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Puolivuosi- Kertomus 2015

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Puolivuosi- Kertomus 2015 PUOLIVUOSI- KERTOMUS 2015 Danske Invest Rahastoyhtiö Oy:n hallinnoimat sijoitusrahastot Danske Invest Rahastoyhtiö Oy Rekisteröity kotipaikka ja osoite Helsinki, Hiililaiturinkuja 2, Helsinki PL 1554, 00075 DANSKE BANK Y-tunnus 0671602-6 Sisällysluettelo 2 Tunnuslukujen selitykset 154 Danske Invest Kulta* 3 Arvo Finland Value 158 Danske Invest Kultapossu 7 Danske Invest Arvo Venäjä 162 Danske Invest Latin America 11 Danske Invest Baltic Equity 166 Danske Invest MediLife 15 Danske Invest China 172 Danske Invest Mustameri 20 Danske Invest Emerging Asia 176 Danske Invest Navigaattori 25 Danske Invest Emerging Markets Debt* 181 Danske Invest Neutral 28 Danske Invest Euro Government Bond Index 190 Danske Invest North America Enhanced Index* 34 Danske Invest Euro High Yield 193 Danske Invest Obligaatio 42 Danske Invest Euro Yrityslaina 198 Danske Invest Pohjois-Amerikka Osake 51 Danske Invest Euroopan Pienyhtiöt 204 Danske Invest Pohjoisen Parhaat 55 Danske Invest Eurooppa Osake 209 Danske Invest Pohjoisen Pienyhtiöt 60 Danske Invest Eurooppa Osinko 213 Danske Invest Raaka-aine* 64 Danske Invest Eurooppa Yhdistelmä 217 Danske Invest Rahamarkkina 71 Danske Invest Europe Enhanced Index* 222 Danske Invest Russia 74 Danske Invest Global Tech 226 Danske Invest Russia Small Cap 80 Danske Invest High Yield* 230 Danske Invest Suomen Parhaat* 83 Danske Invest India 234 Danske Invest Suomen Pienyhtiöt 87 Danske Invest Itä-Eurooppa Konvergenssi 238 Danske Invest Suomi Osake 92 Danske Invest Japani Osake 242 Danske Invest Suomi Osinko 98 Danske Invest Kehittyvät Osakemarkkinat 246 Danske Invest Suomi Yhteisöosake 105 Danske Invest Kestävä Arvo Korko 250 Danske Invest Tavoite 2020 110 Danske Invest Kestävä Arvo Osake 255 Danske Invest Tavoite 2030 115 Danske Invest Kiinteistö 260 Danske Invest Tavoite 2040 119 Danske Invest Kompassi 25 265 Danske Invest Trans-Balkan* 124 Danske Invest Kompassi 50 270 Danske Invest US Small Cap Value 129 Danske Invest Kompassi 75 275 Danske Invest Valtionobligaatio 134 Danske Invest Kompassi Korko 280 Danske Invest Yhteisökorko 138 Danske Invest Kompassi Osake 289 Danske Invest Yhteisökorko Plus 143 Danske Invest Kontra 296 Danske Invest Yhteisöobligaatio 148 Danske Invest Korko 302 Eliksir* * Erikoissijoitusrahasto 1 TUNNUSLUVUT I STANDARDIPOIKKEAMA (Volatiliteetti) Volatiliteetti mittaa sijoituksen tuoton heilahtelua, sen keskihajontaa. Jos hajonta noudattaa normaalijakaumaa, on odotettavissa, että noin kaksi kolmasosaa kaikista havainnoista osuu standardipoikkeamalla vähennetyn ja standardipoikkeamalla lisätyn keskiarvon väliselle alueelle. Mitä suurempi volatiliteetti, sitä suurempi sijoituksen tuottoon liittyvä epävarmuus. Laskennassa käytetään viikkotuottoja II TRACKING ERROR (Aktiivinen riski) Tracking error eli aktiivinen riski mittaa sitä, kuinka tarkasti sijoituksen tuotto seuraa vertailu- indeksin tuottoa. Korkea aktiivinen riski merkitsee sitä, että sijoituksen tuotto suhteessa sen vertailuindeksin tuottoon on vaihdellut voimakkaasti. Pieni aktiivinen riski taas tarkoittaa sitä, että sijoituksen tuotto seurailee vertailuindeksin tuottoa. Laskennassa