Historic Buildings Theaters Charleston Marriott…… Aiken-Rhett House...... H:2 Dock Street Theatre……….H:6 Calhoun Mansion...... F/G:9 Footlight Players………….…H:6 Hotel Shuttle…………… Edmondston-Alston...... G/H:9 Gaillard Auditorium………..G:2 drops off every half hour Heyward-Washington...... H:7 Sottile Theatre…………….G:3/4 at Waterfront Park Joseph Manigault...... H:7 Nathaniel Russell House...G:7 Miscellaneous Restaurants…………….. Old Exchange...... I:7 Charleston Place…………….H:5 Area with dining options Old Powder Magazine….H:5/6 …………………..…D:1 - King Street ...... I:7 City Marina……………….…...C:3 - N/S Market Street St. Michael’s Church…...G:6/7 …….G:3 - East Bay (Waterfront Park) St. Philip’s Church…………..H:6 Gallery Row……………..….H:1:7 Maritime Center…………….K:4 Museums MUSC………………….………….D:2 Avery Research Center…...D:3 SC Aquarium…………………..K:3 Charleston Museum……....H:2 ……………………F:10 Children’s Museum…………G:2 The City Market…………..H/I:5 Confederate Museum…G/H:5 Visitors Center………….……G:2 Gibbes Museum….…..G/H:5/6 Waterfront Park……………...J:7

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Charleston Marriott | 170 Lockwood Blvd | Emerald Ballroom Tuesday, June 11

7:30 AM Registration & Room Open

8:30 – 9:15 Workshop Welcome Welcome to Charleston John Tecklenburg, Mayor of Charleston Opening Remarks Mark Risse, Georgia Sea Grant, University of Georgia Fiona Horsfall, Climate Services Branch, NOAA National Weather Service Kirstin Dow, Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments

Welcome Address: Building a Weather-Ready Nation John Murphy, NOAA National Weather Service 9:15 – 10:00 Keynote Address

Enhancing the Health of Coastal Ecosystems and Building Community Resilience Mona Behl, Georgia Sea Grant, University of Georgia

10:00 – 10:30 Break

Session 1: Supporting Natural Resources Management 10:30 – 11:45 Moderator: Renee Tatusko, NOAA NWS Alaska Region Headquarters

A Coastal Resilience Assessment for the United States

Greg Dobson, UNC Asheville’s NEMAC Linking Land Use, Climate, and Coastal Ecosystems: a watershed perspective for a changing coast Lloyd Hill, College of Charleston NOAA and Water: Connecting End User Needs with Decision Support Tools

Brenna Sweetman, NOAA Office for Coastal Management

Building Resilience to Extreme Events and Water Hazard Planning in Rural Communities Sarah Trainor, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy (presented by Richard Thoman, ACCAP)

Identifying Resilient Coastal Sites for Conservation

Mark Anderson & Elizabeth Fly, The Nature Conservancy, South Carolina

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11:45 AM – Lunch (on your own) 1:30 PM Session 2: Informing Sector-Based Decisions 1:30 – 2:45 Moderator: Hunter Jones, NOAA Climate Program Office

Delivering Broader Impacts through Climate Change Communication

Paula Jasinski, Chesapeake Environmental Communications

Overview of the New Drought.gov Website

Steve Ansari, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information

Week-2 Probabilistic Forecasts of Wind Hazards and Extremes

Melissa Ou, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Improvement of Two-week Temperature Forecast of JMA

Shoichiro Miyawaki, Japan Meteorological Agency

NASA Disasters Program: A Partner for Coastal Disaster Response, Resiliency, and Risk Reduction

Jordan Bell, NASA Earth Science Disasters Program

2:45 – 3:00 Discussion

3:00 – 3:30 Break

3:30 – 4:45 Session 3: Informing Sector-Based Decisions Moderator: Adrienne Antoine, NOAA Climate Program Office

The Value of Climate Data from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information

Tamara Houston, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information

Understanding Sector-Based Decisions for Heat-Health Risk Reduction

Hunter Jones, NOAA Climate Program Office

Delivering Climate Services to Rural Alaska: Challenges and Opportunities

Richard Thoman, Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy

Applications of Satellite Altimetry Mission Assets for Understanding and Assessing Coastal Risk

Margaret Srinivasan, Jet Propulsion Laboratory - Caltech

Development and Applications of Climate Projections in India

Jenny Dissen, NOAA Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites

4:45 – 5:00 Discussion

5:30 – 7:30 PM Reception & Poster Viewing: Yellow Topaz Meeting Room

Poster list on page 11

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Tuesday Morning Welcome Speaker: John Murphy, NOAA National Weather Service

John D. Murphy is the Chief Operating Officer (COO) of NOAA’s National Weather Service. He has overall responsibility for day-to-day mission execution units responsible for delivering NWS weather, water, climate, and space weather products, services, and information as well as the budgetary planning for 11 National Service Programs. He joined NWS in 2011 after serving more than 29 years with the United States Air Force as a career meteorologist and finally as Commander of the Air Force Weather Agency and Deputy Foreign Policy Advisor to United States Strategic Command.

