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Intermediate Microeconomics W3211
Lecture 9: Introduction Efficiency and Equilibrium 2
Columbia University, Spring 2016
Mark Dean: [email protected] 2
3 4 The Story So Far…. Today’s Aims
• Last lecture we introduced the concept of Pareto Introduce the Second Fundamental Theorem of Welfare dominance and Pareto optimality Economics • Allocation x Pareto dominates allocation y if everyone weakly prefers x to y and some people strictly prefer x to y Discuss some of the limitations of the FFTWE and SFTWE • i.e. no one would vote against moving from y to x Describe one possible way around one of these limitations: • An allocation is Pareto optimal if there is no other feasible allocation Externalities which Pareto dominates it Property Rights and Coase Theorem • Argued that Pareto optimal outcomes are good Ch. 35 of Varian, Chapter 17 of Feldman and Serrano • Or at least Pareto dominated outcomes are bad • Can make someone better off while making no-one worse off
• Introduced (and proved!) the First Fundamental Theorem of Welfare economics • Competitive equilibria are Pareto optimal (as long as preferences are monotonic)
6 Equilibrium and Pareto Optimality
So we now know that (in our stylized model) every equilibrium is Pareto efficient
We might also want to know whether every Pareto efficient point is an equilibrium Equilibrium and Pareto Why? Optimality Well, first of all let’s think about exactly what the question The Second Fundamental Theorem of Welfare Economics means
Does it mean “is every Pareto efficient point an equilibrium for the same initial endowment”?
I hope not, because the answer to this question is clearly no. 5
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7 8 We Cannot Reach Every Pareto Equilibrium and Pareto Optimality Optimum from the Same Endowment
1 2 w b+w b Pareto Optimum A better question is whether, for each Pareto optimal point, there exists some endowment such that that point is an equilibrium Endowment X
Good b
1 2 w a+w a Good a
9 10 Is Every Pareto Optimum a Competitive Is Every Pareto Optimum a Competitive Equilibrium? Equilibrium?
1 2 1 2 w b+w b w b+w b Pareto Pareto Optimum Optimum
Endowment Endowment A A
Endowment Good b Good b B
1 2 1 2 w b+w b w a+w a Good a Good a
11 12 Equilibrium and Pareto Optimality Equilibrium and Pareto Optimality
A better question is whether, for each Pareto optimal point, The Second Fundamental Theorem of Welfare Economics: If there exists some endowment such that that point is an preferences are convex, monotonic (and continuous*) then, for equilibrium every Pareto optimal allocation, there exists an initial endowment such that that allocation is an equilibrium Why is this an interesting question? *For the maths fetishists Well, if the answer is yes, it means that we can get to any Pareto optimal point just by changing endowments The proof of this statement lies beyond the scope of this course i.e. change the stuff that everyone gets to start with But I can show you why the assumption of convexity is Let them trade important This is a (beguilingly) simple way of doing policy
So is it true?
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13 A Pareto Optimum that cannot be a Competitive Equilibrium
1 2 w b+w b
Consumer 2’s Indifference Curve Consumer 1’s Optimal Bundle Caveats to the Welfare Good b Consumer 2’s Theorems Indifference Curve Or “Why you shouldn’t start voting for Rand Paul just yet”
Pareto Optimum
1 2 w a+w a Good a 14
15 16 Caveats Caveats
The First and Second Welfare theorems can be very persuasive But they should also be treated with extreme caution Powerful As with everything you learn in this course they are not universal Elegant truths (Seem to) require minimal assumptions They are helpful abstractions that allow us to think through problems Have very nice policy implications (we can let the market do everything!) If you are not careful, the message ‘markets are good’ can remain long after the details of this course have faded And they are all of those things Don’t let this happen to you!
17 18 Caveats Caveats
There are basically two types of concern you should have with There are basically two types of concern you should have with the fundamental welfare theorems the fundamental welfare theorems
1. Is Pareto Efficiency the correct goal? 1. Is Pareto Efficiency the correct goal?
2. Are the assumptions we made to get the First and Second 2. Are the assumptions we made to get the First and Second Fundamental Theorems sensible? Fundamental Theorems sensible?
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19 20 Is Pareto Efficiency the Correct Do You Prefer Allocation A or Allocation Goal? B? 1 2 w 2+w 2 Pareto efficiency seems to be something of a no brainer as a property you would like
But ask yourself the following question: Contract Curve Allocation A Good 2
Allocation B
1 2 w 1+w 1 Good 1
21 22 Is Pareto Efficiency the Correct Is Pareto Efficiency the Correct Goal? Goal?
Do you prefer allocation A or allocation B But what about the Second fundamental theorem? A: Pareto efficient, but not equitable Doesn’t that tell us that we can always hit some point which is B: Equitable but not Pareto efficient Pareto dominant to B? If you could only choose between those two outcomes then you might prefer B to A
Implies that not all Pareto efficient allocations are preferred to all those that are not efficient
In particular because Pareto efficiency says nothing about equality
23 24 Do You Prefer Allocation A or Allocation Is Pareto Efficiency the Correct B? Goal? 1 2 w 2+w 2 Yes, but only if we play around with the endowments. Allocation C This means that market solutions on their own may not be enough Contract Curve Equilibrium may be Pareto efficient, but extremely unfair Allocation A E.g. a ’99%’ outcome may be Pareto optimal Good 2 If we want equality we need to actually change the endowments!
