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Temperament, Ability, and Interests Predict Important Real World Choices

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Temperament, Ability, and Interests Predict Important Real World Choices Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Temperament, ability, and interests predict important real world choices William Revelle and David Condon Part of a Symposium: Motivation as a basic personality process. Organized by Luke Smillie and Joshua Wilt Annual meeting of the Society for the Study of Motivation Personality, Motivation and Cognition Laboratory Department of Psychology Northwestern University Evanston, Illinois USA 1 / 41 Chicago, May 24, 2012 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Outline 1 Introduction and overview Personality and Motivation Beyond Affect, Behavior, Cognition and Desire: Temperament, Ability and Interests A need for integrative studies 2 SAPA methodology Conceptual overview Technical Overview 3 Results Analytical Technique TAI and motivational choice 2 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References The study of personality includes the study of motivation 1 Personality is the coherent patterning over time and space of Affect, Behavior, Cognition and Desire. Items in most personality tests may be organized in terms of their relative emphasis on the ABCDs. We have examined the coherency of ABCDs over short periods of time (e.g., the patterning of energetic and affective changes during the day over several weeks using text messaging). We have also examined it cross sectionally to examine long time choice behavior with meaningful outcomes. 2 Personality and motivation Traditional personality measures emphasize average levels of ABCDs. Personality traits reflect sensitivities to motivationally salient stimuli. Personality traits are the first derivatives of personality states in reaction to motivationally salient stimuli. Short term: Affective reactions and goal directed behavior Long term: Meaningful life choices: College major and occupation 3 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Personality and Temperament Hogan (1982) distinguishes between personality as identity and personality as reputation. To this we would add actions. 1 Identity How we see ourselves Studies of the structure of self report 2 Reputation How others see us Studies of the structure of peer report 3 Actions What we actually do Studies of the residues of our choices and our actions. One important outcome is choice of college major. Another is the choice of occupation. 4 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Going beyond the ABCDs: Personality as Temperament, Ability, and Interests 1 Temperament: what we usually do Identity, Reputation, and Actions Affective, Cognitive and Behavioral reactions to situations: the \Big 5" (Goldberg, 1990), the \Giant 3" (Eysenck, 1990) 2 Ability: What we can do Measures of intellectual ability { life as an intelligence test (Deary, Penke & Johnson, 2010; Gottfredson, 1997; Horn & Cattell, 1966; Johnson & Bouchard, 2005) 3 Interests: What we like to do 6 dimensions: Realistic, Investigative, Artistic, Social, Enterprising, Conventional (aka RIASEC Holland, 1996) 2 dimensions (e.g., people vs. things/facts vs. ideas, Prediger & Vansickle, 1992) of interests 5 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Traditional model of Temperament, Abilities, and Interests A C Temperament Temperament 2- 5 dimensions reflecting E N individual differences in Affect, O Behavior, Cognition, Desire Ability V P Abilities g 1 g 2 gf gc R Interests R 2 broad dimensions organizing C I 6-8 specific interests Interests E A 1 People vs. Things S 2 Facts vs Ideas 6 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Personality as Temperament, Ability, and Interests 1 It has long been known that Temperament, Ability and Interests (TAI) are interrelated predictors of long term outcomes (Kelly & Fiske, 1950). Unfortunately, the study of interests has been relegated to vocational counselors Ability has been studied by educational psychologists and Industrial Organizational psychologists. Need to integrate these in a general theory of personality and motivated choice. 