WIDER Working Paper 2019/24 Inequality and the generational economy Race-disaggregated National Transfer Accounts for South Africa, 2015 Morné Oosthuizen* March 2019 Abstract: Differences in the economic lifecycle between countries at different levels of development suggest that there may be differences between sub-populations within countries, particularly where the sub-populations have different levels of income. Given stark inequalities by race in South Africa, this paper constructs a full set of race-disaggregated National Transfer Accounts for 2015 and finds substantial differences between them in patterns of producing, consuming, sharing, and saving across the lifecycle. Resources flow strongly downwards to younger cohorts for all groups, while older Africans make large transfers to household members when compared with their counterparts of other races. Differences in the financing of consumption at older ages between race groups suggest that South Africa’s second demographic dividend may be overstated by reliance on national-level profiles. The results suggest that National Transfer Accounts-based estimates of the demographic dividends would benefit from accounting for differences between sub-populations. Keywords: demographic dividend, economic lifecycle, intergenerational transfers, National Transfer Accounts, race, South Africa JEL classification: J10, E01, J11, J15 Acknowledgements: Support from UNU-WIDER’s ‘Southern Africa—Towards Inclusive Economic Growth’ (SA-TIED) project is gratefully acknowledged. *Development Policy Research Unit, School of Economics, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa;
[email protected] This study has been prepared within the UNU-WIDER project on ‘Southern Africa–Towards Inclusive Economic Growth (SA- TIED)’. Copyright © UNU-WIDER 2019 Information and requests:
[email protected] ISSN 1798-7237 ISBN 978-92-9256-658-6 https://doi.org/10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2019/658-6 Typescript prepared by Gary Smith.