barometrul socio-politic

Republic of

June 2020 report elaborated by: Doru Petruţi – [email protected]

www.imas.md

12 territorial administrave units (ATUs). residenal (rural). the size of urban localies (3 types). type of rural of selements(community type center village); / types). (3 localies urban of size the (rural). residenal(ATUs). units administrave territorial 12 criteria: straficaon 1105respondents, 18 years over; and volume:sample strafiedprobability three-stages sampling, sampling, sampling; sampling: methodology 14252020;– June data colleconperiod: werecarried at out respondents'the by homes 31 operators [imas]the network, in Romanian in Russian; and interviews: Transnistria;the excluding Moldova, of Republic the maximumerror sampling 3.0%;± is of populaon adult the for representave is sample the reprezentavness: locality(90 selected localies), person;the household, the stages: randomizaon

*Datelenu au fost ponderate.

total region environment residence naonality occupaon educaon age sex variable … structuresample socio-demographic profile socio-demographic mun. Chișinău south center north villages cies other municipalies answerno other(russian, ukrainian etc.) moldavian/romanian answerno unemployed unemployed temporarily employed answerno educaon higher (post)school/college high school vocaonal or general incompleteaverage studies years 71 over 56-70 years old 41-55 years old 26-40 years old 18-25 years old female male group 1105 257 194 349 305 458 count 627 223 255 1 227 877 4 603 165 333 2 254 201 526 122 101 386 251 264 103 647 41.4% 100.0% 23.2% 17.6% 31.6% 27.6% 56.7% 20.2% 23.1% 0.1% 20.5% 79.4% 0.4% 54.6% 14.9% 30.1% 0.2% 23.0% 18.2% 47.6% 11.0% 9.2% 34.9% 22.7% 23.9% 9.3% 58.6% percent social, economic, and political climate

Do you think that things go in a wrong or good direcon in How sasfied or unsasfied are you with the way in which our country? you live?

2

10 Not sasfied at all 18 23 Not so sasfied 16 Direcon is wrong Neither ..., nor ... Direcon is right Rather sasfied DK/NA 26 Very sasfied 74 31 DK/NA

www.imas.md 5

How is your life currently as compared to one year ago? How do you think you are going to live in one year?

1

1 Much worse 8 Much worse 13 11 A lile bit worse 26 A lile bit worse 18 Almost the same Almost the same

Beer now Beer 2 35 Much beer now Much beer 39 DK/NA DK/NA 23 23

www.imas.md 6 government evaluation, coalition

If you were to give a grade, like at school (from 1 to 10), what grade would you give to the current government (Ion Chicu Government) for the acvity so far?

1 ➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔ 10 DK/NA 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 99 20.2 6.9 5.7 4.4 14.6 6.0 10.0 10.3 5.0 9.5 7.4

7 Grades 1-4 15 37 Grades 5-6

Grades 7-8

20 Grades 9-10

DK/NA 21

www.imas.md 8 Please tell me how much or how little trust you have in the Government headed by Ion Chicu?

6 5 Very lile/None at all

35 Lile 22 Much

Very much

DK/NA 32

www.imas.md 9

To what extent do you think the authories have managed Considering the number of people who became ill with to handle the crisis caused by Coronavirus? Coronavirus, do you consider the situaon in the Republic of Moldova ...?

7 3 8 5 Very lile/Not at all Not serious at all 27 26 A ile A lile serious 24 23 A lot Quite serious

Very much Very serious

DK/NA DK/NA 38 39

www.imas.md 10

To what extent do you think people follow the rules that To what extent are you concerned that this virus could prevent the spread of Coronavirus? (wearing masks, infect you or any of your family members? respecng social distance, etc.)

4 2 2 18 23 Very lile/Not at all Very lile/Not at all 27 24 A ile A ile

A lot A lot 18 Very much Very much

DK/NA DK/NA 47 35

www.imas.md 11 What decision do you think the authorities should take?