käytetään viikkotuottoja III SHARPEN MITTARI Sharpen mittari mittaa tuottoa sen riskiin suhteutettuna. Riskittömänä tuottona laskennassa on käytetty Merrill Lynchin 3 kk Euribor-indeksiä ja volatiliteetti on laskettu viikkotuotoista. IV SALKUN KIERTONOPEUS Salkun kiertonopeus kertoo rahaston arvopapereiden vaihtuvuuden tietyllä ajanjaksolla. Luku lasketaan ensin vähentämällä tehtyjen arvopaperiostojen ja -myyntien yhteissummasta merkintöjen ja lunastusten yhteissumma. Salkun kiertonopeus on näin saadun luvun suhde rahaston keskimääräiseen pääomaan tarkasteluajanjaksolla. V TOTAL EXPENSE RATIO (TER-luku) TER-luku sisältää hallinnointipalkkion p.a.(mukaan lukien mahdollinen tuottosidonnainen palkkion), mahdollisesti erikseen veloitettavan säilytyspalkkion p.a., pääomasta mahdollisesti veloitettavat tilinhoito- ja muut pankkikulut sekä mahdolliset muut palkkiot, joita kyseisen rahaston sääntöjen mukaan voidaan veloittaa suoraan rahaston pääomasta. Rahastojen rahastojen osalta luku sisältää myös kohderahastojen kiinteät hallinnointipalkkiot. TER-luku ei sisällä kaupankäyntikuluja. VI RAHASTON KAUPANKÄYNTIKULUT Arvopaperikaupasta aiheutuviksi kuluiksi katsotaan välittäjille maksettavat palkkiot sekä valuutan- vaihdosta aiheutuvat kulut. Kaupankäyntikulut ilmaistaan prosenttiosuutena rahaston pääomasta. VII RAHASTOYHTIÖN LÄHIPIIRIIN KUULUVALLE SIJOITUSPALVELU- YRITYKSELLE MAKSETUT VÄLITYSPALKKIOT Lähipiirillä tarkoitetaan sijoituspalveluyrityksistä annetun lain 6 §:n mukaisesti samaan konsolidointiryhmään kuuluvaa sijoituspalveluyritystä tai luottolaitosta. Lähipiirille maksetut välityspalkkiot ilmoitetaan prosenttiosuutena rahaston maksamista välityspalkkioista. 2 PUOLIVUOSIKERTOMUS 2015 Arvo Finland Value 3 TOIMINTAKERTOMUS Osakekurssit nousivat ensimmäisellä vuosipuoliskolla Suomessa. Vuosi käynnistyi selvällä kurssinousulla ja huippu saavutettiin huhtikuussa. Sen jälkeen kurssit kääntyivät pienoiseen laskuun, kun osakkeiden ostoryntäys tasaantui ja uutisvirta USA:sta ja Aasiasta oli odotettua heikompaa. Rahastolle alkuvuosi oli erittäin hyvä ja tuottoero indeksiin kasvoi yli viiteen prosenttiin. Ylipainot Cramossa, Telestessä, Metsä Boardissa ja Nordeassa sekä Nokian ja Koneen puuttuminen salkusta olivat suurimmat selittävät tekijät hyvässä tuottokehityksessä. Cramon kurssinousu perustui hyvään ensimmäisen vuosineljänneksen tulokseen sekä Ruotsin rakennusmarkkinoiden kasvunäkymiin. Näin saimme takaisin viime vuonna menetetyn tuoton, kun syksyllä 2014 Cramon antama tulosvaroitus painoi osakekurssia koko loppuvuoden. Uskoimme heikkouden oleva kuitenkin tilapäistä ja pidimme yhtiön rahastossa ja tänä vuonna pitkäjänteisyytemme palkittiin. Telesten kurssia nostivat puolestaan uudet tuoteinnovaatiot ja Metsä Boardissa yhtiön ilmoitus paperinjalostuksen lopettamisesta ja keskittymisestä pakkauskartonkeihin otettiin positiivisesti vastaan. Metsä Board järjesti myös osakeannin alkuvuoden aikana ja osallistuimme siihen täysimääräisesti. Muutimme salkun painotuksia alkuvuoden aikana aktiivisesti erityisesti perusteollisuuden osalta: starttasimme vuoteen melko isoilla painoilla ja kun kurssit kääntyivät pieneen laskuun huhtikuussa ja euron heikkeneminen loppui, laskimme sektorin painoa. Yhtiötasolla aktiivisimpia olimme Outokummussa, Metsä