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Volume 32 Issue 2 IMS Bulletin

March/April 2003 If you’re going to San Francisco… JSM2003: August 3–7, 2003, San Francisco  e  IMS Annual Meeting is part CONTENTS of the JSM (Joint Statistical Meetings), held jointly with the American Statistical 1 JSM2003: Preview Association, the International Biometric 2 Members’ News; Society (ENAR and WNAR), and the Contacting the IMS Statistical Society of Canada. Activities of the JSM include oral presentations, panel 3 IMS Vote Counting Bureau Visitor’s and Picture Convention courtesy of San Francisco sessions, poster presentations, continuing San Francisco’s cable cars are America’s only moving national historic landmarks 5 Wald & Medallion education courses, exhibit hall, placement Lectures: Preview service, committee meetings, social two discussants per session (see Page ). 7 JSM Session Info activities, and networking opportunities.  e focus is on spline ANOVA models San Francisco is the host city for and support vector machines. On this 11 IMS Mini-meetings JSM and off ers a wide range of theme, several Invited Paper Sessions on 13 Who’s This? possibilities for sharing time with friends machine learning and related topics are Call for Papers and colleagues. JSM will be held at sponsored or co-sponsored by the IMS. the Hilton San Francisco, the Nikko and An Invited Overview Lecture on support 14 IMS & Other Meetings and Announcements the Renaissance Parc  Hotel. Hope to vector machines, directed towards a see you there! general audience, will be given by Nello 18 Employment Important Dates: Cristianini (U of California, Davis). Opportunities • May : Registration materials available on Another highlight of the program this 21 International Calendar JSM web site (see below). year is the Le Cam Lecture. Established of Statistical Events • July : Last day for early bird registration last year, the fi rst Le Cam Lecture will be David Donoho 23 Information for forms to arrive at ASA Offi ce. delivered by (Stanford Advertisers • July –: Advanced Registration U) on “Asymptotic Equivalence of (increased fees apply) Experiments: An Appreciation”, with • July : Hotel reservations deadline. discussant David Pollard (Yale U). • July –August : On-site registration fees. JSM  will feature four IMS Local Information: Medallion Lectures, which will be  e JSM website (www.amstat.org/ presented by Sara van de Geer* (Leiden meetings/jsm/2003/) provides some U, Netherlands); Arkadi Nemirovski information about San Francisco. To learn (Technion, Israel); James Robins more about the city, its activities, places (Harvard U); and Maria Eulalia Vares* to go and things to do, visit www.bestof (Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Fisicas, sanfrancisco.net/ For nearby areas, visit Brasil) [*see page  for a preview of these www.bayarea.citysearch.com/ lectures]. Highlights of the IMS Program at JSM 2003 Information about the IMS Invited  is year’s Wald will be Grace Paper Sessions and Topic Contributed Wahba (U of Wisconsin-Madison). Sessions can be found on page .  e three Wald Lectures will include Jane-Ling Wang, IMS Program Chair IMS Bulletin 2 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 3 Volume 32, Issue 2 March/April 2003 News from IMS members ISSN 0146-3942 , Max H. Stein in the Dept of Statistics at Stanford U is the first recipient of the C. R. and Bhargavi Rao Prize Contact for Outstanding Research in Statistics awarded by the Department Information of Statistics, Penn State University. e prize was established to honor and recognize outstanding and influential innovations in To contact the IMS Bulletin: the theory and practice of mathematical statistics, international leadership in directing statistical research, and pioneering Bulletin Editor contributions by a recognized leader in the field of statistics. Assistant Editor Tati Howell Submissions in MS Word or plain William F. Rosenberger and John M. Lachin’s new book “Randomization in Clinical Trials: text, please. eory and Practice” (John Wiley and Sons, ) was named “Outstanding Professional Send by email: [email protected] and Scholarly Title, , Mathematics and Statistics Division” by the Association of or mail: IMS Bulletin American Publishers. PO Box 1986 Bristol IMS Fellow, Professor Kanti Mardia (U of Leeds, UK) is the recipient BS99 1TL of the in Silver for , which is awarded by the Royal UK Statistical Society. e official citation referred to his “many pathbreaking contributions to statistical science, including two fundamental papers To contact the IMS regarding your dues, read to the Society on ‘Statistics of Directional Data’ () and ‘A membership, subscriptions, orders or Penalised Likelihood Approach to Image Warping’ (with C.A. Glasbey, change of address: ), his highly acclaimed monographs and his lasting leadership role in Institute of Mathematical Statistics interdisciplinary research.” Dues and Subscriptions Office 9650 Rockville Pike, Suite L2310 Bethesda, IMS grants ‘divine’ grace…? MD 20814-3998 USA A subscription agency, divine, used by about  of the libraries subscribing to IMS t 301.634.7029 f 301.634.7099 journals, has been considering bankruptcy : see the press release dated  February  on http://www.divine.com/ e [email protected] divine’s website, It has now decided to file a voluntary petition to reorganize under Chapter  of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code. e press release says “One of divine’s top priorities is ensuring that To contact the IMS regarding any other customers are protected and that they continue to receive products, services and support.” matter, including advertising, copyright e company has been collecting subscription fees and has not then forwarded them to permission, offprint orders, copyright the IMS; this has happened to all publishers and the libraries are aware of it. At this time, transfer, societal matters, meetings, fellows the IMS has agreed to grace our subscribers through divine for the next year, until the issue nominations and content of publications: is resolved. Executive Director, Elyse Gustafson IMS Business Office PO Box 22718 Beachwood, OH 44122 Notes and Corrections: USA Please note that the email address for Steve Lalley, Editor of the Annals of Probability, is t 216.295.2340 actually [email protected] f 216.921.6703 …and the IMS Dues and Subsciptions Office phone and fax numbers are now: e [email protected] tel 301-634-7029, fax 301-634-7099 2 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 3 Executive Committee President Raghu Varadhan [email protected] Counting IMS elections: new procedure President-Elect Terry Speed [email protected] Last summer the IMS Council agreed a or www.electoral-reform.org.uk. Our change in the way that elections to Council own software is on the IMS website Past President Iain Johnstone [email protected] will be conducted. In future the elections (www.imstat.org/elections/stv.html) so you will be carried out by preference voting can check what is going on. To be elected Executive Secretary Alicia Carriquiry [email protected] using the Single Transferable Vote system. a candidate must achieve the quota of Why the change? N/(m+), where N is the total number of Treasurer Julia Norton [email protected] Under the previous system, little-known votes cast and m the number of vacancies Program Secretary Susan Murphy candidates, or candidates from under- to be filled. Excess votes over the quota are [email protected] represented groups, had not much appropriately downweighted and allocated chance of being elected. Under STV, the to the next preference of voters. Suppose representation of any group of candidates  people vote and there were  places IMS Editors Annals of Statistics Jon Wellner is roughly in proportion to the support to be filled. If  people vote for Revd [email protected] that group has. is should lead to a more omas Bayes for council, then he will & John Marden diverse Council. Furthermore it will give be elected. If everyone votes for Bayes, [email protected] individually nominated candidates, other then only ¹/₆ of each vote goes to elect Annals of Probability Steven Lalley than those chosen by the nominating Bayes; the remaining ⁵/₆ is distributed to [email protected] committee, a real chance of being elected. second preferences. On the other hand Annals of Applied Probability Do you feel strongly that young candidates, if no candidate reaches the quota, the Robert Adler for instance, should be elected? Only a candidate with the least number of votes [email protected] small proportion of voters need to put is eliminated and their votes transferred to Statistical Science George Casella younger candidates at the top of their list next preferences. So if everyone is feeling [email protected] of preferences, to be sure that at least one frequentist and Bayes only gets a few votes, IMS Lecture Notes - Monograph Series will get in. Also, it doesn’t matter how those votes are not wasted; Bayes is dropped Joel Greenhouse [email protected] many “young” candidates there are; votes out and the votes transferred. for unsuccessful candidates are transferred, Where is STV used? Managing Editor - Statistics Paul Shaman so votes for “hopeless” candidates are not STV is used in elections for the [email protected] wasted. governments of various countries like Managing Editor - Probability How do I vote under STV? Ireland and Australia. It is used by many Michael Phelan Simply number your preferences , , ... non-governmental organisations, like the [email protected] until you have no preference between Royal Statistical Society. It’s particularly Electronic Journal of Probability remaining candidates. Easy, isn’t it? ere is appropriate for situations where it is not Ted Cox no disadvantage to your originally preferred important that a single party or group has [email protected] candidates in expressing a full list of a clear majority, but where the important Electronic Communications in Probability preferences; later preferences are only used aim is a diverse representation of the voters’ Martin Barlow when the fate of candidates given higher views. [email protected] preferences has been decided one way or the What is the point of all this? Managing Editor - EJP/ECP other. A vote is reckoned as spoiled if the A more representative Council is one that Zhen-Qing Chen [email protected] preferences are not numbered consecutively will be more active in making IMS the sort starting at . Apart from the candidates not of society you want it to be. Changing the IMS Bulletin Bernard Silverman & Tati Howell numbered at all, no ties are allowed among voting system is only a small step in doing [email protected] the numbered preferences. You don’t have this, but Council hoped it will get more Web Editor Hemant Ishwaran to know any more, but if you are interested under-represented people involved. [email protected] please read on. Any questions? Associate Program Secretary How are the votes counted? [email protected] Please write in ( ). I will Maury Bramson ere are many descriptions of STV, for try to answer them in the next issue. [email protected] example from www.votingsolutions.com Bernard Silverman is Editor of IMS Bulletin and writes voting software in his spare time. 4 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 5

The Institute of Mathematical Statistics presents

The Sixth North American NEW RESEARCHERS CONFERENCE

July 29 to August 1, 2003

Conference Objective: To promote interaction among new researchers by introducing them to each other’s research in an informal setting.

