In Lieu of MIL (Political Science) Politics of Globalization Study Material : Unit I-V
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Economic Integration, Trade Diversion, and Welfare Change
Economic Integration, Trade Diversion, and Welfare Change Juyoung Cheong and Kar-yiu Wong University of Washington November 30, 2007 (Version 1.1. Comments Most Welcome) Abstract This paper examines how the volume of trade diverted from a non-member country to a member country during the formation of a new free trade area may be related to the welfare of a member country. The relation is ana- lyzed in the presence of two types of trade: inter-industry trade with perfect competition and intra-industry trade with oligopoly. We found that in the presence of inter-industry trade, a bigger trade volume diverted is generally associated with a smaller change in welfare while in the presence of intra- industry trade with oligopoly, the relation is not so straighforward. We did find that the result in Krishna (1998) that a bigger trade volume diverted implies a higher likelihood of an FTA may not be true. 1 Introduction The welfare impacts of a new preferential trade agreement (PTA) such as a customs union (CU) or a free trade agreement/area (FTA) on the member countries and non-member countries has long been an interesting issue for economists and policy makers. In particular, they want to know how a country may be affected if it chooses to form a new FTA with other countries. For some time, economists had held the position that anything can hap- pen as an PTA represents a movement of a second-best equilibrium to an- other second-best equilibrium, while it is argued that the first-best position of the world is free trade by all countries.1 Viner, in his pioneering work (Viner, 1950), suggested an approach to identifying welfare-improving PTAs and welfare-deteriorating PTAs. -
Sustainable Growth Based on Export-Oriented Economic Strategy : the Bulgarian Case in an International Comparison
ECONOMIC POLICY ANALYSES Sustainable Growth Based on Export-Oriented Economic Strategy The Bulgarian Case in an International Comparison Prof. András Inotai This paper aims at identifying the strengths and weaknesses of the Bulgarian economy’s transformation to a more dynamic and export-oriented growth model. By referring to two groups of countries – Central European EU member states as well as the Western Balkans, the study puts an emphasis on the impact the EU membership and the 2009 crisis year have on the Bulgarian foreign trade and export performance in particular. The first chapter gathers arguments in favour of the export-oriented growth model but also addresses potential risk factors of such long-term policy. Despite some drawbacks as increasing vulnerability and de- pendence on external factors, this development path is justified as the better way for achieving sustainable economic growth of small economies like Bulgaria. The second chapter deals with the global financial crisis and its influence on the exports and foreign trade in general. Then, the author focuses on Bulgaria’s export performance in the EU and on a regional compari- son by stressing on the role of foreign direct investments in the export orientation of the country. Finally, the paper concludes by summarizing measures and instruments for catching-up export-driven economic development and by formulating policy recommendations supporting the successful implementa- tion of such an export-led growth model. April 2013 Imprint Orders All texts are available online Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Economic www.fes.bg Office Bulgaria Policy Institute 97, Knjaz Boris I St. Yasen Georgiev The views expressed in this publication 1000 Sofia, Bulgaria are not necessarily those of the Responsible: e-mail: [email protected] Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung or of the Regine Schubert, Director Fax: (+359 2) 9522693 organization for which the author works. -
Trade Facilitation and Tariff Evasion
