Online Fashion Retailers Category Overview
User Interest in Category
Øꢀ Query dynamics Øꢀ User interest growth in category Øꢀ User interest growth forecast Øꢀ User interest on online shopping in regions Øꢀ User interest in Moscow, Saint-Petersburg vs. regions
Øꢀ User interest in Russia vs. CIS
User Interest in Category
Queries related to the scope of clothing and shoe shopping make about 0,5% of the total Yandex queries.
Category queries share in total amount of Yandex queries
Query distribution by segments within the category
0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5%
10%
61%
24%
- Clothing
- Shoes
Accessories Underwear
Queries on clothes are the most popular in the category. They made up more than 60% of all category queries for last 12 months.
4
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Category Dynamics
In 2013 user interest in clothing and shoe shopping went up by 23%. (based on statistics from January to September).
40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000
5,000,000
0
+23%
271,560,805
221,538,124
- 1
- 2
5
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Category Dynamics Forecast
The whole interest in category (clothing, shoes, accessories) is expected to grow by 17% in 2013. In 2014 growth rate will be more moderate: user interest is expected to grow by 14%.
2013
2014
50,000,000 45,000,000 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000
5,000,000
0
+14%
438,802,
224
384,609,
233
- 1
- 2
6
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
User Interest Growth in Online Shopping
Growth of queries connected with user intent to buy online exceeds user interest growth in category overall - 58% vs. 23% (in total). (based on statistics from January to September)
4,500,000 4,000,000
+58%
3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000
25,591,477
1,500,000
16,245,474
1,000,000
500,000
0
- 1
- 2
7
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Query Dynamics within Category
User interest in clothes and shoes experience more significant seasonal changes than accessories or underwear.
- Clothing
- Shoes
- Accessories
- Underwear
30000000
25000000 20000000 15000000 10000000
5000000
0
8
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Category Dynamics Forecast (Clothing)
35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000
5,000,000
0
+15%
268,096,
108
233,589,
369
- 1
- 2
Queries on clothing made up more than 60% of all category queries. That is the main reason of similarities in trends of user interest in clothing category and whole category “Clothing, shoes, accessories”. Notice that growth rates are getting higher in clothing category. In 2014 growth rate is expected to be +15% (in comparison to14% growth in 2014 in “Clothing, shoes, accessories” category), in 2013 - +15,6% (in comparison with
9
14%).
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
User Interest Growth Dynamics
In 2013 interest growth in category continued growing, but its rate has slowed down compared to 2012. The number of queries has increased steadily by ≈ +22-33% (depending on group requests) annually.
The growth rate of the amount of queries in category
+49%
100000000
90000000 80000000 70000000 60000000 50000000 40000000 30000000 20000000 10000000
0
60000000 50000000 40000000 30000000 20000000 10000000
0
-10%
+46%
+4%
-15%
-4%
+54%
-19%
+1%
-16%
-15%
+9%
+54%
-2%
+11%
-19%
Moscow, St.Petersburg and reg.
Russian region (except
Moscow and Saint-
Petersburg)
Russia
1 q. 2013
CIS
- 3 q. 2013
- 4 q. 2012
- 2 q. 2013
- 4 q. 2012
- 1 q. 2013
- 2 q. 2013
- 3 q. 2013
10
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Interest towards Category in Regions: CIS, Russia
In 2013* the number of queries in the category most actively has increased in CIS (+25%). In Russian regions growth rates are relatively higher, than in Moscow and Saint-Petersburg.
200% 180% 160%
Russia
CIS
140% 120% 100%
80% 60% 40% 20%
0%
Russia: regions (excl. Moscow and St.Petersburg)
* (compared to 2012)
11
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Interest towards Category in Russian Regions
Share of queries from users in the regions with the highest internet penetration (Moscow and Moscow region, St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region) is gradually reducing. The audience is steadily being reallocated in favor to the regions.
