"Garabagh Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow"
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ORGANIZATION OF LIBERATION OF GARABAGH "GARABAGH YESTERDAY, TODAY AND TOMORROW" PROCEEDINGS OF SCIENTIFIC-PRACTICAL CONFERENCES 1 Editorial board: Ali Abasov, doctorate in philosophy; Gasym Hajiyev, doctorate in historical sciences; Kerim Shukurov, doctorate in historical sciences; Firdovsiyye Ahmedova, candidate of historical scineces; Panah Huseyn, Mehman Aliyev, Novruz Novruzbeyli, Shamil Mehdi Translators: Heyran Muradova Gulnar Mammedli OLG (Organization of Liberation of Garabagh). Proceedings of the conferences held under the topic "Garabagh yesterday, today and tomorrow". First volume. Baku, 2009, 208 pages. The book contains proceedings of the conferences held in 2002, 2003 and 2004 under the topic "Garabagh yesterday, today and tomorrow" and devoted to problems of Azerbaijan-Armenia war. 2 The book is translated and published by financial support of Committee for State Support to non-governmental organizations attached to President of Azerbaijan Republic. From Editorial Board: This book embraces papers presented at the conferences held in 2002, 2003 and 2004 under the topic "Garabagh yesterday, today and tomorrow". Presented papers are devoted to various aspects of Azerbaijan -Armenia war caused by territorial claims and aggression of Armenia against Azerbaijan. These conferences initiated by Organization of Liberation of Garabagh are targeting to inform international community about causes, roots and perspectives of resolution of Azerbaijan-Armenia war and to derive a common, fair position, which corresponds to reality, in this vital problem. 3 Ahmed Gashamoglu SYSTEMATIZED APPROACH TO REGULATION OF GARABAGH CONFLICT Systematized way of thinking is the one of the most important requirements of modern world. In process of speedy globalization the Earth itself transforms into the globally managed system. In such situation any process occurred around the world may be successfully studied and problems may be more quickly resolved by principles of systematized approach. Modern science confirms that any process, problem or event may be analyzed as a certain system. Any thing existed in the world is the display of interrelations of certain factors. Naturally, Garabagh problem (shortly -GP) is not the exception. In the context of proposed theme the system means mechanism of activity of mutual relations for implementation of a certain function of several factors. The theory of system existed today, systematized analysis, methods of systematized approach make possible in-depth analysis of such mechanism and display paths for more successful resolution of problems characterized the system. Garabagh problem is also the system. This is a system which reflects a certain conflict. To resolve this conflict - delete that system it is required to clearly image and analyze several parameters characteristic for this system: First of all causes of this system must be clearly displayed; It is necessary to define the function of the system of GP and its structure; Precisely define subsystems creating the environment for this system and playing the role of auxiliary systems; Factors, which considered as energy sources for operation of system of GP have also to be defined; Nature of this energy and degree of GP system integrity, strength and power must be made clear; Interrelation principle of structures of the system and their composition, i.e. all factors important for this system must be defined; Principles of structuring also have to be determined; Ways for resolution of this problem, i.e. ways to stop GP system functioning must be found, etc. In general, it is required to acquire all information necessary for systematic analysis. At the same time, the information must be acquired about version of GP system for Azerbaijan, Version for Armenia GPAr, version for international organizations GP-In and versions existed for some other foreign forces. Those interested in resolution of Garabagh problem may gain appropriate result by comparison of these systems. 4 Resolution of the problem must start from concretization of set goal. In case of uncertain goal there could be no clear tasks, no definite target and directions of management. Regretfully, those who are involved with resolution of Garabagh problem can not explain up to now what they mean when they promise speedy resolution of the problem. Everyone states that the problem should be resolved. But how? Then talking about resolution, Azerbaijan nation keeps in mind one thing, politicians the other thing, international organizations another, Armenians yet another thing and the third parties interested in the conflict mean quite different thing. Each foreign country stating its interest in resolution of Garabagh problem, first of all means interests of its own country. Our politicians when talking about resolution of Garabagh problem first of all underline the principle of "territorial integrity". Let us consider whether Garabagh problem will end only by gaining "territorial integrity"? Today, even if we will succeed in preserving territorial integrity