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Chad Summary of Conflict Jan-Mar 2008

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Chad Summary of Conflict Jan-Mar 2008 www.saferaccess.org A Network of Humanitarian Safety Expertise March, 2008 ChadChad SummarySummary ofof ConflictConflict JanJan--MarMar 20082008 Since the end of January 2008, Chad is once again the center of serious security concern. Many of the issues threatening the security of civilians and the humanitarian community are having an effect region wide: relations between Chad and Sudan, the deployment of EUFOR in Chad/CAR and UNAMID in Darfur, and the movement of population across the borders. This document intends to provide a timeline of recent events in Chad. This information is provided for the benefit of the humanitarian community and is a result of research conducted by Safer Access. The circumstances and recommendations indicated by this report may change. All readers are therefore advised to act accordingly to capacity and the latest information www.saferaccess.org A Network of Humanitarian Safety Expertise March, 2008 Background From independence to war Since its independence in 1960, the population of Chad has never known peace and security. Insurgency against the central government began in 1965, and continued even after the government fell in 1975. Libyan involvement in the chaotic civil war only worsened the chances of peace. The Libyans were expelled by forces under Hissène Habré in 1987. Habré himself became a despot, however, and his Daza dominated regime was overthrown in December, 1990 by General Deby, of the Zaghawa tribe. Deby enjoyed the support of France. Deby’s regime has also been problematic, marked by coup attempts and rebellions since shortly after taking power. Heavy handed responses by the government has resulted in the expulsion of dissidents throughout the region, particularly in Sudan and the Central African Republic. This information is provided for the benefit of the humanitarian community and is a result of research conducted by Safer Access. The circumstances and recommendations indicated by this report may change. All readers are therefore advised to act accordingly to capacity and the latest information www.saferaccess.org A Network of Humanitarian Safety Expertise March, 2008 Background Conflict from 2005 - 2007 During 2005 and 2006, Chadian rebels groups gathered strength in Darfur, supported by the Sudanese government, while the Déby government actively supported the Zaghawa-led SLA and JEM, who formed the main Sudanese Rebel groups. Relations between Sudan and Chad reached their low in December 2005, when Déby declared a "state of belligerence" with Sudan. After intervention by Libya in February, 2006, these tensions were briefly reduced, until a rebel attack on N’Djamena in April of that year. Although further attacks in both countries continued that year, government support for them was markedly more discrete. President Déby relied heavily on the French, who supported him as a guarantor of stability, to help repel the rebels in 2006. In October 2007 an initial peace agreement with the 4 major rebel groups was signed in Libya, which allowed for the groups to be absorbed into the national army. As was expected, this did not occur and tensions remained high, even amongst previously co-opted groups such as the FUC. This information is provided for the benefit of the humanitarian community and is a result of research conducted by Safer Access. The circumstances and recommendations indicated by this report may change. All readers are therefore advised to act accordingly to capacity and the latest information www.saferaccess.org A Network of Humanitarian Safety Expertise March, 2008 Background The Dynamics of the Conflict The dynamics of conflict in Chad today are essentially four-fold. At one level it can be seen as a simple struggle for power and wealth. Factions are often recruited among a single ethnic group, and organised in a politico-military fashion by their leader. The faction contests against the government in order gain control or to obtain a lucrative and influential position within its government. Secondly, the conflict is profoundly local, with different ethnic groups/political parties having formed armed civil defence groups. These groups then clash either in legitimate self-defence or in conflict over access to natural resources. The conflict is also a spill-over from the conflict in Darfur, in which eastern Chad is subject to the attacks from militias and rebel movements who recognise no international boundaries. Out of the inter-play of these factors has emerged a fourth dynamic in which the governments of Chad and Sudan, and their allies fight out regional differences in Darfur, eastern Chad and parts of Central African Republic. The local groups noted above are often used as proxies by regional powers in this conflict. This information is provided for the benefit of the humanitarian community and is a result of research conducted by Safer Access. The circumstances and recommendations