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Frank Proschan, Using Prior Information of the Strength of the Players Volume 33 Issue 2 IMS Bulletin March/April 2004 Good Sports Report from the IMS Mini Meeting on Sport and Statistics CONTENTS Carlos J. Morales and Andrew Swift report on a workshop which 2 Members’ News; was held at Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) in November: Contacting the IMS Sports-loving Statisticians from around the United States met at WPI for a one day mini-meeting sponsored by the IMS, on 3 IMS News: Executive Committee; Nominations; November 22, 2003. The line up included such heavy hitters as Changes of address Profs. Carl Morris and Hal Stern. David Rumpf (GE Aircraft Engines) and Chris Kelliher (Gordon 4 President’s Column: Keeping Gender on the College) kicked off the event with a talk on the NCAA basketball Agenda tournament, exploring model-based strategies to choose winners. Shane Reese (Brigham Young University) followed with a talk on 5 Executive Director’s Report & Membership a hierarchical mixture model for speed skating times, addressing news the question of whether the Salt Lake City Oval is, indeed, the fastest ice ever. On a more technical note, Mark Glickman (Boston 6 Call for Nominations University) presented a novel technique (co-authored with Shane 8 Mini-meeting report Jensen, Harvard University) for optimally pairing opponents Dylan Small 9 Obituaries: Frank Proschan, using prior information of the strength of the players. Gunnar Blom, Akio Kudo (UPenn), delighted the audience with a talk on interaction effects on paired comparison models. 10 JCGS 2003 Annual Report After lunch, Hal Stern (UC Irvine) gave a talk entitled The 11 IMS Meetings Complete Idiot’s Guide to Rating Sport Teams, in which he explored 20 Other Meetings and various rating systems exposing strengths and weaknesses. Three Announcements afternoon talks were dedicated to baseball, including talks by Carl Morris (Harvard), Jason Mauriello (Harvard), and Jerry Reiter 24 Employment Opportunities (Duke University). Carl delved into the theme of evaluating players and strategies in baseball, Jason illuminated the audience on estima- International Calendar of 33 tion of team playoff probabilities, and Jerry, closing the workshop, Statistical Events presented an answer to a question many baseball managers had 35 Information for dealt with: is it better to walk or pitch to Barry Bonds? Advertisers A theme running through the workshop was the need for closer interaction between the users of statistical knowledge in sports and professional statisticians. The success of the meeting evidenced Top to Bottom: the quantity and quality of statistical work in the area of sports, Carl Morris, Hal Stern, including tournament design, ranking systems, and strategy Mark Glickman, analysis. The solution to many questions in sports require not only Carlos Morales sophisticated statistical tools, but also a clear understanding of the substantive field. The organizers want to thank the IMS, and WPI for making the workshop possible. More information about the meeting can be found at http://users.wpi.edu/~swift/sports/index.html IMS 2 . IMS Bulletin Volume 33 . Issue 2 Bulletin Volume 33, Issue 2 March/April 2004 Member News ISSN 1544-1881 C Jeff Wu elected to NAE IMS Fellow C Jeff Wu has been elected to the USA’s National Academy of Engineering Contact (NAE). He is one of 76 new members, who bring the total membership of the academy Information to 2,174, together with 172 foreign associates. Election to the NAE is among the highest professional distinctions accorded to an engineer. Academy membership honors those who Bulletin Editor Bernard Silverman have made “important contributions to engineering theory and practice, including signifi - Assistant Editor Tati Howell cant contributions to the literature of engineering theory and practice,” and those who have demonstrated accomplishment in “the pioneering of new fi elds of engineering, making To contact the IMS Bulletin: major advancements in traditional fi elds of engineering, or developing/implementing inno- Send by email: [email protected] vative approaches to engineering education.” or mail to: Jeff Wu is the Coca Cola Chair in Engineering Statistics at Georgia Institute of IMS Bulletin Technology in Atlanta. His citation reads: For conceiving and building modern systems of 20 Shadwell Uley, Dursley experimental design based on contemporary methods for parameter estimating to provide quality GL11 5BW improvements. UK A profi le will appear in a future issue. To contact the IMS regarding your dues, membership, subscriptions, orders or NIH Merit Award change of address: Other IMS members in the news are Anastasios ‘Butch’ Tsiatis and Marie Davidian, who, with Marc Genton, have been awarded the prestigious NIH “MERIT” (Method to Extend Institute of Mathematical Statistics Dues and Subscriptions Offi ce Research in Time) Award. Th is award amounts to $1.125 million over fi ve years, renewable 9650 Rockville Pike, Suite L2310 for another fi ve