FINAL REPORT TO NATIONAL COUNCIL FOR SOVIET AND EAST EUROPEAN RESEARC H

TITLE : Economic Relations betwee n Third-World Marxist Nation s and the Soviet Bloc : A Case Study of : 1979 - 198 3

AUTHOR : Frederic L . Pryo r

CONTRACTOR : Swarthmore Colleg e

PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR : Frederic L . Pryor

COUNCIL CONTRACT NUMBER : 800-2 2

DATE : April, 198 6

The work leading to this report was supported by funds provided by the National Council for Soviet and East European Research .

TABLE OF CONTENT S

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY . ii i

A . Introduction 1 B . Research Materials 2 C . Background on Grenada, 4 1 . The Coup 2 . Events Leading to the Coup D . The Economic Context of Events 1 4 1 . Background 2 . PRG Economic Policie s 3 . Some Basic Political Factors E . The Quest for Foreign 1 9 1 . Background 2 . The Diplomatic Offensiv e 3 . The Strategy of the Ques t 4 . A Perspective F . Technical Assistance 3 6 1 . Planning 2 . Specialist s 3 . Other G . Trading with the Soviet Bloc 4 0 1 . Sale s 2 . Prices H . Some Conclusions 46 1 . Soviet Bloc Relations with th e Marxist Third World as a Whole 2 . A Perspective on Grenad a

ii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

On , 1979, the overthrew Eri c Gairy, Prime Minister of Grenada, and established a Marxist-Leninist government on this, one of the smallest , poorest, and most densely-populated Island . Committed to the construction of in their island nation, th e leaders of the People's Revolutionary Government inherited a weak agricultural which depended primarily on the expor t of tree products (nutmeg, cocoa, and bananas) and fo r hard . To finance the transformation of Grenada's Thir d

World culture into a modern , the leaders turne d to outside sources of funding . First and foremost, they turne d to their elder brothers in socialism, the Soviet Bloc . Traditionally the Soviet Bloc has given few trad e concessions and relatively small amounts of economic aid t o their Third World allies . They are thus able to hold thes e allies rather inexpensively . Military aid is considerably mor e important than such economic aid and appears to be heavil y concentrated in a few countries . This military aid has provide d the USSR with the leverage to maintain discipline among it s allies in various international forums . Unlike most Third World Marxist nations, Grenada from 197 9 to 1983 was able to obtain considerable amounts of foreign ai d from the Soviet Bloc . The PRG, under the direction of Prim e

iii Minister and Minister of Trade, Planning, an d

Finance , may be characterized as "foreign ai d socialism ." That is, Grenada's short-live Marxist experimen t under Bishop was an attempt to introduce socialism by a government that was completely dependent on foreign grants an d concessionary loans of like-minded nations to achieve it s economic aims . Grenada's experience with the USSR and othe r socialist nations provides insight into the process by whic h Soviet Bloc economic ties are structured with Third Worl d nations with a socialist orientation .

Internationally, the PRG reoriented Grenada's foreign polic y to forge close links with and the . A usefu l indicator for this change is its voting pattern in the U .N .

General Assembly in 1980, the year after the coup . Grenad a voted with Cuba 92 percent of the time (and never in opposition ) and with the Soviet Union 79 percent of the time (and only 6 percent in opposition .) The PRG's foreign relations were a crucial part of its economic strategy since it attempted to us e its political services to the Soviet Bloc and the radical Thir d

World as a lever with which to obtain foreign aid . The PRG was extremely successful in this strategy . Cuba wa s the most important patron to the island, giving about 30 percen t of the total economic and military aid . It is noteworthy tha t most of the aid from other Marxist nations came in the form o f grants and that the Soviets contributed much more military tha n economic aid . Aid from Western nations was quite small and, i n the case of British and Finnish loans, was tied to the purchas e

iv of equipment from these countries . U .S . aid came primaril y through the Caribbean Development Bank, a multilateral lendin g agency which did not accede to U .S . requests to limit aid t o

Grenada, even though the U .S . was the principal donor to th e

Bank .

Average annual grants and loans were about U .S .

$25,000,000 . For a nation with a population of roughly 90,000 , this is quite significant, for the ratio of such aid to th e average was roughly 30 percent for th e five year period . Since it actually took the PRG almost a yea r to get the flow started, the actual ratio of foreign ai d received to gross domestic product was much higher than 3 0 percent in the early years of the regime .

Cuba's major support of Grenada consisted of EC $82,000,00 0 for the construction of a modern airport to attract mor e tourism, given in the form of both manpower and equipment . Bu t

Cuba also gave EC $17,000,000 for other projects . At the tim e of the intervention there were about 784 Cubans on the island , of which about 636 were working on the airport, 22 served a s military advisors, 17 worked as physicians and dentists, an d others worked as teachers, advisors to the Ministry of Interior , and other governmental bureaus .

The Cuban aid was said to be given without strings and wa s particularly helpful to the PRG because it was continuous , responsive to the PRG's needs of the moment, directed at a variety of problems, and given as grants . It seems that th e

Cubans made few demands of the Grenadians . They did, of course ,

v keep a close eye on them, and it is alleged that in the firs t years of the revolution the Cuban ambassador attended cabine t meetings . Further, the Cubans placed technicians in some ke y ministries . In any case, the PRG appeared most willing t o coordinate its foreign policy efforts with the Cubans and t o draw lessons from the "Cuban experience ." Although the Cuban s occasionally manifested displeasure in the course of Grenadia n events, they tried for the most part to maintain their role as a wise and generous uncle with considerable tolerance . The U .S .S .R . was a rather phlegmatic partner in Grenada' s construction of socialism . The stinginess of Soviet aid may b e attributed to two causes . First they did not wish to rile th e by developing unnecessarily close relations with a nation close to its shores . Second, they preferred to let Cub a carry the brunt of the aid, especially since Cuba had mor e experience in dealing with Caribbean conditions . In 1980, th e

Soviet Union signed an agreement to send arms to Grenada durin g the 1980 - 1983 period . However, they did not prove ver y generous with regard to economic aid . Although scholarships an d military grants were forthcoming, it was difficult for Grenad a to obtain much economic aid from the U .S .S .R . With regard t o , the Soviets noted that their aid efforts i n mechanized tropical agriculture had not been very successful an d had resulted in a loss of prestige ; therefore, they recommende d that the Grenadians try the Bulgarians and Hungarians for suc h aid . They also refused to help with the design of buildings , noting that the U .S .S .R . generally built much larger building s

vi than those requested by the PRG ; again they recommended th e

Bulgarians . They said further that they did not want to set an y precedents with Grenada . They stressed that the Sovie t bureaucracy needed a great deal of time to study various ai d requests .

In 1981, 1982, and 1983, the Soviet Union did make severa l small grants for economic purposes, but these amounted to onl y EC $7,000,000 (US $2 .5 million) . The Soviets did not appea r interested in helping to finance the airport and they seemed t o respond slowly to the PRG's perceived economic needs .

Nevertheless, the Soviet Union did send a series of missions t o Grenada, and they also established an embassy on the island . By

1983, Soviet interest had finally been seriously aroused : a t the time of the intervention, 49 Soviet diplomats and advisors , headed by a three-star general, were on the island . In sum ,

Grenada was a political plum which unexpectedly fell in the la p of the Soviet Union and it took them considerable time t o appraise its worth . The other major figure in Grenada's network of socialis t financing was the GDR, which provided the PRG with a series o f grants, concessionary loans, and some technical assistance . I t seems that the GDR profited much more than did Grenada in thi s relationship, as the GDR foreign trade enterprises took grea t advantage of Grenadian incompetency or ignorance to obtai n highly advantageous import prices from the PRG, and at the sam e time, to sell obsolete equipment to them . Such other states a s , and offered technica l

vii advice, but little else .

In general, aid from the Soviet Bloc to Grenada was loosel y coordinated among the various countries, with participant s setting the interests of each national economy before assistanc e to the newest entry into the community of socialist states . This was most apparent in the behavior of the Soviet Bloc i n

1983, the critical year for Grenada's economy, when refusal b y the Bloc to provide emergency aid of less than $20,000,00 0 essentially wrote the island nation off the socialist ledger . In analyzing policy options of the U .S . in dealing with Thir d World Marxist nations, it is imperative to determine which ar e really considered vital to the Bloc's strategic purposes . Clearly Grenada did not appear very important .

NOTE : This report contains several tables of data within th e body of the text . The greatest challenge in working on th e economy of Grenada is the difficulty in obtaining long ru n series on the economy . Moreover, there are no official nationa l calculations . The appendix at the back of the report i s designed to overcome this difficulty somewhat by including th e various series which the author obtained or estimated .

viii

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Economic Relations between Third-World Marxist Nations and the Soviet Bloc : * A Case Study of Grenada, 1979 - 198 3

A . Introductio n

Economic relations between third world Marxist nations and the Sovie t

bloc are somewhat enigmatic since relevant information is generally scanty .

Data on the volume of trade and foreign aid are available for most of thes e

Marxist regimes - and are reviewed in the final section of this essay - bu t

such aggregate information does not reveal the political/economic force s

underlying the data . Some data are also available on certain aid projects, bu t

such information often reflects very specific events, rather than basi c

political and economic trends . Finally, of course, there are ecstatic article s

in the local press of the countries involved on such peripheral matters a s

exchanges of delegations, ground-breaking ceremonies, and the like whic h

deflect attention from more serious concerns .

The case of Grenada, which had a Marxist government between 1979 an d

1983, differs from other such countries because a certain amount of usefu l

information on its relations with the Soviet bloc nations is contained in th e

archives captured during the U .S . military intervention in October 1983 .

Additional details for this essay were obtained from interviews conducted wit h

Grenadian officials involved in transactions with the Soviet bloc .

My overall study of Grenadian economic relations with the Soviet Bloc ha d

two purposes : to gain insight into the process by which Soviet bloc economi c ties are structured with third world nations "with a socialist orientation" ;

and to understand the internal economic dynamics of these third-world Marxis t

nations . This report deals particularly with the first of these two purposes ;

most materials relating to the second purpose are presented in my forthcomin g

book on Grenada's economy during the period from 1979 to 1983 .

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This report is organized in the following manner : Section B focuses upo n

the basic sources of information and the ways in which these materials can be

used for research on the Soviet bloc ; Section C deals with the background o f

the coup ; Section D covers the economic context of events ; Sections E, F, and

G deal respectively with Soviet bloc economic aid, technical aid, and trad e

with Grenada ; Section H discusses relations between the Soviet bloc and th e

entire group of third-world Marxist nations and draws general conclusion s

about the case of Grenada .

B . Research Material s

The materials captured by the American forces in Grenada during th e

military intervention are now available for public examination in the U .S .

National Archives, Modern Military Headquarters Branch . They consist of abou t

10,000 microfiches and are arranged in a higgely-piggely fashion with man y

duplications ; in many cases photoreproduction is also quite poor . Only abou t

three quarters of the materials are indexed and, it should be added, th e

available index is quite inadequate . A number of the microfiches are also

missing . The materials include minutes of Central Committee and Politica l

Bureau meetings, internal memoranda, and statistics as well as diaries ,

receipts, bank account statements, inventories, love letters, propaganda, an d

other detritus which permit quite a detailed view to be gained about th e 1/ period .— Unfortunately, the Grenadian government set the President's Offic e

and Foreign Ministry on fire shortly before the military intervention so as t o

prevent certain papers from falling into U .S . hands . Therefore, many usefu l

materials relating to foreign relations are not in the archives .

On the whole I found most Grenadians quite willing to talk about thei r

experiences during the 1979 - 83 period and my interviews included : Bernard

Coard, the Minister of Finance, who succeeded Maurice Bishop as Prim e

Minister ; one former Prime Minister () and the Prime Minister

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designate after Coard resigned (Earle Bullen) ; three other cabinet member s

(Lloyd Noel, Kendrick Radix, and Lyden Ramdhanny), one permanent secretar y

(Lauriston Wilson), several active members of the youth group including its

founder (Basil Gahagan), and a number of businessmen, educators, second leve l

governmental officials, newspapermen, educators, and many other Grenadians wh o

were willing to share their experiences . Several members of the revolutionar y

government also flatly ref sed to talk with me . I also conducted interviews

with several U .S . State Department officials including two ambassadors t o

Grenada and the head of the Caribbean office . In addition, I visited severa l

U.S . factories processing Grenadian-supplied raw materials .

At the present time several books and articles have been published on th e 2/ revolutionary period .— With one exception all deal primarily with th e

domestic politics of the period ; and the single book focusing on the economy

(by Jay Mandle) is rather general and does not handle most of the issues i n

much detail . All of these books draw from readily available Grenadia n

documents which have been published by the U .S . State Department ; only on e

book (by Sandford and Vigilante) is based on serious use of the less readil y

available archival materials .

In short, we have enormous research materials with which to deal .

Unfortunately, these materials are not as explicit on many issues as we migh t

wish and in many cases we are left only with evidence from a set of separat e

incidents, from which we must draw our own conclusions . Nevertheless, th e

evidence on the behavior of the interested parties permits us to draw certai n

inferences about Soviet bloc policy-making mechanisms which complement ou r

knowledge drawn directly from Soviet bloc sources .

The most important gaps in our knowledge of Grenada during the period ar e

on two topics : a) foreign policy ; b) social organization, particularly the

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roles played by the mass organizations for women and youth, the labor unions ,

and the church . The available materials would permit serious study of bot h

topics ; the latter would be especially useful in understanding how other thir d

world Marxist nations function .

C . Background on Grenada

1 . The Coup

On March 13, 1979 while Eric Gairy, the elected Prime Minister o f

Grenada, was out of the country, a small group of activists of the New JEWE L

Movement (henceforth NJM) stormed the main army barracks in True Blue (a hill y

area about five miles from the capital), successfully overturned th e

government in an almost bloodless coup d'etat, and created a new regime whic h

became known as the People's Revolutionary Government (henceforth PRG) . The

leader of the party, Maurice Bishop, was designated as the new Prime Minister ;

and the second in command of the party, Bernard Coard, became the Deputy Prim e

Minister and the Minister of Trade, Planning, and Finance, i .e ., the effectiv e

head of the economy .

Although the PRG revealed very little of how the coup was carried out, I

was able to reconstruct events from the description of several participants .

The military action was carried out by only about 18 men and the success o f

the first blow allowed them not only to capture weapons but to gain control o f

the radio station from which they directed subsequent events . Two aspects o f

these actions are noteworthy : first, the governments of these microstates ar e

extremely fragile ; second, the major fighting was carried out by members o f

youth group associated with the party (OREL : Organization for Revolutionar y

Education and Liberation) who subsequently received high appointments in th e

police and army and who played a major - if not the critical - role in th e

removal of Maurice Bishop as head of the Party four and a half years later .

They represented the dogmatic left of the revolution . (In passing it should be

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noted that in a number of third-world Marxist nations, youth groups hav e

played extremely important political roles, e .g ., in the People's Republic o f

the Congo ; political scientists might do well to focus more attention in thei r

future research upon such groups .)

The degree of Cuban and Soviet complicity in these events is not ye t

known . A number of Grenadians including Lloyd Noel, a close friend of Bishop

and Minister of Justice of the PRG (before he was imprisoned) have asserted

[interview] that a small number of Cubans participated in some manner in th e

attack on the True Blue barracks ; but he has not yet published his memoir s

with the evidence . Some interview evidence is available that Guyanese troop s 3 / participated in some way— ; however, one eyewitness to the military action

(who seemed reliable) denied to me that any foreign troops directly took par t

in the military action . A Soviet tourist ship carrying West German tourists ,

the Ivan Franco, was also in the harbor on the day of the coup ; these Soviet

boats visited Grenada two or three times a year and it is not known whether o r

not this timing on the day of the coup was fortuitious .

The rise and reign of the PRG has important historical and politica l

interest . For the first time in the English speaking , a politica l

party of the left had adopted the time-worn practice of the Latin America n

right of unseating an elected government by force of arms . In its 55 months o f

power the NJM tried to transform the politics, international relations, an d

economy of Grenada . It suppressed political opposition, dominated the new s

media, and successfully created a one party state . It reoriented Grenada' s

foreign policy to forge close links with Cuba and the Soviet Union . It tried

to institute a series of changes in the economic system so that the islan d

nation had a "socialist orientation ."

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2 . Events Leading to the Coup

Tracing the deep historical roots of the Grenadian coup is more properl y

a historian's task than mine . Certainly, the early history of the islan d

follows the confused and violent pattern of many of the other islands in th e

region . One special feature, however, deserves brief mention . Grenada has no t

only been relatively unknown in the wider world, but in the British Wes t

Indies, Grenadians are considered "small islanders", and many from the islan d

who emigrated to larger islands in search of greater economic opportunites ,

were subject to exploitation and mistreatment . This small island status no t

only reinforced Grenadian realization of its relative economic and politica l

backwardness but also encouraged a foreign policy fascination on the part o f

PRG leaders to the relative neglect of the domestic economy . The rest of the

story of events in Grenada can, perhaps, be most conveniently told in the for m

of brief sketchs of the three most powerful men in the Grenadian governmen t

from 1979 through October 25, 1983, namely Eric Gairy, Maurice Bishop, an d

Bernard Coard, provide some useful background for the events described below .

