

4 phase and looking at all kinds of options, and now we are

5 narrowing those, we’ve got, in essence, the known universe

6 of items that we would like to consider for evaluation,

7 and how we might mix and match those into a consensus

8 product. I wonder if we might also change a bit of how

9 we work in the following regard:

10 One, that the agendas and the packets and all

11 of the material that is made now available to members --

12 or excuse me, to commissioners and the public on the day

13 of the meeting, that we could have an agreement that all

14 of that material would be available, at a minimum,

15 72 hours in advance, which the mayor advises me is the

16 Brown Act requirement.

17 Is that right, Mr. Mayor, 72 hours in advance?

18 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Right.

19 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: And if we might adopt

20 that as a practice so that the interested public, as well

21 as the commissioners, would have an opportunity to look at

22 things in advance. I think it also might change the

23 nature and the character of the conversation at the

24 Commission meetings in terms of the utility or the

25 utilization of our time that is available. So rather

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1 than being briefed as much and asking questions that are

2 kinds of clarifications, we might get quicker into the

3 give-and-take of deliberation about what kind of

4 package -- in essence, the public negotiation function.

5 So I’m wondering if that might work for you and might work

6 for the staff.

7 I’m not trying to -- let me tell you what I’m

8 not trying to do: I’m not trying to increase the pressure

9 on the staff to produce product earlier. However much

10 time you and the Chair decide you need to produce product,

11 that’s fine. Just don’t set the meeting until you’ve

12 got -- you know that you can do that and have the product

13 done. So I hope the staff is not taking this as a slight

14 to them at all. I have great respect for you, and you

15 know that. This is about timing of access to information.

16 I wonder if also, Mr. Chairman -- I very, very

17 much like the idea of essentially working groups. When

18 Mr. Mayor was the Speaker of the Assembly and he had the

19 task of working in Big 5 and trying to negotiate budgets

20 and so on, one of the common practices in the Legislature

21 at the Budget Committee, at the Big 5, is to establish

22 working groups all the time. It’s a, “Why don’t you, you,

23 and you go off and work on this particular issue, come

24 back in two days and have a response for us? Why don’t

25 we get the Department of Finance, and so on and so on to

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1 sit down with three people and do this and that?”

2 I think that that could be -- if I understand --

3 if that’s in the spirit of what you’re describing, I think

4 that is enormously beneficial.

5 I also know that because we’re a public body,

6 we need to do our work in public. We should examine,

7 obviously, how those notices would be made and who -- but

8 I think that’s a very, very good idea. I think there’s a

9 lot of work that can be done well in that context.

10 I do want to make sure that I understand

11 something that you said, Mr. Chairman, because you and I

12 had a very, very productive conversation yesterday for a

13 couple of hours here in San Francisco, and I appreciated

14 your time and every courtesy that you extended to me. If

15 I understand what you’re managing towards you in addition

16 to -- or what we’re managing towards in addition to

17 consensus, is a report which would be structured in such

18 a way that the Legislature could immediately pull out of

19 that: “Here are the recommendations for action by the

20 Legislature” in statutory -- written in bill language

21 essentially by Leg. Counsel once we’ve agreed on what

22 we’re trying to do here, what our final product is.

23 As you and I discussed, the Legislature doesn’t

24 have the power to enact a statute any more than they do

25 to enact a constitutional amendment. They can pass a

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1 bill and send it to the Governor and the Governor can

2 decide whether or not they sign it. So there is -- the

3 Legislature doesn’t have any independent power that way.

4 They work in concert with the executive branch to enact

5 legislation.

6 The Legislature does the same thing with regard

7 to constitutional amendments, although its partner in that

8 deal is the electorate as opposed to the Governor. So I

9 want to make sure I understand what you’re suggesting.

10 You’re suggesting that those items that the Legislature

11 can act on statutorily and the Governor can sign would be

12 in one category; then constitutional amendments, if we

13 suggest any -- or we suggest any actions which would

14 require for them to be enabled, that they would require a

15 constitutional amendment, that would be in a second, an

16 additional section.

17 Understanding -- and this is the point of

18 clarification I’d like to seek with you -- if we made such

19 recommendations, because a way to enact that is for the

20 Legislature on two-thirds vote of both to place

21 that on the ballot, that we would also have that in bill

22 form. So if the Legislature chose to go ahead and do

23 that, they could do that. Alternatively, folks who are

24 interested in putting those on the ballot would have

25 ready-made language and may want to go forward with it.

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1 Am I right on that, how you would see that?

2 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes.

3 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Thank you very much.

4 The other issue I want to seek clarification,

5 because I thought I understood it yesterday and I think

6 I understand it today, based on your characterization,

7 the notion of a rainy-day fund -- rather than me put words

8 in your mouth -- your thought with regard to a rainy-day

9 fund is that it would fit where, if we got to a consensus

10 and that was part of it, where would that fit in the

11 report, in your mind?

