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Growing Cleavages in India? Evidence from the Changing Structure of Electorates, 1962-2014
WID.world WORKING PAPER N° 2019/05 Growing Cleavages in India? Evidence from the Changing Structure of Electorates, 1962-2014 Abhijit Banerjee Amory Gethin Thomas Piketty March 2019 Growing Cleavages in India? Evidence from the Changing Structure of Electorates, 1962-2014 Abhijit Banerjee, Amory Gethin, Thomas Piketty* January 16, 2019 Abstract This paper combines surveys, election results and social spending data to document the long-run evolution of political cleavages in India. From a dominant- party system featuring the Indian National Congress as the main actor of the mediation of political conflicts, Indian politics have gradually come to include a number of smaller regionalist parties and, more recently, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). These changes coincide with the rise of religious divisions and the persistence of strong caste-based cleavages, while education, income and occupation play little role (controlling for caste) in determining voters’ choices. We find no evidence that India’s new party system has been associated with changes in social policy. While BJP-led states are generally characterized by a smaller social sector, switching to a party representing upper castes or upper classes has no significant effect on social spending. We interpret this as evidence that voters seem to be less driven by straightforward economic interests than by sectarian interests and cultural priorities. In India, as in many Western democracies, political conflicts have become increasingly focused on identity and religious-ethnic conflicts -
Bloomberg Hunger Stalks My Father’S India Long After Starvation Banished by Mehul Srivastava • Bloomberg News
NEWSBloomberg Hunger Stalks My Father’s India Long After Starvation Banished By Mehul Srivastava • Bloomberg News October 23, 2012 – It was 1958, my father was still a child, and India was running out of food. That year’s wheat crop had slumped by 15 percent, the rice harvest by 12 percent, and prices in the markets were soaring. Far from his village in eastern India, ships laden with wheat were steaming toward the country, part of U.S. President Dwight Eisenhower’s plan to sell surplus grains, tobacco and dairy products to friendly countries. All India Radio gave daily updates on the convoys, and the army barricaded ports in Mumbai and Kolkata against the hungry crowds. “It was this very coarse, red wheat,” said Narsingh A villager sweeps the streets in Auar Village. Deo Mishra, a childhood friend of my father’s and Photographer: Sanjit Das/Bloomberg now a local politician in their home village. “We were told it was meant for American pigs,” said Mishra, stomachs; not enough to stay healthy. who, like my father, grew up listening to stories about More than five decades after those U.S. deliveries, the food shipments. “Back then, we weren’t any better I returned to the dusty, hot village of my father’s than American pigs. So we ate it. We ate it all and we childhood, hoping to understand why. begged for more.” In the arc of modern India’s elemental struggle to That year, and the hungry ones that followed, took feed its teeming people, my father’s childhood years their toll. -
Failure of the Mahagathbandhan
ISSN (Online) - 2349-8846 Failure of the Mahagathbandhan In the Lok Sabha elections of 2019 in Uttar Pradesh, the contest was keenly watched as the alliance of the Samajwadi Party, Bahujan Samaj Party, and Rashtriya Lok Dal took on the challenge against the domination of the Bharatiya Janata Party. What contributed to the continued good performance of the BJP and the inability of the alliance to assert its presence is the focus of analysis here. In the last decade, politics in Uttar Pradesh (UP) has seen radical shifts. The Lok Sabha elections 2009 saw the Congress’s comeback in UP. It gained votes in all subregions of UP and also registered a sizeable increase in vote share among all social groups. The 2012 assembly elections gave a big victory to the Samajwadi Party (SP) when it was able to get votes beyond its traditional voters: Muslims and Other Backward Classes (OBCs). The 2014 Lok Sabha elections saw the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) winning 73 seats with its ally Apna Dal. It was facilitated by the consolidation of voters cutting across caste and class, in favour of the party. Riding on the popularity of Narendra Modi, the BJP was able to trounce the regional parties and emerge victorious in the 2017 assembly elections as well. But, against the backdrop of anti-incumbency, an indifferent economic record, and with the coming together of the regional parties, it was generally believed that the BJP would not be able to replicate its success in 2019. However, the BJP’s performance in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections shows its continued domination over the politics of UP. -
Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings
Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings Q1: Assembly elections are going to be held in Uttar Pradesh in the next few weeks. Will you vote in these elections? N (%) 1: No 239 3.7 2: Yes 6073 93.8 3: May be 107 1.7 8: Can't say 54 .8 Total 6473 100.0 Q2: The Election Commission in its verdict has allotted the cycle symbol to the Akhilesh Yadav faction, deeming it to be the real Samajwadi party. Do you believe that it was the right decision or wrong? N (%) 1: Right 3951 61.0 2: Wrong 677 10.5 8: Can't say 1846 28.5 Total 6473 100.0 Q3: If UP Assembly elections are held tomorrow, which party will you vote for? N (%) 01: Congress 204 3.1 02: BJP 1863 28.8 03: BSP 1490 23.0 05: RLD 124 1.9 06: Apna Dal 3 .0 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 14 .2 09: Quami Ekta Dal 9 .1 11: Peace Party 54 .8 12: Mahan Dal 20 .3 13: CPI 66 1.0 14: CPI(M) 16 .3 17: RJD 5 .1 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 1 Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings N (%) 19: Shiv Sena 18 .3 21: AIMIM 25 .4 22: INLD 55 .8 23: LJP 13 .2 26: Lok Dal 17 .3 32: SP (Akhilesh Yadav)/SP 1972 30.5 56: SP (Mulayam Singh) 84 1.3 96: Independent 41 .6 97: Other parties 313 4.8 98: Can’t say/Did not tell 65 1.0 Total 6473 100.0 a: (If voted in Q3 ) On the day of voting will you vote for the same party which you voted now or your decision may change? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Vote for the same party 4459 68.9 73.9 2: May change 800 12.4 13.3 8: Don't know 773 11.9 12.8 Total 6033 93.2 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. -
Sheikha Moza Serious Breach and fl Agrant Violations Structed and Kidnapped a Qatari fi Shing China’S President Xi Jinping Was of International Law
QATAR | Page 24 SPORT | Page 1 Qatar’s Adel leads T2 series aft er INDEX DOW JONES QE NYMEX QATAR 2-9, 24 COMMENT 22, 23 Second Aspire Kite REGION 9 BUSINESS 1-5, 17-20 solid fi nish Festival attracted 25,360.00 8,303.34 62.04 ARAB WORLD 9, 10 CLASSIFIED 6-16 +439.00 -62.77 +1.92 INTERNATIONAL 11-21 SPORTS 1-8 over 40,000 visitors in Dubai +1.76% -0.75% +3.19% Latest Figures published in QATAR since 1978 SUNDAY Vol. XXXIX No. 10754 March 11, 2018 Jumada Il 23, 1439 AH GULF TIMES www. gulf-times.com 2 Riyals FM in Sudan meeting Qatar informs In brief UN of airspace QATAR | Reaction violations by Qatar slams withdrawal of Jerusalem identity Qatar strongly condemned the Israeli Knesset’s approval of a law UAE, Bahrain authorising the interior minister to withdraw the Jerusalem identity atar has informed the UN Secu- in the region and without regard to Qa- from the Palestinians. In a statement rity Council and the UN Secre- tar’s security and stability.” yesterday, the Foreign Ministry Qtary-General of three violations The Government of Qatar has called described the move as unethical and of Qatar’s airspace by the United Arab upon the Security Council and the completely disregarding international Emirates (UAE) and the Kingdom of United Nations to take the necessary law, international humanitarian law Bahrain. measures under the Charter of the and UN conventions. The statement The message was handed over by HE United Nations to maintain interna- called on the international community the Permanent Representative of Qa- tional peace and security. -
The State, Democracy and Social Movements
The Dynamics of Conflict and Peace in Contemporary South Asia This book engages with the concept, true value, and function of democracy in South Asia against the background of real social conditions for the promotion of peaceful development in the region. In the book, the issue of peaceful social development is defined as the con- ditions under which the maintenance of social order and social development is achieved – not by violent compulsion but through the negotiation of intentions or interests among members of society. The book assesses the issue of peaceful social development and demonstrates that the maintenance of such conditions for long periods is a necessary requirement for the political, economic, and cultural development of a society and state. Chapters argue that, through the post-colo- nial historical trajectory of South Asia, it has become commonly understood that democracy is the better, if not the best, political system and value for that purpose. Additionally, the book claims that, while democratization and the deepening of democracy have been broadly discussed in the region, the peace that democracy is supposed to promote has been in serious danger, especially in the 21st century. A timely survey and re-evaluation of democracy and peaceful development in South Asia, this book will be of interest to academics in the field of South Asian Studies, Peace and Conflict Studies and Asian Politics and Security. Minoru Mio is a professor and the director of the Department of Globalization and Humanities at the National Museum of Ethnology, Japan. He is one of the series editors of the Routledge New Horizons in South Asian Studies and has co-edited Cities in South Asia (with Crispin Bates, 2015), Human and International Security in India (with Crispin Bates and Akio Tanabe, 2015) and Rethinking Social Exclusion in India (with Abhijit Dasgupta, 2017), also pub- lished by Routledge. -
