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YOLO Trading: Riding with the Herd During the Gamestop Episode
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Lyócsa, Štefan; Baumöhl, Eduard; Vŷrost, Tomáš Working Paper YOLO trading: Riding with the herd during the GameStop episode Suggested Citation: Lyócsa, Štefan; Baumöhl, Eduard; Vŷrost, Tomáš (2021) : YOLO trading: Riding with the herd during the GameStop episode, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, Kiel, Hamburg This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/230679 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights -
Irrational Exuberance and the Gamestop Short Squeeze
Irrational Exuberance and the GameStop Short Squeeze | Dr. Alan Greenspan, Senior Economic Advisor | February 2021 The meteoric rise in the stock price of GameStop seems to have brought up the question of irrational exuberance in the markets. Irrational exuberance is a state of investor psychology, when the pendulum between fear and euphoria has swung too far towards the latter. In other words, stock prices are the aggregation of the myriad expectations held by market participants and can at times reflect what seems an unjustifiably optimistic view of future economic conditions. Though prices may appear excessive during periods of irrational exuberance (i.e., priced for perfection) they are nonetheless rooted in some concrete view of an uncertain future that can be articulated in terms of expectations of future cash flows, interest rates, etc. While the first leg of the GameStop rally can be In 1869, when Jay Gould (an American railroad attributed to pockets of irrational exuberance, the magnate, financial speculator, and one of the latter part of its parabolic rise is almost certainly Robber barons of the Gilded Age) sought to more a case of market structure rather than drive up the price of gold, he turned to the basic investor psychology. In this view, the latter part of economic principle of limiting the supply. He and the rally is a simple case of supply and demand, his associates attempted to convince President with several historical precedents, compounded Grant to limit the amount of gold the Treasury was somewhat by technology and features of the selling into the market. Their ploy was successful present-day financial system. -
Cecilia Diaz Critical/Cultural Methods Dr. Bob Bednar 4/8//21
Cecilia Diaz Critical/Cultural Methods Dr. Bob Bednar 4/8//21 Research Project Draft Protests in the name of social reform have recently undergone drastic transformations in how they are founded and manifested. The ascension of social media use in the early 2000s gave rise to streamlined instant communication between people that otherwise may have never communicated organically. History has proven that we gather together in times of hardship and join forces when those hardships necessitate change and reform. The internet eliminates the practical issue of distance and facilitates the possibility of an infinite number of formed communities. In the case of protest, it facilitates the ability to organize and gather to demand social and political change. Sebastián Valenzuela suggests that one explanation for use of social networks and political protest may be online expression as a foundation for action. It is stated, “In addition to cognitive preparation, the expression of opinions can be facilitators of political protest” (Valenzuela, 2014). Research has shown that when individuals talk about political subjects publicly, they are more likely to mobilize and engage in political activities. The expression “allows people to face their ideas, make arguments, and reflect on the information obtained” (Schmitt-Beck, 2008). Platforms like Twitter and Facebook have acted as multiplexes for the expression of political views and serve as the foundation for many modern protests such as the Black Lives Matter movement, #MeToo, Arab Spring, and the Sunflower Student Movement. The protest this study will focus on is unique in that it was not founded as a politically driven protest but became one, or perhaps more accurately, was received as one as it gained popularity in mainstream media publics. -
Should You Take Investment Advice from Wallstreetbets?