On an island as small as Grenada, personalities play an important role in thi s

political-economic drama .

a . Eric Gairy

In 1951 Eric Gairy burst onto the Grenadian scene and led a

successful strike of the plantation workers - the most extensive strike th e

island had ever witnessed . The loyalty of these workers, which stemmed from a

combination of Gairy's charisma and the substantial wage increases which h e

obtained for them, created the power base which led to his domination o f

Grenadian politics for more than a quarter of a century until overthrown b y

the NJM in 1979 .

In 1951 the also granted Grenada limited self rule wit h

universal sufferage, an important milestone on the island's path toward

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political independence . After two years of negotiations with the U .K . Gairy ,

as elected head of the Grenadian government, obtained full independence to th e

island in 1974 and Grenada became the first of the smaller t o

achieve this status . This controversial step in Grenada not only solidifie d

Gairy's political support in certain Grenadian circles (especially the rura l

sector) but also exacerbated the fears of his opponents that in the futur e

there would be no external force to curb his excesses as there had been in th e

past .

Gairy's years of governmental leadership were stormy . He was repeatedl y

censured for "squandermania" (wastage of public funds) and in the early 1960' s

he was banished from Grenadian politics for a series of open transgression s

against public law . Further, as the years passed, he seemed to becom e

increasingly more erratic, authoritarian, and repressive . He announced hi s

annointment by God to rule Grenada . He lectured the U .N. General Assembly and

other international organizations on the necessity of carrying out psychi c

research and studying flying saucers, a performance which reinforced th e

feelings of small-island humiliation on the part of his fellow Grenadians .

Gairy's political orientation raised considerable opposition : from the

established plantocracy in this early years and later from groups of educate d

young men and women wishing to change Gairy's personalistic politics in orde r

to modernize the country's economy and government . Among these was the New

JEWEL (Joint Endeavours for Welfare, Education and Liberation) Movement ,

formed in 1973 by a fusion of two smaller parties to combat the arbitrarines s

and corruption of Gairy's government . Gairy dealt with this opposition in a n

authoritarian manner : his various security forces murdered and brutalized hi s

political opponents : indeed, the NJM gained considerable political capital i n

the "Bloody Sunday" incident of November 18, 1973, when Gairy's police beat

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up Maurice Bishop and his colleagues in a very public and brutal fashion an d

also, several months later, when the police killed Rupert Bishop, the fathe r

of Maurice, who was trying to shield a group of women and children in fligh t

from a confrontation between security forces and some demonstrators . The late r

years of Gairy's government were characterized by constant political turmoil ,

strikes, and on his part escalating rounds of repression and brutality, whic h

resulted in greater resistance and struggle against him .

Gairy's government also practiced a type of mean-spirited statism t o

centralize power, e .g ., his virtual elimination of local government ; hi s

etatisation of the various cooperative marketing boards ; or his expropriatio n

of estates, homes, and businesses with the promise but not the practice o f

paying compensation . By 1979 his government was running into severe problems :

administrative and financial controls were chaotic, expenditures were large r

than revenues, and the government was finding it increasingly difficult t o

borrow to finance the deficit . In brief, Gairy proved repeatedly that he coul d

easily be elected as Prime Minister, but that once in office he could not rul e

wisely .

In the late 1970's Gairy's support from the urban and more educated

strata eroded further, not only because of his repressive and incompeten t

administration but also for the corruptness of his administration . The variou s

political parties opposing Gairy joined together in the People's Alliance i n

the 1976 election and won 48 .2 percent of the vote for the Parliament .

In our interview I found little of the charisma which he is supposed t o

possess . However, to my surprise I found him soft spoken, polite, intelligent ,

and seemingly in good mental health . He also made one extremely perceptiv e

remark : "In my life, unfortunately, I have been surrounded by two types o f

people : those who are very loyal, but not very intelligent ; and those who ar e

very intelligent, but not very loyal ."

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b . Maurice Bisho p

Maurice Bishop was born in 1944 into a middle class family, took hi s

primary and secondary education in Grenada, and numbered among the privilege d

few to study abroad, obtaining a law degree at Gray's Inn in .

Returning home in 1970 to practice law, he was particularly impressed with th e

Black Power movement which shook . In 1972 he and anothe r

young lawyer, Kendrick Radix, founded the Movement for Assemblies of th e

People, an urban based party which merged the next year with JEWEL, a rura l

based party, to form the NJM . The new party started out somewhat left o f

center and with a large membership base, .but moved rapidly leftwards afte r

1975, becoming a small "vanguard" party in the process . Although there wa s

collective leadership within the NJM, Bishop soon became the first amon g

equals ; and between 1973 and 1979 most of his energies were tied up i n

leading the NJM in its political activities . Bishop was also elected to th e

Grenadian parliament in 1976 and led the opposition against Gairy . Following

the coup of March 13, 1979, Maurice Bishop became Prime Minister of Grenad a

shortly before his 35th birthday .

Bishop brought many gifts to his new job, especially the ability to

communicate effectively ideas and ideals to the public . He was a "man o f

words" and such gifts were particularly important in the period from 1979 up

to the beginning of 1982, which can be characterized as the mobilization phas e

of the new government . During this time the PRG generated considerable suppor t

among Grenadians, especially by trying to involve the population in its many

projects for change . The PRG revivified local government, extended its mas s

organizations for youth and women, and set up new mass organizations fo r

farmers and others . The PRG struck down a number of repressive laws whic h

Gairy had passed and introduced much progressive labor and social

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legislation . The new government also mobilized support abroad and succeeded i n

attracting a large amount of foreign grants and loans .

But after 1982 when the government tried to consolidate its gains, Bisho p

proved less equal to his tasks . Indeed, by the summer of 1983 Grenada was

facing its most severe economic crisis, for it had not only a severe balanc e

of payments problem but . also great difficulties in financing domesti c

governmental expenditures . Political difficulties compounded the problem, fo r

according to various Central Committee members, the various mass organization s

were either split or in the process of collapse and even the party was said t o

be disintegrating, although this charge was made primarily by those wishing t o

replace Bishop .

On September 16, 1983 the NJM Central Committee attempted to create a

dual leadership of the party and to appoint Bernard Coard to serve with Bisho p

as co-leader . Although Bishop acquiesced and left shortly thereafter for a

scheduled trip to Czechoslovakia and Hungary, he changed his mind upon return ,

and thereafter events moved quickly. Late in the evening of October 13 he wa s

ousted from the party and placed under house arrest ; on October 19 he wa s

freed from house arrest by a large crowd ; and a few hours after that he wa s

executed by soldiers loyal to the new government . From the fast-moving

internal dynamic of incidents, Soviet or Cuban particiation or complicity i n

these events does not seem likely .

Both his friends and enemies have criticized Maurice Bishop as a poo r

administrator . Due perhaps to his legal training, he was immersed in detail s

and lost sight of the larger picture . He coordinated the work of hi s

subordinates poorly and, according to Kendrick Radix [interview] would hel p

them with details such as writing letters but would not give them ver y

satisfactory general instruction to do certain tasks by themselves . With the

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best of intentions, he was unable to follow through his directives t o

subordinates in order to insure that the assigned tasks were fulfilled in a

proper and timely fashion ; indeed, some of his subordinates complained to m e

that he seemed unwilling to give a flat yes or no to various questions o r

requests . I was also told that in numerous critical negotiations he did no t

provide position briefs for those representing him . He tried to direct th e

various party and state organs by obtaining concensus, rather than cuttin g

discussion at particular points and making a decision ; this led not only to

endless meetings but also to a reputation for vacillation .

Although the extent to which Bishop was responsible for Grenada' s

problems in 1983 is unclear, as head of the party and government he wa s

blamed . His inability to administer the government and party in an effectiv e

fashion provided the formal excuse of the Coard faction in the NJM Centra l

Committee to remove him from office .

I never met Bishop but he had, by all accounts, a commanding and magneti c

personality . Handsome and tall with a radiant and optimistic manner, from hi s

school days on he was always a leader . His charm was such that even hi s

political enemies liked him as a person ; and all agree that he was a

mesmerizing orator . Many of his speeches have been assembled in a number o f

collections and they read extremely well . But herein lies a serious problem o f

understanding what Bishop really believed, for his views changed often an d

many discrepancies between his stated beliefs and his practices appear : in th e

late 1970's he was praising parliamentary democracy, while once in power h e

celebrated in the same commanding tones its demise ; in the earlier period h e

spoke out forcefully against restriction of the press by the Gairy government ;

in the later period he closed down all widely circulating newspapers whic h

objected to PRG policies in even the most mild fashion . In the earlier period

he spoke up for the rights of prisoners and against the death penalty ; in the

1 2/31/85 GRENADA Page 1 2

later period he imprisoned his political enemies without cause or trial an d

"changed his mind" about the death penalty . A number of recent books and

articles have judged Bishop and his ideas by his words, but given hi s

vacillations, this is not a useful course to follow ; he can be evaluated onl y

by his deeds .

c . Bernard Coard

Bernard Coard was born in the same year as Bishop and also cam e

from a middle class family in St . George's . He studied abroad, receiving a

B .A . in economics from Brandeis University and an M .A. in politics from th e

University of Sussex . He served as a school teacher in London, later lecture d

in economics at a branch of the University of the West Indies, and returned

permanently to Grenada in 1976 to enter politics . He linked up not only with

the NJM but also with Organization for Revolutionary Education and Liberatio n

(OREL) which not only served as his political base within the NJM but whic h

played the crucial role in the intra—party struggle in September and October ,

1983 . In December 1976 he was also elected to the Grenada parliament as an NJ M

candidate . Due to his intelligence and speaking abilities he rapidly became a n

important force in the NJM and was widely considered to be the party's leadin g

intellectual and ideologue .

After the coup Coard was named Minister of Finance, Trade, and Planning

and later as Deputy Prime Minister (which paralleled his party rank) ;

effectively he acted as head of the Grenadian economy . In the first few year s

he succeeded in bringing some order into the administrative chaos which th e

PRG inherited . Although the economy registered some important successes, it s

performance also fell considerably below expectations which, perhaps, Bisho p

had raised too high . The macroeconomic indicators of Grenada during the PR G

period are not particularly impressive and, although unemployment somewhat

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decreased, the average standard of living appears to have fallen as well .

In October 1982 Coard resigned his position in the Central Committee ,

the Political Bureau, and Organizing Committee because of disagreements wit h

Bishop (his wife, Phyllis Coard, did keep her position on the Centra l

Committee) . He maintained his job as Deputy Prime Minister and continued t o

direct the economy . In September 1983 he was named as co-leader of the part y

and, after Bishop's house arrest in October 1983, served for a few hours as

head of party and government before resigning as Prime Minister . His role i n

the party thereafter is unclear ; whether he was manipulating the OREL members

or whether the OREL group was simply using him as a front man may, perhaps ,

never be ascertained .

As a person Coard did not possess Bishop's magnetism . Further, according

to popular belief, in the party he was the "communist" while Bishop was th e

"social democrat" ; however, matters were considerably more complicated . From

materials in the Grenada archive, it appears that in matters of civil rights ,

Coard appeared to represent the hard line while Bishop was enclined to be mor e

conciliatory ; but that in matters of economics, Coard stood to the right o f

Bishop and was constantly advising the party to move more slowly, to attemp t

fewer tasks, and to take more account of economic realities . Both shared the

aim of a communist future for Grenada and their differences appeared primaril y

tactical .

In my interview with Coard - which was the only one granted to a non-

family member or lawyer in almost two years - I found him intelligent ,

eloquent, likable, and willing to discuss issues in a constructive fashion .

Although we disagreed on a number of theoretical issues, he clearly understoo d

my arguments and analyzed them on their own ground . However, on some important

points his economic ideas seemed fuzzy or contradictory ; and many of hi s

factual claims differed enormously from his own statements found in the

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 14

Grenada archives . We had this fascinating conversation under the watchful eye s

of a police guard at the Richmond Hill Prison, where Coard, and 18 others wer e

awaiting trial for 11 charges of murder including that of Maurice Bishop .

D . The Economic Context of Event s

1 . Background

Grenada is a small nation with a population of about 90,000 in 1981 . Of

the Caribbean islands it has one of the lowest levels of per capita income an d

one of the highest population densities . In the 1970's unemployment wa s

roughly 20 percent and the emigration rate averaged about 2 .5 percent per yea r

over the decade . The GNP appears to have increased only slowly . Unfortunately ,

the statistical base to analyze the Grenadian economy is not only inadequat e

but also extremely difficult to locate ; a brief statistical review i s

presented in the appendix and serves as the basis for these remarks .

The major sources of Grenada's foreign currency - and of employment -

were tourism and agriculture . However, during the 1970's the level of tourism

did not increase, in part because of political instabilities experienced o n

the island, in part because the island was difficult to reach since th e

airport was inadequate and could not take large planes flying directly fro m

Europe or America (so that tourists had to change planes in another Caribbea n

island) .

The island is extremely hilly, which makes agricultural mechanizatio n

difficult : almost all exports of goods have consisted of tree product s

(nutmeg, cocoa, and bananas) . During the entire period after World War II lan d

flight was an important phenomenon, as manifested by a reduction in both th e

cultivated area and in the agricultural labor force . During the 1970' s

agricultural production focused increasingly on the major export crops -

nutmeg, bananas, and cocoa ; and, for the first time, the island became a net

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 15

importer of agricultural products, not only to feed itself but also th e

tourists who visited the island . In short, it appears that the island wa s

losing its comparative advantage in agriculture .

When the NJM took power, the public sector was relatively large . Gairy

had nationalized a number of large estates producing the export crops so tha t

10 percent of the land was already in the public sector . The state also owne d

roughly half of the public utilities . Although statistics are quit e

inadequate, the share of public expenditures in the GNP appeared to be

somewhat higher than third world countries in general, but somewhat lower tha n

the average of the Caribbean nations .

2 . PRG Economic Policie s

The PRG might be characterized as "foreign aid socialism," i .e ., the

attempt to introduce socialism by a government completely dependent on foreig n

grants and concessionary loans of like-minded nations to achieve its economi c

aims . In the discussion below I devote considerable attention to the way i n

which Grenada obtained foreign aid, for this was not only the key phenomeno n

for understanding events in that nation but also its greatest economi c success .

a . Nationalization

The PRG took rapid steps to gain control of the "commanding heights "

of the economy. It bought - or forced the sale at low prices - of all th e

public utilities and two out of the four major banks . It was in the process o f

increasing the state share of agricultural land from 10 to 25 percent . Thi s

primarily took the form of forced leasing of the large agricultural estate s

and turning them into state farms ; experiments with agricultural cooperative s

were a failure and were abandoned .

Direct expropriationvs were rare, especially in "visible industries"

which might frighten away potential foreign investors . Most of the

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 16

expropriation which did happen occured in the agricultural and housing sec -

tors . The PRG also founded or bought out a number of small industries, primar -

ily processing agricultural raw materials, almost all of which were quit e

unprofitable .

b . Planning and Central Administration

Although the government did manage to put partly in order th e

tangled public finances of the island, it had not yet introduced any signifi -

cant type of central planning . Indeed, any planning efforts were severel y

constrained by the double lack of adequate statistics and skilled technician s

who could administer such a system .

The PRG did take the first step, namely devising a long-term strategy fo r

development . This exercise involved three five year phases, according t o

Maurice Bishop's "line of march" speech which he delivered to party cadre i n

1982 . In the first five years attention would be focused on the development o f

tourism (of which the most important project would be the building of a ne w

international airport, a project under discussion for several decades) an d

agriculture ; during the next five years primary weight would be placed o n

agriculture and agro-industries ; and in the third five year period developmen t

efforts would be focused on manufacturing industries which are no t

agriculturally based .

A basic flaw underlay this 15 year plan . The thrust of the PRG's attempt

to obtain foreign aid was to expand the tourism sector . As I note below i n

greater detail, they maintained a shrill rhetoric against the United States a s

part of their campaign to obtain foreign aid from the East . however, thi s

rhetoric, - combined with the adverse economic circumstances in the worl d

economy during the period from 1979 to 1983 - meant that the flow of tourist s

was declining rapidly . The idea that American visitors, who served as the

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 17

largest source of tourism, would feel comfortable vacationing in a socialis t

nation seems dubious ; in any case, the rapid fall in the number of tourists o n

the island whenever internal unrest occurred during the Gairy period suggest s

that political conditions have been a major factor influencing tourism on th e

island .

c . Redistribution Policies and Institutional Change s

Although the PRG placed great verbal emphasis on expanding th e

education and health systems, resources to these sectors did not markedl y

change during the period . Other public expenditures targeted at the poor were

relatively small . Given the high progressivity of the income tax under Gairy ,

the government made little attempt to redistribute income by manipulation o f

taxes . They did attempt to introduce a generous social security system durin g

their last months ; however, the system had not worked sufficiently long t o

determine the redistributional elements .

