Monte Carlo Simulation Research on the Spontaneous Fission Yield of 240Pu
A dissertation submitted to the Graduate School of the University of Cincinnati in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of
Doctor of Philosophy
in the Department of Nuclear & Radiological Engineering of the College of Engineering and Applied Sciences by
Tianyou Xie
University of Cincinnati Nov 2015
Committee Chair: Henry B. Spitz, Ph.D.
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Abstract
This research describes results of mathematical simulations to predict the spontaneous fission yield of 240Pu thereby guiding selection of a suitable fission product for use as a radiochronometer for weapons grade plutonium.
The PUREX process is effective in separating plutonium and uranium in irradiated nuclear fuel from fission products, which may make it possible to use one or more of the spontaneous fission products from 240Pu as a radiochronometer. However, the fission product inventory from the spontaneous fission of 240Pu reported in the literature is quite variable.
The non-uniform induced fission probability at multiple neutron energies makes the induced fission yield too complex to be listed as a single value.
The neutron flux distribution from a source containing 240Pu is a combination of both spontaneous and induced fissions. Fission products generated in this source are due to a combination of spontaneous and induced fission processes, each with a unique neutron energy distribution and fission product yield. The physical conditions of the source (i.e., size, shape, etc.) will have a significant influence on the neutron flux distribution
2 and the induced fission probability associated with 240Pu. Thus, it is likely that there is a relationship between the combined (spontaneous and induced) fission yield and the physical conditions of the source. Exploring this relationship, a table of values will be generated to predict the combined fission product yield for any source geometry containing 240Pu. Minimizing variations in the source geometry should stabilize the combined fission product yield and provide a means to determine the spontaneous fission probability for 240Pu. This research has identified that the combined fission product yields from 97Zr and 138Xe exhibit less sensitivity to the physical source parameters than other fission products making them good candidates as radiochronometers for age dating weapons-grade plutonium.
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Contents Abstract ...... 2 Chapter 1 Introduction ...... 7 1.1 Introduction ...... 7 1.1.1 Weapons-grade Plutonium ...... 8 1.1.2 Spontaneous Fission...... 9 1.1.3 Chronometer ...... 11 1.1.4 Monte Carlo Method & MCNPX ...... 13 1.1.5 Current Study ...... 15 1.1.6 Challenge of Chronometer Study...... 20 1.2 Objectives and Specific Aims ...... 22 Chapter 2 Neutron Energy Effect on Fission ...... 24 2.1 Background ...... 24 2.1.1 Fission Neutron Energy ...... 30 2.1.2 Simulations Using Fission Product Photopeaks ...... 31 2.1.3 Independent Fission Probability Study ...... 32 2.2 Method ...... 34 2.2.1 Single Neutron Energy Model ...... 34 2.2.2 Varied Energy Selection ...... 35 2.3 Result & Discussion ...... 36 2.4 Conclusions ...... 39 Chapter 3 Micro Position Model...... 41 3.1 Background ...... 41 3.2 Method ...... 44 3.2.1 Uniform Thickness Model ...... 47 3.2.2 Uniform Volume Model ...... 51 3.2.3 Neutron Energy Distribution...... 52 3.3 Result & Discussion ...... 53 3.3.1 Neutron Energy Distribution...... 53 3.3.2 Equal Thickness Model...... 55 3.3.3 Equal Volume Model ...... 58 3.3.4 Fission Yield Combination ...... 61
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3.4 Conclusion ...... 62 Chapter 4 Macroscopic Parameter Model...... 64 4.1 Background ...... 64 4.1.1 Plutonium Fission Yield Curve ...... 64 4.2 Method ...... 65 4.2.1 Simulation Parameters Selection ...... 68 4.2.2 Macro Parameter Model ...... 69 4.3 Result & Discussion ...... 73 4.4 Conclusion ...... 83 Chapter 5 Conclusion ...... 85 5.1 Research Accomplishments ...... 85 5.2 Future Work ...... 86 References ...... 88 Appendix A ...... 90 Appendix B ...... 98 Appendix C ...... 102
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Chapter 1
Introduction
1.1 Introduction
Plutonium is a radioactive actinide metal whose isotope, plutonium-239, is one of the three primary fissile isotopes1 (uranium-233 and uranium-235 are the other two), 2 Plutonium-241 is also highly fissile. A fissile isotope has a nucleus that may fission when struck by a thermal neutron.
