Atas Do V Congresso Português De Demografia

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Atas Do V Congresso Português De Demografia Atas do V Congresso Português de Demografia ISBN: 978-989-97935-3-8 Orgs: Maria Filomena Mendes Jorge Malheiros Susana Clemente Maria Isabel Baptista Sónia Pintassilgo Filipe Ribeiro Lídia P. Tomé Stella Bettencourt da Câmara V Congresso Português de Demografia Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian 6 e 7 de outubro de 2016 Conselho científico – Livro de Atas Alina Esteves (IGOT-UL) Ana Romão (Acad. Militar) Fernanda Sousa (FE-UP) Isabel Tiago de Oliveira (ISCTE-IUL) José Carlos Laranjo Marques (CICS.NOVA.IPLeiria) José Gonçalves Dias (ISCTE-IUL) José Rebelo (ESCE-IPS) Maria da Graça Magalhães (INE) Maria João Guardado Moreira (ESE-IPCB) Paulo Matos (FCSH-UNL) Paulo Nossa (ICS-UM) Teresa Rodrigues (FCSH-UNL) Livro de Atas 2 V Congresso Português de Demografia Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian 6 e 7 de outubro de 2016 Nota Introdutória Com a realização do V Congresso Português de Demografia, a Associação Portuguesa de Demografia (APD) pretendeu constituir um fórum de reflexão e debate privilegiado relativamente a todas as questões demográficas que marcam a atualidade, reunindo contributos de investigadores nacionais e estrangeiros de todas as áreas científicas para a disseminação do conhecimento demográfico. Congregando resultados e experiências de todos os que, nas suas funções quotidianas, se debruçam sobre os problemas demográficos contemporâneos, promoveu-se o intercâmbio não apenas científico mas também técnico com vista ao conhecimento aprofundado da realidade demográfica portuguesa, de modo a melhor (re)pensar e intervir em termos de futuro (de modo prospetivo). Neste sentido, este livro publica as atas do V Congresso Português de Demografia que decorreu na Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian de 6 a 7 de outubro de 2016, organizado pela Associação Portuguesa de Demografia (APD), em parceria com o Centro Interdisciplinar de História, Culturas e Sociedades (CIDEHUS) da Universidade de Évora, sob o tema A crise demográfica. Um país em extinção? Aos autores das comunicações apresentadas foi solicitada a submissão dos artigos completos que, sujeitos à arbitragem científica do Conselho Científico, constituído para o efeito, foram incluídos na presente publicação. Para além da avaliação da qualidade científica foi tida em consideração a adequação dos artigos submetidos à temática da obra em publicação. A Associação Portuguesa de Demografia agradece o apoio à realização deste congresso que foi dado pelas seguintes entidades: . Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian . Instituto Nacional de Estatística . Santa Casa da Misericórdia de Lisboa . Câmara Municipal de Lisboa . Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia . Liberty Seguros . Grupo Jerónimo Martins . Alto Comissariado para as Migrações . Observatório das Migrações . ISCTE-Instituto Universitário de Lisboa . Instituto do Emprego e Formação Profissional . Asociación de Demografia Histórica Livro de Atas 3 V Congresso Português de Demografia Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian 6 e 7 de outubro de 2016 Índice Nota Introdutória ....................................................................................................................... 3 Índice ......................................................................................................................................... 4 Fecundidade, Família e Conjugalidades ....................................................................................... 6 As descendências de filho único e o childlessness na coorte de mulheres nascidas entre 1964 e 1968 ................................................................................................................................................... 6 A presença do homem (pai) no parto: contextos, experiências e significados............................... 21 Fecundidade e desenvolvimento em Angola .................................................................................. 33 Household and housing decisions of southern European young adults ......................................... 50 Mortalidade e Saúde ................................................................................................................ 66 Evolução da mortalidade materna em Portugal ............................................................................. 66 A sobremortalidade de inverno num país mediterrânico: clima ou envelhecimento e pobreza? . 84 La muerte en Cáceres (Extremadura). Etnohistoria del silencio eterno en el siglo XX ................... 97 Migrações .............................................................................................................................. 125 Realojamento e imigração dos hindus do Bairro do Armador (Lisboa): desafios da mobilidade e da integração ..................................................................................................................................... 