The Lake Lothing (Lowestoft) Third Crossing Order 201[*] ______
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Lake Lothing Third Crossing Outline Business Case Document Reference: 7.4 The Lake Lothing (Lowestoft) Third Crossing Order 201[*] _________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ Document 7.4: Outline Business Case _________________________________________________________________________ Planning Act 2008 Infrastructure Planning The Infrastructure Planning (Applications: Prescribed Forms and Procedure) Regulations 2009 Regulation Number: 5(2)(q) PINS Reference Number: TR010023 Author: Suffolk County Council Document Reference: 7.4 Date: June 2018 Lake Lothing Third Crossing Case for the Scheme Document Reference: 7.1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This page is intentionally left blank i Outline Business Case Lake Lothing Third Crossing, Lowestoft 24 December 2015 Mouchel Ltd Export House Cawsey Way Woking Suffolk GU21 6QX UK T +44 (0)1483 731000 F +44 (0)1483 731003 Outline Business Case Lake Lothing Third Crossing, Lowestoft Document Control Sheet Project Title Lake Lothing Third Crossing Outline Business Case Report Title Outline Business Case Report ref no. Version 7.0 Status Final Report Date 24 December 2015 Record of Issue Version Status Author Date Checked by Date Approved by Date 7.0 Final Rob Surl 15/12/2015 Joanna Lyon 24/12/2015 Joanna Lyon 24/12/2015 Ian Baker Rob Surl Thomas Diver Ian Baker R. Santhakumar Thomas Diver Distribution Date Organisation Contact Format Copies 24.12.2015 Suffolk County Council Dave Watson E Graeme Mateer Mike Dowdall 29.12.2015 Department for Transport John Collins E Karl Murphy Jago Atkinson © Mouchel 2018 i Outline Business Case Lake Lothing Third Crossing, Lowestoft Limitations This report is presented to Suffolk County Council in respect of Lake Lothing Third Crossing Project and may not be used or relied on by any other person. Notwithstanding anything to the contrary contained in the report, Mouchel Consulting is obliged to exercise reasonable skill, care and diligence in the performance of the services required by Suffolk County Council and Mouchel Consulting shall not be liable except to the extent that it has failed to exercise reasonable skill, care and diligence, and this report shall be read and construed accordingly. This report has been prepared by Mouchel Consulting. No individual is personally liable in connection with the preparation of this report. By receiving this report and acting on it, the client or any other person accepts that no individual is personally liable whether in contract, tort, for breach of statutory duty or otherwise. © Mouchel 2018 i Outline Business Case Lake Lothing Third Crossing, Lowestoft Contents Document Control Sheet ............................................................................................. i Limitations ................................................................................................................... i Contents ...................................................................................................................... ii Table of figures ......................................................................................................... xii Tables ....................................................................................................................... xiv 1 Introduction........................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Overview ............................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Location of the scheme ........................................................................................ 1 1.3 The need for a third crossing ............................................................................... 3 1.4 Description of the scheme ................................................................................... 3 1.5 The Five Cases ................................................................................................... 6 1.6 Summary of the Strategic Case ........................................................................... 6 1.6.1 Strategic fit 6 1.6.2 Development plans 6 1.6.3 Problems 6 1.6.4 Aims and objectives 7 1.6.5 Constraints 7 1.6.6 Support for the scheme 7 1.6.7 Option assessment and selection of preferred scheme 7 1.7 Summary of the Economic Case.......................................................................... 8 1.8 Summary of the Financial Case ........................................................................... 