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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings Q1: Assembly elections are going to be held in Uttar Pradesh in the next few weeks. Will you vote in these elections? N (%) 1: No 186 2.9 2: Yes 6124 94.5 3: May be 109 1.7 8: Can't say 61 .9 Total 6481 100.0 Q2: The Election Commission in its verdict has allotted the cycle symbol to the Akhilesh Yadav faction, deeming it to be the real Samajwadi party. Do you believe that it was the right decision or wrong? N (%) 1: Right 3972 61.3 2: Wrong 615 9.5 8: Can't say 1894 29.2 Total 6481 100.0 Q3: If UP Assembly elections are held tomorrow, which party will you vote for? N (%) 01: Congress 253 3.9 02: BJP 1826 28.2 03: BSP 1196 18.5 05: RLD 61 .9 06: Apna Dal 3 .0 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 14 .2 09: Quami Ekta Dal 11 .2 11: Peace Party 2 .0 12: Mahan Dal 1 .0 13: CPI 3 .0 14: CPI(M) 1 .0 17: RJD 3 .0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 1 Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings N (%) 19: Shiv Sena 1 .0 21: AIMIM 1 .0 22: INLD 2 .0 23: LJP 0 .0 26: Lok Dal 1 .0 32: SP (Akhilesh Yadav)/SP 2446 37.7 56: SP (Mulayam Singh) 104 1.6 96: Independent 2 .0 97: Other parties 12 .2 98: Can’t say/Did not tell 542 8.4 Total 6481 100.0 a: (If voted in Q3 ) On the day of voting will you vote for the same party which you voted now or your decision may change? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Vote for the same party 4588 70.8 76.4 2: May change 643 9.9 10.7 8: Don't know 773 11.9 12.9 Total 6004 92.6 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 477 7.4 Total 6481 100.0 Q4: While deciding whom to vote for in the assembly elections to be held in the next few months, what will matter to you most - party, local candidate or the chief ministerial candidate of a party? N (%) 1: Party 3234 49.9 2: Candidate 850 13.1 3: Chief Ministerial candidate 1445 22.3 4: Narendra Modi 407 6.3 5: Sonia/Rahul/Priyanka/Manmohan 71 1.1 8: No opinion 474 7.3 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 2 Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings N (%) Total 6481 100.0 Q5: After the next election, who would you prefer next Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh? N (%) 01: Akhilesh Yadav 2116 32.6 02: Mulayam Singh Yadav 312 4.8 03: Shivpal Singh Yadav 66 1.0 04: Ram Gopal Yadav 45 .7 05: Azam Khan 10 .2 06: Raghuraj Pratap Singh 1 .0 07: Beni Prasad Verma 29 .5 08: Any other leader of SP 7 .1 09: Mayawati 1020 15.7 10: Naseemuddin Siddhiqui 2 .0 11: Any other leader of BSP 2 .0 12: Yogi Adityanath 186 2.9 13: Smriti Irani 22 .3 14: Keshav Prasad Maurya 31 .5 15: Varun Gandhi 70 1.1 16: Rajnath Singh 211 3.3 17: Sanjeev Balyan 2 .0 18: Sangeet Som 5 .1 19: Mahesh Sharma 2 .0 20: Amit Shah 78 1.2 21: Narendra Modi 474 7.3 22: Any other leader of BJP 176 2.7 23: Priyanka Gandhi 21 .3 24: Sheila Dikshit 14 .2 25: Rahul Gandhi 106 1.6 26: Rita Bahuguna Joshi (BJP) 1 .0 27: Raj Babbar 6 .1 28: Pramod Tiwari 2 .0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 3 Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings N (%) 29: Salman Khurshid 2 .0 30: Jitin Prasada 1 .0 31: Sonia Gandhi 20 .3 32: Any other leader of the Congress 129 2.0 33: Ajit Singh 8 .1 34: Jayant Choudhary 5 .1 36: Arvind Kejriwal 4 .1 97: Others 24 .4 98: Can't say/Didn't tell 1270 19.6 Total 6481 100.0 Q6: Which party did you vote for in 2014 Lok Sabha election? N (%) 01: Congress 267 4.1 02: BJP 1838 28.4 03: BSP 847 13.1 05: RLD 47 .7 06: Apna Dal 2 .0 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 15 .2 09: Quami Ekta Dal 13 .2 11: Peace Party 1 .0 12: Mahan Dal 1 .0 14: CPI(M) 21 .3 17: RJD 2 .0 20: AAP 7 .1 21: AIMIM 12 .2 22: INLD 4 .1 25: BSSSS 3 .0 32: SP (Akhilesh Yadav)/SP 1000 15.4 56: SP (Mulayam Singh) 30 .5 95: Did not vote 653 10.1 96: Independent 3 .0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 4 Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings N (%) 98: Can’t say/Did not tell 1714 26.4 Total 6481 100.0 Q7: What is your assessment of Akhilesh Yadav as Chief Minister – are you satisfied or dissatisfied with his performance? N (%) 1: Fully satisfied 2437 37.6 2: Somewhat satisfied 2317 35.8 3: Somewhat dissatisfied 689 10.6 4: Fully dissatisfied 842 13.0 8: Can't say 195 3.0 Total 6481 100.0 Q8: What is your assessment of Narendra Modi as Prime Minister –are you satisfied or dissatisfied with his performance? N (%) 1: Fully satisfied 2030 31.3 2: Somewhat satisfied 2460 38.0 3: Somewhat dissatisfied 712 11.0 4: Fully dissatisfied 1027 15.8 8: Can't say 253 3.9 Total 6481 100.0 Q9: Suppose assembly elections are held in Uttar Pradesh tomorrow. While deciding whom to vote for, what will be the most important election issue for you? N (%) 01: Inflation/ Price Rise 916 14.1 02: Development 1720 26.5 03: Development during the rule of SP 76 1.2 04: Lack of Development 128 2.0 05: Unemployment/ Jobs 760 11.7 06: Change/ Change of government 13 .2 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 5 Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings N (%) 07: One more chance to SP government 21 .3 08: Food and Clothing 33 .5 09: Housing 67 1.0 10: Increasing gulf between rich and poor 15 .2 11: Poverty 347 5.4 12: Corruption (Generally) 400 6.2 13: Corruption of SP government 7 .1 14: Corruption of Modi government 3 .1 16: Incompetence of Modi government 5 .1 17: Cancellation of old 500 and 1000 Rupee notes 44 .7 18: Problems on account of cancellation of old 500 and 1000 146 2.3 19: Happy with cancellation of old 500 and 1000 Rupee notes 7 .1 20: Issue of black money 10 .2 21: Issue of unavailability of smaller denomination notes 28 .4 22: Long queues outside banks/ ATMs 29 .4 23: Pension/ wages 13 .2 24: Surgical strike on Pakistan 2 .0 26: National security 9 .1 27: Respect for Soldiers 0 .0 28: One Rank One Pension 2 .0 29: Triple Talaq 3 .0 32: Alcoholism/ Prohibition 29 .5 33: Security of one’s caste 5 .1 35: Strong government/one party government 13 .2 38: Issues relating to Irrigation 4 .1 39: Drought/ Scanty Rainfall 9 .1 40: Minimum Support Price (MSP) for crops 9 .1 41: Farmers issues/ agriculture 54 .8 42: Power supply 50 .8 43: Supply of drinking water 23 .4 44: Educational services 80 1.2 45: Health care services/ hospitals 7 .1 46: Good condition of roads 9 .1 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 6 Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings N (%) 47: Poor condition of roads 85 1.3 48: Infrastructure in cities/ civic amenities 2 .0 49: Public transport facilities/ Bus service 2 .0 50: Rail connectivity 0 .0 52: Cleanliness/ Toilets 20 .3 53: Security of women 68 1.1 54: Big crimes/ worsening law and order situation 34 .5 56: Communalism/ Secularism 9 .1 58: Attacks on Muslims 1 .0 60: Ram Mandir/ Babri Masjid Issue 9 .1 62: Mathura violence 2 .0 63: Attacks on Dalits 6 .1 64: Nationalism/ Patriotism 13 .2 65: Reservations 11 .2 66: Division/Fragmentation of UP 2 .0 67: Protection of Environment and forests 2 .0 70: Workers rights 2 .0 71: Terrorism 2 .0 72: Internal tussle within Samajwadi party 1 .0 73: Support for Akhilesh/ Vote for Akhilesh 5 .1 74: Opposition to Akhilesh/ Vote against Akhilesh 0 .0 77: Vote for SP 8 .1 78: Vote against SP 18 .3 79: Vote for BJP/ Narendra Modi 10 .2 80: Vote for BSP/ Mayawati 4 .1 83: Vote for Ajit Singh/ RLD 4 .1 96: Any other issue not mentioned above 81 1.3 97: No issue 12 .2 98: Don’t Know/ Can’t Say 970 15.0 Total 6481 100.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 7 Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings Q10: Thinking of how you have voted in the last few elections, how would you describe yourself? Which party’s traditional supporter are you? N (%) 01: Congress 178 2.7 02: BJP 1042 16.1 03: BSP 813 12.5 05: RLD 67 1.0 06: Apna Dal 8 .1 07: Apna Dal (Krishna Patel) 9 .1 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 10 .2 09: Quami Ekta Dal 24 .4 10: Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party 2 .0 11: Peace Party 9 .1 12: Mahan Dal 1 .0 14: CPI(M) 1 .0 17: RJD 3 .0 20: AAP 1 .0 21: AIMIM 1 .0 32: SP (Akhilesh Yadav)/SP 877 13.5 56: SP (Mulayam Singh) 37 .6 90: Not a supporter of any particular party 1619 25.0 96: Independent 2 .0 98: Can’t say/Did not tell 1778 27.4 Total 6481 100.0 Q11: In your opinion, which one leader is most responsible for the recent split in the Samajwadi party? N (%) 1: Mulayam 464 7.2 2: Akhilesh 324 5.0 3: Shivpal 2319 35.8 4: Ramgopal 466 7.2 5: Amar Singh 506 7.8 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 8 Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings N (%) 6: Azam Khan 177 2.7 7: No knowledge about the split 657 10.1 8: Can't say 1568 24.2 Total 6481 100.0 Q12: After the recent split in the Samajwadi party, have you started liking Akhilesh Yadav more than before or less? N (%) 1: More than before 1931 29.8 2: Less than before 608 9.4 3: Same as before 1592 24.6 4: Never liked him 726 11.2 8: Can't say 1623 25.0 Total 6481 100.0 Q13: If Akhilesh Yadav’s party ties up with the Congress and RLD, do you think will benefit from it or lose/not benefit because of it? N (%) 1: Benefit 2474 38.2 2: Not benefit 1095 16.9 8: Can't say 2912 44.9 Total 6481 100.0 Q14: Amongst Mulayam Singh Yadav and Akhilesh Yadav, which leader do you like more? N (%) 1: Mulayam Singh Yadav 641 9.9 2: Akilesh Yadav 3579 55.2 3: Like both 1417 21.9 4: Like neither 12 .2 8: Can't say 832 12.8 Total 6481 100.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 9 Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll January 2017-Findings Q15.
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