Participants: Anyone who has received their PhD since 1998 or expects to receive a PhD by 2004 is eligible to attend. All participants expected to present a short, expository talk or poster on their research.

Abstract Deadline: February 1, 2003 check out For more information: http://rohan.sdsu.edu/~ralevine/NRC

Whom do I [email protected] contact? 4 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 5 The 2003 Wald Lectures: a Preview This year’s IMS Wald Lectures will be given by Grace Wahba at JSM in San Francisco

 e Wald Lectures this lead discussant will year will be given by Grace be Yi Lin. In the Wahba, who is famous second lecture, Grace for her research in many theoretical and will concentrate on practical areas of nonparametric statistics. aspects of model Grace’s appointments at the University selection in Spline of Wisconsin-Madison span Statistics, ANOVA Models by Biostatistics, Medical Informatics and considering problems Computer Sciences, and she has been the in nonparametric The three Wald Lectures will be followed by invited discussants, including Grace Wahba’s recipient of many honors, most notably model selection, in co-workers pictured here with Grace at the University of Wisconsin-Madison in 2002 election to the National Academy of particular when there (left to right: Hao Helen Zhang, Yoonkyung Lee, Grace Wahba and Yi Lin) Sciences. are many potential,  e Wald Lectures traditionally consist possibly correlated predictor variables. We  is format of the Wald Lectures will of three linked lectures, and this year each will learn about likelihood basis pursuit give you the chance both to hear a series lecture will be followed by two invited and the nonparametric LASSO, and the of lectures by someone who has been a discussants. In each case, the fi rst discussant lead discussant will be Hao Helen Zhang. world leader in research for many years, will be one of Grace’s co-workers, who will In the fi nal lecture, the focus will move to and also to hear shorter presentations therefore be able to give an additional slant  e (Nonstandard) Multicategory Support by three promising new researchers. on the work described in the main lecture. Vector Machine, with lead discussant After each lecture there will be a second  e fi rst lecture will be an overview of Yoonkyung Lee.  ese vector machines invited discussion, followed by further Spline ANOVA Models including models include adjustments for non-representative discussion and questions from the audience. with complex input and output structure, samples and unequal misclassifi cation costs, Don’t miss what will be an exciting and applications in medicine and meteorology, and the lecture and discussion will cover memorable series! and various computational aspects.  e various aspects, examples and comparisons. JSTOR News

On January , , JSTOR released the Mathematics & Statistics collection, a new package of journals for consideration by libraries not now participating in JSTOR (www.jstor.org). All of the journals in this collection are currently included in other JSTOR collections, indeed, most of the statistics off erings (including all IMS and RSS journals, Biometrika, and JASA) are already in the Arts & Sciences I collection.  is new repackaging is designed specifi cally for libraries who focus primarily on technical disciplines and who have a limited need for the broad spectrum of disciplines available thru JSTOR’s larger collections.  is could include departmental libraries, or libraries without JSTOR, where acquisition decisions are made at the departmental level, as is true in a number of European universities. Before considering this collection, please check to make sure that your institution does not already participate in JSTOR, or does not wish to participate in the broader JSTOR off erings. If you wish more details, please contact JSTOR at [email protected]. JSTOR has recently made a number of improvements in its interface, including enhancing its capabilities (which now include citation listing) and increased accessibility for visual-impaired and learning disabled users. See the web page for details: www.jstor.org. 6 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 IMS Bulletin . 7 Medallion Lecture Previews Some of this year’s IMS Medallion give us a preview of their lectures below.

Sara van de Geer: Maria Eulália Vares: An oracle inequality for the classification problem Oriented Percolation in a Dependent e classification problem concerns the question how to label objects Environment according to the value of some input variable. Examples are the In this lecture I classification of gene expression levels as belonging to normal or tumor will discuss results tissue, in order to predict clinical disease outcome, or, in machine of a joint project learning, recognition of speech, handwriting, images, etc. by Harry Kesten, e optimal rule, called Bayes rule, is to assign to the input Vladas Sidoravicius variable the label which is most likely. is rule depends on the joint and myself, where distribution of label and input variable, which is in whole or in part unknown. erefore, we consider a two- we take a sample of inputs and labels (the training set), and try to estimate Bayes rule. dimensional oriented percolation problem One way to do this is to minimize the classification error in the sample, over all possible in a random environment. It may be classification rules. Note that if we choose the set of possible classification rules too large, thought as a discrete time growth model; this procedure will have little predictive power. On the other hand, if we choose it too time instants are first declared to be small we might rule out a good approximation of Bayes rule. Our striving is now to filch bad (or good), independently of each the ideal procedure from an oracle. other. Given the configuration of good/ Sara van de Geer will give her lecture at JSM in San Francisco, August 3–7, 2003. bad times, at the good times, the sites are open with large probability (super- Dominique Picard: critical for two-dimensional oriented site Maxisets : A way to compare the procedures percolation); at the bad times, the sites In the last decade a lot of new methods in nonparametric have a small probability to be open. We statistics have been developed mostly oriented towards adaptation, ask if the frequency of bad time instants inhomogenous smoothness, sparse representation pursuit. e may be taken small enough so that there performances of these methods have been in general compared either is a positive probability of percolation to in a practical way on test signals, or theoretically using minimax type infinity from the origin. We prove the results. answer to be positive. We will here focus on a new way of evaluating the performances Several interesting problems such as of a procedure. is point of view, rather standard in approximation percolation of binary sequences (introduced theory, is more unusual is Statistics. It consists in investigating the maximal set where a by I. Benjamini and H. Kesten in ), procedure has a given rate of convergence. e setting is not extremely different from percolation on randomly stretched lattices the minimax context but it has the main advantage of providing a functional set which is (J. Jonasson, E. Mossel and Y. Peres, ), authentically connected to the procedure and the model. and compatibility of binary sequences We are still looking for the ‘bad functions’ to estimate, but in a more ‘pragmatic’ way, (P. Winkler, ) can be formulated as since they are the difficult functions of a given procedure, not the difficult functions of percolation in such kind of environment. a space for all the procedures. Moreover, this gives as a by-product a very efficient way In the lecture I shall discuss the main of producing the rates over specified spaces and provides an opportunity to enhance ideas behind our proof and the relation to the minimax paradigm, since procedures which already have minimax properties, the above mentioned problems. automatically are minimax on their maxisets. Maria Eulália Vares will give her lecture at We investigate and compare in this context the performances of different types of JSM in San Francisco, August 3–7, 2003. procedures, including linear methods, thresholding, Bayesian methods, adaptive choice of the bandwidth parameter, in different specific situations such as deconvolution, regression with random design, multivariate regression... Dominique Picard will give her lecture at the IMS Western Regional/WNAR Meeting in Golden, Colorado, June 22–25, 2003. 6 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 7