Governmental development policy was also constrained by membership in th e

Caribbean Community and also the East Caribbean Currency Authority . The forme r

membership (a type of common market arrangement) made it difficult to us e

tariffs as an incentive for industry or to devalue the currency . The latter

membership required the use of a common currency with other Caribbea n

microstates, which meant that the nation could not follow any kind o f

independent monetary policy . The PRG made no attempt to resign from eithe r

institution and, thereby, accepted a limitation of its sphere of economi c policy action .

Although the government introduced a type of price control, thi s

essentially meant that certain foodstuffs could be sold only at the impor t

price plus a specified markup . The PRG also did not attempt to introduce any

type of special wage policy . Moral incentives were used only to encourag e

people for volunteer labor during leisure periods to help rebuild school

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 1 8

houses, tutor in a campaign against illiteracy, and participate in innumerabl e

rallies .

Other kinds of institutional changes were minor . A profit sharing syste m

was introduced into the state sector, but there were few profits t o

distribute . They also attempted to involve workers in various manageria l

decisions, but this program was not well implemented and, for the most part ,

was ignored .

The economic and administrative constraints faced by any third-worl d

country in implementing a "socialist path of development" are sufficientl y

great that it requires a quite extraordinary leadership to surmount the man y

problems . The PRG had neither the leadership nor the experience nor the tim e

to push the economic system very far toward socialism before it was

overthrown . This, in turn, meant that Grenadian "socialism" was primaril y

ideological and political, rather than economic .

3 . Some Basic Political Factor s

The NJM followed a two-level ideological strategy: it presented itself to

the Grenadian population and the capitalist world as a social democrati c

movement ; but in internal party circles and to the Soviet bloc nations, th e

leadership spoke and acted as if at the head of a Marxist-Leninist party . To

qualify for being a "vanguard party," the leadership kept the number of part y

members low ; the number of full members never exceeded 85 and the total part y

never exceeded 350 . According to high-level foreign friends of Bishop such a s

Michael Manley (a former Prime Minister of Jamaica ; this material comes from

an interview), Bishop's two greatest political mistakes were not holding a n

election (which would have provided the PRG with some legitimacy) and keepin g

the party so small .

In its 55 months of power the NJM tried to transform the domestic

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 1 9

politics of Grenada . The PRG abolished the parliament, quickly suppressed

political opposition, and successfully created a one party state by the end o f

its first year . It closed down newspapers which it did not control, i t

imprisoned without trial any suspected opponents, and rode roughshod ove r

civil liberties . It expanded greatly various mass organizations for women an d

youth and dominated five out of the eight major labor unions on the island .

Internationally, the PRG reoriented Grenada's foreign policy to forg e

close links with Cuba and the Soviet Union . A useful indicator for this chang e

is its voting pattern in the U .N . General Assembly in 1980, the year after th e

coup Grenada voted the same as Cuba 92 percent of the time (and never i n

opposition) the same as the Soviet Union 79 percent of the time (and 6 percen t 4 / in opposition) .— The PRG's foreign relations were a crucial part of its

economic strategy since it attempted to use its political services to th e

Soviet bloc and the radical third world as a lever with which to obtai n foreign aid .

The military ties of Grenada with the Soviet bloc have been discusse d

elsewhere . I do not believe that the island had great geostrategi c

significance for the bloc . Although the construction of the new airport wa s

the major economic project of the PRG and absorbed about half of the foreig n

aid which Grenada received, its planned usage appeared primarily civilian ,

especially for tourism . Of course, the airport did have a military potential ,

to which the PRG gave some attention, but this seems to have been a secondar y / consideration . - 6 / E . The Quest for Foreign Aid--

1 . Backqround

In Grenada the origins of this stress on using foreign aid fo r

development purposes can be found in the ideas of Eric Gairy . In 1974 Bernard

Coard cited the following statement which Gairy made two years before to

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 2 0

justify ,.he severing of Grenada's colonial bonds with the United Kingdom :

" .. .it is only when we attain full independence that our independent brother s

and sisters numbering over 150 prosperous, progressive countries can com e 7/ directly to our aid ."-- Apparently Gairy had in mind two considerations :

Colonies seem able to obtain significant economic aid only from the mothe r

country, while independent nations can ask and receive aid from all ; moreover ,

Grenada's small size would give it a comparative advantage in obtaining ai d

because a relatively minor loan in terms of the resources of the donor natio n

could have a very large impact on the economy of the receiver ; and all aid

givers like to have something important to show for their money .

Unfortunately, the Gairy government proved quite inept in such efforts to

obtain aid .

Successful aid-begging has several prerequisites . First, the nation mus t

be widely and favorably known, at least if the donor government is responsiv e

to domestic political pressures . Aid programs targeted at a country almos t

totally unknown to most of the population in a democratic donor nation ar e

open to strong domestic attack in the aid giving nation . Second, the aid

request must be attractively packaged . Such a package could be political ,

e .g ., the strengthening of a government which is intensely loyal to the dono r

nation ; or it could represent some engineering achievement which the citizen s

of the donor nation can proudly point out, e .g ., a stadium, a steel mill or a n

airport . Third, the receiving country must be expected to use such externa l

funds in an appropriate fashion and, if a loan, to make timely repayments .

Without any doubt the PRG's greatest economic success was in obtainin g

loans and grants from other governments and from international organizations .

Table 1 below reveals this accomplishment by presenting summary data on th e

most important foreign aid received . The data are, unfortunately, rather rough

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 2 1

a/ Table 1 : Major Grants and Loans to the PRG by Source, 1979 - 1983- - (millions of current US dollars )

Grants Loans (not Economic Militar y from commer- cial banks )

Socialist nation s

Cuba 36 .6 3 .1 - Czechoslovakia - 0 .7 - German Democratic Republic 1 .5 0 .1 2 . 1 North Korea - 1 .3 - U .S .S .R . 2 .6 10 .4 -

Radical Third Worl d

Algeria 2 . 3 Iraq 7 . 2 Libya 0 .3 10 . 4 Syria 2 . 4

Other Nations and Government Guaranteed Private Loan s

Canada 2.9 - - Finland (Metex) - - 7 . 3 0 .1 - - U .K. government 0 . 4 U .K . (Plessy Ltd .) - - 1 . 9 Venezuela 0 .6 - -

International and Intergovernmental Agencies and Bank s

Caribbean Development Bank 1 .1 7 . 4 East Caribbean Currency Authority 1 . 9 European Development Fund 2 .7 2 . 1 EEC Emergency Fund 0 . 3 International Monetary Fund - 6 . 6 Organization of American States 0 . 4 OPEC - 2 . 0 UN Development Program 0 . 4 UNICEF/FAO 0 . 1

Other and non-specified 0 .7 - 5 . 7

Total 62 .3 15 .5 47 .3

a . The data do not include any loans or grants after October 1983 . Some

of the estimates (e .g ., for the C .D.B .) are very rough . In a number of case s

the underlying source materials conflicted with each other . Full details o f

estimation are given in Frederic L . Pryor, op. cit .

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 22

and have offsetting biases : They understate the true volume of such outsid e

assistance because a number of small grants are not included ; for instance ,

Grenada had about 350 students abroad and, since they were studying primaril y

on the basis of scholarhips and other aids from the host nation, thi s

assistance represents an aggregate yearly grant of about U .S . $1 .5 million no t

shown in the table . On the other hand, the nature of the sources made i t

difficult in some cases to distinguish planned and actual aid and for thi s

reason, certain loans (especially from Libya) may be overstated .

It should be clear that Cuba was the most important patron to th island ,

giving about thirty percent of the total economic and military aid . It i s

noteworthy that most of the aid from other Marxist nations came in the form o f

grants and, moreover, that the Soviets contributed much more military tha n

economic aid . Aid from Western nations was quite small and, in the case o f

British and Finnish loans, was tied to the purchase of equipment from thes e

countries . U .S . aid came primarily through the Caribbean Development Bank, a

multilateral lending agency which did not accede to U .S . requests to limit

aid to Grenada, even though the U .S . was the prinicple donor to the Bank .

About half of the funds received came from economic grants ; anothe r

eighth, in the form of military grants ; and the final three eighths, in th e

form of loans, which were primarily given on very generous terms . Of the tota l

amount of this foreign aid, investment in the new international airpor t

accounted for slightly less than half .

To place these data on foreign aid in perspective, it is worth noting tha t

average annual grants and loans were about U .S . $25,000,000 . For a nation with

roughly 90,000 population, this is quite significant for the ratio of such ai d

to the average gross domestic product was roughly 30 percent for the five yea r 8/ period .— Since it really took the PRG almost a year to get the flow started ,

the actual ratio of foreign aid received to GDP was much higher than 30

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 2 3

percent in the later years of the regime .

2 . The Diplomatic Offensiv e

According to Kendrick Radix [interview], a former law partner of Bishop' s

and a member of the NJM Political Bureau, the coup was a hurried affair and

the NJM did not take over the government with many definite economic plans .

However, within a few weeks of taking over they reversed the position in thei r

1973 Manifesto against building a new international airport at Point Saline s

and started to work on the project . As Radix explained to me ,

"it was the easiest way to get aid :' In brief, the PRG had found an attractiv e

package, one of the three prerequisites for obtaining foreign aid . Once start -

ed along this path, the government proceeded with great vigor and ingenuity .

A key ingrediant of foreign-aid socialism was Grenada's relations wit h

the United States . Everything started off quite smoothly, and two days afte r

the coup Maurice Bishop had a friendly interview with the U .S . Consul Genera l

(from Bridgetown, Barbados since there was no permanant U .S . diplomati c

representation on the island) . The U .S . diplomat indicated that the Unite d

States wanted to respond in a neighborly fashion to the new government an d

that he would try to faciliate aid to the island . On March 22 the United

States recognized the new government and a day later the U .S . ambassador fo r

the East Caribbean area, Frank Ortiz, had his famous talk with Maurice Bishop .

This was an awkward time for a serious exchange of views since Ortiz was bein g

replaced as ambassador and was making his farewell visit to the island .

Interpretations of this interview set the tone of U .S . - Grenadian

relations for the next four and a half years, but exactly what happened is no t

entirely clear . Ortiz indicated that the U .S . was quite willing to provid e 9/ foreign aid but that certain bureaucratic procedures had to be followed .--

When Bishop asked him directly for money for the airport, Ortiz replied

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 24

that as Ambassador, he only had a fund of $5000 which he could allocat e

without higher approval . Ortiz also apparently expressed himself in an

untactful manner about U .S . concerns regarding Grenada's establishment o f

close relations with Cuba .

Maurice Bishop responded publicly in an emotional speech on April 13 ,

1979 entitled "In Nobody's Backyard ." He excoriated Ortiz for makin g

unacceptable threats to Grenada about relations with Cuba and, indeed, th e

next day Cuba's first ambassador arrived on the island ; simultaneously, the

Cuban boat "Matanzas" docked in St . George's to deliver a considerable loa d

of Cuban arms for the PRG to defend itself against any attempted counter-coup

by Eric Gairy .

This speech was well received locally and, it might be added, by man y

commentators abroad who have taken Bishop's version of the discussion at fac e

value, although certain aspects of the speech are patently false, e .g .,

Bishop's assertion that Ortiz only offered a total of $5000 foreign aid .

However, this speech set the tone for Grenada's diplomatic offensive -

incessant denunciations of the United States, combined with considerabl e

resourcefulness in seeking aid from East Europe and radical third worl d

nations by playing the role of a beleagered David facing a truculant America n

Goliath .

The purpose of my project is not diplomatic history ; nevertheless, it i s

worth emphasizing that from the evidence which I have seen, it does not appea r

that Ortiz "drove Grenada into the arms of Cuba," as many have claimed . It wa s

politic, however, for Bishop to make it appear that way .

Without doubt the NJM wanted to establish closer economic and politica l

relationships with Soviet bloc nations, but this does not necessarily impl y

the denunciations and related tactics which the government adopted . However, I

believe that the strident rhetoric on the part of Bishop was absolutely

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 25

necessary in order to establish the proper "radical credentials" to implement

the strategy of maximizing foreign aid receipts and that the verbal fis t

shaking in the face of the U .S . was an important component in the exercise . In

this manner Grenada made itself favorably known to the world which it wished

to impress, another of the three prerequisites for obtaining foreign aid .

The Cuban aid, which arrived so promptly, came about because of th e

personal friendship between Maurice Bishop and and the trus t

which Castro placed in the PRG . Further, in the ensuing months Cuba wa s

enlisted in the airport project and soon sent technicians to Grenada to assis t

in the planning of the project . By December 1979 the first Cuban machines and

contingent of constuction workers arrived and the project began in earnest .

Grenada's first hesitant steps farther afield among other Soviet bloc nation s

were less successful . For instance, Bernard Coard's first trip to the Sovie t

Union in 1980 resulted in very little economic help - not even a serious trad e

agreement -although the Soviets did make a small grant of 4 .4 million rubles

(at the 1980 exchange rate, about US $ 6 .6 million) for military equipment

later in the year . Forays into the radical third world yielded more fruit .

In its fateful first year of power, the PRG had to finance its variou s

projects primarily from internal sources since relatively little foreign ai d

arrived . They were trying to get the economy in order and actually ended th e

year by bringing government revenues and expenses roughly in balance an d

reducing Grenada's international short-term indebtedness . They were als o

cultivating potential aid donors in order to achieve the final prerequisit e

for successful aid begging . In the next year, this diligence paid off and le d

to a flow of foreign aid which never ebbed thereafter .

The crucial aspects of this diplomatic work were shown in an undate d

(apparently 1981) report to the NJM Central Committee where the twelve most

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 2 6

important PRG foreign policy goals are outlined, of which seven concerned th e

necessity of obtaining external economic aid of one type or another . Bishop

continually lectured his ambassadors how they were the key of the economi c

success of the nation .

3 . The Strategy of the Quest

During its first few months Grenada developed quite different strategie s

for obtaining foreign loans and grants from the socialist nations, the Wester n

nations, and the international organizations . For the former group of nations

Grenada had prepared a shopping list of projects by May 1980 and had targeted

potential donors : Bulgaria, Cuba, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, , and th e

USSR . Interestingly, the GDR, Romania, Yugoslavia and the Asian socialis t

nations were omitted, although East and North Korea later becam e

relatively important donors . In an undated "list of countries with whic h

Grenada does not wish to develop close relations" one finds sandwiche d

in between Chile, Haiti, , Taiwan, and (as well as th e

Comoro Islands and Egypt) : clearly Grenada very carefully picked sides in th e

Sino-Soviet split .

a . The U.S .S .R .

In 1980 the Soviet Union signed an agreement to send arms to Grenad a

during the 1980 - 1983 period . However, they did not prove very forthcoming

with regard to economic aid . In a meeting of the Political Bureau in June 198 1

Maurice Bishop suggested that the best way to "get to" the Soviets might b e

through Bulgaria or the GDR . But other means were tried as well, and in a

memorandum dated July 1983 Richard Jacobs, the Grenadian ambassador to th e

USSR, made some extremely acute observations (I have corrected punctuation an d 10/ spelling) :

"The Soviets have been burnt quite often in the past by giving suppor t to Governments which have either squandered that support, or turned aroun d and become agents of imperialism, or lost power . One is reminded of Egypt,

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 27

Somalia, Ghana and Peru . They are, therefore, very careful, and for u s sometimes maddingly slow in making up their minds about whom to support . They have decided to support us for two main reasons : a) Cuba has strongl y championed our case ; b) They are genuinely impressed with our management o f the economy and state affairs in general ... "

"I have not formed the impression that there is any such generalize d view within in the [Soviet bloc] community . . .about Grenada . "

. . the Soviets assess the level of state to state relations by , among other things, the extent to which we are willing to share ou r experiences with them and to learn from their experiences ... "

"I have formed the view that the USSR is satisfied with the degree o f support that they receive from Grenada . Indeed, I would say that they hav e every reason to be satisfied, especially if our vote on Afganistan, fo r example, is recognized as one of two Latin American votes (the other being Cuba) in their favour . Considering the risks that we have taken on this and other matters, it might be fair to say that their support for us is actuall y below our support for them . We must therefore work to establish a balance o f interest . This might best be done by gentle reminders at critical stages b y members of our leadership .. . "

"On 27th . June, I had a very frank and friendly discussion with Boyk o Demitrov - the former Bulgarian Ambassador to Grenada who is now Director o f International Relations in the Party . He told me that .. .Grenada has to fac e the reality that [FP : to the Soviet Union] it is a question of size , distance, and priorities . I think that he is correct . But we have to dea l with these realities . In order to elevate our priority in the socialis t scheme of things . . . we have to raise and discuss with the highest authorities, global and regional issues rather than parochial or nationa l issues . In other words, our legitimate begging operations have to be cast in the larger world context. We have in fact done this in the past quit e successfully, linking our national requests to a global analysis . What we need to do now, it seems to me, is to become the spokeman for a broade r constituency - perhaps the countries of socialist orientation . "

In an undated memorandum he also wrote :

"The Caribbean .. .is, frankly, not one of their priority areas and thi s is reinforced by their interest in reducing the areas of conflict with th e USA . Furthermore, the CPSU [FP : Communist Party of the Soviet Union] ha s been historically very cautious in developing relations with parties whic h are new to them . "

Although scholarships and military grants were forthcoming, it wa s

difficult for Grenada to obtain much economic aid from the U .S .S .R. With

regard to agriculture the Soviets noted that their aid efforts in mechanize d

tropical agriculture had not been very successful and had resulted in a los s

of prestige ; therefore, they recommended that the Grenadians try the

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 28

Bulgarians and Hungarians for such aid . They also refused to help with the

design of buildings, noting that the USSR generally built much large r

buildings than those requested by the PRG ; and they also recommended th e

Bulgarians for this task . They said that it was not their practice to give

free technical assistance and that they didn't want to set any precedents wit h

Grenada . In Coard's 1980 trip to the USSR they insisted on paying world marke t

prices, rather than subsidized prices, which might benefit Grenada . They

further stressed that the Soviet bureaucracy needed a great deal of time t o

study various aid requests . Still later in a visit to Greneda in December 198 2

the Soviet Deputy Chair of Gosplan, Nikolai Lebedinskiy, exphasized th e

importance of trade, not aid, and that such trade should be carried o n

"without any grant element ." He appeared well aware of Grenada's realization

that the major source of Soviet aid to Cuba was through subsidized suga r

prices . Other aspects of this visit are discussed below .