From the Editor's Desk *****
9 July 2014 | Vol. 5, № 24. From the Editor’s Desk Dear FDI supporters, Welcome to the Strategic Weekly al-Barrak. While further demonstrations Analysis. seem likely, even after al-Barrak’s release, the record level of public expenditure in We open this week’s edition with a the latest Budget should help to counter discussion of the new star-rated healthy at least some grievances. food rating system, to be introduced to Australian consumers next month. This week’s edition concludes with an assessment of the promise made by both Next, we turn to Pakistan and analyse the candidates in Indonesia’s presidential importance to its economy of its booming election to extend the compulsory length textile industry and mango exports and of schooling from nine to 12 years. If also the interest that it holds for investors implemented, the measure will be an from China and the United States. important step in improving the country’s Our next article looks at India and education system. highlights the importance of the National I trust you will enjoy this edition of the Food Security Act – and the difficulties Strategic Weekly Analysis. being experienced in its implementation. Major General John Hartley AO (Retd) Moving next to the Middle East, we Institute Director and CEO evaluate the possibility of widespread Future Directions International civic unrest, in Kuwait, following the detention of opposition leader Musallam ***** Nutrition Rating System Given Green Light for Australian Food Packaging A voluntary, five-star, healthy food rating system will begin in Australia and New Zealand in August, following a public education campaign. -
Do Socio-Economic Conditions Influence Dynastic Politics? Initial Evidence from the 16Th Lok Sabha of India
WORKING PAPER Do Socio-Economic Conditions Influence Dynastic Politics? Initial Evidence from the 16th Lok Sabha of India Ronald U. Mendoza AIM Rizalino S. Navarro Policy Center for Competitiveness Jan Fredrick P. Cruz AIM Rizalino S. Navarro Policy Center for Competitiveness Unnikrishnan Alungal MDM Batch 2014 AIM Stephen Zuellig Graduate School of Development Management RSN-PCC WORKING PAPER 15-011 ASIAN INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT RIZALINO S. NAVARRO POLICY CENTER FOR COMPETITIVENESS WORKING PAPER Do Socio-Economic Conditions Influence Dynastic Politics? Initial Evidence from the 16th Lok Sabha of India Ronald U. Mendoza AIM Rizalino S. Navarro Policy Center for Competitiveness Jan Fredrick P. Cruz AIM Rizalino S. Navarro Policy Center for Competitiveness Unnikrishna Alungal MDM Batch 2014 AIM Stephen Zuellig Graduate School of Development Management AUGUST 2015 The authors would like to thank Dr. Sounil Choudhary of the University of Delhi; Dr. Kripa Ananthpur of the Madras Institute of Development Studies; Ms. Chandrika Bahadur of the Sustainable Development Solutions Network; Mr. Appu Lenin of the Jawaharlal Nehru University; and Mr. Siddharth Singh of the Centre for Research on Energy Security for helpful comments on an earlier draft. This working paper is a discussion draft in progress that is posted to stimulate discussion and critical comment. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of Asian Institute of Management. Corresponding authors: Ronald U. Mendoza, AIM Rizalino S. Navarro Policy Center for Competitiveness Tel: +632-892-4011. Fax: +632-465-2863. E-mail: [email protected] Jan Fredrick P. Cruz, AIM Rizalino S. Navarro Policy Center for Competitiveness Tel: +632-892-4011. -
Primo.Qxd (Page 1)
daily REGD.NO.JK-71/12-14 Vol No. 50 No. 137 JAMMU, SUNDAY, MAY 18, 2014 14+4 (Magazine) = 18 Pages ` 3.50 ExcelsiorRNI No. 28547/1992 To be elected Parl Party leader on May 20 3 MLAs elected as MPs to quit membership Manmohan Singh resigns NEW DELHI, May 17: After 10 years of eventful rule, Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Rivals may huddle together to EC not to go for by-election Singh today bowed out of office, insisting that he had tried to do his best in serving the country and his tenure was an “open book”. Singh bid adieu as Prime Minister of two terms in a televised on 3 Assembly seats address where he said the judgement delivered by the people in the look as Opposition: Modi elections should be respected by all and wished the incoming Sanjeev Pargal them lost. They were Dr Farooq hold by-election to three Government every success. VARANASI, May 17: led the nation. doing so. Abdullah (Srinagar), Sharief-ud- Assembly seats of Nagrota, The 81-year-old economist, credited with playing a key role in "Till Varanasi leads the The first condition for mak- JAMMU, May 17: With Din Shariq (Baramulla), Dr Wachi and Baramulla as ushering in economic reforms in the 1990s, leaves a mixed legacy Riding high on BJP's nation again, India cannot lead ing Kashi a cultural and spiritu- three members of the Mehboob Beg (Anantnag) and Assembly elections in the State of achievements and failures during his tenure. resounding victory in the Lok the world," he said calling upon al capital of the country is to Legislative Assembly getting Madan Lal Sharma (Congress). -