Tuesday Keynote Address Speaker: Dr. Mona Behl, Georgia Sea Grant / University of Georgia

Mona Behl serves as the associate director of NOAA's Sea Grant Program at the University of Georgia (UGA), where she also holds public service and academic appointments. An innovative leader with a broad programmatic

vision, Behl is responsible for providing administrative and financial

leadership to Georgia Sea Grant (GASG).

Behl is an award-winning teacher who is committed to transforming education by developing innovative programs for a diverse range of audiences. She serves as chair of Sea Grant’s Research Coordinators Network, member of American Meteorological Society’s (AMS) Committee on Coastal Environment, member of AMS Board on Continuing Professional Development, and member of the Predictability, Predictions, and Applications Interface panel of the U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) Program. Behl also contributed to the development of the AMS Early Career Leadership Academy (ECLA), a leadership experience for professionals working in weather, water and climate science fields.

Prior to her current position, she directed Texas Sea Grant’s research program from 2013-2015, and worked as a Visiting Fellow with the AMS Policy Program from 2012-2013. She received her Ph.D. in Physical Oceanography from Florida State University, and B.S. and M.S. in Physics (Honors) from Panjab University (India). Behl believes in the scientific underpinning of decision-making, and is committed to instill love for problem-solving through scientific research, education, communication and service.

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Charleston Marriott | 170 Lockwood Blvd | Emerald Ballroom Wednesday, June 12

7:30 AM Registration & Room Open

8:30 – 9:00 Kick-off Keynote

Taking Care of Our Own: Public Health Preparedness for Adaptation Professionals Susanne Moser, Director, Susanne Moser Research & Consulting

***Sponsored by South Carolina Sea Grant Consortium*** 9:00 – 9:30 Session 4: Addressing Emotional Well-Being and Empathy Drain In Climate and Weather Work Panel Facilitator: Susanne Moser

Becky DePodwin, AccuWeather Daniel Gilford, Rutgers Rebecca Moulton, FEMA Region 5 Sarah Watson, S.C. Sea Grant Consortium and Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments

9:30 – 10:00 Panel Discussion

10:00 – 10:30 Break

10:30 – 11:45 Session 5: Guiding Public Health Preparedness Moderator: Amanda Farris, CISA Susceptibility of Public Health Impacts from Flooded Water, Wastewater and Public Health Infrastructure

Susan Lovelace, South Carolina Sea Grant Consortium Development of a Web-Based Tool to Forecast Wet Bulb Globe Temperature for Populations Who Engage in Exertional Outdoor Activities Charles Konrad, Southeast Regional Climate Center (SERCC) / CISA Subseasonal Forecasting of Heatwaves at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Evan Oswald, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

A Framework for Forecasting Indoor Temperatures for Populations at Risk from Heat Waves

Brian Vant-hull, NOAA-CREST / City College of New York Health Impact Oriented Excessive Heat Forecasting at Sub-seasonal Lead Times: Evaluation of Performance of the Real-time Global Sub-seasonal Excessive Heat Outlook System

Augustin Vintzileos, University of Maryland / ESSIC

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11:45 AM – Lunch (boxed lunch) 1:00 PM

1:00 – 1:30 Invited Talk

Warning Fatigue? No, U.S. coasts ARE flooding more often

William Sweet, NOAA National Ocean Service

Session 6 Panel: Approaches to Engaging Decision Makers in Design and Evaluation 1:30 – 2:15 Moderator: Kirstin Dow, CISA

Susan Lovelace, South Carolina Sea Grant Consortium

Brenna Sweetman, NOAA Office for Coastal Management

Hunter Jones, NOAA Climate Program Office

Matt Rosencrans, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Blair Holloway, NOAA National Weather Service Charleston

Paulina Ćwik, The University of Oklahoma

2:15 – 2:45 Panel Discussion

2:45 – 3:00 Break

3:00 – 5:00 Field Trip

Walking tour - City of Charleston Adaptation and Mitigation Efforts: The City of Charleston is often plagued with flooding concerns, whether it be from nuisance "sunny day" flooding or from higher impact weather events. The City of Charleston's Chief Resilience Officer, Mark Wilbert, will provide a walking tour of parts of the peninsula that are frequent trouble spots and will discuss mitigation measures that have been put in place to combat these issues.