12 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: May I comment on that

13 before you commit yourself? Because I don’t want to

14 disagree with you after you speak. I’d rather you

15 disagree with me.

16 CHAIR PARSKY: I would be honored if you would

17 go ahead. And I’m going to assign you the task of

18 calling this whatever you would like to call it.

19 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: You can assign the task of

20 writing it.

21 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: A tax revenue suspense

22 account -- no, I don’t know. I’ll figure out something.

23 Look, I think I’ve mentioned in one or two of

24 these meetings the idea, at least, at a conceptual level,

25 of income averaging, as we used to have in federal taxes

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1 some years ago. I have no idea what you folks did out

2 here in California. But it was in the federal tax code.

3 And the point of the federal –- and the point of,

4 obviously, of the income averaging is to ease the impact

5 of income volatility on the tax bill, faced by the

6 taxpayer.

7 Well, in my mind, conceptually, creating

8 something like a rainy-day fund in which a certain

9 portion of receipts above the trend line in revenue

10 are sequestered is a very similar thing. I mean, you’re

11 not benefiting the taxpayer; but in terms of what becomes

12 available to the general fund, it has the same effect.

13 So I think it’s at least a kissing cousin to a revenue

14 measure as opposed to an expenditure measure. It’s

15 certainly not dictating that funds be spent for particular

16 purposes. It’s, rather, controlling what kinds of

17 revenues are available to the state government for

18 expenditure.

19 Now, the implementation of a moving-average

20 kind of strategy for figuring out what’s volatile and

21 what’s not, I’m advised by staff, is quite complicated.

22 Because, for example, capital gains -- just figuring out

23 what the number is can lag by 18 months to two years

24 before you actually know what the number was. But if you

25 did use regression analysis of some sort and you went back

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1 long enough so you’d get over the course of a business

2 cycle, I think that would be an appropriate way to

3 identify the peaks and valleys around the trend.

4 So I would urge that we conceptualize a

5 rainy-day fund in the type font prescribed by Brother

6 Boskin; that we include that in Gerry’s Category 1 as a

7 statutory measure related to revenues. Period, paragraph.

8 I think there’s a very interesting and difficult

9 question about how to make the lock on this lock-box

10 impregnable. And I think if we could find some really

11 good and experienced lawyers to help us out on that

12 question, we should absolutely do that. It can’t just be

13 the same old thing. I think we’d have to do this in a way

14 that we could, in good faith, say really has some

15 differences to it from the way the state has handled this

16 in the past.

17 I’ll subside now.

18 COMMISSIONER BARRALES: Mr. Chair, just so

19 I better understand. We talked about a rainy-day fund

20 and now this lock-box. I would be more intrigued, if

21 I understand correctly, what we’re talking about is a

22 spending cap, I think? Is that not what we’re talking

23 about?

24 CHAIR PARSKY: No, what we’re talking about

25 is coupling the tax-law changes with a requirement that

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1 revenues would be sequestered, if you will, temporarily

2 off of a formula to be spent when the revenues dropped

3 below a certain level.

4 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Let me take an example to

5 make it simple. And this isn’t exactly how we do it, but

6 I’ve thought about this, and this is an oversimplification

7 of getting at where Chris wants to about making it hard

8 and fast and careful.

9 Suppose you had a ten-year average, rolling a

10 previous historical average of the ratio of revenues to

11 some -- to population, inflation or personal income or

12 something of that sort. And then whenever revenues

13 exceeded a certain percentage above that –- say, 3 percent

14 more than that or whatever -- 5 percent or whatever it

15 happens to be -– okay, it would go into the rainy-day fund

16 first and could only be used for certain purposes, one of

17 which would obviously be for years when it fell below the

18 average to make up the difference.

19 You could also use it to quickly retire

20 long-term debt to enable you to have the capacity to deal

21 with this in other years. If it got large enough, you

22 could have a tax cut or something or one-time capital

23 spending or something like that. That’s the basic

24 conception that we have in mind.

25 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: That was essentially

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1 Proposition 1A on the May 19 ballot. Separate the tax

2 implications of Prop. 1A, the premise was exactly the one

3 that Michael is suggesting.

4 And I would add, Chris, that if you try to do

5 this statutorily, I don’t care what lawyer you get to do

6 it, it will be attackable by the Legislature subsequently.

7 You could put an extraordinary vote requirement

8 there --

9 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Yes, that’s what I had in

10 mind.

11 COMMISSIONER HAUCK: -- like the suspension of

12 Prop. 98, for example. That certainly would make it much

13 more difficult.

14 CHAIR PARSKY: If we’re staying with the

15 rainy-day fund, then Fred hasn’t quite finished yet. But

16 go ahead, John.

17 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Yes, if you want to have a

18 rainy-day fund that at least has some chance of being

19 preserved from the Legislature, you’ve got to do it

20 through the constitutional process. You can’t allow a

21 vote -- and I have to tell you this, Chris, I don’t care

22 what kind of majority rule you put in place. In an

23 economic downturn, when the money is sitting there in a

24 honeypot, and the choice is between spending it or not

25 spending it, they’ll spend it. And so my sense would be,

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1 it would be best to think about your proposal more as a

2 constitutional change, which could not be undone in any

3 way by a vote of the Legislature. Just give it some

4 thought.