Changing endowments may not be easy Allocation B Need to change what people get without distorting prices So no income tax or sales tax Requires Lump Sum taxation 1 2 w 1+w 1 Maggie Thatcher tried this in the UK in the 80s Good 1 Google ‘Poll Tax Riots’
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25 26 Caveats Beware of Hidden Assumptions
There are basically two types of concern you should have with It seems that we only had to make one assumption to state the the fundamental welfare theorems FFTWE Monotonicity 1. Is Pareto Efficiency the correct goal? But beware of assumptions hidden in the set up of the model 2. Are the assumptions we made in our model sensible? Here are four that we might be worried about No externalities People choose the best option Price taking People are always selfish
27 28 Beware of Hidden Assumptions No Externalities
It seems that we only had to make one assumption to state the We have assumed that the amount of consumption of each good only affects those who consume it FFTWE Monotonicity Maybe this is not the case Smoking Disco music But beware assumptions hidden in the set up of the model Deodorant
Here are four that we might be worried about For example, assume that the two goods in the economy are toast and cigarettes No externalities Consumer 1 loves smoking, but consumer 2 hates it People choose the best option Consumer 2 lives in the same house as consumer 1 and can smell their cigarettes Price taking Will the competitive equilibrium be Pareto optimal? People are always selfish No! Consumer 1 will take into account only the private benefit of smoking, not the cost to consumer 2
(See next section)
29 30 Beware of Hidden Assumptions Choosing the Best Option
It seems that we only had to make one assumption to state the Implicitly, we are assuming that people choose the best option FFTWE from the budget set
But beware assumptions hidden in the set up of the model This is crucial in the claim that there is no way to make people better off in a competitive equilibrium Here are four that we might be worried about No externalities If they are making dumb choices it may well be possible to People choose the best option make them better off! Price taking People are always selfish
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31 32 Choosing the Best Option Beware of Hidden Assumptions
But is this a good assumption? It seems that we only had to make one assumption to state the Heroin addicts? FFTWE People who invested with Bernie Madoff? But beware assumptions hidden in the set up of the model You? Here are four that we might be worried about May be a particular issue when decisions are very complicated No externalities This is currently a huge policy issue People choose the best option E.g. heath care exchanges Price taking People are always selfish If we think people do not make good decisions, what should we do? Move away from the market model? Provide more information?
33 34 Price Taking Beware of Hidden Assumptions
We have assumed so far that neither consumer gets to set prices It seems that we only had to make one assumption to state the They emerge mysteriously in order to guarantee equilibrium FFTWE
This may be a strong assumption But beware assumptions hidden in the set up of the model
Perhaps one of the consumers gets to set the prices, and the other Here are four that we might be worried about consumer is allowed to buy and sell as much as they want only at No externalities those prices People choose the best option
i.e. they act as a monopoly Price taking People are always selfish Will this lead to Pareto efficiency?
Generally no (see later in the course)
Clearly this will be an important issue when we introduce firms
35 People are Always Selfish
In our model we have assumed that people always choose what is best for them They are not altruistic They do nothing for the common good
There are three possibilities This is a good assumption Externalities, Property Rights It is a bad assumption Sometimes people behave like this, and sometimes they do not and Coase Theorem
In the last case, it is possible that the economic system can itself affect the way in which people make choices
Perhaps people act selfishly in market settings but not in others See for example “A Fine is A Price” [Gneezy and Rustichini 2000]
Opens up the possibility that market mechanisms change the way in which people make choices to the detriment of all 36
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37 38 Externalities Externalities
Let’s think again about externalities Let’s start with the economy from Monday and modify it
Here is a simple example 1. The endowment of each agent =3 Two roommates: Ethel (1) and Gwen (2) =2 Two goods: Cigarettes and Toast =1 =5 Both roommates like smoking and toast 2. The preferences of each agent But Ethel likes smoking in the morning, which really irritates , = Gwen , = - How can we describe this economy?
39 40 Externalities Externalities
Let’s start with the economy from Monday and modify it What does the equilibrium of this economy look like?
1. The endowment of each agent First, let’s think about the consumer problems: =3 Ethel’s =2 =1 Choose , to Maximize , = =5 Subject to 2. The preferences of each agent Gwen’s , = , = - Choose , to Maximize , =
This is the externality: Ethel’s consumption effects Gwen Subject to
41 42 Externalities Externalities
The consumer’s problem is the same as if there was no externality! (From previously) The equilibrium allocations were ∗ 3 4 29 Why? , , 2 7 14 21 29 ∗ Ethel can affect her consumption of cigarettes, but only cares , , 1 about hew own utility 8 8 1 20 27 Doesn’t care about how the negative effect of her smoking on Gwen ∗, , 2 14 14 7 5 27 Gwen does care about the amount Ethel smokes, but cannot do ∗, , anything about it 8 2 8
Implies the consumer’s problem for each person ignores the ∗ And equilibrium price was externality Their demand functions will therefore be the same as if there were no Is this Pareto optimal? externality The equilibrium of the economy will also be the same
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43 44 Externalities Externalities