In 1981, 1982, and 1983 the Soviet Union did make several small grant s

for economic purposes, but these amounted to only EC $ 7 million (US $ 2 . 5

million) . The Soviets did not appear interested in helping to finance th e

airport and they seemed to respond slowly to the PRG's perceived economi c

needs, for instance, in July 1983 they turned down a Grenadian emergenc y

request for a US $6 million loan or grant on the bizarre grounds that the y

heard France was going to make such a grant, a claim which appeared totall y

baseless . Moreover, they seemed unmoved by Grenada's suggestion in 1983 for a

COMECON counterpart to the IMF which would make loans to countries with a

socialist orientation . In an internal memorandum Richard Jacobs noted dryl y

that since such a bank would probably cost the Soviets about US $20 billion ,

it might be best to approach the matter through other socialist countries .

Nevertheless, the Soviet Union did send a series of missions to Grenad a

(e .g ., in late 1979 and again in 1982) and they also established an embassy on

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 29

the island . By 1983 Soviet interest had finally been seriously aroused : at the

time of the intervention, 49 Soviet diplomats and advisors, headed by a three - 11 / star general, were on the island .— In sum, Grenada was a political plum

which unexpectedly fell in the lap of the Soviet Union and it took the m considerable time to appraise its worth .

b . European Socialist Nation s

According to a high ranking member of the PRG's Foreign Ministry ,

the government was quite surprised to find itself being wooed by the Germa n

Democratic Republic . Both before and after the coup Grenada may well have bee n

the focus of a certain amount of G .D.R . intelligence gathering efforts, which 12/ served as a prelude to such aid .— The G .D .R.'s motives for giving Grenad a

such attention are not clear, but G .D .R . interest started with Coard's 198 0

trip to Eastern Europe . We can conjecture that Grenada provided the G .D.R .

with a relatively inexpensive means of creating a diplomatic and politica l

presence in the Caribbean and Latin America outside of Cuba, although th e

purpose of such an exercise is unclear . Nevertheless, such a manoever, if i t

resulted in gains for the socialist bloc, might also yield the G .D.R. certain

advantages in its dealings with the U .S .S .R . In any case, the G .D .R. provided

Grenada with a series of grants, concessionary loans, and some technica l

assistance .

Nevertheless, relations between the G .D .R. and Grenada gave rise t o

some difficulties . Certain aid requests for consumer goods were turned down

because the East Germans refused to give any kind of grants for such purposes .

A major grant of printing equipment for the PRG newspaper turned out to be a

burden : an unidentified printer at the newspaper told me that servicin g

requires a G .D .R . technician flying in from Europe since facilities for suc h

repairs do not exist in the Western hemisphere ; further, many of the manuals

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 3 0

supplied with the equipment were written in German or Czech, which the print -

ers could not read . More importantly, as I detail below, the G .D.R.'s trade

and aid policies were not well coordinated and the G .D .R . foreign trade enter -

prises took great advantage of Grenadian incompetency or ignorance to obtai n

highly advantageous import prices from the PRG and, at the same time, to sel l

obsolete equipment to them .

Aid from the other European socialist nations was miniscule and is no t

included separately in Table 1 ; for the most part it consisted of scholarship s

and small gifts . The obvious target for aid-giving was Poland since tha t

country was the largest East European buyer of Grenadian prducts in the las t

years of the Gairy regime . However, exports to Poland tapered off after 197 8

and stopped completely in 1981 ; and no aid was forthcoming . As Kendric k

Radix [interview] pointed out to me, in 1979 Poland's internal politica l

problems increased and the country became in no financial position to serv e

either as a buyer of Grenadian exports or a giver of aid . Czechoslovakia and

Hungary were also natural targets for aid, but little was forthcoming unti l

some years had passed except for the sending of occasional technicians .

Indeed, Bishop's trip to those two countries in September 1983 shortly befor e

he was ousted and killed was to negotiate some more substantial foreign ai d

agreements for 1984 and 1985 . Hungary, for instance, offered an electric powe r

station and Czechoslovakia promised to send a small cement mill . I have foun d

no evidence why the G .D.R . created much stronger economic ties to Grenada tha n

Hungary or Czechoslovakia .

Bulgaria seemed to offer Grenada considerable diplomatic advice, eve n

though no significant aid was forthcoming . In a rather imaginative swap, th e

two countries agreed to exchange Grenadian nutmeg for a Bulgarian iceplan t

(for fish processing) . According to a highly placed PRG Foreign Ministr y

official [interview], the Grenadians considered Romania as too much of a

12/3 1 /85 GRENADA Page 3 1

maverick to be worth cultivating and exercised caution with Yugoslavia sinc e

it was viewed as "neither fish nor fowl" . In 1983 Coard did make som e

preliminary attempts to obtain aid from Yugoslavia, but the major result wa s

merely an agreement for further discussions at a later date . Apparentl y

Albania was totally avoided ; in any case that nation was in no position t o

offer extensive economic aid .

c . The Asian Socialist Nations

After 1981 Grenada went fishing for grants in the Asian socialis t

world which supported the Soviet Union including Kampuchia, , Mongolia ,

North Korea, and . North Korea actively wooed Grenada from the ver y

beginning ; and in the PRG's first foray abroad for foreign aid in the summe r

of 1979, Kim il-song received the group in person . The purpose of thi s

interest is puzzling . A highly placed PRG Foreign Ministry official suggeste d

to me that perhaps this divided nation (similar to the G .D .R .) also saw a n

inexpensive opportunity to overcome its diplomatic isolation in the Wester n

hemisphere . North Korea also seems to be focusing its diplomatic attention o n

obscure countries ignored by others, e .g . witness its significant presence i n

Madagascar . It is also possible that since Gairy was so friendly to the Sout h

Korean government, the North Koreans felt a natural affinity to the PRG . In

any case, three members of the Political Bureau, , Selwy n

Strachan, and Maurice Bishop made separate visits to North Korea and obtaine d

not only a U .S . $12 million grant of military equipment but also the promis e

to build a stadium in St . George's and assistance on a number of othe r

projects as well .

The Grenadians appeared quite ignorant about conditions in North Korea .

When Hudson Austin, the head of the army returned home in September 1983 fro m

a trip in North Korea, we smile in reading the Central Committee minutes that

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 32

he "was surprised to see how deep the personality cult was in Korea, where th e

leader is worshiped almost as a God ." However, the North Koreans apparentl y

invested considerable emotional energy into Grenada : after the U .S .

intervention, Western reporters in greeted the plane bringin g

expelled foreign diplomats to Cuba and noted not only the Cuban diplomats wit h

their clenched fists raised defiantly in the air but also the 15 North Korean s

(apparently mostly engineers) weeping into their handkerchiefs .

Grenadian relations with the other Asian socialist nations were not ver y

significant, Vietnam gave a symbolic gift of military equipment ; Mongolia an d

Grenada exchanged delegates to conferences held in the two countries ; the PRG

planned to send a delegate to the Loas Party Congress . As noted above, Grenad a

avoided China diplomatically ; and it is noteworthy that the small amount o f

Grenadian exports between the two countries ceased after 1979 . Curiously, the

small amount of imports Grenada received from China continued .

d . Cub a

Cuba's major support of Grenada consisted of the EC $ 82 millio n

(U .S . $30 million) for the airport, given in the form of both manpower an d

equipment . But Cuba also gave EC $ 17 .0 million for other projects . At th e

time of the intervention there were about 784 Cubans on the island, of whic h

about 636 were working on the airport, 22 served as military advisors, 1 7

worked as physicians and dentists, and others worked as teachers, advisors t o

the Ministry of Interior, and other governmental bureaus .

The Cuban aid was said to be given without strings and was particularl y

helpful to the PRG since it was continuous, responsive to the PRG's needs o f

the moment, directed at a variety of problems, and given as grants . In reading

the minutes of the NJM Political Bureau or Central Committee, I was impresse d

at how the preferred solution to many small technical problems was to call o n

the Cuban comrades in the same manner as a hesitant child calls upon his

12/ 3 1 /85 GRENADA Page 3 3

parents to help at every moment of unforseen difficulties . The 1982/83 ai d

agreement detailed 196 different projects including piano tuning training and

instruction in table tennis . A particularly bizarre instance of Grenada' s

dependency on Cuba occurred in mid 1983 at the time the Cubans cut off th e

telephones and electricity of the Grenadian embassy in Havana when it had no t

paid its bills to the utility company, an event which raised anger in th e

Grenadian Political Bureau . This rather pointed message by the Cubans did no t

prevent the Political Bureau at the same time from asking Cuba for grants fo r

a) construction of a power plant ; b) bridge repairs ; c) 30 miles of roads ; d )

farm and feeder roads ; e) water resource development and a hydroelectricit y

plant ; f) civil engineering work for a satellite disk (donated by th e

Soviets) ; g) civil engineering work for the Bulgarian ice plant ; h) a nationa l

convention center ; i) construction of a quarry ; j) an aquarium . Very often i t

seemed that the Cubans responded affirmatively to such heterogeneous requests .

As far as I can determine, the Cubans had made few extraordinary counter -

demands on the Grenadians . They did, of course, keep a close eye on the

Grenadaians and, it is alleged (by Lloyd Noel) that in the first few years o f

the revolution the Cuban ambassador attended cabinet meetings . Further, th e

Cubans had placed technicians in some key ministries (e .g ., planning) . In an y

case, the PRG appeared most willing to coordinate its foreign policy effort s

with the Cubans and to draw lessons from "the Cuban experience ." Although th e

Cubans occasionally manifested displeasure with the course of Grenadia n

events, e .g ., especially during the summer of 1983, for the most part the y

tried hard to maintain their role as a wise and generous uncle wit h

considerable tolerence for an occasionally unruly nephew .

4 . A Perspectiv e

Several aspects of this aid from other socialist nations to Grenada

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 34

deserves brief mention for it provides perspective on the entire range o f

Soviet bloc aid to third-world Marxist nations .

First, such aid appeared to be loosely coordinated among the variou s

countries, at least from 1982 onward . The Grenadian ambassador from Moscow

sent a coded message home in January 1982 saying that the G .D .R. ambassado r

and "some Cubans" told him some very good news : in the recent meeting of al l

General Secretaries of socialist nations (apparently just those nations allie d

with the USSR attended), Leonid Breznev announced that the Soviets were going

to give Grenada a "generous package" and that what the Soviets didn't supply ,

the other nations would when Grenadian aid teams visited them . Even mor e

intersting is the fact that the Soviets did not supply Grenada with a

"generous" package when Bishop visited the USSR later in the year ; and that

aid from the other socialist nations appeared to be on the same hit-or-mis s

basis as before . This can be interpreted in three ways : (i) either that th e

mechanisms for following up decisions made at this high level meeting were no t

effective ; (ii) or that the Soviets changed their mind after the meeting ;

(iii) or that they decided to postpone any decision until a high-ranking

official such as Lebidinskiy made a careful study of the island . Although

the first interpretation seems more likely to me, no solid evidence exists fo r

any certainty on the matter . In any case, from the archival material s

available, the relations of the Soviet bloc nations with Grenada appeare d

quite separate and no evidence is available that particular nations such a s

the G .D .R . were "assigned" to help Grenada ; indeed, Cuba's intercession to

Moscow in Grenada's behalf, especially before 1982, suggests that thes e

nations were acting quite independently .

Second, with the major exception of a loan for East German telephon e

equipment, these nations gave their aid in the form of grants or short ter m

trade credits . The provision of technicians and of scholarships were

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 3 5

particularly preferred .

Third, a number of technical problems in such aid arose . Some of th e

equipment was outmoded (e .g ., some of the military equipment or the Eas t

German telephone system) . Some equipment that arrived without sufficient spar e

parts (e .g ., in April 1983 Bishop complained to Gromyko that only one tenth o f

the Soviet military vehicles were in operation because of lack of spar e

parts) . Some equipment rapidly broke down and became useless (e .g ., Cub a

donated 10 ferro-concrete fishing boats ; their engines were too weak to powe r

the boats and had to be replaced, several sank, and only one remained i n

operation after several years) .

It is also worth noting that such aid did not come without certain cost s

to Grenada . The entire aid program severely overtaxed the Grenadia n

administrative bureaucracy . Many grants were incorrectly specified so that

Grenada received equipment which it could not use or did not need . Further ,

when aid was not forthcoming at the expected time, the PRG found itself i n

severe financial straits, especially in the summer of 1983 . There were als o

certain political cost of clientism and, for instance, Grenada's vote with th e

Soviet Union on the Afganistan issue was received quite negatively from man y

potential supporters in the Caribbean area . Finally, the constant focus o n

foreign affairs led to a considerable neglect of domestic economic problems .

Foreign affairs seemed a much more interesting occupation than more mundan e

aspects of economic management . The top party leaders were quite aware of thi s

neglect and registered their concern from time to time, but nothing was don e

about it and top NJM leaders appeared quite willing to leave most suc h

economic matters to Bernard Coard, who was able to consolidate his politica l

power in this fashion .

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 3 6

13/ E . Technical Assistance- -

1 . Planning

The PRG had close contacts with a number of socialist nations and, i n

1983, both Cuban and Soviet technicians were aiding the PRG's economi c

planning process . In a number of interviews (including Bernard Coard, th e

Minister of Planning, as well as several of his subordinates), I asked abou t

the type of economic advice which the PRG received and in all cases I wa s

informed that with one exception (discussed below) the advice was of a

technical, rather than a strategic, nature . For instance, I was told that th e

Cuban economist working in the Ministry of Planning, Fernando Diaz, spent mos t

of his time developing information systems for the introduction of a materia l

balance type of planning system . All of this information about foreign advic e

and advisors was, however, quite vague . However, the available documentar y

evidence only allows us to have a glimpse of the type of advice given to th e

Grenadians just by the Soviets and the Czechoslovaks .

In December 1982 the Lebidinskiy mission of Soviet economists arrived fo r

a series of meetings with PRG officials . According to the minutes of thes e

meetings, the Soviets responded cautiously to the enthusiastic plans of th e

Grenadians and spent most of their time asking intelligent and sobe r

questions, primarily about details . For instance, they questioned th e

advisability of Grenada's planned expansion into citrus fruits because o f

possible competition with Cuba and suggested coffee as a substitute product ;

the Grenadians replied that they had cleared their plans with the Cubans . They

also advised the Grenadians to continue their exports to capitalist countries

as much as possible . The Soviets replied to the PRG's boast that they woul d

practically eliminate unemployment in the next few years with a little lectur e

about the mechanism underlying what bourgeois economists call the Phillip s

curve and how such a policy might increase the potential! (It is

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 37

also noteworthy that they seemed to accept exagerated PRG claims abou t

unemployment reduction .) They also emphasized strongly the necessity o f

keeping rigorous financial and statistical records . In sum, in this series o f

meetings the Soviets seemed to offer practical, not strategic advice, althoug h

at one point in the conversation they did suggest it was unwise to stres s

industry too strongly "because of the marketing problem . "

In contrast, the Czechoslovaks gave very explicit advice for the long

term . In 1982 Jiři Čerhonek, an economist from the Czechoslovak Ministry o f Planning on loan to the Macro-Planning Unit of the Grenadian Ministry o f

Planning, wrote a fascinating memorandum outlining a strategy of development

for the next three years . Although it ostensibly covered only the immediat e

future, it had important longer range implications . n Čerhonek approach was to diversify the economy and to implement a import substitution policy primarily in manufacturing . He focused almos t

completely on industrialization and urged investment in manufacture of good s

with the following characteristics : high labor intensivity of production ; not

produced in the surrounding island states ; high income elasticities ; low

material consumption ; and short pay-out times so that the initial investmen t

could be rapidly recovered . He specified electronic components, agro-industry ,

plastics processing, wood and waste-paper processing (including furniture) ,

woven carpets, shoe industry, garment production and construction materials .

