Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Q1: There is going to be an assembly election in Uttar Pradesh in the next one and a half to two months. Have you heard about it?

N (%) 1: No 466 7.9 2: Yes 5466 92.1 Total 5932 100.0

Q2: Will you vote in this election?

N (%) 1: No 144 2.4 2: Yes 5404 91.1 3: May be 265 4.5 8: Can't say 119 2.0 Total 5932 100.0

Q3: If UP Assembly elections are held tomorrow, which party will you vote for?

N (%) 01: Congress 320 5.4 02: BJP 1662 28.0 03: BSP 1164 19.6 04: SP 1778 30.0 05: RLD 15 .3 07: (Krishna Patel) 4 .1 08: Apna Dal () 14 .2 09: Quami Ekta Dal 12 .2 10: Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party 2 .0 11: Peace Party 3 .1 12: Mahan Dal 1 .0 15: CPI(ML) 1 .0 17: RJD 1 .0 20: AAP 14 .2 21: AIMIM 5 .1

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 22: INLD 1 .0 97: Other parties 15 .3 98: Can’t say/Did not tell 920 15.5 Total 5932 100.0

a: (If voted in Q3 ) On the day of voting will you vote for the same party which you voted now or your decision may change?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Vote for the same party 3925 66.2 71.2 2: May change 953 16.1 17.3 8: Don't know 632 10.7 11.5 Total 5510 92.9 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 422 7.1 Total 5932 100.0

Q4: While deciding whom to vote for in the assembly elections to be held in the next few months, what will matter to you most - party, local candidate or the chief ministerial candidate of a party?

N (%) 1: Party 2611 44.0 2: Candidate 760 12.8 3: Chief Ministerial candidate 1353 22.8 4: 569 9.6 5: Sonia/Rahul/Priyanka/Manmohan 83 1.4 6: Others 37 .6 8: No opinion 519 8.7 Total 5932 100.0

Q5: After the next election, who would you prefer next Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh?

N (%) 01: Akhilesh 1624 27.4 02: 164 2.8

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 03: 47 .8 04: 56 .9 05: 15 .3 06: Raghuraj Pratap Singh 2 .0 07: Beni Prasad Verma 3 .1 08: Any other leader of SP 9 .2 09: 1119 18.9 10: Naseemuddin Siddhiqui 5 .1 11: Any other leader of BSP 19 .3 12: 235 4.0 13: 7 .1 14: 19 .3 15: Varun 69 1.2 16: 194 3.3 17: 2 .0 18: Sangeet Som 2 .0 19: 6 .1 20: 192 3.2 21: Narendra Modi 301 5.1 22: Any other leader of BJP 156 2.6 23: 38 .6 24: Sheila Dikshit 7 .1 25: 136 2.3 27: Raj Babbar 7 .1 28: Pramod Tiwari 2 .0 29: Salman Khurshid 2 .0 31: 21 .4 32: Any other leader of the Congress 5 .1 33: Ajit Singh 8 .1 34: Jayant Choudhary 2 .0 36: Arvind Kejriwal 12 .2 38: 1 .0 97: Others 24 .4

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 98: Can't say/Didn't tell 1421 24.0 Total 5932 100.0

Q6: Which party did you vote for in 2014 election?

N (%) 01: Congress 328 5.5 02: BJP 1900 32.0 03: BSP 757 12.8 04: SP 1109 18.7 05: RLD 16 .3 06: Apna Dal 4 .1 07: Apna Dal (Krishna Patel) 3 .1 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 6 .1 09: Quami Ekta Dal 41 .7 11: Peace Party 2 .0 12: Mahan Dal 1 .0 14: CPI(M) 1 .0 16: JDU 1 .0 20: AAP 1 .0 21: AIMIM 19 .3 22: INLD 4 .1 23: LJP 1 .0 24: AITC/TMC 1 .0 25: BSSSS 3 .1 95: Did not vote 805 13.6 97: Other parties 1 .0 98: Can’t say/Did not tell 928 15.6 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Q7: What is your assessment of as Chief Minister – are you satisfied or dissatisfied with his performance?

N (%) 1: Fully satisfied 1873 31.6 2: Somewhat satisfied 2114 35.6 3: Somewhat dissatisfied 491 8.3 4: Fully dissatisfied 1030 17.4 8: Can't say 424 7.1 Total 5932 100.0

Q8: What is your assessment of Narendra Modi as Prime Minister –are you satisfied or dissatisfied with his performance?

N (%) 1: Fully satisfied 1935 32.6 2: Somewhat satisfied 2094 35.3 3: Somewhat dissatisfied 461 7.8 4: Fully dissatisfied 996 16.8 8: Can't say 446 7.5 Total 5932 100.0

Q9: If you had to vote either on the basis of your religion or your caste in the upcoming assembly elections, then what will be your voting consideration – religion or caste?

N (%) 1: Religion 808 13.6 2: Caste 707 11.9 3: Both 1268 21.4 4: None 1976 33.3 8: No opinion 1173 19.8 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Q10: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the performance of the SP government in Uttar Pradesh over the last five years?

N (%) 1: Fully satisfied 1711 28.8 2: Somewhat satisfied 2123 35.8 3: Somewhat dissatisfied 459 7.7 4: Fully dissatisfied 1132 19.1 8: Can't say 507 8.5 Total 5932 100.0

Q11: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the performance of the BJP/NDA Central government over the last two and a half years?

N (%) 1: Fully satisfied 1724 29.1 2: Somewhat satisfied 2134 36.0 3: Somewhat dissatisfied 482 8.1 4: Fully dissatisfied 922 15.5 8: Can't say 670 11.3 Total 5932 100.0

Q12: Suppose assembly elections are held in Uttar Pradesh tomorrow. While deciding whom to vote for, what will be the most important election issue for you?

N (%) 01: Inflation/ Price Rise 623 10.5 02: Development 1117 18.8 03: Development during the rule of SP 99 1.7 04: Lack of Development 127 2.1 05: Unemployment/ Jobs 594 10.0 06: Change/ Change of government 42 .7 07: No change/ One more chance to SP government 7 .1 08: Food and Clothing 38 .6 09: Housing 42 .7 10: Increasing gulf between rich and poor/ exploitation of poor 3 .1

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 11: Poverty 256 4.3 12: Corruption (Generally) 323 5.4 13: Corruption of SP government 10 .2 14: Corruption of Modi government 14 .2 15: Incompetence of SP government 13 .2 16: Incompetence of Modi government 4 .1 17: Cancellation of old 500 and 1000 Rupee notes (Generally) 136 2.3 18: Problems on account of cancellation of old 500 and 1000 Rupee notes 157 2.6 19: Happy with cancellation of old 500 and 1000 Rupee notes 7 .1 20: Issue of black money 28 .5 21: Issue of unavailability of smaller denomination notes 55 .9 22: Long queues outside banks/ ATMs 2 .0 23: Pension/ wages 11 .2 24: Surgical strike on Pakistan 5 .1 25: Worsening ties between and Pakistan 1 .0 26: National security 6 .1 27: Respect for Soldiers 6 .1 28: One Rank One Pension 1 .0 29: Triple Talaq 1 .0 30: Uniform Civil Code for all religions 1 .0 32: Alcoholism/ Prohibition 5 .1 33: Security of one’s caste 23 .4 34: Security of one’s religion 2 .0 35: Strong government/ Government without alliances/ one party government 7 .1 36: No companies/factories 1 .0 37: Floods 4 .1 38: Issues relating to Irrigation 1 .0 40: Minimum Support Price (MSP) for crops 8 .1 41: Farmers issues/ agriculture 46 .8 42: Power supply 29 .5 43: Supply of drinking water 4 .1 44: Educational services/ school/ college/ teachers 67 1.1 45: Health care services/ hospitals/ doctors/ treatment 25 .4