indicated by this report may change. All readers are therefore advised to act accordingly to capacity and the latest information www.saferaccess.org A Network of Humanitarian Safety Expertise March, 2008 Key Actors in the Conflict President Idriss Déby Itno Déby came to power in 1990, overthrowing the Habré Government in an attack launched from Sudan. Previously, he had been one of President Habré’s senior French-trained military officers. His coup was in part successful because French support shifted to him from Habré. He has staged three elections in Chad since the coup, in 1996, 2001 and most recently in May 2006, gaining 77.5% of the vote. The main opposition parties rejected the result, and all of the elections have suffered from “irregularities” noted by international observers. Polling in 2006 went ahead despite a rebel assault on the capital three weeks before election day. The president’s power has suffered from conflict amongst his ethnic tribe, the Zaghawa, and desertions at all levels within the military. He has nearly been toppled by coups in the past, the most serious in April 2006, February 2007, and most recently in January/February 2008. This information is provided for the benefit of the humanitarian community and is a result of research conducted by Safer Access. The circumstances and recommendations indicated by this report may change. All readers are therefore advised to act accordingly to capacity and the latest information www.saferaccess.org A Network of Humanitarian Safety Expertise March, 2008 Key Actors in the Conflict The Armée National du Tchad (ANT) The ANT has a total strength of approximately 30,000 personnel, including the Gendarmerie. As can be expected from a land-locked state, the Chadian National Army dominates the armed forces. The formerly autonomous Force d'Intervention Rapide (FIR), which acts as the President’s personal guard, was merged into the National Army in late 2005. About 5,000 personnel strong, it is composed mainly of Zaghawa from Déby's Bidayat clan As a whole, the ANT remains too large, under trained and under-funded. It is poorly equipped, with little heavy equipment. That equipment that is held is antiquated and likely in poor condition. The ANT is structured for internal security rather than for a coherent defence, and is spread thinly across the country with little regard to maintaining effective formations. Despite its weakness, the ANT has in the past been deployed to support Chad’s aim in both CAR and the DRC. The small air force operates a handful of aircraft, largely providing logistic support and transport to the Army, as well as operating four “Mi-24 Hind” helicopter gunships. There are also at least two civilian intelligence agencies active in the country, both with reputations for brutality. This information is provided for the benefit of the humanitarian community and is a result of research conducted by Safer Access. The circumstances and recommendations indicated by this report may change. All readers are therefore advised to act accordingly to capacity and the latest information www.saferaccess.org A Network of Humanitarian Safety Expertise March, 2008 Key Actors in the Conflict Other Armed Groups supported by Déby Justice and Equality Movement (JEM) Chad supports this prominent Darfuri rebel group, ostensibly led by Khalid Ibrahim Mohamed. Many of JEM's leaders are from Déby's Zaghawa tribe. In recent months, JEM has been on the offensive in western Darfur, broadening its own coalition to include militia from groups such as the Gimir and Missiriya Jebel. Chadian forces were reportedly also actively engaged in these offensives. The group was founded in 2000, and its major ideological tenets can be found in “The Black Book” , authored by its leader. Their beliefs are essentially Islamist in nature, although they also decry Arab discrimination against black Muslims. JEM is allegedly linked to former Sudan President Hassan al- Turabi, although both Turabi and JEM deny this. President Déby received support from JEM during the recent event rebel offensive. JEM was positioned to block the withdrawal of the UFDD and RFC through the area around Ati. This information is provided for the benefit of the humanitarian community and is a result of research conducted by Safer Access. The circumstances and recommendations indicated by this report may change. All readers are therefore advised to act accordingly to capacity and the latest information www.saferaccess.org A Network of Humanitarian Safety Expertise March, 2008 Key Actors in the Conflict The Rebel Leaders Mahamat Nouri – Leader of the UFDD, he is a seasoned politician and military leader. A veteran FROLINAT commander, he sided with Habré when that movement split in 1977. He was a minister in both the Gououni-Habré coalition government and the Habré government that followed. He quickly sided with Déby when Habré was ousted, and his last government post was as Ambassador to Saudi Arabia in 2006. Timan Erdimi – A nephew of Déby, and leader of the RFC.
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