years. Th e researchers, all based North Carolina State University, are rec- Bethesda, ognized for the value of their statistical methodology in designing and analyzing complex MD 20814-3998 clinical trials for HIV-related research. More details will follow in a future issue. USA t 301.634.7029 f 301.634.7099 Robert C Elston receives Zelen Leadership Award e [email protected] Th e Department of Biostatistics at the Harvard School of Public Health named Dr Robert C Elston, Case Western Reserve University, recipient of the 2004 Marvin Zelen Leadership To contact the IMS regarding any other Award in Statistical Science. Dr Elston will deliver a lecture on June 4, 2004 at Harvard matter, including advertising, copyright University. Th e lecture title is forthcoming. permission, off print orders, copyright Th is annual award, supported by colleagues, friends and family, was established to transfer, societal matters, meetings, fellows nominations and content of honor Dr Marvin Zelen’s long and distin- guished career as a statistician, and his major publications: Past IMS Bulletin Editors Executive Director, Elyse Gustafson role in shaping the fi eld of biostatistics. IMS Business Offi ce More details about nominations for next Leo Katz (1972-74); PO Box 22718 year’s awards appear on page 6. Dorian Feldman (1975-80); Beachwood, OH 44122 William C Guenther USA (1981-86); t 216.295.2340 Have you achieved f 216.295.5661 something? Don’t George P H Styan (1987-92); e [email protected] be shy, tell us Susan R Wilson (1992-97); your news: email Dipak K Dey (1998-2001) [email protected] March/April . 2004 IMS Bulletin . 3 Executive Committee President Terry Speed [email protected] IMS News President-Elect Louis Chen [email protected] The members of the IMS Executive Committee meet twice each year, to discuss the Past President Raghu Varadhan Institute’s management, membership and finances. This picture was taken at the most [email protected] recent meeting in February. Executive Secretary Alicia Carriquiry [email protected] Treasurer Julia Norton [email protected] Program Secretary Andrew Nobel [email protected] IMS Editors Annals of Statistics Morris Eaton [email protected] & Jianqing Fan [email protected] Annals of Probability Steven Lalley [email protected] Annals of Applied Probability Robert Adler [email protected] Statistical Science George Casella [email protected]fl.edu Pictured (top row, l-r) Andrew Nobel, Program Secretary; Julia Norton, Treasurer; Terry Speed, President; Raghu Varadhan, Past President IMS Lecture Notes - Monograph Series Richard Vitale Elyse Gustafson Alicia Carriquiry (bottom row, l-r): , Executive Director; , Executive [email protected] Secretary; Louis Chen, President-Elect Managing Editor - Statistics Paul Shaman Council Nominations Membership Renewal [email protected] We announce the nominations for IMS It’s not too late to renew your Membership Managing Editor - Probability President Elect and IMS Council. for 2004. You can do it online at the IMS Michael Phelan President Elect: Membership Renewal and Book Orders [email protected] Tom Kurtz webpage: http://www.imstat.org/orders Electronic Journal of Probability IMS Council (to fill 6 vacancies): Ted Cox Erwin Bolthausen [email protected] Tom DiCiccio Address Changes Electronic Communications in Probability Nancy Flournoy Please email your change of address to Martin Barlow [email protected] Friedrichs Goetze staff@imstat.org. Due to mailing lag times, Xuming He it will take 6-8 weeks for an address change Managing Editor - EJP/ECP Zhenqing Chen Susan Holmes to take full effect. Please keep this in mind [email protected] Vlad Koltchinskii when submitting a change of address. IMS Bulletin Bernard Silverman Russ Lyons During this time period, journals may & Tati Howell Sonia Petrone arrive at your old address. If this is going to [email protected] Ib Skovgaard be a problem, please let us know when you Web Editor Hemant Ishwaran Mike Steele notify your change of address. [email protected] Alan Welsh Associate Program Secretary Full details will appear in the next issue. Maury Bramson [email protected] 4 . IMS Bulletin Volume 33 . Issue 2 President’s Column: Keep Gender on the Agenda IMS President Terry women. The barriers may be down, but we involved for women wanting to move in Speed writes: are almost as far from equal representation parallel career paths? No matter how mod- In my mother’s genera- as we ever were. The fact that 30–50 per ern or solicitous a partner might be, having tion, women in many cent of our graduate students are women children will remain a very unequal business jobs were requiredÄ to ÅÄshowsÅ thatÄ theÅ potentialÄÅ is thereÄ Åfor changÄ-ÅÄfor aÅ whileÄ yet.Å I amÄ in Åawe ofÄ brilliantÅ resign upon marriage. ing the current situation, but it will not be women who raise families while remaining For example, F.E. easy, and that’s what I want to write about. focussed on and successful in their scientific (Betty) Allan, an early I got my title from a talk by Justice careers.
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