Tightening restricons

7 11

Maintaining restricons to prevent people from geng sick 15

Carrying out all types of acvies, but in compliance with the rules on wearing masks, social distancing 67 DK/NA

www.imas.md 12 During this period, the actions of the authorities give you the feeling that ...?

7 12 We will overcome this pandemic easily

We will overcome this pandemic with some difficules

32 We will have serious problems to overcome this pandemic 49 DK/NA

www.imas.md 13 What is the best option for the Republic of Moldova?

The Ion Chicu Government should be dismissed

9 28 The Ion Chicu Government should connue unl the crisis situaon generated by Coronavirus is resolved

The Ion Chicu Government should 45 connue unl the end of his term 18

DK/NA

www.imas.md 14 Do you think that an eventual dismissal of the Ion Chicu Government will affect the citizens or not?

13

Yes, it will affect cizens

48 No, it will not affect the cizens

39 DK/NA

www.imas.md 15

How do you think PAS-PPDA-Pro Moldova Group and In the version in which the current government will be Pardul Șor could name a more efficient government than dismissed, from the rumored names, who do you think the Ion Chicu Government? would be the best Prime Minister to get the country out of the crisis?

Ion Chicu 15 20 22 32 Yes Andrei Năstase

No 10 11 DK/NA A technocrac person 4 15 Other 53 18 DK/NA

www.imas.md 16 How do you think the Republic of Moldova is now facing a political crisis or not?

6 6

Yes

No

DK/NA

88

www.imas.md 17 Given the current political situation, do you want early parliamentary elections or not?

6

Yes, I want early elecons

50 No, I don't want early elecons 44 DK/NA

www.imas.md 18

However, if the pares do not reach an agreement and we have early parliamentary elecons, when would you like the early parliamentary elecons to take place?

10 17 Earlier this fall's presidenal elecon

With the presidenal elecon 24 Aer the presidenal elecon

I do not want early parliamentary elecons 38 11 DK/NA

www.imas.md 19

Which pares do you think will have something to gain if early parliamentary elecons are held?

In the first place In the second place

Pardul Socialişlor din Rep. Moldova – PSRM 31 10

Pardul Acţiune şi Solidaritate – PAS 17 11

Pardul Şor 7 6

Pardul Democrat din Moldova – PDM 5 11

Pardul Nostru 3 4 Pardul Comunişlor din Republica Moldova 2 3 PCRM Pardul Plaorma Demnitate şi Adevăr – PPDA 2 8

Grupul parlamentar PRO Moldova 22

Pardul Liberal Democrat din Moldova – PLDM 11

Blocul UNIREA 0

Pardul Unităţii Naţionale – PUN 0

Other 01

None 5 9

DK/NA 25 35 www.imas.md 0 20 40 60 80 100

At this moment, who do you consider to be the strongest At this moment, who do you consider to be the strongest polician in the Republic of Moldova? polician in the Republic of Moldova?

% of total sample, 1105 respondents % of respondents who have an opon, 808 respondents

Igor Dodon 22.1 30.2 Maia Sandu 14.3 Maia Sandu 19.5 7.6 Vladimir Voronin 10.4 Renato Usai 7.1 Renato Usai 9.7 Ilan Şor 5.2 Ilan Şor Ion Chicu 4.0 7.1 Vlad Plahotniuc 2.7 Ion Chicu 5.5 Pavel Filip 2.1 Vlad Plahotniuc 3.7 Andrian Candu 1.9 Pavel Filip 2.9 Andrei Năstase 1.6 Andrian Candu 2.7 Dorin Chirtoacă 1.4 Andrei Năstase 2.2 Zinaida Greceanîi 0.5 Dorin Chirtoacă 2.0 Other 2.5 None 13.6 Zinaida Greceanîi 0.6 DK/NA 13.4 Other 3.5

0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50

www.imas.md 21

Over me, some depues went from one party to another, cing various reasons. Would you or would you not support a legislave iniave banning the departure of depues from one party to another during the term of office of a deputy in Parliament?