5 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: I agree with that. I agree

6 with that, John. But what I actually –- I didn’t want to

7 go on for too long. But what I would prefer is that we

8 recommend both the statutory measure in Category 1, but

9 also recommend that it be codified in the Constitution

10 and put it in Category 2, so that we would actually do

11 both.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: Let’s just think a little bit

13 more about which category it fits in. The concept is the

14 one I wanted to make sure it was out there.

15 But finish, Fred.

16 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

17 Mr. Chairman, still on the issue of process, I

18 wonder if what we also might be able to do is with regard

19 to the types of revenue that we’re looking at, where we’re

20 looking at capital gain and BNRT, sales, split roll,

21 carbon tax, and so on, I wonder if there might be a way

22 to develop a minimum uniformity of information and

23 presentation, understanding that all taxes are different

24 in certain regards, and so there would be a lot of unique

25 information that the staff would provide. But I wonder

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1 if there’s a half a dozen common notions that we might ask

2 for in terms of presentation on all of these issues?

3 For example -- and I don’t pretend this is the

4 right list or an exhaustive list -- for example,

5 progressivity and regressivity. Every time we look at

6 a tax, we know the answer to if it’s at that --

7 progressivity and regressivity, the rate and the base,

8 which -- am I right -- is that also called “incidence”?

9 Is the base “incidence,” is that right? Or across the

10 base, you have incidence; is that it?

11 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: That’s ultimately where

12 that gets shifted.

13 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Who ends up paying the

14 burden?

15 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Who actually pays it?

16 What I’m trying to get at is four or five ways

17 that we get a presentation on any item or concept that is

18 a change in a tax, a new tax, raising or lowering the

19 rate, the base, or whatever; that we receive that

20 information in a uniform way on everything, so that what

21 we can do then, if you combine that concept with getting

22 information in advance and having working groups and so

23 on, then I think both interested commissioners and

24 interested members of the public can begin doing their

25 own dialing and saying, “Well, if that rate, instead of

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1 3.3 was 2.5, and then over here on this tax it was 1.6,

2 and then if it applied to this group instead of there,”

3 you could start putting together the kinds of things that,

4 maybe for Chris, for example, when he’s concerned about

5 the progressivity or regressivity issue, then he can start

6 building something -- a package that he can see is making

7 sense to him.

8 And I’m wondering, Mr. Chairman, if that might

9 be an additional request for that kind of uniformity might

10 be very helpful, I think, to the commissioners and the

11 interested public.

12 Let me conclude with two quick comments.

13 One is, prior to this meeting, at the direction

14 of the President Pro Tem of the Senate, I had two meetings

15 that were held in Sacramento, and asked for the

16 participation of the Board of Equalization staff, the

17 Franchise Tax Board staff, and the senior staff at the

18 Assembly and Senate Revenue and Taxation Committees, as

19 well as a number of academics. The people who

20 participated in those, were participating not with regard

21 to positions of the agencies or the committees, but as

22 resources to the Commission, to help understand things.

23 I want to thank them all very, very much for their

24 participation. And I suspect that they will do more, but

25 I want to thank them for their participation.

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1 And lastly, Mr. Chairman, I want to thank you

2 again for the way you have structured your recommendation.

3 And I hope that this -- what I’ve suggested here is

4 helpful in that regard.

5 Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

6 CHAIR PARSKY: John?

7 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Gerry, look, I think the

8 direction that you’ve outlined here is really quite good.

9 And I would only amend what Fred said in a couple of ways.

10 One is, on this tax dispute resolution issue,

11 it seems like we would want to have the same kind of

12 process that we have for the net-receipts tax. That is,

13 I think it’s a pretty complicated question when you get

14 down to it, so you might want to think about a working

15 group or something that, over the next months, would

16 flesh it out a little bit, since I think it’s a lot more

17 complicated --

18 CHAIR PARSKY: You’re saying, on the

19 net-receipts tax?

20 COMMISSIONER COGAN: No, no, no. On the dispute

21 resolution.

22 CHAIR PARSKY: Oh, on the dispute resolution?

23 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Yes, yes.

24 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: What’s the right model?

25 Richard might know.

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1 Richard, do --

2 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, I think on that one --

3 COMMISSIONER POMP: There has been a submission

4 to us from the ABA on that. So there is a model.

5 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes, right.

6 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Right, there is one model.

7 COMMISSIONER POMP: It’s from the ABA. It’s not

8 a bad model, so…

9 CHAIR PARSKY: We can make sure that that’s

10 circulated around again.

11 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Right.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: I do think this idea of working

13 groups, dealing with the components is a good idea.

14 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: I think the thing that

15 this is pretty –- the thing that ABA submitted is fairly

16 close to sort of the typical thing done in most states

17 other than California.