of our country, we will face a number of problems related to Garabagh problem. If today we will gain integrity of our territories, have we any clear idea what we should do tomorrow? What are we doing to prepare a basis for future works? Who can develop an efficient program without scientific analysis? In medicine there is such an approach when the disease is forced to move from one part of the body into the other instead of curing the disease. To solve Garabagh problem we have to create such basis, which will make it possible to prevent any further deterioration of situation. To define which! measures are necessary for this the only correct way is systematic approach techniques. First of all, let us consider issues related to emerging of Garabagh problem. Events of the last sixteen years allow thoroughly analyze causes of Garabagh problem. Anyone who is interested in politics knows that these causes do not consist only of those stated by Armenian leaders of Daglyg Garabagh, Armenian politicians and representatives of international organizations. Obviously, among the causes there are such factors as: "Some nations around the globe, especially some European countries tend to fear of Turcism", "Attitude of the West and some other countries to Islamic world", "Interest of some international organizations in this conflict", "International community opinion", "Interest of any neighbor country in this conflict", "Interest of Armenia", "Interest of Armenians of Daglyg Garabagh", "Steps forward from Azerbaijan", etc. These factors may be more accurately defined by experts. All these factors being related to each other and formed as a certain system have led to GP and currently play the role of its energy source. Now, let us consider which measures are undertaken to weaken or remove all mentioned and unmentioned secret or known factors - to liquidate the system of GP? While analyzing any of these factors it isj necessary to use only systematic analysis. In other case, all parties of the conflict one-sidedly explain these factors: for example, Armenians attempt to display "Turcism" as something more frightful than fascism and we, on the contrary, tend to show this 5 as example of fair and high culture. Systematic analysis enables us to define in which form we can apply our potential under present circumstances. In such case we can evaluate to which extent the slogans as "The twentieth century is the age of Turks", "Turks have no other friend than Turks" are correct. At first, systematic analysis principle necessitate separate analysis of these factors as separate systems. If we will conduct analysis in this direction, when it will become clear which tasks must be done at first. In fact, we without detailed analysis attempt to solve the problem by medieval approach of "heroism". To resolve Garabagh problem our actions consists of the following: 1) do not allow Armenia to participate in South Caucasian economic projects with participation of Azerbaijan; 2) no mutual relations between Turkey and Armenia; 3) announcing Armenians as murderers and occupants, and not sitting together at negotiations table; 4) turn into sensation the arrival of Armenians into Azerbaijan, etc. Systematic analysis shows that these factors may assist to acquire incomplete success, but ultimately, will not make it possible to resolve the problem. For example, one of the discussed issues today is the dialog between us and Armenians. It is obvious that politicians and most of population do not support the dialog. However, it is not possible to definitely say whether this will assist to regulation of the problem. This also should be the subject of systematic analysis. For example, I would like to express as a hypothesis that if we choose 20-30 influential representatives of high intelligence, patriotism, with thorough knowledge of events and allow them to lead the dialog we may fulfill more serious steps towards the resolution of GP. But we just sit and wait for some international organizations to prepare a package of acceptable measures for us. If today, we are in the process of integration into the world organizations, such problems may be resolved only by assistance °f leading powers of the world and our actions for resolution of these problems must conform to requirements of the system created by foreign countries. "Heroism" and pressure are incomplete means which are far from principle of systematic approach. As it was mentioned above, systematic approach method | distinctly requires to clearly define what is the aim when we talk about resolution of Garabagh problem. With higher number of forces which are involved in resolution of the conflict and a broader gap between aims of these forces the resolution of the problem will be mort complicated. As Azerbaijan we have to define our long, middle-term and immediate goals for resolution of the problem. Obviously, while regulation of Garabagh problem the long-term goal consists in restoration of justice, defense of integrity of our territories and providing of harmonious integration of Garabagh, which is one of the most beautiful regions of Azerbaijan and cradle of musicians, into the Republic.