Boardissa ja UPM:ssä, joita myimme loppukeväästä. Myös Atriassa, Keskossa ja Munksjössä olimme myyntilaidalla. Ostolaidalla olimme esimerkiksi Fortumissa, Lemminkäisessä, Ilkassa, Spondassa, Stockmannissa ja Valmetissa. Tarkastelujaksolla 2015 sijoitusrahastolle kuuluvaa äänioikeutta on käytetty seuraavissa yhtiöissä: Metsä Boardin yhtiökokouksessa 27.3.2015, Fortumin yhtiökokouksessa 31.3.2015, Affecton yhtiökokouksessa 8.4.2015, Keskon yhtiökokouksessa 13.4.2015, Aktian yhtiökokouksessa 13.4.2015 ja Stora Enson yhtiökokouksessa 22.4.2015. Rahastossa ei käytetty tarkastelujaksolla johdannaisia. Rahaston vastuullisena salkunhoitaja on tarkastelujaksolla toiminut Juha Varis. Sijoitusrahasto Arvo Finland Value Puolivuosikatsaus 30.6.2015 4 ARVOPAPERISIJOITUSTEN JA JOHDANNAISTEN RYHMITTELY Arvopaperit, joilla käydään julkisesti kauppaa arvopaperipörssin pörssilistalla Osakkeet Määrä Kurssi Markkina-arvo %-osuus Affecto Oyj 445 673 3,19 1 421 696,87 4,60 % Aktia Bank Plc A 91 578 10,73 982 631,94 3,18 % Capman Oyj B 725 977 1,02 740 496,54 2,40 % Cargotec Oyj B 54 884 34,39 1 887 460,76 6,11 % Cramo Oyj 108 643 17,68 1 920 808,24 6,22 % Finnair Oyj 132 710 2,75 364 952,50 1,18 % Fortum Oyj 109 000 16,11 1 755 990,00 5,68 % Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj Ii 55 476 2,36 130 923,36 0,42 % Kemira Oyj 111 901 10,26 1 148 104,26 3,72 % Kesko Oyj B 15 500 31,61 489 955,00 1,59 % Lemminkäinen Oyj 80 959 11,80 955 316,20 3,09 % Metsä Board Oyj B 203 750 5,60 1 141 000,00 3,69 % Neste Oyj 76 306 22,90 1 747 407,40 5,66 % Nordea Bank Ab (Fdr) 216 911 11,39 2 470 616,29 8,00 % Outokumpu Oyj 190 650 4,69 893 385,90 2,89 % Restamax Oyj 121 500 4,37 530 955,00 1,72 % Ssab Ab B (Fi) 274 301 4,07 1 115 307,87 3,61 % Sanoma Oyj 83 033 4,68 388 760,51 1,26 % Sponda Oyj 365 864 3,34 1 223 449,22 3,96 % Stockmann Oyj Abp B 132 599 6,31 836 699,69 2,71 % Stora Enso Oyj R 245 737 9,33 2 292 726,21 7,42 % Technopolis Oyj 239 027 3,66 874 838,82 2,83 % Teleste Oyj 135 661 7,30 990 325,30 3,20 % Upm-Kymmene Oyj 40 169 16,02 643 507,38 2,08 % Valmet Oyj 111 000 10,11 1 122 210,00 3,63 % Yit Oyj 118 668 6,54 775 495,38 2,51 % Arvopaperit yhteensä 28 845 020,64 93,35 % Kassa ja muut varat, netto 2 055 013,98 6,65 % Sijoitusrahasto Arvo Finland Value Puolivuosikatsaus 30.6.2015 5 RAHASTON ARVO 30 900 034,62 100,00 % Liikkeessä olevien osuuksien määrä Kasvuosuudet 14 456 970,85920 Tuotto-osuudet 267 444,30992 Rahasto-osuuden arvo Kasvuosuus 2,10996 Tuotto-osuus 1,48233 Hallinnointipalkkio 187 339,71 € Rahaston tunnusluvut: I Standardipoikkeama 16,25 % p.a. II Tracking error 8,79 % p.a. III Sharpen mittari 0,65 p.a. IV Salkun kiertonopeus 236,00 % p.a. V Total Expense Ratio 1,22 % p.a. Tuottosidonnaisen palkkion osuus % p.a. VI Rahaston kaupankäyntikulut* 0,31 % p.a. VII Lähipiirin osuus maksetuista välityspalkkioista 17,23 % p.a. * Rahaston valuuttakaupat on tehty nettohinnoilla. Sijoitusrahasto Arvo Finland Value Puolivuosikatsaus 30.6.2015 6 PUOLIVUOSIKERTOMUS 2015 Danske Invest Arvo Venäjä 7 TOIMINTAKERTOMUS Venäjän osakemarkkinat lukeutuivat vuoden ensimmäisellä puoliskolla maailman parhaimmis- toon. Tähän oli useita syitä: öljyn hinnat vahvistuivat ja Ukrainan konfliktin
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