18 COMMISSIONER COGAN: So then I have a question

19 on distribution. You know, when I look at these

20 distributional numbers, when we look at income tax

21 distributional changes, I have a lot of confidence that

22 we’re measuring things pretty well.

23 When we get to corporate taxes, when we get to

24 net-receipts taxes, I’m a lot less confident that what

25 we’re measuring bears any relationship to reality and

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1 whether we would know it or not. And so I’m wondering,

2 as we think about getting down to the final strokes, how

3 would commissioners feel about putting a lot of weight

4 on the personal income tax distribution in making your

5 judgments about the distributional consequences of these

6 policies, and a lot less weight on the net-receipts tax

7 distributional outcome, the corporate tax distributional

8 outcome? Not that we would throw it out, but if we could

9 have these separated, so those things that we are

10 relatively confident about, we have in one pot, and then

11 those things that we’re not so confident about, that we

12 sort of assign maybe a lower weight to them or something,

13 but keep them separate.

14 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: You would add the sales

15 tax into the confident one; right?

16 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Yes, right, right.

17 That’s just a suggestion as we proceed down to

18 the final strokes.

19 CHAIR PARSKY: Monica?

20 COMMISSIONER LOZANO: Gerry, the only comment

21 is very similar because what I thought I heard you say in

22 your summary remarks is that you would add a review of

23 the capital gains. And I prefer -- because we’ve done so

24 much work already -- on seeing the relationship between

25 the personal income and the net-receipts tax -- I’d like

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1 to continue on with that, to see what adjusting those two

2 do independently of throwing in this third variable of

3 capital gains, which I think we should look at, but let’s

4 continue to look at this, first focused on the personal

5 income tax --

6 CHAIR PARSKY: I had only suggested that because

7 I’m hoping that adjustments that would be made in the

8 personal income tax, with the guideline of achieving a

9 reduction in tax burden, or a reduction in taxes for each

10 of the brackets, would satisfy commissioners that we could

11 proceed.

12 If that doesn’t, then I was trying to fall back

13 on something that might still attempt to address within

14 the personal income tax some elements of the volatility,

15 and there were suggestions made that the capital gains.

16 But my strong urging is that we try to get to a unanimous

17 recommendation on making changes overall, and seeing how

18 it blends in with the business net-receipts tax and the

19 corporate tax elimination.

20 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: Could I ask for two

21 additional pieces of information that are maybe a bit more

22 quantitative than the qualitative stuff we’ve gotten thus

23 far in this regard from the staff?

24 One would be to look at the net change in the

25 number of taxpayers, including the sales tax; and

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1 secondly, the net change in the amount of federally

2 deductible California taxes.

3 So, I mean, if we switch from a partially

4 nondeductible tax, like the sales tax, to a net-receipts

5 tax, that may be -- that is deductible, that may be

6 saying, we’re shifting some of our burden to the Feds,

7 which would be a good thing for California.

8 If we are lowering the income tax and spreading

9 the sales tax to services, whatever other good it may do,

10 we may wind up increasing California’s tax burdens and

11 reducing our -- and increasing our federal tax burden,

12 which just seems to me is not a wise thing to do.

13 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: I think that’s --

14 CHAIR PARSKY: Curt, I know that we’ve held this

15 too long, but you have a comment on that?

16 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Yes, and I will --

17 COMMISSIONER ITO: I have a comment and a

18 question afterwards.

19 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: And I will apologize, as

20 I’m going to try to catch this flight at some point in

21 time.

22 But I worry, Mr. Chairman, that your one word

23 that you used may not necessarily mislead but

24 mischaracterize what our next step is in terms of looking

25 at all of these various taxes. That you talked about

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1 creating -- or that being in a package.

2 I didn’t spend as much time with you as

3 obviously you spent with Fred, but I would --

4 CHAIR PARSKY: We’ll leave it to another time.

5 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: And that also applies to

6 his wife.

7 COMMISSIONER COGAN: ( Tapping on glass .)

8 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: But a lot of this

9 discussion is based upon a Package 1 context. And yet

10 you have suggested other items that were not a part of

11 that, such as a fuels tax of some sort, a split-roll

12 property tax, some additional type of revenue generation

13 off of additional oil exploration and such.

14 Is that right?

15 CHAIR PARSKY: That’s correct.

16 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: But you have not

17 suggested that they would all be a part of a package?

18 What you had suggested is, these items will be the taxes

19 that we consider, get more information on, and then when

20 we come back, have another review of how they all may or

21 may not fit, or how they all may or may not be of

22 long-term benefit as a tax structure; and then a package

23 will be put together from them. So when you suggested

24 or characterized it as a package, your intention isn’t

25 that they’re all going to be in a package? They’re all

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1 going to be presented back to us with further evaluative

2 information; is that correct?

3 CHAIR PARSKY: Yes, and with the desire to seek

4 unanimity around the package we would present.