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 46: Good condition of roads 20 .3 47: Poor condition of roads 28 .5 48: Infrastructure in cities/ civic amenities/ poor condition of cities 7 .1 49: Public transport facilities/ Bus service 3 .1 52: Cleanliness/ Toilets 14 .2 53: Security of women 36 .6 54: Big crimes/ worsening law and order situation 29 .5 56: Communalism/ Secularism/ Hindu-Muslim amity 6 .1 60: Ram Mandir/ Babri Masjid Issue 7 .1 61: Migration of Hindus/ Kairana 1 .0 64: Nationalism/ Patriotism 13 .2 65: Reservations 12 .2 67: Protection of Environment and forests 11 .2 70: Workers rights 3 .1 71: Terrorism 9 .2 73: Support for Akhilesh/ Vote for Akhilesh 1 .0 74: Opposition to Akhilesh/ Vote against Akhilesh 1 .0 75: Support for Mulayam/ Vote for Mulayam 3 .1 76: Opposition to Mulayam/ Vote against Mulayam 3 .1 77: Vote for SP 4 .1 78: Vote against SP 6 .1 79: Vote for BJP/ Narendra Modi 12 .2 80: Vote for BSP/ Mayawati 6 .1 81: Vote for Sonia Gandhi/Rahul Gandhi/ Congress 1 .0 82: Vote for Priyanka Gandhi 1 .0 86: Vote against BJP/ Narendra Modi 2 .0 96: Any other issue not mentioned above 152 2.6 97: No issue 20 .3 98: Don’t Know/ Can’t Say 1570 26.4 Total 5931 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Q13: Thinking of how you have voted in the last few elections, how would you describe yourself? Which party’s traditional supporter are you?

N (%) 01: Congress 257 4.3 02: BJP 1140 19.2 03: BSP 876 14.8 04: SP 1321 22.3 05: RLD 13 .2 07: Apna Dal (Krishna Patel) 3 .1 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 12 .2 09: Quami Ekta Dal 30 .5 10: Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party 2 .0 11: Peace Party 1 .0 13: CPI 1 .0 14: CPI(M) 2 .0 15: CPI(ML) 1 .0 16: JDU 1 .0 17: RJD 3 .1 18: NCP 1 .0 21: AIMIM 2 .0 25: BSSSS 1 .0 90: Not a supporter of any particular party 1394 23.5 96: Independent 3 .1 97: Other parties 1 .0 98: Can’t say/Did not tell 867 14.6 Total 5932 100.0

Q14: If you were to compare the incumbent SP government of Akhilesh Yadav with the former BSP government of Mayawati, which in your opinion is better?

N (%) 1: Incumbent SP government 2320 39.1 2: Previous BSP government 1723 29.0 3: Both good 234 3.9

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 4: Both bad 994 16.8 8: No answer 661 11.1 Total 5932 100.0

Q15. Now I will ask you to compare the four major parties of Uttar Pradesh – Congress, BJP, BSP and SP. Please tell me, which party is the best for the following:

a: Good governance

N (%) 1: Congress 418 7.0 2: BJP 1841 31.0 3: BSP 1333 22.5 4: SP 1672 28.2 5: All 96 1.6 6: None 146 2.5 8: No opinion 426 7.2 Total 5932 100.0

b: Maintaining law and order

N (%) 1: Congress 305 5.1 2: BJP 1682 28.4 3: BSP 1664 28.1 4: SP 1578 26.6 5: All 123 2.1 6: None 150 2.5 8: No opinion 430 7.2 Total 5932 100.0

c: Promoting brotherhood between Hindus and Muslims

N (%)

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 1: Congress 355 6.0 2: BJP 1345 22.7 3: BSP 1084 18.3 4: SP 1969 33.2 5: All 172 2.9 6: None 264 4.5 8: No opinion 743 12.5 Total 5932 100.0

d: Protecting the interests of your religion

N (%) 1: Congress 269 4.5 2: BJP 1695 28.6 3: BSP 1081 18.2 4: SP 1676 28.3 5: All 177 3.0 6: None 315 5.3 8: No opinion 719 12.1 Total 5932 100.0

e: Protecting the interests of your caste

N (%) 1: Congress 288 4.9 2: BJP 1491 25.1 3: BSP 1184 20.0 4: SP 1630 27.5 5: All 153 2.6 6: None 375 6.3 8: No opinion 811 13.7 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Q16 Now I will read out a few statements. Please tell me for each whether you agree or disagree with it?

a: Instead of Akhilesh Yadav, Mulyama Singh Yadav should be made the Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh?

N (%) 1: Strongly agree 676 11.4 2: Somewhat agree 1242 20.9 3: Somewhat disagree 714 12.0 4: Fully disagree 1282 21.6 8: No opinion 2018 34.0 Total 5932 100.0

b: The NDA government at the Centre has looked after the needs of Uttar Pradesh over the last two and a half years?

N (%) 1: Strongly agree 1042 17.6 2: Somewhat agree 1514 25.5 3: Somewhat disagree 942 15.9 4: Fully disagree 782 13.2 8: No opinion 1652 27.8 Total 5932 100.0

c: Narendra Modi has failed to bring achhe din (good days)

N (%) 1: Strongly agree 1361 22.9 2: Somewhat agree 1241 20.9 3: Somewhat disagree 884 14.9 4: Fully disagree 1082 18.2 8: No opinion 1364 23.0 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

d: For the development of Uttar Pradesh, it is necessary that the party in power at the Centre should also be in power in the state?

N (%) 1: Strongly agree 1659 28.0 2: Somewhat agree 949 16.0 3: Somewhat disagree 741 12.5 4: Fully disagree 777 13.1 8: No opinion 1806 30.4 Total 5932 100.0

e: The Congress should hand over the charge of leading the party in UP to Priyanka Gandhi

N (%) 1: Strongly agree 720 12.1 2: Somewhat agree 891 15.0 3: Somewhat disagree 566 9.5 4: Fully disagree 742 12.5 8: No opinion 3013 50.8 Total 5932 100.0

Q17. In the upcoming assembly election:

a: Which party should the Congress contest these elections with?

N (%) 01: Congress 18 .3 02: BJP 103 1.7 03: BSP 207 3.5 04: SP 548 9.2 05: RLD 7 .1 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 7 .1 09: Quami Ekta Dal 8 .1 10: Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party 1 .0 14: CPI(M) 1 .0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 16: JDU 2 .0 18: NCP 1 .0 19: Shiv Sena 1 .0 20: AAP 11 .2 80: Alone 2654 44.7 96: Independent 16 .3 97: Other parties 1 .0 98: No answer 2346 39.5 Total 5932 100.0

b: Which party should the BJP contest these elections with?

N (%) 01: Congress 69 1.2 02: BJP 14 .2 03: BSP 132 2.2 04: SP 133 2.2 05: RLD 12 .2 06: Apna Dal 3 .1 07: Apna Dal (Krishna Patel) 1 .0 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 14 .2 09: Quami Ekta Dal 3 .1 19: Shiv Sena 1 .0 20: AAP 2 .0 80: Alone 3538 59.6 96: Independent 3 .1 98: No answer 2007 33.8 Total 5932 100.0

c: Which party should the SP contest these elections with?

