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Arabian-Iranian Basin) UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR GEOLOGICAL SURVEY Assessment of conventionally recoverable petroleum resources of Persian Gulf basin and Zagros Fold Belt (Arabian-Iranian basin) by Charles D. Masters Open-File Report 81-986 This report is preliminary and has not been reviewed for conformity with U.S. Geological Survey editorial standards and stratigraphic nomenclature. 1981 Assessment of conventionally recoverable petroleum resources of Persian Gulf basin and Zagros Fold Belt (Arabian-Iranian Basin) by Charles D. Masters PREFACE The following preliminary report is a product of the World Energy Resources Program of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). The program is designed to prepare geologically based resource assessments of the potential petroleum basins of the world. Initial investigations of the program focus on the major petroleum-producing regions of the world with the objective of acquiring a critical, unbiased perspective on the resource potential of a field, a basin, and ultimately a country as a whole. In selected areas, follow-on studies to analyze production potential are conducted by U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) petroleum engineers, and the combined results are incorporated in a report for the Foreign Energy Supply Assessment Program (FESAP) of the DOE and the USGS. This USGS Open-File Report includes only the preliminary assessment and some minimal backup data and comments relative to the assessment. INTRODUCTION The location of the Arabian-Iranian basin is shown in figure 1. Uncondi­ tional estimates by the USGS of oil and gas resources in this basin are given in table 1 and figures 2 and 3. Data supporting these estimates are supplied in table 2. Assessment region Area in mi 2 730,000 Vol. of sed. 1,700,000 in mi 3 30' Figure 1.--Location of Arabian-Iranian basin Explanation assessment, including Persian Gulf basin and Zagros Fold Belt. \reas containing knowi oil or gas deposits or which are favorable for their occurrence From: Map of Prospective Hydrocarbon Provinces of the World, 1978, U.S. Geological Survey Suhbasin associated with large dapocenter Miscellaneous Field Studies Map MF 1044-B. Unlabeled and stippled areas judged to be nonprospective for hydrocarbons icul'.---2S ,000 ->qujre mile--: f hi, 000 square kilometers; Table 1. Assessment of conventionally recoverable petroleum resources of the Persian Gulf basin and Zagros Fold Belt (Arabian-Iranian Basin) Unconditional resource assessment by USGS as of 4/1/81; see also figures 2 and 3 Crude Oil Natural Gas in Billions of Barrels in Trillions of Cubic Feet (Tcf) (BB) and Billions of Barrels of Oil Equiv­ alent (BBOE) @ 6,000 cuft/bbl. Probability 95% 5% Mean 95% 5% Mean of occurrence in % Estimate 72 337 174 Tcf 299 1,792 849 BBOE 50 299 142 Distribution by country of undiscovered recoverable petroleum resources in Persian Gulf Basin and Zagros Fold BeltJL/ Crude Oil Natural Gas (BB) (TCF) Saudi Arabia (SA) 57 201 Iran (In) 26 560 Iraq (Iq) 78 31 UAE (U) 7 38 Kuwait (K) 4 11 Oman (On) 2 8 Qatar (Q)!/ < 1 < 1 Bahrein (B) _0 _0 174 849 I/ Neutral Zone (NZ) potential of 2.2 BB of oil and 17 Tcf of gas is equally divided between Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. JL' Not included in totals. UNCOND Figure 2.-RRRBIRN IRRNIRN BRSIN RECOVERRBLE OIL Assessment Date 4/1/81 ESTI MRTES 2T oz m HERN E - 173.89 h-» o \ MEOIflN - 155.77 QJ 957. 72.00 or \ 75X 113.52 i« 50X 155.77 0 v L- 25X. 213.75 O 5X 337.00 ^T MODE 125.00 »- o S.D. 86.28 _J \ i \ CD or oa 00 o- 0 ° \v QZ O- ^^ o . "^- - 0_ 1 - > 0.0 65.0 130.0 195.0 260.0 325.0 390.0 455.0 520.0 585.0 650.0 BILLION BRRRELS RECOVERflBLE OIL UNCOND Figure 3.-RRflBIflN IRRNIRN BRSIN RECOVERRBLE 6RS Assessment Date 4/1/81 ^ E STIMRTES I- MERN - 848.85 f-» o \ MED IfIN - 731.99 BS7. - 299.00 7S7. - 507.07 1- 507. - 731.99 0 \ 257, - 1056.67 o £r' \ 57. - 1792.00 i MODE - 544.32 x-, 0 \ S.D. - 498.42 _J » < OQ cn <M " CO '- \ X 0 °. GL. 0 - ^-~~^ * 0- - . .. - 0.0 375.0 750.0 !125.0 1500.0 1875.0 2250.0 2625.0 3000.0 3375.0 3750.0 TRILLION CUBIC FEET RECOVERABLE 6RS Table 2. Supplementary and comparative data supporting this resource assessment of the Persian Gulf basin and Zagros Fold Belt_L' Crude Oil Natural Gas (BB) (Tcf) Cumulative Production 102-108 Identified Reserves^./ Demonstrated 356 517 Inferred 59 563 415 1,080 BBOE 180 Original Recoverable Resources (ultimate) of the Basin Oil Gas (BBOE) Cumulative Production 108 +?/ Identified Reserves 415 1,080 Undiscovered Resources 174 849 697" 1,929+ BBOE 322+ Total Oil and Gas 1,019+ BBOE ±J Cumulative production and reserves are composited estimates from various sources. _' Quantity positive but data unavailable. J/ Follows terminology outlined in USGS Circular 831. Demonstrated is equivalent to API Proved plus Indicated additional. Inferred represents anticipated reserves growth in existing fields. COMMENTS Assessment does not cover those parts of a country not included in the Persian Gulf basin - Zagros Fold Belt (or Arabian-Iranian basin). Reserve estimates are quite approximate owing to underdevelopment of fields, marked fluctuations in official estimates in recent years, and major differences of opinion on recoverability. Inferred reserves are estimated by assuming that the high side of published reserve estimates includes potential field growth. Large structures so dominate the pattern of oil occurrence that our lack of knowledge of existing structures and their tests seriously challenge the assessment. The entire area will require continued surveillance to maintain credible assessments. Many areas have single wells now plugged but tested at several thousand barrels per day. Major potential regions are in areas of presumed minimal exploration, S.W. Iraq, Rub al-Khali, N.W. Iran, S.E. Iran. Gas resources have scarcely been tested in the Middle East. The inferred estimate likely does not accommodate for all the potential, but it does emphasize a category of reserves that must be accounted for. Potential for inferred gas and oil on major structures is huge. Overall basin volumetrics excluded nonmarine facies of the west Rub al Khali..
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