Chapman University Chapman University Digital Commons ESI Working Papers Economic Science Institute 6-2020 Trade Facilitation and Tariff Evasion Cosimo Beverelli World Trade Organization, [email protected] Rohit Ticku Chapman University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.chapman.edu/esi_working_papers Part of the Econometrics Commons, Economic Theory Commons, and the Other Economics Commons Recommended Citation Beverelli, C. & Ticku, R. (2020). Trade facilitation and tariff evasion. ESI Working Paper 20-24. https://digitalcommons.chapman.edu/esi_working_papers/319/ This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Economic Science Institute at Chapman University Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in ESI Working Papers by an authorized administrator of Chapman University Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Trade Facilitation and Tariff Evasion Comments ESI Working Paper 20-24 This article is available at Chapman University Digital Commons: https://digitalcommons.chapman.edu/ esi_working_papers/319 Trade Facilitation and Tariff Evasion∗ Cosimo Beverelli†‡ Rohit Ticku§ This draft: June 2020 Abstract This paper investigates the extent to which trade facilitation measures included in the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement affect tariff evasion. In a dataset covering 121 countries and the whole set of HS6 product categories in 2012, 2015, and 2017, the paper shows that trade facilitation measures that improve legal certainty for traders moderate tariff evasion. Holding tariff rate constant at its mean, one standard deviation improvement in trade fa- cilitation measures related to legal certainty reduces tariff evasion, as measured by missing imports in trade statistics, by almost 12%. In a counterfactual with full trade liberalization, countries with higher scores on facilitation measures related to legal certainty experience larger reductions in tariff evasion than countries with lower scores on these measures, even for similar initial tariff rates. -
The Trade Facilitation Agreement a Simple Guide
THE TRADE FACILITATION AGREEMENT A SIMPLE GUIDE The WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA) will improve trade efficiency worldwide, encouraging economic growth by cutting red tape at borders, increasing transparency and taking advantage of new technologies. The TFA will enter into force once two-thirds (110) WTO member economies ratify the agreement, after which the TFA will be binding on all WTO members. Border inefficiencies, complex customs rules and other trade barriers make it harder for businesses of all sizes to trade internationally, hurting small and medium-sized companies (SMEs) the most. Research by the World Economic Forum suggests TFA implementation could trigger a 60% to 80% increase in cross-border SME sales in some economies. The implementation of the TFA would have a greater impact on international trade than the elimination of all the world’s remaining tariffs. It will reduce average trade costs by up to 15% with developing countries benefiting even more. The business community is widely recognised to have an important role to play in the implementation of the TFA, ensuring that TFA reforms deliver measurable improvements in trading across borders. WHAT WILL THE TRADE FACILITATION AGREEMENT PROVIDE? PUBLICATION OF INFORMATION RELATING ENSURING INTERNAL COOPERATION TO TRADE RULES AND PROCEDURES AMONG AGENCIES Governments have agreed to publish a All government authorities and agencies wide range of customs-specific information responsible for border controls are required (including on the internet) relating to to coordinate in order to facilitate trade. trade procedures, including on duty rates Coordination includes alignment of working and taxes, forms and documents, rules for hours, alignment of procedures and goods classification and valuation, rules of formalities, sharing of facilities, and one stop origin, transit procedures, and penalties and border post controls. -
Global Political Economy Theory and Practice Seventh Edition THEODORE H. COM IM R Routledge Taylor & Francis Grou P NEW YORK
Global Political Economy Theory and Practice Seventh Edition THEODORE H. COM IM Routledge R Taylor & Francis Grou p NEW YORK AND LONDON DETAILED CONTENTS Preface xiii Acknowledgments xvii Acronyms and Abbreviations xix PART I Introduction and Overview 1 CHARTER 1 Introduction 2 What is International Political Economy? 3 The IPE Theoretical Perspectives 4 Purposes and Themes ofThis Book 6 Globalization 6 • North-North Relations 8 • North-South Relations 10 Focus of this Book 12 Questions 13 * Key Terms 14 • Further Reading 14 • Notes 14 CHARTER 2 Managing the Global Economy Since World War II: The Institutional Framework 17 Global Economic Relations Before World War II 18 The Mercantilist Period 18 • The Industrial Revolution and British Hegemony 29 • The Decline of British Hegemony and World War I 20 • The Interwar Period 20 • The Institutional Framework Before World War II 21 The Functions of the IM F, World Bank, and GATT 21 The KIEOs and the United Nations 22 The Postwar Economic Institutions and Changing North-South Relations 23 The IMF, World Bank, and WTO 26 • The OECD 28 •The G5, G7, G8, andG20 29 The Postwar Economic Institutions and International Development 31 The KIEOs and the Centrally Planned Economies 39 IMonstate Actors 42 The 2008 Global Financial Crisis: A Turning Point? 