8 © Mouchel 2018 ii Outline Business Case Lake Lothing Third Crossing, Lowestoft 1.8.1 Costs 8 1.8.2 Risk 8 1.8.3 Funding 9 1.8.4 Whole life costs 9 1.9 Summary of the Commercial Case ...................................................................... 9 1.9.1 Procurement 9 1.9.2 Form of contract and sourcing. 9 1.9.3 Risk allocation and transfer 10 1.10 Summary of the Management Case .................................................................. 10 1.10.1 Evidence of similar projects; 10 1.10.2 Programme and project dependencies 10 1.10.3 Governance 10 1.10.4 Programme 10 1.10.5 Stakeholder management 11 1.10.6 Risk management 11 1.10.7 Benefits realisation 11 2 The Strategic Case .......................................................................................... 12 2.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................ 12 2.2 Overview ........................................................................................................... 13 2.3 Policy Background – The Business Strategy...................................................... 13 2.3.1 National plans and policies 14 2.3.2 Regional plans and policies 14 2.3.3 New Anglia Strategic Economic Plan (2014) 15 2.3.4 Assisted Area Designation 17 © Mouchel 2018 iii Outline Business Case Lake Lothing Third Crossing, Lowestoft 2.3.5 Lowestoft-Great Yarmouth Enterprise Zone 18 2.3.6 Simplified Planning Zone 19 2.3.7 Suffolk Local Transport Plan 2011-2031 19 2.3.8 Local plans and policies 22 2.3.9 The Waveney Local Development Framework Core Strategy (2009) 23 2.3.10 Lake Lothing and Outer Harbour Area Action Plan, Lowestoft (2012) 23 2.3.11 Lowestoft Transport Strategy (2011) 25 2.3.12 Lowestoft Transport and Infrastructure Prospectus (2013 – 2025) 25 2.3.13 Summary of the Business Strategy and Policy Background 27 2.4 Opportunities for growth, regeneration and inward investment .......................... 28 2.4.1 PowerPark (SSP1) 30 2.4.2 Peto Square and South Quay 31 2.4.3 Kirkley Waterfront and Sustainable Urban Neighbourhood (SSP3) 32 2.4.4 East of England Park (SSP4) 33 2.4.5 Kirkley Rise (SSP5) 33 2.4.6 Western end of Lake Lothing (SSP6) 34 2.4.7 Oswald’s Boatyard (SSP7) 34 2.4.8 The Scores (east of historic High Street) (SSP8) 34 2.4.9 Peto Way / Denmark Road Corridor (SSP9) 34 2.5 Problems ........................................................................................................... 35 2.5.1 Problem: loss of traditional industries and employment 35 2.5.2 Problem: difficulty accessing potential regeneration sites 37 2.5.3 Problem: community severance 39 2.5.4 Problem: congestion 42 © Mouchel 2018 iv Outline Business Case Lake Lothing Third Crossing, Lowestoft 2.5.5 Problem: barriers to walking and cycling 46 2.5.6 Problem: difficulties for local bus services 46 2.5.7 Problem: accidents 48 2.5.8 Summary of problems identified: 50 2.6 The impacts of not changing .............................................................................. 50 2.7 Objectives .......................................................................................................... 53 2.8 Measures for success ........................................................................................ 53 2.8.1 Causality 53 2.8.2 Monitoring and Evaluation 53 2.9 Scope of the scheme ......................................................................................... 55 2.10 Constraints ........................................................................................................ 55 2.10.1 Physical constraints 55 2.10.2 Environmental constraints 56 2.10.3 Financial constraints 58 2.10.4 Contractual constraints 58 2.10.5 Public acceptability constraints 58 2.10.6 Summary of constraints 59 2.11 Interdependencies ............................................................................................. 60 2.11.1 Other transport proposals 60 2.11.2 Major developments 60 2.11.3 Statutory processes 60 2.11.4 Summary of interdependencies 61 2.12 Stakeholders...................................................................................................... 62 2.12.1 Stakeholders 62 © Mouchel 2018 v Outline Business Case Lake Lothing Third Crossing, Lowestoft 2.12.2 Engagement to date with local businesses 63 2.12.3 Stakeholder engagement 63 2.13 Options .............................................................................................................. 63 2.13.1 Option generation (long list) 64 2.13.2 Options considered, but not included in the long list. 64 2.13.3 Initial sifting 65 2.13.4 Short-listed options 65 2.13.5 Preferred scheme 67 2.14 Summary of the Strategic Case ......................................................................... 68 2.14.1 Strategic fit 68 2.14.2 Development plans 69 2.14.3 Problems 69 2.14.4 Aims and objectives 69 2.14.5