PRESS RELEASE 29 March 2019
PRESS RELEASE 29 March 2019 Statement by Shri Randeep Singh Surjewala, In-Charge, Communications, AICC महागठबंधन को मोदीजी के बबखरते ए महाठगबंधन को कोई ज्ञान लेने की ज़셁रत नही ं! ‘Court Jester’ of ‘महाठगबंधन’ should be the last one to write any ‘Bogus Blogs’ on Electoral Politics! Parties that propped PM Modi, now dumping the sinking ship- BJP’s Hypocrisy remain! PM Modi’s Finance Minister aka ‘Bogus Blogger’ should decide on which side of the ‘alliance argument’ the BJP stands. If the BJP stands at the ‘महाबमलावटी’ argument as espoused by PM Modi, their argument falls flat, because a 30 Member NDA, during 2014 became a 42 Member alliance in 2019. Will Shri Arun Jaitley not term this as ‘महाबमलावटी’? If the BJP stands at the argument that ‘alliances should happen in the interest of the nation’ then too – we should see how the BJP and its alliance partners have treated each other. BJP’s alliances are based on POLITICAL OPPORTUNISM, while Congress’ alliance is based on COMMON IDEOLOGY BJP has aligned with party’s that are traditionally ideological opponents – like the PDP. BJP has broken parties in smaller states like – People’s Party of Arunachal & MGP in Goa to attain power. BJP shares power with ally NPP in Meghalaya, but NPP fields candidates against them in all NE states for Lok Sabha elections. BJP’s ‘Operation Kamal’ failed miserably in Karnataka & during Gujarat Rajya Sabha elections. Since Shri Arun Jaitley does not understand the nuts and bolts of electoral politics on ground, let us give him some stark examples and show him the reality of how opportunistic and ideological deficient BJP’s so called alliances are:- Maharashtra BJP’s long term ally Shiv Sena uses ‘Chowkidar Chor Hai’, never leaves an opportunity. -
Is the Coalition Era Over in Indian Politics? Adnan Farooquia & E
This article was downloaded by: [Columbia University] On: 06 December 2014, At: 19:49 Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK The Round Table: The Commonwealth Journal of International Affairs Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/ctrt20 Is the Coalition Era Over in Indian Politics? Adnan Farooquia & E. Sridharanb a Department of Political Science, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, India b University of Pennsylvania Institute for the Advanced Study of India, New Delhi, India Published online: 04 Dec 2014. Click for updates To cite this article: Adnan Farooqui & E. Sridharan (2014): Is the Coalition Era Over in Indian Politics?, The Round Table: The Commonwealth Journal of International Affairs To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00358533.2014.988457 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the “Content”) contained in the publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the Content. Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and are not the views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not be relied upon and should be independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses, actions, claims, proceedings, demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of the Content. -
SUPREME COURT of INDIA Page 1 of 18
http://JUDIS.NIC.IN SUPREME COURT OF INDIA Page 1 of 18 CASE NO.: Writ Petition (crl.) 132-134 of 2003 PETITIONER: S.K. Shukla & Ors RESPONDENT: State of U.P. & Ors. DATE OF JUDGMENT: 10/11/2005 BENCH: B.N. Agrawal & A.K. Mathur JUDGMENT: J U D G M E N T (with SLP(Crl) No. 1521/2004, T.P.(Crl) Nos. 82-84/2004 & Crl.A. 1511/2005 @ SLP (Crl) No. 5609/2004) A.K. MATHUR, J. All these cases are inter-related and common arguments were raised, therefore, they are disposed of by this common order. Writ Petition Nos 132-134/2003 under Article 32 of the Constitution of India is directed against the withdrawal of the POTA order by the State Government dated 29th August 2003 against accused Udai Pratap Singh, Raghuraj Pratap Singh @ Raja Bhaiya & Akshay Pratap Singh @ Gapalji. The Union of India was also permitted to be impleaded as a party-respondent. In SLP (Crl) 5609 of 2004, the petitioner has challenged the order passed by the POTA Review Committee dated 30.4.2004 under Section 60 of the Prevention of Terrorism Act, 2002 (15 of 2002) (hereinafter referred to as 'the POTA'). Leave granted. In SLP (Crl) 1521 of 2004, the High Court order dated 24.2.2004 was challenged whereby accused Akshay Pratap Singh @ Gopalji was granted bail in case No.10 of 2003, under Section 3/4 of POTA, Police Station Kunda, District Pratapgarh, U.P. on his furnishing a personal bond for Rs.1,00,000/- with two sureties each in the like amount to the satisfaction of the Special Judge, designated court, Kanpur.