43 Questions 44 • Key Terms 45 • Further Reading 45 • Notes 46 vi DETAILED CONTENTS VÜ PART II Theoretical Perspectives 51 CHARTERS Neomercantilism 55 BasicTenets of Neomercantilism 55 The Role of the Individual, the State, and Societal Groups 55 • The Nature and Purpose of International Economic Relations 56 • The Relationship Between Politics and Economics 56 • The Causes and Effects of Globalization 57 The Mercantilists 57 Neomercantilism and the Industrial Revolution 58 Neomercantilism in the Interwar Period 59 Neomercantilism After World War II 60 The Revival of Neomercantilist IRE 60 Hegemonie Stability Theory and U.S. -
The Critical Role of Trade Facilitation in Supporting
CHAPTER 6 THE CRITICAL ROLE OF TRADE FACILITATION IN SUPPORTING ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION AND STRUCTURAL REFORMS Contributed by the World Bank, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Abstract: Two years after the entry into force of the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement, it is time for an initial stock-taking. The experience of the World Bank Group Trade Facilitation Support Program (TFSP) and the UNCTAD Trade Facilitation Program, both major providers of trade-related assistance, as well as OECD’s analytical work provides relevant insights. In these early years, support has been generally directed to the “foundational” measures of the Agreement, such as National Trade Facilitation Committees. These will oversee implementation; time release studies, providing a baseline to measure progress; and risk management policies and procedures, a precondition for implementation of simplified control and release processes. Progress is being made. TFSP and OECD research find that the level of alignment with the Agreement is increasing, with notable improvements in publication of measures, automation and streamlining of procedures and engagement with the trade community. Positive impacts from these aid-for-trade supported reforms have also been registered. Country reports and periodic time release studies show reduction in customs physical inspections, elimination of unnecessary documents, automation of manual processing steps, and consequent reduction of clearance times. World Bank surveys (the Logistics Performance Index (LPI) and Doing Business) likewise show a positive trend in these aid-supported countries. AID FOR TRADE AT A GLANCE 2019: ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION AND EMPOWERMENT - © OECD, WTO 2019 161 CHAPTER 6. -
The European Union's Trade Policies and Their Economics Effects
Summary Already the Treaty Forty years ago, external protection was high in most of Rome called for countries and Europe was comprised of many “trade for- internal and tresses”. The founders of the Community shared a coherent external economic policy view, with the Treaty of Rome calling for an liberalisation internal market with no obstacles to trade and strong com- petition, as well as for multilateral liberalisation. This publi- cation retraces the external liberalisation efforts, discusses the current trade regime in international comparison, and sets out the Community’s future trade agenda. A key aim of the study will be to clarify and, where feasible, to quantify the economic effects of the European Union’s (EU) trade policies. Decision-making Partly by necessity, partly by design, the EU’s trade policy on foreign trade has been “walking on two legs” since its early days: multilateral policy is largely liberalisation and regional integration. The long-standing centralised at the pursuit of deeper integration and enlargement, and the EU level involvement in regional preferential agreements makes the EU’s experience unique. Another unique feature is the insti- tutional set-up. While largely prepared by the Commission, major decisions are taken by the Council (for trade in goods and part of services). Some competencies are shared between the Union and the Member States. However, the negotiation and decision making process is not different between the areas of mixed or exclusive competence. Cen- tralisation of most decisions on foreign trade policy at the EU level is necessary to ensure the functioning of the inter- nal market. -
Mobilising Trade Policy for Climate Action Under the Paris Agreement Options for the European Union
