Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership Community Risk Register

Contributors Local Authorities Useful AppsandSocialMedia Find OutMore Personal Information Preparedness Potential Risks-IndustrialSiteIncidents Potential Risks-Flooding Potential Risks-Severe Weather Potential Risks-InuenzaType Diseases-Pandemic Area Pro le Introduction Contents 18 17 16 15 14 13 11 09 07 05 03 01

Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Introduction What is a Community Risk Register? Who is this document for? This Community Risk Register highlights risks Whenever an emergency1 occurs, it has the that have the highest likelihood and potential potential to affect you and those around you in to have signi cant impact, causing disruption a number of ways. to the Forth Valley area and its communities, as de ned in the map on page 02. This document will highlight some of the different ways in which this could happen, This document will: ranging from how it affects you, the individual, to the broader Forth Valley Local Resilience • Inform you about the highest risks and their Partnership (LRP) area. consequences in the Forth Valley area

• Provide you with links to organisations and You websites to nd out more How you could be affected in your daily life • Encourage steps that can be taken to become better prepared and more resilient in your home, business and community Your Family While certain risks are mentioned it does not mean that they will de nitely occur in the Forth How those close to you could Valley area. be affected

It does mean there is a possibility of them happening and this document will provide information about what can be done if any of Your Business them do occur and how you can prepare and What it could mean for your stay informed. business

You should also use this information in conjunction with local knowledge and advice from the emergency services, agencies, local Your Community health boards and your local authority. Contact What the effects could be to your details can be found on page 19. local community

Your Area How the overall region could be affected

1To aid understanding and continuity throughout the CRR, the term ‘emergency’ is being used to cover all types of disruptive events, incidents and accidents which may occur as a result of an identi ed potential risk.

01 • • • • • (SEPA) • • • • • • • • limited to: multiagency partnershipinclude,butare not Examples oforganisations whichmakeupthis Valley anditslocalcommunities. partnership workstoenhancethesafetyofForth and emergencies intheForth Valley area. The respond toandrecover from majordisruptions who are required toprepare andplanfor, The ForthValley LRPcomprisesorganisations Resilience PartnershipPro le Forth ValleyForth Voluntary organisations Industry andCommerce Utility companies Met Of ce HM CoastGuard (MCA) Scottish Environment Protection Agency NHS ForthValley Scottish AmbulanceService Police Scotland Scottish Fire andRescueService Stirling Council Falkirk Council Clackmannanshire Council © Crown copyright anddatabaserights2015 Ordnance Survey100054002 resilience ofthearea. and sharinginformationtoincrease theoverall partnership’s workinpreparing foremergencies This CRRformsjustoneaspectofthe should theyoccurintheForthValley. to causesigni cantdisruptionpeople’s lives are onesthatare viewedtohavethepotential The speci crisksidenti edinthisdocument public domain. that detailswillnotbemadeavailableinthe information supportingitsassessments,means its riskassessmentwork,thesensitivityof Forth Valley LRParea addresses threats within threats (eg,terrorist incidents).Althoughthe (natural occurrences, accidents)ratherthan This CRRcoversnon-maliciousemergencies Forth Valley LRParea. analysis inevaluatingthekeyrisksfacing historical evidence,scienti cinputandexpert judgement from arangeof contributors, This documentistheresult ofprofessional procedures. agreed andeffective multi-agencyplansand are usedtoinformthepartnership andproduce of occurring.Theresults of theseassessments terms oftheirpotentialimpactandlikelihood the likelyrisksinarea and ratethemin out bythemulti-agencypartnershiptoidentify The CRRistheresult ofrisk assessmentscarried created? How isaCommunityRiskRegister

02 Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Area Pro le Forth Valley The Forth Valley, also known as Central Scotland, is an area of great natural beauty and contrasts, with the Highlands to the north and the ood plain of the River Forth and its estuary to the south.