Should You Take Investment Advice From WallStreetBets? Should You Take Investment Advice From WallStreetBets? A DataDriven Approach May 2021 Tolga Buz Gerard de Melo Hasso Plattner Institute, Potsdam Hasso Plattner Institute, Potsdam [email protected] [email protected] Abstract Reddit’s WallStreetBets (WSB) community has come to prominence in light of its notable role in affecting the stock prices of what are now referred to as meme stocks. Yet very little is known about the reliability of the highly speculative investment advice disseminated on WSB. This paper analyses WSB data spanning from January 2019 to April 2021 in order to assess how successful an investment strategy relying on the community’s recommenda tions could have been. We detect buy and sell advice and identify the community’s most popular stocks, based on which we define a WSB portfolio. Our evaluation shows that this portfolio has grown approx. 200% over the last three years and approx. 480% over the last year, significantly outperforming the S&P500. The average shortterm accuracy of buy and sell signals, in contrast, is not found to be significantly better than randomly or equally distributed buy decisions within the same time frame. However, we present a tech nique for estimating whether posts are proactive as opposed to reactive and show that by focusing on a subset of more promising buy signals, a trader could have made investments yielding higher returns than the broader market or the strategy of trusting all posted buy signals. Lastly, the analysis is also conducted specifically for the period before 2021 in or der to factor out the effects of the GameStop hype of January 2021 – the results confirm the conclusions and suggest that the 2021 hype merely amplified preexisting characteristics. -
"Short Squeezes and Market Hype: What You Need to Know"
Short Squeezes and Market Hype: What You Need to Know February 2021 Events that sparked market volatility at the end of January continue to make headlines as everyone loves a David vs Goliath story. The clash between the Hedge Fund professionals and a swarm of retail investors that forced the shares of several companies, most notably GameStop, screaming higher has caught a lot of attention, even beyond the usual financial media outlets. Much has been written about the now-infamous short squeeze, and stories are popping up detailing the fortunes won and lost. The dust is starting to settle, and we thought it would be beneficial to explain some of the key topics in simpler terms to help unfamiliar investors better understand what happened in markets and what they should be mindful of going forward. The Retail Army & GameStop Investors might argue at length about a reasonable fair valuation for a company such as GameStop. As of year-end 2020, the company was valued at around $1.3 billion. A few individuals interested in the business began posting about the company as an attractive investment idea on online forums, thinking the company was undervalued and should be priced higher. Other’s noted the high short interest in the company and chatter began to develop focusing on the short squeeze opportunity. As the momentum of the idea caught on retail investors ganged together to force a short squeeze, enticed by the opportunity to make a quick gain trading the company’s stock. As the excitement grew and more and more investors jumped aboard, the idea worked, and the company’s value surged to over $24 billion. -
Volume 8, Issue 3 (Spring, 2021)
The Interdisciplinary Research Journal Volume 8, Issue 3 (Spring, 2021) Issue Highlights: • #MeToo, Body, Desire & Society • A.I. and the Legal Dimension • Hip Hop and Gandhi • Gamestop, Reddit & Hedge Funds • Profiteering from Publication Error, Fraud & Misconduct ISSN 2053-9665 Exchanges: The Interdisciplinary Research Journal Volume 8, Issue 3 (Spring 2021) ISSN 2053-9665 Published by The Institute of Advanced Study, Zeeman Building University of Warwick, Coventry, Warwickshire, CV4 7AL, UK Editor-in-Chief Dr Gareth J Johnson ([email protected]) Exchanges is a scholar-led, peer-reviewed, diamond open access, interdisciplinary, online-only journal dedicated to the publication of high-quality work by researchers in all disciplines for a broad scholarly audience. No author fees or subscription charges are levied, and contributors retain their author rights. Since 2013, the title has attracted innovative research articles, critical essays and interviews from emerging domain experts and early career researchers globally. The title also publishes scholarly work by practitioner authors and independent scholars. A Managing Editor-in-Chief based at the University of Warwick oversees development, policy and production, while an international Editorial Board comprised of early career researchers provide advice and practically contribute to editorial work. Associate editors are recruited to participate in producing specific special themed issues. Exchanges usually publishes two issues annually, although additional special themed issues -
02|2021 Efl Insights