N (%) 01: Congress 365 6.2 02: BJP 121 2.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 03: BSP 151 2.5 04: SP 21 .4 05: RLD 10 .2 06: Apna Dal 1 .0 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 10 .2 09: Quami Ekta Dal 9 .2 11: Peace Party 1 .0 12: Mahan Dal 1 .0 15: CPI(ML) 1 .0 17: RJD 1 .0 20: AAP 18 .3 21: AIMIM 13 .2 80: Alone 3246 54.7 96: Independent 2 .0 98: No answer 1961 33.1 Total 5932 100.0

d: Which party should the BSP contest these elections with?

N (%) 01: Congress 123 2.1 02: BJP 125 2.1 03: BSP 24 .4 04: SP 209 3.5 05: RLD 21 .4 06: Apna Dal 6 .1 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 9 .2 09: Quami Ekta Dal 1 .0 11: Peace Party 2 .0 12: Mahan Dal 1 .0 20: AAP 68 1.1 21: AIMIM 62 1.0 80: Alone 3017 50.9

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 96: Independent 14 .2 97: Other parties 1 .0 98: No answer 2249 37.9 Total 5932 100.0

e: Which party should the RLD contest these elections with?

N (%) 01: Congress 102 1.7 02: BJP 118 2.0 03: BSP 66 1.1 04: SP 142 2.4 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 22 .4 09: Quami Ekta Dal 9 .2 12: Mahan Dal 1 .0 15: CPI(ML) 1 .0 20: AAP 22 .4 21: AIMIM 10 .2 80: Alone 2462 41.5 96: Independent 4 .1 97: Other parties 1 .0 98: No answer 2972 50.1 Total 5932 100.0

Q18: Have you heard about the surgical strikes conducted by India on Pakistan?

N (%) 1: No 2057 34.7 2: Yes 3875 65.3 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

a: (If heard in Q18 ) Who among these should get the credit for surgical strikes conducted by India on Pakistan – the Indian army or the Modi government?

N (%) Valid (%) 1: Indian army 1812 30.5 46.8 2: Modi government 656 11.1 16.9 3: Both should get credit 970 16.4 25.0 4: Other answer 128 2.2 3.3 8: No response 309 5.2 8.0 Total 3875 65.3 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 2057 34.7 Total 5932 100.0

b: (If heard in Q18 ) In your opinion, is it right or wrong to make the surgical strikes an election issue?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Right 813 13.7 21.0 2: Wrong 2285 38.5 59.0 8: No response 777 13.1 20.1 Total 3875 65.3 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 2057 34.7 Total 5932 100.0

Q19: Now I will read out a few statements. Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with them?

a: Nowadays people of some communities are being unnecessarily harassed in the name of cow protection?

N (%) 1: Fully agree 1145 19.3 2: Somewhat agree 1828 30.8 3: Somewhat disagree 570 9.6 4: Fully disagree 805 13.6 8: Can't say 1584 26.7

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Total 5932 100.0

b: There is nothing wrong with the tradition of triple talaq

N (%) 1: Fully agree 813 13.7 2: Somewhat agree 899 15.2 3: Somewhat disagree 682 11.5 4: Fully disagree 1535 25.9 8: Can't say 2003 33.8 Total 5932 100.0

c: In matters of marriage and property, every religion should have its own separate law

N (%) 1: Fully agree 1324 22.3 2: Somewhat agree 915 15.4 3: Somewhat disagree 549 9.3 4: Fully disagree 1247 21.0 8: Can't say 1897 32.0 Total 5932 100.0

Q20: Now I will read out a few things. Please tell me in your opinion which party do you find them most in – Congress, BJP, BSP or SP?

a: Corruption

N (%) 1: Congress 1197 20.2 2: BJP 816 13.8 3: BSP 780 13.1 4: SP 1606 27.1 5: All 636 10.7 8: No response 897 15.1

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Total 5932 100.0

b: Nepotism/promoting family members

N (%) 1: Congress 727 12.3 2: BJP 804 13.6 3: BSP 618 10.4 4: SP 2328 39.2 5: All 479 8.1 8: No response 976 16.5 Total 5932 100.0

c: Factionalism

N (%) 1: Congress 672 11.3 2: BJP 901 15.2 3: BSP 687 11.6 4: SP 1777 30.0 5: All 694 11.7 8: No response 1201 20.2 Total 5932 100.0

Q21: Have you faced any trouble in depositing or getting exchanged your old Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes- A Lot, Somewhat, Less or Not at all?

N (%) 1: A lot 2452 41.3 2: Somewhat 1365 23.0 3: Less 263 4.4 4: Not at all 602 10.1 5: Have faced troubled but this is for overall good 835 14.1 8: No response 415 7.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Total 5932 100.0

a: (If you faced a lot, somewhat, less trouble ) What kind of trouble did you face?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 01: Shortage of money 818 13.8 20.0 02: Loss of money 73 1.2 1.8 03: Trouble involved in getting old notes exchanged 446 7.5 10.9 04: Not receiving salary/wages 66 1.1 1.6 05: Any other issue related to livelihood 42 .7 1.0 06: Couldn’t buy daily, essential goods 114 1.9 2.8 07: Difficulty in getting change 143 2.4 3.5 08: Distance between House and Bank/ATM 120 2.0 2.9 09: Standing in queues of Banks/ ATMs for hours 884 14.9 21.7 10: Unavailability of cash in banks/ATMs 335 5.6 8.2 11: Unavailability of cash in cooperative banks 24 .4 .6 12: Shortage of money for wedding related purposes 67 1.1 1.6 13: Shortage of cash for medical treatment 34 .6 .8 14: Shortage of cash for agriculture 102 1.7 2.5 15: Some other issue 43 .7 1.1 98: Can’t Say 769 13.0 18.8 Total 4080 68.8 100.0 Missing 99: Not applicable 1852 31.2 Total 5932 100.0

Q22: People have different opinions regarding the cancellation of old Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes. Some people believe that this was a right move, some others believe that it was the right move but lacked preparation, some others believe that it was a wrong move and it wasn’t required. What is your opinion?

N (%) 1: Right move 2163 36.5 2: Right move without any preparation 1942 32.7 3: Wrong move 1201 20.2

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 8: No response 626 10.6 Total 5932 100.0

Q23: In your opinion, to what extent will the cancellation of old Rs 1000 and Rs 500 notes be able to tackle the issue of black money- a lot, somewhat , very less or not at all?

N (%) 1: A lot 1909 32.2 2: Somewhat 1731 29.2 3: Very less 393 6.6 4: Not at all 1169 19.7 8: No response 730 12.3 Total 5932 100.0

Q24. People have different opinions regarding the cancellation of old Rs 1000 and Rs 500 notes. Some people say that due to this move, the common man has suffered more while the rich have suffered less. On the other hand, some others say that the while the rich have suffered more, the common man has suffered less. What is your opinion?

N (%) 1: Common man suffered more 2683 45.2 2: Rich suffered more 1174 19.8 3: Both suffered 1389 23.4 4: No one suffered 283 4.8 8: No response 403 6.8 Total 5932 100.0

Q25: In your opinion, do you think the move to cancel Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes will benefit the BJP in the election?

N (%) 1: A lot of benefit 1335 22.5 2: Some benefit 1459 24.6 3: Some losses 373 6.3 4: A big loss 996 16.8

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 5: Neither benefit nor loss 704 11.9 8: No Response 1065 18.0 Total 5932 100.0

Q26: During the last one month, did you or any of your family members have to forego two square meals a day?