JSM2003: IMS Invited Papers and Topic Contributed Sessions Title: Recent Developments in Modelling and Title: Joint Models on Survival and Other Special Invited Paper Estimation of Non-Stationary Time Series Longitudinal Clinical Outcomes Sessions: Organizer: Rainer Von Sachs, Université Catholique Organizer & Chair: Wei Wang, Harvard School of de Louvain-La-Neuve, Belgium Public Health / Dana-Farber Cancer Institute Title: Wald Lecture 1 Chair: Wolgang Polonik, University of California, 1. Elizabeth Brown, Univ of Washington; Bayesian Organizer & Chair: Bernard W. Silverman, Davis Approaches to Joint Cure Rate and Longitudinal 1. Vladimir Spokoiny, Humboldt University; Adaptive Models Grace Wahba, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Methods for Analysis of Nonstationary Times Series 2. Yijian Huang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Spline ANOVA Models I: Introduction, Applications, 2. Sébastien Van Bellegem, Université Catholique Center; Analysis of Lifetime Hospitalization Cost Computation de Louvain-La-Neuve, Belgium; Wavelet Processes & with Incomplete Follow-up Discussants: Yi Lin, University of Wisconsin- Adaptive Estimation of Sparse Evolutionary Wavelet 3. Hongwei Zhao, University of Rochester; Testing Madison Spectra Equality of Survival Functions of Quality Adjusted Jim Ramsay, McGill University 3. Hernando Ombao, University of Illinois; The SLEX Lifetime Analysis of Multivariate Non-Stationary Time Series Title: Wald Lecture 2 Discussant: Rainer Von Sachs, Université Title: Boosting Organizer: Bernard W. Silverman, University of Catholique de Louvain-La-Neuve, Belgium Organizer: Bin Yu, University of California, Berkeley Bristol Chair: Peter J. Bickel, University of California, Chair: Iain M. Johnstone, Stanford University Title: New Methods of Model Selection and Testing Berkeley Grace Wahba, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Organizer & Chair: Axel Munk, University of 1. Trevor Hastie, Stanford University; Boosting and Spline ANOVA Models II: Aspects of Model Selection Goettingen, Germany Support Vector Machines Discussants: Hao Helen Zhang, North Carolina 1. Adrian Raftery, University of Washington; 2. Tong Zhang, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center; State University Bayesian Model Averaging for Deterministic Convergence and Consistency of Greedy Boosting Doug Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Simulation Models Procedures 2. Andrew B. Nobel, University of North Carolina; 3. Yaacov Ritov, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem; Title: Wald Lecture 3 Distinguishing Families of Dependent Processes Boosting in General: Consistency and Minimaxity Organizer & Chair: Bernard W. Silverman, 3. Wanli Min, University of Chicago; Identification Discussant: Bin Yu, University of California, Berkeley University of Bristol of Kronecker Index of Multivariate Time Series with Grace Wahba, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Dependent Innovations Title: Statistics and Genomics The (Nonstandard) Multicategory Support Vector Discussant: Randy Eubank, Texas A&M University Organizer & Chair: Sandrine Dudoit, Mathematical Machine Sciences Research Institute Discussants: Yoonkyung Lee, The Ohio State Title: Recent Developments on Times Series 1. Robert Gentleman, Harvard School of Public University Analysis - Theory and Applications Health; Graphs and EDA in Computational Biology Wing Hung Wong, Harvard University Organizer: Hwai-Chung Ho, Academia Sinica, 2. Mark Vanderlaan, University of California, Taiwan Berkeley; Asymptotic Optimality of Cross-validation Title: Le Cam Lecture Chair: Jun Zhu, University of Wisconsin, Madison methods in Prediction and Likelihood Inference Organizer & Chair: Grace L. Yang, University of 1. Clifford Hurvich, New York University; The Local 3. Mike West - Duke University Medical Maryland-College Park Whittle Estimator of Long Memory Stochastic Center; Bayesian Analysis for Clinico-Genomic David Donoho, Stanford University; Asymptotic Volatility Characterization Studies Equivalence of Experiments: An Appreciation 2. Jin Cao, Bell Labs; PackMime-HTTP: Statistical Discussant: Michael B. Eisen, Lawrence Berkeley Discussants: David Pollard, Yale University Models for Generating HTTP Application Traffic National Laboratory 3. Ching-Kang Ing, National Taipei University, Taiwan; Title: Medallion Lectures 1 Asymptotic Equivalence Between Information- and Title: Topics in Spline Smoothing Organizer & Chair: Wolfgang Polonik, University of Prediction-Based Model Selection Criteria: A New Organizer & Chair: Randall L Eubank, Texas A&M California, Davis Look at AIC University 1. Sara van de Geer, Leiden University, Netherlands; 4. Hwai-Chung Ho, Academia Sinica, Taiwan; 1. Gerda Claeskens, Texas A&M University; An Oracle Enequality for the Classification Problem Recent Developments on Time Series Analysis and Smoothing based lack of fit tests 2. James Robins, Harvard University; TBA Applications 2. Robert Kohn, University of New South Wales, Australia; Estimation and Variable Selection in Title: Medallion Lectures 2 Title: Survival Statistical Methods in Genetic Nonparametric Heteroscedastic Models Organizer & Chair: Prabir Burman, University of Studies 3. Paul L. Speckman, University of Missouri- California Davis Organizer & Chair: Chao A. Hsiung, National Health Columbia; Asymptotic Properties of Smoothing 1. Maria Eulalia Vares, Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Research Institute, Taiwan Parameter Selection in Spline Smoothing Fisicas, Brasil; Oriented Percolation in a Dependent 1. Hongzhe Li, University of California, Davis; Discussants: Douglas W Nychka, National Center of Environment Survival Models for Genetic Linkage and Atmospheric Res. 2. Arkadi Nemirovsky, Technion, Israel; De-Noising Association Analysis Signals of Unknown Local Structure 2. I-Shou Chang, National Health Research Institutes, Taiwan; An Asymptotic Theory for the Title: Statistical Issues in Image Understanding Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimator in Organizer and Chair: David E. Tyler, Rutgers the Cox-gene Model University 3. Terry M Therneau, Mayo Clinic; Experience with 1. John T. Kent, University of Leeds, England; Shape Using a Random Effects Cox Model for Genetic Data and Shape Variability in Image Analysis 4. Peter Kraft, UCLA School of Public Health; Case- 1. Yingnian Wu, University of California, Los Angeles; sibling Gene-Association Studies for Diseases with Statistical Models for Natural Scenes Variable Age at Onset 3. Javier Cabrera, Rutgers University; Machine Vision Discussant: Mitchell H. Gail, National Cancer Methods for DNA Microarray Spotting Institute 8 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2

JSM2003 Special Invited Paper Sessions, continued:

Title: Statistically Motivated Developments in Estimation and Calibration for Multivariate Linear Title: Statistical Challenges in Functional Machine Learning Models with Errors in Variables Neuroimaging Organizer: Yi-Lin, University of Wisconsin-Madison 2. Silvelyn Zwanzig, Uppsala University, Sweden; On Organizer & Chair: Christopher Genovese, & Xiaotong Shen, Ohio State University Consistency in Errors-in-Variables Models Carnegie Mellon University Chair: Yi-Lin, University of Wisconsin-Madison 3. Yasuo Amemiya, IBM Watson Research Center; 1. Tom Nichols, University of Michigan; Optimization 1. Yoonkyung Lee, Ohio State University; Nonlinear Latent Variable Analysis for Multivariate of fMRI Experimental Designs with the Genetic Multicategory Support Vector Machines Non-Normal Data Algorithm 2. Hao Helen Zhang, North Carolina State University; 2. Nicole Lazar, Carnegie Mellon University; Basis Pursuit Support Vector Machines Title: Stochastic Models of Interacting Sytems New Methods for the Analysis of Functional 3. J. Stephen Marron, Univ of North Carolina-Chapel Organize & Chair: Steven Lalley, University of Neuroimaging Hill; Distance Weighted Discrimination Chicago 3. Jonathan E. Taylor, Stanford University; 1. Thomas Liggett, University of California, Los Incorporating Spatial Information into False Title: Causal Inference for Longitudinal Data Angeles; Negative Correlations and Particle Systems Discovery Rate Procedures Data Organizer & Chair: Xihong Lin, University of 2. Jim Pitman, University of California, Berkeley; A Michigan System of Interacting Rayleigh Processes Related to Title: Nonparametric Techniques in Financial 1. Roderick Little, University of Michigan; Causal the Brownian Tree Econometrics Inference in Choice-Based Intervention Studies 3. Yuval Peres, University of California, Berkeley; Organizer & Chair: , Chinese 2. Susan A Murphy, University of Michigan; Issues in Stable Marriage of a Poisson Process to Lebesgue University of Hong Kong Designing Dynamic Treatment Regimes Measure 1. Andrew W. Lo, Massachusetts Inst of Technology; 3. Joe Hogan, Brown University; Assessing Temporal Averaging and Nonstationarities Sensitivity to Exclusion Restrictions in Title: Optimal Multistage Decisions and Causal 2. Ruey-Shiong Tsay, University of Chicago; Semiparametric Instrumental Variables Estimators Inference Nonparametric Estimation of Conditional Variance of Treatment Effects Organizer & Chair: Susan A Murphy, University of and Quantiles Michigan 3. Ronald Gallant, Duke University; Model Title: Errors in Variable and Multivariate Calibration 1. Philip Lavori, Stanford University; TBA Calibration by Matching to the Empirical Organizer & Chair: Lutz Duembgen, University of 2. Benjamin Van Roy, Stanford University; Value Distribution Berne,Germany Function Approximation in Dynamic Programming: 1. Bernd Wolfgang Igl, University of Luebeck; History and Recent Developments Title: Nonparametric Analysis of Functional Data 3. Anthony E. Brockwell, Carnegie Mellon University; Organizer & Chair: Hans-Georg Müller, University A Gridding Method for Bayesian Sequential of California, Davis Decision Problems 1. Jianqing Fan, University of North Carolina, Chapel Discussants: Ross Shachter of Stanford University Hill; Semiparametric Modeling for Longitudinal Data Title: Statistics of fMRI 2. Theo Gasser, University of Zurich; Assigning Organizer & Chair: Jonathan Taylor, Stanford Variability in Functional Data Analysis University 3. Fang Yao, University of California, Davis; 1. Keith J Worsley, McGill University; Recent Functional Regression and Principal Components Advances in Finding Signals in fMRI Data Analysis For Sparse Longitudinal Data 2. Christopher Genovese, Carnegie Mellon University; TBA 3. Gary Glover, Stanford University School of Medicine; Physiological Noise in fMRI The Golden Gate Bridge: symbol of San Francisco. SF Convention and Visitor’s Bureau: photo by Phil Coblentz. IMS Topic Contributed Paper Sessions: Title: Multiscale Methods in Statistics Title: Kernel and Spline Smoothing Title: Statistics of Extremes, With Applications in Organizer: Xiaoming Huo, Georgia Institute of Organizer: Li-Shan Huang, University of Rochester Environment, Insurance, and Finance. Technology Medical Center Organizer: Zhengjun Zhang, Washington Chair: Lutz Duembgen, University of Berne Chair: Chunming Zhang, University of Wisconsin University 1. Uk Jung, Georgia Institute of Technology; 1. W. John Braun, University of Western Ontario, Chair: Richard L. Smith, University of North Carolina Wavelet-based Data Reduction Procedures for (Ontario, Canada); Kernel Spline Regression 1. Amy Grady, National Institute of Statistical Multiple Functional Data Curves 2. Li-Shan Huang, University of Rochester; A Sciences; Extreme Value Theory for Global Climate 2. Ofer Levi, Stanford University; Multiscale Roughness-Penalty View of Kernel Smoothing Change Geometric Analysis of 3D Galaxy Catalogues 3. Christian Rau, Australian National University, 2. Yongcheng Qi, University of Minnesota, Duluth; 3. Jia Li, Pennsylvania State University; Studying Canberra; Tracking Edges and Vertices in an Image Limit Distributions of the Sum and Maximum from Digital Imagery of Ancient Paintings by Mixtures of 4. Jin-Ting Zhang, National University of Singapore; Multivariate Gaussian Sequences Stochastic Models Approximate and Asymptotic Distribution of Chi- 3. Francisco Chamu, University of North Carolina, 4. Marina Vannucci, Texas A&M University; Wavelet square Type Mixtures with Applications Chapel Hill; Estimation of M4 Processes with Particle Decorrelation, Wavelet Packets and the Brunelleschi 5. Zilin Wang, University of Western Ontario, London Filters Dome (Ontario, Canada); Semiparametric Regression 4. Zhengjun Zhang, Washington University, Saint 5. Xiaoming Huo, Georgia Institute of Technology; Techniques for Complex Survey Data Louis; Extremal Co-Movements of Financial Assets: Beamlets and hierarchical models for directional Characterization and Gamma Test features 5. Robert Lund, University of Georgia, Athens; Trends in United States High and Low Temperatures 8 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 ���������������������������

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IMS Mini-Meeting Report

A. Krishnamoorthy, the Convenor of the IMS-funded Mini-meeting “Instructional workshop on Matrix Analytic Methods” which took place in Cochin, India, in December, writes: At the outset I acknowledge with thanks (that is consider the more general setup of and at the end of each talk. Outside the the financial support from the Institute of nonhomogeneity). He proved several results lecture room, too, there were a lot of Mathematical Statistics in organising the in this direction. en he discussed the discussions and interactions between the Instructional Workshop on Matrix Analytic Matrix Analytic Methods as one of the most speakers and the participants. A discussion Methods. power tool to find solutions to problems for on the various truncation procedures also e IMS Mini-meeting was organised which analytical solutions are not available. followed. is is especially useful as very at the Department of Mathematics, Cochin is is a very powerful computational often one has to work with infinite matrices University of Science & Technology, procedure. Instead of the rate matrix, as with matrix entries. Cochin , India on  and  in Matrix geometric method, here we All participants were unanimous in their December , two full days of lectures compute what is called a G-matrix. is views that the workshop was a great success and discussions. It was preceded by an matrix, unlike the matrix (which has entries and that each one of them gained a lot by International Conference on Stochastic representing the expected number of visits attending the same. ose who were already Modelling, and IV International workshop to a state, starting from a given state, familiar with the method got better insight on Retrial Queues, on - December. until it moves back to the initial state), is into the subject. Despite the tight schedule, several delegates stochastic and hence the iterates converge. More workshops of this nature are of the conference also participated in the Several system performance measures could envisaged. Once again I thank the Institute Instructional workshop. be computed. of Mathematical Statistics for the generous ere were  participants in the e programme started with a talk financial support in organizing the workshop. e speakers were Professor V. by Krishnamoorthy. Ramaswami gave  workshop. Ramaswami, Professor A. Krishnamoorthy, lectures and was the key speaker to the Professor Nishimura, Professor Uchiyama, workshop. Alexander Dudin gave two talks Professor N. Narayanan Namboodiri, on BMAP, Toeplitz and Quasi-Toeplitz Are you thinking about organizing Professor Alexander N. Dudin and matrices. ese matrices arise in several a Mini-meeting? Professor Hermann orisson. queueing context as in a BMAP/PH/ IMS Mini-meetings were introduced Professor Ramaswami spoke about queue. To get further information from as an initiative to encourage shorter the development of the Matrix Analytic the generator of this process one needs conferences and events. The IMS Method (MAM) starting with the techniques from MAM. Nishimura spoke provides funds (up to US$3000), exponential distribution viewed as on spectral methods in MAM, considering publicity and sometimes expertise, to Markov chain on statespace with just two the more general setup of BMAP. Uchiyama help promote events which are easier elements, then moving to mixtures of talked on: (i) Order and commutativity to organize and focus on current exponentials, then Erlang and generalized of self-adjoint operators and (ii)Inverse events. Erlang. Next in the development was functions of polynomials and as operator Iain Johnstone, IMS past president, the Coxian distribution followed by the monotone functions. ese were more wrote about Mini-meetings in the Phasetype distribution. is has further theoretical in nature, though the results are March/April issue of the IMS Bulletin generalizations, namely the generalized and of great interest to probabilists. last year (http://www.imstat.org/ bilateral phasetype. Further generalizations Narayanan Namboodiri spoke on bulletin/31_2.htm) are the Markovian arrival process and the Toeplitz matrices which was again of a For more information on Mini- Batch Markovian arrival process. ese high level and quality, but more theoretical meetings, please see the IMS website: are further generalized to the SMAP, the in nature. Herman orisson lectured on http://www.imstat.org/program/ spatial Markovian arrival process. e coupling methods. minimeeting.htm last one takes care of the seasonal changes ere was very active discussion during 12 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 13

IMS Mini-Meeting Report

IMS sponsored mini-conference on Comparative Genomics Hemant K Tiwari and David B. Allison, of the Section on Statistical Genetics, Department of Biostatistics at the University of Alabama, Birmingham, write: e IMS-sponsored mini-conference type  diabetes using murine models. talked about statistical modeling of on “Statistical Integration of Genetic e keynote speaker, Dr Chris Haley, interaction effects in QTLs using the Information across Data Domains: Head of the Department of Genetics and Bayesian approach. He showed utility and Biomedical, Agricultural and Comparative Biometry at Roslin Institute, Edinburgh, performance of his new method using Genomics” was held on  December,  is a leading expert on statistical methods reversible jump Markov Chain Monte at University of Alabama at Birmingham. for the detection, mapping and utilization Carlo algorithm to determine the number e conference was a great success, of quantitative trait loci and applications of QTLs and their significant effects by according to participants’ feedback and of genomics studies in the area of fatness, simulation studies. evaluations. e participants were from meat quality and reproduction in pigs. e last speaker of the event was Dr such diverse backgrounds as genetics, He addressed the identification of loci Grier Page, Section on Statistical Genetics, pathology, clinical research, biostatistics, controlling variation in complex traits, Department of Biostatistics, University of agriculture and animal research. We had particularly quantitative trait loci. He Alabama at Birmingham. He discussed how several participants from Auburn University pointed out complexities such as parent microarray analysis and linkage analysis of and from the Centers for Disease Control of origin effects and epistatic interactions, genomic regions could be incorporated to and Prevention (CDC) in Atlanta. e in localizing QTLs in pigs and elaborated identify disease susceptibility genes. event was videotaped and will be available on how the lessons learned from livestock For more conference information, on our website as soon as processing is research can help in understanding the including a list of speakers, the slides of complete (www.soph.uab.edu/Statgenetics/ complex traits in human populations. the talks and synchronized video feed, see Events/IMS/IMSConf.htm). e event was Dr Carol J. Etzel, Department of www.soph.uab.edu/Statgenetics/Events/IMS/ covered by the local broadcast and print Epidemiology, UT M.D Anderson Cancer IMSConf.htm. media (e.g., see: www.soph.uab.edu/ Center, Houston, gave a talk on meta- Additional support for the conference Statgenetics/Events/IMS/haley-post.htm). analysis for human linkage analysis. She was received from the University of Alabama Presentation topics included QTL across discussed the challenges in meta-analysis at Birmingham’s: Howell and Elizabeth studies and designs (Dr Chris Haley); of genetic studies due to publication bias, Heflin Center for Human Genetics, Section Comparative genomics of Diabetes (Dr time-lag bias, different phenotypic measures on Statistical Genetics, Department of Philip Wood); Incorporation of gene and among-study heterogeneity. Biostatistics and Dean’s Office, School of information for conducting meta-analysis e afternoon session started with Public Health. (Dr Carol Etzel); Integrating QTL mapping Dr David Allison, Head of the Section data across species (Dr David Allison); on Statistical Genetics, Department of Mapping epistatic genes for complex Biostatistics, University of Alabama at traits (Dr Nengjun Yi); and Combined Birmingham, giving a presentation on the Past IMS Bulletin Editors microarray and linkage studies (Dr Grier importance of comparative genomics. He Page). emphasized how empirical Bayes methods Leo Katz (1972-74) Morning session started with the can help to localize disease susceptibility Dorian Feldman (1975-80) opening remarks given by Dr Philip loci or traits by using available information William C Guenther (1981-86) Wood, Professor of Genetics, University of about homology between genomes of Alabama, Birmingham. He discussed the different species such as human, mouse, pig, George P H Styan (1987-92) genetics of type  diabetes mellitus which rat, drosophilae, etc. Susan R Wilson (1992-97) is on the rise world-wide. He described Dr Nengjun Yi, Section on Statistical Dipak K Dey (1998-2001) effective genomic approaches to understand Genetics, Department of Biostatistics, the genetic components and pathogenesis of University of Alabama at Birmingham, 12 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 13