Twenty radioactive isotopes of plutonium have been characterized. The longest-lived are plutonium-244, with a half-life of 80.8 million years, plutonium-242, with a half-life of 373,300 years, and plutonium-239, with a half-life of 24,110 years. All of the remaining radioactive isotopes have half-lives that are less than 7,000 years. This element also has eight metastable states, all with have half-lives less than one second.3
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1.1.1 Weapons-grade Plutonium
The primary component of nuclear weapons is uranium or plutonium metal, enriched in a fissile isotope (233U, 235U or 239Pu). These isotopes are defined as Special Nuclear Material (SNM).4 The development of nuclear weapons has relied predominantly on the production of high-enriched uranium (HEU) or weapons-grade plutonium for fission primaries. However, spontaneous fission neutrons from 240Pu may cause a premature detonation of the device unless the weapon design accommodates this neutron source.4
The commercial nuclear power industry is a significant contemporary source of SNM. Plutonium is created by irradiation of 238U in a nuclear reactor, under tailored conditions of neutron bombardment and post irradiation decay, followed by radiochemical reprocessing. A major difference in used commercial nuclear fuel and weapons-grade plutonium is the concentration of 240Pu. Plutonium is considered as “weapons grade” if it contains at least
93% 239Pu and <7% 240Pu.5 Reactor grade plutonium contains more than 8%
240Pu. Plutonium is also used for civilian nuclear power production in mixed-oxide (MOX) fuel, which nominally contains 60% 239Pu and 25%
240Pu.6
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Weapons grade plutonium is generated in nuclear fuel that has been irradiated for no more than 7 months. The economics of commercial nuclear power plants dictates that fuel be retained in a reactor core for about 4 years to achieve optimum performance and cost effectiveness. The typical 1-GWe nuclear reactor uses about 1 ton of fissile material per year which generates about 200 kg of plutonium. The annual global production of plutonium in commercial nuclear power reactors is about 70 t.7
1.1.2 Spontaneous Fission
In nuclear physics and chemistry, nuclear fission is either a nuclear reaction or a radioactive decay process in which the nucleus of an atom splits into smaller parts (lighter nuclei). The fission process also produces fast neutrons and photons (as gamma rays) with the release of a large amount of energy.
Fission is a form of nuclear transmutation because the resulting fragments are not the same element as the original atom. The two nuclei produced are most often of comparable but slightly different sizes, typically with a mass
9 ratio of products of about 3 to 2, for common fissile isotopes.8,9 Most fissions are binary fissions (producing two charged fragments), but occasionally (2 to 4 times per 1000 events), three positively charged fragments are produced, in a ternary fission. 10 The smallest of these fragments in ternary processes ranges in size from a proton to an argon nucleus.
Spontaneous fission, a rare decay mode occurring only in the heavy elements, gives the same results as induced nuclear fission. Like other forms of decay, spontaneous fission is an outcome of quantum tunneling. A neutron in a heavy element nucleus has a finite probability to tunnel through the fission barrier, classically, it could not surmount. In nuclear reactions, a heavy product nucleus can possess excitation energy comparable to, or more than, the height of the potential barrier, making fission a much more probable process.10
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1.1.3 Chronometer
Radio-chronometers are useful tools in nuclear forensics that aid in ascertaining the elapsed time since a radioactive material was last purified.