SWP Research Paper Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik German Institute for International and Security Affairs Susanne Dröge, Harro van Asselt, Kasturi Das and Michael Mehling Mobilising Trade Policy for Climate Action under the Paris Agreement Options for the European Union RP 1 February 2018 Berlin All rights reserved. © Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, 2018 SWP Research Papers are peer reviewed by senior researchers and the execu- tive board of the Institute. They reflect the views of the author(s). SWP Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik German Institute for International and Security Affairs Ludwigkirchplatz 34 10719 Berlin Germany Phone +49 30 880 07-0 Fax +49 30 880 07-100 www.swp-berlin.org [email protected] ISSN 1863-1053 Table of Contents 5 Issues and Conclusions 7 The Climate and Trade Regimes 10 The Climate Regime – from the UN Framework Convention to the Paris Agreement 11 The World Trade Regime and Its Interactions with the Climate Regime 15 Identifying the Upcoming Issues for Trade and Climate Policy 15 NDCs: Policy Measures with Trade Implications 15 “Cooperative Approaches” – a New Setting for International Policy Tools 17 Transfer of Climate-friendly Technologies 18 Global Sectoral Policies: Aviation and Maritime Transport 19 National and Regional Carbon Pricing: Emissions Trading and Carbon Taxes 20 Energy Subsidies 21 WTO Provisions and Disputes That Matter for the Upcoming National Climate Policy Challenges 21 The GATT Rules and Climate Policy 22 Other WTO Agreements and Their Relevance for Climate-and-Trade Policy Interactions 24 Examples of EU and US WTO Disputes with Climate Policy Relevance 26 Climate-related Provisions in Regional Trade Agreements 27 Ways forward for the EU to Make the Trade Regime Supportive for Climate Action 27 The Long-term Vision: Improving Legal Guidance 29 A Medium-term Strategy: Promoting Climate Policies through RTAs 30 In the Short-run: Bringing forward Specific Issues under the Paris Agreement 34 Abbreviations Dr. -
Trade Facilitation and the EU-ACP Economic Partnership Agreements
Journal of Economic Integration 23(3), September 2008; 518-546 Trade Facilitation and the EU-ACP Economic Partnership Agreements Maria Persson Lund University Abstract This paper assesses the potential effects from trade facilitation in terms of increased trade flows both on average and specifically for the six regional groups of ACP countries negotiating Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) with the EU. Data from the World Bank’s Doing Business Database on the time required to export or import are used as indicators of cross-border transaction costs, and a gravity model on two-way bilateral trade between 22 EU countries and 100 developing countries is estimated using a sample selection approach. The results suggest that time delays on the part of the exporter and the importer generally significantly decrease trade flows, but also that this effect is not constant, in the sense that the elasticity of trade with respect to border delays declines at higher levels of time requirements. On average, lowering border delays in the exporting country by one day from the sample mean would yield an export-increasing effect of about 1 percent, while the same reduction in the importing country would increase imports by about 0.5 percent. Significant negative effects are also found of both export and import transaction costs for most EPA groups, and the effects tend to be at least as large as the average or larger. The results are generally robust for a number of alternative estimation methods such as Poisson estimation, IV estimation taking sample selection into account and the sample selection approach suggested by Helpman et al. -
Smes and the WTO TRADE FACILITATION AGREEMENT a TRAINING MANUAL
SMES AND THE WTO TRADE FACILITATION AGREEMENT A TRAINING MANUAL In collaboration with © International Trade Centre 2015 The International Trade Centre (ITC) is the joint agency of the World Trade Organization and the United Nations. Street address: ITC 54-56, rue de Montbrillant 1202 Geneva, Switzerland Postal address: ITC Palais des Nations 1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland Telephone: +41-22 730 0111 Fax: +41-22 733 4439 E-mail: [email protected] Internet: http://www.intracen.org SMEs AND THE WTO TRADE FACILITATION AGREEMENT A TRAINING MANUAL SMEs AND THE WTO TRADE FACILITATION AGREEMENT Abstract for trade information services ID=43167 2015 F-09.07 SME International Trade Centre (ITC) SMEs and the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement: A Training Manual. Geneva: ITC, 2015. xii, 132 pages (Technical paper) Doc. No. TFPB-15-343.E The training manual on