Who’s this? In the first of an occasional series, we profile here some people with whom IMS members may have contact from time to time. You may have met them, but for those that haven’t:

Patrick Kelly Geri Mattson Elyse Gustafson Patrick has worked as Mattson Publishing Elyse is the Executive Production Editor for Services, LLC provides Director of the IMS. the IMS since  project management As your Executive (except for a year off for the IMS journals Director, Elyse’s main to teach English in throughout pre- goal is to ensure the Hungary in - press. As part of this IMS runs smoothly ). He handles process, manuscripts in all its operations. production for e are first assigned to is includes liaising Annals of Statistics, e Annals of Probability, a group of experienced copyeditors, next with all IMS Committees; managing the e Annals of Applied Probability, and both manuscripts and author-supplied IMS finances; coordinating the publishing Statistical Science. He edits manuscripts, files are sent via FTP to VTeX for page of all IMS publications; organizing the ensures that corrections from authors are composition. Geri works with IMS editors, IMS Annual Meeting and assisting with done properly, proofreads everything, and authors and the staff of VTeX to insure all other conferences as needed. Elyse also keeps an eye on the journals’ style. It’s his that content and presentation of each paper oversees your dues and subscriptions office. job to make things consistent and to keep meets author approval and IMS standards. If you have any issues concerning the IMS, everything moving as smoothly as possible. Geri can be reached at by email at you should feel free to contact Elyse at Patrick’s email is [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]

Special Issue of Computational Statistics and Data Analysis: Matrix Computations and Statistics II A number of interesting and important ideas have resulted from the relationship between matrix computations and statistics. Well known examples include the solution of least squares problems, computation of the singular value decomposition and its generalizations, estimation of principal components, computation of canonical correlations, several cluster analysis algorithms, and the solution of total least squares problems. A previous special issue on this area featured papers on multidimensional scaling, an application to web search engines, an algorithm for seemingly unrelated regression models, an error measurement model for motion analysis,and a survey on alternating least squares problems. ese papers left the impression that the overlap between matrix computations and statistics is a fertile area of research. us we propose a second special issue on matrix computations and statistics. e editors would like to receive papers on any of the topics listed above and also topics such as latent semantic indexing, structured total least squares, cluster analysis, complete orthogonal decompositions, data compression, linear discriminant analysis, dimension reduction/feature extraction, and applications of statistical matrix computing to other scientific disciplines. e deadline for submission to this special issue is June , . Manuscripts submitted to this special issue will be refereed according to standard procedures for Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. e editors for this special issue will be: Jesse L. Barlow: Department of Computer Science and Engineering, e Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA -. e-mail: [email protected]; Patrick J.F. Groenen: Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Room H., P.O. Box ,  DR Rotterdam, e Netherlands, e-mail: [email protected]; Haesun Park: - EE/CS, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN , e-mail: [email protected]; Hongyuan Zha: Department of Computer Science and Engineering, e Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA -, e-mail: [email protected] 14 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 15

IMS Meetings around the world

IMS Sponsored Meeting IMS Invited Paper Session at the IMS Co-sponsored Meeting: IMS Annual Meeting/ 6th Bernoulli World International Statistical Institute, 54th 2003 Joint Summer Research Conferences Congress Biennial Session: June 8-July 24, 2003, Snowbird, Utah July 26-30, 2004. Barcelona, Spain The Analysis of Gene Expression Data http://www.ams.org/meetings/src03.html Joint Program Chair: Wilfrid S. Kendall August 13-20, 2003, ([email protected]) University Berlin, Germany of Warwick, UK. Local Chair: David IMS Organizer: Mike West, Duke U, Nualart, ([email protected]) Universitat de [email protected] (speakers are Rainer Barcelona, Spain Spang, Sandrine Dudoit and Mike West). ISI website: www.isi-2003.de IMS, together with the American Mathematical Society (AMS) and the IMS Sponsored Mini-Meeting Society for Industrial and Applied CURRENT TRENDS IN SAMPLE SURVEYS AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS Mathematics (SIAM), have jointly January 2 and 3, 2004. Calcutta, India sponsored Summer Research Conferences Organizers: Tathagata Banerjee, Partha Lahiri for twenty years. is year’s SRC is in the breathtaking mountain setting, of Snowbird Resort in Utah,  minutes from the University of Utah, and easily accessible IMS Co-sponsored Meeting: from Salt Lake City International Airport. First IMS-ISBA Joint Meeting: For more information about Snowbird 24-27 July 2003, Puerto Rico, USA Resort, see www.snowbird.com. REGISTRATION FORMS NOW AVAILABLE e atmosphere at SRC is comparable e first joint statistical meeting of IMS and to the collegial gatherings at Oberwolfach ISBA (the International Society for Bayesian Analysis) will be held in Isla Verde (San and other conferences that combine Juan, Puerto Rico, USA) on July -, . e meeting will evolve around three main peaceful natural ambience with stimulating topics of interest to both IMS and ISBA members: Causal-Graphical Modeling; Spatial meetings. Statistics and Analysis of Extremes. e format of the meeting includes overview lectures Summer Research Conferences in the topics, invited talks, and poster sessions. participants have access to a range of Registration information: activities such as a tram ride to the top of e registration fee is  (US dollars) to be paid before April , , through a check (USA the mountain, guided hikes, swimming, bank) or money order payable to IMS, or by credit card ( or Visa card only). Send to: mountain bike tours, rock climbing, plus IMS/ISBA meeting registration, P.O. Box , Beachwood OH  heated outdoor pools. More than a dozen FAX: -() - (Credit card registration) walking and hiking trails head deep in the Tel: -() - surrounding mountains. Participants also E-mail: [email protected] enjoy the simpler pleasures of convening For Puerto Rican participants registration is . on the patios at the resort to read, work, e program Committee is: M.J. Bayarri (Chair, Universidad de Valencia), Jim Berger and socialize. In the evenings colleagues (Duke U), Alicia Carriquiry (Iowa State U), Susan Murphy (U of Michigan), Luis Pericchi enjoy informal gatherings to network and (Universidad de Puerto Rico), Larry Wasserman (Carnegie Mellon U). continue e Overview Plenary Speakers are: Stephen Lauritzen (Causal-Graphical Modeling), discussion Peter Green (Spatial Statistics) and Richard Smith (Analysis of Extremes). of the day’s For more details, and registration form, please visitthe website www.cnnet.clu.edu/math/ sessions over ims-isba-pr2003 refreshments.

Summer in Snowbird, Utah 14 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 15

IMS Co-sponsored Meeting: IMS Sponsored Mini-Meeting: 2003 Spring Research Conference on Statistics in Industry and Technology Statistics for Mathematical and June 4-6, 2003, Dayton, Ohio Computational Finance http://www.stat.uiowa.edu/SRC2003/ May 3, 2003, U of Connecticut, Storrs, CT e SRC is the premier research conference for statistics in industry and technology. e e Department of Statistics at the program for the  conference will feature a keynote address by Friedrich W. Scholz, University of Connecticut will host an IMS Technical Fellow at Boeing Company; and plenary talks, invited sessions, and contributed Mini-Meeting on Statistics and Finance sessions on key and emerging areas. Suggestions on topics and speakers are welcome. on May ,  in Storrs, Connecticut. Contributed-paper submissions from new researchers and graduate students are is meeting is designed to bring about especially encouraged. ere will be several student scholarships available, so please apply! interaction between statistics, probability, (Details on the website above) econometrics and finance. In financial Sponsors: e SRC is a joint venture of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics and the modeling and asset pricing, complex Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences of the American Statistical Association. stochastic models are widely employed, and Contacts: [email protected] cutting-edge statistical methods are being Invited Program: Russell V. Lenth, e University of Iowa, /-, russell- used for inferences and computations. Its [email protected] major purpose is to stimulate discussions Contributed Program: William A. Brenneman, Procter and Gamble, /-, and exchange of ideas among participants [email protected] in these different disciplines, and to Local Arrangements: Peter W. Hovey, e University of Dayton, 937/229/2964, peter.hov identify the latest developments. In [email protected] addition to invited presentations, the meeting will include a contributed poster session. For more information visit http: //www.stat.uconn.edu/~yzwang/IMSfinance