2 A few groups do try to integrate temperament and ability These include Lubinski & Benbow (2000); Lubinski, Webb, Morelock & Benbow (2001); Lubinski & Benbow (2006) Ackerman (1997), Ackerman & Heggestad (1997) Kuncel, Campbell & Ones (1998); Kuncel, Hezlett & Ones (2001); Kuncel, Crede & Thomas (2005) 7 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Traditional model of Temperament, Abilities, and Interests A C Temperament E N O V P Abilities g Outcome R R C I Interests E A S 8 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Motivation involves choice 1 Motivational models emphasize intensity as well as direction Performance models emphasize efficiency in any one task How many resources are available for a particular task 2 Direction of behavior (aka resource allocation) emphasizes choice Dynamic models of choice (the Dynamics of Action) from Atkinson & Birch (1970) or a reparameterization (the Cues-Tendency-Action model) by Revelle (1986) emphasize that behaviors inhibit each other. For computer simulations of choice behavior using the Cues-Tendency-Action (CTA) model see Fua, Horswill, Ortony & Revelle (2009); Fua, Revelle & Ortony (2010) 9 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Motivation involves choice between incompatible outcomes A C Temperament Outcome1 E N O V P Abilities g Outcome2 R R C I Interests Outcome3 E A S 10 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References A need for integrative studies Prior work has shown that there is a need to integrate Temperament, Abilities and Interests. But how to do it? To integrate the areas requires large sample sizes, ease of data collection, and a diverse subject population. Some do this through meta analysis, some use broad based national samples. Is it possible for single labs to do integrative studies? 11 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References How to do integrative studies? Problem of small samples sizes based upon college undergraduates. Typical subject pools are neither large enough nor diverse enough. Expensive to get access to large and diverse populations Exceptions include national and international survey samples using preselected items: National Longitudinal Study of Youth (NLSY) Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) German Socio-Economic Panel Is it possible to do large based sampling with tailored items? Yes, use the web. 12 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Synthetic Aperture Personality Assessment (SAPA) Using the web and open source materials to collect data on temperament, ability and interests Synthetically form large covariance matrices from smaller subsets of items Each subject given ≈ 50 personality, 10 interest, and 14-16 ability items sampled from the larger pool. Total pool of items > 1000 ≈ 400 personality items primarily from International Personality Item Pool Goldberg (1999) 92 interest items for Oregon Vocational Interest Scales (Pozzebon, Visser, Ashton, Lee & Goldberg, 2010) 80 ability items (home brewed at NU) Demographic items include age, sex, education, race, country, college major, occupation (if appropriate) Resulting sample sizes > 50; 000 − 250; 000 College major, occupational status and interest items added in 9/10 Data to be summarized include ≈ 65; 000 participants 13 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References Method 1 Synthetic Aperture Personality Assessment (Revelle, Wilt & Rosenthal, 2010) forms large covariance matrices by sampling items across people ≈ 120=day particpants are recruited to test.personality-project.org Each participant is given 60-70 items Total set of items being analyzed > 500 2 Item content being sampled 100 \IPIP" Big 5 items ≈ 200 other temperamental items 56-80 home brewed ability items 92 Oregon Vocational Interest items (ORVIS) 3 Although > 200; 000 participants have been run in all, we will report only those data from the last 65,000 4 Demographic information included Age, Gender Level of education College major and broad field (if appropriate) Occupation (if appropriate) 14 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References SAPA: what the subject sees A ab B 15 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References SAPA: what the subject sees A ac C 16 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References SAPA: what the subject sees A ad D 17 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References SAPA: what the subject sees B bc C 18 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References SAPA: what the subject sees B bd D 19 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References SAPA: what the subject sees C cd D 20 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References SAPA: what the experimenter sees: A Synthetic matrix A ab B ac bc C ad bd cd D 21 / 41 Introduction and overview SAPA methodology Results References SAPA: Technical overview 1 n x n synthetic covariance matrices are formed by giving p items to Np subjects N Total number of subjects n Total number of items in synthetic matrix p Probability of any item being given pN Number of subjects taking any one item p2N Number of subjects for any pair of items 2 Basic statistics Data are Massively Missing at Random Means and Variances are based upon pN subjects Covariances are based upon p2N subjects 3 Power of large samples and sampling of items 100-150 people per day => 40,000
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