5 So if those people that would seek to include

6 a fuels tax or a tax on oil exploration -- new oil

7 exploration or on the split roll, that the unanimity of

8 the Commission wouldn’t proceed on any or all of those;

9 they would be withdrawn from the package.

10 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Right. I mean, I know

11 Joel Fox quickly posted his tweet, and then --

12 CHAIR PARSKY: Who is Joel Fox? I don’t know

13 Joel Fox.

14 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: But the question is, when

15 you said “package,” those are not a part of any package

16 that we are proposing. What you have presented is the

17 taxes we should concentrate on is just -- are just the

18 collection of taxes that we may derive a package from as

19 something we want to do the full evaluation in our final

20 meeting?

21 COMMISSIONER BARRALES: I think we want to refer

22 to it as the “Curt Pringle Tax Package.”

23 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: That’s fine. I would be

24 happy to craft that for you, Mr. Barrales.

25 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: I think we were leaving

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1 open those other things becoming part of a package if we

2 didn’t agree on stuff without them and they could be mixed

3 and matched in various ways, or rejected or whatever.

4 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Right. I just wanted to

5 make sure that it’s not characterized that that is a

6 package that we are trying to craft from --

7 COMMISSIONER COGAN: You got that, Joel? You

8 got that?

9 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: And also, though, I’d

10 like to just suggest that I do have an aversion of a

11 creation of a commission, and then somehow decisions are

12 made in smaller groups. Therefore, I understand and

13 respect the concept of ideas coming forward; but I don’t

14 think they should come forward on the core purpose of what

15 we’re here for, and that is, to put together a package

16 that we will build consensus behind.

17 So in areas that may be on your Section 2 or 3,

18 be it the tax resolution group and those things that we

19 haven’t spent time discussing, I personally don’t have any

20 problem with crafting a proposal by one to ten members --

21 well, we can’t get over our quorum -- but, anyway,

22 something short of a quorum -- crafting something to

23 present to us, because we haven’t really heard all of that

24 yet. But on all the stuff we have been working on, I have

25 a little challenge to say that an individual, carved-out

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1 collection of subgroup should be making a recommendation

2 back to the whole. I think the purpose of a commission is

3 taking all the value of the 14-member input and having it

4 as a complete discussion.

5 So in areas of crafting a rainy-day or

6 revenue-limitation fund or whatever it is or a tax-dispute

7 group, having groups put something together like that,

8 I don’t have a burden with that -- I don’t have a problem;

9 but I do have a problem with somehow we’re crafting

10 separate tax plans that we’re going to bring forward as

11 some -- I don’t think we ever build a consensus that way,

12 that’s what I’m concerned about. And I would like to have

13 that level of discussion available for all members of the

14 Commission to participate in.

15 CHAIR PARSKY: I think that’s valid.

16 The only area that I am concerned about drawing

17 those lines, is the business net-receipts tax, because it

18 requires an extensive amount of ongoing work to present to

19 the Commission for final decision. That’s the only one.

20 I do not think it’s appropriate to have a

21 working group put packages together. That’s not the

22 appropriate job of a working group.

23 I do think in these areas like you mentioned,

24 it would be very helpful to have a working group craft

25 what a rainy-day fund would look like or what a dispute

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1 resolution recommendation would look like.

2 But the business net-receipts tax is a different

3 issue, it seems to me, because we need to involve -- we

4 need to have, in effect, hearings or discussion groups

5 from the outside.

6 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Sure.

7 CHAIR PARSKY: And so I’m going to offer to

8 commissioners who are willing to participate and listen

9 to those -- we won’t make any decisions other than things

10 that will be on the table. I mean, the staff didn’t make

11 decisions, in one sense; but they did make decisions in

12 putting something on the table.

13 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: Yes, right.

14 CHAIR PARSKY: You can’t proceed with a new tax

15 without that.

16 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: And I appreciate that

17 distinction. And I’m just but one Commission member.

18 But in that regard, I do think there’s value in having

19 public view. I mean, if we record a workshop with experts

20 and have it online and notify everybody that if they wish

21 to hear it or participate or monitor it, that’s available

22 to them, I think all of those types of things, if we are

23 hashing out the NRT, or whatever it’s called, then I think

24 we should make it at least accessible for folks to see

25 that.

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1 CHAIR PARSKY: We will do that.

2 COMMISSIONER PRINGLE: A couple -- two other

3 quick points. I do think that -- I mean, I’m going to

4 struggle with understanding how the split roll plays in

5 the context of our job. Property tax is a local tax.

6 I understand the majority of property taxes go to support

7 schools. I understand the schools are the responsibility

8 of the state. I get all that.

9 I’m just saying that does not allow for, in my

10 opinion, my legal opinion, the proper tax neutrality

11 requirements of trading one tax for another under state

12 law because it’s not a local tax. You are eliminating

13 a portion of a state tax, and you’re contemplating

14 backfilling it with a local tax that cannot be -- it

15 limits -- it is one of those types of taxes that’s going

16 to be very hard to put in any package. So if we want to

17 step back and say, “All of our package is going to be

18 subject to a vote of the people,” then that is the

19 decision we may want to collectively make.