125 Novos imigrantes portugueses no Brasil e as estratégias para a obtenção de visto permanente: os investidores individuais na região Nordeste ................................................................................. 143 População e Economia ............................................................................................................ 157 Impacto da Demografia no mercado de trabalho e emprego em Portugal .................................. 157 Population ageing and the labour market during the recent crisis in Portugal ............................ 168 Projeções da população em idade escolar e planeamento de equipamentos educativos ........... 185 Subpopulações ....................................................................................................................... 201 A Pobreza dos Idosos em Portugal, 2006 – 2014 ........................................................................... 201 Partidos Políticos, Programas Eleitorais e Políticas de População: um estudo exploratório ........ 231 Demografia Regional .............................................................................................................. 254 A demografia na construção de uma visão temporal e territorial de Portugal ............................ 254 Projeções da população residente. Cenários, tendências e desafios na CIM Região de Coimbra (Portugal) ....................................................................................................................................... 272 Mobilidades em territórios da raia limiana na transição do milénio ............................................ 292 A dança como estratégia de inclusão de jovens portugueses ciganos em contexto escolar. Uma experiência no Vale da Amoreira, concelho da Moita. ................................................................. 310 Demografia e Segurança ......................................................................................................... 326 SIM4SECURITY. A forecast and spatial analysis model for homeland security. Portugal 2030 .... 326 Livro de Atas 4 V Congresso Português de Demografia Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian 6 e 7 de outubro de 2016 Tempo e População ................................................................................................................ 336 As várias faces do espelho: nascer no concelho de Vila Nova de Famalicão entre o século XVII e o século XIX ...................................................................................................................................... 336 Ala que se faz tarde: a emigração para o Brasil no concelho de Vila Nova de Famalicão entre a segunda metade de Oitocentos e o início da Primeira Guerra Mundial ....................................... 355 Livro de Atas 5 V Congresso Português de Demografia Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian 6 e 7 de outubro de 2016 Fecundidade, Família e Conjugalidades As descendências de filho único e o childlessness na coorte de mulheres nascidas entre 1964 e 1968 Andréia Maciel Universidade de Évora, CIDEHUS.UE, [email protected] Rita Brazão Freitas Universidade de Évora, CIDEHUS.UE, [email protected] Maria Filomena Mendes Universidade de Évora, CIDEHUS.UE, [email protected] Abstract: Portuguese society is currently living in a very low fertility context. In a scenario where there is a continuous postponement of parenthood projects, it becomes crucial to verify to what extent the delayed entry into motherhood can influence the final fertility of individuals. In this paper, we intend to analyze the final fertility of a cohort of women born between 1964 and 1968 that were ending their reproductive lives in 2013. Keywords: Postponement, fertility, children, women. Sumário: A sociedade portuguesa atualmente experimenta um contexto de muito baixa fecundidade. Num cenário em que se verifica um contínuo adiamento da entrada na parentalidade torna-se de fundamental importância verificar em que medida o adiamento da entrada na maternidade pode influenciar a fecundidade final dos indivíduos. Neste trabalho pretende-se explorar a fecundidade final de uma coorte de mulheres nascidas entre 1964 e 1968 que estavam a encerrar o seu percurso reprodutivo em 2013. Palavras-chave: Adiamento, fecundidade, filhos, mulheres. 1. A fecundidade das mulheres residentes em Portugal 1.1. A evolução da fecundidade portuguesa Nos anos mais recentes Portugal vem registando um dos mais baixos níveis de fecundidade da Europa e do mundo. O país registou em 2013 e 2015, segundo o Instituto Nacional de Estatística (INE), respectivamente um índice sintético de fecundidade (ISF) de apenas 1,21 e 1,30 filhos por mulher. Entretanto, apesar do ISF ser, de forma geral, o indicador mais utilizado para mensurar o Livro de Atas
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