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European Technology Update January 19, 2011

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European Technology Update January 19, 2011 European Technology Update January 19, 2011 Thierry Monjauze Managing Director 63 Brook Street London W1K 4HS United Kingdom Phone: +44 20 7518 8900 [email protected] Francois Morin Vice President 63 Brook Street London W1K 4HS United Kingdom Phone: +44 20 7518 8900 [email protected] This report has been prepared by Harris Williams & Co. Ltd and approved by Sturgeon Ventures LLP in accordance with Conduct Of Business rules COBS 4 of the FSA Handbook. www.harriswilliams.com Harris Williams & Co. Ltd is an authorised representative of Sturgeon Ventures LLP which is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Services Authority. This report is being made by Harris Williams & Co. Ltd. Investment banking services are provided by Harris Williams LLC, a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC, and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd. Harris Williams & Co. is a trade name under which Harris Williams LLC and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd conduct business in the U.S. and Europe, respectively. Recent Developments Company Groupon has: (i) closed its $950 million financing round, the largest venture capital round ever, Specific with participation from groups including Kleiner Perkins and Andreessen Horowitz; (ii) acquired SoSata in India, Grouper in Israel and Twangoo in South Africa; and (iii) started preparing for News an IPO that could value the Company as high as $15 billion QlQualcomm has agree d to acqu ire mo bilhibile chip manuf acturer AhAtheros CiiCommunications f$31for $3.1 billion in its largest acquisition to-date Apax Partners-backed IT services provider iGATE has acquired a 63% stake in Patni Computer Systems, an Indian competitor, from General Atlantic for $1.2 billion and expects to acquire an additional 21% from minority shareholders for $301 million French online property ad company SeLoger has agreed to be acquired by Axel Springer for €634 million UK social gaming developer RockYou has acquired rival UK company Playdemic Viven di acqu ire d Frenc h on line tick et ret ail er DiDigiti itick for €45 m illion OneStepAhead, a German designer of navigation software, has been acquired by UK-based competitor CloudMade UK online travel search engine Skyscanner has acquired UK competitor Zoombu LDC has acquired a majority stake in records management company Sala for £11.5 million Tamedia has acquired a 15% stake in Swiss online car classifieds portal car4you.ch with the option to acquire the remaining 85% by 2013 Amazon-backed group-buying site LivingSocial has acquired a 50.1% stake in Spanish provider LetsBonus, and the two companies will launch a joint venture covering 10 countries X5 Music, a Swedish online music company, has raised €7 million from Northzone Ventures Serena Capital led a €3 million round in Yakarouler, a French online car parts retailer French talent management software provider TalentSoft has raised €3 million from Seventure Partners and Alto Invest Iris Capital has led a €5 million round in Searchmetrics, a German SEO services provider German industrial remote control technology provider has raised $4.2 million from M8 Capital SoundCloud, a German music sharing service, has raised $10 million from Index Ventures and Union Square Ventures UK personal finance site Interactive Investor has raised £1.8 million from MMC Ventures Highland Capital Partners, SoftBank Capital and Endeavour Vision have invested $2.1 million in SmallRivers, the Swiss operator of social media tracker Paper.li Online media company Demand Media expects to raise up to $138 million from an IPO Intel reported fourth-quarter earnings of $3.4 billion, up 48% from last year and exceeding analyst estimates MySpace announced that it will cut more than 500 employees, representing approximately 50% of its total staff, as the struggling social network restructures Industry According to eMarketer, the US social gaming market will grow from $856 million in 2010 to Trends $1.3 billion by 2012 led by 56% growth in virtual good sales over the same period US online holiday shopping sales hit a record $32.6 billion, up 12% from 2009, according to comScore Canalys predicted that Google’s Android mobile operating system will grow twice as fast as its competitors in 2011 after growing by 1,000% in 2010 to reach 25% market share According to Juniper Research, global mobile game ad spending reached $87 million in 2010 and is expected