N (%) 1: No 4544 76.6 2: Yes 591 10.0 8: Don't remember 313 5.3 9: No response 484 8.2 Total 5932 100.0

Q27: In your opinion, who is more responsible for the tussle that took place between Akhilesh Yadav and Shivpal Yadav?

N (%) 1: Akhilesh Yadav 440 7.4 2: Shivpal Yadav 1369 23.1 3: Neither of them 283 4.8 4: Both 1104 18.6 5: Outsiders 549 9.3 8: No answer 2187 36.9 Total 5932 100.0

Q28: In your opinion, has Akhilesh Yadav become stronger or weaker after the recent tussle between leaders in the ?

N (%) 1: Become stronger 1223 20.6 2: Become weaker 1225 20.7 3: Same as before 1404 23.7 8: No answer 2080 35.1 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Q29: In your opinion, who is the best leader from the BJP in Uttar Pradesh?

N (%) 01: Akhilesh Yadav 95 1.6 02: Mulayam Singh Yadav 54 .9 03: Shivpal Singh Yadav 18 .3 04: Ram Gopal Yadav 24 .4 05: Azam Khan 2 .0 06: Raghuraj Pratap Singh 1 .0 08: Any other leader of SP 48 .8 09: Mayawati 35 .6 10: Naseemuddin Siddhiqui 1 .0 11: Any other leader of BSP 4 .1 12: Yogi Adityanath 299 5.0 13: Smriti Irani 31 .5 14: Keshav Prasad Maurya 26 .4 15: 215 3.6 16: Rajnath Singh 400 6.7 17: Sanjeev Balyan 3 .1 18: Sangeet Som 6 .1 19: Mahesh Sharma 8 .1 20: Amit Shah 231 3.9 21: Narendra Modi 1016 17.1 22: Any other leader of BJP 83 1.4 23: Priyanka Gandhi 3 .1 25: Rahul Gandhi 21 .4 28: Pramod Tiwari 6 .1 29: Salman Khurshid 1 .0 31: Sonia Gandhi 10 .2 32: Any other leader of the Congress 1 .0 40: Anupriya Patel 4 .1 80: Some other non-popular leader 18 .3 97: Others 27 .5

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 98: Can't say/Didn't tell 3241 54.6 Total 5932 100.0

Q30: How important are the following issues going to be for you in the forthcoming assembly elections? Very Important, Somewhat Important, Not very important, Not at all important?

a: Cow protection

N (%) 1: Very important 1388 23.4 2: Somewhat important 1581 26.7 3: Not very important 604 10.2 4: Not at all important 931 15.7 8: No answer 1428 24.1 Total 5932 100.0

b: Nationalism

N (%) 1: Very important 1446 24.4 2: Somewhat important 1520 25.6 3: Not very important 570 9.6 4: Not at all important 809 13.6 8: No answer 1587 26.8 Total 5932 100.0

c: Surgical strike on Pakistan

N (%) 1: Very important 1718 29.0 2: Somewhat important 1169 19.7 3: Not very important 470 7.9 4: Not at all important 881 14.9 8: No answer 1694 28.6

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Total 5932 100.0

d: Cancellation of old 500 and 1000 Rupee notes

N (%) 1: Very important 2446 41.2 2: Somewhat important 1142 19.3 3: Not very important 325 5.5 4: Not at all important 693 11.7 8: No answer 1326 22.4 Total 5932 100.0

e: Ram Mandir/ Babri Masjid

N (%) 1: Very important 1301 21.9 2: Somewhat important 1202 20.3 3: Not very important 728 12.3 4: Not at all important 1162 19.6 8: No answer 1539 25.9 Total 5932 100.0

f: Triple talaq

N (%) 1: Very important 1101 18.6 2: Somewhat important 1062 17.9 3: Not very important 794 13.4 4: Not at all important 1216 20.5 8: No answer 1759 29.7 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

g: Tussle within SP and Yadav family

N (%) 1: Very important 965 16.3 2: Somewhat important 997 16.8 3: Not very important 572 9.6 4: Not at all important 1446 24.4 8: No answer 1952 32.9 Total 5932 100.0

Q31: In your opinion, which among the following parties will win the election or be the front runner in the upcoming election in Uttar Pradesh?

N (%) 01: Congress 176 3.0 02: BJP 1435 24.2 03: BSP 953 16.1 04: SP 1465 24.7 05: RLD 8 .1 06: Apna Dal 4 .1 08: Apna Dal (Anupriya Patel) 21 .4 09: Quami Ekta Dal 27 .5 11: Peace Party 1 .0 13: CPI 1 .0 20: AAP 1 .0 21: AIMIM 7 .1 23: LJP 12 .2 90: No party 422 7.1 96: Independent 2 .0 97: Other parties 2 .0 98: Can’t say/Did not tell 1395 23.5 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Q32: In your opinion, which one of the following Prime Ministers have taken the strongest decisions – , Narendra, Modi, Narsimha Rao, , Manmohan Singh, or V.P. Singh?

N (%) 1: Jawaharlal Nehru 234 3.9 2: Narendra Modi 2698 45.5 3: Narsimha Rao 100 1.7 4: Indira Gandhi 575 9.7 5: Manmohan Singh 204 3.4 6: Atal Bihari Vajpayee 299 5.0 7: V.P. Singh 40 .7 8: Others 113 1.9 9: Did not answer 1669 28.1 Total 5932 100.0

Q33: Which of the following leaders is posing the biggest challenge to the Modi government at the Centre? Mayawati, Arvind Kejriwal, Rahul Gandhi, Mamata Banerjee or Mulayam Singh?

N (%) 1: Mayawati 978 16.5 2: Arvind Kejriwal 922 15.5 3: Rahul Gandhi 644 10.9 4: Mamata Banerjee 237 4.0 5: Mulayam Singh 997 16.8 6: Others 295 5.0 8: Did not answer 1859 31.3 Total 5932 100.0

Q34: In your opinion, who is the most popular leader in Uttar Pradesh?

N (%) 01: Akhilesh Yadav 1319 22.2 02: Mulayam Singh Yadav 463 7.8 03: Shivpal Singh Yadav 43 .7 04: Ram Gopal Yadav 57 1.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 05: Azam Khan 37 .6 06: Raghuraj Pratap Singh 4 .1 08: Any other leader of SP 20 .3 09: Mayawati 919 15.5 10: Naseemuddin Siddhiqui 2 .0 11: Any other leader of BSP 38 .6 12: Yogi Adityanath 204 3.4 13: Smriti Irani 3 .1 14: Keshav Prasad Maurya 12 .2 15: Varun Gandhi 40 .7 16: Rajnath Singh 132 2.2 18: Sangeet Som 1 .0 19: Mahesh Sharma 5 .1 20: Amit Shah 84 1.4 21: Narendra Modi 439 7.4 22: Any other leader of BJP 12 .2 23: Priyanka Gandhi 21 .4 24: Sheila Dikshit 1 .0 25: Rahul Gandhi 119 2.0 27: Raj Babbar 1 .0 28: Pramod Tiwari 1 .0 31: Sonia Gandhi 13 .2 32: Any other leader of the Congress 6 .1 33: Ajit Singh 10 .2 34: Jayant Choudhary 1 .0 35: Any other RLD leader 1 .0 36: Arvind Kejriwal 1 .0 38: Swami Prasad Maurya 2 .0 40: Anupriya Patel 7 .1 80: Some other non-popular leader 1 .0 97: Others 48 .8 98: Can't say/Didn't tell 1865 31.4 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Q35. How regularly do you do the following – Daily, Sometimes, Rarely, or Never?

