Not to be cited without prior reference to the author ICES CM 2009/G:11 Comparative study of climate impact on coastal and continental shelf ecosystems in the ICES area: assessment and management. RECENT CLIMATIC CHANGES IN THE SE BAY OF BISCAY AFFECTING PELAGIC AND COASTAL ECOSYSTEMS. V. VALENCIA1, A. FONTÁN1, A. BORJA1, N. GOIKOETXEA1 and J. SÁENZ2. 1AZTI Foundation, Marine Research Division. Herrera Kaia, Portualdea, z/g, 20110-Pasaia (Spain). Tel: +34-943-004800; fax: +34-943-00480. E-mail:
[email protected] 2Department of Applied Physics II, Fac. of Science and Technology, University of the Basque Country, Barrio Sarriena s/n, 48940-Leioa (Spain). Abstract Troughout the last decade, several regime shifts and anomaly patterns for different climatic indices (ENSO, NAO, EA, etc.) have been described, due to unusual values and/or persistent cumulative anomalies. For the inner (southeastern) Bay of Biscay, the prevalence of positive values of the East Atlantic (EA) pattern, since 1998, affects the transport and subsequent properties of the upper water masses. The mesoscale effect, related mainly to the intensification of the British Isles low atmospheric pressure centre, drives also the moisture transport, storm frequency and intensity, etc. As a consequence of the shift in the EA pattern, several structural factors of the coastal and pelagic ecosystems show seasonal and/or annual anomaly patterns, in recent years. For instance, assessment of the recruitment of the Bay of Biscay anchovy, as well as of the benthic communities (macroalgae, barnacles, etc.), based upon climatic and oceanographic variables, show also responses to these anomaly patterns. Factors such as the turbulence-stability and upwelling-downwelling dualities; saline stratification and coastal fertilisation by precipitation and continental runoff; and other coupled oceano-meteorological variables are considered.