Radionuclides linked to another by the processes of radioactive decay have relative concentrations that can be calculated by the simple laws describing the ingrowth of radioactive decay products from an initially pure parent. If a time exists at which only atoms of the parent are present, that time can be determined at some future time by measuring the concentrations of parent and decay products. The interval between the time that the sample was last purified and the time that it was subsequently analyzed is defined as the “age” of the material at the analysis time.15
Radiochronometers for plutonium are not limited to the isotopes produced by the process of α decay (viz., 240Pu/236U & 239Pu/235U). The 240Pu isotope decays almost completely by α emission; however, one decay in every
1.7×107 alpha decays occurs by spontaneous fission. In spontaneous fission, the atom subdivides into two roughly equal parts, with the fission yield being distributed over products covering a wide range of atomic numbers
11 and masses, similar to the yield distribution arising in the neutron-induced fission of 235U or 239Pu. Although the fraction of the atoms in a plutonium sample that undergo spontaneous fission decay does not appear significant, spontaneous fission neutrons create a limit on the concentration of 240Pu that can be present in weapons material. One gram of weapons-grade Pu containing 6% 240Pu by mass undergoes 1480 spontaneous fission (SF) decays every minute.4
The relative magnitudes of the spontaneous fission- and α- decay branches, coupled with the distribution of the fission-product yield over a large number of nuclides, favors the formation of 236U over any given fission product by at lease a factor of 109. However, as the decay rate of a radionuclide is inversely proportional to its half-life, the activities of many of the shorter-lived fission products are comparable to that of long-lived 236U.
The fission neutron yield, v, neutron energy spectra, and fission product yields associated with the spontaneous fission of 240Pu and the fissile 239Pu differ significantly and complicate selecting a fission product for radiochronometry. Significant efforts have been made to improve knowledge of induced fission product yields and their associated uncertainties for many of the chains.10
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1.1.4 Monte Carlo Method & MCNPX
Monte Carlo methods are a broad class of computational algorithms that rely on repeated random sampling to obtain numerical results; typically one runs simulations many times in order to obtain the distribution of an unknown probabilistic entity. The name comes from the resemblance of the technique for playing and recording results in a real gambling casino. They are often used in physical and mathematical problems and are most useful when it is difficult or impossible to obtain a closed-form expression, or unfeasible to apply a deterministic algorithm. Monte Carlo methods are mainly used in three distinct problem classes: optimization, numerical integration and generation of draws from a probability distribution.11
In physics-related problems, Monte Carlo methods are quite useful for simulating systems with many coupled degrees of freedom, such as fluids, disordered materials, strongly coupled solids, and cellular structures. Other examples include modeling phenomena with inputs exhibiting significant uncertainty, such as the calculation of risk in business and evaluation of multidimensional definite integrals with complicated boundary conditions.
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In application to space and oil exploration problems, Monte Carlo–based predictions of failure, cost overruns and schedule overruns are routinely better than human intuition or alternative "soft" methods.12
Monte Carlo N-Particle Transport Code (MCNP) is a software package for simulating nuclear processes. It was initially developed in 1957 by Los
Alamos National Laboratory and has subsequently had 13 many major improvements. MCNP is distributed within the United States by the
Radiation Safety Information Computational Center in Oak Ridge, TN and internationally by the Nuclear Energy Agency in Paris, France. It is used primarily for the simulation of nuclear processes, such as fission, but has the capability to simulate particle interactions involving neutrons, photons, and electrons. Specific areas of application include radiation protection and dosimetry, radiation shielding, radiography, medical physics, nuclear criticality safety, detector design and analysis, nuclear oil well logging, accelerator target design, fission and fusion reactor design, decontamination and decommissioning. 14
MCNPX (Monte Carlo N-Particle eXtended) was also developed at Los
Alamos National Laboratory and is capable of simulating particle
14 interactions of 34 different types of particles (nucleons and ions) and 2000+ heavy ions at nearly all energies, including those simulated by MCNP.14
1.1.5 Current Study
The analysis of fission products from the spontaneous fission of 240Pu has been described by Moody et al. (2005) as a complementary method and a valuable tool for the chronometry of incomplete fuel reprocessing.15 These fission products may be used to determine processes involving metallurgical preparation of the plutonium. While the data cited by Moody et al. for weapons grade plutonium is modest in terms of activity (< 1 Bq of radioactivity) for each fission product isotope per gram, improvised nuclear devices (IND) or radiological dispersal devices (RDD) containing reactor grade and high burn plutonium would contain a significant quantity of fission products born from the spontaneous fission of 240Pu. Selected fission products from spontaneous fission of 1 gm of Pu containing 6% 240Pu are shown in Table 1.1.15
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Table 1.1 Selected Spontaneous-fission products present in 1g of Pu containing 6% 240Pu after 1 year19
Nuclide Cumulative Yield (%) Half-life Atoms Activity (dpm) 85Kr 0.07 10.8 years 5.3e5 0.06 93Zr 3.0 1.5e6 years 2.3e7 2e-5 99Tc 6.9 2.1e5 years 5.4e7 3e-4 133I 8.2 20.8 hours 2.2e5 122 136Xe 7.5 Stable 5.8e7 137Cs 7.2 30.2 years 5.5e7 2.4 148Nd 1.6 Stable 1.2e7
Laidler and Brown (1962) investigated the mass distribution of spontaneous fission products from 240Pu radio-chemically by measuring the fission yields of 15 isotopes in the mass range 89 to 147.16 Their results are shown on
Table 1.2. They also described a series of changes in the yield-mass function for fission in various states of excitation of the same nucleus, since neutron-induced fission of 239Pu is essentially fission of 240Pu in excitation levels above the ground state.