100%
90% 80%
42% 58%
42% 58%
43% 57%
43% 57%
43% 57%
44% 56%
45% 55%
45% 55%
70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
0%
Moscow, St.Pete and reg. RF (excl. Moscow and St.Pete)
12
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Regional Popularity
Ural – 6% of queries Reg. popularity – 85%
North-West – 10% of queries
Saint-Petersburg – 7% of queries
Reg. popularity – 108%, 122%
Far East – 1% of queries Reg. popularity – 77%
Siberia – 6% of queries, Reg. popularity – 77%;
Central district – 43% of queries
Moscow – 35% of queries, Reg. popularity – 135%, 155%
South – 4% of queries Reg. popularity – 79%
Volga reg. – 12% of queries Reg. popularity – 81%
CIS – 18% of queries, Reg. popularity – 93%
There is a fairly large margin of interest growth in Russian regions. The majority of traffic on clothing and shoe shopping comes from Central region. Thus, in Moscow popularity rate is 155%, whereas in most other Russian regions it is less than 85%.
13
Данные wordstat.yandex.ru, октябрь ‘2013
Online Fashion Retailers Brand Dynamics
Øꢀ User interest in Russian and
International online fashion retailers
Øꢀ User interest growth towards crossborder e-shops and Chinese trading platforms
Online Fashion Retailers Dynamics
- User interest Dynamics
- Online retailers share,
- (based on retailers brands statistics)
- September 2013
- Oct 2011 - Sep 2012
- Oct 2012 - Sep 2013
20000000
16000000 12000000
8000000 4000000
0
- -3%
- 148%
91%
43%
57%
- Russian online stores
- International
- Megamarkets, cross-
borders and trading platforms
Russian International
For the last 12 months, interest in local online retailers has increased by almost 2 times. As a result, in September, their share has exceeded the share of interest in international retail sites. The shift was caused by changes in popularity among brand leaders: user interest growth to Lamoda , Wildberries and drop in interest to Bonprix.
15
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Online Retailers, Cross-Borders and Trading Platforms Brand Dynamics
1000000
900000 800000 700000
Aliexpress eBay
600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000
0
Ozon Bonprix Wildberries Lamoda Otto Sapato Quelle
16
Данные wordstat.yandex.ru, январь ‘2012 – сентябрь ‘2013
Online Fashion Retailers Popularity
(based on data for the last 12 months)
7000000 6000000
Russian online retailers International online retailers
5000000 4000000 3000000 2000000 1000000
0
17
Данные wordstat.yandex.ru, октябрь ‘2012 – сентябрь ‘2013
Variation in User Interest in Russian Online Retailers
2012 2013
500% 450% 400% 350% 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50%
5000000
313%
57%
4000000 3000000 2000000 1000000
0
28%
23%
35%
45%
4%
135%
451%
0%
18
Данные wordstat.yandex.ru, январь ‘2012 – сентябрь ‘2013
Brand Dynamics of Russian Online Retailers
800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000
0
Wildberries Lamoda Sapato Kupivip Butik Boutique Z95 Brand-in-trend Trendsbrands
19
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Variation in User Interest in International Online Retailers
2012 2013
-24%
30% 20% 10% 0%
6000000 5000000 4000000
7%
3000000
-6%
-10% -20% -30%
2000000
-9%
23%
1000000
4%
16%
-22%
-22%
8%
25%
0
20
Данные wordstat.yandex.ru, январь ‘2012 – сентябрь ‘2013
Brand Dynamics of International Online Retailers
1000000
900000 800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000
0
Bonprix Otto Quelle La Redoute Asos Witt Yoox Klingel 3suisses Wenz Zappos
21
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Cross-borders and Online Trading Platforms: User Interest Dynamics
2500000
Brand Interest Dynamics
eBay Aliexpress Ozon
2000000
Taobao Deal Extreme
1500000
Shopotam Vivatao
1000000
Club-sale Lightinthebox
500000
Kupinatao
0
Luxtao Kitmall
Brand Interest Dynamics based on enclosed queries related to the category items
25000 20000 15000
Taobao Aliexpress eBay
10000
Ozon
5000
0
22
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Cross-borders and Online Trading Platforms: User Interest Dynamics
Brand Queries
50%
1000% 800% 600% 400% 200% 0%
16000000
2012 2013
913%
12000000
-5%
8000000
52%
4000000
New players
-47%
-19%
17%
- 116%
- 86%
-200%
0
260%
Brand Queries related the Category
5000%
160000
User interest in cross-border trading platforms is growing rapidly. Their growth rate is more than Russian retailers’ one for both groups of queries: brand or category related (ex. “Taobao clothes”). The main threat comes from TaoBao and Aliexpress as potential competitors in the category.