Three local authority areas cover Forth Valley – Stirling, Clackmannanshire and Falkirk. Situated to the north, Stirling tends to be more vulnerable to effects of severe weather and river ooding, whilst to the east and south, Clackmannanshire and Falkirk are more vulnerable to the effects of industrial accidents and the threat of coastal or tidal ooding.

Forth Valley has a proud and long-standing history in the development of modern Scotland. Historically the Stirling area was of strategic importance in affairs of state and both the Clackammanshire and Falkirk areas were closely associated with Scotland’s industrial and economic development. Today Forth Valley’s population of 298,000 is centred mainly on the conurbation of Stirling, Falkirk and Alloa.

The Grangemouth Industrial Complex and the Re nery is located on the shores on the Forth encompassing the Port and closely adjacent to the town of approximately 19000 residents. The Port of Grangemouth is Scotland’s main container terminal, with over 30% of Scotland’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) passing through annually.

The location of Forth Valley within Scotland has ensured that the area is of considerable national importance in Scotland’s economic, communication and transport elds. Forth Valley enjoys modern and well-developed transportation links to all regions of Scotland, other parts of the UK and Europe.

03 Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Community Risk Register / Forth Valley

04 Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Potential Risks Inuenza Type Diseases - Pandemic A u pandemic occurs when a new inuenza virus emerges for which people have little or no Illness, unable to go to work, loss of immunity and for which there is no vaccine. income, limited mobility, loss of life, high levels of anxiety Because of this lack of immunity the virus is able to:

• Infect more humans over a large Missing school and work, passing geographical area illness on, loss of income, multiple members ill, loss of life • Spread rapidly and efficiently from person to person

• Cause clinical illness in a proportion of those Workforce unable to get to work, infected loss of income, business networks Pandemic u is similar to seasonal u but the affected symptoms can be more severe and whilst seasonal u tends to happen around October to May every year, a pandemic u can happen at Increased demand on healthcare any time. services, transport disruption and delays, economic losses, signi cant loss of life

Transport and delivery disruptions, increased demand on healthcare services, economic and business losses, tourism affected, loss of life

05 More preparedness informationcanbefoundonpage 13. www.takelifeon.co.uk • Healthier Scotland - Take Life On: www.readyscotland.org/are-you-ready/pandemic-u/ • Ready Scotland - Pandemic Flu: www.nhs.uk/conditions/pandemic-u • Contact your local NHS board or visit: For more information: maintain • public raise • higher manage a • Have u • pandemic of the spread further reducing potentially home, at to you remain allow will –this you for supplies important in assist • support • promote • out Look • and Know • Ensure illnesses other and u the with to• cope ability Keep • What you can do: promote occurring • outbreaks large surveillance put • to: together working outbreak, of an event the In ValleyWhat the Forth are LRP members doing: Possible Consequences Public • High • Vulnerable • daily Normal • Higher • Public • Many • Health • your healthy staff people you transportation anxiety and usual than the managing the and business good for understand own absence have awareness people NHS social and further – living routines affected control infection supplies arrangements someone follow normal than and continuity care number at levels develop a healthy social a higher affected your local become with services

from advice of

who over-the-counter of children’s the provision care with multi-agency deaths level lifestyle in risk

be would community affected stretched measures services place local

of the school fatalities of partners significantly to NHS appropriate

able to and quickly identify

in flu pandemic and cold cope health arrangements and to

the and collect and other with increases centres media businesses and flu increased relevant your medicines plans effective

on and medication, your react such

hospitals about agencies demand body’s vaccinations for to matters new you immune food and diseases

and your the system other outbreak to family avoid

and

06 Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Potential Risks Severe Weather This risk is relevant to the Forth Valley area as Unable to go to work/home, there have been many previous instances of it loss of income, transport delays, occurring, for example, extensive ooding in 1993, heavy snow and ice in 2010, ooding in disruption to daily routine, injury, 2011 and high winds in 2012. loss of life

Severe Weather can: Structural damage to home, • come in a variety of forms; storm force winds, increased insurance premiums, extreme temperatures, heavy rain (see missing school, no utilities, Flooding page 09) and snow transport delays, injury, loss of life