With regard to agriculture he suggested only the introduction of tobacco an d

for other sectors his remarks focused more on the necessity of prope r

maintenance of existing productive facilities, rather than radical changes i n

investment policy . Although some of his import substitution ideas parallele d y those of the PRG, Čerhonek approach was very different from the strateg outlined by Bishop ; in many important respects it made an almost full circle

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 38

to the advice given by Arthur Lewis (the West Indian economist and futur e

Nobel lauriate) to the Caribbean nations as a whole in 1950 when he told the m

that labor intensive light industry was their only hope for economi c 14/ development . —

One Grenadian official [interview] made the interesting suggestion tha t

the Cernonek memorandum was essentially Coard's Trojan horse to reverse th e

development strategy set by Bishop in the "line of march" speech . This appear s

unlikely because Coard's political weight was preponderantly on economi c

matters and, in his capacity as Minister of Planning, he was undoubtedly th e

major architect of the "line of march" approach . When I discussed th e

memorandum with Coard [interview, February 1985] and pointed out that it ra n

contrary to Bishop's approach, Coard denied it . He said that the memorandum

was merely useful input for the NJM's thinking about the long-term . In othe r

words, he rejected the short-term thrust of memorandum, which downgraded th e

PRG's emphasis on tourism and agriculture, and took erhonek advice as a se Č t of guidelines for the third phase of the 15 year plan when the island woul d

begin to industrialize .

I found no evidence that any ally had given the Grenadians advice abou t

nationalization of private property or collectivization . I doubt whether suc h

advice would have been followed, if it had been proffered, since the NJM had a

clear agenda on these matters .

The instances discussed above suggest that the PRG had clearly set it s

own course and, although it listened to the advice of others, it did not fee l

obliged to follow such guidelines . Although Grenada's relationships with Cub a

were much closer than with the USSR or Czechoslovakia, it seems likely to m e

that they maintained the same independence .

2 . Specialist s

Quite early after the coup Cuba gave Grenada the services of about a

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 3 9

dozen doctors and dentists, which increased the number of such medica l

specialists almost by half . Of particular importance, they were sent to part s

of Grenada which were lacking in medical personnel, e .g ., the islands o f

Carriacou and Petite Martinique, two small islands belonging to Grenada whic h

had no permanent physicians . This increase in health inputs was perhaps th e

most important move in the field of health which the PRG made, for althoug h

they declared health care to be of primary importance, budgetary resource s

devoted to this purpose did not seem to increase during the Bisho p 15/ government .-- Proof of the popularity of this program is seen in a publi c

opinion poll taken shortly after the military intervention, which showed tha t

about one of seven Grenadians believed that health was the area in which th e

PRG did most for the nation (it followed education and the building of th e

airport) .

For a wide number of specific projects Cuba sent specialists to mak e

surveys, give advice, or implement particular policies . This was part of a

much larger effort by Cuba which is said to maintain about 16,000 teachers ,

doctors, construction engineers, and other aid workers in 22 third worl d 16/ nations, a program roughly three times larger than the U .S . Peace Corp .- -

The Soviets, in contrast, did not seem to send many individual specialist s

until 1983, when two planning specialists and twelve miitary advisors wer e

posted in Grenada .

3 . Othe r

A number of Soviet bloc countries gave scholarships to Grenada and PR G

officials frequently mentioned that 350 Grenadians were studying abroad o n

these programs . For the most part these seemed to have been short specialize d

courses, although the U .S .S .R . did give a number of multi-year scholarships

for studying at Soviet universities . In fact, Grenada had more scholarship

__2/31/85 GRENADA Page 4 0

offers than they could fill and, as far as I was able to find out, the offer s

from Bulgaria and several other countries were not filled at all . 17/ D . Trading with the Soviet Bloc--

Trading relations between Grenada and the Soviet bloc can be seen mos t

easily in Table 2 below, which presents data on the geographical distributio n

of exports and imports . During the period from 1978 through 1983 Grenad a

experienced considerable difficulties in its trade with the West for tw o

reasons : its currency was tied to the dollar, which was rising vis-a-vis the

European nations with which Grenada had the greatest amount of trade ; further ,

the terms of trade were falling about 25 percent, a set of circumstances du e

not only to the oil price rise in 1979 but the relative decline in prices o f

some of Grenada's most important exports such as nutmeg .

As can be seen from the table, Grenadian exports to the Soviet bloc di d

not greatly increase . Although imports did rise, these reflected the tie d

grants which Grenada received from these nations . The materials from th e

captured archives reveal some interesting strains in Grenada's attempts t o

increase its trade with its new socialist allies .

1 . Sales

As noted above, Bernard Coard's 1980 mission to the USSR to obtain a

trade agreement was unsuccessful . In 1981 the PRG announced in its newspape r

that a trade agreement with the Soviet Union had been signed and that th e

U .S .S.R . would henceforth purchase Grenadian nutmeg ; however, this agreemen t

later turned out to be a relatively meaningless "trade protocol" and covere d 18/ only some short term trading deals .- -

In preparation for more serious trade negotiations in late 1982, the PR G

position papers reveal that they wanted to sign five year agreements to expor t

yearly annually 500 tons of nutmeg (about one fifth of Grenada's annual crop),

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 4 1

a / Table 2 : The Foreign Trade of Grenada with Socialist Nations-- (millions of current EC dollars )

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 198 3

Export s

All nations 36 .90 44 .34 55 .61 45 .51 50 .28 47 .75 48 .4 6

Socialist nations (2 .08) (1 .53) (1 .74) (0 .70) (0 .19) (1 .95) (2 .91 ) of which :

China 1.29 0 .31 0 .67 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .0 0 Cuba 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .22 0 .19 0 .11 0 .4 2 Czechoslovakia 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .09 0 .0 0 G .D .R . 0.00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .02 0 .0 0 Poland 0 .79 1 .22 1 .07 0 .48 0 .00 0 .00 0 .0 0 U .S .S .R . 0.00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 1 .73 2 .49

Import s

Total 87 .29 96 .45 117 .98 135 .57 146 .71 152 .42 154 .48

Socialist nations (1 .60) (2 .05) (2 .73) (4 .37) (7 .99) (8 .65) (21 .47 ) of which :

Bulgari a 0 .00 0 .00 0 .0 0 . 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .0 3 China 0 .47 0 .47 0 .62 0 .66 0 .31 0 .66 1 .0 5 Cuba 0 .23 0 .72 1 .39 2 .74 2 .74 6 .67 4 .0 2 Czechoslovakia 0 .30 0 .21 0 .21 0 .26 0 .22 0 .30 0 .2 1 G .D .R . 0 .13 0 .07 0 .07 0 .10 0 .27 0 .40 15 .7 5 Hungary 0 .18 0 .11 0 .09 0 .12 0 .07 0 .02 0 .1 3 North Korea 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .1 0 Poland 0 .13 0 .33 0 .20 0 .12 0 .12 0 .12 0 .0 9 Romania 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .02 U .S .S.R . 0 .09 0 .04 0 .08 0 .26 4 .16 0 .30 0 .1 8 Yugoslavia 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .02 Unspecified 0 .07 0 .10 0 .07 0 .11 0 .10 0 .09 0 .00

a . The data come from Grenada, Central Statistical Office, Annual Diges t

of Trade Statistics 1982 (St . George's : 1983) plus data supplied by the CSO .

The 1983 data are preliminary . These data also do not include roughly $ EC 2 7

million and $ EC 20 million imports from Cuba respectively for 1982 and 198 3

for construction of the airport which are not included in the officia l

statistics . 2 .7 EC dollars (East Caribbean dollars issued by the Eas t

Caribbean Currency Authority) equals one US dollar during the period .

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 4 2

1000 tons of cocoa, and 10,000 tons of bananas . However, only the five yea r

nutmeg contract was signed although the Soviets also bought some Grenadia n

cocoa on a short term basis . At that time Nikolai Lebedinskiy, the Deput y

Chairman of Gosplan, told the Grenadians that he didn't have enoug h

information on Grenada to make any more decisions . The minutes also recor d

that "he would see what possibilities [FP : for trade] were available . He

however noted that these things were not decided upon [as] quickly as the y

should ." Czechoslovakia also agreed to start importing 80 tons a year o f

Grenadian nutmeg for five years . (After the intervention the Soviets and th e

Czechoslovaks quietly stopped honoring their nutmeg agreement with th e 19/ Grenadian government .-- ) More disappointments to the PRG occurred becaus e

the other socialist nations also proved unwilling to import any larg e

quantities of Grenada's agricultural exports .

Importing relationships with other socialist nations also raised some ne w

problems . In certain cases spare parts were difficult to obtain for equipment

already imported . In other cases the PRG imported goods which were no t

suitable for Grenadian conditions and the large order for telephone equipmen t

which Grenada placed with the G .D .R. illustrates some of these problems .

The Grenada Telephone Company (Grentel) had been discussing plans in th e

late 1970's to buy some new digital (i .e ., all electronic) switching equipmen t

from Continental Telephone Company in the U .S . (which was part owner o f

Grentel) . After Grentel was nationalized the Grenadians started negotiating

with the G .D.R., originally to buy a digital system and later to buy a cross -

bar (i .e ., mechanical) switching system instead . A Grentel enginee r

[interview] said that the digital system costs about 35 percent more ; however ,

the equipment is much smaller and, therefore, the building costs for housin g

the equipment - which are significant - are less . He further noted that a

digital system requires less maintenance and, in addition, is much more

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 4 3

flexible when the system is expanded . According to Lyden Ramdhanny

[interview], a former PRG cabinet minister, there was considerable dispute i n

PRG policy circles about what system to buy . However, Bernard Coard doggedl y

argued that the cross-bar system should be purchased because Grenada coul d

obtain very advantageous credit terms ; and he finally had his way . Since

Coard knew enough economics to recognize the fallacy of this type of argument ,

it is possible that other factors were involved which he did not want t o

discuss, e .g ., that the G .D.R. tied certain political agreements to th e

purchase of such obsolete equipment . In any case the incident create d

considerable ill-will .

Jose L . Mestrar, a foreign trade consultant (apparently Cuban) to the PR G

read the various trade contracts which the Grenadians had signed with variou s

Soviet bloc countries and suggested that Grenada stop importing on short ter m

credits various products from Eastern Europe and, instead, exchange thei r

agricultural produce for these goods . Like all good advice, it was easier sai d

than done .

2 . Prices

The pricing of goods in Grenadian trade with other socialist countrie s

raised considerable difficulties . The most curious misunderstanding occurre d

in December 1982 when a Soviet trade mission visited the island . According t o

an undated memo by Coard, they "quietly" approached the nutmeg cooperative ,

rather than the state ; further, they offered US $1500 a ton when the worl d

market price was supposed to be U.S . $ 1950 . In his memo Coard appeared to be

extremely angry at such underhanded manoevers ; however, the real story can be

interpreted in a somewhat different and more interesting way .

From 1980 onward, the price which Grenada had received for its nutmeg had

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 4 4

been falling and by the arrival of the Soviet trade mission the Nutmeg Co -

operative had considerable unsold inventories . According to Veda Gittens

[interview], Executive Secretary of the Grenada Co-operative Nutme g

Association, the Grenadians charged the Soviets the world market price and ,

further, agreed to renegotiate the price every year so that the price whic h

the Soviet Union paid would follow the world market price . In actuality ,

according to Grenadian trade statistics, the Soviets paid a premium over th e

price which non-socialist buyers paid of 51 percent in 1982 and 58 percent i n 20/ 1983-- . Similarly, the Cubans paid a 32 percent premium for nutmeg in 198 2

and a 42 percent premium in 1983 ; and the G .D .R . paid a premium of 59 percent

in 1983 . No nutmeg was purchased by socialist nations in 1981 ; in 198 0 Cuba

had paid a premium of 15 percent and Poland, 3 percent .

Given the fact that the Soviets wanted to pay world market prices, ho w

could this have arisen? A certain part of the premium can be traced to th e

fact that in these later years Cuba, the G .D .R . and the U .S .S .R. apparentl y

negotiated nutmeg prices a considerable time in advance of actual deliver y 20/ when the general world market price was lower-- . However, it also seem s

likely that a discrepancy existed between the nutmeg co-operative's state d

belief about the level of the "world market price" of nutmeg and the "actual "

price It is worth noting that the international nutmeg market is very thin an d

specialized since there are only two major world exporters and most countrie s

such as the USSR generally buy their nutmeg semi-processed from middlemen fro m

the and, as a result, are not completely aware of the "worl d

market" price) . Price premia for other Grenadian exports, which were fo r

products with a well-defined world market price, were very much smaller . In

any case, I suspect that Coard's anger about Soviet buying tactics may have

been due either to his misunderstanding about the world market price of nutme g

or to a tactical manoever to change the institutional structire of Grenadian

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 4 5

foreign trade so that more trade, particularly with the Soviet bloc, would b e

carried out through the state foreign trade enterprise, the National Marketin g

and Importing Board .

More illumination about Grenadian pricing practices can be gained from a

brief glance at cocoa sales . In 1983 Grenada delivered to the Soviet Unio n

some cocoa at a 12 percent premium over the price which they received fro m

other buyers . Since the world market price of cocoa is well known, thi s

appears surprising . However, according to Norbert Arnold [interview], the

former secretary of the Grenada Cocoa Association, the GCA asked this highe r

price because "we felt that as an ally, they would be willing to pay more" ;

surprisingly, the Soviets did not appear to bargain very hard .

Grenada had a much different experience in negotiating a price fo r

bananas with the G .D .R . The German's had been talking with the PRG for som e

time about buying bananas, but they wanted to purohase a different kind o f

banana than Grenada grew which, it should be noted, cost less but was muc h

more difficult to ship . According to Norbert Baptiste [interview], Secretary

of the Banana Cooperative Society (BCS), in 1982 Grenada was selling banana s

at 48 cents a pound . While on a visit to the G .D .R . George Louison, a membe r

of the Political Bureau and the PRG Minister of Agriculture, negotiated a n

arrangement whereby the G .D .R . would buy these bananas at 19 cents a pound !

After learning about this agreement, the BCS registered its dismay and the PR G

obtained a new offer of 24 cents a pound, an amount which was about equal t o

the Board's handling cost and which would leave the banana farmers wit h

nothing . At this point the BCS rejected the entire deal .

This incident has several curious aspects . First, Louison was the only

member of the NJM leadership with any experience in agriculture but he wa s

apparently thinking in terms of the farm-gate price of bananas and did not

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 4 6

take into account the cost of their delivery to the port, which about equal s

the farm-gate price ; or else he got confused about which type of banana was t o

be sold . In any case, it does not appear that his staff preparation for thes e

negotiations was adequate . Second, the BCS generally sold its own bananas an d

it appears peculiar that Louison would take it upon himself to negotiate suc h

an agreement, especially since some technical matters such as shippin g

arrangements are so important for bananas . Third, the G .D .R .'s offer was s o

insulting that one wonders why it was made in the first place since it wa s

bound to cause friction . Finally, the G .D.R . did not permit Grenada to bac k

out of the contract since they were going to pay for the bananas in part wit h

agricultural inputs such as fertilizer . At the time of the militar y

intervention, Louison was engaged in working out a program to nationaliz e a

number of estates in order to produce the bananas to meet this contract whic h

the private producers had refused to do .

Grenada seems to have paid reasonable prices for its imports from th e

other socialist countries . From a computer print-out of Grenada's 1983 trad e

on a very detailed basis, I selected 15 homogeneous items and computed averag e

unit prices for socialist and non-socialist nations . For the items I chos e

there was not sufficient difference to warrant a more thorough investigation .

H . Some Conclusion s

Before the Grenadian experience can be placed in context, it is useful to

review on an aggregative level the experience of other third world Marxis t

nations in their economic relations with the Soviet bloc .