a: Watching TV to obtain news/information on politics

N (%) 1: Daily 2208 37.2 2: Sometimes 1587 26.8 3: Rarely 498 8.4 4: Never 1218 20.5 8: Can't say/Don't know 421 7.1 Total 5932 100.0

b: Listening to radio to obtain news/information on politics

N (%) 1: Daily 638 10.8 2: Sometimes 1175 19.8 3: Rarely 1125 19.0 4: Never 2543 42.9 8: Can't say/Don't know 451 7.6 Total 5932 100.0

c: Reading newspaper to obtain news/information on politics

N (%) 1: Daily 1921 32.4 2: Sometimes 1185 20.0 3: Rarely 561 9.5 4: Never 1771 29.9 8: Can't say/Don't know 494 8.3 Total 5932 100.0

d: Using internet/news website to obtain news/information on politics

N (%)

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 1: Daily 427 7.2 2: Sometimes 595 10.0 3: Rarely 477 8.0 4: Never 3550 59.8 8: Can't say/Don't know 883 14.9 Total 5932 100.0

Q36: How often do you use the following? Daily, Some days a week, Some days a month, Very rarely or never?

a: Facebook

N (%) 1: Daily 581 9.8 2: Weekly 327 5.5 3: Monthly 73 1.2 4: Rarely 525 8.9 5: Never 1766 29.8 6: Don’t have an account 1578 26.6 8: No answer 1082 18.2 Total 5932 100.0

b: Twitter

N (%) 1: Daily 110 1.9 2: Weekly 116 2.0 3: Monthly 36 .6 4: Rarely 285 4.8 5: Never 2250 37.9 6: Don’t have an account 1947 32.8 8: No answer 1188 20.0 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

c: Whats App

N (%) 1: Daily 702 11.8 2: Weekly 219 3.7 3: Monthly 39 .7 4: Rarely 447 7.5 5: Never 1796 30.3 6: Don’t have an account 1604 27.0 8: No answer 1125 19.0 Total 5932 100.0

Q37: (If respondent uses Whats App ) Are you a member of any leader’s or party’s Whats App group in your area?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: No 664 11.2 47.2 2: Yes 180 3.0 12.8 8: Can't say 563 9.5 40.0 Total 1407 23.7 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 4525 76.3 Total 5932 100.0

Q38: In the last one year, have you or anyone in your family faced any of the following problems?

a: Prevented from withdrawing water from a hand pump tap or a well

N (%) 1: No 5729 96.6 2: Yes 203 3.4 Total 5932 100.0

a(a): (If yes ) Whom did you complain to?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Pradhan/Panchayat 49 .8 24.1

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Valid (%) 2: Police 4 .1 2.0 3: Leader 8 .1 3.9 4: Government officers 3 .1 1.5 5: Elder person 2 .0 1.0 6: NGO worker 8 .1 3.9 7: Others 1 .0 .5 8: Not complained 128 2.2 63.1 Total 203 3.4 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 5729 96.6 Total 5932 100.0

b: Threatened/ intimidated on asking for right wages

N (%) 1: No 5783 97.5 2: Yes 149 2.5 Total 5932 100.0

b(a): (If yes ) Whom did you complain to?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Pradhan/Panchayat 35 .6 23.5 2: Police 22 .4 14.8 3: Leader 3 .1 2.0 4: Government officers 8 .1 5.4 5: Elder person 1 .0 .7 7: Others 4 .1 2.7 8: Not complained 76 1.3 51.0 Total 149 2.5 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 5783 97.5 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

c: Did anyone misbehave with the women of your household?

N (%) 1: No 5730 96.6 2: Yes 202 3.4 Total 5932 100.0

c(a): (If yes ) Whom did you complain to?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Pradhan/Panchayat 31 .5 15.3 2: Police 91 1.5 45.0 3: Leader 12 .2 5.9 5: Elder person 4 .1 2.0 7: Others 2 .0 1.0 8: Not complained 62 1.0 30.7 Total 202 3.4 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 5730 96.6 Total 5932 100.0

d: Deprived of the benefits of a government scheme

N (%) 1: No 5386 90.8 2: Yes 546 9.2 Total 5932 100.0

d(a): (If yes ) Whom did you complain to?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Pradhan/Panchayat 118 2.0 21.6 2: Police 37 .6 6.8 3: Leader 62 1.0 11.4 4: Government officers 46 .8 8.4 5: Elder person 2 .0 .4

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Valid (%) 7: Others 5 .1 .9 8: Not complained 276 4.7 50.5 Total 546 9.2 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 5386 90.8 Total 5932 100.0

e: Any politician misbehaved with you

N (%) 1: No 5785 97.5 2: Yes 147 2.5 Total 5932 100.0

e(a): (If yes ) Whom did you complain to?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Pradhan/Panchayat 10 .2 6.8 2: Police 17 .3 11.6 3: Leader 16 .3 10.9 4: Government officers 2 .0 1.4 5: Elder person 13 .2 8.8 7: Others 1 .0 .7 8: Not complained 88 1.5 59.9 Total 147 2.5 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 5785 97.5 Total 5932 100.0

f: Any bureaucrat misbehaved with you

N (%) 1: No 5787 97.6 2: Yes 145 2.4 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

f(a): (If yes ) Whom did you complain to?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Pradhan/Panchayat 10 .2 6.9 2: Police 11 .2 7.6 3: Leader 8 .1 5.5 4: Government officers 4 .1 2.8 7: Others 3 .1 2.1 8: Not complained 109 1.8 75.2 Total 145 2.4 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 5787 97.6 Total 5932 100.0

Q39: In your opinion, in a gram sabha/ gram panchayat meeting, does everyone get a chance to speak their mind or do some people always dominate these meetings?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Everyone gets a chance 1420 23.9 25.7 2: Some people dominate 993 16.7 18.0 3: No meeting was held 959 16.2 17.4 4: Never attended any meeting 1079 18.2 19.6 8: Can't say 1065 18.0 19.3 Total 5516 93.0 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 416 7.0 Total 5932 100.0

a: (If some people dominate ), then what do you think is the reason?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: They are from the Pradhan’s camp 366 6.2 36.9 2: They belong to the majority caste 291 4.9 29.3 3: By using force/violence/strong arm tactics 107 1.8 10.8 4: Hand in glove with the Panchayat Secretary 51 .9 5.1 5: They are upper caste people 50 .8 5.0 6: They have political connections 51 .9 5.1

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Valid (%) 7: Others 8 .1 .8 8: Can't say 69 1.2 6.9 Total 993 16.7 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 4939 83.3 Total 5932 100.0

Q40: Do you believe that the incumbent SP government in Uttar Pradesh should get another chance?