20 I think it means that everything gets voted

21 down, because a vote of the people makes it easy for

22 anybody to take a shot at any single element of a package

23 and to pull it apart. Therefore, any split roll is going

24 to be a part of a -- be a constitutional change. And

25 everything, if it were pinned on -- hinging upon the

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1 revenue derived from it and changing the way Prop. 13

2 interacts with state government, then everything we do is

3 going to be subject to a vote of the people. And I think

4 that challenges our task here in terms of the reality of

5 what we may propose to be adopted by the Legislature.

6 And finally, I do have a concern about

7 presenting a package that the Legislature will seriously

8 consider -- not that they’re not serious. But, in fact,

9 I think we’re getting very late in our time scheduling

10 here to get something that could be seriously considered

11 by the Legislature before the end of their legislative

12 session which, in odd years, is September 15 th .

13 I would like to try, but I will just -- I should

14 probably have said this to you privately, Mr. Chairman --

15 I’d also say something very daring and probably

16 inappropriate -- maybe we should think about asking for

17 an extension of some time, even to the end of the year,

18 so that our proposal, when it is made, comes back with

19 the Legislature being able to address it and contemplate

20 it, as opposed to what I was mentioning to the Chairman

21 earlier, to drop something in the Legislature too late

22 at the end of the year, when they won’t consider it,

23 means it sits there for three months and gets beat up

24 by everybody who has some gripe with some piece. And,

25 therefore, when the Legislature does reconvene to talk

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1 about it, it’s already bloodied and bruised.

2 Maybe we could get -- if we do think we could

3 submit by the middle of September, asking the Legislature

4 to hold hearings through the fall so that they are at

5 least engaged in it as opposed to just leaving it on their

6 doorstep and saying “good-bye.”

7 So those are a few of my thoughts. And thank

8 you very much, Mr. Chairman.

9 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you.

10 I’d like to think a little bit more about what

11 you just said. I think it’s worth thinking about.

12 COMMISSIONER ITO: I have a question.

13 CHAIR PARSKY: One more.

14 Jennifer?

15 COMMISSIONER ITO: So I have a question about --

16 I think it makes sense to kind of divide up the sections

17 of our recommendations. But I do have a question about

18 how that’s going to impact the analysis. Because if I’m

19 looking at the scenario, if the changes that we are

20 suggesting under the statutorial Section 1, if those get

21 approved, but then we have a second set of recommendations

22 that are constitutional amendments that don’t get

23 approved, what is that overall impact going to be?

24 (Commissioner Pringle exited the meeting room.)

25 COMMISSIONER ITO: Because we’re making –- you

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1 know, in our discussion today, we’re talking about

2 implementing some new taxes, to swap out others, and to

3 mix and match. So if we are moving ahead as a total

4 package, yet it’s broken up, what then -- I’m just worried

5 about then what that could mean in the long-term.

6 CHAIR PARSKY: I do think that’s a very

7 legitimate concern.

8 I think inherent in Category 2 would be a --

9 any recommendations that fit Category 2, we would ask the

10 Legislature to act on it, in a sense, of approving them

11 for the ballot.

12 As we evolve this combination of taxes, we may

13 find that there’s only -- we’ll see -- that there’s only

14 one proposal, namely the reserve fund, that requires going

15 to the ballot.

16 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: And the split roll.

17 CHAIR PARSKY: Like I say, we may find that

18 as we evolve through, the package of recommendations would

19 only include that which would be quite complementary to

20 a set of recommendations that the Legislature could act

21 on. So there have been several suggestions made,

22 including the split roll and including the severance tax

23 that we’re going to have to discuss some more.

24 If we can’t reach unanimity on those as well

25 as maybe the fuels tax, where I know there’s differences

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1 of opinion, maybe those taxes fall away, and we’re left

2 with a set of tax recommendations that can be approved

3 immediately by the Legislature, and a concept of a real,

4 hard, rainy-day fund that can be put on the ballot. But

5 we’ll see.

6 COMMISSIONER ITO: One other amendment --

7 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: Ms. Ito, if I might just

8 respond also on that point.

9 I just checked with one of the speakers, staff

10 folks who is here and does a lot of the taxes, budget

11 issues. And my recollection from serving on the

12 Legislature, there may be some drafting possibilities

13 here for dealing with your issue that may have to do

14 with -- double-joining issues, contingent enactment

15 issues. There’s some drafting strategies to try to get

16 to that issue. So I think perhaps we could work with that

17 as a concept as well.

18 Thank you.

19 COMMISSIONER ITO: And then just one other, as

20 a Commission member who is concerned about -- who likes

21 the progressivity of our tax structure. You outlined

22 two options as we continue to explore adjustments to the

23 personal income tax, the three brackets, and all brackets

24 getting a reduction and the other alternative being around

25 the adjustment in capital gains. I mean, I would like to

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1 throw out there a third, which is keeping the current

2 structure, yet a possibly overall reduction.

