FALSIFICATIONS 2012: PAGE DESPITE CLAIMS OF STABILITY, PAGE PAUL RADU ON INVESTIGATIVE PAGE SIGNS OF UKRAINE'S ECONOMY MAY REPORTING, ORGANIZED CRIME RIGGED ELECTION 10 DIP INTO A RECESSION 28 AND CORRUPTIONCORRUPTION 32 № 18 (41) NOVEMBER 20122012 WWW.UKRAINIANWEEK.COMWWW.UKRAINIANWEEK.COM FORFOR FREE DISTRIBUTIONDISTRIBUTION Featuring selected content from The Economist 01_FACE.indd 1 01.11.2012 18:17:06 |CONTENTS BRIEFING FOCUS After the Elect ion Day: The Dist orted Will of the Stealing Ukraine The assessment of People: Vote by Vote the elect ion by the Although the majority voted 22 signs of a international community against the Yanukovych rigged elect ion and foreign media regime, a pro-presidential majority will dominate the 4 parliament once more 6 10 BR FO The First-Past-the-Post Element The opposition won from 55% to 90% of votes in 16 oblasts out of 24 and Kyiv. However, the first-past-the-post component brought the Party of Regions and pro-government independent candidates victories in 57 out of 119 constituencies 13 The First -Past -the-Post Dame Audrey Rebecca Volyn Oblast Kyiv 1 5 1 55 Element brings the Glover on the Harms on the 5 1 5 1 Chernihiv Oblast Rivne Oblast Zhytomyr Oblast Kyiv Oblast Sumy SE Oblast Kharkiv Khmelnytsk Poltava ruling party more seats lack of a level fl aws of the 12 Oblast Oblast Oblast 5 9 Cherkasy Luhansk Oblast 14 Oblast Vinnytsia Oblast 7 1 Lviv Oblast 7 11 Ternopil 8 Ivano- Oblast Donetsk Zakarpattia Frankivsk Oblast 7 Oblast Oblast in the new parliament playing fi eld in the pre-elect ion 17 3 3 Kirovohrad Oblast 4 1 Dnipropetrovsk 21 7 Oblast 4 Chernivtsi Oblast Odesa Oblast Mykolayiv Zaporizhia Oblast EC Oblast The total number of districts in Ukraine despite a poor Ukrainian elect ion campaign 9 6 111 114 160 5 65 11 Kherson Oblast Districts where opposition parties won performance in the Districts where pro-government parties (Party of Regions, Communist Party of Ukraine) won Districts where opposition single candidates, including pro-opposition independent candidates, 10 won Districts where the ruling party’s single candidates, 12 14 14 Crimea including pro-government independent candidates, party-list vote won 2 Sevastopol The Ukrainian Week’s estimates are based on 99.33% of the protocols processed by CEC 3 SECURITY SO Hanne Severinsen Legitimizing the America’s Global Disorder: HI on her experience Regime: Why The USA is restricting its global role and CU as an observer, some international reducing its exposure to global disorder, 4 troubles during ballot observers noticed no but speculation on its permanent decline 4 counting and the lack violations during the are premature NA 4 of change 17 elect ion 18 20 ECONOMICS The Killing Fields: Despite A War Against the People: The Government Hushes Up the huge risks involved, Yasser Abboud, a leader a Crisis: Independent analyst s the time has come for the of the Free Syrian Army, warn that Ukraine's economy West and the Arabs to talks about the st ruggle may sink into recession by the intervene in Syria with the Assad regime end of 2012 24 26 28 INVESTIGATION SOCIETY Big Business in Servicing the Invest igations without Limits: Paul In Russia’s Shadow: Public: A correlation between Radu of the Organized Crime and Aust rian hist orian Andreas economic breakthroughs Corruption Reporting Project on Kappeler contemplates and the adjust ment of big invest igative journalism, off shore why Ukraine is st ill a blank business potential to serve business and international fraud space on the mental map national interest s 30 32 of West ern Europe 36 HISTORY CULTURE & ARTS The Life of the Rebels: On the 70th The Art of Resist ance: anniversary of the UPA, Hist ory through the prism The Ukrainian Week explores of mass culture how the guerilla army organized, supported and 39 entertained itself 42 NAVIGATOR Animal Planet: Mission: Discover Pollissia Anticommunist socialist The forgotten lands for George Orwell and his gift thrill seekers to Ukrainians 44 48 The Ukrainian Week № 18 (41) November 2012 Mailing address: PO Box 2, Kyiv, 03067 Founder: ECEM Media Ukraine LLC Publisher: The Ukrainian Week LLC Publisher address: vul. Mashynobudivna 37, Kyiv 03067 Ukraine First published in January 2010 E-mail: [email protected], Tel.: (044) 351-1300 State registration certificate 16412-4884P of March 13, 2010 www.ukrainianweek.com Bohdan Andriytsev, Director, ECEM Media Ukraine LLC Print: The Novy Druk, LLC, 1 Mahnitohorska Str. Serhiy Lytvynenko, Editor-in-Chief, The Ukrainian Week Ordering number: 12-6748. Print run: 15,000 Natalia Romanec, Shaun Williams, Editors; Sent to print on 1 November 2012 Anna Korbut, Translator Free distribution № 18 (41) NOVEMBER 2012|THE UKRAINIAN WEEK|3 02-03_.indd 3 01.11.2012 22:48:28 BRIEFING| AfTER THE ELECTION DAY International organizations have paid close attention to the election, taking a deep insight into the process, and getting a better picture of the election