Other Meetings Around the World: Announcements and Calls for Papers

Justus F. Seely Memorial Conference on Linear Models July 31 - August 1, 2003. Corvallis, OR NB The conference dates were misprinted in earlier issues A two-day conference on linear models will be held at Oregon State University in memory of Justus F. Seely, a long-time faculty member of the Department of Statistics and an internationally recognized researcher in linear model theory. Conference plans include a keynote address by Charles McCulloch (UCSF), five invited speaker sessions, contributed posters, and a mid-conference banquet. Invited speakers and session organizers are: Alan Agresti (U of Florida), David Birkes (Oregon State), Richard Burdick (Arizona State), Jim Calvin (Texas A&M), Joe Cavanaugh (U of Missouri), Ron Christensen (U of New Mexico), Yadolah Dodge (U of Neuchatel), Yahia ElBassiouni (United Arab Emirates U), Mike Fugate (Los Alamos National Lab), Hari Iyer (Colorado State), Mike Jacroux(Washington State), André I Khuri (U of Florida), Ramon Littell (U of Florida), Youngjo Lee (Seoul National U), Dibyen Majumdar (U of Illinois at Chicago), omas Mathew (UMBC), John Morgan (Virginia Tech), William Notz (Ohio State), John Stufken (Iowa State), Mark Vangel (Massachusetts General Hospital), Tim White (U of Florida). e conference occurs immediately prior to the Joint Statistical Meetings in San Francisco to allow convenient attendance at both events. Limited financial support will be available to help defray the expenses of student and junior faculty attendees. Updates to the conference link at http://oregonstate.edu/dept/statistics/ will be made periodically as conference plans are finalized. Questions concerning the conference may be addressed to the conference co-chairs: Cliff Pereira [email protected]( ; tel.  -) and Dave Birkes ([email protected]; tel.  -). 16 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 17

WORKSHOP: PATHWAYS TO THE FUTURE International Workshop on Wavelets and 32nd Annual Meeting of the Statistical August 2-3, 2003. SAN FRANCISCO: Statistics: Watering the Seed Society of Canada A short workshop called “Pathways to the 4-7 September 2003 May 30-June 2 2004, Montréal, Québec Future” will be run on the Saturday evening Villard de Lans, Grenoble, France e Universtité de and Sunday August -,  preceding NB New web address Montréal and the the Joint Statistical Meetings in San Contact Details: Centre de recherches Francisco. is is primarily designed for Anestis Antoniadis, mathématiques, Montréal young women researchers who are within Tel: +()() (Québec) will be hosting about five years of having completed their  the  meeting of doctoral degree. Funding support for US- Fax: +()() the Statistical Society of based scientists is provided by the National  Canada. Christian Léger Science Foundation. Email: ([email protected]) For further details contact Lynne Anestis.Antoniadis@ is the Local Billard, Department of Statistics, University imag.fr Arrangements Chair. Christian Genest of Georgia, Athens GA -, Secretary’s phone number: +()() ([email protected]) is the Program phone:---, fax:---  Committee Chair. For more information, , email: [email protected] NEW WEBSITE: contact Christian Léger by email or at http://www-lmc.imag.fr/grenoblet2003 Département de mathématiques et de statistique, Université de Montréal, C.P. , Succursale centre-ville, Montréal, Québec, Canada Hc HJ.

Nominations Solicited for 2003 Jerome Sacks Award Annual Award Honors Outstanding Cross-Disciplinary Research e NISS Board of Trustees established the Jerome Sacks Award for Cross-Disciplinary Research in  to honor Sacks’ service as the founding director of NISS. e annual prize of ,, presented at the NISS JSM Reception, recognizes sustained, high-quality cross- disciplinary research involving the statistical sciences. e inaugural award was presented to Professor Elizabeth ompson of the University of Washington for her “sustained, high- quality cross-disciplinary research bridging the statistical sciences and genetics.” Max Morris of Iowa State University received the  Award, recognizing “outstanding cross-disciplinary contributions to the statistical sciences, engineering, health physics, geology and toxicology.” e  award selection committee solicits nominations of researchers whose work is cross-disciplinary, sustained and encompasses innovation in the statistical sciences. Preference will be given to work that, in the spirit of NISS, creates new research relationships bridging the statistical sciences and other disciplines. “Nonstandard” achievements, such as patents and software creation, will be considered. Complete nominations include a current CV or biographical sketch for the nominee, a nomination letter and several supporting letters, and should be submitted by April , . If possible, please submit nominations electronically to [email protected]. Otherwise, hard copy may be sent to: Sacks Award Committee, National Institute of Statistical Sciences,  T. W. Alexander Drive, PO Box , Research Triangle Park, NC - For more information on NISS and the award, visit the NISS web site at www.niss.org 16 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 17 �������� ������� ���������� ������ ����������� ��������������������������������������������������� ���������������������������������������������������������

����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ ���������������������������� ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� ������������������������������������������������������ ������������������������������������������������� ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� ������������������������������������������������������������������� ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� ������������� ����� �� ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� ����� �������������������������������������������������

��� ����������������� ���������������������� ������ ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� ������������������������������������������������������������������ ����� ������������������������������������������������������������� ����� ����������������������������������������������������������������� 18 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 19

Employment Opportunities around the world

Canada: Ontario Position Title/Rank: Lecturer Division: University of Toronto at Scarborough Department: Statistics/UTSC Deadline: March 15, 2003 Job Description: e Division of Mathematical Sciences, University of Toronto at Scarborough, invites applications for a full-time teaching position in Statistics at the rank of Lecturer. e appointment will take effect on July , , or as soon as possible thereafter. A postgraduate degree in Statistics by date of appointment is required. Initial appointments at the rank of Lecturer are for a term of one year and may be renewed to a total of five years. In the fifth year of service, Lecturers are reviewed for promotion to the rank of Senior Lecturer, which is a continuing appointment. Responsibilities include lecturing, tutorials, grading, and curriculum development in a variety of undergraduate courses. Interested candidates are invited to submit a curriculum vitae, statement of career goals and teaching philosophy, evidence of teaching excellence, and arrange to have three letters of reference sent directly from the referees. Applications and letters of reference should be sent to: Professor John Scherk, Division of Mathematical Sciences, University of Toronto at Scarborough,  Military Trail, Scarborough, Ontario, MC A or email: [email protected] e deadline date for applications is March , , or until the position is filled. Canadian citizens and permanent residents will be considered first for this position. e University of Toronto is strongly committed to diversity within its community. e University especially welcomes applications from visible minority group members, women, Aboriginal persons, persons with disabilities, members of sexual minority groups, and others who may contribute to further diversification of ideas.

Canada: Ontario Position Title/Rank: Lecturer Division: University of Toronto at Scarborough Department: Statistics/UTSC Deadline: March 15, 2003 Job Description: e Division of Mathematical Sciences, University of Toronto at Scarborough, invites applications for a full-time teaching position in Statistics at the rank of Lecturer. e appointment will take effect on July , , or as soon as possible thereafter. A postgraduate degree in Statistics by date of appointment is required. Initial appointments at the rank of Lecturer are for a term of one year and may be renewed to a total of five years. In the fifth year of service, Lecturers are reviewed for promotion to the rank of Senior Lecturer, which is a continuing appointment. Responsibilities include lecturing, tutorials, grading, and curriculum development in a variety of undergraduate courses. Interested candidates are invited to submit a curriculum vitae, statement of career goals and teaching philosophy, evidence of teaching excellence, and arrange to have three letters of reference sent directly from the referees. Applications and letters of reference should be sent to: Professor John Scherk, Division of Mathematical Sciences, University of Toronto at Scarborough,  Military Trail, Scarborough, Ontario, MC A or email: [email protected] e deadline date for applications is March , , or until the position is filled. Canadian citizens and permanent residents will be considered first for this position. e University of Toronto is strongly committed to diversity within its community. e University especially welcomes applications from visible minority group members, women, Aboriginal persons, persons with disabilities, members of sexual minority groups, and others who may contribute to further diversification of ideas. 18 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 19

Canada: Ontario York University, Toronto Applications are invited for a tenure-track appointment in Statistics at the Assistant If you have Professor level in the Department of Mathematics and Statistics to commence July , . e successful candidate must have a PhD and is expected to have a proven record a position to of research excellence and superior teaching ability. Preference will be given to candidates who can strengthen existing areas of present and ongoing research activity. e selection advertise, the process will begin on April , . All positions at York are subject to budgetary approval. Applicants should send resumes and arrange for three letters of recommendation deadline for next (one of which should address teaching) to be sent directly to: Statistics Search Committee, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, York University,  Keele Street, Toronto, issue (May/June Ontario, Canada, MJ P. Fax: () -. E-mail: [email protected]. www.math.yorku.ca/Hiring/. ) is April . York University has an Affirmative Action Program with respect to its faculty and librarian appointments. e designated groups are: women, racial/visible minorities, See the panel persons with disabilities and aboriginal peoples. Persons in these groups must self-identify in order to participate in the Affirmative Action Program. e Department of Mathematics ‘Information for and Statistics welcomes applications from persons in these groups. e Affirmative Action Program can be found on York’s website at www.yorku.ca/acadjobs or a copy can be Advertisers’, inside obtained by calling the affirmative action office at --. All qualified candidates are encouraged to apply; however, Canadian citizens and Permanent Residents will be given the back cover. priority.