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Table 1.2 The observed yield of spontaneous fission products from a sample 91.7% 240Pu & 6.7% 239Pu.16
Nuclide No. of Observed fission determinations yield (%) 89Sr 2 0.80±0.32 91Sr 3 1.51±.017 97Zr 2 6.48±0.21 99Mo 3 6.82±0.07 105Rh 3 7.10±0.55 133I 3 8.20±0.12 135I 3 6.94±0.67 140Ba 4 5.99±0.22 141Ce 3 6.02±0.39
Bushuev et al. (2007) used photopeaks emitted by spontaneous-fission products observed in the photon energy spectrum from californium sources and plutonium samples to determine the yield of fission products.17 The yield of spontaneous-fission products was determined as the ratio of the number of counts in the gamma peaks of the fission products and the gamma peak at 642 keV of 240Pu. The results are shown in Table 1.3:
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Table 1.3 The observed fission yield of spontaneous fission product of 41.46g 91.07% 240Pu 7.86% 239Pu sample with 1.07% mass 241Am.17
Fission product Energy of the γ rays measured Yield from 240Pu spontaneous fission % 92Sr 1383 2.92±0.14 94Rb 1309 1.23±0.04 94Sr 1428 3.94±0.06 96mY 1107 1.13±0.16 1751 133Sb 1096 3.26±0.18 1132 135I 1260 8.13±0.15 1796 136I 1321 3.65±0.40 138Xe 1768 7.60±0.29 138Cs 1436 6.85±0.18 140La 1596 5.70±0.18
The IAEA also has assembled a data base of spontaneous fission product yields collected from its member nations.18 Table 1.4 is a comparison of the results of the IAEA data base with the spontaneous fission yields listed on
Table 1.1 t Table 1.3.
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Table 1.4 The cumulative neutron induced fission yield from IAEA data-base and other sources.
Fission Cumulative Neutron Induced fission yield (%) Spontaneous fission yield (%) Products TENDL- ROSFOND JENDL- ENDF- Laidler & Bushuev 12 2011 -2010 & 4.0 349 14 15 Moody Brown et al. JEFF-3.1 Sr 89 1.39 1.73 1.4 1.75 0.8 1.1 Sr 90 1.85 1.8 1.8 1.95 1.4 Sr 91 2.56 2.25 2.19 2.44 1.51 Sr 92 3.47 2.76 2.67 2.82 2.92 Zr 93 4.57 3.79 3.51 2.9 3 Rb 94 2.27 1.26 0.85 0.844 1.23 Sr 94 5.02 3.63 3.62 2.78 3.94 Zr 95 6.11 4.47 4.44 3.7 4.8 Y 96m 2.43 1.31 1.71 2.07 1.13 Zr 97 7.28 5.3 5.21 4.2 6.46 Tc 99 7.74 6.06 6 4.87 6.9 Mo 99 7.75 6.06 5.96 4.87 6.82 Ru 103 6.58 6.7 6.61 5.29 7.9 Rh 105 3.1 5.44 5.57 4.75 7.1 Ru 106 1.71 5.1 5.09 4.01 6.2 Pd 109 0.11 1.71 1.74 2.3 0.94 Ag 111 0.08 0.49 0.483 1.67 0.035 Cd 115 0.06 0.062 0.058 1.09 <0.03 Sb 125 0.065 0.087 0.089 1.61 0.05 I 131 0.406 3.57 3.34 4.46 2.34 2.3 I 133 2 6.97 6.7 5.39 8.19 8.2 Sb 133 0.876 1.41 1.96 0.611 3.26 Xe 133 2.005 6.98 6.71 5.55 8.2 I 135 5.17 6.81 6.72 3.76 6.39 8.13 Cs 135 5.3 7.56 7.22 5.34 7.8 I 136 3.9 1.58 2.34 1.5 3.65 Cs 137 7.74 6.53 6.55 4.51 7.2 Xe 138 7.8 5.28 5.7 2.97 7.6 Cs 138 8.23 6.22 6.31 5.05 6.85 La 140 7.71 5.5 5.7 3.85 5.7 Ba 140 7.71 5.49 5.5 3.79 5.99 Ce 141 7.38 4.72 5.49 3.59 6.02 5.7 Pr 143 6.64 4.52 4.49 3.1 4.78 Nd 147 3.21 2.15 2.12 1.79 1.22 2.1
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1.1.6 Challenge of Chronometer Study
The present study identified four challenges that need resolution before determining whether a 240Pu fission product can be useful as a radiochronometer.
The first challenge is a lack of agreement on the spontaneous fission yield value for 240Pu. The yield for the same fission product can range from 2% to