N (%) 1: No 2615 44.1 2: Yes 2238 37.7 8: Can't say 1079 18.2 Total 5932 100.0

Z1: What is your age?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Up to 25 yrs 1071 18.1 18.2 2: 26-35 yrs 1692 28.5 28.8 3: 36-45 yrs 1320 22.3 22.4 4: 46-55 yrs 907 15.3 15.4 5: 56 yrs. and above 891 15.0 15.2 Total 5881 99.1 100.0 Missing 98: No answer 51 .9 Total 5932 100.0

Z2: Gender

N (%) 1: Male 3430 57.8 2: Female 2374 40.0 3: Others 128 2.2 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Z3: Up to what level have you studied?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 0: Non Literate 1645 27.7 29.1 1: Below Primary 211 3.6 3.7 2: Primary pass/ Middle fail 502 8.5 8.9 3: Middle pass/Matric Fail 685 11.5 12.1 4: Matric 782 13.2 13.8 5: Intermediate/ College no degree 960 16.2 17.0 6: Graduate or equivalent 679 11.4 12.0 7: Post Graduate 163 2.7 2.9 8: Professional Degrees and Higher Research 27 .5 .5 Total 5654 95.3 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 278 4.7 Total 5932 100.0

a_f: Up to what level has your father studied?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 0: Non Literate 3561 60.0 62.1 1: Below Primary 157 2.6 2.7 2: Primary pass/ Middle fail 413 7.0 7.2 3: Middle pass/Matric Fail 472 8.0 8.2 4: Matric 548 9.2 9.6 5: Intermediate/ College no degree 355 6.0 6.2 6: Graduate or equivalent 174 2.9 3.0 7: Post Graduate 33 .6 .6 8: Professional Degrees and Higher Research 18 .3 .3 Total 5731 96.6 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 201 3.4 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

a_m: Up to what level has your mother studied?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 0: Non Literate 4169 70.3 73.4 1: Below Primary 178 3.0 3.1 2: Primary pass/ Middle fail 413 7.0 7.3 3: Middle pass/Matric Fail 398 6.7 7.0 4: Matric 270 4.6 4.8 5: Intermediate/ College no degree 169 2.8 3.0 6: Graduate or equivalent 58 1.0 1.0 7: Post Graduate 15 .3 .3 8: Professional Degrees and Higher Research 7 .1 .1 Total 5677 95.7 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 255 4.3 Total 5932 100.0

Z4: What is your Occupation?

N (%) 01: Scientists 62 1.0 02: Engineers 56 .9 03: Doctors 16 .3 04: Lawyers 18 .3 05: Accountants 15 .3 06: College/Univ. Teachers 12 .2 07: Writers 8 .1 08: Modern Artists 9 .2 09: Other higher professionals 50 .8 10: Science and engineering technicians 4 .1 11: Computer operators 16 .3 12: Alternative doctors 4 .1 13: Medical technicians 11 .2 14: School teachers 53 .9 15: Nursery teachers 26 .4 16: Folk and commercial artists 5 .1

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 18: Priests 4 .1 19: Other lower professionals 15 .3 20: Elected Officials: Top central/state level 2 .0 22: Managers 3 .1 23: Officials Class I 20 .3 24: Officials Class II 14 .2 25: Class III Employee (Clerical) 25 .4 26: Superintendents 6 .1 27: Traditional clerks 6 .1 28: Class IV Employee 29 .5 29: Other administrative, managerial and clerical workers 7 .1 30: Big businessmen 17 .3 31: Medium businessmen 50 .8 32: Small businessmen 170 2.9 33: Petty shopkeeper 67 1.1 34: Hawkers, Vendors 23 .4 35: Sales executives 10 .2 36: Salespersons 23 .4 37: Shop Assistants 45 .8 38: Rentier 3 .1 39: Other businessmen 56 .9 40: Waiters 16 .3 41: Dhobi 15 .3 42: Barbers, beauticians 13 .2 43: Ayahs, maids, domestic servants 10 .2 44: Chowkidars, caretakers 11 .2 45: Sweepers, scavengers 11 .2 49: Other service workers 24 .4 50: Mechanics, machine tool operators, drivers 41 .7 51: Electricians, Plumbers 9 .2 52: Jewellers 5 .1 53: Tailors 43 .7 54: Weavers 13 .2

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 55: Shoemakers 5 .1 56: Blacksmiths 4 .1 57: Carpenters 26 .4 59: Other skilled workers 27 .5 60: Miners 3 .1 61: Masons, bricklayers 45 .8 62: Potters 8 .1 63: Stone-cutter and carvers 6 .1 64: Furniture, basket, mat makers 19 .3 65: Rickshaw-pullers 13 .2 66: Unskilled labourers 73 1.2 69: Other semi-skilled and unskilled workers 52 .9 70: Owner-cultivators 20 + Acres 7 .1 71: Owner-cultivators 10-20 Acres 20 .3 72: Owner-cultivators 5-10 Acres 49 .8 73: Owner-cultivators 1-5 Acres 243 4.1 74: Owner-cultivators 0-1 Acre 178 3.0 75: Tenant-cultivators 5+ Acres 23 .4 76: Tenant-cultivators 0-5 Acres 41 .7 77: Plantation workers 9 .2 78: Agricultural labourers rearers 715 12.1 79: Other agriculture workers 62 1.0 80: Live-stock farming 23 .4 81: Dairy farming 14 .2 82: Poultry farming 7 .1 83: Shepherds 3 .1 84: Forest produce gatherer 1 .0 85: Hunters and trappers 1 .0 86: Fishermen 6 .1 89: Other breeders and cattle 5 .1 90: House-wife/husband 1678 28.3 91: Students not seeking employment 396 6.7 92: Employment seekers 23 .4

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 93: Unemployed workers, non-workers 104 1.8 95: Any other occupation 17 .3 96: Political activists, missionaries 6 .1 98: Unidentifiable or unclassifiable 720 12.1 99: Not ascertained 129 2.2 Total 5932 100.0

a: Are you the main earner of your household?

N (%) 1: No 3154 53.2 2: Yes 2778 46.8 Total 5932 100.0

b: (If No in Z4a ) What is the occupation of the main earner of your household?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 01: Scientists 13 .2 .5 02: Engineers 9 .2 .3 03: Doctors 8 .1 .3 04: Lawyers 2 .0 .1 05: Accountants 8 .1 .3 09: Other higher professionals 5 .1 .2 11: Computer operators 2 .0 .1 13: Medical technicians 2 .0 .1 14: School teachers 9 .2 .3 15: Nursery teachers 7 .1 .3 16: Folk and commercial artists 1 .0 .0 18: Priests 2 .0 .1 19: Other lower professionals 3 .1 .1 22: Managers 2 .0 .1 23: Officials Class I 32 .5 1.2 24: Officials Class II 3 .1 .1 25: Class III Employee (Clerical) 3 .1 .1

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Valid (%) 27: Traditional clerks 1 .0 .0 28: Class IV Employee 11 .2 .4 29: Other administrative, managerial and clerical workers 1 .0 .0 30: Big businessmen 5 .1 .2 31: Medium businessmen 17 .3 .6 32: Small businessmen 20 .3 .7 33: Petty shopkeeper 8 .1 .3 34: Hawkers, Vendors 2 .0 .1 35: Sales executives 1 .0 .0 36: Salespersons 2 .0 .1 37: Shop Assistants 10 .2 .4 38: Rentier 1 .0 .0 39: Other businessmen 13 .2 .5 40: Waiters 3 .1 .1 41: Dhobi 1 .0 .0 42: Barbers, beauticians 7 .1 .3 43: Ayahs, maids, domestic servants 4 .1 .1 44: Chowkidars, caretakers 8 .1 .3 45: Sweepers, scavengers 5 .1 .2 49: Other service workers 2 .0 .1 50: Mechanics, machine tool operators, drivers 7 .1 .3 51: Electricians, Plumbers 2 .0 .1 52: Jewellers 2 .0 .1 53: Tailors 7 .1 .3 54: Weavers 3 .1 .1 56: Blacksmiths 1 .0 .0 57: Carpenters 3 .1 .1 59: Other skilled workers 5 .1 .2 61: Masons, bricklayers 13 .2 .5 62: Potters 1 .0 .0 64: Furniture, basket, mat makers 3 .1 .1 65: Rickshaw-pullers 7 .1 .3 66: Unskilled labourers 13 .2 .5