Current Index to Statistics Release 11 goes on-line Release  of the Current Index to Statistics (CIS) was installed on the CIS web site http://www.statindex.org at the beginning of March. e Release  CDROM is scheduled for shipping to subscribers in April and is available for ordering. With this release, CIS passes the quarter-million mark: over , bibliographic items. Coverage includes complete indexing of core journals ( currently being indexed) in statistics and probability, and selected articles with statistical content from many other journals in allied fields. is release includes about two-thirds of the ultimate content for publications with  dates, and some entries for . us CIS has advanced by almost  years of coverage since Release . was posted in April, . Additional material will be added to the Web query site as late-arriving publications are received and indexed. e improved timeliness of our coverage reflects the tireless efforts of Abstracting Editor George Styan and Database Editor Douglas Bates to streamline and speed up abstracting and database processing. e Release  database was assembled by Editor Bates and Editorial Associate Deepayan Sarkar in Wisconsin. Other major contributors included Krisztina Filep in Toronto, who coordinated transfer of files from Editor Styan and his data entry crew in Montreal, and also Ronald isted in Chicago, Saikat Debroy in Wisconsin, Nicholas Horton in Boston, and Alan Zaslavsky in Boston. Subscriptions for access to the Web site are available to institutional subscribers. At present, only the CD-ROM edition is available to individual subscribers (Personal licenses). For information about ordering CIS, please visit the informational web site at http:// www.statindex.org. e CIS Web site also has information about journals in related fields for which we are seeking Contributing Editors to select articles that should be included in CIS. Please joining our current  Contributing Editors in  countries if you would like to help us to improve coverage in your area of application of statistics or of publications from your country; write to [email protected] for more information. Alan M. Zaslavsky, Chairman, CIS Management Committee 20 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 21

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IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 21 International Calendar of Statistical Events

IMS meetings are highlighted in maroon with the logo and new or updated entries have the NEW symbol. t means telephone, f fax, e email and w website. Please send additions and corrections to Tati Howell at [email protected]

April 2003 and Inference. Organizers: Mark Hansen 9-12: KIMEP, Almaty, Kazakhstan. ASIM (Bell Labs), Paul Vitanyi (CWI & U 2003, International Conference on 26: U of Connecticut, Storrs. 17th New Amsterdam), and Bin Yu (UC Berkeley). Advances in Statistical Inferential Methods. England Statistics Symposium. Dipak w http://stat.bell-labs.com/complexity (theory and applications) w www.kimep.kz/ Dey e [email protected] w http:// research/asim e [email protected] www.stat.uconn.edu/news/2003/ness1.html 4-6: University of Dayton, Ohio. Spring Research Conference on Statistics 15-18: Merida, Mexico. rd International May 2003 in Industry and Technology: Sponsored by Symposium on Forecasting. Principal IMS and SPES section of ASA. Program organizer: Victor M. Guerrero (ITAM), e 3: U of Connecticut, Storrs. IMS chair: Russell V. Lenth, U of Iowa, e russell- [email protected]. w http//www.isf2003.org Mini-meeting: Statistics for Mathemat- [email protected], Local arrangements: Peter ical and Computational Finance w www. W. Hovey, U of Dayton, e peter.hovey@ 15-19: Lund, Sweden. SPRUCE VI stat.uconn.edu/~yzwang/IMSfinance notes.udayton.edu w www.stat.uiowa.edu/ Conference on Statistics for the Analysis of SRC2003/ Risks and Benefits from the Environment. 14-17: Chicago, Illinois. Conference on Contact: Ulla Holst [email protected] New Directions in Experimental Design 5-8: Sheraton Waikiki, Honolulu, Hawaii, w: www.maths.lth.se/conferences/spruceVI/ (DAE , Chicago). Focus: designs for USA. 2003 Hawaii International biomedical and pharmaceutical studies. Conference on Statistics and Related 15-20: Centre Paul Langevin, Aussois, Contact Ken Ryan e [email protected] Fields. Key Speaker: Professor France. Fourth International Workshop w www.math.uic.edu/~kjryan/dae2003.html Bradley Efron, Stanford U. w http:// on Objective Prior Methodology w http:// www.hicstatistics.org www.ceremade.dauphine.fr/~xian/OBayes03 15-17: Hotel Sol Galúa, La Manga, Spain. ird Workshop on Bayesian Inference 8-11: Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada. Annual 19-24: West Lafayette, Indiana. th Purdue in Stochastic Processes (BISP03) w http: Meeting of the Statistical Society of International Symposium on Statistics. //www.upct.es/bisp03/ e Juan Antonio Cano Canada. Local Arrangements Chair: Chris Conference (Statistical Decision eory Sánchez [email protected] or Fabrizio Ruggeri Field, e [email protected]; Progam Chair: and Related Topics) and  workshops (A: [email protected] Doug Wiens, e [email protected]; Bioinformatics and Microarrays; B: Multiple w www.ssc.ca. Includes two IMS Invited Comparisons and Mixture Models for Large 21-24: Columbia, South Carolina. Paper Sessions: ‘Machine Learning Methods Data Sets; C: Statistical Consultancy). International Conference on Reliability from a Statistical Perspective’, contact Abstract submission, registration etc info w and Survival Analysis. w www.stat.sc.edu/ Yi Lin e [email protected] and ‘Shape- http://www.stat.purdue. edu/Symp7/ ~padgett/ICRSA2003 Restricted Inference’, contact Mary Meyer e [email protected] 22-25: Colorado School of Mines, June 2003 Golden, CO. WNAR/IMS Western 8-July 24: Snowbird, Utah.  Joint Regional (Sponsored/Numbered meeting 1-30: National U of Singapore, Inst for Summer Research Conferences. Jointly 281). Program Chair: Naisyin Wang, Texas Mathematical Sciences. Program on sponsored by IMS, AMS & SIAM. A&M e [email protected] Local Statistical Methods in Microarray Analysis Conferences typically run for one week with Arrangements Chairs: Jan Breidt e jbreid w http://www.ims.nus.edu.sg/Programs/ forty-five to sixty participants. Conferences [email protected] and Jan Hannig e microarray/index.htm of longer duration are possible. Funding for [email protected] the conferences is provided by a grant from 2-6: Dimacs Center, Rutgers U, NJ. the National Science Foundation. w http: 24-27: Technical U of Gdansk, Poland. DIMACS Workshop on Complexity //www.ams.org/meetings/src03.html 1st World Congress on Information Continued on next page June 2003 Continued