6 Yes, I would support such an iniave

24 No, I would not support such an iniave. Some depues have good reason to leave a party

70 DK/NA

www.imas.md 22 institutions, politicians, parties

I would like to read out and to show Only for those who hear about the polical personality …, I would like you to tell you a list of some polical me for each one of them, how do you asses their acvity. Please answer on a scale personalies and you tell me if you from 1 to 10, where 1 = ”Very poor acvity”, and 10 = ”Very good acvity”. 99 = heard about them. ”No opinion/DNK/NR”. Very Very Please answer on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 = ”Very No I have % of total sample, I have poor good poor acvity”, and 10 = ”Very good acvity”. opinion not 1105 respondents heard acvity acvity /DK/NA heard 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Andrian Candu 86.9 21.9 6.7 5.0 3.8 12.3 5.2 6.4 6.5 2.1 3.5 13.6 13.1 Ion Ceban 87.7 15.7 5.1 4.4 4.7 10.4 4.3 7.0 11.0 4.6 8.1 12.5 12.3 Ion Chicu 93.0 18.0 6.0 4.9 4.3 11.2 4.2 7.8 10.8 6.4 11.8 7.7 7.0 Dorin Chirtoacă 91.2 27.3 5.7 4.6 4.3 9.7 5.5 6.2 6.1 3.5 3.7 14.5 8.8 Tudor Deliu 31.6 4.5 1.8 2.3 1.0 3.2 2.5 3.0 3.1 0.8 1.3 8.1 68.4 Igor Dodon 99.1 28.8 6.9 3.5 3.3 10.7 3.6 6.4 9.2 6.9 15.2 4.6 0.9 Pavel Filip 100.0 17.0 5.9 6.4 4.9 13.3 13.9 8.1 10.1 3.6 7.3 9.7 0.0 Zinaida Greceanîi 92.5 23.7 9.3 5.1 4.4 10.1 5.0 4.5 9.0 4.1 8.2 9.2 7.5 Andrei Năstase 90.7 21.5 8.7 6.2 5.2 11.0 5.1 7.1 8.1 3.6 4.7 9.6 9.3 Maia Sandu 96.5 22.6 7.1 5.3 3.6 10.0 5.3 7.4 8.6 4.4 13.7 8.4 3.5 Ilan Şor 94.1 25.9 7.0 5.1 4.0 9.8 4.4 6.3 8.0 3.8 8.8 11.1 5.9 Octavian Ţîcu 44.2 7.7 2.2 2.8 1.8 4.2 2.5 3.8 2.9 2.8 3.4 10.0 55.8 Renato Usai 94.2 16.7 5.6 5.9 4.1 13.4 7.1 7.1 8.0 5.0 9.3 11.9 5.8 Vladimir Voronin 97.8 13.1 4.1 3.2 5.5 13.7 5.4 7.4 12.0 5.4 14.0 14.1 2.2 www.imas.md 24 How do you asses the acvity of…?

% of total sample, 1105 respondents

Igor Dodon 37.7

Ion Chicu 36.8

Vladimir Voronin 34.5

Maia Sandu 34.1

Ion Ceban 30.7

Renato Usai 29.4

Pavel Filip 29.1 Ilan Şor 26.9 Grades 7-10 Zinaida Greceanîi 25.8

Andrei Năstase 23.5

Dorin Chirtoacă 19.5

Andrian Candu 18.5

Octavian Ţîcu 12.9

Tudor Deliu 8.2

0 10 20 30 40 50 www.imas.md 25

I would like to read and to show you Only for those who heard about the polical party or formaon …, I would like for a list of some polical pares and you to tell me for each of them how do you asses their acvity. Please answer on a formaons and for you to tell me if scale from 1 to 10, where 1 = ”Very poor acvity”, and 10 = ”Very good acvity”. 99 you hear about them. = ”Have no opinion/DNK/NR” Very Very Please answer on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 = ”Very Have no I have % of total sample, I have poor good poor acvity”, and 10 = ”Very good acvity” opinion/ not heard acvity acvity 1105 respondents DNK/NR heard 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Pardul Democrat din Moldova - PDM 100.0 18.7 6.6 7.3 5.3 13.5 13.0 6.9 7.0 2.6 4.7 14.6 0.0