reality in Ukraine. While some gave positive feedback, most foreign observers and media noted serious violations and flaws that may delay the prospect of the EU Association Agreement ratification for Ukraine “Ukraine’s parliamentary elections were characterized by a tilted playing field… This was the result, primarily, of the abuse of administrative resources, as well as a lack of transparency in campaign and party financing and of balanced media coverage. “Considering the abuse of power, and the excessive role of money in this election, democratic progress appears to have reversed in “The EU should give some Ukraine,” said Walburga Habsburg Douglas, the Special Co-ordinator who signals to regulate democracy led the OSCE short-term election observation mission and the Head of the in Ukraine, but those signals OSCE Parliamentary Assembly delegation. “One should not have to visit a should not have a negative prison to hear from leading political figures in the country.” impact on the Ukrainian peo- “Ukrainians deserved better from these elections. The 'oligarchization' of the ple. The Council of Europe can whole process meant that citizens lost their ownership of the election, as ban the traveling of some well as their trust in it,” said Andreas Gross, the Head of the Parliamentary SBU (Special Service of Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) delegation. “Unfortunately, the Ukraine – Ed.) chiefs and great democratic potential of Ukrainian society was not realized in yester- prosecutors involved in de- day's vote.”” monstrative trials. But, first of all, European politicians, es- pecially those from Poland, should stop treating Yanu- kovych as a gentleman and “Tymoshenko and Klitschko walk the red carpet with him. should now oppose (the gov- The Poles’ historical concern ernment – Ed.) together in the that Russia may one day new parliament. For this they “swallow” Ukraine and once need a Europe that will support them, show interest and criticize again appear on their Eastern problems with the rule of law. They have three years to do this. In the border is understandable in- 2015 presidential election, they should agree on a single candidate to deed… Oligarchs in Ukraine run for the presidency. And they must win back the people who lost are very well aware that their trust in the power of transformation in politics. This is probably an al- game is over as soon as they most impossible challenge.” are left alone in Moscow’s or- bit without European sup- port. Ukraine will turn into the empire’s satellite and its “After its defeat, the president will become a opposition com- princeling. Neither Yanu- plained about voter kovych, nor his billionaires bribery and adminis- want this. They need a part- trative pressure. These claims may be partly true, but are not good ner, therefore they will not enough to explain the outcome because the opposition should have find it easy to ignore de- tried to work harder: political apathy is too high in Ukraine, and mands concerning the rule of public trust is extremely low. The impact of this crisis is still visible, law. Still, these demands especially given the fact that Tymoshenko is still an opposition should be specific and unani- leader. Unlike in the 2004 presidential election where almost 80% mous, not just indecisive of the population voted, this time voter turnout was barely 60%. hints at European values.” Those who stayed at home on election day were the voters strongly disenchanted with the Orange Revolution.” 4|THE UKRAINIAN WEEK|№ 18 (41) NOVEMBER 2012 |BRIEFING AfTER THE ELECTION DAY “There appears little hope for closer ties with the West, “…even if Yanukovych does lean westwards, there is even if the elections are deemed free and fair. Western still the big neighbour to the east. “The key will be leaders have indicated Mr. Yanukovych needs to free Ms. the relationship with Russia,” says Timothy Ash. Tymoshenko, relax the ruling party's grip on the media “Russia has supported Yanukovych and now it wants and push through legal and other overhauls if the Euro- delivery. Warm words may no longer be enough. It pean Union is to revive a political-association and free- could get ugly and aggressive.” Russia wants trade deal it shelved last year. Ukraine’s energy sector assets and, especially, ac- That could increase pressure on Mr. Yanukovych to give in cess to Ukraine’s gas pipelines. If Russia decides to to Russia's demands to join a customs union it has formed play hardball, it could get ugly indeed: Russia is a with other ex-Soviet republics in order to receive lower- big customer of Ukraine’s agricultural and industrial price gas.” goods. As Ash puts it, Russia has considerable ability to disrupt the Ukrainian economy.” “The United States Government is concerned that “Ukraine is structurally under- the conduct of Sunday’s parliamentary elections developed and politically au- constituted a step backwards from progress made thoritarian.