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Regional Weather Inference and Forecast Morning Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 Hrs IST Observations)

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Regional Weather Inference and Forecast Morning Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 Hrs IST Observations) Bादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान केJ Regional Weather Forecasting Centre Bादेिशक मौसम केJ Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवBान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur ________________________________________________________________________________________________ Regional Weather Inference And Forecast Saturday, 26 August 2017 Morning Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs. IST Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 Hrs IST Observations) Weather Watch :-. Heavy rainfall occurred at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh. Thunderstorm observed at isolated places over Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh. Very light to moderate rainfall occurred at many places over Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh. Monsoon Watch :- NIL Inference:- The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level now passes through Ganganagar, Karnal, Lucknow, Daltonganj and Puri and thence southeastwards to eastcentral Bay of Bengal and extends upto 0.9 Km above mean sea level. A cyclonic circulation upto 4.5 km above mean sea level lies over northwest Bay of Bengal off north Odisha¬West Bengal coasts. Under the influence the above two systems, a low pressure area is likely to form over northwest Bay of Bengal & neighbourhood during next 24 hours. An east-west shear zone runs roughly along Latitude 15°Nbetween 5.8 & 7.6 km above mean sea level. The upper air cyclonic circulation over north Chhattisgarh & neighbourhood now lies over Northeast Madhya Pradesh and neighbourhood between 1.5 & 5.8 km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height. The Western disturbance as an upper air cyclonic circulation over north Pakistan & adjoining Jammu & Kashmir now lies over Jammu & Kashmir and neighbourhood between 3.1 km & 5.8 Km above mean sea level. The trough aloft persists roughly along Longitude 72.0°E to the north of Latitude 32.0°N at 7.6 km above mean sea level. The core of Sub tropical westerly Jet also passes over Jammu Latitude at 12.5 km above mean sea level. ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- ------------------------------- Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 Bादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान केJ Regional Weather Forecasting Centre Bादेिशक मौसम केJ Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवBान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur Gwalior recorded the highest maximum temparature of 36.4 degree celsius. Damoh recorded the Lowest minimum temperature of 19.0 degree celsius. Chief amount of rainfall in cms are :- Madhya Pradesh:- LAKHNADON -- 10; JAORA KEOLARI -- 8each; BARWAHA SATNA-AWS -- 6each; INDORE-AWS BHIKANGAON MUNGAOLI -- 5each; ALIPUR(JAURA) CHANDERI KHAKNAR ORCHHA HANUMANA NARSINGHPUR-AWS TENDUKHEDA -- 4each; RATLAM-AWS PETLAWAD KHANDWA-AWS DEPALPUR GWALIOR KARELI NAGODE SAUSAR -- 3each; DHAR-AWS SUSNER CHACHODA KASARWAD UJJAIN-AWS BUXWAHA GOTEGAON REHLI MAIHAR -- 2each; GANJBASODA MAHIDPUR NALKHEDA MEHGAON HOSHANGBAD-AWS NEEMUCH-AWS KHILCHIPUR BUDHNI KHARGONE-AWS BURHANPUR GOHAD ISAGARH MAHESHWAR MORENA-AWS JAWAD KHIRKIYA-ARG DEWAS-AWS MHOW SENDHWA(MED) KANNOD-ARG SINGRAULI-AWS SIDHI-AWS SEONI-AWS KHAJURAHO PANNA-AWS -- 1each; Chhattisgarh :- Gharghoda Pendra -- 6each; Pali Kusumi Mainpat Janjgir Bilaspur -- 5each; Khairagarh Saja -- 4each; Rajpur Champa Shivarinarayan Korba -- 3each; Bhanupratappur Kondagaon Marwahi Pendra Road Bemetara -- 2each; Pakhanjur Manendragarh Sakti Gandai Basna -- 1each; Vidarbha :-NAGPUR -- 6; HINGNA SAMUDRAPUR -- 5each; SANGRAMPUR BULDANA DEOLI -- 4each; PANDHERIKAWARA GONDPIPRI DHARNI MOTALA GHATANJI KURKHEDA KATOL GONDIA SALEKASA -- 3each; ARMORI MALKAPUR CHIKHALDA MAHAGAON GADCHIROLI BALAPUR Gondia AP GOREGAON ZARIZAMNI AKOT -- 2each; CHANDURBAZAR UMRER MORSI TIWSA CHIMUR BHADRAVATI HINGANGHAT WANI KHARANGHA TELHARA JALGAONJAMOD -- 1each; Weather Forecast for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 31 August 2017 Meteorological Sub-division wise detailed 5 days rainfall forecast is given in Table 1. No significant change in maximum and minimum temparatures over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh during next 2 days. Outlook for subsequent two days from 31 August 2017 to 02 September 2017 RA/TSH Very likely to occur at many places over Chhattisgarh and West Madhya Pradesh and at few places over Vidarbha and East Madhya Pradesh. ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- ------------------------------- Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 Bादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान केJ Regional Weather Forecasting Centre Bादेिशक मौसम केJ Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवBान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur ________________________________________________________________________________________________ Weather Warnings for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 31 August 2017 26-Aug-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Vidarbha, Madhya Pradesh and (Day 1) Chhattisgarh. 27-Aug-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Vidarbha and Madhya Pradesh. (Day 2) 28-Aug-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Vidarbha. (Day 3) 29-Aug-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Vidarbha. (Day 4) 30-Aug-2017 No Warning (Day 5) * The Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : Warning Probability of WARNING (TAKE ACTION) UnlikelyOccurence <(%) 25 ALERT (BE PREPARED) Likely 25 - 50 WATCH (BE UPDATED) Very Likely 50 - 75 NO WARNING (NO Most Likely > 75 ACTION) ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- ------------------------------- Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 Bादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान केJ Regional Weather Forecasting Centre Bादेिशक मौसम केJ Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवBान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur ________________________________________________________________________________________________ Table 1 5 Day Rainfall Forecast Outlook for next 26-Aug 27-Aug 28-Aug 29-Aug 30-Aug two days valid Met Sub- from 0830 hrs IST division Today Sun Mon Tue Wed of 31-Aug to 0830 hrs IST of 02-Sep West Madhya FWS WS WS WS FWS FWS Pradesh East Madhya WS WS WS FWS SCT SCT Pradesh Vidarbha WS WS WS FWS SCT SCT Chattisgarh WS WS WS FWS FWS FWS Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of n ext day Legend : % Station Reporting Rainfall 76 - 100 WS Widespread / Most Places 51-75 FWS Fairly Widespread / Many Places 26-50 SCT Scattered / A Few Places 1-25 ISOL Isolated No Rain DRY Dry ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- ------------------------------- Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157.
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