1 . Soviet Bloc Relations with the Marxist Third World as a Whol e

Table 3 below presents some data on trade and aid of all third worl d

Marxist regimes or nations which the Communist Party of the Soviet Unio n

designated in 1980 to have a "socialist orientation . "

Although the data on direction of trade leave something to be desired, it

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 4 7

a/ Table 3 : Some Data on Trade and Aid : Annual averages, 1980 through 1983- -

"Official" Share of trade with Foreign aid committment s status "core" Marxist for economic purpose s regimes Total Per capit a Exports Imports (million $) ($ ) All CMEA All CMEA

Third world Marxist regimes :

Afganistan SO,V 52% 27% 333 318 15 1 4 Angola SO,V n .a . n .a . 183 2 26 0 Benin SO,V 0 4 117 1 33 0 SO,RD 0 1 n .a . n .a . n .a . n .a . Congo SO,V 0 2 54 10 35 7 Ethiopia SO,V 8 29 397 75 12 2 Grenada SO, (RD) 3 7 14 9 153 10 1 Guinea-Bissau SO,RD 8 15 81 2 142 4 Madagascar SO,RD 4 3 313 13 36 1 Mozambique SO,V n .a . n .a . 336 57 32 5 SO, (RD) 5 0 392 176 143 64 Somalia 2 4 495 0 136 0 PDR Yemen SO,V 0 2 291 140 148 71

Other third world nations with a "socialist orientation" :

Algeria SO 2 7 635 0 34 0 Burma SO 6 14 445 6 13 0 Guinea SO n .a . n .a . 183 0 37 0 Sao Tome SO n .a . n .a . n .a . n .a . n .a . n .a . Seychelles SO 0 3 29 1 478 1 2 Syria SO 30 16 1465 14 170 2 Tanzania SO 6 4 768 3 43 0

Total

a . Designation of "Marxist regimes" : Bogdan Szajkowski, The Establishmen t

of Marxist Regimes (London : 1982) . The data refer to 1980 . To his list I have

added Madagascar and Nicaragua .

Status : SO designates whether the nation has been specified by th e

Communist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU) as a nation with a "socialis t

orientation ." V and RD designate respectively whether the CPSU has specifie d

the ruling party as a vanguard or revolutionary democratic party . For Grenad a

and Nicaragua, such designations are by inference . These classifications com e

from Wallace H . Spaulding, "The Communist Movement and Its Allies," in Ralp h

Continued on next pag e

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 4 8

Table 3 continue d

M . Goldman, Transnational Parties : Organizing the World's Precincts (Lanham ,

Maryland, : 1983), pp . 25 - 60 .

Core Marxist regimes : these include the CMEA nations (Bulgaria, Cuba ,

Czechoslovakia, the German Democratic Republic, Hungary, Mongolia, Poland ,

Romania, U .S .S .R., and Vietnam) plus Albania, China, Kampuchea, DPR Korea ,

Laos, and Yugoslavia .

Export and import shares : the data come from International Monetary Fund ,

Direction of International Trade, 1984 Yearbook (Washington, D .C . : 1984) . Fo r

Grenada, the data come from Table 2 . Despite the source, these data are quite

rough . For all third world nations the average export and import ratios are 6

and 7 percent respectively ; and for non-oil exporting developing nations are

10 and 8 percent respectively .

Grants and loans : The data come from : O.E .C .D ., Geographical Distributio n

of Financial Flows to Developing Countries (Paris : 1984) . The data for Grenad a

represent actual aid flows and come from Table 1 . These data are usuall y

somewhat higher than those presented by the CIA, National Foreign Assessmen t

Center, Handbook of Economic Statistics, 1984 (Washington, D .C . : 1984) ; It i s

possible that they may also contain certain military aid as well .

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 4 9

appears that the nations listed in Table 3 had no greater trade with the "oor e

Marxist regimes" (i .e ., the CMEA nations plus China, Laos, Vietnam, an d

Kampucheia) than other third world nations . More specifically, the nations i n

the table sent about 6 percent of their exports to the "core Marxist regimes "

and, in turn, received about 9 percent of their imports from this area . Fo r

other third world nations, these peroentages are respectively 6 percent and 7 22 / percent .-- The difference in imports reflects the trade financed by foreig n

aid from the CMEA nations to the nations with a socialist orientation . In an y

case, the difficulties Grenada had in trying to increase its exports to th e

Soviet bloc were not unusual and reflect the unwillingness of these countrie s

to increase their imports from the third world, given their general scarcit y

of hard . Other studies of third world Marxist regimes have als o

shown that trade relations between these countries and the Soviet bloc are no t 23/ great .--

Data on foreign aid of the Soviet bloc for economic purposes sho w

considerable discrepancy between sources ; the O .E .C .D. data used in the tabl e

are generally greater than estimates of the U .S . government on these matters .

Further, the most readily available data focus on aid commitments, rather tha n

actual aid sent, and thus introduce another uncertainty . (For Grenada, data on

aid commitments do not exist, so actual aid flows are used instead) .

A glance down the total aid commitments for economic purposes given t o

all third world nations reveals that, on an annual per capita basis, the to p

five aid receivers in the four years from 1980 through 1983 were : Jorda n 24/ ($416), Vanuatu ($368), Surinam ($288), Grenada ($270), Kiribati ($243) .--

If the data for Grenada were comparable and would have included total ai d

committments, then average per capita economic aid for the four year perio d

would have been roughly $350 .

It is noteworthy that all of the top five aid receivers on a per capita

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 5 0

basis are nations with very small populations (as were the next five, whic h

are not listed .) Further, CMEA bilateral aid is quite concentrated : about 5 9

percent is given to the 20 nations with a socialist orientation and the bul k

of the remainder was given to India and Bangladesh . Table 3 reveals one

extremely important additional factor : that the bilateral aid given by th e

CMEA nations constitutes only a small fraction of the total aid these nation s

received, the three exceptions being Grenada, Nicaragua, and .

Grenada "ranking" among the top aid receivers reflects both the generosity o f

Cuba and its successful strategy of search for foreign aid . Indeed, i n

examining Table 3 one is struck by the meagerness of CMEA bilateral aid : eve n

long—standing Marxist regimes such as the People's Republic of the Congo hav e

received most of their aid from the West .

In sum, the Soviet bloc gives few trade concessions and, further ,

relatively small amounts of economic aid ; they are able to hold their thir d

world allies rather inexpensively . Military aid is considerably mor e 25/ important than such economic aid-- and appears to be highly concentrated i n

a few countries . Such military aid, in turn, may provide the leverage by whic h

the U .S .S .R. has been able to maintain discipline among its allies in variou s

international forums, e .g ., voting against (or abstaining from voting) th e

U .N. resolutions condemning the U .S .S .R . for its invasion of Afganistan o r

Vietnam for its invasion of Kampuchea . It is only maverick Marxist regime s

(e .g ., those siding with China against the U .S .S .R . or those wishing Wester n

aid against some enemy such as Somalia) which have not followed the Sovie t

Union in these matters .

2 . A Perspective on Grenad a

Unlike most third world Marxist nations, Grenada was able to obtai n

considerable amounts of foreign aid from the Soviet bloc . As I have shown, the

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 5 1

aid which Grenada received on a per capita basis was very high . It i s

noteworthy, however, that the largest share of this aid came from Cuba an d

that the Cuban-Grenada connection came a considerable time before the Sovie t

Union became serious . Although Soviet military aid (which was secret) wa s

forthcoming in 1980 and in the following years, Soviet economic aid wa s

niggardly, and two reasons can be conjectured : First, they did not want t o

rile the United States by developing unnecessarily close relations with a

nation close to its shores . Second, they preferred to let Cuba carry the brun t

of the aid, especially since Cuba had more experience in dealing wit h

' Caribbean conditions .

Nevertheless, I find it curious that the Soviets did not send mor e

technicians at an earlier date, especially to help set up statistical and

accounting systems which would permit the Grenadians to organize their eoonom y

more efficiently ; the sending of 16 science teachers in the fall of 1983 ma y

have been an experiment to establish a Soviet "peace corps" ; however ,

technicians who were trained in fields more oriented toward production migh t

have been considerably more useful to the Grenadians and there is no evidenc e

that they would have been unwelcomed .

Grenada's trade relations with the Soviet bloc show the difficulties tha t

almost all third-world Marxist nations have had in increasing their exports t o

Eastern Europe . With regard to pricing, two lessons can be learned from thes e

various incidents . First, as many, including the philospher Hegel, hav e

pointed out, a client can have power over his patron and the premiums whic h

the Grenadians extracted for their exports to the other socialist nations i s

an interesting example, especially since the Soviet Union explicitly claime d

they wanted to trade at world market prices . Second, it is possible tha t

trade and aid policies are not necessarily well co-ordinated in the socialis t

bloc and the G .D .R .'s treatment of Grenada with regard to bananas and

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 5 2

telephone systems illustrates this point . A more cynical interpretation o f

the difficulties between the G .D.R. and Grenada is that the Germans had n o

real interest in trying to help Grenada but rather, in the guise of givin g

Grenada certain grants, was actually trying to realize a considerable ne t

profit by selling obsolete equipment and obtaining particularly low impor t

prices .

Grenada's confrontational stance vis-a-vis the United States and it s

diligence in various international arena in furthering Soviet bloc aims was a n

important tool which it used in deepening its relations with Soviet blo c

countries and radical third world nations . However, a basic contradictio n

existed in Grenada's growth strategy in that the policies which yielded the

most foreign aid fruits were also those which frightened away tourist s

(especially from the USA which provided by far the largest source of suc h

visitors to the island) . One can not help suspecting that once it became clea r

that Grenada was not developing economically very fast, once the novelty o f

the new ally had worn off, and once the Soviet bloc nations saw that Grenad a

had scared away tourists which were its major source of revenue ,

disillusionment would have occurred and foreign aid receipts from the Sovie t

bloc and the radical third world would have tapered off .

The year 1983 was catastrophic for the PRG in many respects . Th e

government ran into serious economic difficulties in mid 1982 and was unabl e

to receive the necessary foreign assistance from Soviet Bloc to surmount thes e

problems . Libya, Algeria, and Syria promised $15,000,000 of aid, which did no t

arrive . Although the IMF gave a loan, it required the PRG to cut back many o f

its public investment programs, which led to layoffs . A group of young me n

within the top leadership of the PRG, almost all of whom were members of OREL ,

became disenchanted with Maruice Bishop, forced a power-sharing arrangement

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 53

with Bernard Coard, placed Bishop under house-arrest when he changed his min d

and refused to cooperate with Coard, and finally ordered Bishop's murder whe n

the former Prime Minister had been freed by a crowd . The OREL members also

formed the core of the Revolutionary Military Government which succeeded th e

PRG, they imposed a four .day shoot-at-sight curfew to obtain the time t o

consolidate their power, and then they watched helplessly as most Grenadia n

troops abandoned their stations when the United States invaded the island si x

days after Bishop's death .

By its refusal to provide emergency aid to Grenada in 1983, which woul d

have been quite inexpensive (undoubtedly less than $20 million), the Sovie t

Bloc essentially wrote Grenada off its ledger . In analyzing policy options o f

the U .S . in dealing with third-world Marxist nations, it is imperative t o

determine which are really considered vital to the Bloc's strategic purposes .

Clearly Grenada did not appear very important to the Soviet Union, as th e

Grenadian ambassador to that country so perceptively realized .

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 5 4

Footnote s

* Research for this essay was financed by grants from the Nationa l

Council for Soviet and East European Research and from the Swarthmore Colleg e

Faculty Research Fund . To both I would like to express my gratitude and t o

absolve them from any responsibility for my interpretations or errors .

Materials for this essay are drawn in large part of a book-length stud y

entitled Revolutionary Grenada, A Study in Political Economy (New York :

raeger, forthcoming, 1986) .

1. I cite these microfiche with the designation [MF-xxxx], where the x' s

stand for the last four digit of the microfiche number (thus omitting th e

"DIS-83-C" which preceeds each four digit number in the archives) . Some of the

documents in this file have also been reproduced in : Department of State an d

Department of Defense, Grenada Documents : An Overview and Selectio n

(Washington, D .C . : 1984) (hereafter abbreviated [USSD-xxx], where the x' s

signify and the document number) .

2. The scholarly books include : Peter M . Dunn and Bruce W . Watson, eds .

American Intervntion in Grenada : Tne Implications of Operation "Urgent Fury "

(Boulder, Colorado : Westview Press, 1985) ; Jay Mandle, Big Revolution ; Smal l

Country : The Rise and Fall of the Grenadian Revolution (Lanham, Maryland :

North-South Publ . Co ., 1985) ; Gregory Sandford and Richard Vigilante ,

Grenada : The Untold Story (Lanham, Maryland : Madison Books, 1984) ; Kai Schoen -

hals and Ricahrd A . Melanson, Revolution and Intervention in Grenada (Boulder :

Westview Press, 1985) ; Tony Thorndike, Grenada : Politics, Economics and Socie-

ty (Boulder, Colorado : Lynne Rienner Publ ., 1985) ; and Jiri and Virgini a

Valenta, "Leninism in Grenada," Problems of Communism, July-August 1984, pp . 1

- 23 .

3. Sandford and Vigilante, op . cit ., pp . 54-55 .

4. In a number of votes either Grenada, Cuba, or the U .S .S .R. abstained

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 5 5

or did not vote, and these constitute the difference between 100 percent an d

the sum of the similar and different votes . Of the six issues in which Grenad a

voted differently than the U .S .S .R., two concerned disarmament and four deal t

with budgetary and other administrative issues within the U .N . Grenada di d

vote with the Soviet Union against the resolutions condemning the U .S .S .R . fo r

invading Afganistan and also with the Soviet Union against the resolutio n

condemning Vietnam for invading Kampuchea . These data come from

Yearbook of the United Nations, 1980 (New York : 1983) and cover 170 votes i n

the General Assembly where rollcall votes are recorded . Comparisons wit h

Grenada's voting record in the year before the coup are misleading because i n

that year, Grenada participated in only about 15 percent of the Genera l

Assembly's votes . For what its worth, Grenada voted the same as Cuba, th e

Soviet Union, and the United States respectively in 62 percent, 60 percent ,

and 33 percent of the roll calls ; and it voted differently from these thre e

countries in respectively 21 percent, 28 percent, and 29 percent of the rol l

calls .

5. The evidence for this generalization is summarized in Pryor, op . cit .

6. Underlying documents for this section : an account of Coard's 198 0

visit to the USSR, MF-4094, MF-4583, and MF-5177 ; PRG foreign policy goals ,

USSD-106 ; countries to avoid close relations, USSD-107 ; Political Burea u

meeting in June 1981, USSD-54 ; shopping list for potential aid donors, MF -

6885 ; the Soviet 1982 loan, MF-5178 ; MF-5177 ; Bishop's talking points t o

Gromyko in his visit in April 1983, MF-4708 ; Lebedinskiy statement, MF-4094 ;

Soviet rejection of an emergency loan in 1983, MF-8751 ; the proposal for a n

IMF type bank of CMEA nations, MF-8342 ; report on aid conditions by th e

G .D .R., MF-4741 ; Coard's 1983 visit to Yugoslavia, MF-5179 ; Kim il-Song' s

reception of the Grenadian delegation in July 1979, MF-4668 ; Grenada's

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 56

1982/83 request to Cuba, MF-3267 ; problems of payment of utility bills i n

Grenada's Havana embassy and request for more Cuban foreign aid, MF-2292 ; th e

decoded version of Jacob's message about the conference of first secretaries ,

MF-12596 .

7. Bernard Coard, "The Meaning of Political Independence in th e

Commonwealth Caribbean," in Conference on the Implications of Independence fo r

Grenada, Independence for Grenada : Myth or Reality? (St . Augustine, Trinidad :

1974) .

8. The annual GDP data (factor cost basis) are estimates based on dat a

(and extrapolations) from the , World Tables, 3d edition

(Washington, D .C . : 1983) .

9. The State Department's version of this meeting is contained in :

Sandford and Vigilante, op . cit .; William K . Krieg, "Grenada : The Ideology o f

Maurice Bishop, Part II," Bureau of Intelligence and Research, Assessments and

Research Report 916-AR (Washington, D .C . : September 18, 1984) . Ortiz's own

version is contained in his letter "Grenada : Before and After" The Atlantic ,

253, No . 6 (June 1984), pp . 7-12 .

10. The memorandum quoted extensively in the text is reprinted in USSD -

26 . The second memorandumn is undated and is found in MF-4673 . In the latte r

report he also wrote of his difficulties in finding out which part of th e

International Section of the Central Committee would deal with Grenada - th e

Latin American bureau or the Canada - bureau . "When I enquired as to

what section has responsibility for Suriname, the amused resonse was that 'n o

one wants to take responsibility for Suriname' ." He noted that they had littl e

respect for the communist party in Guyana (People's Progressive Party) ,

especially since they believed that Janet Jagan (an American) controlle d

Cheddi Jagan . One of Jacob's memoranda provides a unique view of the Sovie t

military aid bureaucracy while in another report [MF-4840] he detailed a

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 57

discussion with a diplomat from Somalia about that nation's fall from grac e

from the Soviet Union and analyzed other aspects of the Soviet aid program .