Pardul Acţiune şi Solidaritate - PAS 85.6 19.6 5.1 4.4 4.4 8.3 4.0 5.9 7.7 3.9 10.8 11.5 14.4

Pardul Plaorma Demnitate şi 82.6 18.1 5.8 5.2 4.2 9.4 5.1 5.0 7.6 3.7 4.8 13.8 17.4 Adevăr - PPDA Pardul Comunişlor din Republica 96.8 14.3 6.8 7.6 5.4 14.6 5.7 6.3 7.0 3.0 10.9 15.4 3.2 Moldova - PCRM Pardul Socialişlor din Republica 97.7 22.8 7.1 4.5 2.9 11.2 4.9 6.8 9.3 5.1 14.9 8.2 2.3 Moldova - PSRM Pardul Şor 95.9 23.8 8.6 5.5 4.7 10.5 4.8 5.9 9.2 3.0 7.7 12.2 4.1

Pardul Nostru 80.6 14.6 4.7 6.4 4.7 10.2 4.5 5.1 6.8 4.4 6.9 12.3 19.4

Blocul UNIREA 43.3 12.0 2.5 2.4 1.4 3.9 2.2 2.9 1.8 1.3 2.9 10.0 56.7

Pardul Unităţii Naţionale - PUN 30.7 8.2 2.5 1.5 1.0 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.4 0.7 2.0 6.9 69.3

Pardul Liberal Democrat din 84.9 17.4 8.0 8.0 5.4 9.7 5.1 6.2 3.7 1.0 2.5 18.0 15.1 Moldova - PLDM Grupul parlamentar PRO Moldova 64.4 19.5 4.8 3.8 3.2 6.9 3.3 3.8 2.4 0.8 2.3 13.7 35.6 www.imas.md 26 How do you evaluate the acvity of …?

% of total sample, 1105 respondents

Pardul Socialişlor din Republica Moldova - PSRM 36.1

Pardul Acţiune şi Solidaritate - PAS 28.3

Pardul Comunişlor din Republica Moldova - PCRM 27.2

Pardul Şor 25.8

Pardul Nostru 23.2 Grades 7 - 10 Pardul Democrat din Moldova - PDM 21.2

Pardul Plaorma Demnitate şi Adevăr 21.1 - PPDA Pardul Liberal Democrat din Moldova 13.4 - PLDM

Grupul parlamentar PRO Moldova 9.3

Blocul UNIREA 8.9

Pardul Unităţii Naţionale - PUN 6.0

0 10 20 30 40 50 www.imas.md 27 What could be said about the way you usually vote from the perspective of political orientation?

Usually with the le 18 16 Usually with center 8 12 Usually with the right Somemes with the le, somemes with the center or the right 26 Not the case / I do not vote 20 DK/NA

www.imas.md 28

In the situaon in which early parliamentary elecons will take place, on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means that you are not interested in the parliamentary elecons at all and 10 that you are very interested in these elecons, how interested are you in the early parliamentary elecons?

1. Not interested at all ➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔ 10. Very interested DK/NA 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 99 23.5 1.7 2.0 1.3 9.1 2.1 5.4 11.4 7.7 31.7 4.1

How determined are you to vote for a parcular party at this me?

2

16 Very determined

38 Rather determined

Rather indecisive 20 Very indecisive

DK/NA 24

www.imas.md 29

In the event that early parliamentary elecons take place In the event that early parliamentary elecons take place next Sunday, with which party do you intend to vote? next Sunday, with which party do you intend to vote?