3 CHAIR PARSKY: Inherent in the discussion -- in

4 the comment about having all brackets was that.

5 COMMISSIONER ITO: Okay.

6 CHAIR PARSKY: That was the reason for that

7 possibility. Because I sensed that there were some

8 commissioners that wanted to take a look at that approach.

9 It would still be a more simplified personal income tax

10 because we would have reduced a number of itemized

11 deductions. So it would still be more simplified, but

12 we’re leaving on the table both possibilities.

13 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Gerry, there’s something

14 critically important to me that we haven’t mentioned. We

15 got a -- Mark dutifully sent around a note, indicating

16 that it violates the Opening Meeting law. In the opinion

17 of the Attorney General, or somebody in the Attorney

18 General’s office, it violates the Open Meeting law for a

19 commissioner to send an e-mail to all the other

20 commissioners, even if that is posted for the public.

21 I’ve got to say, that’s the most idiotic thing

22 that I have heard of since I got to California. And the

23 competition is tough for that distinction. So it’s very

24 important for me to understand whether there is a civil

25 penalty, a fine, for violating the Open Meetings Act

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1 because if there isn’t, some judge is going to have to

2 enjoin me from sending e-mail to fellow commissioners.

3 CHAIR PARSKY: I think you will find that

4 there’s more flexibility than that. And we’ll send

5 around -- we’ll send around a little description of

6 how you can communicate to your fellow commissioners.

7 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: Thank you.

8 COMMISSIONER POMP: Mr. Chair?

9 CHAIR PARSKY: Have we --

10 COMMISSIONER POMP: I need a point clarified.

11 I’d like to work with our discussion, the

12 elements, and maybe put together a possible package for

13 unanimity. You’re not saying that we can’t play with what

14 we’ve talked about; are you?

15 CHAIR PARSKY: I’m saying that we’ve all agreed

16 that we will deal with revenues only.

17 COMMISSIONER POMP: Right.

18 CHAIR PARSKY: We’re not going to deal with

19 expenditures.

20 COMMISSIONER POMP: Right, that’s fine.

21 CHAIR PARSKY: So that’s Guideline Number 1.

22 COMMISSIONER POMP: Right.

23 CHAIR PARSKY: Number 2, we’re going to deal

24 with the elements of taxation outlined.

25 COMMISSIONER POMP: Right.

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1 CHAIR PARSKY: Right, and we’re going to do

2 further analysis of the business net-receipts tax, because

3 a number of commissioners are contemplating including that

4 in lieu of the sales tax and/or the corporate income tax.

5 COMMISSIONER POMP: I understand. But I guess

6 what I’m saying, if I want to put together a package with

7 some people and attempt to reach unanimity, I am free to

8 try and do that?

9 COMMISSIONER EDLEY: You just can’t tell any of

10 us.

11 COMMISSIONER POMP: I just can’t –- right,

12 right.

13 CHAIR PARSKY: You have to communicate in

14 Connecticut. And other than that, you’re free.

15 COMMISSIONER POMP: And Chris is far too

16 negative for me to want to communicate with him.

17 CHAIR PARSKY: And my suggestion is, in order

18 to start with unanimity, start with the gentleman next to

19 you; and if you achieve unanimity between the two of you,

20 we want to hear it.

21 COMMISSIONER POMP: We are closer than you might

22 think.

23 COMMISSIONER BARRALES: Whether or not it breaks

24 the law.

25 CHAIR PARSKY: Secondly -- that won’t break the

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1 law.

2 COMMISSIONER POMP: I would like to see if

3 there’s any empirical data, rather than anecdotal, about

4 the effect of the personal income tax on the California

5 economy, so I have not seen any yet. If there is, I’d

6 like to, you know, have the staff make that available, so…

7 COMMISSIONER BOSKIN: You should send around the

8 Milken Institute study. It’s not the kind of empirical

9 study that I think that Richard is referring to, but it

10 gets to that.

11 COMMISSIONER POMP: Well, and plus whatever

12 other studies there might be.

13 CHAIR PARSKY: We’ll get you some data on that

14 subject.

15 Okay, are we okay in proceeding this way?

16 COMMISSIONER KEELEY: One last question,

17 Mr. Chairman.

18 Mr. Chairman, the only aspect of this that --

19 well, there’s probably a thousand aspects I’m not clear

20 on, but I totally agree, as you know, with what we’ve

21 agreed to this afternoon.

22 I would like to explore with you what level of

23 analysis or presentation the staff is going to now

24 provide, now that we have essentially said, “This is the

25 universe. If it’s inside the box, that’s fine; if it’s

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1 outside the box, it doesn’t get talked about anymore.”

2 We’ve now got the universe defined.

3 The same kind of analysis that was put into --

4 or a similar kind of analysis that was done for the BNRT,

5 is that now going to be done, or some level of analysis

6 done with regard to carbon fuels and the other issues that

7 are now the known universe or the constellation of planets

8 that are in this solar system that we’re dealing with?