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Valid (%) 69: Other semi-skilled and unskilled workers 2 .0 .1 70: Owner-cultivators 20 + Acres 1 .0 .0 71: Owner-cultivators 10-20 Acres 2 .0 .1 72: Owner-cultivators 5-10 Acres 3 .1 .1 73: Owner-cultivators 1-5 Acres 21 .4 .8 74: Owner-cultivators 0-1 Acre 17 .3 .6 75: Tenant-cultivators 5+ Acres 3 .1 .1 76: Tenant-cultivators 0-5 Acres 1 .0 .0 77: Plantation workers 5 .1 .2 78: Agricultural labourers rearers 144 2.4 5.2 79: Other agriculture workers 51 .9 1.8 80: Live-stock farming 15 .3 .5 81: Dairy farming 4 .1 .1 82: Poultry farming 11 .2 .4 83: Shepherds 1 .0 .0 84: Forest produce gatherer 3 .1 .1 86: Fishermen 5 .1 .2 89: Other breeders and cattle 3 .1 .1 90: House-wife/husband 32 .5 1.2 91: Students not seeking employment 27 .5 1.0 92: Employment seekers 4 .1 .1 93: Unemployed workers, non-workers 7 .1 .3 95: Any other occupation 2 .0 .1 98: Unidentifiable or unclassifiable 2114 35.6 76.1 Total 2778 46.8 100.0 Missing 99: Not ascertained 3154 53.2 Total 5932 100.0

c: (If no in Z4a ) What is your relationship with the main earner of your family?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 01: Husband/Wife 1300 21.9 41.2 02: Father/Mother/Father-in-law/Mother-in-law 691 11.6 21.9

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Valid (%) 03: Son/daughter 517 8.7 16.4 04: Brother/Sister 101 1.7 3.2 05: Grand son/Grand daughter 32 .5 1.0 06: Uncle/Aunt 19 .3 .6 07: Nephew/Niece 9 .2 .3 08: Grand father/Grand mother 40 .7 1.3 09: Others 10 .2 .3 98: No answer 435 7.3 13.8 Total 3154 53.2 100.0 Missing 99: N.A. 2778 46.8 Total 5932 100.0

Z5: How does the main earner of your family get paid for his work-Hourly, Daily, Weekly, Monthly or some other way?

N (%) 1: Hourly 329 5.5 2: Daily 1222 20.6 3: Weekly 247 4.2 4: Monthly 1792 30.2 5: Some other way 903 15.2 8: Can't say 1439 24.3 Total 5932 100.0

Z6: Are you married?

N (%) 1: Married 4734 79.8 2: Married (Gauna not performed, not started living together) 116 2.0 3: Widowed 197 3.3 4: Divorced 65 1.1 5: Separated 24 .4 6: Deserted 44 .7 7: Unmarried/Single 592 10.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 8: No response 160 2.7 Total 5932 100.0

Z7: Does any member of your family live in other states of India (outside Uttar Pradesh) or outside the country?

N (%) 1: No 4438 74.8 2: Yes 1494 25.2 Total 5932 100.0

a: (If yes in Z7 ) Did s/he go in search of employment, for education, for both or for some other work?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Looking for jobs 860 14.5 57.6 2: For studies 242 4.1 16.2 3: For job/study 119 2.0 8.0 4: For other work 124 2.1 8.3 5: For marriage 27 .5 1.8 6: Did not tell 122 2.1 8.2 Total 1494 25.2 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 4438 74.8 Total 5932 100.0

Z8: What is your Caste/Jati-biradari/Tribe name?

N (%) 010: Brahmin 487 8.2 020: Bhumihar 98 1.7 025: Rajput 317 5.3 035: Kayastha 71 1.2 045: Vaishya/Bania 72 1.2 055: Jain 13 .2

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 065: Punjabi Khatri 7 .1 070: Sindhi 41 .7 099: Other Upper Caste 46 .8 100: Jat (Hindu only) 169 2.8 199: Other PP 17 .3 200: Gujjar 65 1.1 210: Yadav 887 15.0 220: Kurmi 218 3.7 230: Lodh 149 2.5 235: Koeri 117 2.0 250: Gaderia 104 1.8 255: Mali 50 .8 299: Other Peasant OBC 22 .4 310: Darzee(Tailors) 16 .3 320: Thatihar(Make Vessel) 12 .2 330: Lakhera (Make Lac Bangles) 8 .1 335: Badhai (Carpenters) 41 .7 345: Kumhar(Potters) 89 1.5 355: Lohar (Black Smith) 27 .5 365: Sunar(Gold Smith) 23 .4 399: Other Craftsmen 26 .4 400: Kewat(Fishermen & Boatmen) 247 4.2 410: Dhobi (Washermen) 57 1.0 420: Nai(Barber) 42 .7 430 Teli (Oil Pressers) 96 1.6 435: Jogi 14 .2 445: Trader OBCs 7 .1 460: Landless Labourers 1 .0 470: Entertaining Castes 13 .2 490: EBC & MBC 7 .1 499: Other Service OBCs 51 .9 500: Chamar 801 13.5 510: Balmiki 49 .8

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 520: Pasi 147 2.5 521: Paswan 21 .4 530: Namashudras 8 .1 535: Dhobi,Julaha,Kewat(Non-OBC) 13 .2 540: Dom 2 .0 545: Nomadic/Service SC 3 .1 550: Lowest SC 28 .5 557: Dhanuk 7 .1 559: Khatik 1 .0 560: Kori 37 .6 581: Musahar 11 .2 599: Other SC 9 .2 600: Mina 6 .1 601: Bhil 1 .0 602: Gond/Rajgond 3 .1 699: Other STs 2 .0 700: Ashrafs (Sayyad Shaikh) 299 5.0 710: Mughal (Khan) 156 2.6 720: Rajput (Peasant Proprietors) 17 .3 730: Other Upper Caste Muslim 69 1.2 740: Peasants/Traders: Kayastha 22 .4 750: Craftsmen/Weavers 117 2.0 760: Service Muslims 53 .9 770: Ex-Untouchables/Muslim Dalits 20 .3 780: Other Muslim OBC 249 4.2 799: Muslim No Caste/Other Muslims 10 .2 800: Jat Sikh 5 .1 860: Dalit Christians 1 .0 900: Dalit Buddhists 7 .1 995: Hindu no caste 20 .3 998: Can't say 11 .2 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

a: And what is your caste group?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Scheduled Caste (SC) 1507 25.4 25.7 2: Scheduled Tribe (ST) 215 3.6 3.7 3: Other Backward Classes (OBC) 2622 44.2 44.7 4: Other 1523 25.7 26.0 Total 5867 98.9 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 65 1.1 Total 5932 100.0

Z9: What is your religion?

N (%) 1: Hindu 4619 77.9 2: Muslim 1045 17.6 3: Christian 49 .8 4: Sikh 21 .4 5: Buddhist/Neo Buddhist 16 .3 6: Jain 6 .1 7: No religion 44 .7 9: Others 132 2.2 Total 5932 100.0

a: (If Muslim ) Are you Shia or Sunni?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Shia 181 3.1 17.3 2: Sunni 679 11.4 65.0 7: Others 79 1.3 7.6 8: Can't say 106 1.8 10.1 Total 1045 17.6 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 4887 82.4 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Z10: Are you a pure vegetarian, vegetarian but eat eggs or you eat meat/fish as well?

N (%) 1: Pure vegetarian 2112 35.6 2: Vegetarian but eat eggs 941 15.9 3: Non-vegetarian eat meat/fish 2491 42.0 8: Didn't tell 388 6.5 Total 5932 100.0

Z11: What type of mobile phone do you have?