% of total sample, 1105 respondents % of respondents who have a vong opon, 852 respondents

PSRM 27.5 PSRM 35.7 PAS 19.7 PAS 25.6 Pardul Şor 8.9 Pardul Şor 11.6 Pardul Nostru 5.9 Pardul Nostru 7.7 PCRM 4.3 PDM 3.6 PCRM 5.6 PPDA 2.8 PDM 4.7 PRO Moldova 1.8 PPDA 3.6 Blocul UNIREA 0.9 PRO Moldova 2.3 PUN 0.4 Blocul UNIREA 1.2 PLDM 0.2 PUN 0.5 Other 1.0 I would not vote 6.3 PLDM 0.3 DK/NA 16.6 Other 1.3

0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50

www.imas.md 30

Who do you think will win the parliamentary elecons in Who do you think will win the parliamentary elecons in the event of early elecons? the event of early elecons?

% of total sample, 1105 respondents % of respondents who have anopon, 695respondents

PSRM 33.2 PSRM 52.7

PAS 14.2 PAS 22.6 Pardul Şor 5.2 Pardul Şor 8.3 Pardul Nostru 3.9 Pardul Nostru 6.2 PPDA 2.0 PPDA 3.2 PDM 1.5 PDM 2.4 PCRM 1.4 PCRM 2.2 PRO Moldova 0.8 PRO Moldova 1.2 Blocul UNIREA 0.4 PLDM 0.1 Blocul UNIREA 0.6 Other 0.2 PLDM 0.2 DK/NA 37.1 Other 0.3

0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100

www.imas.md 31

In the event that early presidenal elecons would take In the event that early presidenal elecons would take place next Sunday, with whom would you vote? place next Sunday, with whom would you vote?

% of total sample, 1105 respondents % of respondents who have a vong opon, 957 respondents

Igor Dodon 29.1 Igor Dodon 33.6 Maia Sandu 22.2 Maia Sandu 25.7 Renato Usai 8.8 Renato Usai 10.2 Vladmir Voronin 6.6 Vladmir Voronin 7.6 Pavel Filip 4.9 Andrei Năstase 3.2 Pavel Filip 5.7

Octavian Ţîcu 2.5 Andrei Năstase 3.7 Andrian Candu 2.2 Octavian Ţîcu 2.9 Dorin Chirtoacă 0.6 Andrian Candu 2.5 Other 6.4 Dorin Chirtoacă 0.7 I would not vote 4.0 DK/NA 9.5 Other 7.4

0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50

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Cine credeţi că va câşga viitoarele alegeri prezidenţiale? Cine credeţi că va câşga viitoarele alegeri prezidenţiale?

% of total sample, 1105 respondents % of respondents who have an opon, 700 respondents

Igor Dodon 30.2 Igor Dodon 47.8

Maia Sandu 17.5 Maia Sandu 27.6 Renato Usai 6.8 Renato Usai 10.8 Andrei Năstase 1.5 Andrei Năstase 2.4 Vladmir Voronin 1.2 Vladmir Voronin 2.0 Pavel Filip 1.1 Pavel Filip 1.8 Andrian Candu 0.8 Andrian Candu 1.3 Octavian Ţîcu 0.5 Octavian Ţîcu 0.7 Dorin Chirtoacă 0.1

Other 3.5 Dorin Chirtoacă 0.1

DK/NA 36.7 Other 5.5

0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100

www.imas.md 33 external relations

What should be the foreign policy orientation of the leadership of the Republic of Moldova?

6 6 Pro-European 25 Pro-Russia

Balanced orientaon, both with Russia and with Europeans

Pro-union with Romania 16 47 DK/NA

www.imas.md 35

If a referendum were held next Sunday (you would be asked to vote) on… would you vote for or against?

I would vote for I would vote against I wouldn't parcipate I don't know, I didn't decide No answer

The accession of Rep. Moldova 64 21 3 10 2 to the European Union

Eurasian Economic Union 54 29 2 12 3 (Customs Union)

The unificateion of the 37 52 2 7 2 Rep. Moldova with Romania

NATO 23 56 2 16 3

0 20 40 60 80 100

www.imas.md 36 denumirea completă IMAS Invest SRL denumirea scurtă imas director general Doru Petruți [email protected] www.imas.md t/f: (+373 22) 260 096 m: (+373) 79 705 501