• last for prolonged periods and its impact can cause signi cant damage and disruption No utilities, business suspended to people’s lives and livelihoods or closed, damaged building, staff unable to reach work, supply/ • have a knock-on effect and create additional distribution network disruption, IT emergencies failure

Economic and business losses, damaged buildings, transport delays, loss of life

Utilities failure, economic losses, transport disruptions, tourism affected

07 Authorities websites onpage17.More preparedness information canbefoundonpage13. Information aboutsevere weatherandyourlocalarea canbelocatedfrom theForthValley Local www.readyscotland.org/are-you-ready/severe-weather • Ready Scotland – Severe Weather: www.sepa.org.uk/ooding • Scottish Environment Protection Agency – Flooding : www.metof ce.gov.uk/guide/weather/severe-weather-advice • Met Office Severe Weather Advice: For more information: Identifying • with Engaging • support Providing • Ensure • about Think you with supplies • emergency Distributing • Plan • offering Consider • extreme Communicate • you If • Taking • Plan • Listen • What you can do: Maintaining, • ValleyWhat the Forth are LRP members doing: Met Possible Consequences Natural • Impact • Limited • Businesses • Vulnerable • Schools • to Damage • Danger • of Loss • long-lasting: and signi cant be Can response to severe weather events weather to severe response Office ahead any have to account you on utilities journeys landscape to or local and to and and have to life rural delayed people and early how property testing public travel reduce weather communities from of SEPA targeting (power, areas; services adequate you notification or help any and affected exposed in transport buildings windblown and activities cope would

the and or warnings extreme on guidance forecasts crops, to weather water, gas, exercising may assistance impact vulnerable infrastructure insurance to

to of livestock with be availability closed develop weather, health such objects severe updates and on forced with alerts the telecommunications) plans business your to neighbours take weather a loss threatening the affected weather community to ensure in issued to

business and heed urban most close your of as continuity procedures in utilities by you of trees, forecasts and vulnerable family or in and and mind any the temperatures your suspend resilience have isolated rural and of warnings Met and and to community in appropriate for structural local areas Office homes friends you what delaying consider members operations communities an partners effective

and extreme and if failure do would clothing of to safe SEPA businesses communities and multi-agency

weather businesses do plans and if so it happens

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08 Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Potential Risks Flooding The risk of ooding from various sources such Advised to stay indoors/possible as coastal, river and ash oods is extremely evacuation to a safer area, injury, relevant to the Forth Valley. There have been previous examples occurring, for example loss of income, inability to get Stirling suffered severe ooding in 1993 and home and/or to work 2005, while Forth Valley coastal communities were threatened with tidal ooding in 2013/14. Advised to stay indoors/possible Coastal ooding can: evacuation to a safer area, structural damage to home, no • Be the result of sea surges, high tides and/or utilities gale force winds

• Affect the coastline and local defence No utilities, business may be in barriers which may be overtopped or affected area, staf ng levels affected, breached supply/distribution network affected, long term recovery • Generally be expected

River and Flash Flooding can: Businesses suspended or closed, economic losses, building damage, • Be the result of heavy rain and melting snow or a combination of factors utilities supply disrupted, loss of life, long term recovery • Affect any area, from those adjoining steep sided hills to at plains

• Sometimes be rapid with little or no warning Economic losses, utilities supply disrupted, tourism affected