N (%) 1: Normal mobile phone 3068 51.7 2: Smart phone 1253 21.1 3: Don't have mobile phone 1267 21.4 8: No answer 344 5.8 Total 5932 100.0

a: (If Have mobile phone ) Do you have internet connection in your mobile?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: No 2414 40.7 55.9 2: Yes 1204 20.3 27.9 No response 703 11.9 16.3 Total 4321 72.8 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 1611 27.2 Total 5932 100.0

Z12: Do you have Aadhaar Card?

N (%) 1: No 581 9.8 2: Yes 5351 90.2 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Z13: Area/Locality

N (%) 1: Village 4905 82.7 2: Small town 704 11.9 3: Big town 100 1.7 4: Big city 223 3.8 Total 5932 100.0

a: (If Town/City/Metropolitan ) Type of house where Respondent lives (own or rented)

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: House/Flat/Bunglow 158 2.7 16.1 2: House/Flat with 5 or more rooms 106 1.8 10.8 3: House/Flat with 4 rooms 174 2.9 17.7 4: House/Flat with 3 rooms 116 2.0 11.8 5: House with 2 rooms 283 4.8 28.8 6: House with 1 room 78 1.3 7.9 7: Mainly a kutcha house 26 .4 2.6 8: Slum/jhuggi/jhopdi 42 .7 4.3 Total 983 16.6 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 4949 83.4 Total 5932 100.0

b: (If village ) Type of house where Respondent lives (own or rented)

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Pucca 1728 29.1 36.5 2: Pucca-Kutcha 1635 27.6 34.5 3: Kutcha 1090 18.4 23.0 4: Hut 283 4.8 6.0 Total 4736 79.8 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 1196 20.2 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

Z14: Total number of family member(Adult)

N (%) 1: One 353 6.0 2: Two 1438 24.2 3: Three 1116 18.8 4: Four 1213 20.4 5: Five 741 12.5 6: Six 459 7.7 7: Seven 246 4.1 8: Eight 179 3.0 9: Nine and above 187 3.2 Total 5932 100.0

Z14: Total number of family member (Children)

N (%) 0: Blank/NA 464 7.8 1: One 598 10.1 2: Two 1396 23.5 3: Three 1456 24.5 4: Four 833 14.0 5: Five 523 8.8 6: Six 298 5.0 7: Seven 159 2.7 8: Eight 98 1.7 9: Nine and above 107 1.8 Total 5932 100.0

Z16: Total monthly household expenditure - putting together the expenditure of all members of the household?

N (%) 1: Up to 1000 2058 34.7 2: 1001-2000 521 8.8

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) 3: 2001-3000 653 11.0 4: 3001-4000 420 7.1 5: 4001-5000 610 10.3 6: 5001-10000 1152 19.4 7: 10001-20000 327 5.5 8: Above 20000 191 3.2 Total 5932 100.0

Z17: Do you or members of your household have the following:

a: Car/Jeep/Van

N (%) 1: No 5460 92.0 2: Yes 472 8.0 Total 5932 100.0

b: Scooter/Motorcycle/Moped

N (%) 1: No 2983 50.3 2: Yes 2949 49.7 Total 5932 100.0

c: Air conditioner

N (%) 1: No 5672 95.6 2: Yes 260 4.4 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

d: Computer/laptop/Ipad

N (%) 1: No 5181 87.3 2: Yes 751 12.7 Total 5932 100.0

d(1): (If Computer/laptop/Ipad ) Is it with Internet or without internet?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: With internet 350 5.9 46.6 2: Without internet 401 6.8 53.4 Total 751 12.7 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 5181 87.3 Total 5932 100.0

e: Electric fan/cooler

N (%) 1: No 1758 29.6 2: Yes 4174 70.4 Total 5932 100.0

f: Washing machine

N (%) 1: No 5002 84.3 2: Yes 930 15.7 Total 5932 100.0

g: Fridge

N (%) 1: No 4469 75.3 2: Yes 1463 24.7

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Total 5932 100.0

h: Television

N (%) 1: No 2155 36.3 2: Yes 3777 63.7 Total 5932 100.0

h(1): (If Television ) Is it with Cable/Dish TV or without Cable/Dish TV?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: With Cable/Dish TV 2053 34.6 54.4 2: Without Cable/Dish TV 1724 29.1 45.6 Total 3777 63.7 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 2155 36.3 Total 5932 100.0

i: Bank/Post office Account

N (%) 1: No 1275 21.5 2: Yes 4657 78.5 Total 5932 100.0

j: ATM/Debit/Credit card

N (%) 1: No 3190 53.8 2: Yes 2742 46.2 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

k: LPG gas

N (%) 1: No 2430 41.0 2: Yes 3502 59.0 Total 5932 100.0

l: Toilet inside the house

N (%) 1: No 2646 44.6 2: Yes 3286 55.4 Total 5932 100.0

m: (If Village ) Thresher

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: No 4440 74.8 90.5 2: Yes 465 7.8 9.5 Total 4905 82.7 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 1027 17.3 Total 5932 100.0

n: (If Village ) Pumping set

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: No 4068 68.6 82.9 2: Yes 837 14.1 17.1 Total 4905 82.7 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 1027 17.3 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

o: (If Village ) Do you or your household have Tractor?

N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: No 4404 74.2 89.8 2: Yes 501 8.4 10.2 Total 4905 82.7 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 1027 17.3 Total 5932 100.0

Z19: Total monthly household income - putting together the income of all members of the household?

N (%) 1: Up to 1000 2331 39.3 2: 1001-2000 268 4.5 3: 2001-3000 354 6.0 4: 3001-4000 213 3.6 5: 4001-5000 336 5.7 6: 5001-10000 1121 18.9 7: 10001-20000 697 11.7 8: Above 20000 612 10.3 Total 5932 100.0

E1: Were there any other people immediately present who might be listening during the interview?

N (%) 1: No one 1583 26.7 2: Husband 378 6.4 3: Other adult male family members 1341 22.6 4: Adult female family members 604 10.2 5: Any male from neighborhood 664 11.2 6: Any Female from neighborhood 240 4.0 7: Small crowd 953 16.1 8: Other 169 2.8

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

N (%) Total 5932 100.0

E2: In how many questions did the respondent check with others for information to answer for questions?

N (%) 1: None 2234 37.7 2: One or two 1900 32.0 3: Three to five 648 10.9 4: Six to ten 684 11.5 5: More than 10 399 6.7 9: No information 67 1.1 Total 5932 100.0

E3: While answering the question on voting preference in the Vidhan Sabha election (Q1a), did the respondent use the ballot paper secretly or did she/he answer openly?

N (%) 1: Secretly 1982 33.4 2: Openly 3303 55.7 3: Not voted 647 10.9 Total 5932 100.0

E4: In your opinion did the respondent feel free while marking the ballot for Q4 do you think that she/he was hesitant while marking the ballot, or you can't say?

N (%) 1: Felt free 3781 63.7 2: Openly 699 11.8 3: Can't say 506 8.5 4: Not voted 946 15.9 Total 5932 100.0

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Uttar Pradesh Tracker Poll December 2016-Findings

E5: At some stage did you notice something that made you feel that the respondent was answering under some fear or pressure?

N (%) 1: Yes 842 14.2 2: No 4355 73.4 3: Not sure 735 12.4 Total 5932 100.0

E6: Overall was the respondent cooperative?

N (%) 1: Yes, very much 3894 65.6 2: Somewhat 1879 31.7 3: Not at all 159 2.7 Total 5932 100.0

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