Q-02_2021_efl-News_09 30.06.21 11:47 Seite 1 efl insights 02|2021 An efl – the Data Science Institute Publication Data Democratization in Asset Management Jump on the Hype – German Retail Investors and the Gamestop Frenzy Phish Me If You Can: Insights from an Eye-Tracking Experiment Is Platform Lending Just a Flash in the Pan? Q-02_2021_efl-News_09 30.06.21 11:47 Seite 2 Impressum Redaktion Prof. Dr. Peter Gomber Dr. Jascha-Alexander Koch Herausgeber Prof. Dr. Wolfgang König Vorstandsvorsitzender efl – the Data Science Institute e. V. Prof. Dr. Peter Gomber Stellvertretender Vorstandsvorsitzender efl – the Data Science Institute e. V. Kontakt [email protected] www.eflab.de Gestaltung Novensis Communication GmbH Bad Homburg 2. Ausgabe, 2021 Auflage: 200 Stück (Print) / 2.000 Stück (E-Paper) Copyright © by efl – the Data Science Institute e. V. Printed in Germany ISSN 1866-1238 Q-02_2021_efl-News_09 30.06.21 11:47 Seite 3 efl | insights 02 | 2021 03 Editorial Data Democratization in Asset Management Dr. Markus Lohmann Markus Lohmann Chief Technology and Data Officer Allianz Global Investors “Data is the new oil” is the claim often used to Data Democratization as the Current Using Democratized Data Effectively Requires the products function), the main task for own- underpin the importance of data for business Paradigm Strong Governance and Architectures ers now is to ensure adequate usage outside progress. In fact, in May 2017, The Economist their function. Like oil, raw data is not valuable reported that the world’s most valuable At Allianz Global Investors, we have turned Data governance delivers most of the answers. -
Trading in the Time of Covid: a Robinhood Bromance
TRADING IN THE TIME OF COVID: A ROBINHOOD..., 28 No. 2 PIABA B.J. 159 28 No. 2 PIABA B.J. 159 PIABA Bar Journal 2021 Melanie Cherdack a1 Copyright © 2021 by Melanie S. Cherdack, All Rights Reserved. TRADING IN THE TIME OF COVID: A ROBINHOOD BROMANCE Introduction In ancient times, circa 1960, an investor would dial his stockbroker on a rotary phone, place an order to purchase shares in IBM stock, the broker would call his trader on the floor of the NYSE, the trader would make a bid to the specialist for the shares, the buy order would be matched with an order to sell, the trade would be recorded with a pencil and a scrap of paper, the order would be filled, the stock certificate would be sent through the mail, and the investor would hold the shares for decades. Not so anymore. Every aspect of investing has changed. The types of securities sold, the proliferation of exchanges, and the disparate trading systems have altered the ways in which the business of securities trading is conducted. 1 And, the era of algorithms and electronic high speed trading, 2 coupled with individual investors' ease of access to the markets through apps and trading platforms, has drastically changed the nature of trading securities. With that, the profile of the individual investor has also morphed. Suffice it to say, “Its not your father's stock market anymore.” An App Is Born The shift to discount brokerage firms and internet trading through platforms like E*Trade and Charles Schwab opened the markets to include a *160 new breed of individual investor seeking to make investments on their own without the use of a traditional broker. -
FACT SHEET – Reddit, Robinhood, Gamestop & Rigged Markets
– FACT SHEET – Reddit, Robinhood, GameStop & Rigged Markets: The Key Issues for Investigation February 1, 20211 The Reddit-fueled and Robinhood-facilitated frenzied trading of GameStop and a number of other public companies have raised serious investor protection and market integrity issues. Indeed, it has exposed a vast predatory ecosystem underpinning too much of modern finance, including the anti-retail trader, anti-buy side practices enabled by a rigged market structure. These events have, once again, also exposed the need to investigate the conduct of numerous financial firms and market intermediaries, including brokers, hedge funds, dealers, short sellers and Wall Street’s megabanks. And it calls for renewed scrutiny into trading practices that have become ingrained in the markets, including leverage, liquidity, derivatives, fragmentation, complexity, interconnectedness, high frequency trading, the gamification of retail trading, market manipulation and conflicts of interest. The equities markets are supposed to facilitate price discovery and allocate capital to its optimal use through fair, orderly, and efficient trading. Recent events related to Reddit, Robinhood, GameStop and other stock trading unrelated to any fundamental, company specific information or rational basis risk shattering investors’ trust and confidence both in the markets and in the regulators who are supposed to protect those markets and their participants. Those regulators have very powerful investigative tools and have full authority to stop and punish fraud, market manipulation, false and misleading statements as well as the full panoply of disclosure violations. Contrary to much self-interested spin, this is not a game. There are lots of real people who are going to lose billions of dollars in connection with this market frenzy and not just hedge funds and other sophisticated financial firms shorting particular stocks. -