09 websites onpage17.More preparedness information canbefoundonpage13. Information aboutooding andyourlocalarea canbe locatedfrom theForth Valley LocalAuthorities www.readyscotland.org/are-you-ready/ooding/ • Ready Scotland - Flooding www.sepa.org.uk/ooding.aspx • Scottish Environment Protection Agency - Flooding For more information: Create • neighbour Identify a • Where • Ensure • information Providing • Testing • Sign • Find • What you can do: multi–agency Developing • Taking areas • these in risk at Identifying • ValleyWhat the Forth are LRP members doing: Possible Consequences Potential • term Long • Pollution and • Emergency • to Damage • of Disruption • Transport • and/or Evacuation • Flooding • to Risk • your home times of ood risk up out account possible, flood you and life, to if unrecoverable of you receive disruption

have restoration and people exercising property, accommodation homes plan utilities contamination live of

risk move adequate for any SEPA or isolation

and assessing and who your work with in or warnings

land agricultural valuable flood and animals Floodline advance, businesses to damage may home plans flooded flood within a insurance recovery of related of for

need areas residents or the and and those e.g. alerts alerts irreplaceable roads that local help

and scenarios responses businesses issues business

weather evacuated and (below) issued could risk

or environment and for general who area bridges damaged (below

those and be to by items might

from flooding affected

SEPA recovery flood infrastructure affected – Ready to be the higher warnings able

SEPA by plans

Scotland) flooding to areas website assist

in

and you your (below)

those if house you

communities evacuate during

10 Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Potential Risks Industrial Site Incidents Across the Forth Valley area there is a very Advised to stay indoors/possible strong industrial presence particularly evacuation to a safer area, loss at Grangemouth with Scotland’s largest petrochemical complex. There is also extensive of income, inability to get home, whisky storage and distribution at Blackgrange, injury, illness, loss of life Cambus, Menstrie, Bonnybridge and several major underground oil and gas pipelines. Advised to stay indoors/possible evacuation to a safer area, The affects could be short or long term structural damages to home or depending on the nature of the incident. Large industrial sites are strictly regulated and business, no utilities, injury, illness, must have contingency plans in place to limit loss of life disruption and to warn local communities in the event of an accident.. No utilities, business may be in Examples of such incidents are: affected area, staf ng levels affected, supply/distribution network affected • an explosion at an industry site e.g. - complex, plant, pipeline or facility Businesses suspended or closed, • a release of harmful materials economic loses, building damage, utility supply disrupted, loss of life, long term recovery

Economic loses, utility supply disrupted, tourism affected

11 More preparedness information canbefoundonpage13. www.readyscotland.org/are-you-ready/ • Ready Scotland - Are For more information: Working • incident Identifying • Working • Keep • and Know • incident an during Working • ValleyWhat the Forth are LRP members doing: to Damage • Adverse • loses Economic • to Disruption • Public • Danger • Possible Consequences Listen • What you can do: to Damage • Potential • Possible • People • provide and response emergency recovery assistance relevant to health may to of evacuation impact with with closely and for understand life ways environment buildings be further issues follow oil, partners multi-agency

phone advised

on with and petrol farm and instructions (eg. incidents means site numbers and You your to the or to injuries and including operators lessons identify structures stay utility affected Ready: partners children’s of produce agricultural communicating to handy indoors

issued supplies fire waterways to area to

school or produce, respond for by stay structural

from site purposes safety in arrangements and operators, and previous incidents with touch test effectively wildlife collapse) the and with public exercise emergency people

on

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and and plans them after others to an

12 Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Preparedness

There is much that you can do to make yourself, • Sign up to official social media feeds and your family and business better prepared for apps such as those on page 16. emergencies or disruptive events. • Take time to help your elderly or vulnerable You can signi cantly reduce the risk by being neighbours where possible informed and prepared. • Consider what you would do with your pets Being aware of the risks in your local community will help you prepare for the consequences they In an emergency, there are many ways in which may bring. By planning and preparing now, you information is communicated to the public by can limit the impact an emergency could have the appropriate authorities. This can be via on you, your family or business. There are many traditional sources like TV and radio but also types of emergency situations that could disrupt by social media such as Twitter feeds, agency your daily life including not being able to travel, website updates and Facebook noti cations. get in touch with family members, colleagues and other people. Depending on the nature of the emergency, it is possible that electricity or telecommunication Some initial steps you can take: infrastructure may be affected.