In still another memo [MF-4888] he focused on the results of Bishop's trip t o

the USSR in July 1982 and why certain requests were and were not met . Jacob s

was an acute observer and these documents provide invaluable source material s

about Soviet diplomatic procedures and policies . They were also extremel y

useful to Bishop, who crafted a brilliant appeal for aid to Gromyko during a

visit in April 1983 [MF-4708] . The arguments in Bishop's notes are s o

convincing that it is difficult to remain unmoved when reading this speech ;

however, according to Grenadian notes of the conversation [MF-4845] Gromyk o

maintained his cool .

11. U.S . Department of State and Department of Defense, Grenada : A Pre-

liminary Report (Washington, D .C . : 1983) . According to Kai Schoenhals [inter -

view], who met the Ambassador several times, he was a long-time Latin America n

specialist whose abilities in English were limited and his knowledge o f

Grenada even less . His behavior was in sharp contrast to that of the Cuba n

Ambassador (whose wife was American) : the former rode around in splendi d

isolation in a chauffeur driven Mercedes (the only on the island) ; the latte r

drove his own Lada and often picked up school children walking to or from

school .

12. A summary of the evidence on East German espionage is presented i n

Pryor, op . cit ., Appendix A-2 : "Foreign Espionage and Sabotage in Grenada ."

13. Supporting documents used in this section : minutes of the 198 2

meeting with the Soviet technical mission, MF-4094 and MF-6826 ; Čerhonek memorandum, MF-5189 .

14. Arthur Lewis, "The Industrialization of the British West Indies, "

Caribbean Economic Review, 2 (May 1950), pp . 1 - 61 .

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 58

15. Government budgetary expenditures on health and housing rose 6 8

percent over the 1978 level by 1983, but the retail price index rose 8 6

percent . No better deflator for the budgetary series is available . The data

come from Pryor, op . cit ., Table 6-4 . The public opinion polling data com e

from Selwyn Ryan, "Grenada : Balance Sheet of the Revolution," paper presente d

to the Conference on Grenada, Institute of International Relations, Universit y

of the West Indies, St . Augustine, May 24, 1984 .

16. The data on the Cuban and American aid programs come from Jame s

Brooke, "The Cubans in Angola : They're Not All Soldiers," New York Times ,

January 22, 1985, p . A-2 .

17. Supporting documents used in this section : PRG position papers o n

exports to the U .S.S .R., MF-7473 ; Czechoslovak contract, MF-4705 ; Lebedinski y

statement, MF-4094 ; Coard memorandum on the Soviet mission, MF-7130 ; othe r

aspects of Soviet trade, MF-4845 ; G .D .R. banana negotiations, MF-4405 and MF -

4733 ; Louisson's banana plantation scheme, MF-4618 ; identification of possibl e

state monopolies, MF-4263 ; MNIB imports and exports, MF-7473 ; alternatives fo r

the organization of foreign trade, USSD-94 and SM-III-11 ; political backgroun d

on the organization of foreign trade, MF-3498 . Mestra memorandum, MF-5178 .

18. The announcement of the 1981 Soviet trade agreement (and also simila r

"agreements" with Czechoslovakia and the G .D .R.) came in The Free West Indian ,

September 6, 1981 ; and the information that it was a mere trade protocol cam e

from Lyden Ramdhanny [interview], who was the PRG Minister of Tourism . It is

quite unclear to me why the PRG misrepresented the nature of the trad e

"agreement" to its citizens, especially since the lack of long run sales t o

the Soviet Union would become so quickly known (although the Soviets did mak e

some short-run purchases for 1982) .

19. According to some Grenadians with whom I spoke, the United State s

forced Grenada to cut its relations with the Soviet Union and to cancel the

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 5 9

five year nutmeg contract . The New York Times, January 22, 1984, p . 10F ,

placed the blaim for the contract rupture just on American pressures to brea k

diplomatic relations . However, the American charge, Roy Haverkamp [interview ]

denied that U .S. pressures for this diplomatic rupture had ever been made .

Why, then, were the exports stopped? The Executive Secretary of th e

Grenadian Co-operative Nutmeg Association told me that since the contract wa s

a government to government agreement, they were not involved in it s

enforcement and they did not understand the reasons . A high official in th e

current [1985] Grenadian govenment expressed a viewpoint which appears quit e

believable : the breaking of the trade contracts by the Soviet Union an d

Czechoslovakia was a violation of commonly accepted commercial practices bu t

that the Foreign Ministry has been so overburdened with work that they didn' t

have the personnel to pursue the matter and to take the appropriate lega l

measures for enforcing the contract . This is another sad instance o f

inadequate staff work by the Grenadian governmental bureaucracy which, in thi s

case, has resulted in a considerable loss of revenue to the agricultura l

sector . Certain domestic considerations might also weigh against such a n

attempt to enforce the contract, e .g ., if it would require the presence o f

Soviet officials on the island .

20. The price data cited here and below came either from : Grenada, CSO ,

op . cit .; or from a computer printout of the 1983 trade results . The latte r

must, however, be considered only as preliminary estimates .

21. This procedure was different from the custom among the Europea n

socialist nations of negotiating prices often many months after trad e

quantities have been agreed upon . Such practices are discussed by Frederic L .

Pryor, The Communist Foreign Trade System (London : Allen and Unwin, 1963) ,

Chapter V . This granting of such premiums for exports of unessential

12/31/85 GRENADA Page 6 0

agricultural goods was not a usual practice between socialist countries unles s

a high level political decision to grant aid in this fashion (e .g ., for Cuba n

sugar) has been made .

22. These data come from the IMF souroe cited in Table 3 .

23. This phenomenon is discussed by various authors in Peter Wiles, ed .,

The New Communist Third World (New York : St . Martin's, 1982) ; and David and

Marina Ottaway, Afrocommunism (New York : Holmes and Meier, 1981) .

24. These data come from the O .E .C .D . source cited in Table 3 .

25. According to the C .I .A ., National Foreign Assessment Center, Handboo k

Economic Statistics, 1984 (Washington, D .C . : 1984), 68 percent of th e

bilateral aid extended by the the USSR, Eastern Europe, and China consisted o f

military aid . APPENDIX Statistical Appendix

The greatest difficulty in working on the economy of Grenada is th e difficulty in obtaining long run series on the economy . Moreover, there are n o official national account calculations . On the advice of Herbert Levine, I am

including a brief statistical appendix with some of the various series which I have obtained or estimated . Full details of the tables, as well as many mor e series, are contained in my book, Revolutionary Grenada (New York : Praeger ,

1986) .

APPENDIX TABLES Page 1

Table B-la : The Population of Grenad a 1946 1960 1970 198 1 Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women 0 up to 15 years 15,307 15,216 21,046 21,222 21,934 21,787 17,214 17,00 8 15 up to 65 15,077 22,782 18,087 23,714 19,865 23,756 22,983 25,13 3 65 and over 1,420 2,539 1,527 3,081 1,893 3,540 2,536 3,99 9 Unknown age 30 16 - -- - 10 5

Total 31,834 40,553 40,660 48,017 43,692 49,083 42,943 46,145

Table B-lb: Population Movement Change in Births Deaths Emigration population Total Infants (derived ) (under 1 )

1946 through 1959 16,290 47,130 15,280 3,726 15,560 1960 through 1969 4,098 32,300 8,575 1,703 19,627 1970 through 1980 -3,687 30,212 8,004 713 25,89 5 1970 2,741 743 90 71 2,879 739 75 72 2,939 660 47 73 2,933 726 54 74 2,734 734 85 1975 2,890 619 68 76 2,712 753 75 77 2,628 806 44 78 2,521 765 73 79 2,664 739 41 1980 2,571 721 61 81 2,422 773 36 82 2,614 721 35 83 2,872 794 61 1984 2,823 729 30

0

APPENDIX TABLES Pag e

Table B-3 : Basic Labor Force Dat a

1946 1960 1970 198 1 Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Wome n

Population 15-64, 13,902 21,965 16,515 22,255 17,340 21,057 20,425 22,13 2 "available fo r work "

A. Working and 13,927 12,875 13,681 8,395 15,347 9,116 16,158 9,71 4 short term unemploymen t B. Adjustment 900 10 0 for security personne l C . Looking for 235 338 767 768 922 1,052 1,721 1,690 first job D. Long term 184 277 1,588 1,465 1,014 882 813 53 8 unemploymen t E . Labor force 14,346 13,490 16,036 10,628 17,283 11,050 19,592 12,04 2 (common defi- nition : A+B+C+D )

F. Discouraged 24 35 204 188 130 113 620 386 worker s G . Labor force 14,370 13,525 16,240 10,816 17,413 11,163 20,212 12,42 8 (broad defi- nition : E+F )

Special unemployment definition s

H . Short term un- 697 648 638 377 1,691 1,315 1,614 93 1 employed and underemployed I . U .S . definition 768 939 2,674 2,422 2,782 2,592 3,341 2,96 4 of unemploy- ment

APPENDIX TABLES Pag e 3

Table B-4 : Industrial Composition of Employed Labor Forc e

1946 1960 1970 198 1 Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Wome n

Agriculture, for - 7,064 5,505 6,962 3,306 5,498 3,094 5,653 2,00 7 estry, fishing Mining 4 3 26 20 16 14 43 22 Manufacturing and 1,727 (2,151 1,355 983 1,397 649 978 491 handicraft Utilities 153 17 219 21 323 3 1 Construction 2,331 830 1,843 397 3,435 666 2,133 31 1 Transportation , 536 51 764 45 1,252 77 1,438 15 8 storage, com- municatio n Commerce 828 1,334 1,291 1,477 1,272 1,207 1,556 2,144 Services 1,633 2,534 2,212 3,54 1 Finance and 40 21 151 206 insurance Government 457 78 1,015 59 3 Community and 620 ,587 841 1,64 5 social services Other services 1,753 1,884 Security (ad - 900 10 0 ment) 1 Not available 130 61 18 4 754 432 274 222 Adjustment to 198 1 190 254 -364 -388 -708 -585 0 0 definition

Total (working or 13,927 12,875 13,681 8,395 15,347 9,116 17,058 9,814 short term unemployed)

APPENDIX TABLES Pag e 4

Table B-5 : Exchange Rate and Trade Data (Current EC $1000)

Year Averag e Trad e annua l Visibl e Reexports Visibl e Visibl e Estimated exchang e domesti c imports trad e touris t rat e exports balance expendi - EC$/US$ ture s

1960 1 .7143 6,996 167 -14,832 -7,668 2,249- 61 1 .7143 5,771 159 -16,083 -10,153 2,24 2 62 1 .7143 5,920 147 -15,319 -9,252 2,269 63 1 .7143 7,784 71 -15,024 -7,169 2,593 64 1 .7143 7,027 194 -17,673 -10,452 3,264 1965 1 .7143 10,678 195 -19,077 -8,205 4,300 66 1 .7143 10,003 193 -21,724 -11,528 5,789 67 1 .7619 8,421 160 -24,081 -15,501 6,969 68 2 .0000 9,870 283 -26,346 -16,193 9,532 69 2 .0000 14,777 662 -34,226 -18,786 13,15 2 1970 2 .0000 10,953 1,122 -44,632 -32,557 14,660 71 1 .9749 9,291 902 -46,051 -35,858 17,95 8 72 1 .9213 9,955 576 -42,812 -32,281 20,256 73 1 .9592 13,637 875 -42,487 -27,975 19,96 1 74 2 .0532 17,650 1,615 -37,080 -17,814 10,11 7 1975 2 .1698 26,004 834 -52,357 -25,519 16,68 7 76 2 .6147 32,872 948 -66,250 -32,429 25,637 77 2 .7000 36,900 1,853 -87,285 -48,531 32,919 78 2 .7000 44,340 1,244 -96,452 -50,868 40,36 1 79 2 .7000 55,697 2,102 -117,979 -60,180 45,280 1980 2 .7000 45,510' 1,436 -135,574 -88,628 50,38 1 81 2 .7000 50,275 1,081 -146,710 -95,353 43,93 0 82 2 .7000 47,748 2,339 -152,429 -102,342 43,759 1983 2 .7000 50,711 1,076 -154,479 -102,692 44,646

F

APPENDIX TABLES Page ' .

Table B-6 : Tourists and Estimated Tourist Expenditure s Year Number of tourists arriving Tourist expenditure s By air By sea By cruises US $100 0 Volum e Value-adde d (1978 dollars) index inde x

1960 6,379 1,530 16,351 3,186 21 .3 17 . 2 61 6,358 1,612 11,742 3,120 20 .9 17 . 1 62 5,961 2,220 13,366 3,108 20 .8 17 . 3 63 6,870 2,448 11,256 3,493 23 .4 19 . 3 64 9,100 2,088 10,436 4,319 28 .9 23 . 7 1965 12,108 1,742 15,590 5,568 37 .3 31 . 2 66 15,988 2,147 16,500 7,247 48 .5 41 . 0 67 18,153 2,396 16,484 8,184 54 .7 48 . 2 68 20,695 2,469 26,500 9,400 62 .9 67 . 4 69 26,669 2,958 39,118 12,148 81 .3 90 . 9 1970 27,429 3,007 41,261 12,503 83 .6 99 . 1 71 32,555 3,071 48,652 14,733 98 .6 113 . 6 72 35,081 2,852 94,060 16,450 110 .0 118 . 1 73 30,620 2,870 132,297 15,242 102.0 92 . 7 74 13,751 972 57,644 6,752 45.2 32 . 3 1975 19,451 1,608 85,460 9,661 64 .6 49 . 6 76 22,856 1,695 106,882 11,416 76.4 74 . 0 77 26,249 3,673 108,465 13,235 88.5 88 . 2 78 30,015 3,899 116,331 14,949 100.0 100 . 0 79 29,305 4,208 138,654 15,080 100.9 95 . 8 1980 26,768 5,813 145,594 14,481 96.9 86 . 9 81 23,280 1,792 77,596 11,140 74.5 73 .3 0 82 21,728 1,542 62,119 10,205 68 .3 74 . 0 83 22,174 1,164 50,217 10,119 67 .7 78 . 2 1984 27,819 999 34,166 12,138 81 .2 n.a .

APPENDIX TABLES Pag e

Table B-7a : Major Exports (1000 pounds or 1000 current EC dollars )

Year Bananas Cocoa NutmegWeight Mace Tota l value Weight Value Weight Value Value Weight Valu e

1960 26,442 1,479 4,098 2,233 1,367 2,524 153 .4 539 .5 6,776 61 26,441 1,498 5,162 2,299 908 1,273 175 .1 532 .8 5,60 3 62 27,522 1,217 4,946 2,666 1,331 1,205 321 .5 609 .1 5,697 63 32,785 1,726 6,331 3,532 1,582 1,500 369 .5 763 .2 7,52 1 64 30,877 1,845 4,726 2,162 1,390 1,952 604 .7 772 .7 6,732 1965 46,291 2,276 6,610 2,350 3,277 4,599 459 .4 1142 .5 10,36 8 66 46,854 2,579 4,962 2,313 1,989 4,093 245 .8 709 .7 9,695 67 57,371 3,535 5,444 3,041 980 1,216 160 .3 429 .5 8,22 2 68 59,939 3,864 3,931 2,312 2,964 2,549 362 .3 721 .6 9,44 7 69 50,526 3,252 9,017 5,818 4,878 4,308 630 .8 1040 .9 14,41 9 1970 42,177 2,505 6,204 4,326 2,992 3,002 420 .9 631 .4 10,46 4 71 31,273 1,767 5,774 3,330 3,812 3,244 557 .5 706 .6 9,048 72 29,167 1,558 5,811 3,400 4,118 3,912 951 .9 990 .0 9,860 73 22,743 1,967 6,022 3,574 3,178 5,197 567 .5 1702 .1 12,44 0 74 19,737 3,467 5,372 5,428 2,366 6,120 320 .7 1605 .7 16,62 1 1975 29,320 6,637 6,758 6,917 4,448 9,763 327 .0 1289 .5 24,60 6 76 33,816 7,665 5,852 8,490 6,107 12,556 953 .6 2958 .5 31,67 0 77 30,662 8,537 4,509 8,668 6,639 16,048 484 .4 1611 .0 34,864 78 30,170 9,087 5,294 19,605 4,604 10,754 583 .7 1710 .3 41,156 79 31,044 10,091 5,343 27,078 5,072 12,415 758 .9 2297 .9 51,88 2 1980 24,464 12,457 4,114 18,239 2,906 8,545 558 .1 1844 .5 41,08 6 81 22,116 10,167 5,903 19,072 3,795 8,150 470 .1 1710 .4 39,09 9 82 19,626 9,303 4,622 12,481 4,505 8,154 735 .6 2515 .7 32,45 4 1983 19,534 8,749 4,926 10,967 5,748' 9,517 684 .2 2263 .0 31,49 6

Table B-7b : Price Indices of Major Export s

Year Bananas Cocoa Nutmeg Mac e World Grenad a World Grenad a U.S . Grenad a U.S . Grenada

