Peace in Ukraine I: A European War Europe Report N°256 | 28 April 2020 Headquarters International Crisis Group Avenue Louise 235 • 1050 Brussels, Belgium Tel: +32 2 502 90 38 • Fax: +32 2 502 50 38
[email protected] Preventing War. Shaping Peace. Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... i I. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 1 II. Think Globally, Act Locally: Russia, Ukraine and Western Powers ................................ 4 A. What is Russia Thinking? .......................................................................................... 4 B. Ukrainian Perspectives .............................................................................................. 7 C. Ukraine’s Western Saviours? ..................................................................................... 9 D. A Prolonged Paralysis ................................................................................................ 11 III. European Security: Necessary if Not Sufficient for Peace in Ukraine ............................. 13 IV. The Local Still Matters: Components of Ukraine’s Peace ............................................... 16 V. Conclusion ........................................................................................................................ 18 APPENDICES A. About the International Crisis Group .............................................................................