• Identify the risks that might affect you, your It is good to know your local radio stations, as home or business in your local area they will be broadcasting important information. You may wish to write down your local radio • Research/investigate specific actions you can frequencies at the back of this document. take to reduce the impact of those risks in A good start is: areas of your life • BBC Radio Scotland: (92 – 95 FM) • Identify somewhere your family can meet and 810 MW if you are evacuated or cannot return to your • Central FM (103.1 FM) home • Forth FM (97.3 FM) • Heart FM (101.1 FM) • Check your insurance cover in detail and keep a copy of the policy in a safe place

For more information, plan templates and checklists: • Ready Scotland – Preparedness at Home: www.readyscotland.org/at-home/ • Ready Scotland – My Business www.readyscotland.org/my-business/ • Ready Scotland - My Community www.readyscotland.org/my-community/

13 If youhadtostaywithsomeoneelse: Personal Information Name Bank Vet Insurance Company Phone Supplier Gas Supplier Electrical Supplier Minor ailmentservice Pharmacy Nearest hospital Doctor School Work Contacts Personal Emergency Useful Contacts Name drs eehn Details Address &Telephone Details

14 Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Find Out More In an emergency, always dial 999. For general police enquiries and non-emergency matters, dial 101.

Scottish Government • Ready Scotland – Preparing for Emergencies: www.readyscotland.org

Business Resilience • Ready Scotland – My Business www.readyscotland.org/my-business

Weather • Met Office www.metof ce.gov.uk/publicsector/resilience/community- resilience

Environment • Scottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA) www.sepa.org.uk

Community Resilience • Ready Scotland – Community www.readyscotland.org/my-community

Police • Police Scotland www.scotland.police.uk/your-community/forth-valley Health • NHS Forth Valley www.nhsforthvalley.com

Utilities – Electricity • Scottish Power Energy Networks www.spenergynetworks.co.uk • Scottish and Southern Energy Power Distribution www.ssepd.co.uk

Utilities – Gas • Scottish Gas Networks www.sgn.co.uk

Utilities – Water • Scottish Water www.scottishwater.co.uk

Telecommunications • BT www.bt.com

Transportation • Traffic Scotland https://traf cscotland.org • Traveline Scotland www.travelinescotland.com

Voluntary Sector • Ready Scotland – Voluntary Response www.readyscotland.org/ voluntary-response/

15 • Scottish Environment Protection Agency • Police Scotland • Traffic Scotland Twitter @traf cscotland • SSE in Scotland Twitter @hydroPD • Met Office Twitter @metof ce • Ready Scotland Twitter @readyscotland Social Media www.travelinescotland.com/cms/content/Apps.xhtml • Travel Line www.metof ce.gov.uk/public/weather • Met Office Weather www.readyscotland.org/are-you-ready/smartphone-app/ • Ready Scotland The followingappscanbedownloaded: Useful Apps ScottishEnvironmentProtectionAgency www.facebook.com/ Twitter @ScottishEPA www.facebook.com/PoliceScotland Twitter @policescotland

16 Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Local Authorities

1. Clackmannanshire Council www.clacksweb.org.uk Local Authorities in Twitter @ClacksCouncil the Forth Valley Area

2. Falkirk Council www.falkirk.gov.uk Twitter @FalkirkCouncil 3 1 3. Stirling Council www.stirling.gov.uk 2 Twitter @StirlingCouncil

© Crown copyright and database rights 2015 Ordnance Survey 100054002

17 Scottish Scottish • Transport • Met • HM • Scottish • NHS • Scottish • Scottish • Police • Stirling • Falkirk • Clackmannanshire • • Contributors

Coastguard Office

Forth

Scotland

Council Council

Government Water Environment Ambulance Fire

Scotland

Valley

&

Rescue

(MCA)

Council

Service

Protection

Service

Agency

(SEPA)

18 Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Notes

19 Notes

20 Community Risk Register / Forth Valley Local Resilience Partnership // Version 1.2 April 2016

The most up-to-date version of this document can be found at www.firescotland.gov.uk/your-safety/community-risk-register.aspx