the World Trade Organization Agreement on Trade Facilitation explains each of the measures of the Agreement, including the key elements of the measure, the intended benefits from a business perspective, an outline of the practical steps that businesses might take in order to take advantage of the measure and practical exercises and proposed questions for group discussion. It aims to assist the business community better understand the technical measures of this multilateral Agreement and the opportunities it offers to importers, and exporters in reducing delays and costs in moving goods and services across borders. Descriptors: Trade Facilitation, WTO, SMEs, Developing Countries, Manuals For further information on this technical paper, contact Mohammad Saeed ([email protected]) English The International Trade Centre (ITC) is the joint agency of the World Trade Organization and the United Nations. -
Trade Facilitation
TRADE FACILITATION Brian Rankin Staples October 19, 1998 Draft TRADE FACILITATION SECTION ONE: INTRODUCTION AND HISTORY 1.0 Introduction This paper provides an outline of the concept and reality of trade facilitation primarily from an emerging economy policy-making perspective. This will be achieved by presenting the basic dimensions of trade facilitation in three stages. The first section reviews various issues, definitions and conditions that have led to the necessity of trade facilitation, and a brief history of trade facilitation. The second section profiles current trade facilitation resources and initiatives. The final section examines some of the practical and policy challenges associated with implementing a trade facilitation program. 1.1 Definitions In recent years the term, trade facilitation, has become extremely popular and, therefore, applied to an ever-growing number of activities. Given the very general origins of the word, facilitation, (Latin/facilis: French/facile: make easy, promote, help forward), it is not difficult to understand how the term, trade facilitation, has come to apply to a broad range of undertakings. For the purposes of this study it is useful to define what is not meant by trade facilitation, even though the following endeavors do, in fact, make trade easier or promote trade. · Physical Infrastructure: improving roads, upgrading port facilities, airports and transportation infrastructure in general. · Non-Tariff Barriers (NTBs): NTBs and all forms of regulatory asymmetry do prevent the free flow of international trade. NTBs, however, usually imply an alleged World Trade Organization (WTO) violation of some nature. The identification of NTBs in a consistent fashion and their gradual elimination is vital to the equitable treatment of commerce, but for the purposes of this analysis, are not included in the scope of trade facilitation. -
Itc) for the Meeting of the Ministers of Foreign Affairs of Lldcs
STATEMENT OF THE INTERNATIONAL TRADE CENTRE (ITC) FOR THE MEETING OF THE MINISTERS OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS OF LLDCS PARTNERING FOR ACCELERATED IMPLEMENTATION OF THE VIENNA PROGRAMME OF ACTION FOR LLDCS AND ACHIEVING SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN LLDCS IN THE ERA OF COVID-19 TUESDAY, 23 SEPT 2020 DOROTHY TEMBO ACTING EXECUTIVE DORECTOR Your Excellency Minister Tileuberdi, Chair of the Group of LLDCs, Ministers of Foreign Affairs, Excellencies, During this period of continued uncertainty, it is important to recall the most essential ingredients of resilience: partnership, technical collaboration, and the stability of the multilateral system. The Vienna Programme of Action for LLDCs (VPoA) remains a central actionable component of helping LLDCs to meet the SDGs and building back better for the ‘new normal’. As the joint agency of the United Nations and the World Trade Organization, the International Trade Centre is fully committed to supporting the implementation of the VPoA through enhancing trade in LLDCs and their transit countries. Our approach is focused on assisting micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) to connect to global markets, and for that we work closely with private sector institutions. ITC contributes to two of the six priority areas of the VPoA: 1) International trade and trade facilitation, and 2) Regional integration and cooperation. Since 2014, ITC has implemented more than 40 projects for almost all LLDCs including our global projects such as of public goods on data and intelligence. Still, in this period of COVID-19, we have seen demand for trade related assistance increasing as LLDCs and their MSMEs seek help in coping with the pandemic.