22 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 23 International Calendar continued Technology in Environmental Engineering 16-18: Universidad de Santiago de NEW NB CORRECTED DATE: 31- (ITEE2003) w www.icsc-naiso.org/ Compostela, Spain. International August 1: Corvallis, OR. Justus Seely conferences/ itee2003 Conference on Environmental Statistics Memorial Conference on Linear Models. and Health. Scientific Committee Chair: w www.oregonstate.edu/dept.statistics/ 29 - July 2: Barcelona, Spain. International Montserrat Fuentes (N Carolina State U); seelyconf Conference on Corres-pondence Analysis Local Arrangements Committee Chair: and Related Methods (CARME). Wenceslao Gonzalez Manteiga (ISI-Spain). August 2003 Michael Greenacre e [email protected]. w Program, registration, committees, sponsors www.econ.upf.es/carme/ and student travel grants: w http://isi- NEW 2-3: San Francisco, CA. Workshop: eh.usc.es Pathways to the Future. For young July 2003 women researchers within about 5 years of 20-24: London, UK. Joint International completing PhD. NSF Funding available. 2-4: Palmerston, New Zealand. NZ Society For Clinical Biostatistics/Society Lynne Billard [email protected] Statistical Association Annual Conference. For Clinical Trials Meeting. Program w www-ist.massey.ac.nz/stats/nzsa2003 Co-Chairs: , University 3-7: San Francisco, CA. Joint of London, Mary Foulkes, FDA w http: Statistical Meetings (ASA/IMS/ENAR/ 7-11: Diepenbeek, Belgium. th //www.iscb-homepage.org, or http:// WNAR) including IMS Annual Meeting. International Workshop on Statistical www.sctweb.org Sponsored/Numbered . IMS Program Modelling. w www.luc.ac.be/censtat/IWSM Chair: Jane-Ling Wang, U of California, 2003 e [email protected] 24-26: U of Puerto Rico, Rio Pedras Davis e [email protected] Campus. First Joint ISBA-IMS Meeting Contributed Papers Chair: Lutz Duembgen 10-12: Hong Kong. Bernoulli Society (Sponsored/Numbered 282). Joint Program e [email protected] East Asian and Pacific Regional (EAPR) Chair: M J Bayarri, U de Valencia e Conference . Keynote speakers are [email protected] Local Arrangements 3-9: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. th Conference David Aldous, Friedrich Gotze, Zhi-ming Chair Luis Pericchi, U of Puerto Rico on Stochastic Processes and their Ma, Wing Hung Wong and C. F. Jeff Wu. e [email protected] Applications. Submit abstracts by May w www.bm.ust.hk/~eapr2003 w www.cnnet.clu.edu/math/ims-isba- , . Travel support available for U.S. pr2003 participants to attend: apply by April , 14-17: Leuven, Belgium. RSS: eme . See conference website: w http:// Conference of the Royal Statistical Society: 28 - August 31: Inst for Mathematical www.impa.br/Conferencias/Spa/ Statistical Genetics and Bioinformatics. w Sciences, National U of Singapore. Program www.luc.ac.be/censtat/RSS2003 e martine.m on Stein’s Method and Applications: 5-8: Dortmund, Germany. th [email protected] A program in honor of Charles Stein. International Workshop on Matrices w www.ims.nus.edu.sg/Programs/stein/ and Statistics (IWMS-) w http: 14-17: U of Lugano, Switzerland. index.htm //www.statistik.uni-dortmund.de/IWMS/ rd International Symposium on main.html. IWMS- at U of Dortmund Imprecise Probabilities and eir 29-August 1: U of California, immediately before th Biennial Session Applications (ISIPTA ‘) w http:// Davis. IMS New Researchers Conference of the ISI in Berlin. Contributed papers: www.sipta.org/~isipta03/ e Marco Zaffalon (Sponsored/Numbered meeting 283). abstracts by May , . [email protected] Program Chair: Richard Levine, San Diego State U e [email protected] 10-20: Berlin, Germany: International 14-18: University of Antwerp, Belgium. IMS Local Chair: Juanjuan Fan, U of Statistical Institute, 54th Biennial Session. International Conference on Robust California, Davis e jjfan@ucdavis. edu Includes meetings of the Bernoulli Society, Statistics 2003 (ICORS2003) w http://rohan.sdsu.edu/~ralevine/NRC e International Association for Statistical e [email protected] w win-www.uia. ac.be/ (Note new web address) Computing, e International Association u/icors03.htm of Survey Statisticians, e International 22 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2 March/April . 2003 IMS Bulletin . 23

Association for Offi cial Statistics and  e 19-24: Montreal, Canada. Stochastic August 2004 International Association for Statistical Networks Conference w http:// Education. w www.isi-2003.de Including www.stanford.edu/group/stochnetconf/ 8-12: Toronto, Canada. Joint IMS Invited Paper Session, ‘ e Analysis of Statistical Meetings (ASA/IMS/ENAR/ Gene Expression Data’: contact Mike West NEW 26-30: Barcelona, Spain. IMS WNAR). Sponsored/Numbered. IMS e [email protected] Annual Meeting & 6th Bernoulli World Program Chair: Michael Evans, U of Congress. Joint Program Chair: Wilfrid Toronto e [email protected] September 2003 Kendall ([email protected]) Local Chair: David Nualart ([email protected]) NEW 4-7: Villard de Lans, Grenoble, France. International Workshop on Wavelets and Statistics: Watering the Seed NEW WEBSITE: http://www-lmc.imag.fr/ grenoblet2003 Information for Advertisers in January 2004 IMS Bulletin & IMS webpages

NEW 2-3: Calcutta, India. Current IMS Bulletin IMS website Trends in Sample Surveys and Offi cial Frequency Bimonthly Updated daily Statistics. Organizers: Tathagata Banerjee & Established 1972 1996 Partha Lahiri Affi liation Offi cial news organ and website of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics Circulation 3,825 (Nov 2002) 8,821 (page visits - April 2002) Subscription to the IMS Bulletin Volume 32 (6 issues in 2003) costs $55. To subscribe, call (301) 530 7029. May 2004 For the IMS website, public access is free: www.imstat.org

NEW 30-June 2: Montréal, Québec. 32nd Rates Size Annual Meeting of the Statistical Society Single Paragraph $70 100 words of Canada. Local Arrangements Chair: 1/3 Page $175 4.93” (125.2mm) wide x 4” (102mm) high, Christian Léger ([email protected] or 200 words a), Program Committee Chair: Christian 1/2 Page $225 7.5” (190mm) wide x 4” (102mm) high, Genest ([email protected]) or 300 words 2/3 Page $275 4.93” (125.2mm) wide x 8” (203mm) high, or 400 words June 2004 Full Page $325 7.5” (190mm) wide x 8” (203mm) high, or 600 words 16-18: Santander, Spain. Distribution Ad dimensions are width x height. Dimensions provided for camera ready ads, word count for lineage ads. Ad rates include copy in IMS Bulletin and on IMS web page. If an advertiser wishes to place an ad in one  eory, Order Statistics and Inference - A medium only, the pricing is the same. Ads will be posted on the web site within 7-10 days of receipt. Conference in Honor of Barry C. Arnold. Organizers: Prof. N. Balakrishnan bala@mc ADVERTISERS’ DEADLINES AND MAIL DATES FOR IMS BULLETIN mail.cis.mcmaster.ca, Prof. Enrique Castillo Issue Scheduled Mail Date Deadline for Advertisement Jan/Feb February 1 December 23 [email protected], Prof. Jose-Maria Sarabia Mar/Apr April 1 February 23 [email protected] May/Jun June 1 April 23 Jul/Aug August 1 June 23 July 2004 Sep/Oct October 1 August 23 Nov/Dec December 1 October 23 We require electronic fi les sent via email (text, PostScript, PDF [grayscalewith all fonts embedded] or MS 4-11: Copenhagen, Denmark. 10th Word) to [email protected], or camera Ready copy sent via mail to Elyse Gustafson, IMS Executive Director, International Congress on Mathematical address on page 2. This information can also be found at www.imstat.org/advertising.htm Education. w www.icme-10.dk 24 . IMS Bulletin Volume 32 . Issue 2

In the next The purpose of the Institute is to foster the development issue (May/ and dissemination of the theory and applications of June 2003) statistics and probability Organized September 12, 1935 Issues of statistical interest from the American Association for the Advancement of Science, as well as news e small print: from members around Journals: e scientific journals of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics are Statistical Science, e Annals of Statistics, e Annals of Probability and e Annals of Applied the world, meeting Probability. e IMS Bulletin is the news organ of the Institute. announcements and job Individual and Organizational Memberships: Each individual member receives the IMS opportunities. Send in Bulletin and must elect to receive at least one of the four scientific journals. Members pay annual dues of . An additional amount is added to the dues of members depending your articles, feedback, on the scientific journal selected as follows: Statistical Science (), e Annals of Statistics (), e Annals of Probability (), and e Annals of Applied Probability (). Of the letters… total dues paid,  is allocated to the Bulletin and the remaining amount is allocated among the scientific journals received. Reduced membership dues are available to full-time students, permanent residents of countries designated by the IMS Council, and retired members. Retired members may elect to receive the Bulletin only for . Organizational memberships are available to institutions at  per year and to corporations at  per year. Organizational memberships include two multiple-readership copies of all IMS Deadline for journals in addition to other benefits specified for each category (details available from the IMS Business Office). submissions: Individual and General Subscriptions: Subscriptions are available on a calendar-year basis. Individual subscriptions are for the personal use of the subscriber and must be in the name of, paid directly by, and mailed to an individual. Individual subscriptions for May 1  are available to e Annals of Applied Probability (), e Annals of Probability (), e Annals of Statistics (), IMS Bulletin (), and Statistical Science (). (Submissions in MS Word General subscriptions are for libraries, institutions, and any multiple-readership use. General subscriptions for  are available to e Annals of Applied Probability (), e Annals of or plain text, please: Probability (), e Annals of Statistics (), IMS Bulletin (), and Statistical Science (). Airmail rates for delivery outside North America are  per title (excluding IMS see panel on page 2 for Bulletin). Bulletin contact details) e IMS Bulletin publishes the complete programs of all IMS meetings, abstracts of all invited and contributed papers, an international calendar of statistical events, as well as articles and news of interest to IMS members and to statisticians and probabilists in general. Views and opinions in editorials and articles are not to be understood as official expressions of the Institute’s policy unless so stated; publication does not necessarily imply endorsement in any way of the opinions expressed therein, and the IMS Bulletin and its publisher do not accept any responsibility for them. e IMS Bulletin is copyrighted and authors of individual articles may be asked to sign a copyright transfer to the IMS before publication. e IMS Bulletin (ISSN -) is published bimonthly by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, PO Box , Beachwood, OH -, USA. Periodicals postage paid at Cleveland, Ohio, and at additional mailing offices. Postmaster: Send address changes to IMS,  Rockville Pike, Suite L, Bethesda, MD -.

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