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Performance Prediction in Track and Field

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Performance Prediction in Track and Field Western Michigan University ScholarWorks at WMU Master's Theses Graduate College 4-1992 Performance Prediction in Track and Field Ted James Dabbs Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.wmich.edu/masters_theses Part of the Educational Assessment, Evaluation, and Research Commons, and the Health and Physical Education Commons Recommended Citation Dabbs, Ted James, "Performance Prediction in Track and Field" (1992). Master's Theses. 885. https://scholarworks.wmich.edu/masters_theses/885 This Masters Thesis-Open Access is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate College at ScholarWorks at WMU. It has been accepted for inclusion in Master's Theses by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks at WMU. For more information, please contact [email protected]. PERFORMANCE PREDICTION IN TRACK AND FIELD by Ted James Dabbs, Jr. A Thesis Submitted to the Faculty of The Graduate College in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Arts Department of Health, Physical Education and Recreation Western Michigan University Kalamazoo, Michigan April 1992 Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission. PERFORMANCE PREDICTION IN TRACK AND FIELD Ted James Dabbs, Jr., M. A. Western Michigan University, 1992 The study investigated the degree to which predicting performance in track and field relates to individual performances of track athletes. Predictive scores were determined for 26 male and 14 female athletes using prediction equations and test procedures developed by Henson, Turner, and Lacourse (1989a; 1989b). Predictive scores were compared to athletes' individual event point scores published in International Amateur A.thletic Federation (IAAF) men's and women's multi-event scoring tables ("Scoring Table for Men’s," 1962; "Scoring Table for Women's," 1971). Each subject's height, weight and age were recorded as well as performances on the following tests: vertical jump, standing long jump, five bounds for distance, percent body fat, 60 meter dash and 30 meter dash, stride length and stride frequency. Data were collected on sprinters, hurdlers, jumpers, throwers and multi-eventers. The male sprint group showed the only significant correlation. It was concluded that Henson et al. equations did not accurately predict performance. Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Without the help of several people, this project would not have been complete. I would like to thank my advisory committee, Mary Dawson, Roger Zabik, and Hal Ray, for their help and direction. I wish to express sincere appreciation to George Dales and Paul Turner for their friendly encouragement, assistance, direction, and support throughout the preparation of this manuscript. Appreciation is expressed to Jack Shaw and Diane Russo for allowing me to conduct research on their athletes. Appreciation is also due to the athletes for their willingness to take time from their training to participate in this study. I would like to thank Phil Henson for advice and assistance in initiating this project. Finally, I would like to express a special acknowledgement to Giesla Terrell for her help in locating sources and photocopying material during my visits to the National Track & Field Hall of Fame Historical Research Library at Butler University, Indianapolis, Indiana. Ted James Dabbs, Jr. ii Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission. INFORMATION TO USERS This manuscript has been reproduced from the microfilm master. UMI films the text directly from the original or copy submitted. Thus, some thesis and dissertation copies are in typewriter face, while others may be from any type of computer printer. The quality of this reproduction is dependent upon the quality of the copy submitted. Broken or indistinct print, colored or poor quality illustrations and photographs, print bleedthrough, substandard margins, and improper alignment can adversely affect reproduction. In the unlikely event that the author did not send UMI a complete manuscript and there are missing pages, these will be noted. Also, if unauthorized copyright material had to be removed, a note will indicate the deletion. Oversize materials (e.g., maps, drawings, charts) are reproduced by sectioning the original, beginning at the upper left-hand comer and continuing from left to right in equal sections with small overlaps. Each original is also photographed in one exposure and is included in reduced form at the back of the book. Photographs included in the original manuscript have been reproduced xerographically in. this copy. Higher quality 6" x 9" black and white photographic prints are available for any photographs or illustrations appearing in this copy for an additional charge. Contact UMI directly to order. University Microfilms International A Bell & Howell Information Company 300 North Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, Ml 48106-1346 USA 313/761-4700 800/521-0600 Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission. Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission. Order Number 1S476S3 Performance prediction in track and field Dabbs, Ted James, Jr., M.A. Western Michigan University, 1992 UMI 300 N. Zeeb Rd. Ann Arbor, MI 48106 Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission. Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission. TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS......................................................................................... ii LIST OF TABLES........................................................................................................ vii CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION..................................................................................... 1 Statement of the Problem................................................................... 3 Purpose of the Study.......................................................................... 4 Significance of the Study................................................................... 4 Delimitations........................................................................................ 4 Limitations.......................................................................................... 5 Assumptions........................................................................................ 5 Hypotheses of the Study........................................................... 5 Definitions............................................................................................ 6 II. REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE.............................................. 7 Talent Identification Programs .......................................................... 7 The Soviet Union............................................................................ 8 German Democratic Republic ....................................................... 11 The Federal Republic of Germany....................................... 14 Problems in Talent Identification...................................................... 15 Factors Influencing Performance in Track and Field ..................... 16 Physiological and Biomechanical Aspects............................ 17 Anthropometric and Somatotype Characteristics....................... 18 B io lo g ica l..................................................................................... 19 Heredity........................................................................................... 20 iii Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission. Table of Contents-Continued CHAPTER Psychological.................................................................................. 21 Sociological..................................................................................... 22 Predictive Testing in Track and Field .............................................. 23 Sprints............................................................................................ 26 Jumps............................................................................................ 27 Throws.......................................................................................... 28 Multi-Events.................................................................................. 30 Benefits of Testing for Trackand Field Athletes........................ 32 Summary.............................................................................................. 33 III. METHODS AND PROCEDURES......................................................... 35 Subject Selection.......................................................................... 35 Tests and Procedures.................................................................. 36 Demographic Measures ......................................................... 36 Vertical Jump................................................................................ 36 Standing Long Jump............................................................ 37 Five Bounds for Distance............................................................ 37 Percent Body Fat.......................................................................... 37 60-Meter Dash, 30-Meter Dash, 30-Meter Fly, Stride Length, Stride Frequency................... 1.........................
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