Mongolia. Competitiveness Assessment Of
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Box 300, 1400 Vienna, Austria Tel: (+43-1) 26026-0 · www.unido.org · [email protected] 4 OPEN SOCIETY i| MINISTRY OF INDUSTRY UNIDO FORUM AND TRADE Competitiveness Assessment of the Industrial Sector Final Report* Prepared for the Government of Mongolia Ministry of Industry and Trade By the United Nations Industrial Development Organization By Hai Nguyen Thanh UNIDO Consultant Backstopping Officer: Diana Hubbard Industrial Governance and Statistics Branch Vienna, January 2006 * This document has not been edited DDC 338'517 M-692 © 2007 Open Society Forum Jamiyan gun street - 5/1 Sukhbaatar district, Ulaanbaatar - 48 Mongolia Tel: 976-11-313207 Fax: 976-11-324857 Web: http://www.forum.mn E-mail: [email protected] The fundings, interpretations, and conclutions expressed in this report do not reflect the views of the Open Society Forum. For permission to photocopy or reprint any of this publication, please send a requst to the Open Society Forum. ISBN 978-99929-56-22-4 CONTENTS Executive Summ ary ............................................................................................. VII 1. Introduction’....,.....,..................,,»..,»,.,,...».,......»..........................»..,, i 2. Overview of Mongolia's Industry,,..,,,,.......,,,..,..».,..,.,»».,....,,...,»..»»»,,. 3 2.1. Restructuring for a market econom y........................................................... 3 2.2. Structure of the manufacturing sector.........................................................4 2.3. Recent developments......................................................................................6 3. Comparative Review of Mongolia's Industrial Performance,.,,..,»»...». 9 3.1. Mongolia and the benchmark countries........................................................9 3.2. Manufacturing performance.........................................................................11 MV A Analysis................................................................................................. 11 Structural changes in manufacturing......................................................... 12 3.3. Export performance ..................................................................................... 13 Performance in manufactured exports....................................................... 13 Technological structure of manufactured exports.................................... 14 Export concentration and diversification................................................... 17 3.4. Mongolia in the UNIDO scoreboard of industrial development............... 17 The new performance index........................................................................ 19 Benchmarking industrial performance.......................................................19 3.5. Structural factors in competitiveness: technology, skills andFD I........... 20 Analytical background.................................................................................. 20 Benchmarking technological capabilities................................................... 21 Foreign direct investment (FDI).................................................................. 30 3.6. Business environment.................................................................................. 34 3.7. Conclusions....................................................................................................35 4. M easuring Sectoral Com petitiveness ........................................................ 37 Analyzing market positioning......................................................................37 5. The C om petitiveness of the W ool & C ashm ere Sector,»»»»,.,,»..»»,.»».,» 47 Competitive position on global market.......................................................48 Global market trends....................................................................................48 Competitive positioning................................................................................53 Concluding remarks...................................................................................... 59 6. The Competitiveness of the Leather Sector.................. 81 Competitive position on global market.......................................................62 Global market trends....................................................................................62 Competitive positioning................................................................................63 Concluding remarks...................................................................................... 64 7. The Com petitiveness of the M eat Sector,»».,.»»»,»»».»»».,,,.»».»,»,,»,»,,».»,». 65 Competitive position on global market.......................................................66 Global market trends....................................................................................66 Competitive positioning................................................................................ 67 Concluding remarks...................................................................................... 67 Boxes ; Box 4.1 : Market positioning classification........................................................................................ 38 Figures ; Figure 3.1 : Gross enrollment ratio in tertiary education (% of relevant age group)................ 22 Figure 3.2 : Knowledge index - East Asia....................................................................................... 28 Figure 3.3 : Knowledge index - Landlocked economies ..... 29 Figure 3.17: The most problematic factors for doing business in Mongolia.............................. 34 Figure 4.1 : Mongolia's market positioning for manufactured exports (1996-2003) .............. 45 Figure 4.2 : Malaysia's market positioning for manufactured exports (1995-2004)............... 46 Figure 5.1 : World's SITC 268 export breakdown, 1995 and 2004............................................ 48 Figure 5.2 : Australia's SITC 268 export breakdown, 1995 and 2004 ..................................... 49 Figure 5.3 : New Zealand's SITC 268 export breakdown, 1995 and 2004............................... 49 Figure 5.4 : Argentina's SITC 268 export breakdown, 1995 and 2 0 0 4 ......................................49 Figure 5.5 : China's SITC 268 export breakdown, 1995 and 2004............................................ 50 Figure 5.6 : Mongolia's SITC 268 export breakdown, 1996 and 2003....................................... 50 Figure 5.7 : Trends in Wool & other animal hair (SITC 268) exports in the world.................... 51 Figure 5.8 : Trends in Sheep's or lamb's wool (SITC 2681/2682) exports in the w orld........ 51 Figure 5.9 : Trends in Fine animal hair, not carded or combed (SITC 2683) exports............... 52 Figure 5.10: Trends in Sheep's/lamb's wool/other animal hair (SITC 2687) exports............... 52 Figure 5.11: Competitive positioning of selected countries in the global market, The Wool & Other Animal Hair (SITC 268) secto r.................................................. 54 Figure 5.12: Competitive positioning of selected countries in the global market, The Sheep's or Lamb's Wool, Greasy (SITC 2681) sub-sector.............................. 55 Figure 5.13: Competitive positioning of selected countries in the global market, The Sheep's or Lamb's Wool, Degreased (SITC 2682) sub-sector........................56 Figure 5.14: Competitive positioning of selected countries in the global market, The Fine Animal Hair, Not Carded or Combed (SITC 2683) sub-sector............... 57 Figure 5.15: Competitive positioning of selected countries in the global market, The Sheep's/Lamb's/Other Animal Hair (SITC 2687) sub-sector......................... 58 Figure 6.1 : Trends in leather (SITC 811) exports in the w orld...................................................62 Figure 6.2 : Competitive positioning of selected countries in the global market, The leather (SITC 611) sector...................................................................................63 Figure 7.1 : Trends