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Contents Section A Contents Section A. Macroeconomics and Growth ...................................................................................................... 2 Section B. Special Sessions and Roundtables ................................................................................................ 6 Section C. Network Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 6 Section D. Theoretical Economics ............................................................................................................... 10 Section E. Financial Institutions, Markets and Payment Systems ............................................................... 12 Section F. Social Policy ................................................................................................................................ 16 Section G. Regional and Urban Development ............................................................................................. 18 Section H. Social and Economic History ...................................................................................................... 23 Section I. International Relations ................................................................................................................ 24 Section J. Economic Methodology .............................................................................................................. 28 Section K. World Economy .......................................................................................................................... 29 Section L. Firms and Markets ...................................................................................................................... 32 Section M. Political Processes ..................................................................................................................... 35 Section N. Political Processes. Special Seminars with Presentations of HSE University’s Research Results ..................................................................................................................................................................... 38 Section O. State and Local Government, and the NPO Sector .................................................................... 41 Section P. Demography and Labour Markets.............................................................................................. 46 Section Q. Sociology .................................................................................................................................... 49 Section R. Management .............................................................................................................................. 60 Section S. Science and Innovation ............................................................................................................... 64 Section T. Social and Cultural Processes ..................................................................................................... 66 Section U. Healthcare Studies ..................................................................................................................... 69 Section V. Prosperity and Socio-Economic Development ........................................................................... 71 Section W. Economics, Sociology, and Education Policy ............................................................................ 76 Section X. Sports Studies ............................................................................................................................. 80 Section Y. Instrumental Methods in Economic and Social Studies ............................................................. 81 Section Z. Arctic Research (Special Session)................................................................................................ 85 1 Section A. Macroeconomics and Growth Moderator: I. Voskoboynikov (HSE University), E. Gurvich (EEG) Tuesday, April 9 12:00-1:30pm Session A-02. Mechanisms of Output Volatility in the Russian Room 101, М-20 Economy RUS Moderator: I. Voskoboynikov (HSE University) S. Tsukhlo (Gaidar Institute) Russian Industry in the 2014-2018 Crisis, devaluation and import substitution (abstract) S. Popova (Bank of Russia) Firm-specific shocks and aggregate fluctuations (abstract) A. Tsvetkova (Bank of Russia) Productivity trends in Russian industries: firm-level evidence (abstract) D. Petrova (RANEPA) Impact of real exchange rate appreciations on economic growth (abstract) 3:00-4:30pm Session A-03. Economic Development and Growth in Cross- Room 101, М-20 country Comparisons RUS+ENG, Moderator: M. Dabrowski (HSE University, CASE, Bruegel) Simultaneous translation V. Mironov (HSE University), N. Samsonova (HSE University), L. Konovalova (HSE University) Analysis of the world experience of structural policy in countries that have achieved an effective combination of structural and standard macroeconomic policies, and its importance for Russia (abstract) A. Bozhechkova (Gaidar Institute) Real exchange rate and competitiveness of the national economy (abstract) S. Bekareva (NSU), E. Meltenisova (NSU) Impact of monetary policy in China on economic growth with structural breaks (ARDL model with EC processes) (abstract) A. Sofi (BITS), S. Sasidhran (IIT Madras), A. Mishra (BITS PIlani, Goa Campus) Spatial interaction and Kaldor’s growth laws: a cross-country perspective (abstract) Y. Nakamura (YNU) Is Russia moving to the East? A simple spatial analysis (abstract) 5:00-6:30pm Session A-04. Productivity and Growth in the Russian Room 101, М-20 Economy RUS Moderator: V. Bessonov (HSE University) 2 I. Voskoboynikov (HSE University) Russia's recession in a comparative perspective (abstract) E. Baranov (HSE University), E. Staritsyna (HSE University), D. Piontkovski (HSE University) Methodological problems of using input-output structural decomposition analysis (SDA) approach at present (abstract) I. Bogacheva (Bank of Russia), A. Porshakov (Bank of Russia), N. Turdyeva (Bank of Russia) Sectoral GVC-REER and industry competitiveness in Russia (abstract) K. Bobyleva (HSE University) Low contribution of intangible assets to the growth of the Russian economy: lagging behind developed economies or a measurement problem? (abstract) Wednesday, April 10 10:00-11:30am Session A-05. Macroeconomic Analysis and Modeling Room 101, М-20 Moderator: S. Pekarsky (HSE University) RUS+ENG S. Tiupin (HSE University - St. Petersburg) Natural interest rate in Russia: a state-space approach (abstract) A. Polbin (RANEPA) Unobserved component model for the Russian economy under high dependence on oil prices (abstract) S. Slobodyan (HSE University - St. Petersburg, CERGE-EI), V. Audzei (Czech National Bank, CERGE-EI) Sparce restricted perceptions of equilibrium (abstract) I. Khotulev (Bank of Russia), K. Styrin (Bank of Russia) Optimal fiscal, monetary and macroprudential policy in an oil-exporting economy with myopic agents (abstract) A. Shulgin (Volgo-Vyatka branch of the Bank of Russia) Regional macroanalysis with the regional DSGE model (abstract) 12:00-1:30pm Session A-06. Monitoring and Forecasting Inflation Room 101, М-20 Moderator: K. Styrin (Bank of Russia) RUS D. Shestakov (Bank of Russia), M. Melikhova (Bank of Russia) Anchored inflation expectations in the Russian economy (abstract) P. Kartaev (MSU) Impact of inflation targeting on the pass-through effect of the exchange rate (abstract) O. Malakhovskaya (HSE University), B. Demeshev (HSE University) Inflation Forecasting forecasting in a Mixedmixed-fFrequency rrequency Model model (abstract) 3 M. Mamedli (Bank of Russia), Z. Zvezdin (Ecole Polytechnique) Gradient boosting and neural network models for inflation forecasting in Russia (abstract) V. Grishchenko (Bank of Russia), O. Kadreva (Bank of Russia) Estimation of the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations for Russia using non-structural methods (abstract) 3:00-4:30pm Session A-07. Money Transmission and Price Differentiation Room 101, М-20 in Russia’s Regions RUS Moderator: F. Kartaev (MSU) E. Shevchenko (VolSU) Spatial analysis of the impact of factors of the demography on inflation in Russian regions (abstract) Y. Perevyshin (Gaidar Institute), P. Trunin (RANEPA), S. Sinelnikov- Murylev (RFTA) Determinants of Russian regional inflation differences (abstract) V. Napalkov (VVMB Bank of Russia), V. Kramkov (VVMB Bank of Russia), A. Yeliseyev (VVMB Bank of Russia) Interregional macroeconomic shock propagation in Russia: the GVAR approach (abstract) A. Yeliseyev (VVMB Bank of Russia), A. Shulgin (VVMB Bank of Russia) Price convergence and long-run inflation (abstract) 5:00-6:30pm Roundtable A-08. Is long-term economic growth above the Room 101, М-20 world average possible in Russia? RUS+ENG, Moderator: O. Zamulin (HSE University, Sberbank) Simultaneous translation Issues for discussion: • What are the reasons behind the ongoing slowdown of Russia’s economy? • What are the possible scenarios for domestic economic growth in the next decade? • What role do the lack of investment, limited human capital and low intensity of technological development play in Russia, and what other factors limit the country’s long-term growth? • How could the long-term growth of the Russian economy be accelerated, in principle, along with maintaining its stability? • What growth support measures can be suggested by the government as the most effective approach to the current situation in Russia? Participants: P. Badasen (Ministry of Economic Development),
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