COVID-19 Vaccine Perceptions: an Observational Study on Reddit
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.04.09.21255229; this version posted April 13, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license . COVID-19 vaccine perceptions: An observational study on Reddit Navin Kumar1, Isabel Corpus2, Meher Hans2, Nikhil Harle2, Nan Yang3, Curtis McDonald4, Shinpei Nakamura Sakai4, Kamila Janmohamed2, Weiming Tang5,6,7, Jason L. Schwartz8, S. Mo Jones-Jang9, Koustuv Saha10, Shahan Ali Memon11, Chris T. Bauch12, Munmun De Choudhury13, Orestis Papakyriakopoulos14, Joseph D. Tucker5,15,16, Abhay Goyal17, Aman Tyagi18, Kaveh Khoshnood19, and Saad Omer20 1Human Nature Lab, Department of Sociology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA 2Yale College, New Haven, CT, USA 3Department of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA 4Department of Statistics, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA 5University of North Carolina Project-China, Guangzhou, China 6Social Entrepreneurship to Spur Health (SESH) Global,Guangzhou, China 7University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill,Chapel Hill, NC, USA 8Department of Health Policy and Management, Yale School of Public Health, CT, USA 9Department of Communications, Boston College, Boston, MA, USA 10School of Interactive Computing, Georgia Tech, Atlanta, GA, USA 11New York University, Abu Dhabi, UAE 12Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Waterloo, -
The Gamestop Short Squeeze © 2021 Top Targets Market Disruptors Financial Establishment Government the GAMESTOP SHORT SQUEEZE U.S
The GameStop Short Squeeze © 2021 www.onepagethinking.net Top Targets Market Disruptors Financial Establishment Government THE GAMESTOP SHORT SQUEEZE U.S. Asset Managers, Hedge In 2020, hedge funds “shorted” GameStop stock Retail Traders & Online Online Forums and Traditional Broker- Meme Stocks Funds and Private Equity Firms Legislators and Regulators by borrowing shares from owners and brokers of Trading Platforms Influencers Dealer Firms the stock, and selling the borrowed shares to Purpose: Purpose: Concern: “Losing Their Shirts” over Short Concern: Customer Solvency to Cover Purpose: Profit Motive Concern: Possible Market Manipulation and Integrity of buyers (e.g., for $20), with the expectation that the Improve Operating and Online Investment Community Positions That Went Contrary to Expectations Margin Calls on Short Sale Positions Stock Markets Financial Performance GameStop stock price would decline sharply (e.g., Novice Day Traders Reddit Maplelane Capita U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to $2), at which point shares could be purchased GameStop r/WallStreetBets Social Media Platform that Hedge Fund That Lost 45% of its Value Hosts Stock Trading Discussions JP Morgan Chase Enforces Prohibition on Manipulation of U.S. Stock Markets Video Game Retailer Experienced Retail Due to Short-Stock Positions Large U.S. Financial Services Institution in the market, returned to the lender, turning a Investors and Prime Broker to Hedge Funds Mark Cuban Financial Industry profit on the short. But in late January 2021, AMC Entertainment -
Losses, and More Scrutiny, As Gamestop Plunges Again
February 4, 2021 Unique Monthly Visitors: 2,143,524 Link to article More losses, and more scrutiny, as GameStop plunges again Keith Gill, the bull who helped spark a stock frenzy with Reddit posts and YouTube videos, appears to be taking a break from social media “Roaring Kitty” has gone quiet. Keith Gill, the GameStop bull who helped spark a stock frenzy with his Reddit posts and YouTube videos, appears to be taking a break from social media as the state’s securities regulator looks into whether he or his former employer, MassMutual, broke any rules. The Wilmington resident told the Reddit forum WallStreetBets on Wednesday: “heads up gonna back off the daily updates for now.” As usual, he attached a screenshot of what appeared to be a brokerage summary of his GameStop holdings. It showed gains of $7.9 million, or more than 1,000 percent, and a balance of $22.4 million, with 60 percent in cash. Gill, 34, hasn’t posted on his “Roaring Kitty” YouTube channel, which has 372,000 subscribers, for a week. Following that Jan. 22 livestream, GameStop’s stock price soared from $65 to more than $480, as investors on Reddit mounted a grass-roots rally and reveled as they inflicted steep losses on hedge funds that had bet against the videogame retailer. But the Reddit rebellion against Wall Street overlords was short-lived. The stock has tumbled this week, closing Thursday at $53.50, a one-day decline of 42 percent. Even as the air rushes out of the GameStop bubble, regulators are trying to piece together what happened — and whether any securities laws were violated.