6:00 – 8:00 PM Banquet Dinner: Opal Meeting Room

The Resilience Imperative: Proactively Engaging Vulnerable Populations Impacted by Global Climate Change, Sea Level Rise, and Aquatic Debris

Albert George, Director of Conservation, South Carolina Aquarium

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Wednesday Kick-off Keynote Speaker: Susanne Moser, Director, Susanne Moser Research & Consulting

Dr. Susanne Moser is Director and Principal Researcher of Susanne Moser Research & Consulting, in Hadley, MA, a Research Faculty in the Environmental Studies Department of Antioch University New England and an Affiliated Faculty in the Department of Landscape Architecture and Regional Planning at UMass-Amherst. A recognized expert in (coastal) adaptation, transformation, climate change communication, and science-policy interactions, she works with governmental and non-governmental organizations, researchers and others in the US, Canada, Europe, Australia and beyond. A geographer by training (Ph.D. 1997, Clark University) with broad interdisciplinary expertise, Dr. Moser previously held positions at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, the Union of Concerned Scientists and the Heinz Center. She has served on scientific and advisory boards for Future Earth, the International Social Science Council (now, International Science Council), the International Human Dimensions Program, National Research Council, and other agencies and organizations. She contributed to the Fourth and Fifth Assessment Reports of the IPCC, served as a Review Editor for the IPCC Special Report on Extreme Events, Disaster Risk Management and Adaptation, and helped scope the IPCC’s Special Report on 1.5 Degrees of Global Warming. She also was a member of the federal advisory committee for the Third US National Climate Assessment, where she co-led the coastal chapter with Margaret Davidson. She is a fellow of the Aldo Leopold Leadership, Kavli Frontiers of Science, Donella Meadows Leadership, Google Science Communication, and Walton Sustainability Solutions Programs.

Wednesday Invited Speaker: William Sweet, NOAA National Ocean Service

Dr. William Sweet is leading NOAA efforts to track and project changes in sea level rise (SLR) related flooding. He recently helped the U.S. military assess flood risk for their coastal installations worldwide and was a lead author for the 4th U.S. National Climate Assessment. He received his bachelor's degree in Physics from UNC Chapel Hill and his Masters and Ph.D. in Oceanography from NC State University. He lives in Annapolis, MD and witnesses SLR effects first-hand.

Wednesday Banquet Speaker: Albert George, Director of Conservation, South Carolina Aquarium

Albert George has the honor of serving as the first Director of Conservation for the

South Carolina Aquarium and is also the Co-Founder of the Amazon Reforestation Project. Prior to the Amazon Reforestation Project, he worked as the Director of Education for the Georgia Aquarium Inc. He has also held appointments as a Management Consultant for Booz Allen Hamilton and as a Research Associate for the Center for Marine Environmental Science and Biotechnology. Mr. George completed his B.S. in Marine Biology and Chemistry from Savannah State University and the P.R.E.P. program at Yale University concentrating in physiology cellular molecular genetics, and then completed a program of study from the Harvard University John F. Kennedy School of Government/MIT in addition to completing a Master’s of Science from the Georgia Institute of Technology. He is also the founder of the Georgia Green Economy Summit and the Resilience Initiative for Coastal Education (RICE) which has worked to promote green economy growth and resilience strategic planning in the state of Georgia and the Lowcountry of South Carolina.

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Charleston Marriott | 170 Lockwood Blvd | Emerald Ballroom Thursday, June 13

7:30 AM Room Open

8:30 – 9:15 Kick-off Keynote

Using Climate Data to make a more Climate Resilient City – Wins, Challenges and Needs – A

Case Study from Charleston South Carolina

Mark Wilbert, Chief Resilience Officer, City of Charleston

Session 7: Disaster Risk Management (Flooding Hazards) 9:15 – 10:30 Moderator: Brenna Sweetman, NOAA Office for Coastal Management

To Adapt or not to Adapt: Decision-making by residents of urban coastal areas

Malgosia Madajewicz, Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University

Forecasting Seasonal Sea Levels for the U.S. East Coast: opportunities and challenges

Matthew Widlansky, Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, University of Hawaii

A Climatology of Coastal Flooding in New York City, and how NWS New York, NY is evolving its Coastal Hazard and Impact Forecasting Products and Services to Address Current and Future Risks John Murray, NOAA National Weather Service - New York

Examining Coastal Flood Thresholds for the Southeast South Carolina and Southeast Georgia Coast

Blair Holloway, NOAA National Weather Service Charleston

Developing High-Resolution Data and Neighborhood-Scale Flood Modeling in Charleston County, SC

Landon Knapp, South Carolina Sea Grant & Norman Levine, College of Charleston

10:30 – 11:00 Break

11:00 – 11:30 Invited Talk

Record-Breaking Rainfall and Flooding Associated with Hurricane Florence: Is This the New Normal?