1978 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 . 0 79 113.6 107 .9 96 .8 136 .9 101 .2 104 .8 126 .0 103 . 3 1980 130 .4 169 .6 76 .5 119 .7 104 .0 125.9 122.8 112 . 8 81 140 .0 152 .6 61 .1 87 .2 84 .3 91 .9 132.2 124 . 2 82 130 .6 157 .4 51 .2 72 .9 76.7 77 .5 97 .3 116 . 7 1983 152.4 148.7 62 .3 60 .1 74 .4 70 .9 74 .3 112.9

APPENDIX TABLES Page l

Table B-8 : Some Trade Indices

Four major export crops "Value added" indices Roug h Volum e EC pric e Rea l Exports Exports Import s estimate o f index index pric e and less re - import uni t index tourism export s value s

1960 50 .91 32 .34 157 76 53 75 32 . 5 61 51 .09 26 .65 129 63 46 81 32 . 5 62 65 .18 21 .24 103 65 47 77 32 . 5 63 80 .22 22 .78 108 83 58 74 33 . 3 64 65 .73 24 .88 115 73 56 85 34 . 2 1965 104 .57 24 .09 111 111 81 91 34 . 2 66 73 .18 32 .19 145 102 84 102 35 . 0 67 74 .55 26 .80 115 81 78 108 35. 8 68 98 .35 23 .33 90 86 88 106 35 . 0 69 146 .63 23 .89 90 126 124 133 35 . 8 1970 101 .55 25 .04 92 91 111 168 36 . 7 71 102 .07 21 .54 75 73 112 165 39. 2 72 109 .12 21 .96 73 74 118 147 42 . 5 73 91 .29 33 .11 86 80 103 113 53 . 3 74 70.93 56 .93 97 68 56 63 77 . 5 1975 105.50 56 .67 85 88 75 81 83 . 3 76 127 .43 60 .39 73 89 83 83 85 . 8 77 113 .56 74 .59 81 90 89 97 92 . 5 78 100 .00 100 .00 100 100 100 100 100 . 0 79 103.34 121 .99 104 107 102 104 117 . 1 1980 75 .02 133 .07 93 71 79 98 143 . 7 81 89 .69 105 .93 71 76 75 103 148 . 6 82 81 .62 96 .61 66 73 74 108 146 . 6 1983 88 .57 86 .41 61 81 80 114 141 .4

APPENDIX TABLES Pag e

Table B-9 : Composition of Imports (Current EC $1000 )

Year STC 0 STC 1 STC 2 STC 3 STC 4 STC 5 STC 6 STC 7 STC 8 STC 9

1960 4384 651 474 861 96 1403 3210 1892 1839 2 1 61 4293 577 641 689 84 1500 3515 2701 2057 26 62 4529 431 690 739 111 1440 3322 1842 2191 24 63 4887 520 397 874 76 1695 2750 1750 2052 22 64 5126 522 737 1464 81 1924 3392 1899 2509 1 9 1965 5452 578 669 1298 113 2178 3685 2675 2414 16 66 6273 675 902 805 , 108 2366 4252 3268 3066 1 0 67 6641 791 1190 848 46 2662 4760 3753 3378 9 68 7469 752 1160 1066 236 2884 5401 3337 4026 1 6 69 8970 1012 1968 1440 194 3296 7008 4948 5375 1 3 1970 10997 1587 2130 2056 91 3588 10282 7077 6807 1 7 71 12986 1974 1666 2230 125 3852 8965 7235 7004 1 5 72 12384 1356 1703 2342 118 3825 7682 6781 5696 2 4 73 14540 1075 1194 2510 142 3610 7837 6067 4699 1 3 74 15084 1490 1153 3156 260 3504 6617 2792 3021 4 1975 18256 2003 1276 4344 344 6611 10445 4270 5075 2 76 21505 2149 2090 5713 316 7330 13637 6836 6661 11 77 26016 2603 3580 6995 434 8657 18176 12387 8430 6 78 31459 3241 3212 7324 336 10114 16825 14406 9528 7 79 36099 3564 3853 11817 413 11900 20367 20435 9530 1 1980 39178 4787 5286 17325 669 14856 20859 18915 13699 0 81 41415 4160 6004 20783 703 15143 20810 24921 12769 1 82 41871 3957 7970 20273 268 15293 25524 22545 14729 0 1983 35406 3310 8437 17251 410 12285 21073 39217 17090 2

APPENDIX TABLES Page

Table B-10 : Composition of Domestic Exports (Current EC $1000 )

Year STC 0 STC 1 STC 2 STC 3 STC 4 STC 5 STC 6 STC 7 STC 8 STC 9

1960 6912 - 48 - - 26 - - - 10 61 5679 - 52 - - 12 - - 2 25 62 5810 - 66 - - 10 3 - 25 7 63 7624 - 64 - - 32 2 - 58 3 64 6884 - 37 - - 40 2 - 64 - 1965 10510 - 57 - - 92 5 - 7 7 66 9854 31 38 - - 63 5 1 6 5 67 8330 12 34 - - 43 4 2 5 2 68 9575 11 196 - - 71 7 - 8 2 69 14601 27 83 - - 27 9 - 24 7 1970 10797 24 38 - - 39 8 - 38 1 0 71 9222 9 7 - - 23 5 - 21 3 72 9808 4 6 - - 89 3 - 37 6 73 13440 3 19 - - 47 4 - 123 - 74 17215 2 10 - -- 5 - 418 - 1975 25287 43 33 1 - 92 14 80 455 - 76 32330 2 16 - - 4 10 - 511 - 77 35459 1 15 - - 184 20 2 1219 - 78 42313 1 4 - -- 4 56 1962 - 79 53928 6 24 - 2 - 236 20 1481 - 1980 41971 4 1 - - - 350 13 3171 1 81 43698 8 14 - 3 1 43 - 6509 - 82 40089 112 129 - - 6 105 - 7307 - 1983 46615 41 23 - - 27 44 1 3960 -

0

APPENDIX TABLES 10 Pag e

B-12 : Direction of Trade (Current $ EC million ) Domestic exports 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 198 3 E .E .C . nations 28 .90 36 .61 46 .78 35 .12 35 .88 27 .01 23 .07 CARICOM nations 1 .87 2 .75 3 .40 5 .22 10 .56 15 .32 18 .77 U .S .A . 1 .44 1 .15 0 .90 1 .40' 0 .77 1 .77 0 .99 Canada 0 .82 1 .11 1 .61 1 .44 1 .43 1 .14 0 .94 East Asian nations 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0.00 0 .00 0 .0 8 (Socialist nations) (2 .08) (1 .53) (1 .74) (0 .70) (0 .19) (1 .95) (2 .91 ) China 1 .29 0 .31 0 .67 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 Cuba 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .22 0 .19 0 .11 0 .42 Czechoslovakia 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .09 0 .00 G .D .R . 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .02 0 .00 Poland 0 .79 1 .22 1 .07 0 .48 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 U .S .S .R . 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 1 .73 2 .49 Other nations 1 .79 . 1 .19 1 .18 1 .63 1 .45 0 .56 1 .70 Total 36 .90 44 .34 55 .61 45 .51 50 .28 47 .75 48 .46

Total Imports 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 198 3 E .E.C. nations 26 .28 28 .50 36 .06 31 .18 34 .14 35 .44 39.72 CARICOM nations 26 .31 29 .05 35 .20 44 .51 46 .39 45 .76 38.66 U .S.A. 11 .26 13 .76 16 .57 26.37 27.22 30 .82 26.83 Canada 9 .82 7 .73 8 .13 7 .70 8 .08 8 .18 7.10 East Asian nations 5 .58 6 .60 8 .50 12 .51 10 .20 12 .64 11 .99 (Socialist nations) (1 .60) (2 .05) (2 .73) (4 .37) (7 .99) (8 .65) (21 .47 ) Bulgaria 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0.03 China 0 .47 0 .47 0 .62 0 .66 0 .31 0 .66 1 .05 Cuba 0 .23 0 .72 1 .39 2 .74 2 .74 6 .67 4 .02 Czechoslovakia 0 .30 0 .21 0 .21 0 .26 0 .22 0 .30 0.21 G .D.R . 0.13 0 .07 0 .07 0 .10 0 .27 0 .40 15.75 Hungary 0 .18 0.11 0 .09 0 .12 0 .07 0.02 0.13 North Korea 0 .00 0.00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0.10 Poland 0 .13 0.33 0 .20 0 .12 0 .12 0 .12 0.09 Romania 0 .00 0.00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0 .00 0.02 U.S.S.R. 0 .09 0.04 0 .08 0 .26 4 .16 0 .30 0.18 Yugoslavia 0 .00 0 .00 0.00 0 .00 0.00 0 .00 0 .02 Unspecified 0 .07 0.10 0 .07 0 .11 0 .10 0 .09 0 .00 Central and South America n .a . 3.89 3 .37 3 .90 4 .00 5 .70 n.a . Other Caribbean n .a . 2.68 5.34 3 .42 6.85 3 .88 n.a . Other nations 6 .44 2.19 2 .08 1 .61 1 .84 1 .35 8 .58

Total 87 .29 96.45 117.98 135 .57 146 .71 152 .42 154 .48

APPENDIX TABLES Pag e 11

Table B-15 : Land Usag e

196 1 197 5 198 1 Acres Acres Acres

Land under tree crops 28,091 23,153 22,92 2 Arable land 13,101 12,765 12,60 2 Temporary crop 6,994 6,92 5 Temporary pasture 2,540 - 2,490 Temporary fallow 1,398 1,37 2 Other arable land 1,833 1,81 5 Other 43,228 48,502 48,89 6 Grassland Cultivated 705 391 388 Non-cultivated 5,939 1,703 1,66 9 Forest/woodland 9,504 7,635 7,46 3 Other agricultural land 2,857 930 921 All other land 24,223 37,863 38,455

Total 84,420 84,420 84,420

3

APPENDIX TABLES 12 Pag e

Table B-16 : Size Distribution of Farm s

Are a 1961 census 1975 census 1981 censu s (Acres ) Number Total Number Total Number of farms Tota l of farms area of farms area Original Revised are a (acres) (acres) (acres )

Less than 1 6458 2476 5959 2510 405 6 4056 222 3 1 to 4 . 9 6052 11907 4938 10514 318 9 3189 841 3 5 to 9 . 9 934 5998 741 4888 566 566 411 4 10 to 24 . 5 418 5867 343 4732 27 1 271 418 7 25 to 49 . 9 100 3367 75 2607 59 61 209 7 50 to 99 . 9 42 2814 51 3305 37 43 258 9 100 and ove r 92 27768 65 18117 24 43 1061 8 100 to 199 . 9 28 3618 27 357 0 23 315 1 200 to 499 . 9 52 15098 30 886 0 17 511 8 500 and ove r 12 9052 8 568 7 3 200 0 Adjustment 0 349 Total 14096 60197 12172 46673 8202 34241

13 APPENDIX TABLES Pag e

Table B-17 : Agricultural Production Indices (1977 prices )

Year Domesti c Four majo r Othe r export Combined indice s agricultura l export crops crops Volume Valu e productio n Volum e Value Volum e Value index added index index added index added inde x index inde x

1973 77 .9 87 .8 78 .2 196.0 223 .5 87 .6 81 . 3 74 70 .8 71 .9 68 .5 106 .9 87 .2 72 .5 69 . 5 1975 65 .7 104 .8 89 .3 91 .6 87 .9 93 .6 83 . 5 76 66 .0 122 .8 92 .6 88 .6 75 .2 106 .1 85 . 7 77 72 .2 110 .9 91 .6 58 .4 55 .6 98 .8 86 . 1 78 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 . 0 79 96 .9 106 .8 107 .7 166 .2 151 .0 105 .5 106 . 0 1980 97 .2 74 .0 69 .5 132 .4 113 .5 81 .9 77 . 2 81 97 .0 90 .5 63 .9 347 .4 267 .5 98 .6 76 . 5 82 97 .4 89 .3 53 .8 580 .9 450 .2 103 .5 73 . 2 1983 89 .8 100 .9 54 .1 1150 .5 924 .3 123 .2 82 .1

APPENDIX TABLES 14 Page

Table B-23 : Recurrent Budgetary Expenditures of the Central Governmen t (millions of current EC dollars )

1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 198 3

Administration 2 .4 3 .0 4 .2 3 .6 5 .5 5 .6 8 .0 11 .2 10 .1 9 . 4 External security 0 .6 0 .9 1 .2 1 .5 2 .1 4 .7 6 .5 8 .9 7 .9 7 . 9 Interna l security 3 .1 3 .2 4 .6 5 .1 6 .4 5 .9 4 .7 4 .9 5 .1 5 . 5 curity

Education,labor , 5.2 5 .5 7 .7 7 .0 9 .1 10 .7 11 .5 14 .1 15.3 16 . 6 social,youth Health and housing 3 .2 3 .6 4 .8 5 .4 6 .9 7 .6 8 .6 10 .2 9.8 11 . 2 Pensions 1 .2 1 .3 1 .3 1 .8 1 .8 2 .3 2 .4 3 .1 3 .5 4 . 1 Agriculture and 1 .0 1 .2 1 .7 1 .5 2 .0 3 .9 4 .4 5 .5 3.7 4 . 1 tourism Construction and 1 .8 3 .1 8 .1 4 .8 6 .9 9 .1 9 .5 6 .8 3 .4 1 . 9 public works Payments for 0 .5 0 .5 0 .6 0 .6 0 .7 1 .0 1 .2 1 .7 1 .8 1 . 8 communication

Debt payment 1 .4 1 .9 1 .7 1 .7 3 .4 3 .1 3 .4 2 .2 7.4 12 . 9

Unspecified (+) or 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 -0 .9 0 .5 -0 .5 -0 .7 -1 .7 -1 .3 4 . 5 double counted (- )

Total recurrent 20 .2 24 .1 36 .0 32 .2 45 .2 53 .4 59 .6 66 .9 66.9 79 .8 I

APPENDIX TABLES Pag e

Table B-24 : Capital Expenditures in the Public Secto r (millions of current EC dollars )

Budget reports Central government State Tota l Actual Adjust- Direct Expt . for Capital enter- fixed reports meats fixed land and grants to prises capita l capital shares state (non - enter- financial ) prises 1974 3 .5 2 .5 6 . 0 1975 1 .8 2 .5 4 . 3 76 1 .4 2 .5 3 . 9 77 3 .6 2 .5 6 . 1 78 1 .4 3 .9 - - - 3 . 9 79 6 .6 24 .6 - - 1 .1 25 . 7 1980 32 .5 35 .2 - 0 .7 1 .9 37 . 1 81 67 .8 69 .9 1 .3 3 .6 6 .7 76 . 6 82 101 .5 75 .8 9 .4 15 .1 19 .9 95 . 7 83 n.a . 70 .5 n .a . 10 .6 13 .9 84 .4

e

APPENDIX TABLES 16 Page Table B-25a : Agricultural Wages and Retail Prices, Selected Year s Daily wag e Real wage Retail price s EC dollars index, 1979=100 May of each year ) Men Women 1978 = 10 0 1950 0 .82 0 .68 43 . 8 1951a 0 .91 0 .76 42 . 1 1952b 1 .20 1 .00 55 . 4 1954 1 .44 1 .20 70 . 0 1957 1 .56 1 .30 70 . 6 1959a 1 .70 1 .45 78 . 7 1959b 1 .80 1 .50 83 . 1 1960 1 .80 1 .50 84 . 8 1961 1 .80 1 .50 84 . 8 1962 1 .80 1 .50 85 . 7 1963 2 .00 1 .70 95 . 8 1964 2 .00 1 .70 94 .8 27 .3 . 1965 2 .00 1 .70 95 .5 27 . 1 1966 27 . 8 1967 30 . 0 1968 33 . 2 1269 3 .00 2 .50 108 .6 35 . 5 1970 37 . 8 1971 40 . 7 1972 4 .00 3 .00 111 .9 44 . 7 1973 51 . 4 1974 73 . 1 1975 76 . 1 1976 86 . 6 1977 93 . 0 1978 100 . 0 1979 8 .50 7 .50 100.0 111 . 3 1980 133 . 1 1981 162 . 0 1982 174 . 0 1983 11 .50 10 .50 81 .8 185 .8 Table B-27 : GDP Indices with Comparisons GDP estimates Other estimate s Volume Value World Ban k I .M .F . added (GNP) (GDP )

1973 93 .3 89 .8 93 . 8 74 64 .8 60 .8 74 . 2 1975 78 .8 72 .8 82 . 3 76 89 .1 84 .0 89 . 5 77 91 .5 88 .5 95 . 0 78 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 . 0 79 107 .7 106 .3 102 .1 102 . 3 1980 98 .8 93 .7 105 .2 102 . 6 81 103 .9 97.3 109 .2 p 104 . 3 82 105 .7 99.1 106 .2 p 108 . 9 1983 109 .0 101.8 100 .9 p 107 .7 p p = preliminary

r