8% depending upon the reporting source (e.g., 133I in Table 1.4). The confidence interval for fission yield of 89Sr shown on Table 1.2 is large compared to the mean as ±0.32% to 0.8%.
The second challenge is a lack of discussion about the spontaneous fission yield uncertainty in the literature to aid in resolving this issue.
The third challenge is that the 240Pu spontaneous fission yield has been determined by analyzing different types of samples, each with unique physical and chemical characteristics, using different methods such that any comparison of results is further obfuscated.
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The fourth challenge is related to the selection of a fission product radiochronometer. Although hundreds of the fission products are produced by spontaneous and induced fission, the advantage and disadvantage of any one chronometer has yet to be determined.
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1.2 Objectives and Specific Aims
The objective for this research involves evaluating variations in the reported spontaneous fission yield reported in the literature and describing how the induced fission yield and probability of 240Pu can be affected by the physical attributes of the samples (viz., size, shape, etc.) sample.
Aim #1: Developing various neutron energy models to characterize differences in spontaneous fission yields. Hypothesis: The fission product yields and induced fission probability are dependent on the energy of the neutron released during spontaneous fission of 240Pu.
Aim #2: Develop a micro sphere model of pure 240Pu to identify the relationship between the initial spontaneous fission and neutron- induced fission during the fission process. Hypothesis: The induced fission product yields from each spontaneous fission of 240Pu are a function of the neutron energy distribution, which is also a function of the location of the Pu240 atom in the sample.
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Aim #3: Develop a macroscopic plutonium material model to identify how changes in the macroscopic parameters of a sample affect the neutron-induced fission product yields. Hypothesis: The induced fission product yields and probability are dependent on the physical attributes of a sample. The 240Pu fission product that is least affected by changes in sample attributes is likely the best choice for a radiochronometer.
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Chapter 2
Neutron Energy Effect on Fission
2.1 Background
In a realistic experiment, a sample of weapons-grade plutonium always contains 240Pu and 239Pu isotopes. It is impossible to separate these isotopes using traditional methods because their mass is nearly identical. Likewise, during an experiment, one cannot differentiate fission products produced by the induced fission 239Pu or the spontaneous or induced fission of 240Pu .
Fission occurring in a sample containing plutonium is a combination of (a) pure spontaneous fission of 240Pu, (b) induced fission of 240Pu, or (c) induced fission of 239Pu. The spontaneous fission probability of 239Pu is very low compared to 240Pu and will be ignored in the following descriptions. In this thesis, the observed fission yield includes all three fission processes.
Spontaneous fission signifies only the “pure” spontaneous fission of 240Pu unaffected by neutrons from other sources.
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The observed fission yield can be separated into three parts,