Charles Konrad, Southeast Regional Climate Center (SERCC) / CISA

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11:30 AM - Session 8: Disaster Risk Management (Tropical Hazards)

12:30 PM Moderator: Emily McGraw, NOAA National Weather Service - Charleston

Hurricane Preparedness and Recovery in Agriculture and Forestry: perspectives from extension, NRCS, and state forestry agencies Sarah Wiener, USDA Southeast Climate Hub Increasing Risk Perception and Understanding of Hurricane Storm Tides in Charleston SC Using an Interactive, Web-Based Visualization Approach Frank Alsheimer, NOAA NWS Columbia / B. Lee Lindner, College of Charleston Climatology and Variability of Tropical Cyclones Affecting Charleston, South Carolina

B. Lee Lindner, College of Charleston

Tropical Convection Interaction With Alaska Weather

William Ludwig, NOAA National Weather Service Anchorage

12:30 – 2:00 Lunch (on your own)

Session 9: Disaster Risk Management (Hazards & Extremes)

2:00 – 3:15 Moderator: Mary Culver, NOAA Office for Coastal Management

The CPC Global Tropics Hazards Outlook: Product Overview, Goals and Plans

Jon Gottschalck, NOAA Climate Prediction Center The Use of Three to Nine-Month NOAA Forecasts for Predicting Southern Pine Beetle Outbreaks Across the Southeastern United States Steven McNulty, USDA Southeast Climate Hub Users Perspectives on S2S Forecast Products for Extreme Precipitation Events

Elinor Martin, University of Oklahoma (presented by Paulina Ćwik, University of Oklahoma) Understanding and Communicating Precipitation Average Return Intervals within South Carolina

Melissa Griffin, South Carolina State Climatology Office

Modeling and Mapping the Advance of Monthly Tidal Flooding, a Threshold of Inhabitability

Philip Orton, Stevens Institute of Technology

3:15 – 3:45 Break

3:45 – 4:30 Session 10: Disaster Risk Management (Coastal Hazards) Moderator: Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA NWS Climate Services Branch Building Resilience through Risk Management of Climate-Related Coastal Hazards

James Fox, NEMAC + FernLeaf

Developing Coastal Capabilities in the NOAA Local Climate Analysis Tool

Michael Churma, NOAA National Weather Service

A Climatology-based Forecast Tool for Coastal Flooding in the Lowcountry

Joey Coz, College of Charleston

4:30 – 5:00 Meeting Wrap-up

5:00 PM Adjourn

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Thursday Kick-off Keynote Speaker: Mark Wilbert, City of Charleston

Mark Wilbert is the Chief Resilience Officer for the City of Charleston, SC. As Chief Resilience Officer, his efforts have focused on leading city staff members in developing and implementing a plan for addressing the consequences of flooding and sea level rise in a thriving city of approximately one hundred and fifty thousand residents and almost seven million visitors annually. Prior to assuming his current role in 2018, Mark served as the Emergency Management Director for the City of Charleston for 5 years. Mark served on active duty in the United States Coast Guard for 35 years, retiring as a Captain in 2013. During his career he was involved in planning and responding to numerous weather related disasters, 9-11 related events and several large incidents, including the G-8 Summit in 2004 and the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill in 2010.

Thursday Invited Speaker: Dr. Charles Konrad, Southeast Regional Climate Center / CISA

Dr. Charles Konrad is a Professor at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and Director of NOAA’s Southeast Regional Climate Center (SERCC), which provides operational climate service programs and expertise in climate science. Dr. Konrad is a geographer, meteorologist, and a climatologist who studies extreme weather and its impacts on society. He has interests across a wide range of areas in climatology and meteorology, including heavy precipitation, tornadoes, hurricanes, cold air outbreaks, heat waves, and winter weather. Dr. Konrad is also a principal investigator with the Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments (CISA) interdisciplinary research team that connects climate science and decision-making in the realms of water, coast and health.

Poster List The Carolinas Precipitation Patterns and Probabilities Atlas 1 Melissa Griffin, South Carolina State Climatology Office Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) Precipitation Analysis Web Pages 2 Daniel Roman, NOAA/NWS Water Resources Branch Assessing the Usefulness of Citizen Science Information in Drought-Related Decision Making 3 Amanda Farris, CISA The Watershed Game: An Engagement Tool to Build Awareness about the Connections Between Land Use 4 and Water Quality Brenna Sweetman, NOAA Office for Coastal Management Mid-tropospheric Patterns and Historic Tornado Outbreaks 5 Paulina Ćwik, The University of Oklahoma Climate Change Vulnerability, Risk, and Resilience Assessments: A Charleston Harbor Watershed Case Study 6 Mariana Cains, Indiana University Climate Services Toolkit Coordination, Development, and Implementation 7 Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS Climate Services Branch Improving Design and Delivery of User Training for Online Decision Support Tools 8 Jennifer Kennedy, University of Maryland

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17th Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop

June 11-13, 2019 Charleston, South Carolina

SPONSORS

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