73%
4500% 4000% 3500% 3000% 2500% 2000% 1500% 1000% 500%
120000
80000
4675%
170%
40000
0
20%
0%
- Taobao Aliexpress eBay
- Ozon
23
Данные wordstat.yandex.ru, январь ‘2012 – сентябрь ‘2013
Assortment analytics (by segments)
Øꢀ Clothing Øꢀ Shoes Øꢀ Accessories Øꢀ Underwear
Clothing
Øꢀ User interest dynamics in clothing for men, women and kids
Øꢀ Interest distribution by types of clothing
Øꢀ Interest seasonality
Clothing Query Dynamics
The number of queries on clothing for women is 4 times more than for men and 2 times more than for kids. However, interest growth in men’s and kids’ clothing is higher than in women’s (+30% and +34% compared to 24% respectively).
+14%
8,000,000
+30%
7,000,000 6,000,000
+34%
5,000,000
Women's clothes
+24%
Men's clothes
4,000,000
Kid's clothes
3,000,000
Maternity clothes
2,000,000
Growth january-september 2013/ january-september 2012
1,000,000
0
26
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Interest distribution by types of clothing
(based on statistics for the last 12 months)
dress - 25,2%
18%
suits
25%
jackets - 12,2%
coats - 6,4% t-shirts - 5%
3%
3% 4%
4%
5% skirts - 4,4% down jackets - 4% jumpsuits - 3,5% shirts - 3,3% jeans - 3,1% other 18,1%
15%
5%
6%
12%
TOP-3 the most popular search queries are for dresses, costumes and jackets which make up more than 50%.
27
Данные wordstat.yandex.ru, октябрь ‘2012 – сентябрь ‘2013
Interest distribution by types of clothing
- Women’s clothing
- Men’s clothing
dresses - 60,1% men's jackets - 22,7% skirts - 8,8% men's suits - 19,8%
men's shirts - 9,8% men's jeans - 7,4% men's coat - 6,4% men's trousers - 5,8% men's down jackets - 5,3% men's jackets - 4,8% men's t-shirts - 4% sports suits - 3%
6% womens jackets - 4,8%
sarafans - 3,3%
6%
23% blouses - 2,8%
3%
3%
3%
4%
5%
5%
6%
6% women's coats - 2,8% women's suits - 2,7% women's down jackets - 2,6% tunics - 1,9%
5%
60%
20%
9% women's pants - 1,4%
women's jeans - 1,3% women's sports suits - 0,9% other - 6,6%
7%
- 10%
- men's shorts - 2,8%
men's sweaters - 1,9% other - 6,4%
Kid’s clothing
- rompers - 45,5%
- children's suits - 19,8%
- girl's dresses - 14,1%
- children's jackets - 6,3%
children's coats - 2,4% children's t-shirts - 1,3% children's jeans - 1%
6% children's down jackets - 2,5%
children's skirts - 1,7% children's pants - 1,2% children's summer dresses - 1% other - 2,5%
45%
14%
children's sweaters - 0,7%
20%
28
Данные wordstat.yandex.ru, октябрь ‘2012 – сентябрь ‘2013
Outerwear query dynamics
- Demi-season clothes
- Winter clothes
- jackets
- coats
- down jackets
- jumpsuits
2500000 2000000 1500000 1000000
500000
0
1400000 1200000 1000000
800000 600000 400000 200000
0
Query associated with outerwear, characterized by a pronounced seasonality. The demi-season clothes reach interest peaks at October and March, winter clothes at October-November.
29
Wordstat.yandex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
Types of clothing query dynamics
- Spring-summer seasonality
- Spring seasonality
- t-shirts
- skirts
- suits
- jeans
800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000
0
500000 400000 300000 200000 100000
0
There are several models of seasonality: •ꢀ Types of clothes, popular in spring and autumn (peaks in October, March);
•ꢀ Types of clothes, popular in winter (October-
November);
•ꢀ Clothes with growing interest in the springsummer;
•ꢀ Clothes with growing interest in the spring only (the peak in March-April);
Holiday seasonality
men's shirts
120000 100000
80000 60000 40000 20000
0
•ꢀ Queries with clear «festive» seasonality
(growth before the New year and the
February 23d hoWliodrdastyats.ya)n;dex.ru statistics, Oct ‘2011 – Sep ‘2013
30