9 What is the staff going to do with regard to that on a

10 going-forward basis, sir?

11 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, we have three forms of tax

12 that are still on the table that would require extensive

13 analysis. The fuels tax or -- with all due respect, the

14 fuels tax, split roll, and the severance tax on new oil

15 drilling. On each of those, I would like all the

16 commissioners, in the spirit of proceeding, to step back

17 and see if they believe unanimity could be achieved about

18 including those.

19 As of the moment, I think everyone thinks it

20 can. But I want everyone to think about that.

21 It would take extensive additional work -- not

22 so much on the fuels tax, but the split-roll property tax

23 would take an extensive amount of additional analytical

24 work by the staff, which we can ask the staff to do. And

25 I think our Commissioner Boskin that suggested the new

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1 form of severance tax needs to describe it in a little

2 more detail so the staff can know what to analyze.

3 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: What, technically, is a

4 severance tax?

5 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, I think it’s described as,

6 we would permit new drilling for oil, and there would be a

7 royalty fee, severance -- however you wanted to describe

8 it -- applied to every bit of oil newly drilled.

9 COMMISSIONER HALVORSON: So a drilling tax?

10 CHAIR PARSKY: As I said the name.

11 So I would just ask -- and I will be in touch

12 with people -- I’d just ask you to think about that; but

13 I do think in particular -- in particular, I think

14 Commissioners should think about the analytical work that

15 they want the staff to do on the split-roll property tax.

16 That, we have not analyzed in great depth. And it would

17 take a significant amount of work -- which we can

18 commission, and would. But subject to that, the rest of

19 the package, the analytical work is very much ongoing.

20 And I don’t think it would take a lot of incremental staff

21 work to put together exactly -- I mean, I think the staff

22 has done some of this on the fuels tax already, and would

23 do more -- to be in a position to discuss it in the same

24 position as the personal income tax and the sales and use

25 tax and so forth.

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1 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: Mr. Chairman, I’m

2 concerned, as was, I believe, Curt Pringle, about the

3 timing. If we extend our work until September 15th , the

4 Legislature will be in recess. And it will be -- our

5 recommendation will be battered and bruised, as he said,

6 by the time they get back in January. So either we have

7 to not wait that long to get our recommendations going

8 forward, or we have to wait much longer, until the

9 Legislature is back in session in January, it seems to

10 me. Because I, for one, would not like to see our

11 recommendations hanging out there for three months.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: John?

13 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Becky, I’ve got to disagree

14 with you. It seems to me that when you’re proposing, if

15 we were to get to this point, a massive overhaul of the

16 California tax system, I think you want it to sit out

17 there for a long time. Let people get fully -- a full

18 understanding of what’s in it and what it does. I don’t

19 think it’s right to think about a proposal like this as

20 one we can rush through the system before everyone figures

21 out what’s in it.

22 I’m also mindful of something that Bob said when

23 he briefed us on the net-receipts tax. He went through a

24 time-line of how long it took in Michigan and how long it

25 took in other states to get it through. And it was on the

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1 order of 18 months or so. And so my sense is, even though

2 we’d like to have the Legislature move quickly on

3 something, my sense is the reality of it is it’s not going

4 to be that quick, nor should it be.

5 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: And I’m not trying to

6 rush it. I’m just saying, what is our expectation? And

7 if we want it to be fully debated in the Legislature,

8 then let it hang. But that being the case, it would be

9 my prediction that we’d better not make very many

10 recommendations. Because when it is debated for a long

11 period of time, there will be more “no” votes.

12 CHAIR PARSKY: Well, my only reaction is, it

13 will be impossible for us to come up with meaningful,

14 well-thought-through recommendations by July 31. That’s

15 not --

16 COMMISSIONER MORGAN: I agree.

17 CHAIR PARSKY: That’s not possible. But I do

18 think we want to think a little bit about what date after

19 that.

20 I do think that the Legislature may -- will

21 want to hold hearings without enacting anything. That’s

22 their prerogative and obligation. And may take place

23 post-September 15 th . I don’t know. I will have some

24 discussions about that and come back to everybody.

25 Okay, are we okay with proceeding this way?

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1 COMMISSIONER COGAN: Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

2 CHAIR PARSKY: Thank you all very much.

3 (The meeting concluded at 4:55 p.m.)

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REPORTER’S CERTIFICATE

I hereby certify:

That the foregoing proceedings were duly reported by me at the time and place herein specified; and

That the proceedings were reported by me, a duly certified shorthand reporter and a disinterested person, and was thereafter transcribed into typewriting; and

That the foregoing transcript is a record of the statements of all parties made at the time of the proceeding.

IN WITNESS WHEREOF, I have hereunto set my hand on the 20 th day of July 2009.

______DANIEL P. FELDHAUS California CSR #6949 Registered Diplomate Reporter Certified Realtime Reporter

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