to reach nearly $900 million by 2015 ForeSee Results reported that 33% of US online shoppers also visit mobile ecommerce sites 1 Source: Industry news sources. Public Market Trading Statistics Stock Last 30 Days Performance 10% 5% 85%8.5% 7.8% 5.4% 5.1% 0% 5.1% (5%) 16 Dec 22 Dec 28 Dec 03 Jan 09 Jan DJ Stoxx 600 Technology Na sdaq Composite Software and IT Services Communica tions Internet and Digital Media Last Twelve Months 35% 30% 25% 32.3% 20% 18.7% 15% 14.2% 13.2% 10% 11.8% 5% 0% (5%) (10%) (15%) (20%) Jan 2010 Apr 2010 Jul 2010 Oct 2010 Jan 2011 DJ Stoxx 600 Technology Nasdaq Composite Software and IT Services Communications Internet and Digital Media Sources: Capital IQ, 17 January 2011; Brokers’ reports. Comparable CY2011E EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA P / E Trading EBITDA Margin Growth CY2011E CY2012E CY2011E CY2012E CY2011E CY2012E Summary Software and IT Services Enterprise Applications 19.9% 6.5% 1.6x 1.5x 8.1x 7.1x 14.9x 12.8x European Large Cap Software 33.4% 7.5% 3.9x 3.7x 11.9x 10.9x 18.2x 16.0x Financial Software 24.7% 8.7% 2.4x 2.3x 9.3x 8.3x 17.0x 14.7x Healthcare Software 21.3% 25.4% 2.0x 1.7x 8.9x 7.6x 20.8x 17.0x Large Cap IT Services 13.4% 10.2% 0.9x 0.8x 6.4x 5.8x 13.3x 11.7x Mid Cap IT Services 11.3% 4.5% 0.7x 0.7x 6.5x 6.0x 10.5x 9.5x Offshore IT Services 24.4% 22.2% 3.8x 3.2x 15.4x 13.0x 22.0x 18.8x Security Software 35.2% 7.0% 3.4x 3.1x 9.1x 8.1x 17.1x 15.0x Communications Digital Broadband 13.4% 11.1% 0.8x 0.8x 5.8x 5.2x 11.3x 11.9x Diversified Communication Equipment 14.5% 10.9% 1.4x 1.3x 9.2x 8.3x 22.8x 15.5x Mobile Content / Solutions Providers 20.4% 24.6% 1.6x 1.4x 7.8x 6.5x 22.6x 15.9x Mobile Infrastructure Software 23.0% 14.1% 2.4x 2.3x 11.3x 8.2x 18.9x 16.0x Internet and Digital Media Chinese Internet Leaders 42.2% 25.3% 7.5x 5.9x 17.6x 13.9x 26.3x 20.8x Online Classifieds 43.3% 17.8% 6.0x 5.2x 14.2x 11.8x 27.0x 20.6x Content Providers / Communities 22.7% 12.1% 2.6x 2.3x 12.1x 10.4x 26.7x 19.5x Ecommerce 16.7% 23.0% 3.4x 2.7x 19.1x 15.0x 37.2x 30.3x Global Internet Leaders 35. 3% 22. 4% 70x7.0x 56x5.6x 18. 2x 14. 2x 23. 1x 22. 9x Interactive Entertainment 18.9% 40.9% 1.1x 1.0x 7.0x 5.4x 18.0x 14.0x Intermediation and Comparison 26.8% 10.4% 1.8x 1.7x 6.7x 6.0x 16.8x 15.7x Online Gambling 28.6% 9.3% 2.5x 2.3x 7.9x 7.1x 13.3x 11.7x Online Marketing 15.2% 12.9% 1.6x 1.4x 10.6x 8.6x 22.6x 17.6x Online Travel 30.4% 16.2% 4.4x 3.7x 14.1x 10.9x 25.0x 18.3x 2 Software and IT Services Last 30 Days Performance 10% Mid Cap IT Services 8.8% Enterprise Applications 75%7.5% Healthcare Software 4.7% Large Cap IT Services 4.5% European Large Cap Software 4.1% Financial Software 2.8% Security Software 2.4% 5% Offshore IT Services (0.9% ) 0% (5%) 17 Dec 23 Dec 29 Dec 04 Jan 10 Jan 16 Jan European Large Cap Software Fina ncia l Softwa re Enterprise Applications Healthcare Software Security Software Large Cap IT Services Mid Cap IT Services Offshore IT Services Last Twelve Months Performance 40% Offshore IT Services 30.3% 30% Enterprise Applications 22.4% European Large Cap Software 20.9% Financial Software 18.5% Healthcare Software 3.7% 20% Large Cap IT Services 1.0% Security Software (1.6% ) Mid Cap IT S ervices (2 .3 % ) 10% 0% (10%) (20%) (30%) Jan 2010 Apr 2010 Jul 2010 Oct 2010 Jan 2011 European Large Cap Software Financial Software Enterprise Applica tions Healthcare Software Security Software Large Cap IT Services Mid Cap IT Services Offshore IT Services Source: Capital IQ, 17 January 2011. 3 Software and IT Services (Continued) Market Enterprise CY2011E EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA P / E Cap ($m) Value ($m) EBITDA Margin Growth CY2011E CY2012E CY2011E CY2012E CY2011E CY2012E European Large Cap Software SAP 63,661 65,941 34.6% 10.3% 3.6x 3.4x 10.5x 9.6x 15.7x 14.1x Dassault Systemes 9,116 8,186 31.2% 11.8% 3.6x 3.3x 11.4x 10.5x 19.9x 17.9x Sage 59755,975 62646,264 26. 6% 37%3.7% 26x2.6x 25x2.5x 99x9.9x 93x9.3x 14. 2x 13. 3x Autonomy 5,930 5,731 51.4% 11.3% 5.9x 5.3x 11.5x 10.1x 18.2x 16.4x Software 4,028 4,362 28.2% 5.4% 2.8x 2.7x 9.9x 9.1x 15.2x 13.7x Misys 2,784 3,020 24.2% (14.9%) 3.4x 3.8x 14.0x 14.5x 22.6x 19.3x Temenos 2,744 2,886 30.0% 24.3% 5.1x 4.5x 16.9x 14.3x 21.6x 18.6x Aveva 1,743 1,521 35.7% 10.5% 5.4x 4.9x 15.2x 13.0x 25.5x 21.0x Micro Focus 1,310 1,351 38.6% 5.4% 2.9x 2.8x 7.5x 7.2x 10.5x 10.1x Mean 33.4% 7.5% 3.9x 3.7x 11.9x 10.9x 18.2x 16.0x Median 31.2% 10.3% 3.6x 3.4x 11.4x 10.1x 18.2x 16.4x Financial Software Intuit 14,593 14,417 37.9% 11.1% 3.6x 3.3x 9.6x 8.9x 18.5x 16.4x Misys 27842,784 30203,020 24.
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